Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 12 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Fulham 1 5 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   20  +18       1.04    60.88     2.71    89.42     7.17    68.81    60.81    83.41    93.46    97.89    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           8   20  +13       3.75    85.22     4.60    78.03     8.02    39.88     7.96    25.96    49.70    72.58    97.19     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         8   20  +12       4.93    91.82     5.25    83.06     7.88    48.80    20.88    52.71    74.71    88.86    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   18   +9       2.99    78.17     2.14    73.80     8.37    33.19     3.27    13.11    29.20    50.92    91.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         8   18   +8       1.45    64.20    -1.27    77.08     8.07    36.64     6.70    22.17    44.51    68.06    96.16     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       8   16   +4       5.05    89.87     4.34    52.43     8.27    -6.41     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.80     9.83     0.90R    0.07  
Wolverhampton     8   15   +3       5.65    92.89     5.66    51.81     8.40    -4.62     0.00     0.04     0.18     0.71     8.70     1.08R    0.07  
Man_Utd           8   13   -1      -1.96    29.83    -6.88    66.61     8.12    18.08     0.38     2.49     7.66    18.38    72.91     0.00     0.00  
Watford           8   13   -1       4.03    85.83     2.51    46.15     7.98   -16.17     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.09     2.11     4.53R    0.43  
Leicester         8   12   +2       0.66    56.82     1.69    53.12     8.49    -0.18     0.01     0.05     0.27     1.11    11.70     0.91R    0.04  
Everton           8   12   +1      -0.08    49.21    -0.47    50.43     8.26    -4.98     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.49     6.53     1.51R    0.09  
Burnley           8    8   -2      -3.30    19.96    -2.59    41.43     7.92   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.62    12.21R    1.38  
Brighton          8    8   -4       0.20    54.27     1.49    41.96     7.95   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.74    11.45R    1.42  
Crystal_Palace    8    7   -4      -3.42    18.99    -3.09    39.67     7.88   -18.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39    17.89R    2.46  
West_Ham          8    7   -5      -0.94    41.44     0.49    43.59     8.32   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.21     9.48R    1.25  
Southampton       8    5   -8      -3.76    15.41    -4.54    38.93     7.93   -20.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28    21.15R    3.48  
Fulham            8    5  -12      -1.82    32.05    -2.94    33.19     8.18   -37.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    49.99R   14.74  
Huddersfield      8    3  -13      -2.54    21.31    -3.28    26.15     7.06   -42.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.52R   44.10  
Newcastle         8    2   -7      -5.74     3.76    -1.70    39.94     8.15   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41    17.33R    2.69  
Cardiff           8    2  -13      -4.12     9.42    -4.12    29.05     7.85   -36.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    69.05R   27.78  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Bristol_City 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       12   25   +8       6.66    91.20     5.15    75.47     9.38    13.66     8.32    20.05    60.29    28.57P    0.08R    0.00  
West_Brom       12   24  +14       1.25    59.41     3.85    86.60     9.63    39.27    48.55    66.78    92.07    74.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    12   23  +13       4.61    82.66     9.95    76.13     9.35    22.68     9.72    23.20    64.66    33.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   12   22   +8       1.91    65.28     2.76    79.58     8.96    23.96    15.59    35.07    77.62    48.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   12   19   +4       3.55    77.49     5.49    63.59     9.34     0.69     0.65     2.17    16.25     4.71P    2.81R    0.42  
Sheff_Wed       12   19   +1       2.24    67.87     0.63    68.52     9.21     5.32     1.84     5.90    31.55    11.36P    0.66R    0.06  
