Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 14 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Fulham 1 5 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   20  +18       1.07    61.49     2.77    89.43     7.15    68.75    61.07    83.47    93.54    98.02    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           8   20  +13       3.72    85.00     4.57    78.00     7.98    39.93     7.91    25.60    49.58    72.60    97.14     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         8   20  +12       4.94    91.79     5.21    83.12     7.83    48.93    20.70    53.49    75.14    88.86    99.34     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   18   +9       3.00    78.21     2.14    73.79     8.34    33.22     3.16    13.02    28.97    51.06    91.92     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         8   18   +8       1.46    64.33    -1.23    77.08     8.05    36.57     6.72    21.81    44.28    67.55    96.18     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       8   16   +4       5.08    89.95     4.41    52.27     8.27    -6.75     0.00     0.03     0.19     0.80     9.43     0.92R    0.05  
Wolverhampton     8   15   +3       5.63    92.92     5.59    51.84     8.51    -4.55     0.01     0.05     0.24     0.88     9.05     1.14R    0.08  
Man_Utd           8   13   -1      -1.99    29.45    -6.93    66.70     8.16    18.28     0.42     2.49     7.66    18.59    72.95     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           8   13   -1       4.03    86.01     2.50    46.09     8.01   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     2.14     4.75R    0.45  
Leicester         8   12   +2       0.74    57.85     1.82    52.91     8.54    -0.52     0.00     0.03     0.26     1.07    11.29     1.04R    0.08  
Everton           8   12   +1      -0.11    48.84    -0.53    50.45     8.21    -4.86     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.41     6.62     1.44R    0.09  
Burnley           8    8   -2      -3.28    19.87    -2.57    41.32     7.93   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.62    12.71R    1.43  
Brighton          8    8   -4       0.23    54.56     1.55    41.90     7.96   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.71    11.74R    1.42  
Crystal_Palace    8    7   -4      -3.46    18.57    -3.14    39.83     7.89   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.42    17.41R    2.49  
West_Ham          8    7   -5      -0.95    41.52     0.47    43.67     8.27   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.31     9.39R    1.21  
Southampton       8    5   -8      -3.83    14.73    -4.61    39.19     8.03   -20.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35    20.00R    3.45  
Fulham            8    5  -12      -1.75    32.88    -2.80    32.90     8.19   -38.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    51.67R   15.60  
Huddersfield      8    3  -13      -2.59    20.60    -3.38    26.30     7.07   -42.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.97R   43.13  
Newcastle         8    2   -7      -5.74     3.94    -1.71    40.00     8.24   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.47    17.19R    2.69  
Cardiff           8    2  -13      -4.12     9.47    -4.13    29.12     7.94   -36.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    68.63R   27.82  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Bristol_City 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       12   25   +8       6.69    91.25     5.19    75.40     9.41    13.54     8.29    19.97    59.98    28.24P    0.09R    0.01  
West_Brom       12   24  +14       1.13    58.23     3.63    86.88     9.53    39.66    49.28    68.06    92.50    75.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    12   23  +13       4.65    82.98    10.05    76.04     9.30    22.54     9.31    22.58    64.57    32.32P    0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   12   22   +8       1.92    65.47     2.78    79.55     8.96    23.92    15.35    34.65    77.65    48.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   12   19   +4       3.60    77.75     5.60    63.43     9.28     0.43     0.58     2.07    15.77     4.51P    2.76R    0.40  
Sheff_Wed       12   19   +1       2.28    68.22     0.70    68.31     9.28     4.98     1.82     5.63    31.11    11.13P    0.79R    0.07  
