Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 14 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Fulham 1 5 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 8 20 +18 1.07 61.49 2.77 89.43 7.15 68.75 61.07 83.47 93.54 98.02 99.95 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 8 20 +13 3.72 85.00 4.57 78.00 7.98 39.93 7.91 25.60 49.58 72.60 97.14 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 8 20 +12 4.94 91.79 5.21 83.12 7.83 48.93 20.70 53.49 75.14 88.86 99.34 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 8 18 +9 3.00 78.21 2.14 73.79 8.34 33.22 3.16 13.02 28.97 51.06 91.92 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 8 18 +8 1.46 64.33 -1.23 77.08 8.05 36.57 6.72 21.81 44.28 67.55 96.18 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 8 16 +4 5.08 89.95 4.41 52.27 8.27 -6.75 0.00 0.03 0.19 0.80 9.43 0.92R 0.05 Wolverhampton 8 15 +3 5.63 92.92 5.59 51.84 8.51 -4.55 0.01 0.05 0.24 0.88 9.05 1.14R 0.08 Man_Utd 8 13 -1 -1.99 29.45 -6.93 66.70 8.16 18.28 0.42 2.49 7.66 18.59 72.95 0.00R 0.00 Watford 8 13 -1 4.03 86.01 2.50 46.09 8.01 -16.23 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.06 2.14 4.75R 0.45 Leicester 8 12 +2 0.74 57.85 1.82 52.91 8.54 -0.52 0.00 0.03 0.26 1.07 11.29 1.04R 0.08 Everton 8 12 +1 -0.11 48.84 -0.53 50.45 8.21 -4.86 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.41 6.62 1.44R 0.09 Burnley 8 8 -2 -3.28 19.87 -2.57 41.32 7.93 -14.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.62 12.71R 1.43 Brighton 8 8 -4 0.23 54.56 1.55 41.90 7.96 -15.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.71 11.74R 1.42 Crystal_Palace 8 7 -4 -3.46 18.57 -3.14 39.83 7.89 -18.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.42 17.41R 2.49 West_Ham 8 7 -5 -0.95 41.52 0.47 43.67 8.27 -14.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.31 9.39R 1.21 Southampton 8 5 -8 -3.83 14.73 -4.61 39.19 8.03 -20.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.35 20.00R 3.45 Fulham 8 5 -12 -1.75 32.88 -2.80 32.90 8.19 -38.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 51.67R 15.60 Huddersfield 8 3 -13 -2.59 20.60 -3.38 26.30 7.07 -42.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.97R 43.13 Newcastle 8 2 -7 -5.74 3.94 -1.71 40.00 8.24 -12.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.47 17.19R 2.69 Cardiff 8 2 -13 -4.12 9.47 -4.13 29.12 7.94 -36.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 68.63R 27.82Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Bristol_City 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 12 25 +8 6.69 91.25 5.19 75.40 9.41 13.54 8.29 19.97 59.98 28.24P 0.09R 0.01 West_Brom 12 24 +14 1.13 58.23 3.63 86.88 9.53 39.66 49.28 68.06 92.50 75.97P 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 12 23 +13 4.65 82.98 10.05 76.04 9.30 22.54 9.31 22.58 64.57 32.32P 0.05R 0.00 Middlesbrough 12 22 +8 1.92 65.47 2.78 79.55 