Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 1 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2018, Tottenham 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 10 26 +24 2.49 75.57 5.14 92.15 6.60 74.12 71.25 90.53 97.08 99.25 99.98 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 10 26 +16 5.99 94.47 5.46 84.26 7.43 49.16 17.36 55.27 78.46 91.14 99.61 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 10 24 +17 3.69 80.73 6.48 79.56 7.47 45.14 6.80 27.84 56.48 78.74 98.51 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 10 22 +11 3.01 75.60 2.09 73.77 7.80 33.19 1.67 9.59 24.81 48.35 93.07 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 10 21 +8 1.55 63.82 -1.43 76.27 7.59 34.32 2.62 14.62 35.62 61.72 96.16 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 10 20 +7 5.38 88.73 5.92 54.27 7.78 -1.95 0.00 0.03 0.21 0.92 11.54 0.18R 0.01 Watford 10 19 +4 6.10 92.19 5.63 51.00 7.66 -8.34 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.24 5.10 0.57R 0.02 Man_Utd 10 17 +0 -1.18 38.70 -6.60 67.87 7.71 19.31 0.30 2.08 7.18 18.82 78.73 0.00 0.00 Everton 10 15 +2 0.13 51.32 0.47 51.55 7.87 -2.56 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.37 6.40 0.55R 0.02 Wolverhampton 10 15 +0 3.36 78.83 3.26 47.23 7.83 -10.36 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 2.38 2.49R 0.16 Brighton 10 14 -2 3.37 80.72 3.11 46.28 7.59 -11.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.61 2.59R 0.16 Leicester 10 13 +0 -0.58 45.17 0.75 50.89 7.96 -2.84 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.26 5.69 0.89R 0.03 West_Ham 10 8 -6 -1.79 34.83 0.82 43.36 7.79 -12.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.71 6.89R 0.71 Crystal_Palace 10 8 -6 -4.29 15.81 -3.70 38.78 7.40 -19.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 16.08R 1.86 Burnley 10 8 -11 -3.51 19.98 -7.18 37.71 7.36 -24.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 20.24R 2.64 Southampton 10 7 -8 -4.34 14.66 -4.42 38.50 7.45 -19.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 17.37R 2.35 Cardiff 10 5 -14 -3.10 20.77 -3.01 30.73 7.45 -35.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 57.40R 15.48 Fulham 10 5 -17 -3.51 19.27 -5.58 28.77 7.39 -46.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.59R 25.50 Newcastle 10 3 -8 -7.41 2.25 -2.72 37.71 7.64 -13.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 19.99R 3.00 Huddersfield 10 3 -17 -3.62 13.92 -4.49 24.62 6.58 -44.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.18R 48.06Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, Birmingham 3 1 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 15 29 +9 6.28 87.10 5.76 76.14 8.75 15.90 13.57 26.39 65.25 34.85P 0.03R 0.00 Leeds_United 15 27 +14 3.67 74.67 9.78 74.81 8.65 21.89 11.19 22.72 61.02 31.77P 0.07R 0.01 Middlesbrough 15 27 +9 1.75 62.21 2.23 78.61 8.38 22.22 19.59 36.21 76.74 48.53P 0.02R 0.00 Norwich 15 27 +3 6.52 87.84 3.18 70.93 8.60 5.02 4.42 10.34 41.02 16.15P 0.22R 0.01 West_Brom 