Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 1 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2018, Tottenham 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   26  +24       2.49    75.57     5.14    92.15     6.60    74.12    71.25    90.53    97.08    99.25    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        10   26  +16       5.99    94.47     5.46    84.26     7.43    49.16    17.36    55.27    78.46    91.14    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          10   24  +17       3.69    80.73     6.48    79.56     7.47    45.14     6.80    27.84    56.48    78.74    98.51     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   22  +11       3.01    75.60     2.09    73.77     7.80    33.19     1.67     9.59    24.81    48.35    93.07     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        10   21   +8       1.55    63.82    -1.43    76.27     7.59    34.32     2.62    14.62    35.62    61.72    96.16     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      10   20   +7       5.38    88.73     5.92    54.27     7.78    -1.95     0.00     0.03     0.21     0.92    11.54     0.18R    0.01  
Watford          10   19   +4       6.10    92.19     5.63    51.00     7.66    -8.34     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.24     5.10     0.57R    0.02  
Man_Utd          10   17   +0      -1.18    38.70    -6.60    67.87     7.71    19.31     0.30     2.08     7.18    18.82    78.73     0.00     0.00  
Everton          10   15   +2       0.13    51.32     0.47    51.55     7.87    -2.56     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.37     6.40     0.55R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    10   15   +0       3.36    78.83     3.26    47.23     7.83   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     2.38     2.49R    0.16  
Brighton         10   14   -2       3.37    80.72     3.11    46.28     7.59   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.61     2.59R    0.16  
Leicester        10   13   +0      -0.58    45.17     0.75    50.89     7.96    -2.84     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.26     5.69     0.89R    0.03  
West_Ham         10    8   -6      -1.79    34.83     0.82    43.36     7.79   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.71     6.89R    0.71  
Crystal_Palace   10    8   -6      -4.29    15.81    -3.70    38.78     7.40   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    16.08R    1.86  
Burnley          10    8  -11      -3.51    19.98    -7.18    37.71     7.36   -24.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    20.24R    2.64  
Southampton      10    7   -8      -4.34    14.66    -4.42    38.50     7.45   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    17.37R    2.35  
Cardiff          10    5  -14      -3.10    20.77    -3.01    30.73     7.45   -35.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    57.40R   15.48  
Fulham           10    5  -17      -3.51    19.27    -5.58    28.77     7.39   -46.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.59R   25.50  
Newcastle        10    3   -8      -7.41     2.25    -2.72    37.71     7.64   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    19.99R    3.00  
Huddersfield     10    3  -17      -3.62    13.92    -4.49    24.62     6.58   -44.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.18R   48.06  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, Birmingham 3 1 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       15   29   +9       6.28    87.10     5.76    76.14     8.75    15.90    13.57    26.39    65.25    34.85P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   27  +14       3.67    74.67     9.78    74.81     8.65    21.89    11.19    22.72    61.02    31.77P    0.07R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   15   27   +9       1.75    62.21     2.23    78.61     8.38    22.22    19.59    36.21    76.74    48.53P    0.02R    0.00  
Norwich         15   27   +3       6.52    87.84     3.18    70.93     8.60     5.02     4.42    10.34    41.02    16.15P    0.22R    0.01  
West_Brom       15   25  +10      -1.52    38.91     0.63    78.71     9.05    27.41    23.53    39.72    75.97    50.72P    0.02R    0.01  
Derby           15   25   +6       0.49    53.28     0.15    74.56     8.50    16.66     9.60    20.42    59.14    31.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   23   +6       2.98    71.20     6.81    64.67     8.61     4.58     1.07     2.96    18.32     6.06P    1.56R    0.16  
