Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 29 October 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 October 2018, Burnley 0 4 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        10   26  +16       5.93    94.13     5.35    84.35     7.45    49.35    20.92    55.26    77.58    90.66    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          10   24  +17       3.70    81.21     6.55    79.59     7.46    45.18     8.01    27.84    54.53    77.62    98.60     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          9   23  +23       1.22    62.89     4.61    90.53     6.89    73.35    63.23    85.35    94.56    98.25    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   22  +11       2.99    75.72     2.07    73.78     7.75    33.16     1.95     9.49    23.91    46.49    93.23     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         9   21   +9       2.55    73.87    -1.11    77.71     7.83    35.73     5.57    20.04    42.34    67.21    96.97     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      10   20   +7       5.37    88.75     5.89    54.10     7.74    -2.21     0.00     0.03     0.19     0.77    10.93     0.19R    0.01  
Watford          10   19   +4       6.10    92.10     5.66    50.94     7.71    -8.49     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.24     5.12     0.66R    0.02  
Man_Utd          10   17   +0      -1.16    38.53    -6.58    67.90     7.68    19.34     0.33     1.97     6.73    17.95    78.76     0.00     0.00  
Everton          10   15   +2       0.16    51.72     0.54    51.48     7.80    -2.69     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.34     6.01     0.65R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    10   15   +0       3.30    78.27     3.18    47.30     7.78   -10.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     2.31     2.24R    0.16  
Brighton         10   14   -2       3.45    80.96     3.25    46.22     7.55   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.58     2.85R    0.15  
Leicester        10   13   +0      -0.56    45.42     0.76    50.91     7.99    -2.87     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.30     5.73     0.90R    0.04  
West_Ham         10    8   -6      -1.73    34.98     0.96    43.29     7.85   -12.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.70     7.27R    0.80  
Crystal_Palace   10    8   -6      -4.27    16.12    -3.68    38.75     7.44   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    16.48R    1.94  
Burnley          10    8  -11      -3.53    19.71    -7.20    37.77     7.36   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    20.15R    2.45  
Southampton      10    7   -8      -4.39    14.33    -4.50    38.66     7.47   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19    16.94R    2.31  
Cardiff          10    5  -14      -3.16    20.30    -3.08    30.95     7.56   -35.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    56.52R   15.33  
Fulham           10    5  -17      -3.46    19.60    -5.47    28.65     7.34   -47.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    69.40R   26.23  
Newcastle        10    3   -8      -7.39     2.12    -2.70    37.61     7.64   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    20.16R    3.19  
Huddersfield     10    3  -17      -3.65    14.13    -4.48    24.76     6.63   -44.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.59R   47.35  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, Birmingham 3 1 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       15   29   +9       6.27    86.79     5.76    76.20     8.81    15.93    13.97    26.99    65.28    35.38P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   27  +14       3.68    74.60     9.77    74.84     8.68    21.95    11.34    22.63    61.66    31.92P    0.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   15   27   +9       1.80    62.97     2.31    78.46     8.33    21.96    18.98    35.64    76.06    48.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich         15   27   +3       6.52    87.72     3.16    71.02     8.57     5.18     4.26    10.33    41.61    16.34P    0.25R    0.03  
West_Brom       15   25  +10      -1.69    37.84     0.38    78.98     9.02    27.88    24.52    40.88    76.88    51.98P    0.02R    0.00  
Derby           15   25   +6       0.57    53.96     0.27    74.48     8.57    16.48     9.43    20.10    59.12    30.67P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   23   +6       3.04    71.69     6.88    64.52     8.65     4.34     1.08     2.96    18.00     5.92P    1.60R    0.16  
