Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 30 October 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2018, Tottenham 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   26  +24       2.52    76.02     5.16    92.12     6.60    74.04    71.13    90.62    97.08    99.25    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        10   26  +16       5.98    94.34     5.45    84.19     7.44    49.02    17.06    55.53    78.27    90.87    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          10   24  +17       3.68    81.06     6.48    79.56     7.48    45.17     7.21    27.76    56.19    78.62    98.65     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   22  +11       3.02    75.88     2.15    73.80     7.75    33.16     1.61     9.36    25.04    48.52    93.33     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        10   21   +8       1.51    63.65    -1.48    76.25     7.59    34.37     2.75    14.62    35.72    61.96    96.30     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      10   20   +7       5.37    88.58     5.92    54.25     7.75    -1.87     0.00     0.03     0.20     0.87    11.17     0.19R    0.01  
Watford          10   19   +4       6.09    92.04     5.63    50.86     7.61    -8.53     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.25     4.86     0.62R    0.01  
Man_Utd          10   17   +0      -1.19    38.49    -6.64    67.85     7.71    19.30     0.25     2.05     7.33    18.91    78.74     0.00     0.00  
Everton          10   15   +2       0.13    51.36     0.50    51.50     7.87    -2.56     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.33     6.33     0.64R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    10   15   +0       3.39    79.28     3.29    47.19     7.83   -10.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     2.27     2.41R    0.15  
Brighton         10   14   -2       3.38    80.41     3.11    46.42     7.60   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.72     2.57R    0.15  
Leicester        10   13   +0      -0.56    45.65     0.76    50.94     7.93    -2.75     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.25     5.77     0.87R    0.04  
West_Ham         10    8   -6      -1.80    34.64     0.83    43.36     7.74   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.70     6.75R    0.64  
Crystal_Palace   10    8   -6      -4.25    15.91    -3.65    38.67     7.38   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    16.55R    1.95  
Burnley          10    8  -11      -3.51    19.68    -7.16    37.71     7.41   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    20.53R    2.46  
Southampton      10    7   -8      -4.37    14.41    -4.49    38.65     7.38   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    16.78R    2.18  
Cardiff          10    5  -14      -3.15    20.46    -3.09    30.86     7.51   -35.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    57.03R   15.32  
Fulham           10    5  -17      -3.50    19.53    -5.59    28.67     7.44   -46.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    69.26R   26.21  
Newcastle        10    3   -8      -7.43     2.17    -2.77    37.82     7.64   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    19.57R    2.84  
Huddersfield     10    3  -17      -3.60    14.14    -4.42    24.59     6.63   -44.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.23R   48.02  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, Birmingham 3 1 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       15   29   +9       6.26    86.90     5.73    76.13     8.72    15.89    13.54    26.16    65.25    34.47P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   27  +14       3.63    74.76     9.75    74.86     8.59    21.96    11.19    22.54    61.35    31.66P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   15   27   +9       1.74    62.37     2.24    78.62     8.30    22.21    19.34    35.89    76.72    48.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         15   27   +3       6.40    87.42     2.94    71.25     8.55     5.53     4.53    10.79    42.06    16.88P    0.18R    0.01  
West_Brom       15   25  +10      -1.58    38.26     0.53    78.95     8.99    27.76    24.20    40.54    76.82    51.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Derby           15   25   +6       0.54    53.79     0.24    74.47     8.63    16.52     9.44    20.18    58.57    30.65P    0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   23   +6       2.96    70.86     6.78    64.60     8.68     4.51     1.02     2.94    18.30     5.89P    1.61R    0.16  
