Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 22 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2018, Everton 2 0 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          9   23  +23       1.21    62.96     4.63    90.92     6.87    74.23    68.08    88.10    95.77    98.68    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         9   23  +13       5.63    93.74     4.85    83.28     7.64    47.09    17.65    52.85    75.54    89.28    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           9   21  +13       3.11    77.73     4.23    77.40     7.82    39.78     5.58    21.75    45.83    70.17    97.01     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         9   21   +9       2.50    73.52    -1.10    77.75     7.80    35.77     5.98    22.90    46.59    70.26    97.20     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   18   +9       3.07    78.86     2.30    73.81     8.24    33.14     2.39    12.23    28.70    50.97    92.19     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       9   17   +4       4.45    85.56     4.05    51.73     8.06    -6.70     0.00     0.03     0.15     0.62     7.87     0.85R    0.04  
Watford           9   16   +1       5.41    90.70     4.04    48.89     7.77   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14     3.50     1.73R    0.13  
Everton           9   15   +3       0.85    58.03     0.47    52.62     8.07    -1.97     0.00     0.04     0.18     0.68     9.47     0.66R    0.03  
Wolverhampton     9   15   +1       4.45    86.53     3.95    49.04     8.17    -8.73     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.35     4.46     1.95R    0.16  
Man_Utd           9   14   -1      -2.19    29.15    -6.70    66.82     7.87    19.08     0.32     2.06     6.84    17.57    74.54     0.00R    0.00  
Leicester         8   12   +2       0.70    57.57     1.73    53.16     8.56    -0.30     0.00     0.03     0.25     1.20    11.55     0.82R    0.06  
Brighton          9   11   -3       1.96    71.16     2.57    44.24     7.76   -13.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.14     6.10R    0.62  
Burnley           9    8   -7      -3.15    21.69    -4.80    39.76     7.67   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30    15.98R    2.16  
West_Ham          9    7   -6      -1.67    34.82     0.47    42.81     8.04   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.78     9.92R    1.44  
Crystal_Palace    9    7   -6      -4.17    15.15    -4.22    37.82     7.59   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    23.22R    3.75  
Southampton       9    6   -8      -4.02    15.68    -4.47    39.04     7.73   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26    18.99R    3.22  
Cardiff           9    5  -11      -2.86    22.50    -2.54    31.57     7.70   -33.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    56.11R   17.61  
Fulham            9    5  -14      -2.87    23.06    -3.92    31.11     7.91   -41.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    59.32R   22.00  
Huddersfield      9    3  -14      -3.10    16.88    -2.91    26.35     6.92   -40.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.06R   44.27  
Newcastle         9    2   -8      -7.09     1.83    -2.64    37.69     7.85   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    23.28R    4.52  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2018, Aston_Villa 1 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   13   25   +9       3.26    74.08     3.36    81.50     8.74    25.31    24.13    46.07    84.43    57.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       13   25   +7       5.74    86.74     4.84    74.30     9.17    13.02     7.63    18.03    56.87    26.21P    0.09R    0.01  
West_Brom       13   24  +13       0.03    49.40     3.24    84.49     9.35    36.81    41.39    61.24    89.59    70.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    13   23  +12       3.44    74.96     9.28    74.23     9.09    20.94     7.86    18.57    57.89    27.81P    0.11R    0.01  
Derby           13   21   +3      -0.56    45.57    -2.46    70.43     8.93     9.44     3.11     9.08    39.95    17.32P    0.25R    0.02  
Norwich         13   21   +1       3.79    76.88     1.94    67.31     9.00     2.44     1.44     4.51    27.19     9.01P    1.03R    0.11  
Blackburn       13   21   +0       3.07    72.25    -0.18    64.97     9.28    -1.80     1.16     3.34    19.89     6.74P    2.01R    0.23  