Swansea         15   23   +6      -1.39    40.08     0.26    73.21     8.84    17.21     8.24    17.36    53.39    28.33P    0.13R    0.01  
Birmingham      15   23   +5       4.90    82.60     8.46    59.13     8.24    -3.80     0.17     0.54     5.91     1.37P    5.25R    0.57  
QPR             15   23   -4       4.68    80.60    -0.50    59.69     8.34   -12.95     0.20     0.69     6.28     1.58P    5.42R    0.67  
Bristol_City    15   22   +3       0.72    55.52     1.99    66.12     8.57     5.40     1.45     3.94    22.69     7.98P    1.06R    0.11  
Blackburn       15   22   -2       2.51    67.89    -0.34    64.16     8.79    -2.48     1.01     2.65    16.54     5.37P    1.89R    0.20  
Stoke           15   20   -1      -2.43    33.57    -3.66    67.37     8.94     6.40     2.36     5.92    28.20    11.76P    0.95R    0.12  
Wigan           15   20   -4      -0.41    47.59    -3.88    64.18     8.80    -1.38     1.02     2.72    16.60     6.02P    2.02R    0.23  
Sheff_Wed       15   19   -5      -0.58    46.51    -3.44    61.14     8.57    -5.86     0.36     1.16     9.44     2.89P    3.97R    0.54  
Brentford       15   18   +3      -4.48    20.98     0.15    64.05     8.70     8.26     1.04     2.86    17.56     6.49P    1.84R    0.18  
Aston_Villa     15   18   -1      -5.14    17.90    -4.90    64.57     8.57     5.05     1.03     2.89    18.19     6.97P    1.51R    0.14  
Millwall        15   16   -4      -3.25    28.36    -2.08    56.72     8.41    -6.59     0.07     0.24     3.39     0.92P    9.79R    1.53  
Bolton          15   16   -9       1.07    59.50    -0.66    44.89     7.67   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   58.16R   20.49  
Preston         15   14   -5      -6.28    12.21    -4.35    55.73     8.62    -6.40     0.07     0.23     3.01     0.90P   12.18R    2.26  
Rotherham       15   14  -10      -0.62    47.03    -0.71    44.14     8.22   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   60.93R   25.31  
Reading         15   12   -6      -5.09    17.08    -0.18    47.57     8.38   -17.15     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P   42.45R   13.43  
Hull            15   12   -9      -6.84    10.25    -6.23    51.04     8.48   -14.73     0.01     0.05     0.85     0.19P   27.07R    6.44  
Ipswich         15    9  -14      -7.84     6.18    -8.47    43.40     8.22   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   63.40R   27.58  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           16   35  +13       9.69    95.51     8.04    80.53     8.49    19.39     9.38    25.10    80.74    37.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         16   33  +12       7.64    90.16     6.91    83.55     8.68    26.42    16.13    39.26    88.65    52.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   32  +17       3.46    72.52     4.74    90.66     8.83    41.83    50.77    72.80    97.34    81.38P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             15   28  +14       0.53    52.82     3.52    83.30     9.01    33.34    17.95    40.13    87.70    56.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                16   28   +8       4.16    75.29     5.29    74.81     8.96    16.42     3.28    10.52    58.57    21.99P    0.19R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   27   +2       6.49    86.45     4.05    64.87     8.65    -2.91     0.25     1.15    16.58     3.86P    2.96R    0.10  
Coventry             16   27   +2       6.68    87.56     4.13    64.39     8.51    -3.16     0.17     0.85    15.21     3.38P    2.93R    0.12  
Doncaster            16   25   +3       2.75    68.30     2.63    66.46     8.52     3.29     0.26     1.39    21.80     5.64P    1.75R    0.07  
Walsall              15   25   -1       5.42    83.48     0.46    63.62     8.59    -6.90     0.16     0.72    13.24     3.02P    3.76R    0.21  
Fleetwood_Town       16   23   +8      -0.41    47.35     5.95    68.18     8.54    13.90     0.47     2.32    29.73     8.89P    1.04R    0.02  
Southend             16   23   +0       0.96    56.89    -0.01    64.10     8.51    -0.30     0.16     0.83    14.91     3.86P    3.20R    0.19  
Blackpool            14   22   +5       1.45    60.68     2.97    66.43     8.91     5.98     0.41     1.81    23.03     6.63P    1.96R    0.10  
Charlton             15   22   +2       0.04    50.59     0.01    68.31     8.76     7.55     0.49     2.42    29.53     9.02P    1.21R    0.04  
