Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 24 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 October 2018, Arsenal 3 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 9 23 +23 1.21 62.61 4.60 91.03 6.84 74.64 68.28 87.98 95.63 98.66 99.98 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 9 23 +13 5.64 93.59 4.84 83.26 7.66 47.08 16.95 52.02 74.37 88.43 99.45 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 9 21 +13 3.18 78.22 4.34 77.23 7.81 39.47 5.21 20.41 43.57 67.85 97.14 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 9 21 +11 3.82 82.88 2.76 75.21 8.07 34.79 3.36 14.90 33.07 56.59 94.89 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 9 21 +9 2.49 73.28 -1.14 77.90 7.81 36.09 5.97 22.69 46.55 69.92 97.33 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 9 17 +4 4.50 85.94 4.10 51.53 7.99 -7.13 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.50 7.37 0.86R 0.05 Watford 9 16 +1 5.44 90.73 4.13 48.85 7.81 -12.36 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.16 3.54 1.83R 0.13 Everton 9 15 +3 0.97 59.06 0.66 52.21 8.07 -2.65 0.00 0.02 0.12 0.54 9.00 0.72R 0.05 Wolverhampton 9 15 +1 4.47 86.69 3.98 48.86 8.08 -9.04 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.18 4.16 2.17R 0.18 Man_Utd 9 14 -1 -2.19 29.21 -6.69 66.72 7.88 18.91 0.23 1.93 6.36 16.52 75.29 0.00R 0.00 Leicester 9 12 +0 0.01 50.87 1.08 52.16 8.28 -1.50 0.00 0.02 0.15 0.61 8.93 0.96R 0.05 Brighton 9 11 -3 1.98 71.39 2.60 44.25 7.74 -13.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.18 6.06R 0.62 Burnley 9 8 -7 -3.20 21.11 -4.86 39.84 7.66 -19.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.32 16.05R 2.12 West_Ham 9 7 -6 -1.70 34.43 0.43 42.92 8.08 -14.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.84 9.88R 1.40 Crystal_Palace 9 7 -6 -4.24 14.83 -4.32 37.92 7.56 -21.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 22.89R 3.83 Southampton 9 6 -8 -4.00 15.39 -4.42 38.94 7.67 -19.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.20 19.45R 3.31 Cardiff 9 5 -11 -2.89 22.08 -2.58 31.82 7.66 -33.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 55.34R 17.02 Fulham 9 5 -14 -2.87 23.53 -3.89 31.22 7.86 -41.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 59.08R 21.54 Huddersfield 9 3 -14 -3.07 17.34 -2.90 26.32 6.93 -40.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.52R 45.15 Newcastle 9 2 -8 -7.15 1.78 -2.72 37.83 7.91 -14.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 23.21R 4.54Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2018, Aston_Villa 1 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Middlesbrough 13 25 +9 3.22 73.62 3.30 81.58 8.82 25.47 24.04 46.33 84.25 58.10P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 13 25 +7 5.74 86.54 4.82 74.39 9.25 13.15 7.72 18.15 57.10 26.51P 0.12R 0.01 West_Brom 13 24 +13 0.03 49.49 3.26 84.49 9.40 36.78 41.01 60.92 89.51 70.50P 0.00R 0.00 Leeds_United 13 23 +12 3.48 