Swansea         15   23   +6      -1.39    40.20     0.32    73.19     8.89    17.20     8.29    17.52    53.43    28.39P    0.12R    0.01  
Birmingham      15   23   +5       4.91    82.62     8.47    59.16     8.24    -3.79     0.14     0.51     5.66     1.24P    5.12R    0.55  
QPR             15   23   -4       4.78    81.24    -0.43    59.66     8.32   -13.03     0.20     0.65     6.17     1.54P    5.38R    0.62  
Bristol_City    15   22   +3       0.79    56.23     2.09    65.95     8.54     5.13     1.40     3.75    21.79     7.50P    1.05R    0.10  
Blackburn       15   22   -2       2.46    67.42    -0.44    64.16     8.77    -2.47     0.90     2.54    16.41     5.31P    2.09R    0.22  
Stoke           15   20   -1      -2.52    33.11    -3.80    67.49     8.95     6.64     2.44     6.10    28.37    11.90P    0.91R    0.08  
Wigan           15   20   -4      -0.49    47.30    -3.96    64.25     8.88    -1.28     1.03     2.87    17.13     6.20P    2.17R    0.24  
Sheff_Wed       15   19   -5      -0.59    46.52    -3.46    61.18     8.51    -5.82     0.33     1.04     9.15     2.78P    3.88R    0.45  
Brentford       15   18   +3      -4.38    21.48     0.32    63.91     8.73     8.02     0.89     2.65    17.13     6.25P    1.91R    0.20  
Aston_Villa     15   18   -1      -5.11    17.83    -4.82    64.45     8.55     4.89     0.96     2.70    17.52     6.68P    1.50R    0.12  
Millwall        15   16   -4      -3.23    28.44    -2.02    56.71     8.44    -6.69     0.08     0.30     3.57     1.01P    9.81R    1.51  
Bolton          15   16   -9       1.06    59.75    -0.67    44.79     7.72   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   58.63R   20.62  
Preston         15   14   -5      -6.32    12.30    -4.43    55.98     8.65    -6.07     0.07     0.25     3.28     0.94P   11.56R    2.03  
Rotherham       15   14  -10      -0.59    46.99    -0.65    44.04     8.24   -29.53     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   61.36R   25.47  
Reading         15   12   -6      -5.11    16.96    -0.17    47.69     8.39   -16.97     0.01     0.02     0.29     0.06P   41.21R   12.78  
Hull            15   12   -9      -6.85    10.22    -6.28    51.06     8.50   -14.62     0.01     0.05     0.79     0.21P   26.66R    6.31  
Ipswich         15    9  -14      -7.67     6.62    -8.25    43.10     8.15   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   64.71R   28.52  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           16   35  +13       9.80    95.66     8.21    80.43     8.55    19.22     9.14    24.86    80.31    37.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         16   33  +12       7.62    90.05     6.87    83.60     8.70    26.44    16.45    39.17    88.61    52.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   32  +17       3.51    72.53     4.83    90.60     8.84    41.75    50.04    72.62    97.36    81.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnsley             15   28  +14       0.53    52.93     3.56    83.46     8.97    33.50    18.64    40.86    88.09    57.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                16   28   +8       4.15    75.41     5.30    74.72     8.98    16.25     3.12    10.25    58.26    21.83P    0.22R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   27   +2       6.48    86.48     4.04    64.82     8.64    -2.98     0.22     1.07    16.44     3.84P    2.85R    0.10  
Coventry             16   27   +2       6.62    87.35     4.04    64.43     8.49    -2.99     0.18     0.89    15.12     3.41P    2.74R    0.13  
Doncaster            16   25   +3       2.77    68.59     2.63    66.53     8.44     3.40     0.30     1.42    21.88     5.77P    1.65R    0.06  
Walsall              15   25   -1       5.41    83.69     0.44    63.62     8.56    -6.87     0.16     0.78    13.30     2.98P    3.58R    0.21  
Fleetwood_Town       16   23   +8      -0.49    46.82     5.76    68.43     8.59    14.30     0.51     2.50    30.92     9.47P    0.94R    0.03  
Southend             16   23   +0       0.95    56.93    -0.00    64.09     8.56    -0.28     0.19     0.87    14.89     3.80P    3.19R    0.14  
Blackpool            14   22   +5       1.39    60.51     2.90    66.51     8.84     6.07     0.38     1.75    23.18     6.44P    1.91R    0.08  
Charlton             15   22   +2       0.14    51.07     0.16    68.11     8.75     7.29     0.55     2.31    28.61     8.80P    1.14R    0.04  
