Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 2 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2018, Tottenham 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   26  +24       2.49    75.62     5.14    92.06     6.57    73.87    70.55    90.17    97.01    99.23    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        10   26  +16       5.97    94.26     5.42    84.25     7.50    49.22    17.60    55.10    78.09    90.68    99.55     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          10   24  +17       3.66    80.85     6.42    79.70     7.50    45.44     7.19    28.50    56.97    79.10    98.55     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   22  +11       3.00    75.57     2.09    73.93     7.80    33.41     1.68    10.00    25.37    49.15    93.47     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        10   21   +8       1.56    64.08    -1.41    76.16     7.60    34.19     2.72    14.01    34.92    60.93    96.05     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      10   20   +7       5.41    88.76     5.97    54.14     7.76    -2.05     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.80    11.30     0.18R    0.00  
Watford          10   19   +4       6.07    92.00     5.58    50.94     7.62    -8.43     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.22     5.01     0.60R    0.02  
Man_Utd          10   17   +0      -1.20    38.56    -6.62    67.87     7.70    19.30     0.26     2.15     7.25    19.03    78.53     0.00     0.00  
Everton          10   15   +2       0.02    50.25     0.34    51.66     7.81    -2.27     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.37     6.52     0.56R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    10   15   +0       3.35    78.71     3.25    47.25     7.85   -10.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     2.31     2.31R    0.14  
Brighton         10   14   -2       3.44    80.97     3.23    46.24     7.55   -11.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.54     2.68R    0.12  
Leicester        10   13   +0      -0.56    45.52     0.72    51.13     7.92    -2.44     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.30     5.93     0.74R    0.03  
West_Ham         10    8   -6      -1.79    34.98     0.86    43.42     7.81   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.76     6.81R    0.72  
Crystal_Palace   10    8   -6      -4.20    16.45    -3.57    38.51     7.44   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    17.03R    1.96  
Burnley          10    8  -11      -3.42    20.56    -7.04    37.60     7.33   -25.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    20.56R    2.57  
Southampton      10    7   -8      -4.40    14.41    -4.53    38.69     7.46   -19.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    16.64R    2.24  
Cardiff          10    5  -14      -3.12    20.80    -3.07    30.83     7.56   -35.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    56.95R   15.47  
Fulham           10    5  -17      -3.52    19.31    -5.61    28.66     7.36   -47.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.16R   25.99  
Newcastle        10    3   -8      -7.38     2.15    -2.71    37.65     7.67   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    19.98R    3.05  
Huddersfield     10    3  -17      -3.64    14.04    -4.47    24.64     6.61   -44.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.80R   47.67  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, Birmingham 3 1 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       15   29   +9       6.36    87.38     5.88    76.04     8.70    15.72    13.18    25.70    64.94    34.09P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   27  +14       3.68    74.80     9.80    74.80     8.63    21.97    10.89    22.27    60.79    31.41P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   15   27   +9       1.58    61.13     2.01    78.95     8.34    22.67    20.51    37.57    77.79    49.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         15   27   +3       6.45    87.67     3.06    71.13     8.52     5.40     4.27    10.39    41.68    16.35P    0.20R    0.00  
West_Brom       15   25  +10      -1.59    38.13     0.51    78.81     8.98    27.61    23.56    39.42    76.34    50.68P    0.03R    0.00  
Derby           15   25   +6       0.42    52.82     0.07    74.74     8.55    16.90     9.93    20.92    60.10    31.80P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   23   +6       3.09    72.00     6.96    64.45     8.57     4.20     1.01     2.80    17.47     5.73P    1.56R    0.13  
