Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 18 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Fulham 1 5 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   20  +18       1.01    60.65     2.61    89.53     7.18    69.08    61.61    83.94    93.60    97.83    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           8   20  +13       3.74    84.97     4.56    78.09     8.04    40.09     8.47    26.18    49.80    72.60    97.15     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         8   20  +12       4.98    91.96     5.31    83.03     7.82    48.72    20.08    52.65    74.91    88.93    99.30     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   18   +9       2.96    78.00     2.07    73.97     8.31    33.54     3.21    13.31    29.37    51.78    92.09     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         8   18   +8       1.45    64.29    -1.25    76.95     8.03    36.40     6.21    21.32    43.93    67.28    96.14     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       8   16   +4       4.97    89.44     4.26    52.47     8.31    -6.35     0.01     0.06     0.24     0.92     9.84     0.87R    0.04  
Wolverhampton     8   15   +3       5.60    92.70     5.58    51.87     8.43    -4.52     0.01     0.05     0.20     0.85     8.94     1.15R    0.10  
Man_Utd           8   13   -1      -1.94    30.02    -6.85    66.55     8.13    18.01     0.40     2.41     7.48    17.93    72.53     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           8   13   -1       4.01    85.64     2.51    46.09     7.98   -16.20     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.10     2.01     4.61R    0.43  
Leicester         8   12   +2       0.69    57.30     1.73    53.09     8.57    -0.25     0.01     0.06     0.33     1.24    11.98     0.88R    0.04  
Everton           8   12   +1      -0.07    49.35    -0.44    50.39     8.23    -5.01     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.44     6.33     1.50R    0.09  
Burnley           8    8   -2      -3.27    20.15    -2.58    41.35     7.88   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.59    12.27R    1.42  
Brighton          8    8   -4       0.27    55.02     1.62    41.68     7.98   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.70    12.27R    1.51  
Crystal_Palace    8    7   -4      -3.38    19.12    -3.05    39.66     7.85   -18.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35    17.66R    2.45  
West_Ham          8    7   -5      -0.97    41.27     0.43    43.77     8.28   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.30     9.06R    1.12  
Southampton       8    5   -8      -3.77    15.27    -4.51    38.90     7.97   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29    21.25R    3.59  
Fulham            8    5  -12      -1.81    32.15    -2.92    33.23     8.16   -37.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    49.39R   14.68  
Huddersfield      8    3  -13      -2.60    20.58    -3.34    26.28     7.05   -42.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.22R   43.23  
Newcastle         8    2   -7      -5.80     3.74    -1.79    40.15     8.12   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.45    16.68R    2.52  
Cardiff           8    2  -13      -4.03     9.92    -3.95    28.86     7.87   -37.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.18R   28.78  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Bristol_City 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       12   25   +8       6.58    90.93     5.02    75.65     9.40    13.91     8.71    20.71    61.02    29.30P    0.08R    0.01  
West_Brom       12   24  +14       1.24    58.96     3.82    86.58     9.57    39.18    47.91    66.63    92.02    74.48P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    12   23  +13       4.66    83.11    10.05    76.06     9.24    22.59     9.50    22.57    64.79    32.61P    0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   12   22   +8       1.87    64.97     2.73    79.69     8.97    24.12    15.94    35.61    77.72    48.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   12   19   +4       3.57    77.65     5.55    63.46     9.20     0.51     0.51     1.87    15.83     4.36P    2.62R    0.39  
Sheff_Wed       12   19   +1       2.31    68.26     0.76    68.27     9.27     4.93     1.76     5.60    30.65    10.98P    0.83R    0.07  
