Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 13 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Fulham 1 5 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   20  +18       1.07    61.38     2.72    89.34     7.19    68.67    60.48    83.47    93.43    97.76    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           8   20  +13       3.75    85.13     4.58    77.97     8.04    39.85     8.00    25.45    49.40    72.26    97.06     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         8   20  +12       4.89    91.65     5.19    83.20     7.78    49.10    21.17    53.92    75.62    89.19    99.26     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   18   +9       2.98    78.02     2.13    73.86     8.36    33.37     3.33    13.28    29.68    51.91    91.71     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         8   18   +8       1.51    64.92    -1.12    76.85     8.09    36.21     6.58    21.11    43.07    66.59    95.99     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       8   16   +4       5.05    89.98     4.37    52.31     8.26    -6.69     0.00     0.05     0.17     0.81     9.66     0.91R    0.04  
Wolverhampton     8   15   +3       5.62    92.86     5.60    51.88     8.47    -4.50     0.00     0.07     0.27     0.91     8.97     1.15R    0.04  
Man_Utd           8   13   -1      -1.95    29.96    -6.87    66.71     8.22    18.29     0.42     2.55     7.85    18.70    72.98     0.01R    0.00  
Watford           8   13   -1       3.98    85.58     2.44    46.19     8.05   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     2.26     4.48R    0.41  
Leicester         8   12   +2       0.73    57.56     1.79    53.14     8.51    -0.17     0.01     0.08     0.34     1.17    11.87     0.83R    0.07  
Everton           8   12   +1      -0.10    49.06    -0.49    50.46     8.34    -4.89     0.00     0.03     0.15     0.50     6.58     1.71R    0.08  
Burnley           8    8   -2      -3.26    20.40    -2.56    41.37     7.86   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.54    12.16R    1.38  
Brighton          8    8   -4       0.22    54.34     1.54    41.87     7.96   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.67    11.92R    1.54  
Crystal_Palace    8    7   -4      -3.45    18.71    -3.13    39.70     7.89   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.40    17.61R    2.39  
West_Ham          8    7   -5      -0.98    41.12     0.42    43.68     8.31   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.31     9.38R    1.24  
Southampton       8    5   -8      -3.79    15.19    -4.57    39.07     7.92   -20.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33    20.44R    3.35  
Fulham            8    5  -12      -1.77    32.94    -2.87    33.05     8.20   -37.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    50.61R   15.35  
Huddersfield      8    3  -13      -2.57    20.98    -3.38    26.23     7.03   -42.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.18R   43.55  
Newcastle         8    2   -7      -5.73     3.71    -1.71    39.89     8.15   -12.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.40    17.51R    2.76  
Cardiff           8    2  -13      -4.11     9.39    -4.10    29.07     7.88   -36.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    69.09R   27.80  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Bristol_City 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       12   25   +8       6.73    91.56     5.24    75.36     9.39    13.47     8.19    19.86    59.84    28.17P    0.09R    0.01  
West_Brom       12   24  +14       1.18    58.70     3.71    86.73     9.48    39.46    48.41    67.52    92.77    75.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    12   23  +13       4.69    83.23    10.09    75.97     9.30    22.45     9.42    22.44    64.44    32.20P    0.06R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   12   22   +8       1.93    65.36     2.82    79.49     9.03    23.85    15.61    34.49    77.24    47.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   12   19   +4       3.58    77.60     5.55    63.44     9.31     0.42     0.61     2.02    15.77     4.52P    2.90R    0.36  
Sheff_Wed       12   19   +1       2.32    68.41     0.75    68.36     9.22     5.04     1.72     5.78    30.97    11.16P    0.75R    0.08  
Brentford       12   18   +6      -0.74    44.05     2.47    69.92     9.41    13.89     3.01     8.67    38.37    16.15P    0.52R    0.05  
