Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 21 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Fulham 1 5 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   20  +18       1.04    61.15     2.69    89.46     7.13    68.87    61.33    83.85    93.54    97.91    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           8   20  +13       3.73    84.92     4.56    77.95     8.07    39.84     8.12    25.48    49.11    72.19    97.06     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         8   20  +12       4.94    91.86     5.27    83.04     7.86    48.80    20.17    53.12    74.96    88.74    99.28     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   18   +9       3.03    78.67     2.18    73.74     8.38    33.08     3.26    12.74    28.84    50.97    91.67     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham         8   18   +8       1.45    63.92    -1.29    77.11     8.09    36.69     6.71    22.31    45.05    67.95    96.24     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       8   16   +4       5.02    89.68     4.32    52.42     8.26    -6.44     0.00     0.04     0.22     0.83     9.74     0.85R    0.02  
Wolverhampton     8   15   +3       5.62    92.68     5.60    51.94     8.50    -4.43     0.00     0.05     0.23     0.93     9.09     1.15R    0.07  
Man_Utd           8   13   -1      -2.00    29.60    -6.95    66.70     8.12    18.25     0.41     2.33     7.65    18.77    73.04     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           8   13   -1       4.02    85.59     2.53    46.15     8.03   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     2.14     4.77R    0.44  
Leicester         8   12   +2       0.73    57.68     1.78    52.96     8.49    -0.46     0.00     0.06     0.25     1.02    11.29     0.90R    0.04  
Everton           8   12   +1      -0.13    48.59    -0.54    50.57     8.28    -4.72     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.50     6.77     1.44R    0.07  
Burnley           8    8   -2      -3.24    20.19    -2.52    41.25     7.85   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.56    12.57R    1.36  
Brighton          8    8   -4       0.25    54.73     1.58    41.77     7.96   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.73    12.26R    1.49  
Crystal_Palace    8    7   -4      -3.45    18.80    -3.12    39.82     7.88   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.43    17.47R    2.30  
West_Ham          8    7   -5      -0.91    41.98     0.56    43.41     8.26   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.19     9.64R    1.34  
Southampton       8    5   -8      -3.78    15.27    -4.55    38.96     7.93   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.32    20.92R    3.50  
Fulham            8    5  -12      -1.84    31.90    -2.98    33.35     8.27   -37.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    49.61R   14.70  
Huddersfield      8    3  -13      -2.56    21.13    -3.32    26.19     7.02   -42.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.72R   44.03  
Newcastle         8    2   -7      -5.75     3.79    -1.72    40.03     8.08   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41    16.75R    2.55  
Cardiff           8    2  -13      -4.10     9.53    -4.08    29.04     7.93   -36.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    68.95R   28.08  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Bristol_City 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       12   25   +8       6.56    90.84     4.99    75.70     9.35    14.04     8.76    20.63    61.19    29.29P    0.08R    0.01  
West_Brom       12   24  +14       1.29    59.52     3.87    86.53     9.54    39.12    48.13    66.91    91.96    75.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    12   23  +13       4.65    82.85    10.00    76.08     9.26    22.60     9.60    22.62    64.59    32.43P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   12   22   +8       1.93    65.33     2.80    79.52     8.97    23.86    15.15    34.51    77.34    47.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   12   19   +4       3.56    77.45     5.53    63.48     9.26     0.50     0.57     2.17    15.89     4.63P    2.74R    0.34  
Sheff_Wed       12   19   +1       2.33    68.45     0.76    68.44     9.32     5.14     1.94     5.87    31.01    11.09P    0.84R    0.09  