15 25 +10 -1.52 38.91 0.63 78.71 9.05 27.41 23.53 39.72 75.97 50.72P 0.02R 0.01 Derby 15 25 +6 0.49 53.28 0.15 74.56 8.50 16.66 9.60 20.42 59.14 31.03P 0.04R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 15 23 +6 2.98 71.20 6.81 64.67 8.61 4.58 1.07 2.96 18.32 6.06P 1.56R 0.16 Swansea 15 23 +6 -1.39 40.08 0.26 73.21 8.84 17.21 8.24 17.36 53.39 28.33P 0.13R 0.01 Birmingham 15 23 +5 4.90 82.60 8.46 59.13 8.24 -3.80 0.17 0.54 5.91 1.37P 5.25R 0.57 QPR 15 23 -4 4.68 80.60 -0.50 59.69 8.34 -12.95 0.20 0.69 6.28 1.58P 5.42R 0.67 Bristol_City 15 22 +3 0.72 55.52 1.99 66.12 8.57 5.40 1.45 3.94 22.69 7.98P 1.06R 0.11 Blackburn 15 22 -2 2.51 67.89 -0.34 64.16 8.79 -2.48 1.01 2.65 16.54 5.37P 1.89R 0.20 Stoke 15 20 -1 -2.43 33.57 -3.66 67.37 8.94 6.40 2.36 5.92 28.20 11.76P 0.95R 0.12 Wigan 15 20 -4 -0.41 47.59 -3.88 64.18 8.80 -1.38 1.02 2.72 16.60 6.02P 2.02R 0.23 Sheff_Wed 15 19 -5 -0.58 46.51 -3.44 61.14 8.57 -5.86 0.36 1.16 9.44 2.89P 3.97R 0.54 Brentford 15 18 +3 -4.48 20.98 0.15 64.05 8.70 8.26 1.04 2.86 17.56 6.49P 1.84R 0.18 Aston_Villa 15 18 -1 -5.14 17.90 -4.90 64.57 8.57 5.05 1.03 2.89 18.19 6.97P 1.51R 0.14 Millwall 15 16 -4 -3.25 28.36 -2.08 56.72 8.41 -6.59 0.07 0.24 3.39 0.92P 9.79R 1.53 Bolton 15 16 -9 1.07 59.50 -0.66 44.89 7.67 -28.99 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 58.16R 20.49 Preston 15 14 -5 -6.28 12.21 -4.35 55.73 8.62 -6.40 0.07 0.23 3.01 0.90P 12.18R 2.26 Rotherham 15 14 -10 -0.62 47.03 -0.71 44.14 8.22 -29.31 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 60.93R 25.31 Reading 15 12 -6 -5.09 17.08 -0.18 47.57 8.38 -17.15 0.00 0.01 0.27 0.05P 42.45R 13.43 Hull 15 12 -9 -6.84 10.25 -6.23 51.04 8.48 -14.73 0.01 0.05 0.85 0.19P 27.07R 6.44 Ipswich 15 9 -14 -7.84 6.18 -8.47 43.40 8.22 -26.36 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 63.40R 27.58League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 16 35 +13 9.69 95.51 8.04 80.53 8.49 19.39 9.38 25.10 80.74 37.99P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 16 33 +12 7.64 90.16 6.91 83.55 8.68 26.42 16.13 39.26 88.65 52.15P 0.00R 0.00 Sunderland 15 32 +17 3.46 72.52 4.74 90.66 8.83 41.83 50.77 72.80 97.34 81.38P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 15 28 +14 0.53 52.82 3.52 83.30 9.01 33.34 17.95 40.13 87.70 56.70P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 16 28 +8 4.16 75.29 5.29 74.81 8.96 16.42 3.28 10.52 58.57 21.99P 0.19R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 16 27 +2 6.49 86.45 4.05 64.87 8.65 -2.91 0.25 1.15 16.58 3.86P 2.96R 0.10 Coventry 16 27 +2 6.68 87.56 4.13 64.39 8.51 -3.16 0.17 0.85 15.21 3.38P 2.93R 0.12 Doncaster 16 25 +3 2.75 68.30 2.63 66.46 8.52 3.29 0.26 1.39 21.80 5.64P 1.75R 0.07 Walsall 15 25 -1 5.42 83.48 0.46 63.62 8.59 -6.90 0.16 0.72 13.24 3.02P 3.76R 0.21 Fleetwood_Town 16 23 +8 -0.41 47.35 5.95 68.18 8.54 13.90 0.47 2.32 29.73 8.89P 1.04R 0.02 Southend 16 23 +0 0.96 56.89 -0.01 64.10 8.51 -0.30 0.16 0.83 14.91 3.86P 3.20R 0.19 Blackpool 14 22 +5 1.45 60.68 2.97 