Brentford       12   18   +6      -0.80    43.43     2.42    70.02     9.42    14.06     3.12     8.65    39.05    16.29P    0.48R    0.06  
Derby           12   18   +2      -1.80    35.73    -2.88    68.74     9.09     8.33     2.05     6.20    32.69    13.13P    0.50R    0.04  
Norwich         12   18   +0       2.28    68.22     1.11    64.68     9.18    -0.20     0.72     2.49    18.38     5.56P    1.92R    0.29  
Blackburn       12   18   -1       1.61    63.21    -0.89    63.15     9.51    -3.17     0.64     2.12    15.29     4.84P    3.30R    0.50  
Swansea         12   17   +3      -2.01    33.91    -0.86    71.08     9.48    13.98     3.50    10.11    43.30    19.90P    0.40R    0.04  
Wigan           12   17   -2      -0.22    48.82    -3.23    65.35     9.44     0.77     0.97     3.35    20.95     7.54P    1.91R    0.23  
Bristol_City    12   16   +2      -0.78    44.09     1.65    64.27     9.42     4.34     0.69     2.45    18.83     6.02P    2.49R    0.37  
Stoke           12   16   -1      -2.26    32.69    -3.60    68.57     9.71     8.12     2.23     6.81    32.93    13.71P    0.96R    0.12  
Aston_Villa     12   15   +0      -4.06    20.55    -3.96    66.59     9.25     7.43     1.33     4.24    25.45     9.87P    1.18R    0.13  
Bolton          12   15   -5       3.12    76.35     1.94    48.82     8.47   -23.70     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.07P   36.36R   11.32  
Birmingham      12   14   +1       0.59    56.57     5.33    51.77     8.78   -11.46     0.01     0.05     1.35     0.25P   23.43R    5.82  
QPR             12   14  -10       0.68    56.75    -4.98    51.36     8.92   -24.75     0.01     0.05     1.16     0.24P   27.35R    7.88  
Rotherham       12   11  -10      -0.35    48.89    -1.78    43.12     8.71   -33.55     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   63.55R   32.48  
Millwall        12   10   -6      -4.45    17.89    -3.06    54.25     9.13    -9.45     0.04     0.16     2.57     0.68P   16.89R    4.14  
Reading         12    9   -5      -4.78    15.54    -0.28    47.82     9.00   -17.45     0.01     0.02     0.49     0.10P   40.36R   14.21  
Preston         12    9   -6      -6.53     8.35    -4.49    55.38     9.36    -6.61     0.05     0.24     3.54     1.03P   14.58R    3.49  
Ipswich         12    9   -7      -5.52    11.97    -4.20    49.40     9.04   -16.66     0.00     0.04     0.64     0.13P   33.68R   10.67  
Hull            12    8   -9      -6.72     7.90    -6.17    51.17     9.15   -15.10     0.01     0.05     1.25     0.30P   26.95R    7.72  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           13   30  +12       9.17    96.44     7.62    79.23     9.20    17.71     9.43    23.57    73.77    34.88P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough         13   27  +11       6.30    88.23     6.67    82.44     9.43    26.57    16.68    37.05    84.05    49.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Barnsley             12   25  +17       1.77    62.62     6.66    88.49     9.61    42.55    42.17    64.83    94.08    75.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            13   24   +5       5.32    84.71     3.73    70.36     9.15     6.54     1.52     4.92    37.35    11.65P    0.72R    0.03  
Sunderland           12   23  +11       0.90    56.12     2.37    84.48     9.63    33.69    24.35    47.12    88.11    61.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   13   23   +4       5.69    86.02     4.60    65.49     9.36    -0.20     0.57     2.16    20.19     5.70P    2.89R    0.21  
Walsall              12   22   +3       5.69    87.58     3.17    66.57     9.28     0.01     0.64     2.34    23.35     6.39P    2.08R    0.13  
Fleetwood_Town       13   20   +9       0.63    54.88     6.77    70.02     9.19    15.91     1.40     4.99    37.90    13.18P    0.71R    0.04  
Southend             13   20   +1       1.44    61.11    -0.04    65.12     9.13     0.59     0.40     1.65    18.72     5.24P    2.85R    0.19  
Luton                13   19   +1       1.56    62.15     1.77    66.98     9.62     4.84     0.66     2.77    26.19     8.05P    2.43R    0.18  
Charlton             12   18   +1       0.49    54.35    -0.46    68.14     9.49     6.04     1.01     3.60    29.58     9.85P    1.58R    0.11  
Coventry             13   18   -2       2.57    70.45     1.21    56.51     8.94   -10.71     0.03     0.16     3.67     0.82P   16.07R    1.88  