Wigan           13   20   -1       1.18    59.26    -2.61    68.11     9.26     3.45     1.98     5.95    30.63    11.95P    0.95R    0.11  
Nott'm_Forest   13   19   +3       2.29    68.48     4.64    61.40     9.01    -1.47     0.36     1.26    11.15     3.03P    4.28R    0.64  
Bristol_City    13   19   +3       0.92    57.26     2.66    67.11     9.11     7.23     1.55     4.64    27.55     9.60P    1.08R    0.11  
Sheff_Wed       13   19   +0       1.20    59.74     0.10    66.41     9.10     3.15     1.32     3.87    24.36     8.21P    1.35R    0.15  
Brentford       13   18   +5      -2.12    34.03     1.50    67.13     9.16    10.71     1.81     5.16    28.23    10.97P    1.07R    0.11  
Aston_Villa     13   18   +1      -2.72    29.89    -3.39    68.42     9.02     8.72     2.20     6.36    32.36    13.24P    0.71R    0.09  
Birmingham      13   17   +2       2.42    70.25     6.53    54.77     8.58    -8.23     0.03     0.15     2.39     0.47P   14.55R    2.76  
Swansea         13   17   +2      -2.95    28.34    -1.26    69.15     9.28    12.18     2.73     7.63    35.96    16.27P    0.67R    0.07  
QPR             13   17   -8       2.24    68.06    -3.24    54.50     8.69   -20.10     0.02     0.13     2.24     0.45P   16.91R    3.64  
Stoke           13   16   -2      -3.72    23.93    -4.67    65.24     9.45     4.18     1.20     3.62    21.92     8.44P    2.05R    0.31  
Bolton          13   16   -5       2.89    73.72     2.03    48.81     8.30   -23.02     0.00     0.02     0.46     0.08P   37.67R   10.62  
Reading         13   12   -3      -3.70    23.42     0.78    50.49     8.86   -13.72     0.01     0.06     0.98     0.25P   29.70R    8.69  
Rotherham       13   12  -10      -0.87    44.67    -2.03    42.20     8.60   -34.26     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   68.69R   37.20  
Preston         13   10   -6      -6.78     8.58    -4.30    55.24     9.06    -6.17     0.05     0.21     3.22     0.89P   14.68R    3.19  
Millwall        13   10   -8      -5.37    13.90    -4.42    52.08     8.88   -12.66     0.01     0.04     1.32     0.31P   24.14R    6.17  
Hull            13    9   -9      -7.20     7.42    -6.36    50.47     8.99   -15.41     0.01     0.05     1.03     0.27P   30.60R    8.72  
Ipswich         13    9   -9      -6.71     8.40    -5.97    46.55     8.72   -20.74     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.05P   47.40R   17.04  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2018, Blackpool 2 0 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           14   33  +13      10.64    97.79     8.35    81.43     9.01    19.62    14.50    32.04    80.95    43.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         14   27  +10       5.15    82.45     6.06    79.78     9.16    23.45    11.12    26.98    76.38    39.62P    0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland           13   26  +13       1.81    62.59     3.29    86.73     9.46    36.69    36.03    58.41    91.93    69.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   14   26   +5       7.27    90.75     5.56    67.98     9.15     2.32     1.02     3.43    26.85     7.94P    1.33R    0.06  
Barnsley             13   25  +15       0.56    53.16     4.94    85.19     9.43    37.47    29.61    52.14    89.70    65.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   25   +5       4.78    80.84     3.46    69.67     8.97     5.95     1.35     4.41    33.51    10.50P    0.71R    0.03  
Luton                14   22   +3       2.58    68.12     2.79    69.76     9.51     8.58     1.49     5.14    35.46    12.39P    1.15R    0.06  
Walsall              13   22   +1       4.67    82.03     1.68    64.49     8.96    -2.97     0.34     1.41    15.91     4.07P    3.06R    0.14  
Charlton             13   21   +3       1.98    65.14     1.30    71.39     9.28    10.51     2.03     6.66    41.66    15.29P    0.63R    0.02  
Coventry             14   21   -1       4.13    78.70     2.06    59.05     8.84    -8.51     0.04     0.29     5.96     1.34P    9.61R    0.83  
Fleetwood_Town       14   20   +8      -0.54    46.37     6.04    68.11     9.03    14.15     0.92     3.22    29.33     9.64P    1.19R    0.08  
Southend             14   20   +0       0.32    52.56    -0.70    62.83     8.95    -1.82     0.24     0.91    12.39     3.31P    4.54R    0.31  