Brentford       12   18   +6      -0.73    43.97     2.51    69.91     9.46    13.87     2.99     8.73    38.85    16.42P    0.53R    0.06  
Derby           12   18   +2      -1.78    35.85    -2.85    68.65     9.16     8.18     1.99     6.15    32.81    13.11P    0.59R    0.06  
Norwich         12   18   +0       2.24    67.94     1.07    64.71     9.24    -0.11     0.72     2.48    19.01     5.75P    2.02R    0.23  
Blackburn       12   18   -1       1.74    63.98    -0.72    62.88     9.51    -3.54     0.64     2.08    14.84     4.67P    3.48R    0.53  
Swansea         12   17   +3      -1.86    35.17    -0.69    70.89     9.47    13.72     3.50     9.92    42.63    19.55P    0.40R    0.04  
Wigan           12   17   -2      -0.29    48.22    -3.33    65.46     9.47     0.93     1.12     3.52    21.43     7.72P    1.99R    0.26  
Bristol_City    12   16   +2      -0.78    44.10     1.67    64.35     9.33     4.44     0.71     2.60    18.66     5.94P    2.42R    0.30  
Stoke           12   16   -1      -2.14    33.74    -3.40    68.28     9.76     7.62     2.17     6.55    32.07    13.21P    1.25R    0.15  
Aston_Villa     12   15   +0      -4.05    20.66    -3.98    66.64     9.24     7.50     1.36     4.24    25.70     9.95P    1.17R    0.18  
Bolton          12   15   -5       3.08    76.20     1.88    48.78     8.48   -23.73     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.06P   36.93R   11.43  
Birmingham      12   14   +1       0.48    55.37     5.21    52.03     8.80   -11.14     0.01     0.03     1.39     0.22P   22.97R    5.50  
QPR             12   14  -10       0.76    57.58    -4.88    51.25     8.90   -24.93     0.01     0.05     1.03     0.20P   27.71R    8.00  
Rotherham       12   11  -10      -0.35    48.86    -1.71    43.18     8.89   -33.52     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   62.79R   32.71  
Millwall        12   10   -6      -4.50    17.67    -3.13    54.29     9.13    -9.40     0.03     0.14     2.53     0.63P   17.02R    4.12  
Reading         12    9   -5      -4.89    14.77    -0.46    47.96     9.01   -17.16     0.00     0.03     0.57     0.12P   39.71R   14.22  
Preston         12    9   -6      -6.50     8.20    -4.45    55.16     9.30    -6.92     0.05     0.21     3.47     0.95P   14.96R    3.55  
Ipswich         12    9   -7      -5.63    11.51    -4.37    49.59     8.97   -16.29     0.01     0.03     0.72     0.16P   33.05R   10.29  
Hull            12    8   -9      -6.73     7.67    -6.18    51.17     9.24   -15.10     0.01     0.05     1.28     0.32P   27.43R    7.88  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2018, Blackpool 2 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           12   27  +11       8.01    95.01     7.30    77.84     9.42    17.03     9.07    22.41    70.76    33.51P    0.10R    0.00  
Peterborough         12   24   +9       5.24    85.03     5.58    80.20     9.70    23.57    13.54    31.57    78.39    43.61P    0.08R    0.00  
Sunderland           12   23  +11       0.98    56.91     2.47    84.48     9.75    33.67    27.56    50.98    88.80    63.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley             11   22  +16       0.73    54.90     6.61    87.27     9.79    42.06    40.60    63.04    92.99    73.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall              12   22   +3       5.57    87.21     2.99    67.04     9.22     0.70     0.82     3.12    26.64     7.60P    2.11R    0.12  
Doncaster            12   21   +4       4.01    79.17     3.18    68.49     9.37     5.15     1.28     4.40    32.33    10.10P    1.56R    0.11  
Accrington_Stanley   12   20   +2       4.63    82.27     3.42    62.32     9.57    -4.31     0.35     1.37    14.13     3.75P    7.11R    0.73  
Luton                12   19   +2       2.46    69.01     1.96    67.78     9.92     4.98     1.43     4.51    30.98    10.64P    2.48R    0.21  
Charlton             12   18   +1       0.50    54.45    -0.48    68.15     9.48     6.06     1.31     4.24    31.76    11.05P    1.87R    0.12  
Fleetwood_Town       12   17   +8      -0.79    44.05     6.09    67.86     9.45    14.18     1.20     4.16    31.89    11.30P    1.86R    0.12  
Southend             12   17   -1       0.33    53.41    -1.26    62.75     9.38    -2.59     0.33     1.31    14.74     3.99P    5.96R    0.58  
Scunthorpe           12   17   -4      -0.49    46.54    -5.37    69.00     9.70     3.89     1.70     5.41    34.85    12.71P    1.66R    0.15  