Rochdale             16   19   -9      -0.26    49.20    -4.51    56.71     8.52   -14.82     0.01     0.09     3.08     0.61P   17.11R    1.89  
Wycombe              16   18   -2      -0.68    46.51     3.09    51.56     8.48   -14.50     0.00     0.02     0.87     0.19P   34.99R    6.07  
Burton_Albion        15   18   -2      -2.81    31.64    -2.32    58.85     8.93    -4.44     0.03     0.22     6.36     1.67P   11.28R    1.10  
Scunthorpe           16   17  -11      -4.74    21.23   -10.29    58.98     8.69   -10.31     0.03     0.16     5.70     1.40P   11.38R    1.13  
Gillingham           15   15   -5      -3.56    26.81    -1.56    53.76     8.79   -11.44     0.01     0.04     1.96     0.45P   26.40R    3.99  
Shrewsbury           16   15   -5      -6.23    13.56    -4.22    56.72     8.30    -3.80     0.02     0.07     2.85     0.76P   14.73R    1.46  
Bristol_Rovers       16   14   -3      -6.72    11.58    -1.28    51.14     8.31    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.18P   35.22R    5.75  
Oxford_Utd           16   14   -7      -6.14    14.06    -4.07    52.35     8.48   -11.56     0.00     0.02     1.10     0.26P   30.88R    4.97  
Plymouth             16   13   -9      -6.29    13.53    -4.88    48.52     8.35   -17.86     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   48.84R   11.13  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   11  -14      -5.79    13.97    -6.76    42.59     7.88   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   76.72R   31.63  
Bradford             16   10  -18      -7.92     7.21   -11.94    43.21     8.18   -30.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   74.20R   30.09  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, Cambridge_Utd 1 0 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     16   33  +16       6.38    86.81     9.04    82.46     8.35    28.46    26.54    62.79    90.60    70.10P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          16   31  +10       3.67    73.50     2.14    84.18     8.41    27.44    34.46    69.85    93.04    77.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           16   29  +11       2.45    66.44     4.10    77.82     8.43    22.53    12.02    40.38    78.08    50.64P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   16   29   -3       8.19    92.46    -1.23    65.66     8.35    -9.69     0.66     4.73    23.30     7.53P    0.17R    0.01  
Colchester       16   28  +14       1.67    61.24     7.52    76.97     8.39    25.82    10.82    37.40    75.83    47.96P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     16   27  +10       5.32    82.44    10.46    66.35     8.37     7.43     0.91     5.82    27.76     9.79P    0.11R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   27   +7       4.97    80.46     6.67    67.87     8.61     6.89     1.42     8.24    33.81    13.45P    0.13R    0.00  
Stevenage        16   25   +4       1.31    59.23     1.38    65.33     8.22     3.26     0.57     4.23    23.15     8.36P    0.15R    0.01  
Bury             16   23   +7      -2.59    32.87     1.50    71.98     8.66    18.76     3.82    18.54    54.27    29.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     16   23   -1       2.72    68.68     1.64    61.71     8.39    -4.78     0.20     1.78    12.65     3.77P    0.82R    0.08  
Mansfield        14   21   +8      -1.01    42.36     3.85    72.94     8.67    19.88     4.77    21.37    58.73    31.90P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil           15   21   +6       1.57    61.88     7.63    64.13     8.64     6.99     0.53     3.87    20.66     7.32P    0.40R    0.04  
Swindon          16   21   -2      -1.83    37.73    -3.43    65.09     8.42     2.49     0.51     4.13    22.71     8.70P    0.30R    0.02  
Port_Vale        16   21   -4       1.28    59.86    -1.14    60.59     8.17    -5.83     0.09     1.21     9.50     2.88P    1.02R    0.09  
Oldham           15   20   +4      -4.55    20.75    -1.95    68.75     8.93    13.26     2.21    11.05    39.45    19.52P    0.10R    0.01  
Carlisle         16   20   -4      -2.31    34.59    -4.58    60.84     8.38    -4.08     0.15     1.40    10.91     3.42P    0.89R    0.07  
Crewe            15   19   +2      -1.23    41.93     2.46    59.90     8.61    -0.15     0.15     1.31     9.95     3.09P    1.44R    0.14  
Northampton      16   18   -3      -4.72    20.94    -4.25    61.13     8.74     0.06     0.17     1.77    12.66     4.52P    1.08R    0.10  