Swansea         15   23   +6      -1.29    40.73     0.46    72.94     8.77    16.84     7.73    16.50    52.65    27.22P    0.15R    0.02  
Birmingham      15   23   +5       4.86    82.30     8.38    59.22     8.18    -3.63     0.16     0.57     5.80     1.40P    4.99R    0.57  
QPR             15   23   -4       4.74    80.81    -0.46    59.75     8.33   -12.89     0.18     0.63     6.55     1.59P    5.43R    0.67  
Bristol_City    15   22   +3       0.78    56.05     2.05    65.99     8.59     5.20     1.44     3.94    22.19     7.95P    1.06R    0.09  
Blackburn       15   22   -2       2.42    67.33    -0.49    64.27     8.83    -2.29     1.04     2.76    16.88     5.63P    2.03R    0.22  
Stoke           15   20   -1      -2.43    33.51    -3.70    67.38     8.93     6.47     2.32     5.93    28.08    11.75P    0.95R    0.09  
Wigan           15   20   -4      -0.47    47.38    -3.95    64.14     8.78    -1.42     0.98     2.76    16.57     5.95P    2.03R    0.26  
Sheff_Wed       15   19   -5      -0.61    46.20    -3.50    61.12     8.54    -5.86     0.32     1.12     9.12     2.70P    4.02R    0.50  
Brentford       15   18   +3      -4.36    21.82     0.34    63.91     8.74     8.00     1.05     2.73    17.15     6.20P    1.98R    0.23  
Aston_Villa     15   18   -1      -5.22    17.24    -5.01    64.69     8.51     5.25     1.07     2.95    18.34     7.15P    1.41R    0.12  
Millwall        15   16   -4      -3.22    28.24    -2.01    56.61     8.41    -6.84     0.05     0.24     3.45     0.91P   10.04R    1.68  
Bolton          15   16   -9       1.06    59.65    -0.67    44.92     7.67   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   58.11R   20.46  
Preston         15   14   -5      -6.22    12.36    -4.26    55.76     8.70    -6.45     0.07     0.27     3.23     0.96P   12.52R    2.34  
Rotherham       15   14  -10      -0.66    46.70    -0.74    44.27     8.28   -29.19     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   60.89R   25.20  
Reading         15   12   -6      -5.16    16.74    -0.24    47.65     8.42   -16.94     0.00     0.02     0.32     0.08P   41.95R   13.06  
Hull            15   12   -9      -6.89    10.33    -6.31    51.12     8.44   -14.57     0.01     0.05     0.85     0.23P   26.65R    6.24  
Ipswich         15    9  -14      -7.79     6.13    -8.42    43.32     8.22   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   63.75R   28.06  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           16   35  +13       9.81    95.57     8.20    80.30     8.57    19.00     9.43    25.01    79.92    37.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         16   33  +12       7.71    90.25     7.02    83.47     8.65    26.28    16.47    39.40    88.58    52.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   32  +17       3.55    73.06     4.87    90.40     8.84    41.45    50.04    72.22    97.16    80.94P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             15   28  +14       0.63    53.28     3.70    83.16     9.02    33.08    18.16    40.15    87.26    56.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                16   28   +8       4.18    75.56     5.40    74.62     8.99    16.12     3.12    10.46    57.52    21.95P    0.19R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   27   +2       6.48    86.71     4.04    64.97     8.69    -2.76     0.26     1.12    16.99     3.95P    2.75R    0.13  
Coventry             16   27   +2       6.67    87.53     4.12    64.40     8.45    -3.06     0.17     0.91    15.04     3.39P    2.86R    0.11  
Doncaster            16   25   +3       2.66    68.05     2.45    66.74     8.54     3.72     0.38     1.66    22.88     6.17P    1.61R    0.04  
Walsall              15   25   -1       5.36    83.34     0.39    63.79     8.63    -6.63     0.18     0.80    13.82     3.14P    3.76R    0.22  
Fleetwood_Town       16   23   +8      -0.39    47.72     5.95    68.16     8.56    13.85     0.53     2.43    29.51     9.04P    1.09R    0.04  
Southend             16   23   +0       0.92    56.66    -0.08    64.10     8.59    -0.25     0.16     0.82    15.09     3.94P    3.27R    0.15  
Blackpool            14   22   +5       1.38    60.55     2.90    66.59     8.89     6.16     0.45     1.81    23.49     6.65P    2.03R    0.08  
Charlton             15   22   +2      -0.00    50.23    -0.04    68.32     8.79     7.58     0.57     2.56    29.85     9.26P    1.21R    0.05  
