Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 31 October 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2018, Tottenham 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   26  +24       2.45    75.27     5.04    92.16     6.58    74.19    71.10    90.59    97.12    99.21    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        10   26  +16       5.93    94.19     5.36    84.27     7.45    49.18    16.97    54.97    78.30    91.09    99.58     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          10   24  +17       3.65    80.54     6.40    79.70     7.50    45.45     7.21    28.21    56.49    78.94    98.59     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   22  +11       3.03    75.90     2.13    73.79     7.77    33.16     1.65     9.45    24.72    47.93    93.22     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        10   21   +8       1.56    64.23    -1.45    76.28     7.63    34.43     2.80    14.74    35.69    61.82    96.14     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      10   20   +7       5.35    88.74     5.92    54.19     7.79    -2.05     0.00     0.04     0.20     0.93    11.26     0.17R    0.01  
Watford          10   19   +4       6.08    92.18     5.60    51.04     7.64    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.25     5.14     0.58R    0.02  
Man_Utd          10   17   +0      -1.19    38.55    -6.61    67.92     7.65    19.30     0.27     1.98     7.27    18.96    78.88     0.00     0.00  
Everton          10   15   +2       0.10    51.37     0.45    51.45     7.92    -2.69     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.41     6.40     0.60R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    10   15   +0       3.36    78.78     3.28    47.22     7.79   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     2.23     2.40R    0.13  
Brighton         10   14   -2       3.41    80.79     3.15    46.28     7.56   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.60     2.54R    0.16  
Leicester        10   13   +0      -0.63    44.77     0.65    51.09     7.91    -2.53     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.30     5.73     0.79R    0.02  
West_Ham         10    8   -6      -1.79    34.70     0.88    43.36     7.81   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.73     6.83R    0.66  
Crystal_Palace   10    8   -6      -4.20    16.53    -3.55    38.55     7.43   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    17.05R    2.07  
Burnley          10    8  -11      -3.52    19.61    -7.21    37.76     7.41   -24.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    20.18R    2.49  
Southampton      10    7   -8      -4.36    14.33    -4.48    38.57     7.45   -19.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    17.01R    2.36  
Cardiff          10    5  -14      -3.09    20.96    -2.94    30.76     7.48   -35.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    57.35R   15.52  
Fulham           10    5  -17      -3.46    19.77    -5.52    28.67     7.38   -47.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    69.05R   25.80  
Newcastle        10    3   -8      -7.43     2.07    -2.75    37.66     7.59   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    19.61R    2.94  
Huddersfield     10    3  -17      -3.57    14.48    -4.36    24.65     6.58   -44.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.84R   47.80  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, Birmingham 3 1 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       15   29   +9       6.22    86.89     5.71    76.26     8.71    16.12    13.93    26.77    65.97    35.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   27  +14       3.73    75.06     9.87    74.73     8.63    21.77    10.99    22.26    60.77    31.36P    0.05R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   15   27   +9       1.67    62.04     2.13    78.75     8.31    22.33    20.05    36.80    77.18    49.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         15   27   +3       6.51    87.66     3.11    70.99     8.53     5.15     4.18    10.18    41.14    16.17P    0.22R    0.01  
West_Brom       15   25  +10      -1.63    37.96     0.46    78.84     9.02    27.66    23.88    39.95    76.18    51.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Derby           15   25   +6       0.56    53.91     0.29    74.34     8.54    16.34     9.22    19.80    58.11    30.06P    0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   23   +6       3.00    71.35     6.82    64.57     8.67     4.45     1.03     2.78    18.14     5.70P    1.57R    0.12  