Scunthorpe           13   17   -6      -1.30    40.66    -6.45    66.81     9.37     0.58     0.58     2.42    24.51     7.85P    2.38R    0.17  
Blackpool            11   16   +3       0.16    51.92     1.82    64.22     9.43     3.48     0.40     1.47    17.72     5.12P    3.77R    0.33  
Burton_Albion        12   14   -2      -2.85    29.07    -2.58    58.85     9.58    -4.35     0.11     0.52     7.46     2.20P   11.62R    1.51  
Rochdale             13   13   -9      -2.11    35.01    -4.33    55.08     9.22   -14.48     0.01     0.07     2.83     0.58P   21.74R    3.81  
Shrewsbury           13   12   -2      -6.12    11.22    -2.67    58.36     8.92    -0.06     0.04     0.22     5.47     1.57P   10.94R    1.26  
Wycombe              13   12   -5      -2.24    34.22     0.37    46.39     9.06   -22.35     0.00     0.02     0.34     0.07P   56.24R   18.12  
Gillingham           12   11   -7      -2.86    28.37    -2.81    52.62     9.29   -15.00     0.01     0.06     1.80     0.39P   29.95R    6.25  
AFC_Wimbledon        13   11   -8      -3.47    24.62    -3.30    48.13     8.59   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.08P   48.13R   11.98  
Bristol_Rovers       13   10   -4      -6.73     9.02    -2.47    50.03     8.97   -11.79     0.00     0.02     0.80     0.18P   38.68R    8.57  
Bradford             13   10  -10      -5.51    13.25    -6.64    50.75     8.98   -16.65     0.00     0.02     0.93     0.22P   36.93R    7.90  
Oxford_Utd           13    9  -10      -6.76     8.49    -6.65    49.27     9.13   -18.09     0.00     0.02     0.71     0.15P   43.18R   10.60  
Plymouth             13    7  -13      -7.70     5.26    -8.35    43.84     8.75   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   67.04R   26.74  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 1 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     13   31  +17       8.81    96.04    10.46    86.86     9.03    32.95    37.90    73.10    94.47    78.75P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           13   27  +12       5.11    83.93     5.85    82.69     9.08    27.75    20.56    55.90    87.68    64.70P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   13   27   +0       9.51    96.84     0.55    68.62     9.01    -5.60     1.20     7.60    33.47    11.78P    0.12R    0.00  
MK_Dons          13   24   +8       1.88    63.92     1.74    82.02     9.27    26.65    18.52    52.75    85.80    63.11P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +5       5.57    85.99     5.41    66.90     9.28     3.25     0.84     5.94    28.44    10.14P    0.27R    0.03  
Colchester       13   22  +13       0.48    53.48     7.41    76.12     9.13    26.41     7.39    29.19    68.61    40.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage        13   21   +3       1.93    64.72     1.20    66.22     8.98     3.12     0.64     4.79    25.68     9.09P    0.22R    0.04  
Forest_Green     13   20   +7       3.02    72.60     8.31    61.95     9.00     1.85     0.18     2.01    13.81     4.11P    0.96R    0.14  
Bury             13   19   +4      -1.20    41.08     0.43    72.74     9.53    16.83     3.69    18.27    54.26    28.56P    0.06R    0.01  
Crawley_Town     13   19   +0       2.51    69.33     2.12    61.90     8.97    -3.62     0.21     1.77    13.00     3.81P    0.99R    0.13  
Carlisle         13   19   -2       0.45    53.95    -3.06    64.87     8.98    -0.88     0.41     3.44    20.78     7.16P    0.41R    0.07  
Oldham           12   17   +4      -2.85    28.36    -1.07    72.48     9.67    17.13     3.80    17.74    52.91    28.27P    0.06R    0.00  
Swindon          13   17   -1      -1.77    36.89    -2.39    66.73     9.14     5.68     0.74     5.42    28.30    10.95P    0.28R    0.04  
Mansfield        11   16   +7      -1.53    37.17     3.43    72.40     9.34    19.45     3.30    16.97    52.95    27.27P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil           12   16   +5       0.97    58.83     7.22    63.75     9.35     6.53     0.46     3.18    19.41     6.39P    0.80R    0.12  
Port_Vale        13   14   -6      -2.03    35.04    -3.45    55.27     8.85   -11.76     0.01     0.26     3.54     0.90P    5.04R    0.99  
Morecambe        13   13  -11      -1.09    42.56    -5.40    47.79     8.56   -26.98     0.00     0.02     0.44     0.09P   21.34R    5.33  