Rochdale             16   19   -9      -0.21    49.47    -4.48    56.66     8.51   -14.86     0.01     0.06     3.02     0.64P   17.12R    1.87  
Wycombe              16   18   -2      -0.79    45.84     2.96    51.73     8.56   -14.23     0.01     0.03     0.96     0.17P   34.62R    6.19  
Burton_Albion        15   18   -2      -2.79    31.83    -2.29    58.93     8.87    -4.36     0.02     0.24     6.35     1.69P   10.92R    1.02  
Scunthorpe           16   17  -11      -4.75    21.21   -10.31    59.06     8.69   -10.23     0.03     0.19     5.67     1.43P   11.23R    1.06  
Gillingham           15   15   -5      -3.57    26.68    -1.55    53.83     8.78   -11.31     0.01     0.05     1.98     0.39P   26.43R    3.98  
Shrewsbury           16   15   -5      -6.13    13.81    -4.11    56.60     8.36    -3.97     0.01     0.06     2.81     0.68P   15.55R    1.67  
Bristol_Rovers       16   14   -3      -6.70    11.88    -1.28    51.16     8.29    -8.64     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.16P   35.14R    5.73  
Oxford_Utd           16   14   -7      -6.12    13.96    -4.09    52.28     8.50   -11.61     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.24P   31.24R    5.15  
Plymouth             16   13   -9      -6.29    13.33    -4.89    48.57     8.37   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P   48.76R   11.23  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   11  -14      -5.82    13.84    -6.77    42.65     7.92   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   76.36R   31.76  
Bradford             16   10  -18      -8.00     6.70   -12.09    43.32     8.17   -30.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   73.85R   29.52  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, Cambridge_Utd 1 0 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     16   33  +16       6.39    86.70     9.07    82.45     8.38    28.43    26.64    62.61    90.31    69.95P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          16   31  +10       3.54    72.91     1.98    84.27     8.43    27.61    34.75    69.98    93.24    77.23P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           16   29  +11       2.51    66.49     4.17    77.73     8.39    22.47    11.69    40.25    77.72    50.59P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   16   29   -3       8.25    92.67    -1.20    65.64     8.31    -9.72     0.73     4.52    23.03     7.39P    0.20R    0.00  
Colchester       16   28  +14       1.76    61.76     7.62    76.95     8.35    25.81    10.50    37.20    75.74    47.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green     16   27  +10       5.39    82.61    10.56    66.24     8.36     7.22     0.86     5.67    27.40     9.56P    0.11R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   27   +7       4.94    80.44     6.61    67.99     8.59     7.03     1.39     8.33    34.35    13.63P    0.10R    0.00  
Stevenage        16   25   +4       1.27    58.91     1.31    65.36     8.31     3.35     0.62     4.45    23.39     8.53P    0.17R    0.01  
Bury             16   23   +7      -2.62    32.73     1.45    72.06     8.78    18.86     4.11    19.18    54.77    29.71P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     16   23   -1       2.81    69.15     1.83    61.52     8.34    -5.05     0.18     1.66    11.95     3.52P    0.76R    0.09  
Mansfield        14   21   +8      -0.96    42.72     3.90    72.89     8.68    19.76     4.75    21.19    58.26    31.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil           15   21   +6       1.47    60.82     7.47    64.39     8.57     7.46     0.55     3.84    21.26     7.35P    0.38R    0.04  
Swindon          16   21   -2      -1.78    38.36    -3.32    65.07     8.44     2.41     0.51     4.09    22.81     8.54P    0.29R    0.02  
Port_Vale        16   21   -4       1.32    60.10    -1.05    60.58     8.18    -5.88     0.09     1.03     9.23     2.65P    1.02R    0.11  
Oldham           15   20   +4      -4.73    19.78    -2.21    69.02     8.89    13.65     2.13    11.38    40.89    20.28P    0.13R    0.01  
Carlisle         16   20   -4      -2.24    35.10    -4.50    60.74     8.39    -4.19     0.15     1.40    10.52     3.58P    0.95R    0.08  
Crewe            15   19   +2      -1.28    41.31     2.34    59.96     8.61    -0.01     0.14     1.30    10.01     3.19P    1.39R    0.14  
Northampton      16   18   -3      -4.58    21.81    -4.07    60.85     8.68    -0.36     0.19     1.74    11.92     4.13P    1.09R    0.09  