Blackpool            11   16   +3       0.24    52.54     1.90    64.17     9.45     3.49     0.47     1.82    18.91     5.73P    4.25R    0.35  
Coventry             12   15   -3       1.27    61.60     0.69    54.60     9.30   -12.13     0.02     0.12     3.32     0.74P   24.54R    4.15  
Rochdale             12   13   -8      -1.11    41.99    -4.07    56.75     9.38   -12.83     0.04     0.25     4.95     1.17P   18.77R    3.08  
Shrewsbury           12   12   -1      -4.90    15.83    -1.88    59.95     9.10     1.35     0.15     0.57     8.85     2.68P    9.34R    1.08  
Wycombe              12   12   -4      -1.30    41.13     0.79    48.37     9.42   -20.49     0.01     0.04     0.84     0.17P   49.95R   15.24  
Burton_Albion        11   11   -3      -4.06    19.97    -2.99    56.45     9.77    -6.55     0.06     0.36     5.72     1.64P   19.22R    3.22  
Gillingham           11   11   -5      -2.11    33.19    -1.75    54.94     9.62   -11.50     0.02     0.19     3.93     0.91P   24.49R    4.77  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   11   -7      -2.59    30.04    -3.00    49.45     8.83   -18.17     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.12P   44.66R   10.93  
Bristol_Rovers       12   10   -3      -5.55    12.84    -1.70    51.69     9.14   -10.41     0.01     0.05     1.59     0.36P   34.21R    7.27  
Bradford             12   10   -8      -4.67    16.55    -5.44    53.23     9.21   -12.84     0.00     0.06     2.26     0.49P   28.91R    5.88  
Plymouth             12    7  -11      -6.78     6.65    -7.03    46.17     9.06   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P   58.90R   20.94  
Oxford_Utd           12    6  -12      -7.98     4.06    -8.00    46.33     9.29   -22.21     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.08P   57.94R   20.96  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2018, Bury 2 2 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     12   28  +13       8.19    95.41     8.03    83.28     9.31    25.90    27.95    60.35    87.85    67.25P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           12   24  +10       4.13    79.75     4.80    80.75     9.38    25.35    19.68    50.10    82.01    58.66P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   12   24   -1       8.03    95.16    -0.21    66.62     9.11    -7.09     1.20     6.08    25.91     9.33P    0.21R    0.02  
MK_Dons          12   21   +7       0.70    55.16     1.32    80.61     9.50    26.14    19.80    49.65    81.20    59.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        12   21   +4       3.18    74.42     2.03    67.88     9.27     4.58     1.51     8.24    32.11    13.25P    0.16R    0.03  
Forest_Green     12   20   +8       4.20    80.62     9.03    63.52     9.24     3.30     0.60     3.63    18.25     6.29P    0.55R    0.08  
Tranmere         12   20   +4       4.58    82.21     5.38    65.78     9.65     2.99     1.13     6.12    25.46    10.00P    0.44R    0.09  
Colchester       12   19  +11      -0.37    46.90     6.62    74.41     9.29    24.32     7.10    25.84    61.11    35.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     12   19   +2       3.14    74.17     2.88    63.44     9.18    -1.29     0.53     3.36    17.15     5.81P    0.65R    0.11  
Carlisle         12   19   +0       1.77    64.25    -1.16    68.59     9.36     4.57     1.81     9.56    34.72    15.20P    0.17R    0.04  
Bury             12   18   +4      -0.67    44.89     0.65    73.17     9.84    16.93     5.89    21.90    54.84    31.08P    0.07R    0.02  
Oldham           12   17   +4      -2.81    28.68    -1.05    72.46     9.69    17.18     5.23    19.70    52.04    29.64P    0.07R    0.01  
Swindon          12   17   +1      -1.08    41.45    -1.51    68.40     9.47     8.09     1.97     9.90    34.74    16.02P    0.19R    0.03  
Mansfield        11   16   +7      -1.59    36.71     3.29    72.38     9.44    19.51     4.69    19.15    52.23    28.50P    0.05R    0.01  
Yeovil           12   16   +5       0.94    58.38     7.18    63.70     9.31     6.52     0.62     3.85    18.92     7.01P    0.66R    0.13  
Port_Vale        12   14   -2      -1.44    39.10    -0.69    57.90     8.99    -5.52     0.08     0.81     6.18     1.95P    2.56R    0.50  
Notts_County     12   12  -10      -4.05    20.80    -9.16    56.15     9.32   -14.27     0.06     0.61     4.69     1.54P    4.89R    1.07  