Crewe            12   12   -1      -3.50    23.97     0.50    55.85     9.25    -5.16     0.04     0.46     4.83     1.39P    4.71R    0.99  
Northampton      13   12   -8      -5.25    15.68    -7.17    55.76     9.41   -10.20     0.05     0.51     4.82     1.54P    5.22R    1.20  
Notts_County     12   12  -10      -4.00    21.24    -9.05    56.23     9.36   -14.14     0.05     0.55     5.14     1.54P    5.27R    1.01  
Grimsby          12   11   -9      -1.95    34.62    -3.96    47.24     8.73   -23.96     0.00     0.03     0.40     0.08P   23.28R    5.96  
Cheltenham       12    9   -9      -5.10    14.21    -5.34    48.43     9.11   -20.16     0.00     0.06     0.85     0.21P   19.62R    5.13  
Cambridge_Utd    13    8  -15      -6.95     7.60   -10.73    46.97     8.83   -24.56     0.00     0.02     0.43     0.09P   24.51R    7.48  
Macclesfield     13    4  -13      -7.41     4.27    -2.99    31.83     8.20   -40.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   86.80R   71.32  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       16   34  +18       8.48    92.28    12.62    80.38     8.97    26.05    16.66    67.03    28.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   34  +13       8.77    94.19     8.15    79.86     8.16    20.28    12.78    65.36    26.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      16   33  +19       5.28    82.11    10.60    84.81     8.29    35.03    32.72    84.70    48.74P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     16   33  +15       9.12    93.56    11.96    79.69     9.23    23.45    15.12    63.82    25.88P    0.03R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     16   31   +6      10.25    96.27     7.58    71.10     8.32     4.95     1.85    24.05     5.57P    0.26R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          16   29  +15       1.79    62.02     7.07    78.75     8.35    27.75    11.42    62.03    26.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          16   29   +8       3.99    75.66     3.39    73.22     8.34    12.85     3.25    34.36    10.45P    0.10R    0.00  
Hartlepool         16   28   +4       4.70    79.34     1.88    69.18     8.23     4.74     1.05    18.22     4.74P    0.44R    0.00  
Sutton_United      15   26   +3       4.49    79.12     1.54    71.49     8.60     7.73     2.23    26.97     7.68P    0.28R    0.00  
Eastleigh          16   23   -5       3.31    72.57    -1.91    60.82     8.23    -9.55     0.07     2.94     0.57P    5.43R    0.06  
Boreham_Wood       16   22   -1      -0.87    44.49    -2.66    63.74     8.27     0.48     0.21     6.36     1.66P    2.35R    0.02  
Barnet             15   22   -2      -2.24    34.40    -7.59    71.23     8.83     7.91     2.26    26.89     9.52P    0.37R    0.00  
Barrow             16   21   +1      -0.59    46.44     1.36    59.20     8.29    -2.83     0.05     2.41     0.50P    7.06R    0.14  
Halifax            16   21   +0       1.78    63.60     3.47    57.93     8.10    -5.31     0.03     1.47     0.31P    9.09R    0.19  
Bromley            16   20   -3      -2.13    36.05    -3.31    61.19     8.48    -3.04     0.10     3.99     0.89P    4.94R    0.11  
Aldershot          16   20   -6      -2.18    35.47    -6.61    61.52     8.26    -5.01     0.08     3.67     0.90P    4.29R    0.09  
Ebbsfleet_United   16   18   -3      -2.92    30.62    -1.86    59.74     8.29    -1.81     0.05     2.49     0.59P    6.34R    0.14  
Maidenhead         16   17   -6      -2.34    34.80    -2.02    53.27     8.32   -13.67     0.00     0.47     0.08P   23.61R    1.02  
Chesterfield       16   14   -6      -9.90     4.25    -9.07    59.12     8.64     0.13     0.06     2.64     0.83P    7.87R    0.26  
Maidstone_United   16   14  -10      -2.99    29.96    -3.09    46.79     7.87   -21.44     0.00     0.03     0.01P   53.90R    4.59  
Havant_&_Wville    16   11  -12      -4.03    23.96    -1.03    40.46     8.33   -30.74     0.00     0.01     0.00P   79.51R   19.14  
Dag_&_Red          16    9  -12     -12.14     1.18   -11.05    47.59     8.33   -15.65     0.00     0.06     0.02P   47.68R    4.50  
Dover_Athletic     16    8  -19     -11.23     1.60   -14.91    47.35     8.37   -21.51     0.00     0.04     0.01P   50.62R    5.30  
Braintree_Town     16    7  -17      -6.78     8.77    -4.53    32.51     7.91   -40.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.82R   64.42