Swansea         15   23   +6      -1.48    39.43     0.17    73.37     8.73    17.46     8.24    17.60    53.95    28.47P    0.13R    0.01  
Birmingham      15   23   +5       4.92    82.65     8.50    59.02     8.23    -3.99     0.13     0.48     5.55     1.26P    5.30R    0.60  
QPR             15   23   -4       4.82    81.52    -0.33    59.68     8.34   -12.99     0.20     0.62     6.37     1.52P    5.30R    0.65  
Bristol_City    15   22   +3       0.83    56.36     2.14    65.88     8.60     5.06     1.39     3.68    21.87     7.63P    1.17R    0.10  
Blackburn       15   22   -2       2.48    67.42    -0.38    64.01     8.82    -2.60     0.91     2.64    16.05     5.32P    2.09R    0.22  
Stoke           15   20   -1      -2.44    33.45    -3.68    67.35     8.93     6.40     2.22     5.77    27.69    11.53P    0.84R    0.06  
Wigan           15   20   -4      -0.53    46.83    -4.04    64.36     8.86    -1.10     1.01     2.84    17.30     6.29P    2.01R    0.20  
Sheff_Wed       15   19   -5      -0.63    46.30    -3.47    61.09     8.58    -5.98     0.36     1.11     9.22     2.72P    4.02R    0.55  
Brentford       15   18   +3      -4.38    21.72     0.30    63.87     8.78     7.94     0.99     2.69    16.90     6.23P    1.92R    0.20  
Aston_Villa     15   18   -1      -5.14    17.83    -4.90    64.53     8.56     5.02     1.03     2.92    17.89     6.94P    1.45R    0.12  
Millwall        15   16   -4      -3.23    28.30    -2.04    56.71     8.43    -6.71     0.06     0.25     3.48     0.88P    9.73R    1.54  
Bolton          15   16   -9       1.08    59.85    -0.64    44.79     7.64   -29.16     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   58.53R   20.55  
Preston         15   14   -5      -6.33    11.90    -4.47    56.06     8.66    -5.92     0.08     0.29     3.37     1.02P   11.57R    2.09  
Rotherham       15   14  -10      -0.69    46.46    -0.77    44.27     8.27   -29.12     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.01P   60.20R   24.75  
Reading         15   12   -6      -5.09    16.79    -0.16    47.44     8.37   -17.33     0.01     0.01     0.26     0.06P   42.75R   13.58  
Hull            15   12   -9      -6.73    10.41    -6.09    50.92     8.47   -14.89     0.01     0.03     0.82     0.22P   27.19R    6.50  
Ipswich         15    9  -14      -7.78     6.22    -8.42    43.29     8.27   -26.56     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   63.89R   28.15  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           16   35  +13       9.84    95.62     8.28    80.30     8.54    19.02     9.12    24.65    79.92    37.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         16   33  +12       7.69    90.17     6.96    83.49     8.71    26.37    16.38    39.35    88.50    52.12P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           15   32  +17       3.52    72.52     4.79    90.58     8.87    41.70    50.39    72.79    97.15    81.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnsley             15   28  +14       0.54    52.80     3.56    83.27     9.03    33.25    18.33    40.36    87.60    56.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                16   28   +8       4.15    75.56     5.31    74.72     8.91    16.23     3.06    10.21    58.03    21.76P    0.16R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   27   +2       6.48    86.66     4.01    64.95     8.66    -2.76     0.24     1.12    16.82     3.86P    2.94R    0.15  
Coventry             16   27   +2       6.61    87.34     4.05    64.42     8.49    -3.06     0.19     0.86    15.28     3.42P    2.85R    0.11  
Doncaster            16   25   +3       2.71    68.13     2.56    66.62     8.51     3.54     0.29     1.48    22.50     5.87P    1.71R    0.07  
Walsall              15   25   -1       5.43    83.51     0.49    63.57     8.62    -6.92     0.20     0.84    13.16     3.04P    3.81R    0.19  
Fleetwood_Town       16   23   +8      -0.38    47.59     5.95    68.23     8.60    13.99     0.56     2.54    29.99     9.35P    1.00R    0.04  
Southend             16   23   +0       0.79    55.97    -0.27    64.39     8.55     0.18     0.17     0.87    15.53     3.92P    2.92R    0.14  
Blackpool            14   22   +5       1.48    60.83     3.00    66.36     8.87     5.84     0.37     1.74    22.67     6.50P    2.07R    0.11  
Charlton             15   22   +2       0.02    50.68     0.00    68.30     8.76     7.54     0.58     2.54    29.49     9.19P    1.16R    0.05  
