Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 19 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Fulham 1 5 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   20  +18       1.05    61.35     2.74    89.48     7.08    68.88    61.01    83.74    93.73    97.99    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           8   20  +13       3.72    84.83     4.54    78.06     8.06    40.02     8.25    25.68    49.95    73.06    96.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         8   20  +12       4.90    91.61     5.17    83.21     7.79    49.05    20.72    54.02    75.55    89.28    99.28     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   18   +9       3.00    78.38     2.16    73.77     8.35    33.15     3.21    12.79    29.00    51.01    91.76     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         8   18   +8       1.47    64.46    -1.23    76.93     8.07    36.41     6.42    21.20    43.18    66.95    96.08     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       8   16   +4       5.04    89.92     4.38    52.39     8.30    -6.55     0.00     0.04     0.19     0.80     9.80     0.96R    0.03  
Wolverhampton     8   15   +3       5.57    92.71     5.49    51.99     8.49    -4.25     0.00     0.05     0.22     0.80     9.38     1.09R    0.05  
Man_Utd           8   13   -1      -1.94    30.05    -6.87    66.60     8.17    18.07     0.39     2.40     7.77    18.51    72.88     0.01R    0.00  
Watford           8   13   -1       3.99    85.53     2.47    46.11     7.97   -16.19     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.08     2.03     4.61R    0.42  
Leicester         8   12   +2       0.71    57.54     1.74    53.08     8.48    -0.26     0.01     0.06     0.30     1.06    11.50     0.86R    0.06  
Everton           8   12   +1      -0.09    49.19    -0.47    50.50     8.26    -4.81     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.40     6.65     1.50R    0.10  
Burnley           8    8   -2      -3.26    19.96    -2.52    41.33     7.89   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.59    12.57R    1.39  
Brighton          8    8   -4       0.26    55.06     1.62    41.72     7.93   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.61    12.17R    1.50  
Crystal_Palace    8    7   -4      -3.42    19.01    -3.09    39.73     7.92   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41    17.52R    2.45  
West_Ham          8    7   -5      -0.93    41.63     0.52    43.62     8.26   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.26     9.19R    1.17  
Southampton       8    5   -8      -3.77    15.36    -4.53    38.94     7.93   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32    20.96R    3.41  
Fulham            8    5  -12      -1.80    32.34    -2.93    33.15     8.19   -37.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    50.00R   14.96  
Huddersfield      8    3  -13      -2.56    20.87    -3.36    26.24     7.06   -42.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.29R   43.97  
Newcastle         8    2   -7      -5.75     3.86    -1.71    39.93     8.19   -12.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.43    17.44R    2.76  
Cardiff           8    2  -13      -4.13     9.52    -4.14    29.07     7.90   -36.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    68.82R   27.71  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Bristol_City 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       12   25   +8       6.65    91.29     5.15    75.48     9.36    13.64     8.46    20.04    60.09    28.36P    0.09R    0.00  
West_Brom       12   24  +14       1.26    59.21     3.86    86.60     9.60    39.25    48.29    66.83    91.98    74.92P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    12   23  +13       4.68    82.94    10.08    76.05     9.32    22.54     9.69    22.82    64.59    32.64P    0.08R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   12   22   +8       1.87    64.76     2.74    79.63     9.03    24.03    15.79    35.15    77.57    48.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   12   19   +4       3.52    77.31     5.47    63.49     9.22     0.55     0.53     1.97    15.80     4.46P    2.68R    0.37  
Sheff_Wed       12   19   +1       2.33    68.51     0.75    68.33     9.27     4.99     1.87     5.93    30.76    11.22P    0.72R    0.08  