Derby           12   18   +2      -1.74    36.13    -2.82    68.58     9.13     8.08     1.92     6.10    32.25    12.99P    0.55R    0.05  
Norwich         12   18   +0       2.20    67.65     1.01    64.83     9.25     0.03     0.80     2.61    19.28     5.85P    2.02R    0.23  
Blackburn       12   18   -1       1.75    64.13    -0.67    62.90     9.56    -3.52     0.61     2.17    14.84     4.80P    3.75R    0.56  
Swansea         12   17   +3      -2.06    33.62    -0.94    71.30     9.48    14.31     4.07    10.68    44.07    20.62P    0.35R    0.04  
Wigan           12   17   -2      -0.27    48.10    -3.31    65.45     9.49     0.95     1.22     3.57    21.58     7.92P    1.83R    0.23  
Bristol_City    12   16   +2      -0.71    44.68     1.73    64.33     9.29     4.34     0.73     2.53    18.63     6.02P    2.24R    0.30  
Stoke           12   16   -1      -2.18    33.21    -3.47    68.45     9.73     7.91     2.22     6.84    32.92    13.78P    0.96R    0.14  
Aston_Villa     12   15   +0      -4.11    20.40    -4.06    66.67     9.18     7.58     1.36     4.11    25.60     9.81P    1.07R    0.11  
Bolton          12   15   -5       3.03    75.75     1.80    48.91     8.43   -23.55     0.00     0.02     0.48     0.07P   36.23R   11.03  
Birmingham      12   14   +1       0.57    56.22     5.35    51.75     8.74   -11.54     0.01     0.05     1.17     0.25P   23.80R    6.06  
QPR             12   14  -10       0.67    57.09    -4.99    51.41     8.85   -24.71     0.01     0.06     1.09     0.23P   27.31R    7.59  
Rotherham       12   11  -10      -0.34    49.28    -1.73    43.16     8.81   -33.50     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   63.19R   32.55  
Millwall        12   10   -6      -4.43    17.82    -3.06    54.16     9.15    -9.60     0.02     0.15     2.50     0.62P   17.48R    4.42  
Reading         12    9   -5      -4.87    14.95    -0.44    47.94     9.05   -17.20     0.00     0.02     0.60     0.12P   39.75R   14.19  
Preston         12    9   -6      -6.52     8.17    -4.46    55.32     9.29    -6.76     0.03     0.22     3.35     0.84P   14.33R    3.40  
Ipswich         12    9   -7      -5.67    11.45    -4.41    49.53     9.03   -16.29     0.00     0.04     0.80     0.20P   33.21R   10.40  
Hull            12    8   -9      -6.74     7.91    -6.17    51.15     9.28   -15.14     0.01     0.07     1.29     0.32P   27.60R    8.18  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2018, Blackpool 2 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           12   27  +11       8.06    94.93     7.34    77.67     9.36    16.85     8.73    21.49    70.39    32.67P    0.10R    0.00  
Peterborough         12   24   +9       5.38    85.41     5.81    79.93     9.82    23.12    12.99    30.34    77.42    42.49P    0.09R    0.00  
Sunderland           12   23  +11       0.89    56.23     2.37    84.61     9.70    33.90    27.89    51.95    89.13    64.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley             11   22  +16       0.63    53.99     6.50    87.40     9.91    42.30    41.33    63.74    92.98    74.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Walsall              12   22   +3       5.59    87.47     3.00    66.97     9.28     0.61     0.82     3.13    26.53     7.56P    2.19R    0.14  
Doncaster            12   21   +4       4.04    79.37     3.20    68.41     9.41     5.05     1.32     4.47    32.20    10.33P    1.61R    0.10  
Accrington_Stanley   12   20   +2       4.64    82.66     3.43    62.42     9.55    -4.15     0.39     1.48    14.43     4.03P    6.80R    0.71  
Luton                12   19   +2       2.45    68.79     1.92    67.83     9.92     5.04     1.41     4.63    31.19    10.75P    2.55R    0.22  
Charlton             12   18   +1       0.48    54.23    -0.47    67.94     9.53     5.79     1.21     4.25    31.09    10.74P    2.03R    0.14  
Fleetwood_Town       12   17   +8      -0.81    43.88     6.06    67.90     9.48    14.21     1.17     4.34    32.47    11.25P    1.75R    0.14  
Southend             12   17   -1       0.40    53.70    -1.20    62.59     9.28    -2.80     0.29     1.23    14.17     3.96P    6.08R    0.56  
Scunthorpe           12   17   -4      -0.40    47.20    -5.21    68.78     9.73     3.47     1.57     5.24    34.44    12.48P    2.00R    0.14  