Brentford       12   18   +6      -0.73    44.28     2.48    69.76     9.44    13.69     2.97     8.61    38.13    16.13P    0.63R    0.05  
Derby           12   18   +2      -1.82    35.53    -2.92    68.75     9.13     8.34     2.11     6.28    32.91    13.18P    0.58R    0.04  
Norwich         12   18   +0       2.28    68.42     1.12    64.71     9.18    -0.15     0.67     2.34    18.65     5.66P    2.06R    0.28  
Blackburn       12   18   -1       1.73    64.11    -0.72    63.04     9.51    -3.33     0.72     2.21    15.00     4.89P    3.35R    0.52  
Swansea         12   17   +3      -1.96    34.52    -0.76    70.90     9.41    13.80     3.55     9.88    42.53    19.43P    0.39R    0.05  
Wigan           12   17   -2      -0.28    48.09    -3.29    65.54     9.54     1.04     1.21     3.61    21.78     7.88P    1.92R    0.27  
Bristol_City    12   16   +2      -0.82    43.66     1.59    64.46     9.37     4.55     0.77     2.67    19.00     6.16P    2.22R    0.29  
Stoke           12   16   -1      -2.17    33.29    -3.47    68.48     9.76     7.92     2.34     6.77    32.90    13.64P    1.10R    0.12  
Aston_Villa     12   15   +0      -4.13    20.13    -4.09    66.73     9.24     7.66     1.42     4.24    25.75    10.02P    1.03R    0.11  
Bolton          12   15   -5       3.06    75.92     1.83    48.88     8.40   -23.56     0.00     0.02     0.47     0.08P   36.22R   10.90  
Birmingham      12   14   +1       0.60    56.65     5.39    51.67     8.68   -11.69     0.01     0.06     1.16     0.25P   23.83R    5.92  
QPR             12   14  -10       0.71    57.22    -4.94    51.26     8.88   -24.85     0.01     0.05     1.14     0.22P   27.60R    7.81  
Rotherham       12   11  -10      -0.28    49.59    -1.57    42.87     8.85   -34.06     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.02P   64.50R   33.90  
Millwall        12   10   -6      -4.42    17.93    -3.01    54.02     9.05    -9.81     0.03     0.13     2.28     0.56P   17.43R    4.04  
Reading         12    9   -5      -4.89    15.12    -0.48    47.98     9.04   -17.10     0.00     0.02     0.53     0.11P   39.58R   13.94  
Preston         12    9   -6      -6.59     7.82    -4.56    55.54     9.32    -6.40     0.04     0.28     3.63     1.05P   14.02R    3.38  
Ipswich         12    9   -7      -5.57    11.84    -4.31    49.52     8.99   -16.38     0.01     0.04     0.72     0.17P   33.03R   10.19  
Hull            12    8   -9      -6.78     7.57    -6.25    51.31     9.21   -14.91     0.01     0.08     1.32     0.33P   26.80R    7.72  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           13   30  +12       9.16    96.48     7.61    79.23     9.13    17.76     9.12    23.06    74.13    34.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough         13   27  +11       6.32    88.34     6.73    82.50     9.44    26.64    16.17    36.43    84.04    48.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley             12   25  +17       1.73    62.44     6.55    88.79     9.57    43.18    42.89    65.80    94.71    76.35P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            13   24   +5       5.32    84.91     3.74    70.22     9.14     6.24     1.41     4.93    36.78    11.63P    0.72R    0.04  
Sunderland           12   23  +11       0.89    56.05     2.31    84.63     9.72    33.93    24.63    47.68    88.24    61.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   13   23   +4       5.68    85.92     4.60    65.56     9.48    -0.13     0.60     2.19    20.79     5.94P    2.91R    0.22  
Walsall              12   22   +3       5.58    87.12     2.98    66.81     9.22     0.35     0.57     2.46    23.88     6.53P    1.90R    0.11  
Fleetwood_Town       13   20   +9       0.66    55.11     6.82    69.78     9.20    15.61     1.38     4.77    37.00    12.70P    0.79R    0.03  
Southend             13   20   +1       1.55    62.00     0.09    64.84     9.08     0.13     0.38     1.57    18.17     4.96P    2.98R    0.15  
Luton                13   19   +1       1.59    62.12     1.81    66.90     9.65     4.70     0.76     2.73    25.88     8.01P    2.48R    0.19  
Charlton             12   18   +1       0.44    54.06    -0.54    68.17     9.56     6.12     1.03     3.66    30.23    10.04P    1.67R    0.10  
Coventry             13   18   -2       2.46    69.62     1.04    56.85     9.08   -10.22     0.03     0.18     4.45     1.02P   15.38R    1.86  