Swansea         15   23   +6      -1.38    40.34     0.31    73.23     8.85    17.27     8.35    17.67    53.44    28.53P    0.13R    0.00  
Birmingham      15   23   +5       4.87    82.26     8.43    59.20     8.20    -3.67     0.16     0.56     5.76     1.39P    4.92R    0.57  
QPR             15   23   -4       4.75    80.99    -0.48    59.70     8.29   -12.98     0.21     0.64     6.08     1.52P    5.28R    0.68  
Bristol_City    15   22   +3       0.77    56.02     2.05    66.06     8.59     5.34     1.45     3.98    22.36     7.96P    1.08R    0.10  
Blackburn       15   22   -2       2.41    67.14    -0.48    64.25     8.82    -2.31     0.93     2.54    16.82     5.40P    2.05R    0.20  
Stoke           15   20   -1      -2.57    32.71    -3.92    67.70     8.84     6.93     2.21     6.07    29.14    12.12P    0.74R    0.07  
Wigan           15   20   -4      -0.51    46.94    -3.99    64.28     8.81    -1.15     1.00     2.80    16.76     6.10P    2.03R    0.20  
Sheff_Wed       15   19   -5      -0.59    46.51    -3.45    61.10     8.61    -5.97     0.33     1.06     9.29     2.70P    4.07R    0.47  
Brentford       15   18   +3      -4.37    21.80     0.32    63.90     8.75     8.04     0.97     2.79    17.02     6.30P    1.97R    0.22  
Aston_Villa     15   18   -1      -5.18    17.57    -4.94    64.57     8.50     5.09     0.98     2.80    17.99     6.79P    1.33R    0.13  
Millwall        15   16   -4      -3.11    28.83    -1.88    56.51     8.43    -6.95     0.06     0.23     3.28     0.87P   10.30R    1.56  
Bolton          15   16   -9       1.15    60.44    -0.55    44.72     7.68   -29.29     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   58.94R   21.00  
Preston         15   14   -5      -6.22    12.43    -4.26    55.73     8.70    -6.45     0.06     0.27     3.23     0.94P   12.41R    2.25  
Rotherham       15   14  -10      -0.66    46.60    -0.74    44.16     8.21   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   60.57R   24.82  
Reading         15   12   -6      -5.13    16.82    -0.23    47.69     8.42   -16.95     0.00     0.02     0.33     0.06P   41.37R   12.88  
Hull            15   12   -9      -6.79    10.69    -6.19    51.03     8.53   -14.78     0.00     0.05     0.80     0.20P   26.75R    6.47  
Ipswich         15    9  -14      -7.76     6.32    -8.38    43.19     8.18   -26.70     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   64.11R   28.24  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           16   35  +13       9.75    95.58     8.14    80.45     8.55    19.25     9.33    25.22    80.41    38.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         16   33  +12       7.68    90.10     6.98    83.38     8.78    26.21    16.01    38.56    88.07    51.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   32  +17       3.45    72.45     4.70    90.67     8.80    41.84    50.74    73.13    97.28    81.68P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             15   28  +14       0.56    52.92     3.61    83.24     9.03    33.16    18.11    40.23    87.34    56.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                16   28   +8       4.20    75.89     5.36    74.65     8.97    16.12     3.08    10.16    57.75    21.92P    0.20R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   16   27   +2       6.44    86.25     3.96    64.92     8.68    -2.81     0.26     1.13    16.97     3.95P    2.83R    0.13  
Coventry             16   27   +2       6.74    87.77     4.22    64.22     8.51    -3.30     0.17     0.87    14.79     3.45P    3.05R    0.15  
Doncaster            16   25   +3       2.62    67.49     2.43    66.76     8.51     3.70     0.31     1.56    23.03     5.94P    1.61R    0.08  
Walsall              15   25   -1       5.32    83.06     0.32    63.85     8.59    -6.52     0.20     0.85    13.82     3.04P    3.70R    0.16  
Fleetwood_Town       16   23   +8      -0.37    47.74     5.97    68.15     8.63    13.90     0.56     2.52    29.73     9.23P    1.09R    0.03  
Southend             16   23   +0       0.94    57.07    -0.05    64.15     8.53    -0.18     0.17     0.78    15.12     3.77P    3.09R    0.18  
Blackpool            14   22   +5       1.37    60.11     2.88    66.57     8.85     6.16     0.46     1.80    23.53     6.84P    1.82R    0.05  
Charlton             15   22   +2       0.12    51.16     0.15    68.05     8.78     7.23     0.53     2.51    28.78     8.74P    1.27R    0.03  
