Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 20 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Fulham 1 5 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   20  +18       1.07    61.46     2.76    89.47     7.13    68.86    61.26    83.52    93.55    97.89    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           8   20  +13       3.74    85.04     4.58    78.10     8.07    40.12     8.14    26.15    50.05    72.76    97.15     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         8   20  +12       4.88    91.47     5.15    83.16     7.81    48.95    20.73    53.34    75.37    89.21    99.21     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   18   +9       2.92    77.65     2.03    73.99     8.33    33.57     3.22    13.36    29.98    52.01    92.02     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         8   18   +8       1.53    64.97    -1.13    76.82     8.08    36.21     6.20    20.97    42.68    66.49    96.04     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       8   16   +4       4.99    89.71     4.29    52.44     8.32    -6.42     0.01     0.05     0.20     0.81     9.98     0.99R    0.05  
Wolverhampton     8   15   +3       5.64    92.90     5.60    51.82     8.43    -4.62     0.00     0.04     0.22     0.81     8.95     1.11R    0.06  
Man_Utd           8   13   -1      -2.02    29.34    -6.96    66.58     8.17    18.11     0.43     2.48     7.48    18.26    72.66     0.01R    0.00  
Watford           8   13   -1       4.02    85.56     2.48    46.18     8.02   -16.07     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.10     2.08     4.62R    0.47  
Leicester         8   12   +2       0.72    57.53     1.80    53.04     8.47    -0.35     0.01     0.04     0.27     1.06    11.16     0.86R    0.05  
Everton           8   12   +1      -0.10    49.02    -0.49    50.55     8.34    -4.76     0.00     0.03     0.15     0.51     6.93     1.60R    0.11  
Burnley           8    8   -2      -3.30    19.90    -2.60    41.46     7.92   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.59    12.12R    1.37  
Brighton          8    8   -4       0.26    54.87     1.60    41.70     8.00   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.76    12.30R    1.58  
Crystal_Palace    8    7   -4      -3.42    18.97    -3.05    39.63     7.81   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.36    17.49R    2.47  
West_Ham          8    7   -5      -0.93    41.71     0.54    43.62     8.28   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.30     9.44R    1.16  
Southampton       8    5   -8      -3.80    15.13    -4.59    39.05     7.94   -20.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29    20.50R    3.36  
Fulham            8    5  -12      -1.76    32.88    -2.84    33.06     8.21   -38.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    50.28R   15.29  
Huddersfield      8    3  -13      -2.57    20.93    -3.38    26.23     7.03   -42.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.51R   43.54  
Newcastle         8    2   -7      -5.75     3.72    -1.72    39.95     8.21   -12.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.46    17.22R    2.75  
Cardiff           8    2  -13      -4.09     9.50    -4.07    29.07     7.86   -36.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    68.96R   27.74  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Bristol_City 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       12   25   +8       6.60    90.97     5.07    75.58     9.44    13.86     8.73    20.51    60.59    28.98P    0.07R    0.00  
West_Brom       12   24  +14       1.22    59.02     3.83    86.69     9.59    39.36    48.27    67.17    92.21    75.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    12   23  +13       4.68    83.07    10.09    76.04     9.33    22.53     9.65    22.58    64.38    32.11P    0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   12   22   +8       1.96    65.71     2.83    79.54     8.98    23.91    15.39    34.75    77.36    48.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   12   19   +4       3.56    77.32     5.50    63.51     9.25     0.59     0.55     2.00    15.74     4.55P    2.66R    0.41  
Sheff_Wed       12   19   +1       2.36    68.63     0.77    68.23     9.31     4.89     1.74     5.49    30.64    10.96P    0.88R    0.11  