75.17 9.31 74.14 9.10 20.76 7.59 18.07 57.84 27.33P 0.08R 0.00 Derby 13 21 +3 -0.53 45.65 -2.43 70.35 8.91 9.28 3.33 8.81 39.65 16.77P 0.30R 0.02 Norwich 13 21 +1 3.77 76.95 1.93 67.21 9.06 2.30 1.44 4.59 26.99 9.19P 0.99R 0.12 Blackburn 13 21 +0 3.00 71.92 -0.24 65.12 9.24 -1.62 1.14 3.40 20.15 6.89P 1.74R 0.17 Wigan 13 20 -1 1.24 59.84 -2.53 67.97 9.28 3.29 2.22 5.88 30.02 11.63P 0.92R 0.10 Nott'm_Forest 13 19 +3 2.28 68.21 4.65 61.41 9.07 -1.42 0.37 1.30 11.15 3.11P 4.41R 0.61 Bristol_City 13 19 +3 0.87 57.00 2.60 67.26 9.12 7.54 1.60 4.89 27.91 10.07P 1.05R 0.13 Sheff_Wed 13 19 +0 1.07 58.67 -0.12 66.72 9.02 3.61 1.30 4.16 25.34 8.69P 1.17R 0.12 Brentford 13 18 +5 -2.17 33.80 1.44 67.35 9.16 11.07 1.99 5.47 29.02 11.36P 1.01R 0.11 Aston_Villa 13 18 +1 -2.76 29.82 -3.42 68.48 9.03 8.83 2.26 6.43 32.47 13.38P 0.65R 0.07 Birmingham 13 17 +2 2.42 70.29 6.53 54.71 8.57 -8.33 0.05 0.13 2.38 0.46P 14.68R 2.83 Swansea 13 17 +2 -3.00 28.00 -1.32 69.18 9.19 12.21 2.67 7.53 35.87 15.78P 0.59R 0.06 QPR 13 17 -8 2.21 68.15 -3.30 54.54 8.74 -20.11 0.03 0.15 2.27 0.48P 16.73R 3.69 Stoke 13 16 -2 -3.59 24.63 -4.50 64.96 9.40 3.71 1.15 3.40 20.89 7.98P 2.15R 0.31 Bolton 13 16 -5 2.85 73.50 1.98 48.79 8.27 -23.06 0.00 0.01 0.35 0.05P 37.86R 10.50 Reading 13 12 -3 -3.63 23.88 0.87 50.32 8.82 -13.97 0.02 0.04 0.91 0.22P 30.22R 8.63 Rotherham 13 12 -10 -0.75 45.76 -1.85 42.01 8.53 -34.62 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 69.65R 37.82 Preston 13 10 -6 -6.76 8.69 -4.31 55.27 9.02 -6.10 0.06 0.22 3.34 0.89P 14.23R 3.13 Millwall 13 10 -8 -5.31 14.26 -4.30 51.92 8.82 -12.89 0.01 0.05 1.31 0.28P 24.33R 6.19 Hull 13 9 -9 -7.24 7.28 -6.42 50.54 8.98 -15.32 0.01 0.06 0.97 0.26P 30.01R 8.50 Ipswich 13 9 -9 -6.70 8.26 -5.96 46.63 8.68 -20.57 0.00 0.01 0.24 0.06P 47.09R 16.88League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2018, Blackpool 2 0 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 14 33 +13 10.58 97.79 8.31 81.45 9.01 19.60 14.51 32.03 81.08 43.37P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 14 27 +10 5.06 81.88 5.89 80.08 9.21 23.94 11.62 27.87 77.23 40.61P 0.03R 0.00 Sunderland 13 26 +13 1.86 63.07 3.32 86.73 9.47 36.70 35.71 58.26 91.90 69.74P 0.01R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 14 26 +5 7.37 91.09 5.64 67.84 9.14 2.12 0.98 3.26 26.38 7.68P 1.33R 0.05 Barnsley 13 25 +15 0.55 53.06 4.98 85.18 9.52 37.52 29.53 51.68 89.30 64.80P 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 14 25 +5 4.77 80.77 3.47 69.72 9.01 6.01 1.38 4.59 33.65 10.48P 0.75R 0.02 Luton 14 22 +3 2.52 67.85 2.75 69.86 9.46 8.73 1.54 5.02 35.61 12.23P 1.04R 0.06 Walsall 13 22 +1 4.75 82.53 1.78 64.27 8.95 -3.28 0.34 1.39 15.45 4.12P 3.24R 0.19 Charlton 13 21 +3 1.87 64.32 1.17 71.58 9.23 10.81 2.08 6.74 42.61 15.46P 0.50R 0.02 Coventry 14 21 -1 4.12 78.50 2.05 59.08 8.80 -8.47 0.05 0.27 5.93 1.28P 9.67R 0.80 Fleetwood_Town 14 20 +8 -0.51 46.61 6.08 68.07 9.03 14.08 0.85 3.26 