Grimsby          15   15  -10      -0.97    44.10    -3.75    48.45     8.04   -22.40     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.09P   18.34R    3.16  
Cambridge_Utd    16   15  -12      -4.21    22.90    -8.16    51.77     8.20   -18.21     0.00     0.05     1.12     0.27P    9.66R    1.60  
Morecambe        16   14  -13      -2.99    30.13    -5.89    45.57     7.88   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   29.61R    6.02  
Notts_County     15   12  -16      -6.07    13.27   -11.81    51.16     8.56   -21.41     0.00     0.06     1.12     0.28P   12.43R    2.16  
Cheltenham       15   10  -13      -6.71     9.77    -7.22    45.28     8.39   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   31.04R    6.97  
Macclesfield     16    7  -18      -6.55     9.44    -4.99    30.57     7.40   -45.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.26R   79.51  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, Barrow 0 2 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      17   36  +23       5.45    82.45    12.17    86.46     8.11    39.00    36.95    87.31    52.16P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       17   35  +18       8.01    90.36    12.52    79.35     8.79    25.08    11.73    59.40    22.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   35  +13       8.37    92.69     8.09    79.73     7.89    20.56    10.06    61.12    22.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     17   34   +8      11.18    96.99     8.61    73.43     8.17     7.93     2.40    29.94     6.89P    0.03R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     17   33  +14       8.11    90.14    11.54    77.73     8.94    21.55     8.80    51.77    17.84P    0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          17   32  +21       1.69    60.67    10.40    82.16     8.08    36.49    18.70    74.03    36.40P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          17   32  +11       4.65    78.41     4.99    75.52     8.08    16.87     4.32    40.74    12.91P    0.02R    0.00  
Sutton_United      16   29   +4       5.79    84.36     2.07    73.99     8.42     9.95     3.05    32.87     9.38P    0.07R    0.00  
Hartlepool         17   28   +3       3.49    72.30     1.09    67.16     7.99     2.69     0.40     9.99     2.41P    0.49R    0.01  
Eastleigh          17   26   -4       4.86    79.85    -1.04    63.07     8.04    -7.67     0.12     3.77     0.72P    2.21R    0.03  
Boreham_Wood       17   25   +0       0.13    51.07    -2.53    65.59     8.05     1.76     0.24     7.47     1.95P    0.86R    0.01  
Barnet             16   25   +0      -1.26    41.26    -6.53    73.72     8.59    11.10     3.05    32.66    11.95P    0.10R    0.00  
Barrow             17   21   -1      -1.53    40.21    -0.08    57.55     8.01    -5.35     0.02     1.03     0.23P    7.51R    0.20  
Halifax            17   21   -1       0.64    55.37     2.79    55.97     7.84    -7.18     0.01     0.51     0.10P   10.52R    0.31  
Bromley            17   20   -4      -3.29    29.31    -4.00    59.81     8.25    -4.10     0.04     1.93     0.41P    5.15R    0.17  
Aldershot          17   20   -9      -2.65    33.15    -8.34    59.51     8.13    -9.02     0.03     1.64     0.37P    5.59R    0.11  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   19   -3      -3.14    29.90    -1.63    60.19     8.14    -0.59     0.03     1.98     0.40P    4.36R    0.11  
Maidenhead         17   17  -12      -2.02    37.45    -5.22    50.18     8.04   -22.79     0.00     0.07     0.01P   32.99R    2.55  
Chesterfield       17   15   -6     -10.18     4.18    -9.00    58.62     8.47    -0.10     0.04     1.68     0.51P    6.81R    0.26  
Maidstone_United   17   14  -12      -3.98    24.65    -4.41    45.15     7.64   -24.11     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.84R    6.97  
Dag_&_Red          17   12  -11     -10.71     2.81   -10.34    49.69     8.17   -14.02     0.00     0.07     0.02P   33.29R    2.81  
Havant_&_Wville    17   11  -16      -3.76    26.05    -1.96    38.68     8.09   -35.64     0.00     0.00     0.00P   83.04R   28.51  
Braintree_Town     17   10  -16      -5.10    17.43    -3.43    34.84     7.65   -38.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.77R   49.92  
Dover_Athletic     17    8  -20     -12.55     0.97   -15.75    45.23     8.22   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00P   56.33R    8.05