Blackpool            11   16   +3       0.11    51.30     1.73    64.38     9.52     3.77     0.52     2.03    19.95     6.05P    4.29R    0.39  
Coventry             12   15   -3       1.26    61.69     0.71    54.53     9.22   -12.21     0.03     0.14     3.16     0.77P   24.68R    4.25  
Rochdale             12   13   -8      -1.10    42.06    -4.00    56.73     9.47   -12.87     0.04     0.21     5.03     1.11P   18.88R    3.29  
Shrewsbury           12   12   -1      -5.01    14.91    -1.99    60.06     9.12     1.46     0.13     0.52     9.12     2.68P    9.13R    1.05  
Wycombe              12   12   -4      -1.28    41.11     0.78    48.37     9.31   -20.44     0.00     0.02     0.82     0.16P   49.87R   15.18  
Burton_Albion        11   11   -3      -4.03    20.03    -2.90    56.30     9.84    -6.72     0.10     0.37     5.65     1.64P   19.93R    3.54  
Gillingham           11   11   -5      -2.16    32.72    -1.83    55.11     9.68   -11.27     0.05     0.24     4.25     1.01P   24.05R    4.79  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   11   -7      -2.58    29.79    -2.99    49.65     8.83   -17.92     0.00     0.01     0.77     0.14P   44.03R   10.50  
Bristol_Rovers       12   10   -3      -5.54    12.78    -1.70    51.65     9.25   -10.54     0.01     0.06     1.78     0.46P   34.52R    7.83  
Bradford             12   10   -8      -4.64    16.64    -5.43    53.34     9.24   -12.66     0.01     0.08     2.27     0.57P   28.74R    5.54  
Plymouth             12    7  -11      -6.79     6.92    -7.05    46.15     9.08   -22.11     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.07P   59.15R   20.92  
Oxford_Utd           12    6  -12      -8.02     3.85    -8.07    46.50     9.31   -21.87     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.08P   57.51R   20.55  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2018, Bury 2 2 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     12   28  +13       8.29    95.78     8.20    82.99     9.21    25.49    27.11    59.56    87.51    66.46P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           12   24  +10       4.19    80.23     4.91    80.59     9.32    25.09    19.63    49.42    81.68    58.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   12   24   -1       8.07    95.26    -0.16    66.53     9.15    -7.23     1.19     6.16    25.53     9.37P    0.22R    0.02  
MK_Dons          12   21   +7       0.81    56.39     1.50    80.31     9.49    25.63    19.15    48.67    80.79    58.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        12   21   +4       3.22    74.50     2.06    67.85     9.28     4.60     1.69     8.44    31.42    13.28P    0.18R    0.03  
Forest_Green     12   20   +8       4.10    79.85     8.91    63.68     9.28     3.54     0.64     3.84    18.58     6.44P    0.60R    0.10  
Tranmere         12   20   +4       4.49    81.92     5.25    65.95     9.67     3.25     1.23     6.55    25.90    10.31P    0.42R    0.08  
Colchester       12   19  +11      -0.39    46.74     6.58    74.55     9.37    24.55     7.61    26.67    61.53    36.32P    0.02R    0.01  
Crawley_Town     12   19   +2       3.08    73.80     2.82    63.71     9.26    -0.87     0.57     3.66    18.06     6.38P    0.62R    0.11  
Carlisle         12   19   +0       1.74    64.31    -1.20    68.56     9.36     4.59     1.98     9.56    34.39    15.47P    0.16R    0.02  
Bury             12   18   +4      -0.71    44.58     0.59    73.31     9.73    17.10     6.11    22.43    55.28    31.49P    0.05R    0.00  
Oldham           12   17   +4      -2.80    28.68    -1.02    72.50     9.71    17.20     5.39    20.07    52.51    29.97P    0.06R    0.00  
Swindon          12   17   +1      -1.08    41.50    -1.51    68.42     9.41     8.15     2.02     9.79    34.53    15.91P    0.17R    0.02  
Mansfield        11   16   +7      -1.56    37.19     3.36    72.33     9.40    19.39     4.77    18.89    51.85    28.19P    0.07R    0.01  
Yeovil           12   16   +5       0.99    58.97     7.24    63.63     9.42     6.35     0.65     3.79    18.91     6.99P    0.70R    0.11  
Port_Vale        12   14   -2      -1.54    38.18    -0.84    58.20     8.97    -5.11     0.10     0.80     6.55     2.03P    2.41R    0.48  
Notts_County     12   12  -10      -4.09    20.81    -9.23    56.20     9.35   -14.12     0.06     0.59     4.76     1.52P    4.73R    1.06  
Crewe            11   11   -1      -3.26    24.32     0.26    55.81     9.44    -5.81     0.06     0.61     4.94     1.58P    4.71R    1.07  