Rochdale             16   19   -9      -0.27    49.00    -4.52    56.80     8.47   -14.68     0.01     0.09     3.22     0.62P   16.19R    1.71  
Wycombe              16   18   -2      -0.73    46.13     3.04    51.61     8.58   -14.46     0.00     0.02     0.97     0.20P   34.89R    6.24  
Burton_Albion        15   18   -2      -2.88    31.37    -2.40    59.03     8.97    -4.18     0.05     0.30     6.65     1.78P   11.26R    1.04  
Scunthorpe           16   17  -11      -4.68    21.45   -10.21    58.84     8.75   -10.52     0.01     0.15     5.49     1.31P   12.09R    1.23  
Gillingham           15   15   -5      -3.63    26.37    -1.65    53.91     8.81   -11.15     0.00     0.04     1.94     0.41P   25.93R    4.01  
Shrewsbury           16   15   -5      -6.10    13.97    -4.07    56.70     8.34    -3.86     0.00     0.04     2.97     0.74P   14.92R    1.54  
Bristol_Rovers       16   14   -3      -6.70    11.80    -1.24    51.16     8.29    -8.66     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.16P   34.99R    5.68  
Oxford_Utd           16   14   -7      -6.13    14.20    -4.06    52.30     8.59   -11.58     0.01     0.03     1.06     0.23P   31.42R    5.28  
Plymouth             16   13   -9      -6.26    13.38    -4.87    48.47     8.28   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P   48.97R   11.16  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   11  -14      -5.76    14.05    -6.70    42.54     7.92   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    76.93R   31.82  
Bradford             16   10  -18      -7.94     6.97   -11.99    43.28     8.21   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   73.72R   29.46  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, Cambridge_Utd 1 0 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     16   33  +16       6.49    87.28     9.16    82.32     8.45    28.32    26.54    61.84    90.05    69.20P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          16   31  +10       3.67    73.53     2.13    84.06     8.47    27.27    33.85    69.06    92.86    76.41P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           16   29  +11       2.38    65.79     4.01    77.91     8.33    22.69    12.04    40.78    78.66    51.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   16   29   -3       8.25    92.77    -1.11    65.49     8.26    -9.95     0.56     4.31    22.35     7.06P    0.20R    0.02  
Colchester       16   28  +14       1.73    61.51     7.61    76.96     8.39    25.78    10.90    37.60    75.70    48.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green     16   27  +10       5.30    82.17    10.43    66.38     8.36     7.45     0.85     5.79    27.88     9.67P    0.14R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   27   +7       4.82    79.85     6.44    68.12     8.60     7.19     1.46     8.76    34.99    14.02P    0.09R    0.01  
Stevenage        16   25   +4       1.41    59.93     1.54    65.11     8.25     2.95     0.58     4.10    22.40     8.00P    0.13R    0.01  
Bury             16   23   +7      -2.69    32.26     1.38    72.14     8.72    19.07     4.13    19.50    55.25    30.15P    0.04R    0.01  
Crawley_Town     16   23   -1       2.77    69.12     1.71    61.66     8.42    -4.83     0.23     1.86    12.52     3.83P    0.77R    0.07  
Mansfield        14   21   +8      -1.02    42.41     3.82    72.89     8.73    19.80     4.97    21.48    58.37    32.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil           15   21   +6       1.55    61.57     7.56    64.25     8.63     7.21     0.58     3.81    21.15     7.35P    0.41R    0.03  
Swindon          16   21   -2      -1.80    37.94    -3.35    65.13     8.46     2.50     0.60     4.31    22.89     8.74P    0.26R    0.01  
Port_Vale        16   21   -4       1.43    61.13    -0.92    60.34     8.20    -6.17     0.11     1.04     8.98     2.53P    1.08R    0.09  
Oldham           15   20   +4      -4.59    20.68    -2.05    68.75     8.86    13.28     2.10    10.91    39.39    19.49P    0.10R    0.00  
Carlisle         16   20   -4      -2.32    34.27    -4.61    60.96     8.34    -3.90     0.15     1.45    10.83     3.53P    0.94R    0.08  
Crewe            15   19   +2      -1.28    41.51     2.35    60.03     8.53     0.03     0.12     1.33    10.05     3.24P    1.16R    0.11  
Northampton      16   18   -3      -4.68    21.27    -4.22    61.09     8.74     0.04     0.23     1.83    12.64     4.59P    1.05R    0.10  