Brentford       12   18   +6      -0.72    44.25     2.53    69.75     9.41    13.64     2.92     8.33    37.60    15.53P    0.58R    0.06  
Derby           12   18   +2      -1.84    35.56    -2.97    68.90     9.12     8.58     2.15     6.56    33.48    13.71P    0.49R    0.04  
Norwich         12   18   +0       2.14    67.16     0.90    65.06     9.26     0.40     0.77     2.65    19.95     5.99P    1.88R    0.25  
Blackburn       12   18   -1       1.74    64.03    -0.69    62.94     9.58    -3.50     0.63     2.08    14.93     4.87P    3.62R    0.51  
Swansea         12   17   +3      -2.01    34.18    -0.87    71.18     9.53    14.17     3.77    10.37    43.87    20.21P    0.41R    0.04  
Wigan           12   17   -2      -0.28    48.17    -3.31    65.43     9.51     0.87     1.12     3.43    21.45     7.84P    2.00R    0.26  
Bristol_City    12   16   +2      -0.79    43.98     1.62    64.35     9.38     4.45     0.69     2.57    19.00     6.20P    2.35R    0.34  
Stoke           12   16   -1      -2.18    33.18    -3.46    68.29     9.74     7.64     2.23     6.70    31.97    13.36P    1.12R    0.14  
Aston_Villa     12   15   +0      -4.06    20.51    -3.98    66.54     9.22     7.29     1.29     4.17    25.33     9.65P    1.20R    0.13  
Bolton          12   15   -5       3.09    76.12     1.93    48.73     8.48   -23.87     0.00     0.02     0.48     0.10P   37.22R   11.44  
Birmingham      12   14   +1       0.48    55.38     5.20    51.98     8.78   -11.20     0.01     0.06     1.29     0.22P   22.81R    5.61  
QPR             12   14  -10       0.77    57.82    -4.86    51.29     8.88   -24.86     0.02     0.07     1.03     0.22P   27.70R    7.83  
Rotherham       12   11  -10      -0.31    49.36    -1.65    42.93     8.76   -33.89     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.01P   64.13R   33.31  
Millwall        12   10   -6      -4.49    17.61    -3.11    54.24     9.09    -9.48     0.02     0.14     2.47     0.58P   16.65R    3.94  
Reading         12    9   -5      -4.85    15.04    -0.45    48.00     9.00   -17.10     0.00     0.02     0.58     0.11P   39.29R   13.86  
Preston         12    9   -6      -6.50     8.41    -4.46    55.38     9.30    -6.64     0.05     0.24     3.52     0.91P   14.07R    3.24  
Ipswich         12    9   -7      -5.61    11.51    -4.34    49.53     9.01   -16.36     0.00     0.03     0.77     0.20P   32.97R   10.18  
Hull            12    8   -9      -6.70     7.86    -6.11    51.03     9.24   -15.28     0.01     0.06     1.25     0.32P   27.84R    8.29  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           13   30  +12       9.20    96.51     7.68    79.04     9.12    17.44     8.96    22.91    73.69    34.29P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough         13   27  +11       6.49    89.05     6.98    82.05     9.44    25.93    15.12    35.12    82.93    47.60P    0.03R    0.00  
Barnsley             12   25  +17       1.68    62.16     6.46    88.87     9.60    43.27    43.90    66.53    94.68    76.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster            13   24   +5       5.28    84.36     3.68    70.35     9.20     6.42     1.55     5.05    37.66    11.75P    0.78R    0.03  
Sunderland           12   23  +11       0.92    56.20     2.38    84.54     9.71    33.78    24.49    47.37    87.94    61.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   13   23   +4       5.75    86.19     4.69    65.36     9.43    -0.41     0.66     2.20    20.04     5.67P    3.07R    0.24  
Walsall              12   22   +3       5.56    86.89     2.98    66.90     9.28     0.47     0.69     2.63    24.47     6.88P    1.89R    0.13  
Fleetwood_Town       13   20   +9       0.54    54.26     6.65    70.14     9.19    16.11     1.44     5.28    38.42    13.61P    0.69R    0.04  
Southend             13   20   +1       1.53    61.84     0.09    64.95     9.15     0.32     0.43     1.70    18.69     5.27P    2.94R    0.17  
Luton                13   19   +1       1.55    62.07     1.73    67.01     9.65     4.81     0.74     2.79    26.23     8.24P    2.48R    0.17  
Charlton             12   18   +1       0.47    54.05    -0.49    68.03     9.50     5.90     0.91     3.55    29.57     9.92P    1.74R    0.12  
Coventry             13   18   -2       2.58    70.38     1.20    56.52     8.93   -10.68     0.04     0.17     3.82     0.77P   15.92R    1.81  