Grimsby          12   11   -9      -1.94    34.85    -4.04    47.27     8.70   -23.93     0.00     0.02     0.38     0.09P   21.48R    6.33  
Morecambe        12   10  -13      -2.69    29.32    -7.28    44.31     8.66   -31.91     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.02P   34.38R   11.47  
Cheltenham       12    9   -9      -5.11    13.92    -5.40    48.16     9.06   -20.48     0.00     0.05     0.66     0.18P   18.94R    5.37  
Northampton      12    9   -9      -6.57     8.82    -7.69    53.90     9.59   -11.48     0.04     0.39     3.45     1.12P    7.43R    2.00  
Cambridge_Utd    12    8  -14      -5.93    10.35   -10.24    48.25     9.00   -23.65     0.00     0.04     0.63     0.17P   19.90R    6.32  
Macclesfield     12    4  -12      -6.79     5.22    -3.07    32.79     8.49   -40.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.73R   65.39  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2018, Aldershot 3 0 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       15   33  +18       9.26    94.52    13.29    82.56     9.30    28.84    22.26    75.45    35.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      15   32  +19       6.02    86.31    11.10    85.91     8.54    36.21    35.10    87.16    50.76P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     15   32  +15       9.64    95.33    12.22    80.79     9.43    24.60    17.01    68.67    28.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   31  +12       7.40    91.55     7.51    77.86     8.32    18.79     7.99    57.17    20.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     15   28   +5       8.82    94.39     6.84    69.38     8.45     3.87     1.10    19.58     4.35P    0.57R    0.00  
Hartlepool         15   27   +4       4.76    80.44     1.45    68.96     8.43     3.81     1.06    18.74     4.55P    0.66R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          15   26  +13       1.07    57.53     6.40    77.36     8.55    26.05     8.27    56.39    22.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          15   26   +7       2.95    70.26     3.23    71.91     8.51    12.33     2.38    30.32     8.95P    0.22R    0.00  
Sutton_United      15   26   +3       4.53    79.20     1.56    71.56     8.61     7.87     1.92    28.25     7.80P    0.35R    0.00  
Eastleigh          15   23   -4       4.53    80.12    -1.11    62.22     8.46    -8.46     0.15     4.92     1.02P    4.82R    0.07  
Barnet             15   22   -2      -2.29    34.07    -7.62    71.30     8.84     7.95     2.21    27.94     9.94P    0.42R    0.00  
Barrow             15   21   +2       0.27    52.31     1.61    60.99     8.50    -1.24     0.10     4.36     0.95P    5.53R    0.08  
Halifax            15   20   +0       2.18    66.74     3.55    57.72     8.23    -6.10     0.01     1.56     0.27P   10.93R    0.21  
Boreham_Wood       15   19   -3      -1.82    37.33    -3.74    61.75     8.45    -1.89     0.12     4.65     1.18P    4.67R    0.05  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   18   -2      -1.91    37.12    -1.36    61.37     8.55    -0.41     0.12     4.43     1.14P    5.49R    0.07  
Bromley            15   17   -4      -3.38    27.51    -3.74    59.55     8.69    -4.08     0.07     3.04     0.66P    8.41R    0.18  
Maidenhead         15   17   -4      -1.61    39.22    -1.07    54.99     8.47   -11.03     0.01     0.82     0.13P   19.53R    0.66  
Aldershot          15   17   -7      -3.56    26.29    -7.28    59.34     8.53    -6.75     0.06     2.70     0.65P    8.51R    0.18  
Maidstone_United   15   14   -8      -2.57    32.15    -2.51    48.19     8.01   -19.47     0.00     0.06     0.02P   48.71R    3.03  
Chesterfield       15   13   -6      -9.38     4.48    -8.86    59.67     8.91     0.38     0.07     3.60     1.14P    8.50R    0.17  
Havant_&_Wville    15   11  -11      -3.20    28.70    -0.67    41.44     8.61   -30.62     0.00     0.02     0.01P   77.50R   15.41  
Dag_&_Red          15    9  -11     -11.06     1.70   -10.41    49.18     8.54   -14.20     0.00     0.13     0.03P   43.02R    2.90  
Dover_Athletic     15    7  -19     -11.08     1.37   -15.35    46.95     8.58   -22.69     0.00     0.05     0.01P   54.65R    5.59  
Braintree_Town     15    6  -17      -6.65     8.16    -5.05    31.06     7.93   -43.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.44R   71.39