29.13 9.65P 1.08R 0.04 Southend 14 20 +0 0.24 52.18 -0.78 62.84 8.92 -1.77 0.22 0.96 12.23 3.35P 4.42R 0.35 Blackpool 12 19 +5 1.31 60.77 3.11 66.48 9.29 6.42 0.70 2.47 23.39 7.24P 2.06R 0.12 Burton_Albion 13 17 -1 -1.47 39.46 -1.92 60.30 9.43 -3.74 0.15 0.64 9.08 2.60P 8.57R 0.84 Scunthorpe 14 17 -7 -2.68 31.45 -7.44 64.09 9.23 -2.53 0.28 1.22 15.80 4.71P 4.01R 0.29 Rochdale 14 16 -7 -0.97 43.89 -3.19 57.47 9.00 -11.19 0.05 0.15 4.28 1.02P 14.31R 1.86 Wycombe 14 15 -4 -0.53 47.36 1.58 49.51 8.84 -19.05 0.00 0.01 0.57 0.09P 42.57R 9.53 Shrewsbury 14 12 -4 -6.78 9.67 -3.68 56.53 8.73 -2.61 0.01 0.12 3.25 0.88P 14.81R 1.71 Gillingham 13 12 -7 -3.13 27.23 -2.54 52.49 9.12 -14.82 0.01 0.04 1.46 0.32P 30.04R 5.89 Bristol_Rovers 14 11 -4 -7.02 8.81 -2.41 49.63 8.70 -11.65 0.00 0.01 0.59 0.15P 40.06R 8.32 AFC_Wimbledon 14 11 -10 -4.36 19.87 -4.65 46.35 8.36 -21.94 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 57.01R 15.81 Oxford_Utd 14 10 -10 -7.07 8.50 -6.62 48.66 8.80 -18.23 0.00 0.01 0.44 0.09P 45.49R 10.84 Bradford 14 10 -12 -6.58 9.76 -8.19 48.74 8.73 -19.54 0.00 0.01 0.46 0.09P 45.38R 11.06 Plymouth 14 7 -14 -8.68 3.72 -8.70 42.32 8.58 -27.10 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 73.58R 32.20League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2018, Bury 4 0 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 14 32 +17 8.21 94.20 10.19 85.12 8.78 30.87 31.82 68.08 93.56 74.81P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 14 28 +12 4.47 79.74 5.50 81.15 8.79 25.85 16.98 50.55 86.07 60.15P 0.00R 0.00 MK_Dons 14 27 +9 2.92 70.51 1.95 83.42 8.98 27.26 24.84 60.67 90.32 69.77P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 14 27 -3 8.75 95.06 -1.48 66.12 8.76 -10.37 0.66 4.65 25.46 7.73P 0.31R 0.04 Colchester 14 25 +14 1.66 61.80 7.80 77.57 8.86 27.11 9.97 35.90 76.45 46.83P 0.00R 0.00 Tranmere 14 24 +5 5.35 84.29 5.51 66.68 8.99 3.67 0.84 5.70 28.83 10.39P 0.24R 0.04 Bury 14 22 +8 -0.84 43.74 2.45 75.93 9.18 23.12 7.39 29.04 69.54 41.11P 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 14 22 +3 3.32 73.56 3.89 64.70 8.71 1.18 0.41 3.31 21.32 6.65P 0.32R 0.04 Forest_Green 14 21 +7 2.39 67.83 7.89 61.34 8.72 1.68 0.17 1.63 12.82 3.67P 0.98R 0.22 Stevenage 14 21 +2 0.64 55.12 0.29 63.70 8.72 0.57 0.33 2.78 18.62 5.98P 0.52R 0.07 Carlisle 14 19 -3 -0.97 43.04 -4.12 62.46 8.78 -3.33 0.22 1.94 15.18 4.87P 0.77R 0.12 Swindon 14 18 -1 -1.98 35.84 -2.22 66.26 8.84 5.52 0.62 4.70 27.60 10.03P 0.26R 0.04 Mansfield 12 17 +7 -1.90 35.04 3.41 71.92 9.13 19.26 3.28 15.97 52.98 26.61P 0.07R 0.01 Yeovil 13 17 +5 0.52 54.74 7.00 62.82 9.04 5.88 0.29 2.44 17.44 5.43P 0.95R 0.18 Oldham 13 17 +3 -4.19 20.92 -2.03 69.33 9.34 13.54 2.00 10.77 41.43 19.92P 0.18R 0.03 Port_Vale 14 17 -5 -0.15 49.59 -2.21 58.00 8.61 -9.02 0.03 0.53 6.16 1.56P 2.76R 0.64 Crewe 13 15 +0 -1.88 36.12 1.38 58.29 9.07 -2.74 0.09 0.84 8.07 2.34P 2.79R 0.64 Morecambe 14 13 -12 -1.91 36.43 -5.64 46.72 