Brentford       12   18   +6      -0.76    43.81     2.44    69.95     9.38    13.96     2.97     8.61    38.74    16.07P    0.52R    0.04  
Derby           12   18   +2      -1.81    35.62    -2.89    68.77     9.11     8.32     1.98     6.26    32.91    13.34P    0.57R    0.05  
Norwich         12   18   +0       2.11    67.15     0.85    65.14     9.29     0.52     0.82     2.81    20.22     6.29P    1.86R    0.25  
Blackburn       12   18   -1       1.69    63.75    -0.76    63.07     9.48    -3.25     0.65     2.14    15.03     4.84P    3.30R    0.50  
Swansea         12   17   +3      -1.95    34.51    -0.80    71.06     9.39    13.95     3.66     9.96    43.14    19.60P    0.38R    0.04  
Wigan           12   17   -2      -0.31    48.14    -3.33    65.44     9.50     0.95     1.16     3.54    21.51     7.79P    1.95R    0.24  
Bristol_City    12   16   +2      -0.76    44.31     1.67    64.30     9.39     4.37     0.71     2.69    18.58     6.17P    2.33R    0.31  
Stoke           12   16   -1      -2.13    33.63    -3.42    68.27     9.75     7.65     2.12     6.65    32.30    13.43P    1.04R    0.16  
Aston_Villa     12   15   +0      -4.12    20.18    -4.06    66.66     9.19     7.49     1.21     4.00    25.53     9.66P    1.21R    0.13  
Bolton          12   15   -5       3.10    76.42     1.91    48.73     8.42   -23.82     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.06P   37.15R   11.31  
Birmingham      12   14   +1       0.51    55.65     5.23    51.99     8.71   -11.15     0.01     0.07     1.21     0.24P   22.64R    5.67  
QPR             12   14  -10       0.71    57.12    -4.95    51.28     8.90   -24.90     0.01     0.05     1.12     0.24P   27.65R    7.67  
Rotherham       12   11  -10      -0.30    49.35    -1.62    43.03     8.87   -33.79     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.02P   63.73R   33.30  
Millwall        12   10   -6      -4.44    17.83    -3.04    54.14     9.14    -9.63     0.02     0.16     2.54     0.63P   17.15R    4.08  
Reading         12    9   -5      -4.77    15.48    -0.32    47.77     8.95   -17.45     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.11P   40.29R   14.36  
Preston         12    9   -6      -6.54     8.13    -4.49    55.29     9.26    -6.78     0.03     0.20     3.33     0.91P   14.36R    3.34  
Ipswich         12    9   -7      -5.56    12.02    -4.27    49.53     9.00   -16.35     0.00     0.04     0.72     0.16P   32.88R   10.23  
Hull            12    8   -9      -6.73     7.90    -6.17    51.15     9.25   -15.10     0.01     0.07     1.28     0.34P   27.40R    7.88  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           13   30  +12       9.19    96.51     7.66    79.15     9.20    17.64     9.29    23.23    73.84    34.87P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough         13   27  +11       6.36    88.58     6.76    82.33     9.39    26.40    15.65    36.23    83.81    48.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley             12   25  +17       1.72    62.74     6.53    88.71     9.57    42.95    43.11    65.82    94.48    76.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            13   24   +5       5.27    84.47     3.69    70.37     9.16     6.46     1.48     5.03    37.38    11.78P    0.74R    0.03  
Sunderland           12   23  +11       0.95    56.41     2.44    84.50     9.73    33.70    24.65    47.18    87.96    60.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   13   23   +4       5.73    86.40     4.66    65.36     9.37    -0.38     0.52     2.08    20.06     5.56P    2.96R    0.18  
Walsall              12   22   +3       5.67    87.48     3.15    66.62     9.27     0.11     0.63     2.48    23.62     6.49P    2.10R    0.11  
Fleetwood_Town       13   20   +9       0.66    55.12     6.82    69.98     9.30    15.87     1.35     5.11    38.04    13.20P    0.80R    0.04  
Southend             13   20   +1       1.54    61.80     0.07    64.76     9.24     0.05     0.40     1.58    18.18     5.16P    3.22R    0.21  
Luton                13   19   +1       1.64    62.63     1.88    66.85     9.65     4.65     0.73     2.74    25.78     8.02P    2.54R    0.18  
Charlton             12   18   +1       0.37    53.40    -0.65    68.36     9.39     6.38     1.02     3.66    30.40    10.06P    1.48R    0.07  
Coventry             13   18   -2       2.50    69.86     1.10    56.78     8.93   -10.34     0.04     0.14     3.80     0.80P   15.41R    1.81  