Blackpool            12   19   +5       1.28    60.46     3.07    66.49     9.30     6.44     0.78     2.67    23.47     7.28P    2.10R    0.11  
Burton_Albion        13   17   -1      -1.52    39.10    -2.01    60.42     9.44    -3.55     0.17     0.71     9.26     2.79P    8.49R    0.78  
Scunthorpe           14   17   -7      -2.70    31.35    -7.45    64.09     9.11    -2.58     0.29     1.18    15.42     4.49P    3.95R    0.30  
Rochdale             14   16   -7      -0.88    44.55    -3.06    57.33     9.03   -11.41     0.04     0.18     4.33     1.01P   14.75R    1.90  
Wycombe              14   15   -4      -0.59    47.00     1.59    49.48     8.89   -19.10     0.00     0.02     0.70     0.13P   42.89R    9.51  
Shrewsbury           14   12   -4      -6.76     9.62    -3.66    56.60     8.63    -2.52     0.02     0.12     3.25     0.91P   14.26R    1.51  
Gillingham           13   12   -7      -3.23    26.86    -2.73    52.80     9.19   -14.32     0.01     0.05     1.74     0.39P   29.01R    5.39  
Bristol_Rovers       14   11   -4      -7.12     8.60    -2.57    49.75     8.77   -11.43     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.18P   39.60R    8.30  
AFC_Wimbledon        14   11  -10      -4.25    20.58    -4.50    46.12     8.38   -22.24     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   57.91R   16.42  
Oxford_Utd           14   10  -10      -7.13     8.36    -6.74    48.84     8.85   -17.93     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.09P   44.65R   10.44  
Bradford             14   10  -12      -6.49    10.30    -8.06    48.63     8.71   -19.67     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.09P   46.28R   11.19  
Plymouth             14    7  -14      -8.66     3.73    -8.71    42.25     8.60   -27.14     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   73.82R   32.61  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2018, Bury 4 0 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     14   32  +17       8.10    93.88    10.03    85.51     8.77    31.42    33.34    69.88    93.96    76.26P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           14   28  +12       4.48    79.71     5.49    81.14     8.79    25.90    16.91    50.42    86.17    60.01P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          14   27   +9       2.99    71.01     2.04    83.23     8.89    27.04    23.62    59.67    90.38    69.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   14   27   -3       8.82    95.24    -1.40    65.90     8.77   -10.76     0.64     4.39    24.42     7.41P    0.29R    0.02  
Colchester       14   25  +14       1.69    62.26     7.85    77.57     8.83    27.11     9.92    35.23    76.34    46.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         14   24   +5       5.30    84.17     5.48    66.66     8.91     3.70     0.75     5.41    28.65     9.97P    0.23R    0.04  
Bury             14   22   +8      -0.88    43.26     2.40    76.14     9.19    23.45     7.59    29.84    70.27    41.81P    0.02R    0.01  
Crawley_Town     14   22   +3       3.36    73.89     3.94    64.63     8.86     1.08     0.46     3.38    21.73     6.76P    0.49R    0.09  
Forest_Green     14   21   +7       2.43    67.88     7.96    61.25     8.65     1.53     0.14     1.48    12.50     3.45P    1.08R    0.16  
Stevenage        14   21   +2       0.68    55.50     0.36    63.64     8.71     0.48     0.33     2.67    18.35     5.86P    0.48R    0.06  
Carlisle         14   19   -3      -0.94    43.56    -4.08    62.44     8.81    -3.39     0.23     2.03    15.05     4.72P    0.86R    0.18  
Swindon          14   18   -1      -2.05    35.45    -2.30    66.39     8.89     5.72     0.66     4.99    28.17    10.46P    0.30R    0.03  
Mansfield        12   17   +7      -1.88    35.20     3.44    71.90     9.14    19.26     3.17    16.08    53.17    26.75P    0.06R    0.00  
Yeovil           13   17   +5       0.55    55.13     7.06    62.74     9.02     5.74     0.26     2.39    17.21     5.33P    0.99R    0.16  
Oldham           13   17   +3      -4.22    20.67    -2.04    69.27     9.29    13.40     1.83    10.27    41.10    19.33P    0.11R    0.02  
Port_Vale        14   17   -5      -0.13    49.96    -2.20    57.88     8.62    -9.17     0.03     0.50     6.05     1.56P    2.77R    0.58  
Crewe            13   15   +0      -1.80    36.70     1.47    58.28     8.98    -2.80     0.08     0.78     7.91     2.16P    2.76R    0.56  