66.43 8.91 5.98 0.41 1.81 23.03 6.63P 1.96R 0.10 Charlton 15 22 +2 0.04 50.59 0.01 68.31 8.76 7.55 0.49 2.42 29.53 9.02P 1.21R 0.04 Rochdale 16 19 -9 -0.25 49.39 -4.46 56.77 8.51 -14.70 0.01 0.10 3.12 0.63P 16.58R 1.93 Wycombe 16 18 -2 -0.77 45.77 2.95 51.71 8.56 -14.27 0.00 0.03 1.06 0.21P 34.41R 5.93 Burton_Albion 15 18 -2 -2.77 32.01 -2.26 58.84 8.88 -4.45 0.04 0.23 6.26 1.60P 11.05R 1.07 Scunthorpe 16 17 -11 -4.79 20.72 -10.37 59.04 8.69 -10.19 0.04 0.19 5.55 1.38P 11.25R 1.15 Gillingham 15 15 -5 -3.60 26.29 -1.57 53.69 8.76 -11.52 0.01 0.05 1.87 0.43P 26.54R 3.99 Shrewsbury 16 15 -5 -6.15 13.72 -4.13 56.58 8.28 -4.01 0.01 0.07 2.75 0.70P 15.16R 1.63 Bristol_Rovers 16 14 -3 -6.73 11.30 -1.32 51.20 8.31 -8.56 0.00 0.01 0.75 0.17P 34.83R 5.63 Oxford_Utd 16 14 -7 -6.16 13.95 -4.12 52.46 8.53 -11.33 0.00 0.02 1.19 0.28P 30.57R 5.04 Plymouth 16 13 -9 -6.12 14.10 -4.64 48.30 8.37 -18.20 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.07P 50.02R 11.74 AFC_Wimbledon 16 11 -14 -5.82 14.06 -6.78 42.69 7.86 -27.34 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 76.58R 30.94 Bradford 16 10 -18 -7.93 7.06 -11.97 43.25 8.23 -30.29 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 73.99R 30.07League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 October 2018, Crewe 0 3 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 16 33 +16 6.37 86.74 9.03 82.33 8.42 28.28 25.78 60.84 89.65 68.31P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 16 31 +10 3.74 73.99 2.24 84.02 8.48 27.26 32.68 67.60 92.55 75.18P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 16 29 +11 2.52 66.50 4.20 77.80 8.41 22.52 11.57 39.14 77.64 49.79P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 16 29 -3 8.23 92.73 -1.21 65.62 8.26 -9.75 0.59 4.20 22.37 7.01P 0.19R 0.01 Colchester 16 28 +14 1.73 61.61 7.58 76.95 8.35 25.81 10.40 36.21 75.12 46.90P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 16 27 +10 5.37 82.56 10.51 66.30 8.38 7.31 0.81 5.46 26.95 9.23P 0.13R 0.00 Tranmere 16 27 +7 4.89 80.21 6.56 68.13 8.65 7.22 1.44 8.24 34.19 13.53P 0.09R 0.01 Stevenage 16 25 +4 1.27 58.92 1.34 65.31 8.27 3.22 0.57 4.11 22.49 7.93P 0.16R 0.01 Mansfield 15 24 +11 -0.14 48.95 5.76 75.73 8.47 24.56 8.24 30.66 70.22 42.55P 0.00R 0.00 Bury 16 23 +7 -2.75 32.02 1.25 72.38 8.68 19.36 4.29 19.06 55.31 29.45P 0.02R 0.00 Crawley_Town 16 23 -1 2.81 69.32 1.80 61.68 8.36 -4.89 0.17 1.59 11.83 3.37P 0.78R 0.06 Yeovil 15 21 +6 1.56 61.85 7.61 64.21 8.64 7.18 0.52 3.75 20.34 7.10P 0.40R 0.03 Swindon 16 21 -2 -1.80 38.34 -3.35 65.08 8.46 2.49 0.51 3.83 22.09 7.98P 0.27R 0.02 Port_Vale 16 21 -4 1.35 60.38 -1.03 60.48 8.18 -6.07 0.08 1.00 8.94 2.53P 1.05R 0.10 Oldham 15 20 +4 -4.58 20.78 -1.98 68.87 8.89 13.47 1.98 10.61 39.27 19.33P 0.09R 0.01 Carlisle 16 20 -4 -2.28 34.78 -4.57 60.83 8.43 -4.08 0.14 1.31 10.50 3.31P 0.97R 0.08 Crewe 16 19 -1 -1.82 38.14 0.59 57.50 8.34 -4.76 0.05 0.50 5.32 1.48P 2.19R 0.22 Northampton 16 18 -3 -4.64 21.69 -4.11 61.13 8.77 0.06 0.17 1.77 12.34 4.41P 