Scunthorpe           13   17   -6      -1.21    41.34    -6.30    66.60     9.37     0.22     0.56     2.23    23.50     7.30P    2.52R    0.16  
Blackpool            11   16   +3       0.18    52.20     1.85    64.13     9.42     3.37     0.33     1.46    17.58     5.15P    3.96R    0.30  
Burton_Albion        12   14   -2      -2.65    30.27    -2.31    58.39     9.58    -5.05     0.07     0.37     7.03     2.05P   12.66R    1.61  
Rochdale             13   13   -9      -2.13    35.03    -4.35    55.11     9.24   -14.46     0.02     0.08     2.98     0.64P   21.74R    3.56  
Shrewsbury           13   12   -2      -6.13    11.51    -2.69    58.26     8.91    -0.21     0.03     0.26     5.36     1.50P   11.09R    1.19  
Wycombe              13   12   -5      -2.27    33.73     0.35    46.40     8.94   -22.34     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.05P   56.36R   18.00  
Gillingham           12   11   -7      -3.01    27.20    -2.99    52.99     9.30   -14.50     0.01     0.06     1.86     0.39P   28.59R    5.79  
AFC_Wimbledon        13   11   -8      -3.51    24.18    -3.31    48.19     8.63   -19.21     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P   48.07R   12.20  
Bristol_Rovers       13   10   -4      -6.69     8.87    -2.42    49.98     8.92   -11.86     0.01     0.02     0.85     0.17P   38.72R    8.63  
Bradford             13   10  -10      -5.57    12.95    -6.74    50.97     9.01   -16.33     0.00     0.03     1.04     0.25P   35.90R    7.64  
Oxford_Utd           13    9  -10      -6.75     8.87    -6.61    49.17     9.18   -18.23     0.00     0.02     0.72     0.18P   43.71R   11.32  
Plymouth             13    7  -13      -7.62     5.20    -8.20    43.73     8.72   -25.74     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   67.77R   26.91  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 1 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     13   31  +17       8.94    96.16    10.71    86.55     9.08    32.53    36.75    71.92    94.10    77.50P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           13   27  +12       5.00    83.32     5.69    82.89     9.08    28.09    21.47    56.87    88.21    65.54P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   13   27   +0       9.45    96.75     0.50    68.65     9.06    -5.52     1.27     7.81    33.29    11.88P    0.13R    0.01  
MK_Dons          13   24   +8       1.88    63.74     1.75    81.94     9.27    26.54    18.55    52.70    85.57    63.15P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +5       5.52    85.78     5.33    67.01     9.38     3.40     0.97     6.25    29.15    10.61P    0.31R    0.03  
Colchester       13   22  +13       0.49    53.54     7.44    76.12     9.08    26.43     7.18    29.17    68.72    40.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage        13   21   +3       2.00    65.55     1.28    66.14     9.07     2.98     0.67     4.89    25.64     9.14P    0.32R    0.03  
Forest_Green     13   20   +7       3.01    72.41     8.34    61.92     8.99     1.76     0.23     1.93    13.96     4.06P    0.93R    0.12  
Bury             13   19   +4      -1.18    41.05     0.47    72.67     9.57    16.66     3.73    18.02    53.64    28.09P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     13   19   +0       2.44    68.95     2.02    62.00     9.00    -3.47     0.22     1.81    13.52     3.92P    1.01R    0.17  
Carlisle         13   19   -2       0.44    53.74    -3.09    64.95     9.14    -0.74     0.49     3.83    21.73     7.89P    0.48R    0.06  
Oldham           12   17   +4      -2.79    28.83    -0.96    72.21     9.67    16.77     3.65    17.17    51.79    27.62P    0.10R    0.01  
Swindon          13   17   -1      -1.69    37.73    -2.30    66.53     9.20     5.34     0.76     5.39    27.79    10.66P    0.33R    0.03  
Mansfield        11   16   +7      -1.46    37.68     3.46    72.37     9.45    19.41     3.56    17.08    52.93    27.34P    0.06R    0.00  
Yeovil           12   16   +5       0.96    58.37     7.24    63.73     9.41     6.48     0.40     3.37    19.73     6.82P    0.84R    0.14  
Port_Vale        13   14   -6      -1.93    35.94    -3.30    55.09     8.84   -12.05     0.02     0.28     3.31     0.82P    5.40R    1.10  
Morecambe        13   13  -11      -1.11    42.30    -5.41    47.87     8.62   -26.87     0.00     0.04     0.50     0.11P   21.05R    5.33  