8.96 23.92 15.35 34.65 77.65 48.16P 0.01R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 12 19 +4 3.60 77.75 5.60 63.43 9.28 0.43 0.58 2.07 15.77 4.51P 2.76R 0.40 Sheff_Wed 12 19 +1 2.28 68.22 0.70 68.31 9.28 4.98 1.82 5.63 31.11 11.13P 0.79R 0.07 Brentford 12 18 +6 -0.80 43.43 2.42 70.02 9.42 14.06 3.12 8.65 39.05 16.29P 0.48R 0.06 Derby 12 18 +2 -1.80 35.73 -2.88 68.74 9.09 8.33 2.05 6.20 32.69 13.13P 0.50R 0.04 Norwich 12 18 +0 2.28 68.22 1.11 64.68 9.18 -0.20 0.72 2.49 18.38 5.56P 1.92R 0.29 Blackburn 12 18 -1 1.61 63.21 -0.89 63.15 9.51 -3.17 0.64 2.12 15.29 4.84P 3.30R 0.50 Swansea 12 17 +3 -2.01 33.91 -0.86 71.08 9.48 13.98 3.50 10.11 43.30 19.90P 0.40R 0.04 Wigan 12 17 -2 -0.22 48.82 -3.23 65.35 9.44 0.77 0.97 3.35 20.95 7.54P 1.91R 0.23 Bristol_City 12 16 +2 -0.78 44.09 1.65 64.27 9.42 4.34 0.69 2.45 18.83 6.02P 2.49R 0.37 Stoke 12 16 -1 -2.26 32.69 -3.60 68.57 9.71 8.12 2.23 6.81 32.93 13.71P 0.96R 0.12 Aston_Villa 12 15 +0 -4.06 20.55 -3.96 66.59 9.25 7.43 1.33 4.24 25.45 9.87P 1.18R 0.13 Bolton 12 15 -5 3.12 76.35 1.94 48.82 8.47 -23.70 0.00 0.01 0.45 0.07P 36.36R 11.32 Birmingham 12 14 +1 0.59 56.57 5.33 51.77 8.78 -11.46 0.01 0.05 1.35 0.25P 23.43R 5.82 QPR 12 14 -10 0.68 56.75 -4.98 51.36 8.92 -24.75 0.01 0.05 1.16 0.24P 27.35R 7.88 Rotherham 12 11 -10 -0.35 48.89 -1.78 43.12 8.71 -33.55 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 63.55R 32.48 Millwall 12 10 -6 -4.45 17.89 -3.06 54.25 9.13 -9.45 0.04 0.16 2.57 0.68P 16.89R 4.14 Reading 12 9 -5 -4.78 15.54 -0.28 47.82 9.00 -17.45 0.01 0.02 0.49 0.10P 40.36R 14.21 Preston 12 9 -6 -6.53 8.35 -4.49 55.38 9.36 -6.61 0.05 0.24 3.54 1.03P 14.58R 3.49 Ipswich 12 9 -7 -5.52 11.97 -4.20 49.40 9.04 -16.66 0.00 0.04 0.64 0.13P 33.68R 10.67 Hull 12 8 -9 -6.72 7.90 -6.17 51.17 9.15 -15.10 0.01 0.05 1.25 0.30P 26.95R 7.72League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 13 30 +12 9.17 96.44 7.62 79.23 9.20 17.71 9.43 23.57 73.77 34.88P 0.03R 0.00 Peterborough 13 27 +11 6.30 88.23 6.67 82.44 9.43 26.57 16.68 37.05 84.05 49.36P 0.03R 0.00 Barnsley 12 25 +17 1.77 62.62 6.66 88.49 9.61 42.55 42.17 64.83 94.08 75.31P 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 13 24 +5 5.32 84.71 3.73 70.36 9.15 6.54 1.52 4.92 37.35 11.65P 0.72R 0.03 Sunderland 12 23 +11 0.90 56.12 2.37 84.48 9.63 33.69 24.35 47.12 88.11 61.14P 0.01R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 13 23 +4 5.69 86.02 4.60 65.49 9.36 -0.20 0.57 2.16 20.19 5.70P 2.89R 0.21 Walsall 12 22 +3 5.69 87.58 3.17 66.57 9.28 0.01 0.64 2.34 23.35 6.39P 2.08R 0.13 Fleetwood_Town 13 20 +9 0.63 54.88 6.77 70.02 9.19 15.91 1.40 4.99 37.90 13.18P 0.71R 0.04 Southend 13 20 +1 1.44 61.11 -0.04 65.12 9.13 0.59 0.40 1.65 18.72 5.24P 2.85R 0.19 Luton 13 19 +1 1.56 62.15 1.77 66.98 9.62 4.84 0.66 2.77 26.19 8.05P 2.43R 0.18 Charlton 12 18 +1 0.49 54.35 -0.46 68.14 9.49 6.04 1.01 3.60 29.58 9.85P 1.58R 0.11 Coventry 13 18 -2 