Scunthorpe           13   17   -6      -1.24    41.03    -6.34    66.65     9.32     0.37     0.53     2.28    23.73     7.55P    2.43R    0.18  
Blackpool            11   16   +3       0.14    51.68     1.80    64.11     9.40     3.33     0.36     1.52    17.22     5.05P    3.83R    0.28  
Burton_Albion        12   14   -2      -2.84    29.09    -2.59    58.92     9.54    -4.22     0.09     0.44     7.50     1.99P   11.61R    1.45  
Rochdale             13   13   -9      -2.03    35.49    -4.26    55.05     9.23   -14.54     0.02     0.11     2.91     0.68P   22.10R    3.70  
Shrewsbury           13   12   -2      -5.98    11.71    -2.50    58.00     8.93    -0.58     0.05     0.23     5.24     1.54P   11.68R    1.37  
Wycombe              13   12   -5      -2.28    33.91     0.29    46.45     8.95   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P   56.30R   17.91  
Gillingham           12   11   -7      -2.95    27.65    -2.96    52.79     9.31   -14.75     0.01     0.06     1.94     0.42P   29.45R    6.07  
AFC_Wimbledon        13   11   -8      -3.46    24.54    -3.25    48.24     8.66   -19.12     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.08P   47.78R   11.98  
Bristol_Rovers       13   10   -4      -6.79     8.69    -2.58    50.20     8.91   -11.57     0.00     0.03     0.83     0.20P   37.91R    8.34  
Bradford             13   10  -10      -5.63    12.88    -6.79    50.98     8.98   -16.27     0.00     0.02     0.94     0.22P   35.97R    7.71  
Oxford_Utd           13    9  -10      -6.79     8.69    -6.67    49.27     9.20   -18.02     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.17P   43.35R   11.09  
Plymouth             13    7  -13      -7.63     5.24    -8.20    43.71     8.76   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   68.01R   27.20  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 1 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     13   31  +17       8.84    96.16    10.53    86.73     9.05    32.76    37.26    72.39    94.26    77.92P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           13   27  +12       5.15    84.29     5.94    82.59     9.07    27.67    20.20    55.47    87.60    64.11P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   13   27   +0       9.51    96.90     0.58    68.58     9.07    -5.68     1.22     7.48    33.32    11.54P    0.12R    0.01  
MK_Dons          13   24   +8       1.72    62.66     1.49    82.37     9.28    27.24    19.79    54.29    86.52    64.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +5       5.50    85.82     5.32    67.20     9.37     3.72     1.00     6.44    29.79    10.98P    0.23R    0.02  
Colchester       13   22  +13       0.53    53.85     7.51    75.98     9.20    26.19     7.08    28.58    68.20    39.60P    0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage        13   21   +3       1.96    65.42     1.21    66.14     9.01     3.06     0.68     4.89    25.44     9.27P    0.20R    0.02  
Forest_Green     13   20   +7       2.93    72.12     8.19    62.03     8.95     2.03     0.21     2.00    13.74     4.16P    0.84R    0.08  
Bury             13   19   +4      -1.15    41.48     0.50    72.73     9.58    16.75     3.69    18.05    53.88    27.98P    0.07R    0.01  
Crawley_Town     13   19   +0       2.42    68.71     2.02    61.92     9.07    -3.61     0.21     1.94    13.32     3.96P    0.99R    0.14  
Carlisle         13   19   -2       0.29    52.66    -3.28    65.23     9.10    -0.33     0.57     3.98    22.29     8.02P    0.37R    0.05  
Oldham           12   17   +4      -2.75    28.96    -0.92    72.18     9.58    16.66     3.45    16.77    51.55    27.42P    0.07R    0.00  
Swindon          13   17   -1      -1.71    37.48    -2.29    66.58     9.22     5.41     0.70     5.41    27.98    10.90P    0.32R    0.04  
Mansfield        11   16   +7      -1.58    36.67     3.32    72.54     9.40    19.75     3.41    17.42    53.42    27.64P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil           12   16   +5       0.98    58.85     7.22    63.61     9.36     6.36     0.41     3.15    19.14     6.41P    0.73R    0.11  
Port_Vale        13   14   -6      -1.86    36.34    -3.23    55.09     8.90   -12.07     0.02     0.20     3.39     0.85P    5.28R    1.08  
Morecambe        13   13  -11      -1.09    42.69    -5.41    47.77     8.54   -27.03     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.08P   21.52R    5.31  