Brentford       12   18   +6      -0.74    43.99     2.47    69.89     9.42    13.87     3.06     8.50    38.27    16.05P    0.50R    0.04  
Derby           12   18   +2      -1.79    35.68    -2.88    68.81     9.16     8.40     2.06     6.33    33.28    13.29P    0.57R    0.06  
Norwich         12   18   +0       2.30    68.44     1.11    64.56     9.20    -0.33     0.64     2.37    18.35     5.54P    2.08R    0.28  
Blackburn       12   18   -1       1.74    64.03    -0.72    63.00     9.48    -3.39     0.66     2.17    14.80     4.78P    3.39R    0.50  
Swansea         12   17   +3      -2.02    33.79    -0.87    71.16     9.39    14.11     3.55    10.09    43.26    19.88P    0.37R    0.04  
Wigan           12   17   -2      -0.36    47.43    -3.42    65.55     9.49     1.11     1.17     3.62    21.86     8.00P    1.96R    0.23  
Bristol_City    12   16   +2      -0.76    44.25     1.65    64.46     9.35     4.58     0.75     2.69    18.91     6.18P    2.28R    0.32  
Stoke           12   16   -1      -2.21    33.30    -3.53    68.41     9.73     7.84     2.24     6.52    32.53    13.54P    1.03R    0.12  
Aston_Villa     12   15   +0      -4.10    20.48    -4.02    66.59     9.24     7.41     1.41     4.16    25.32     9.76P    1.21R    0.16  
Bolton          12   15   -5       3.04    75.78     1.84    48.98     8.45   -23.47     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.05P   35.82R   10.80  
Birmingham      12   14   +1       0.59    56.41     5.34    51.73     8.68   -11.53     0.01     0.04     1.20     0.21P   23.47R    5.78  
QPR             12   14  -10       0.71    57.31    -4.95    51.39     8.83   -24.71     0.00     0.04     1.11     0.20P   27.00R    7.51  
Rotherham       12   11  -10      -0.28    49.60    -1.62    42.93     8.72   -33.96     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   64.27R   33.51  
Millwall        12   10   -6      -4.42    17.93    -3.06    54.30     9.10    -9.39     0.03     0.11     2.50     0.51P   16.73R    3.90  
Reading         12    9   -5      -4.81    15.21    -0.38    47.90     9.01   -17.26     0.00     0.02     0.49     0.10P   39.94R   14.23  
Preston         12    9   -6      -6.53     8.25    -4.47    55.28     9.37    -6.76     0.06     0.24     3.53     0.93P   14.72R    3.53  
Ipswich         12    9   -7      -5.52    12.05    -4.19    49.29     8.97   -16.75     0.01     0.03     0.74     0.17P   34.03R   10.64  
Hull            12    8   -9      -6.76     7.66    -6.23    51.23     9.27   -15.01     0.01     0.06     1.30     0.34P   27.05R    7.90  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           13   30  +12       9.15    96.23     7.58    79.28     9.20    17.80     9.36    23.61    74.31    34.86P    0.04R    0.00  
Peterborough         13   27  +11       6.40    88.64     6.84    82.33     9.45    26.37    15.75    35.96    83.49    48.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley             12   25  +17       1.72    62.41     6.54    88.79     9.63    43.16    43.18    65.72    94.56    76.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            13   24   +5       5.34    84.83     3.76    70.29     9.10     6.36     1.43     4.99    36.93    11.63P    0.70R    0.04  
Sunderland           12   23  +11       0.95    56.77     2.41    84.57     9.72    33.80    24.22    47.03    88.11    60.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   13   23   +4       5.84    86.83     4.83    65.14     9.36    -0.77     0.53     1.92    19.19     5.24P    3.03R    0.20  
Walsall              12   22   +3       5.64    87.47     3.11    66.65     9.30     0.13     0.62     2.52    23.70     6.67P    2.07R    0.11  
Fleetwood_Town       13   20   +9       0.57    54.60     6.67    70.07     9.23    16.00     1.55     5.25    38.00    13.44P    0.73R    0.02  
Southend             13   20   +1       1.49    61.56     0.00    65.08     9.11     0.49     0.39     1.60    18.60     5.20P    2.79R    0.17  
Luton                13   19   +1       1.52    61.83     1.73    67.07     9.67     4.96     0.78     2.95    26.61     8.47P    2.38R    0.19  
Charlton             12   18   +1       0.33    53.13    -0.72    68.40     9.44     6.42     1.02     3.67    30.68    10.24P    1.51R    0.11  
Coventry             13   18   -2       2.60    70.49     1.24    56.57     8.95   -10.65     0.02     0.13     3.93     0.80P   16.05R    1.83  