2.57 70.45 1.21 56.51 8.94 -10.71 0.03 0.16 3.67 0.82P 16.07R 1.88 Scunthorpe 13 17 -6 -1.30 40.66 -6.45 66.81 9.37 0.58 0.58 2.42 24.51 7.85P 2.38R 0.17 Blackpool 11 16 +3 0.16 51.92 1.82 64.22 9.43 3.48 0.40 1.47 17.72 5.12P 3.77R 0.33 Burton_Albion 12 14 -2 -2.85 29.07 -2.58 58.85 9.58 -4.35 0.11 0.52 7.46 2.20P 11.62R 1.51 Rochdale 13 13 -9 -2.11 35.01 -4.33 55.08 9.22 -14.48 0.01 0.07 2.83 0.58P 21.74R 3.81 Shrewsbury 13 12 -2 -6.12 11.22 -2.67 58.36 8.92 -0.06 0.04 0.22 5.47 1.57P 10.94R 1.26 Wycombe 13 12 -5 -2.24 34.22 0.37 46.39 9.06 -22.35 0.00 0.02 0.34 0.07P 56.24R 18.12 Gillingham 12 11 -7 -2.86 28.37 -2.81 52.62 9.29 -15.00 0.01 0.06 1.80 0.39P 29.95R 6.25 AFC_Wimbledon 13 11 -8 -3.47 24.62 -3.30 48.13 8.59 -19.28 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.08P 48.13R 11.98 Bristol_Rovers 13 10 -4 -6.73 9.02 -2.47 50.03 8.97 -11.79 0.00 0.02 0.80 0.18P 38.68R 8.57 Bradford 13 10 -10 -5.51 13.25 -6.64 50.75 8.98 -16.65 0.00 0.02 0.93 0.22P 36.93R 7.90 Oxford_Utd 13 9 -10 -6.76 8.49 -6.65 49.27 9.13 -18.09 0.00 0.02 0.71 0.15P 43.18R 10.60 Plymouth 13 7 -13 -7.70 5.26 -8.35 43.84 8.75 -25.54 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 67.04R 26.74League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 1 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 13 31 +17 8.81 96.04 10.46 86.86 9.03 32.95 37.90 73.10 94.47 78.75P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 13 27 +12 5.11 83.93 5.85 82.69 9.08 27.75 20.56 55.90 87.68 64.70P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 13 27 +0 9.51 96.84 0.55 68.62 9.01 -5.60 1.20 7.60 33.47 11.78P 0.12R 0.00 MK_Dons 13 24 +8 1.88 63.92 1.74 82.02 9.27 26.65 18.52 52.75 85.80 63.11P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 13 23 +5 5.57 85.99 5.41 66.90 9.28 3.25 0.84 5.94 28.44 10.14P 0.27R 0.03 Colchester 13 22 +13 0.48 53.48 7.41 76.12 9.13 26.41 7.39 29.19 68.61 40.07P 0.01R 0.00 Stevenage 13 21 +3 1.93 64.72 1.20 66.22 8.98 3.12 0.64 4.79 25.68 9.09P 0.22R 0.04 Forest_Green 13 20 +7 3.02 72.60 8.31 61.95 9.00 1.85 0.18 2.01 13.81 4.11P 0.96R 0.14 Bury 13 19 +4 -1.20 41.08 0.43 72.74 9.53 16.83 3.69 18.27 54.26 28.56P 0.06R 0.01 Crawley_Town 13 19 +0 2.51 69.33 2.12 61.90 8.97 -3.62 0.21 1.77 13.00 3.81P 0.99R 0.13 Carlisle 13 19 -2 0.45 53.95 -3.06 64.87 8.98 -0.88 0.41 3.44 20.78 7.16P 0.41R 0.07 Oldham 12 17 +4 -2.85 28.36 -1.07 72.48 9.67 17.13 3.80 17.74 52.91 28.27P 0.06R 0.00 Swindon 13 17 -1 -1.77 36.89 -2.39 66.73 9.14 5.68 0.74 5.42 28.30 10.95P 0.28R 0.04 Mansfield 11 16 +7 -1.53 37.17 3.43 72.40 9.34 19.45 3.30 16.97 52.95 27.27P 0.04R 0.00 Yeovil 12 16 +5 0.97 58.83 7.22 63.75 9.35 6.53 0.46 3.18 19.41 6.39P 0.80R 0.12 Port_Vale 13 14 -6 -2.03 35.04 -3.45 55.27 8.85 -11.76 0.01 0.26 3.54 0.90P 5.04R 0.99 Morecambe 13 13 -11 -1.09 42.56 -5.40 47.79 8.56 -26.98 0.00 0.02 0.44 0.09P 21.34R 5.33 Crewe 12 12 -1 -3.50 23.97 0.50 55.85 