Morecambe        14   13  -12      -1.93    36.16    -5.68    46.83     8.32   -27.04     0.00     0.03     0.30     0.05P   26.26R    8.43  
Northampton      14   12   -9      -6.02    12.73    -7.38    54.75     9.14   -10.55     0.02     0.33     3.92     1.18P    6.80R    1.87  
Grimsby          13   12   -9      -2.07    34.54    -3.75    47.59     8.48   -22.44     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.08P   23.02R    7.42  
Notts_County     13   12  -14      -4.24    20.51   -11.22    53.67     8.98   -19.88     0.01     0.17     2.73     0.68P    8.82R    2.41  
Cheltenham       13   10   -9      -5.22    14.39    -5.08    48.63     8.83   -19.04     0.00     0.04     0.75     0.17P   19.89R    6.20  
Cambridge_Utd    14    9  -15      -6.89     8.54   -10.14    47.42     8.58   -23.06     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.09P   23.90R    8.56  
Macclesfield     14    7  -12      -5.79    11.46    -2.22    34.58     8.12   -37.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    80.85R   63.19  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       16   34  +18       8.56    92.51    12.72    80.34     9.00    26.01    16.88    66.73    28.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   34  +13       8.75    94.36     8.13    79.90     8.01    20.31    12.46    65.66    25.75P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      16   33  +19       5.28    82.30    10.60    84.90     8.24    35.14    32.85    85.09    48.77P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     16   33  +15       9.04    93.22    11.83    79.87     9.20    23.76    15.52    64.70    26.44P    0.03R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     16   31   +6      10.05    96.13     7.27    71.50     8.25     5.58     1.94    25.39     6.01P    0.16R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          16   29  +15       1.83    62.27     7.13    78.68     8.32    27.62    11.22    61.55    26.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          16   29   +8       4.04    75.89     3.45    73.15     8.29    12.79     3.05    33.79    10.19P    0.08R    0.00  
Hartlepool         16   28   +4       4.65    79.21     1.80    69.30     8.24     4.91     1.10    18.43     4.70P    0.39R    0.00  
Sutton_United      15   26   +3       4.54    79.20     1.59    71.37     8.63     7.54     2.15    26.44     7.38P    0.29R    0.00  
Eastleigh          16   23   -5       3.35    72.89    -1.81    60.68     8.23    -9.78     0.07     2.93     0.57P    5.56R    0.09  
Boreham_Wood       16   22   -1      -0.95    43.77    -2.77    63.82     8.17     0.61     0.19     6.27     1.54P    2.07R    0.02  
Barnet             15   22   -2      -2.22    34.43    -7.54    71.15     8.72     7.77     2.16    26.02     9.46P    0.33R    0.00  
Barrow             16   21   +1      -0.64    46.23     1.27    59.25     8.26    -2.79     0.08     2.36     0.58P    6.73R    0.10  
Halifax            16   21   +0       1.83    63.88     3.57    57.84     8.08    -5.51     0.02     1.34     0.29P    9.24R    0.19  
Bromley            16   20   -3      -2.16    35.90    -3.34    61.24     8.47    -2.91     0.13     4.02     0.97P    5.00R    0.10  
Aldershot          16   20   -6      -2.09    36.14    -6.51    61.40     8.29    -5.19     0.09     3.64     0.86P    4.52R    0.06  
Ebbsfleet_United   16   18   -3      -2.82    31.26    -1.71    59.53     8.32    -2.05     0.04     2.40     0.59P    6.79R    0.15  
Maidenhead         16   17   -6      -2.41    34.28    -2.17    53.41     8.35   -13.48     0.01     0.49     0.10P   23.21R    1.04  
Chesterfield       16   14   -6      -9.86     4.13    -9.04    59.07     8.60     0.08     0.03     2.59     0.83P    7.84R    0.17  
Maidstone_United   16   14  -10      -3.01    29.93    -3.15    46.94     7.92   -21.28     0.00     0.04     0.01P   53.06R    4.47  
Havant_&_Wville    16   11  -12      -4.10    23.80    -1.11    40.49     8.37   -30.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.69R   19.24  
Dag_&_Red          16    9  -12     -12.07     1.23   -10.95    47.57     8.37   -15.69     0.00     0.08     0.02P   47.87R    4.25  
Dover_Athletic     16    8  -19     -11.23     1.54   -14.89    47.24     8.32   -21.63     0.00     0.04     0.01P   51.03R    5.39  
Braintree_Town     16    7  -17      -6.69     9.30    -4.37    32.31     7.91   -41.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.09R   64.74