Rochdale             16   19   -9      -0.18    49.59    -4.41    56.60     8.53   -14.95     0.01     0.06     3.01     0.52P   17.12R    2.03  
Wycombe              16   18   -2      -0.69    46.59     3.11    51.49     8.51   -14.59     0.01     0.02     1.00     0.16P   35.40R    6.26  
Burton_Albion        15   18   -2      -2.92    31.00    -2.45    59.09     8.96    -4.08     0.06     0.25     6.75     1.78P   10.75R    0.98  
Scunthorpe           16   17  -11      -4.73    21.20   -10.30    58.94     8.74   -10.33     0.02     0.18     5.61     1.40P   11.62R    1.15  
Gillingham           15   15   -5      -3.58    26.50    -1.56    53.79     8.79   -11.42     0.00     0.04     1.95     0.40P   26.20R    4.03  
Shrewsbury           16   15   -5      -6.20    13.43    -4.20    56.71     8.35    -3.83     0.01     0.06     2.99     0.75P   15.00R    1.53  
Bristol_Rovers       16   14   -3      -6.79    11.51    -1.37    51.27     8.27    -8.45     0.00     0.02     0.72     0.15P   34.45R    5.52  
Oxford_Utd           16   14   -7      -6.06    14.12    -3.90    52.21     8.50   -11.75     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.23P   31.59R    5.31  
Plymouth             16   13   -9      -6.29    13.20    -4.87    48.44     8.33   -17.90     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P   48.95R   11.41  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   11  -14      -5.83    13.80    -6.81    42.72     7.93   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   76.25R   31.26  
Bradford             16   10  -18      -7.89     7.11   -11.92    43.29     8.14   -30.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   74.03R   29.67  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 October 2018, Crewe 0 3 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     16   33  +16       6.39    86.69     9.03    82.36     8.36    28.31    25.68    60.80    90.05    68.61P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          16   31  +10       3.65    73.49     2.17    84.14     8.38    27.34    33.37    68.32    92.83    75.93P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           16   29  +11       2.55    66.88     4.29    77.82     8.39    22.53    11.61    39.31    77.59    49.69P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   16   29   -3       8.24    92.49    -1.21    65.69     8.33    -9.61     0.67     4.34    22.63     7.16P    0.18R    0.01  
Colchester       16   28  +14       1.71    61.59     7.57    76.92     8.36    25.74    10.30    36.00    75.08    46.61P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     16   27  +10       5.30    82.17    10.41    66.38     8.38     7.45     0.83     5.53    27.09     9.37P    0.13R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   27   +7       4.96    80.42     6.64    68.11     8.60     7.19     1.39     8.17    34.20    13.37P    0.07R    0.00  
Stevenage        16   25   +4       1.32    59.34     1.39    65.16     8.32     3.01     0.56     4.14    22.21     8.04P    0.17R    0.01  
Mansfield        15   24  +11      -0.15    48.78     5.74    75.66     8.43    24.43     7.98    30.33    70.35    42.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             16   23   +7      -2.73    31.97     1.31    72.28     8.69    19.21     4.02    18.89    54.84    29.46P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     16   23   -1       2.73    68.78     1.66    61.66     8.35    -4.82     0.24     1.67    11.84     3.55P    0.67R    0.08  
Yeovil           15   21   +6       1.49    61.08     7.48    64.32     8.58     7.38     0.50     3.60    20.41     6.95P    0.38R    0.03  
Swindon          16   21   -2      -1.84    37.82    -3.42    65.18     8.39     2.57     0.48     3.95    22.35     8.20P    0.25R    0.02  
Port_Vale        16   21   -4       1.32    60.09    -1.08    60.52     8.21    -5.96     0.09     0.96     9.10     2.40P    1.05R    0.10  
Oldham           15   20   +4      -4.54    20.57    -1.92    68.80     8.88    13.36     1.96    10.56    38.99    18.94P    0.10R    0.00  
Carlisle         16   20   -4      -2.25    34.90    -4.52    60.77     8.31    -4.21     0.12     1.18    10.16     3.13P    0.88R    0.09  
Crewe            16   19   -1      -1.82    38.18     0.56    57.50     8.33    -4.75     0.03     0.43     5.29     1.37P    2.21R    0.26  
Northampton      16   18   -3      -4.62    21.57    -4.11    61.12     8.71     0.07     0.16     1.62    12.16     4.27P    1.04R    0.08  