Scunthorpe           13   17   -6      -1.30    40.54    -6.42    66.63     9.38     0.38     0.61     2.32    23.89     7.53P    2.47R    0.13  
Blackpool            11   16   +3       0.17    52.10     1.82    64.11     9.44     3.32     0.35     1.43    17.26     5.02P    4.05R    0.30  
Burton_Albion        12   14   -2      -2.70    30.06    -2.38    58.44     9.64    -4.97     0.10     0.43     7.16     1.99P   12.54R    1.68  
Rochdale             13   13   -9      -2.16    34.41    -4.44    55.18     9.32   -14.32     0.02     0.13     3.17     0.75P   21.74R    3.75  
Shrewsbury           13   12   -2      -6.07    11.56    -2.62    58.11     8.91    -0.41     0.04     0.22     5.15     1.51P   11.23R    1.38  
Wycombe              13   12   -5      -2.17    34.41     0.51    46.23     8.96   -22.61     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P   57.16R   18.65  
Gillingham           12   11   -7      -2.96    27.70    -2.94    52.77     9.39   -14.79     0.01     0.06     1.96     0.44P   29.81R    6.10  
AFC_Wimbledon        13   11   -8      -3.45    24.70    -3.28    48.16     8.67   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.07P   47.94R   12.42  
Bristol_Rovers       13   10   -4      -6.68     8.87    -2.41    50.03     8.91   -11.87     0.00     0.02     0.90     0.21P   38.73R    8.44  
Bradford             13   10  -10      -5.65    12.76    -6.83    51.09     8.97   -16.16     0.00     0.02     0.94     0.20P   35.23R    7.71  
Oxford_Utd           13    9  -10      -6.75     8.67    -6.62    49.20     9.10   -18.19     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.16P   43.62R   10.88  
Plymouth             13    7  -13      -7.76     5.10    -8.40    44.07     8.80   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   66.15R   25.90  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 1 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     13   31  +17       8.76    96.02    10.41    86.95     9.03    33.06    37.94    73.14    94.55    78.83P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           13   27  +12       5.11    83.80     5.85    82.76     9.04    27.87    20.41    56.37    87.92    64.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   13   27   +0       9.44    96.81     0.46    68.63     9.04    -5.57     1.27     7.60    33.59    11.82P    0.10R    0.01  
MK_Dons          13   24   +8       1.86    63.89     1.71    82.00     9.24    26.65    18.29    52.95    85.61    63.36P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +5       5.55    85.81     5.38    67.04     9.44     3.41     1.01     6.26    29.37    10.73P    0.28R    0.04  
Colchester       13   22  +13       0.57    53.87     7.56    75.94     9.19    26.15     7.17    28.43    67.90    39.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage        13   21   +3       1.96    65.22     1.25    66.05     9.10     2.88     0.64     4.82    25.33     9.21P    0.26R    0.04  
Forest_Green     13   20   +7       3.02    72.53     8.35    61.91     8.99     1.82     0.20     1.97    13.69     4.06P    0.90R    0.11  
Bury             13   19   +4      -1.21    41.26     0.41    72.78     9.57    16.83     3.89    18.04    53.77    27.99P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     13   19   +0       2.40    68.63     1.97    62.08     9.06    -3.31     0.19     1.90    13.84     4.13P    0.94R    0.17  
Carlisle         13   19   -2       0.40    53.55    -3.15    65.06     9.19    -0.61     0.57     3.99    22.04     7.99P    0.46R    0.05  
Oldham           12   17   +4      -2.77    29.02    -0.93    72.14     9.69    16.65     3.58    16.67    51.51    27.15P    0.06R    0.01  
Swindon          13   17   -1      -1.77    36.99    -2.41    66.85     9.26     5.83     0.81     5.84    28.61    11.30P    0.30R    0.04  
Mansfield        11   16   +7      -1.52    37.38     3.39    72.45     9.45    19.55     3.56    17.31    53.29    27.55P    0.06R    0.01  
Yeovil           12   16   +5       0.98    58.65     7.22    63.51     9.36     6.21     0.37     3.01    18.90     6.22P    0.80R    0.14  
Port_Vale        13   14   -6      -2.01    35.33    -3.42    55.36     8.86   -11.71     0.01     0.24     3.55     0.89P    4.81R    0.98  
Morecambe        13   13  -11      -1.06    42.88    -5.34    47.80     8.55   -26.99     0.00     0.02     0.46     0.09P   21.14R    5.33  