Crewe            12   12   -1      -3.62    22.97     0.29    56.10     9.24    -4.80     0.04     0.44     4.93     1.35P    4.49R    0.84  
Northampton      13   12   -8      -5.34    15.37    -7.29    56.01     9.42    -9.82     0.03     0.52     5.07     1.64P    5.19R    1.20  
Notts_County     12   12  -10      -3.98    21.32    -9.02    56.21     9.27   -14.18     0.02     0.45     4.83     1.36P    5.09R    0.94  
Grimsby          12   11   -9      -2.02    34.23    -4.10    47.36     8.67   -23.77     0.00     0.02     0.44     0.11P   22.86R    5.79  
Cheltenham       12    9   -9      -5.10    14.03    -5.37    48.47     9.13   -20.02     0.00     0.04     0.84     0.22P   19.64R    5.15  
Cambridge_Utd    13    8  -15      -6.82     7.95   -10.57    46.83     8.85   -24.80     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P   25.41R    8.01  
Macclesfield     13    4  -13      -7.47     4.09    -3.10    31.94     8.28   -40.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.30R   71.03  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       16   34  +18       8.54    92.38    12.74    80.34     8.99    26.00    16.63    66.95    28.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   34  +13       8.70    94.11     8.07    79.89     8.10    20.31    12.71    65.59    26.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      16   33  +19       5.28    82.13    10.62    84.88     8.33    35.11    32.71    84.77    48.78P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     16   33  +15       9.01    93.17    11.78    79.95     9.21    23.85    15.83    64.68    26.69P    0.03R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     16   31   +6      10.19    96.38     7.49    71.21     8.19     5.11     1.68    24.34     5.44P    0.24R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          16   29  +15       1.96    62.98     7.35    78.52     8.41    27.41    10.84    60.73    25.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          16   29   +8       4.05    75.87     3.48    73.19     8.30    12.86     3.26    33.93    10.47P    0.06R    0.00  
Hartlepool         16   28   +4       4.73    79.61     1.89    69.10     8.18     4.63     1.03    17.78     4.50P    0.40R    0.00  
Sutton_United      15   26   +3       4.48    79.11     1.52    71.59     8.59     7.86     2.32    27.35     7.82P    0.25R    0.00  
Eastleigh          16   23   -5       3.36    73.11    -1.81    60.62     8.26    -9.81     0.09     2.95     0.59P    5.65R    0.08  
Boreham_Wood       16   22   -1      -0.99    43.32    -2.82    63.85     8.25     0.68     0.19     6.40     1.62P    2.32R    0.01  
Barnet             15   22   -2      -2.27    33.99    -7.66    71.37     8.79     8.07     2.31    27.22     9.78P    0.41R    0.00  
Barrow             16   21   +1      -0.58    46.62     1.36    59.19     8.25    -2.83     0.05     2.31     0.50P    6.88R    0.10  
Halifax            16   21   +0       1.81    63.50     3.49    57.88     8.07    -5.36     0.02     1.44     0.29P    9.12R    0.17  
Bromley            16   20   -3      -2.14    36.38    -3.29    61.19     8.39    -3.02     0.10     3.77     0.91P    4.78R    0.10  
Aldershot          16   20   -6      -2.17    35.73    -6.62    61.59     8.29    -4.91     0.11     3.94     0.95P    4.21R    0.06  
Ebbsfleet_United   16   18   -3      -2.84    30.97    -1.77    59.65     8.34    -1.91     0.05     2.50     0.58P    6.72R    0.15  
Maidenhead         16   17   -6      -2.43    34.15    -2.20    53.34     8.30   -13.56     0.01     0.47     0.10P   23.14R    0.99  
Chesterfield       16   14   -6      -9.92     4.07    -9.12    59.13     8.63     0.15     0.05     2.78     0.89P    7.63R    0.19  
Maidstone_United   16   14  -10      -3.05    29.63    -3.19    46.97     7.83   -21.23     0.00     0.02     0.00P   52.81R    4.28  
Havant_&_Wville    16   11  -12      -4.02    24.19    -0.98    40.42     8.31   -30.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.69R   19.03  
Dag_&_Red          16    9  -12     -12.03     1.21   -10.91    47.44     8.35   -15.87     0.00     0.06     0.01P   48.65R    4.47  
Dover_Athletic     16    8  -19     -11.23     1.60   -14.95    47.28     8.41   -21.53     0.00     0.04     0.01P   50.76R    5.28  
Braintree_Town     16    7  -17      -6.77     8.83    -4.48    32.34     7.81   -41.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.23R   65.08