Grimsby          15   15  -10      -0.91    44.45    -3.65    48.32     7.96   -22.60     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.06P   18.59R    3.29  
Cambridge_Utd    16   15  -12      -4.30    22.32    -8.26    51.79     8.18   -18.12     0.00     0.10     1.10     0.28P    9.55R    1.41  
Morecambe        16   14  -13      -2.95    30.38    -5.82    45.59     7.86   -27.06     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   29.69R    6.07  
Notts_County     15   12  -16      -6.22    12.68   -12.07    51.45     8.64   -21.01     0.01     0.11     1.28     0.32P   12.04R    2.01  
Cheltenham       15   10  -13      -6.74     9.56    -7.23    45.30     8.28   -23.77     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.03P   31.15R    6.71  
Macclesfield     16    7  -18      -6.47     9.66    -4.86    30.48     7.36   -46.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.61R   79.99  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, Barrow 0 2 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      17   36  +23       5.43    82.25    12.17    86.50     8.07    39.01    37.45    87.31    52.87P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       17   35  +18       7.97    90.08    12.41    79.35     8.79    25.15    11.85    59.21    22.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   35  +13       8.33    92.36     8.01    79.79     7.88    20.65    10.19    61.47    22.81P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     17   34   +8      11.23    97.10     8.68    73.41     8.11     7.87     2.52    29.36     6.90P    0.05R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     17   33  +14       8.12    90.18    11.55    77.74     8.84    21.58     8.52    51.97    17.64P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          17   32  +21       1.79    61.75    10.51    82.08     8.08    36.40    17.97    73.61    35.70P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          17   32  +11       4.65    78.49     5.01    75.56     8.07    16.88     4.08    40.82    12.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Sutton_United      16   29   +4       5.82    84.50     2.14    73.89     8.40     9.80     3.15    32.77     9.57P    0.07R    0.00  
Hartlepool         17   28   +3       3.35    71.64     0.90    67.25     8.00     2.83     0.45    10.42     2.39P    0.43R    0.00  
Eastleigh          17   26   -4       4.80    79.39    -1.10    63.03     8.08    -7.72     0.13     4.04     0.78P    2.24R    0.03  
Boreham_Wood       17   25   +0       0.20    51.55    -2.42    65.51     8.07     1.67     0.25     7.17     1.77P    0.96R    0.00  
Barnet             16   25   +0      -1.37    40.39    -6.69    73.87     8.57    11.26     3.28    33.20    12.21P    0.10R    0.00  
Barrow             17   21   -1      -1.59    39.81    -0.14    57.64     7.96    -5.24     0.01     0.91     0.16P    7.26R    0.18  
Halifax            17   21   -1       0.69    55.85     2.84    55.98     7.85    -7.17     0.01     0.57     0.10P   10.51R    0.27  
Bromley            17   20   -4      -3.32    29.36    -4.00    59.80     8.31    -4.13     0.04     2.03     0.42P    5.39R    0.16  
Aldershot          17   20   -9      -2.68    32.93    -8.41    59.47     8.10    -9.03     0.03     1.51     0.37P    5.55R    0.14  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   19   -3      -3.03    30.70    -1.46    60.07     8.07    -0.82     0.03     1.85     0.41P    4.51R    0.11  
Maidenhead         17   17  -12      -2.01    37.48    -5.23    50.17     8.00   -22.76     0.00     0.09     0.02P   33.08R    2.53  
Chesterfield       17   15   -6     -10.24     4.17    -9.08    58.75     8.45     0.09     0.03     1.63     0.49P    6.47R    0.19  
Maidstone_United   17   14  -12      -3.96    24.49    -4.35    45.04     7.68   -24.22     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.79R    7.40  
Dag_&_Red          17   12  -11     -10.69     3.02   -10.28    49.65     8.10   -14.05     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.30R    2.65  
Havant_&_Wville    17   11  -16      -3.65    26.76    -1.81    38.44     8.03   -35.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.90R   29.43  
Braintree_Town     17   10  -16      -5.16    17.41    -3.49    34.93     7.70   -38.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.57R   49.32  
Dover_Athletic     17    8  -20     -12.53     1.04   -15.77    45.32     8.16   -23.53     0.00     0.01     0.00P   55.81R    7.60