Crewe            12   12   -1      -3.53    23.74     0.41    55.96     9.23    -5.00     0.02     0.44     4.90     1.31P    4.66R    0.85  
Northampton      13   12   -8      -5.27    15.58    -7.19    55.74     9.38   -10.20     0.02     0.43     4.55     1.37P    5.35R    1.17  
Notts_County     12   12  -10      -4.00    21.36    -9.06    56.19     9.38   -14.14     0.03     0.47     5.02     1.47P    5.12R    1.05  
Grimsby          12   11   -9      -1.89    35.25    -3.94    47.21     8.71   -24.02     0.00     0.04     0.44     0.11P   23.42R    6.10  
Cheltenham       12    9   -9      -5.04    14.36    -5.25    48.30     9.11   -20.34     0.01     0.04     0.79     0.18P   19.98R    5.37  
Cambridge_Utd    13    8  -15      -6.90     7.56   -10.66    46.95     8.79   -24.57     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P   24.85R    7.43  
Macclesfield     13    4  -13      -7.42     4.07    -3.04    31.87     8.26   -40.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   86.46R   71.10  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       16   34  +18       8.48    92.28    12.60    80.45     9.01    26.16    17.12    67.21    28.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   34  +13       8.69    94.02     8.04    79.97     8.14    20.40    13.12    65.58    26.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      16   33  +19       5.40    83.00    10.76    84.73     8.22    34.85    31.76    84.64    47.27P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     16   33  +15       9.02    93.39    11.80    79.79     9.11    23.64    15.24    64.06    26.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     16   31   +6      10.15    96.27     7.45    71.26     8.26     5.20     1.83    24.52     5.72P    0.23R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          16   29  +15       1.81    62.20     7.12    78.69     8.38    27.65    11.37    61.71    26.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          16   29   +8       3.92    75.17     3.30    73.40     8.33    13.12     3.30    34.76    11.08P    0.09R    0.00  
Hartlepool         16   28   +4       4.70    79.46     1.88    69.18     8.22     4.75     0.98    18.03     4.45P    0.41R    0.00  
Sutton_United      15   26   +3       4.49    79.09     1.52    71.51     8.64     7.78     2.23    26.93     7.73P    0.30R    0.00  
Eastleigh          16   23   -5       3.36    72.88    -1.81    60.63     8.19    -9.81     0.10     2.73     0.59P    5.56R    0.09  
Boreham_Wood       16   22   -1      -0.85    44.20    -2.63    63.59     8.19     0.32     0.18     6.06     1.51P    2.28R    0.02  
Barnet             15   22   -2      -2.24    34.31    -7.58    71.29     8.86     7.94     2.38    26.99     9.86P    0.39R    0.00  
Barrow             16   21   +1      -0.69    45.88     1.18    59.44     8.25    -2.51     0.05     2.36     0.54P    6.51R    0.09  
Halifax            16   21   +0       1.94    64.30     3.68    57.76     8.16    -5.57     0.03     1.49     0.31P    9.66R    0.18  
Bromley            16   20   -3      -2.18    35.86    -3.39    61.40     8.43    -2.73     0.09     3.88     0.90P    4.80R    0.06  
Aldershot          16   20   -6      -2.06    36.31    -6.47    61.34     8.29    -5.25     0.11     3.48     0.87P    4.60R    0.06  
Ebbsfleet_United   16   18   -3      -2.91    31.15    -1.83    59.70     8.38    -1.84     0.06     2.44     0.61P    6.64R    0.15  
Maidenhead         16   17   -6      -2.41    34.34    -2.14    53.39     8.30   -13.51     0.00     0.48     0.09P   23.22R    0.98  
Chesterfield       16   14   -6      -9.82     4.38    -8.98    59.00     8.69    -0.03     0.05     2.51     0.74P    8.17R    0.20  
Maidstone_United   16   14  -10      -3.11    29.25    -3.25    47.03     7.88   -21.11     0.00     0.02     0.00P   52.30R    4.25  
Havant_&_Wville    16   11  -12      -3.90    25.05    -0.81    40.19     8.40   -31.17     0.00     0.00     0.00P   80.27R   19.68  
Dag_&_Red          16    9  -12     -12.13     1.14   -11.05    47.58     8.37   -15.67     0.00     0.06     0.02P   47.76R    4.34  
Dover_Athletic     16    8  -19     -11.26     1.67   -14.99    47.34     8.39   -21.47     0.00     0.04     0.01P   50.55R    5.20  
Braintree_Town     16    7  -17      -6.73     9.22    -4.44    32.29     7.85   -41.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.20R   64.70