Rochdale             16   19   -9      -0.25    49.39    -4.46    56.77     8.51   -14.70     0.01     0.10     3.12     0.63P   16.58R    1.93  
Wycombe              16   18   -2      -0.77    45.77     2.95    51.71     8.56   -14.27     0.00     0.03     1.06     0.21P   34.41R    5.93  
Burton_Albion        15   18   -2      -2.77    32.01    -2.26    58.84     8.88    -4.45     0.04     0.23     6.26     1.60P   11.05R    1.07  
Scunthorpe           16   17  -11      -4.79    20.72   -10.37    59.04     8.69   -10.19     0.04     0.19     5.55     1.38P   11.25R    1.15  
Gillingham           15   15   -5      -3.60    26.29    -1.57    53.69     8.76   -11.52     0.01     0.05     1.87     0.43P   26.54R    3.99  
Shrewsbury           16   15   -5      -6.15    13.72    -4.13    56.58     8.28    -4.01     0.01     0.07     2.75     0.70P   15.16R    1.63  
Bristol_Rovers       16   14   -3      -6.73    11.30    -1.32    51.20     8.31    -8.56     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.17P   34.83R    5.63  
Oxford_Utd           16   14   -7      -6.16    13.95    -4.12    52.46     8.53   -11.33     0.00     0.02     1.19     0.28P   30.57R    5.04  
Plymouth             16   13   -9      -6.12    14.10    -4.64    48.30     8.37   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P   50.02R   11.74  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   11  -14      -5.82    14.06    -6.78    42.69     7.86   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    76.58R   30.94  
Bradford             16   10  -18      -7.93     7.06   -11.97    43.25     8.23   -30.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   73.99R   30.07  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 October 2018, Crewe 0 3 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     16   33  +16       6.37    86.74     9.03    82.33     8.42    28.28    25.78    60.84    89.65    68.31P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          16   31  +10       3.74    73.99     2.24    84.02     8.48    27.26    32.68    67.60    92.55    75.18P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           16   29  +11       2.52    66.50     4.20    77.80     8.41    22.52    11.57    39.14    77.64    49.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   16   29   -3       8.23    92.73    -1.21    65.62     8.26    -9.75     0.59     4.20    22.37     7.01P    0.19R    0.01  
Colchester       16   28  +14       1.73    61.61     7.58    76.95     8.35    25.81    10.40    36.21    75.12    46.90P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     16   27  +10       5.37    82.56    10.51    66.30     8.38     7.31     0.81     5.46    26.95     9.23P    0.13R    0.00  
Tranmere         16   27   +7       4.89    80.21     6.56    68.13     8.65     7.22     1.44     8.24    34.19    13.53P    0.09R    0.01  
Stevenage        16   25   +4       1.27    58.92     1.34    65.31     8.27     3.22     0.57     4.11    22.49     7.93P    0.16R    0.01  
Mansfield        15   24  +11      -0.14    48.95     5.76    75.73     8.47    24.56     8.24    30.66    70.22    42.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury             16   23   +7      -2.75    32.02     1.25    72.38     8.68    19.36     4.29    19.06    55.31    29.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     16   23   -1       2.81    69.32     1.80    61.68     8.36    -4.89     0.17     1.59    11.83     3.37P    0.78R    0.06  
Yeovil           15   21   +6       1.56    61.85     7.61    64.21     8.64     7.18     0.52     3.75    20.34     7.10P    0.40R    0.03  
Swindon          16   21   -2      -1.80    38.34    -3.35    65.08     8.46     2.49     0.51     3.83    22.09     7.98P    0.27R    0.02  
Port_Vale        16   21   -4       1.35    60.38    -1.03    60.48     8.18    -6.07     0.08     1.00     8.94     2.53P    1.05R    0.10  
Oldham           15   20   +4      -4.58    20.78    -1.98    68.87     8.89    13.47     1.98    10.61    39.27    19.33P    0.09R    0.01  
Carlisle         16   20   -4      -2.28    34.78    -4.57    60.83     8.43    -4.08     0.14     1.31    10.50     3.31P    0.97R    0.08  
Crewe            16   19   -1      -1.82    38.14     0.59    57.50     8.34    -4.76     0.05     0.50     5.32     1.48P    2.19R    0.22  
Northampton      16   18   -3      -4.64    21.69    -4.11    61.13     8.77     0.06     0.17     1.77    12.34     4.41P    1.01R    0.09  