Scunthorpe           13   17   -6      -1.29    40.66    -6.42    66.71     9.36     0.43     0.56     2.33    24.00     7.61P    2.46R    0.17  
Blackpool            11   16   +3       0.15    51.69     1.80    64.20     9.47     3.50     0.39     1.55    17.67     5.29P    3.98R    0.32  
Burton_Albion        12   14   -2      -2.72    30.01    -2.44    58.58     9.58    -4.73     0.11     0.42     7.29     2.01P   12.31R    1.66  
Rochdale             13   13   -9      -2.12    34.92    -4.38    55.11     9.19   -14.39     0.01     0.08     2.92     0.62P   21.68R    3.62  
Shrewsbury           13   12   -2      -6.11    11.46    -2.66    58.33     8.90    -0.15     0.04     0.23     5.39     1.54P   11.13R    1.36  
Wycombe              13   12   -5      -2.35    33.38     0.24    46.50     9.00   -22.18     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.07P   55.87R   17.75  
Gillingham           12   11   -7      -2.98    27.64    -3.00    52.95     9.31   -14.50     0.01     0.06     2.08     0.46P   28.81R    5.91  
AFC_Wimbledon        13   11   -8      -3.47    24.19    -3.29    48.21     8.58   -19.19     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P   47.84R   11.90  
Bristol_Rovers       13   10   -4      -6.69     9.07    -2.43    49.99     8.92   -11.90     0.01     0.01     0.78     0.18P   38.90R    8.69  
Bradford             13   10  -10      -5.57    13.13    -6.71    51.00     9.02   -16.27     0.00     0.02     1.00     0.24P   36.12R    7.87  
Oxford_Utd           13    9  -10      -6.73     8.89    -6.57    49.14     9.11   -18.35     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.13P   43.72R   11.12  
Plymouth             13    7  -13      -7.65     5.24    -8.25    43.71     8.74   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   67.87R   26.99  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 1 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     13   31  +17       8.84    96.12    10.51    86.64     9.07    32.59    36.88    71.94    94.11    77.66P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           13   27  +12       5.11    83.84     5.88    82.68     9.14    27.73    20.55    56.20    87.44    64.60P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   13   27   +0       9.42    96.72     0.44    68.78     9.05    -5.34     1.27     8.02    34.08    12.23P    0.09R    0.01  
MK_Dons          13   24   +8       1.95    64.07     1.81    81.81     9.19    26.32    18.01    51.79    85.53    62.44P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +5       5.63    86.27     5.50    66.71     9.34     3.04     0.90     5.92    27.97    10.15P    0.24R    0.03  
Colchester       13   22  +13       0.38    52.88     7.28    76.36     9.17    26.80     7.95    29.80    69.61    41.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage        13   21   +3       2.03    65.60     1.33    66.08     9.09     2.90     0.69     4.87    25.36     9.06P    0.26R    0.03  
Forest_Green     13   20   +7       2.98    72.25     8.26    61.88     9.01     1.81     0.22     1.93    13.77     4.14P    0.96R    0.12  
Bury             13   19   +4      -1.22    40.84     0.39    72.78     9.55    16.83     3.86    18.23    54.21    28.40P    0.05R    0.01  
Crawley_Town     13   19   +0       2.58    70.12     2.28    61.67     9.00    -3.90     0.17     1.68    12.70     3.61P    0.94R    0.14  
Carlisle         13   19   -2       0.43    53.83    -3.09    64.97     9.03    -0.70     0.45     3.67    21.19     7.46P    0.45R    0.07  
Oldham           12   17   +4      -2.85    28.43    -1.07    72.55     9.74    17.23     4.09    18.05    53.05    28.42P    0.06R    0.01  
Swindon          13   17   -1      -1.77    36.79    -2.38    66.60     9.13     5.48     0.74     5.39    27.75    10.80P    0.30R    0.02  
Mansfield        11   16   +7      -1.53    37.17     3.37    72.58     9.43    19.77     3.62    17.47    53.77    27.90P    0.06R    0.01  
Yeovil           12   16   +5       0.98    58.58     7.22    63.78     9.40     6.56     0.45     3.32    19.73     6.56P    0.83R    0.12  
Port_Vale        13   14   -6      -1.97    35.73    -3.37    55.14     8.78   -12.00     0.01     0.24     3.23     0.79P    5.06R    1.00  
Morecambe        13   13  -11      -1.13    42.06    -5.45    47.90     8.61   -26.87     0.00     0.02     0.46     0.08P   21.12R    5.38  