8.30 -27.20 0.00 0.01 0.31 0.06P 26.37R 8.64 Northampton 14 12 -9 -6.01 12.84 -7.33 54.68 9.07 -10.62 0.02 0.26 3.57 1.07P 6.44R 1.86 Grimsby 13 12 -9 -1.98 35.17 -3.62 47.47 8.55 -22.66 0.00 0.01 0.41 0.05P 23.84R 7.78 Notts_County 13 12 -14 -4.17 21.07 -11.13 53.63 9.06 -19.91 0.01 0.21 2.73 0.72P 8.90R 2.47 Cheltenham 13 10 -9 -5.20 14.60 -5.04 48.61 8.81 -19.08 0.00 0.03 0.72 0.15P 19.80R 6.31 Cambridge_Utd 14 9 -15 -6.82 8.78 -10.04 47.37 8.55 -23.15 0.00 0.01 0.42 0.10P 24.33R 8.77 Macclesfield 14 7 -12 -5.92 10.93 -2.41 34.73 8.16 -37.41 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 80.16R 62.12National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Salford_City 16 34 +18 8.41 92.03 12.49 80.62 9.09 26.36 17.90 67.74 29.78P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 16 34 +13 8.75 94.22 8.09 79.90 8.12 20.32 12.72 65.63 25.94P 0.00R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 16 33 +19 5.33 82.68 10.66 84.82 8.23 35.01 32.13 84.86 48.09P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 16 33 +15 9.18 93.51 12.04 79.58 9.11 23.31 14.85 63.32 25.58P 0.03R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 16 31 +6 10.09 96.17 7.37 71.29 8.25 5.20 1.80 24.88 5.72P 0.21R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 16 29 +15 1.87 62.30 7.19 78.72 8.32 27.65 11.22 61.72 26.11P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 16 29 +8 4.05 75.85 3.45 73.26 8.30 12.92 3.14 34.41 10.63P 0.07R 0.00 Hartlepool 16 28 +4 4.76 80.02 1.91 69.10 8.20 4.61 1.01 17.68 4.53P 0.45R 0.00 Sutton_United 15 26 +3 4.52 79.08 1.57 71.39 8.62 7.61 2.17 26.34 7.58P 0.35R 0.00 Eastleigh 16 23 -5 3.33 72.51 -1.87 60.73 8.26 -9.70 0.08 3.00 0.54P 5.55R 0.10 Boreham_Wood 16 22 -1 -0.95 43.58 -2.77 63.73 8.27 0.53 0.21 6.38 1.68P 2.31R 0.02 Barnet 15 22 -2 -2.25 34.28 -7.56 71.26 8.84 7.92 2.38 26.74 9.70P 0.42R 0.00 Barrow 16 21 +1 -0.65 46.01 1.28 59.23 8.25 -2.75 0.07 2.31 0.51P 6.76R 0.12 Halifax 16 21 +0 1.80 63.36 3.49 57.94 8.11 -5.32 0.02 1.44 0.24P 9.03R 0.21 Bromley 16 20 -3 -2.23 35.41 -3.46 61.38 8.49 -2.76 0.12 4.19 0.99P 4.80R 0.10 Aldershot 16 20 -6 -2.03 36.39 -6.41 61.25 8.26 -5.36 0.08 3.49 0.81P 4.56R 0.08 Ebbsfleet_United 16 18 -3 -2.89 31.14 -1.81 59.72 8.33 -1.80 0.04 2.50 0.56P 6.42R 0.16 Maidenhead 16 17 -6 -2.25 35.27 -1.91 53.18 8.33 -13.85 0.00 0.39 0.07P 24.12R 1.12 Chesterfield 16 14 -6 -9.91 4.09 -9.09 59.22 8.69 0.23 0.06 2.80 0.90P 7.77R 0.22 Maidstone_United 16 14 -10 -3.02 29.71 -3.12 46.89 7.94 -21.31 0.00 0.04 0.01P 53.24R 4.63 Havant_&_Wville 16 11 -12 -4.02 24.33 -0.96 40.35 8.41 -30.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.78R 19.79 Dag_&_Red 16 9 -12 -12.09 1.19 -10.99 47.60 8.34 -15.68 0.00 0.08 0.02P 47.93R 4.27 Dover_Athletic 16 8 -19 -11.32 1.54 -15.08 47.38 8.34 -21.46 0.00 0.06 0.01P 50.13R 5.11 Braintree_Town 16 7 -17 -6.74 8.79 -4.49 32.48 7.88 -40.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.06R 64.07