Crewe            11   11   -1      -3.26    24.49     0.29    55.82     9.46    -5.82     0.09     0.61     5.00     1.64P    4.75R    1.01  
Grimsby          12   11   -9      -2.00    34.38    -4.08    47.49     8.80   -23.56     0.00     0.03     0.46     0.09P   21.34R    5.97  
Morecambe        12   10  -13      -2.70    29.04    -7.28    44.36     8.72   -31.88     0.00     0.02     0.20     0.04P   34.22R   11.25  
Cheltenham       12    9   -9      -5.12    14.17    -5.39    48.30     9.11   -20.27     0.00     0.05     0.77     0.16P   18.68R    5.34  
Northampton      12    9   -9      -6.53     9.03    -7.66    53.82     9.70   -11.59     0.05     0.42     3.46     1.23P    7.74R    2.16  
Cambridge_Utd    12    8  -14      -6.04    10.00   -10.39    48.43     9.11   -23.50     0.00     0.05     0.69     0.17P   19.42R    6.19  
Macclesfield     12    4  -12      -6.69     5.40    -2.93    32.65     8.47   -40.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.15R   65.95  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2018, Aldershot 3 0 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       15   33  +18       9.25    94.44    13.30    82.54     9.24    28.79    22.36    75.24    35.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      15   32  +19       5.99    86.16    11.03    86.04     8.50    36.37    35.66    87.78    51.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     15   32  +15       9.55    94.99    12.05    81.09     9.38    25.09    17.43    69.86    29.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   31  +12       7.30    91.29     7.41    77.97     8.23    18.95     7.88    57.84    20.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     15   28   +5       8.79    94.45     6.86    69.32     8.43     3.79     0.99    19.39     4.14P    0.55R    0.00  
Hartlepool         15   27   +4       4.78    80.36     1.45    68.97     8.45     3.82     1.05    18.82     4.78P    0.64R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          15   26  +13       1.08    57.53     6.38    77.37     8.52    26.08     7.87    56.51    22.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Gateshead          15   26   +7       2.91    69.98     3.20    71.94     8.50    12.39     2.17    30.54     8.78P    0.23R    0.00  
Sutton_United      15   26   +3       4.61    79.82     1.69    71.33     8.61     7.50     1.89    27.05     7.46P    0.35R    0.00  
Eastleigh          15   23   -4       4.48    79.87    -1.19    62.41     8.40    -8.19     0.16     4.96     1.00P    4.30R    0.06  
Barnet             15   22   -2      -2.23    34.23    -7.56    71.24     8.81     7.91     1.99    27.62     9.69P    0.44R    0.00  
Barrow             15   21   +2       0.37    53.28     1.73    60.86     8.49    -1.48     0.12     4.03     0.90P    5.70R    0.05  
Halifax            15   20   +0       2.12    66.42     3.44    57.92     8.27    -5.85     0.02     1.68     0.32P   10.36R    0.18  
Boreham_Wood       15   19   -3      -1.90    36.33    -3.82    61.86     8.37    -1.78     0.12     4.54     1.11P    4.46R    0.04  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   18   -2      -1.85    37.23    -1.28    61.29     8.48    -0.46     0.10     4.08     0.96P    5.30R    0.10  
Bromley            15   17   -4      -3.39    27.72    -3.80    59.61     8.71    -3.98     0.06     3.11     0.69P    8.57R    0.18  
Maidenhead         15   17   -4      -1.55    39.88    -0.95    54.89     8.53   -11.17     0.01     0.91     0.16P   19.90R    0.68  
Aldershot          15   17   -7      -3.52    26.40    -7.22    59.23     8.40    -6.92     0.05     2.31     0.55P    8.40R    0.17  
Maidstone_United   15   14   -8      -2.50    32.87    -2.39    48.01     8.07   -19.70     0.00     0.08     0.01P   49.75R    3.41  
Chesterfield       15   13   -6      -9.40     4.25    -8.87    59.62     8.85     0.31     0.08     3.45     1.06P    8.42R    0.20  
Havant_&_Wville    15   11  -11      -3.15    28.70    -0.59    41.45     8.57   -30.64     0.00     0.02     0.00P   77.35R   15.29  
Dag_&_Red          15    9  -11     -11.02     1.61   -10.39    49.07     8.52   -14.42     0.00     0.14     0.02P   43.09R    2.97  
Dover_Athletic     15    7  -19     -11.09     1.34   -15.36    46.95     8.55   -22.65     0.00     0.06     0.02P   54.71R    5.36  
Braintree_Town     15    6  -17      -6.70     7.92    -5.13    31.04     7.92   -43.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.39R   71.30