Crewe            12   12   -1      -3.49    24.00     0.51    55.85     9.28    -5.22     0.05     0.45     4.80     1.32P    4.92R    0.94  
Northampton      13   12   -8      -5.34    15.16    -7.27    55.86     9.27    -9.99     0.03     0.40     4.54     1.32P    5.10R    1.14  
Notts_County     12   12  -10      -4.03    21.14    -9.08    56.30     9.37   -13.93     0.07     0.57     5.18     1.59P    5.02R    0.83  
Grimsby          12   11   -9      -1.97    34.47    -4.05    47.30     8.68   -23.84     0.00     0.02     0.42     0.10P   23.18R    6.06  
Cheltenham       12    9   -9      -5.11    13.82    -5.35    48.44     9.06   -20.14     0.00     0.03     0.73     0.19P   19.74R    5.13  
Cambridge_Utd    13    8  -15      -6.89     7.96   -10.66    46.94     8.82   -24.61     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.09P   25.08R    7.60  
Macclesfield     13    4  -13      -7.39     4.20    -3.00    31.85     8.26   -40.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.54R   71.35  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       16   34  +18       8.47    92.43    12.57    80.48     9.01    26.18    17.21    67.18    28.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   34  +13       8.74    94.28     8.12    79.84     8.05    20.25    12.18    65.36    25.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      16   33  +19       5.34    82.45    10.64    84.96     8.24    35.23    32.96    85.21    48.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     16   33  +15       9.02    93.27    11.81    79.85     9.17    23.72    15.39    64.24    26.14P    0.03R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     16   31   +6      10.19    96.10     7.48    71.14     8.30     5.00     1.81    24.24     5.65P    0.23R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          16   29  +15       1.87    62.71     7.17    78.76     8.35    27.71    11.24    61.65    26.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          16   29   +8       3.96    75.29     3.37    73.28     8.26    12.94     3.08    34.42    10.42P    0.09R    0.00  
Hartlepool         16   28   +4       4.79    80.20     2.00    69.03     8.20     4.49     1.02    17.49     4.46P    0.37R    0.00  
Sutton_United      15   26   +3       4.41    78.82     1.42    71.65     8.58     7.99     2.13    27.20     7.66P    0.26R    0.00  
Eastleigh          16   23   -5       3.36    72.95    -1.78    60.66     8.20    -9.77     0.08     2.76     0.52P    5.58R    0.08  
Boreham_Wood       16   22   -1      -0.94    43.73    -2.75    63.72     8.28     0.49     0.18     6.39     1.56P    2.29R    0.02  
Barnet             15   22   -2      -2.24    34.50    -7.56    71.28     8.82     8.00     2.29    26.79     9.56P    0.38R    0.00  
Barrow             16   21   +1      -0.68    45.63     1.21    59.44     8.22    -2.49     0.05     2.39     0.51P    6.55R    0.11  
Halifax            16   21   +0       1.83    63.67     3.54    57.85     8.07    -5.47     0.03     1.38     0.30P    9.12R    0.19  
Bromley            16   20   -3      -2.13    35.91    -3.32    61.21     8.46    -3.00     0.12     3.88     0.92P    5.05R    0.08  
Aldershot          16   20   -6      -2.13    35.98    -6.54    61.35     8.30    -5.26     0.09     3.57     0.89P    4.54R    0.08  
Ebbsfleet_United   16   18   -3      -2.89    30.94    -1.81    59.76     8.35    -1.78     0.05     2.63     0.66P    6.58R    0.17  
Maidenhead         16   17   -6      -2.41    34.28    -2.18    53.40     8.34   -13.48     0.01     0.51     0.10P   23.16R    0.99  
Chesterfield       16   14   -6      -9.84     4.21    -9.02    59.12     8.64     0.10     0.07     2.57     0.85P    7.86R    0.18  
Maidstone_United   16   14  -10      -3.11    29.09    -3.28    47.05     7.83   -21.09     0.00     0.03     0.00P   52.06R    4.17  
Havant_&_Wville    16   11  -12      -3.93    24.59    -0.82    40.16     8.31   -31.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.36R   19.76  
Dag_&_Red          16    9  -12     -12.03     1.21   -10.90    47.42     8.31   -15.93     0.00     0.06     0.01P   48.59R    4.28  
Dover_Athletic     16    8  -19     -11.24     1.68   -14.92    47.28     8.32   -21.60     0.00     0.05     0.01P   50.73R    5.31  
Braintree_Town     16    7  -17      -6.70     8.80    -4.44    32.31     7.85   -41.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.16R   64.58