9.25 -5.16 0.04 0.46 4.83 1.39P 4.71R 0.99 Northampton 13 12 -8 -5.25 15.68 -7.17 55.76 9.41 -10.20 0.05 0.51 4.82 1.54P 5.22R 1.20 Notts_County 12 12 -10 -4.00 21.24 -9.05 56.23 9.36 -14.14 0.05 0.55 5.14 1.54P 5.27R 1.01 Grimsby 12 11 -9 -1.95 34.62 -3.96 47.24 8.73 -23.96 0.00 0.03 0.40 0.08P 23.28R 5.96 Cheltenham 12 9 -9 -5.10 14.21 -5.34 48.43 9.11 -20.16 0.00 0.06 0.85 0.21P 19.62R 5.13 Cambridge_Utd 13 8 -15 -6.95 7.60 -10.73 46.97 8.83 -24.56 0.00 0.02 0.43 0.09P 24.51R 7.48 Macclesfield 13 4 -13 -7.41 4.27 -2.99 31.83 8.20 -40.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 86.80R 71.32National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Salford_City 16 34 +18 8.48 92.28 12.62 80.38 8.97 26.05 16.66 67.03 28.53P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 16 34 +13 8.77 94.19 8.15 79.86 8.16 20.28 12.78 65.36 26.08P 0.00R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 16 33 +19 5.28 82.11 10.60 84.81 8.29 35.03 32.72 84.70 48.74P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 16 33 +15 9.12 93.56 11.96 79.69 9.23 23.45 15.12 63.82 25.88P 0.03R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 16 31 +6 10.25 96.27 7.58 71.10 8.32 4.95 1.85 24.05 5.57P 0.26R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 16 29 +15 1.79 62.02 7.07 78.75 8.35 27.75 11.42 62.03 26.46P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 16 29 +8 3.99 75.66 3.39 73.22 8.34 12.85 3.25 34.36 10.45P 0.10R 0.00 Hartlepool 16 28 +4 4.70 79.34 1.88 69.18 8.23 4.74 1.05 18.22 4.74P 0.44R 0.00 Sutton_United 15 26 +3 4.49 79.12 1.54 71.49 8.60 7.73 2.23 26.97 7.68P 0.28R 0.00 Eastleigh 16 23 -5 3.31 72.57 -1.91 60.82 8.23 -9.55 0.07 2.94 0.57P 5.43R 0.06 Boreham_Wood 16 22 -1 -0.87 44.49 -2.66 63.74 8.27 0.48 0.21 6.36 1.66P 2.35R 0.02 Barnet 15 22 -2 -2.24 34.40 -7.59 71.23 8.83 7.91 2.26 26.89 9.52P 0.37R 0.00 Barrow 16 21 +1 -0.59 46.44 1.36 59.20 8.29 -2.83 0.05 2.41 0.50P 7.06R 0.14 Halifax 16 21 +0 1.78 63.60 3.47 57.93 8.10 -5.31 0.03 1.47 0.31P 9.09R 0.19 Bromley 16 20 -3 -2.13 36.05 -3.31 61.19 8.48 -3.04 0.10 3.99 0.89P 4.94R 0.11 Aldershot 16 20 -6 -2.18 35.47 -6.61 61.52 8.26 -5.01 0.08 3.67 0.90P 4.29R 0.09 Ebbsfleet_United 16 18 -3 -2.92 30.62 -1.86 59.74 8.29 -1.81 0.05 2.49 0.59P 6.34R 0.14 Maidenhead 16 17 -6 -2.34 34.80 -2.02 53.27 8.32 -13.67 0.00 0.47 0.08P 23.61R 1.02 Chesterfield 16 14 -6 -9.90 4.25 -9.07 59.12 8.64 0.13 0.06 2.64 0.83P 7.87R 0.26 Maidstone_United 16 14 -10 -2.99 29.96 -3.09 46.79 7.87 -21.44 0.00 0.03 0.01P 53.90R 4.59 Havant_&_Wville 16 11 -12 -4.03 23.96 -1.03 40.46 8.33 -30.74 0.00 0.01 0.00P 79.51R 19.14 Dag_&_Red 16 9 -12 -12.14 1.18 -11.05 47.59 8.33 -15.65 0.00 0.06 0.02P 47.68R 4.50 Dover_Athletic 16 8 -19 -11.23 1.60 -14.91 47.35 8.37 -21.51 0.00 0.04 0.01P 50.62R 5.30 Braintree_Town 16 7 -17 -6.78 8.77 -4.53 32.51 7.91 -40.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.82R 64.42