Grimsby          15   15  -10      -1.01    43.55    -3.80    48.34     8.00   -22.57     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.07P   18.15R    3.10  
Cambridge_Utd    16   15  -12      -4.37    22.07    -8.35    51.93     8.20   -17.96     0.00     0.05     1.13     0.25P    9.16R    1.46  
Morecambe        16   14  -13      -2.99    29.93    -5.90    45.62     7.89   -26.96     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   28.98R    5.74  
Notts_County     15   12  -16      -6.13    12.96   -11.93    51.11     8.55   -21.50     0.00     0.05     1.08     0.24P   12.23R    2.16  
Cheltenham       15   10  -13      -6.71     9.69    -7.23    45.03     8.28   -24.11     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03P   31.76R    7.12  
Macclesfield     16    7  -18      -6.54     9.49    -4.98    30.52     7.37   -46.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   92.37R   79.76  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 October 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       18   38  +20       8.98    92.06    13.42    82.52     8.55    29.41    18.12    72.64    30.93P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            18   38  +14       9.67    94.75     8.60    81.19     7.72    21.31    11.57    67.91    25.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      18   37  +23       4.74    77.86    11.75    85.71     7.90    38.48    29.82    85.80    47.21P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     18   36  +16       8.74    90.89    12.00    80.05     8.68    24.79    11.91    61.89    22.56P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          18   35  +22       2.96    68.35    10.89    83.69     7.92    37.27    21.02    79.62    39.03P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     18   35   +8      10.72    96.02     8.45    72.46     7.87     7.08     1.42    24.33     5.35P    0.05R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   32  +10       3.77    72.94     4.70    74.34     7.89    16.08     2.34    34.42     9.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Sutton_United      17   30   +4       5.54    82.22     2.28    73.53     8.31     9.88     2.25    30.42     8.13P    0.04R    0.00  
Hartlepool         18   28   +2       2.56    66.38     0.63    66.07     7.86     2.01     0.18     7.35     1.64P    0.61R    0.01  
Eastleigh          18   27   -4       4.64    78.13    -0.85    62.97     7.87    -7.26     0.06     3.33     0.57P    1.94R    0.07  
Boreham_Wood       18   26   +0      -0.01    50.38    -2.25    65.31     7.86     1.84     0.14     6.21     1.55P    0.72R    0.01  
Barnet             17   25   -2      -2.23    35.55    -7.99    71.00     8.36     7.20     1.13    21.00     6.66P    0.23R    0.00  
Halifax            18   22   -1       0.44    53.94     2.92    55.88     7.67    -6.66     0.00     0.43     0.08P   10.14R    0.54  
Barrow             18   21   -3      -2.10    36.92    -0.79    55.79     7.83    -7.98     0.01     0.41     0.08P   10.60R    0.59  
Aldershot          18   21   -9      -2.94    31.80    -8.22    58.87     7.92    -9.37     0.02     1.12     0.24P    5.88R    0.30  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   20   -3      -3.61    27.84    -1.73    59.04     7.93    -1.69     0.01     1.23     0.28P    5.18R    0.26  
Bromley            18   20   -6      -4.47    23.58    -5.61    56.43     8.05    -9.35     0.01     0.67     0.13P   10.22R    0.58  
Maidenhead         18   17  -19      -1.63    40.58    -9.19    46.07     7.69   -34.65     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.23R   10.27  
Chesterfield       18   16   -6     -10.38     4.49    -8.79    57.93     8.22    -0.57     0.00     1.06     0.29P    7.26R    0.41  
Dag_&_Red          18   15   -9      -9.47     5.78    -8.92    51.86     7.99   -11.15     0.00     0.14     0.03P   23.46R    2.42  
Maidstone_United   18   15  -12      -4.09    24.65    -4.05    45.15     7.48   -23.47     0.00     0.01     0.00P   56.90R   11.24  
Havant_&_Wville    18   14   -9      -4.49    23.51     1.33    44.13     8.20   -22.62     0.00     0.01     0.00P   60.94R   15.36  
Braintree_Town     18   13  -14      -3.89    25.91    -1.83    38.72     7.71   -33.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.11R   38.99  
Dover_Athletic     18    8  -22     -13.24     0.89   -16.73    42.89     7.86   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.46R   18.95