Grimsby          15   15  -10      -0.98    43.90    -3.77    48.44     8.09   -22.38     0.00     0.02     0.37     0.09P   18.16R    3.14  
Cambridge_Utd    16   15  -12      -4.23    22.60    -8.11    51.67     8.19   -18.34     0.01     0.06     1.09     0.26P    9.65R    1.48  
Morecambe        16   14  -13      -3.01    29.92    -5.93    45.59     7.91   -26.95     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.02P   29.07R    5.82  
Notts_County     15   12  -16      -6.15    12.95   -11.96    51.16     8.58   -21.42     0.00     0.10     1.09     0.31P   12.17R    2.09  
Cheltenham       15   10  -13      -6.71     9.67    -7.24    45.04     8.29   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   31.45R    7.36  
Macclesfield     16    7  -18      -6.54     9.39    -4.98    30.53     7.37   -46.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.30R   79.43  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 October 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       18   38  +20       9.05    92.01    13.56    82.36     8.59    29.19    17.93    72.25    30.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            18   38  +14       9.71    94.86     8.65    81.08     7.75    21.14    11.52    67.46    24.84P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      18   37  +23       4.82    78.61    11.84    85.63     7.83    38.41    29.67    86.07    47.20P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     18   36  +16       8.78    91.24    12.09    79.91     8.61    24.56    11.34    61.68    22.21P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          18   35  +22       2.94    68.15    10.84    83.77     7.86    37.43    21.46    80.26    39.74P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     18   35   +8      10.74    96.05     8.46    72.45     7.87     7.04     1.48    24.66     5.47P    0.04R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   32  +10       3.90    73.96     4.86    74.25     7.92    15.94     2.65    34.08     9.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Sutton_United      17   30   +4       5.62    82.53     2.33    73.47     8.26     9.76     2.26    30.19     8.08P    0.05R    0.00  
Hartlepool         18   28   +2       2.62    66.82     0.72    66.04     7.82     2.00     0.19     7.26     1.63P    0.64R    0.01  
Eastleigh          18   27   -4       4.61    78.00    -0.93    62.99     7.84    -7.20     0.08     3.33     0.60P    1.96R    0.04  
Boreham_Wood       18   26   +0      -0.03    50.32    -2.27    65.20     7.82     1.72     0.14     6.21     1.49P    0.87R    0.03  
Barnet             17   25   -2      -2.27    35.22    -8.03    71.05     8.32     7.30     1.21    21.12     6.99P    0.15R    0.00  
Halifax            18   22   -1       0.49    54.35     2.96    55.79     7.66    -6.86     0.01     0.43     0.08P   10.30R    0.53  
Barrow             18   21   -3      -2.20    36.47    -0.87    55.89     7.79    -7.83     0.00     0.45     0.10P   10.47R    0.61  
Aldershot          18   21   -9      -2.91    31.88    -8.18    58.83     7.93    -9.44     0.01     1.06     0.23P    6.04R    0.29  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   20   -3      -3.71    27.48    -1.92    59.27     7.94    -1.39     0.02     1.33     0.30P    5.17R    0.22  
Bromley            18   20   -6      -4.42    24.04    -5.53    56.35     8.07    -9.44     0.00     0.69     0.14P   10.39R    0.63  
Maidenhead         18   17  -19      -1.77    39.56    -9.40    46.16     7.73   -34.46     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.06R   10.32  
Chesterfield       18   16   -6     -10.58     4.03    -9.07    58.34     8.21    -0.01     0.02     1.31     0.41P    6.64R    0.35  
Dag_&_Red          18   15   -9      -9.48     5.65    -8.98    51.97     7.95   -11.02     0.00     0.12     0.02P   23.05R    2.21  
Maidstone_United   18   15  -12      -4.01    25.34    -3.91    45.12     7.52   -23.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.40R   11.33  
Havant_&_Wville    18   14   -9      -4.42    23.98     1.39    44.00     8.10   -22.84     0.00     0.01     0.00P   61.59R   15.60  
Braintree_Town     18   13  -14      -3.84    25.96    -1.73    38.70     7.68   -33.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.31R   39.37  
Dover_Athletic     18    8  -22     -13.35     0.82   -16.86    43.03     7.86   -26.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.86R   18.46