Crewe            12   12   -1      -3.57    23.23     0.37    55.90     9.21    -5.09     0.04     0.48     4.71     1.35P    4.62R    0.85  
Northampton      13   12   -8      -5.27    15.57    -7.19    55.79     9.34   -10.14     0.03     0.48     4.62     1.42P    5.34R    1.12  
Notts_County     12   12  -10      -3.99    21.50    -9.03    56.15     9.29   -14.23     0.03     0.49     4.97     1.45P    4.99R    0.97  
Grimsby          12   11   -9      -1.91    35.16    -3.93    47.19     8.66   -24.04     0.00     0.02     0.37     0.07P   23.44R    6.31  
Cheltenham       12    9   -9      -5.05    14.28    -5.27    48.34     9.02   -20.28     0.00     0.04     0.71     0.18P   19.67R    5.10  
Cambridge_Utd    13    8  -15      -6.87     7.81   -10.61    46.97     8.81   -24.56     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.09P   24.74R    7.59  
Macclesfield     13    4  -13      -7.44     4.13    -3.02    31.88     8.26   -40.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.42R   71.18  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       16   34  +18       8.47    92.13    12.60    80.45     9.00    26.15    17.20    67.31    28.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   34  +13       8.82    94.32     8.19    79.81     8.05    20.21    12.34    65.01    25.44P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      16   33  +19       5.35    82.55    10.65    84.83     8.29    35.06    32.51    84.62    48.58P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     16   33  +15       9.10    93.50    11.91    79.86     9.28    23.70    15.71    64.26    26.55P    0.02R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     16   31   +6      10.22    96.20     7.51    71.24     8.26     5.15     1.87    24.52     5.84P    0.19R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          16   29  +15       1.84    62.28     7.14    78.70     8.36    27.63    11.26    61.75    26.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          16   29   +8       4.00    75.69     3.40    73.22     8.28    12.92     2.99    34.17    10.59P    0.09R    0.00  
Hartlepool         16   28   +4       4.66    79.22     1.83    69.17     8.21     4.75     1.00    17.78     4.47P    0.36R    0.00  
Sutton_United      15   26   +3       4.52    79.27     1.55    71.52     8.56     7.77     2.18    26.80     7.51P    0.27R    0.00  
Eastleigh          16   23   -5       3.22    72.09    -1.97    60.90     8.14    -9.45     0.06     3.02     0.58P    5.13R    0.07  
Boreham_Wood       16   22   -1      -0.94    43.80    -2.74    63.71     8.28     0.50     0.18     6.31     1.58P    2.34R    0.02  
Barnet             15   22   -2      -2.31    33.75    -7.66    71.35     8.84     8.05     2.28    27.31     9.59P    0.43R    0.00  
Barrow             16   21   +1      -0.70    45.74     1.20    59.38     8.25    -2.58     0.06     2.34     0.53P    6.52R    0.12  
Halifax            16   21   +0       1.89    64.31     3.61    57.68     8.12    -5.67     0.01     1.43     0.27P    9.41R    0.18  
Bromley            16   20   -3      -2.19    35.88    -3.41    61.32     8.48    -2.80     0.12     3.96     0.97P    4.83R    0.08  
Aldershot          16   20   -6      -2.06    36.59    -6.48    61.40     8.30    -5.23     0.10     3.77     0.91P    4.45R    0.08  
Ebbsfleet_United   16   18   -3      -3.02    30.22    -1.97    59.89     8.30    -1.57     0.05     2.54     0.60P    6.24R    0.12  
Maidenhead         16   17   -6      -2.30    35.08    -1.99    53.24     8.39   -13.75     0.01     0.48     0.08P   23.57R    1.13  
Chesterfield       16   14   -6      -9.82     4.26    -8.95    58.88     8.61    -0.22     0.06     2.49     0.74P    8.09R    0.21  
Maidstone_United   16   14  -10      -2.98    29.94    -3.08    46.79     7.82   -21.45     0.00     0.02     0.00    53.79R    4.40  
Havant_&_Wville    16   11  -12      -4.00    24.47    -0.93    40.40     8.37   -30.92     0.00     0.01     0.00P   79.67R   19.11  
Dag_&_Red          16    9  -12     -12.13     1.20   -11.07    47.52     8.35   -15.74     0.00     0.08     0.02P   48.43R    4.25  
Dover_Athletic     16    8  -19     -11.28     1.68   -14.98    47.38     8.36   -21.39     0.00     0.05     0.01P   50.01R    5.01  
Braintree_Town     16    7  -17      -6.68     8.88    -4.36    32.29     7.82   -41.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.17R   65.22