Grimsby          15   15  -10      -1.00    43.97    -3.80    48.52     8.03   -22.28     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.08P   17.85R    3.18  
Cambridge_Utd    16   15  -12      -4.28    22.43    -8.25    51.73     8.16   -18.20     0.01     0.06     1.16     0.30P    9.53R    1.53  
Morecambe        16   14  -13      -2.97    30.13    -5.86    45.48     7.83   -27.20     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   29.85R    6.13  
Notts_County     15   12  -16      -6.12    13.17   -11.90    51.25     8.63   -21.30     0.01     0.09     1.33     0.34P   12.38R    2.03  
Cheltenham       15   10  -13      -6.67     9.82    -7.13    45.18     8.31   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   31.27R    7.00  
Macclesfield     16    7  -18      -6.59     9.29    -5.02    30.60     7.37   -45.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.47R   79.53  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, Barrow 0 2 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      17   36  +23       5.48    82.63    12.25    86.39     8.11    38.89    36.61    87.05    52.32P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       17   35  +18       8.03    90.30    12.52    79.27     8.73    25.02    11.41    59.03    22.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   35  +13       8.33    92.61     7.99    79.85     7.90    20.68    10.38    61.79    22.90P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     17   34   +8      11.19    97.13     8.62    73.54     8.11     8.05     2.53    29.81     7.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     17   33  +14       8.01    89.73    11.42    77.91     8.85    21.84     8.86    52.72    18.30P    0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          17   32  +21       1.68    60.72    10.39    82.25     8.11    36.60    19.07    74.19    36.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          17   32  +11       4.74    78.72     5.11    75.47     8.14    16.69     4.35    40.37    13.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Sutton_United      16   29   +4       5.88    84.46     2.18    73.75     8.45     9.63     2.84    31.82     8.94P    0.07R    0.00  
Hartlepool         17   28   +3       3.33    71.47     0.88    67.38     8.08     3.03     0.49    10.85     2.60P    0.48R    0.00  
Eastleigh          17   26   -4       4.82    79.63    -1.08    62.97     8.06    -7.79     0.12     3.82     0.79P    2.26R    0.03  
Boreham_Wood       17   25   +0       0.25    52.11    -2.36    65.41     8.04     1.49     0.21     6.98     1.67P    0.89R    0.01  
Barnet             16   25   +0      -1.31    40.75    -6.58    73.81     8.53    11.22     3.00    32.92    11.88P    0.08R    0.00  
Barrow             17   21   -1      -1.50    40.33    -0.02    57.48     8.04    -5.43     0.01     1.00     0.23P    7.89R    0.21  
Halifax            17   21   -1       0.61    55.01     2.76    56.00     7.84    -7.12     0.01     0.53     0.09P   10.47R    0.32  
Bromley            17   20   -4      -3.24    29.86    -3.93    59.76     8.35    -4.18     0.03     2.06     0.50P    5.34R    0.16  
Aldershot          17   20   -9      -2.53    33.82    -8.15    59.29     8.06    -9.32     0.02     1.44     0.33P    5.73R    0.15  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   19   -3      -3.02    30.71    -1.42    59.97     8.13    -0.94     0.02     1.83     0.38P    4.64R    0.13  
Maidenhead         17   17  -12      -2.10    36.68    -5.34    50.33     8.11   -22.53     0.00     0.10     0.02P   32.57R    2.46  
Chesterfield       17   15   -6     -10.20     4.20    -9.01    58.55     8.44    -0.21     0.03     1.57     0.48P    6.91R    0.26  
Maidstone_United   17   14  -12      -3.99    24.43    -4.41    45.11     7.67   -24.17     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.18R    7.41  
Dag_&_Red          17   12  -11     -10.73     3.04   -10.38    49.78     8.16   -13.88     0.00     0.08     0.02P   32.84R    2.83  
Havant_&_Wville    17   11  -16      -3.88    25.60    -2.20    38.79     8.08   -35.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.85R   28.60  
Braintree_Town     17   10  -16      -5.18    17.23    -3.46    35.00     7.71   -38.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.36R   49.64  
Dover_Athletic     17    8  -20     -12.54     0.97   -15.76    45.24     8.16   -23.64     0.00     0.01     0.01P   56.34R    7.80