1.01R 0.09 Grimsby 15 15 -10 -1.01 43.55 -3.80 48.34 8.00 -22.57 0.00 0.01 0.39 0.07P 18.15R 3.10 Cambridge_Utd 16 15 -12 -4.37 22.07 -8.35 51.93 8.20 -17.96 0.00 0.05 1.13 0.25P 9.16R 1.46 Morecambe 16 14 -13 -2.99 29.93 -5.90 45.62 7.89 -26.96 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 28.98R 5.74 Notts_County 15 12 -16 -6.13 12.96 -11.93 51.11 8.55 -21.50 0.00 0.05 1.08 0.24P 12.23R 2.16 Cheltenham 15 10 -13 -6.71 9.69 -7.23 45.03 8.28 -24.11 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.03P 31.76R 7.12 Macclesfield 16 7 -18 -6.54 9.49 -4.98 30.52 7.37 -46.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 92.37R 79.76National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 October 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Salford_City 18 38 +20 8.98 92.06 13.42 82.52 8.55 29.41 18.12 72.64 30.93P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 18 38 +14 9.67 94.75 8.60 81.19 7.72 21.31 11.57 67.91 25.34P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 18 37 +23 4.74 77.86 11.75 85.71 7.90 38.48 29.82 85.80 47.21P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 18 36 +16 8.74 90.89 12.00 80.05 8.68 24.79 11.91 61.89 22.56P 0.01R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 18 35 +22 2.96 68.35 10.89 83.69 7.92 37.27 21.02 79.62 39.03P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 18 35 +8 10.72 96.02 8.45 72.46 7.87 7.08 1.42 24.33 5.35P 0.05R 0.00 Gateshead 18 32 +10 3.77 72.94 4.70 74.34 7.89 16.08 2.34 34.42 9.90P 0.02R 0.00 Sutton_United 17 30 +4 5.54 82.22 2.28 73.53 8.31 9.88 2.25 30.42 8.13P 0.04R 0.00 Hartlepool 18 28 +2 2.56 66.38 0.63 66.07 7.86 2.01 0.18 7.35 1.64P 0.61R 0.01 Eastleigh 18 27 -4 4.64 78.13 -0.85 62.97 7.87 -7.26 0.06 3.33 0.57P 1.94R 0.07 Boreham_Wood 18 26 +0 -0.01 50.38 -2.25 65.31 7.86 1.84 0.14 6.21 1.55P 0.72R 0.01 Barnet 17 25 -2 -2.23 35.55 -7.99 71.00 8.36 7.20 1.13 21.00 6.66P 0.23R 0.00 Halifax 18 22 -1 0.44 53.94 2.92 55.88 7.67 -6.66 0.00 0.43 0.08P 10.14R 0.54 Barrow 18 21 -3 -2.10 36.92 -0.79 55.79 7.83 -7.98 0.01 0.41 0.08P 10.60R 0.59 Aldershot 18 21 -9 -2.94 31.80 -8.22 58.87 7.92 -9.37 0.02 1.12 0.24P 5.88R 0.30 Ebbsfleet_United 18 20 -3 -3.61 27.84 -1.73 59.04 7.93 -1.69 0.01 1.23 0.28P 5.18R 0.26 Bromley 18 20 -6 -4.47 23.58 -5.61 56.43 8.05 -9.35 0.01 0.67 0.13P 10.22R 0.58 Maidenhead 18 17 -19 -1.63 40.58 -9.19 46.07 7.69 -34.65 0.00 0.01 0.00P 54.23R 10.27 Chesterfield 18 16 -6 -10.38 4.49 -8.79 57.93 8.22 -0.57 0.00 1.06 0.29P 7.26R 0.41 Dag_&_Red 18 15 -9 -9.47 5.78 -8.92 51.86 7.99 -11.15 0.00 0.14 0.03P 23.46R 2.42 Maidstone_United 18 15 -12 -4.09 24.65 -4.05 45.15 7.48 -23.47 0.00 0.01 0.00P 56.90R 11.24 Havant_&_Wville 18 14 -9 -4.49 23.51 1.33 44.13 8.20 -22.62 0.00 0.01 0.00P 60.94R 15.36 Braintree_Town 18 13 -14 -3.89 25.91 -1.83 38.72 7.71 -33.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.11R 38.99 Dover_Athletic 18 8 -22 -13.24 0.89 -16.73 42.89 7.86 -27.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.46R 18.95