Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 10 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Fulham 1 5 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   20  +18       1.08    61.67     2.81    89.35     7.17    68.64    60.60    83.23    93.16    97.77    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           8   20  +13       3.70    84.94     4.53    77.94     8.03    39.87     8.09    25.31    49.20    72.18    97.13     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         8   20  +12       4.91    91.55     5.21    83.09     7.82    48.85    20.62    53.18    74.96    88.83    99.26     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   18   +9       2.98    78.20     2.09    73.77     8.38    33.13     3.21    13.05    29.19    50.92    91.63     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         8   18   +8       1.44    64.14    -1.32    77.18     8.07    36.77     6.97    22.54    44.80    68.05    96.35     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       8   16   +4       5.05    89.97     4.38    52.36     8.32    -6.54     0.01     0.05     0.20     0.88     9.64     0.84R    0.04  
Wolverhampton     8   15   +3       5.62    92.85     5.57    51.89     8.42    -4.41     0.00     0.04     0.22     0.82     8.66     1.13R    0.08  
Man_Utd           8   13   -1      -1.98    29.59    -6.91    66.72     8.20    18.39     0.48     2.54     7.86    18.74    72.89     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           8   13   -1       3.96    85.23     2.42    46.31     8.07   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     2.24     4.48R    0.35  
Leicester         8   12   +2       0.68    57.10     1.72    53.19     8.54    -0.12     0.00     0.04     0.26     1.09    11.82     0.94R    0.06  
Everton           8   12   +1      -0.08    49.09    -0.46    50.43     8.38    -4.94     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.51     6.75     1.67R    0.09  
Burnley           8    8   -2      -3.27    20.10    -2.55    41.33     7.86   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.55    12.23R    1.31  
Brighton          8    8   -4       0.22    54.59     1.54    41.81     7.98   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.70    11.75R    1.51  
Crystal_Palace    8    7   -4      -3.39    19.16    -3.06    39.67     7.86   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.37    17.52R    2.29  
West_Ham          8    7   -5      -0.94    41.57     0.48    43.61     8.27   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.22     9.29R    1.26  
Southampton       8    5   -8      -3.75    15.38    -4.51    38.95     7.90   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29    20.70R    3.48  
Fulham            8    5  -12      -1.74    33.03    -2.80    33.01     8.23   -38.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    50.80R   15.61  
Huddersfield      8    3  -13      -2.58    20.79    -3.34    26.19     7.00   -43.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.44R   43.45  
Newcastle         8    2   -7      -5.77     3.89    -1.76    40.12     8.18   -12.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.46    16.53R    2.48  
Cardiff           8    2  -13      -4.07     9.54    -4.05    28.89     7.85   -36.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    69.66R   28.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Bristol_City 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       12   25   +8       6.57    90.88     5.02    75.81     9.38    14.11     8.98    21.05    61.72    29.68P    0.09R    0.01  
West_Brom       12   24  +14       1.22    59.31     3.81    86.65     9.58    39.33    48.43    67.26    92.25    75.36P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    12   23  +13       4.66    83.05    10.04    76.07     9.22    22.55     9.54    22.56    64.51    32.54P    0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   12   22   +8       1.91    65.24     2.79    79.52     8.97    23.88    15.20    34.91    77.50    48.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   12   19   +4       3.53    77.27     5.47    63.57     9.25     0.64     0.55     2.10    16.29     4.66P    2.57R    0.34  
Sheff_Wed       12   19   +1       2.31    67.98     0.71    68.33     9.25     5.00     1.79     5.59    30.98    11.21P    0.77R    0.09  
Brentford       12   18   +6      -0.64    44.82     2.66    69.60     9.37    13.43     2.97     8.16    37.21    15.33P    0.53R    0.05  
Derby           12   18   +2      -1.85    35.43    -2.98    68.98     9.18     8.63     2.18     6.61    33.94    13.66P    0.58R    0.05  
Norwich         12   18   +0       2.20    67.88     1.04    64.72     9.21    -0.09     0.73     2.50    18.80     5.71P    2.01R    0.23  
Blackburn       12   18   -1       1.77    64.43    -0.67    63.00     9.43    -3.44     0.59     1.90    14.82     4.44P    3.36R    0.52  
Swansea         12   17   +3      -1.90    35.09    -0.71    70.93     9.52    13.80     3.77    10.20    42.50    19.65P    0.36R    0.04  
Wigan           12   17   -2      -0.25    48.17    -3.26    65.38     9.47     0.80     1.03     3.34    21.20     7.67P    1.95R    0.28  
Bristol_City    12   16   +2      -0.75    44.24     1.67    64.35     9.32     4.41     0.72     2.42    18.67     6.02P    2.34R    0.31  
Stoke           12   16   -1      -2.17    33.49    -3.44    68.23     9.68     7.54     2.07     6.32    31.96    13.09P    1.09R    0.14  
Aston_Villa     12   15   +0      -4.11    20.07    -4.05    66.72     9.27     7.66     1.34     4.47    26.23    10.07P    1.16R    0.13  
Bolton          12   15   -5       3.10    76.28     1.93    48.79     8.43   -23.81     0.00     0.02     0.42     0.07P   37.01R   11.31  
Birmingham      12   14   +1       0.58    56.44     5.33    51.80     8.72   -11.42     0.01     0.04     1.29     0.25P   23.50R    5.80  
QPR             12   14  -10       0.76    57.83    -4.90    51.23     8.80   -24.91     0.01     0.07     1.05     0.21P   27.65R    7.92  
Rotherham       12   11  -10      -0.36    48.86    -1.75    43.07     8.80   -33.71     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   63.95R   32.96  
Millwall        12   10   -6      -4.51    17.19    -3.16    54.43     8.98    -9.17     0.03     0.15     2.51     0.67P   16.25R    3.77  
Reading         12    9   -5      -4.85    15.04    -0.42    47.92     8.94   -17.17     0.01     0.02     0.50     0.11P   39.75R   14.13  
Preston         12    9   -6      -6.61     8.04    -4.61    55.37     9.28    -6.61     0.04     0.21     3.48     1.01P   14.46R    3.52  
Ipswich         12    9   -7      -5.59    11.88    -4.35    49.53     8.99   -16.31     0.01     0.04     0.71     0.17P   33.01R   10.32  
Hull            12    8   -9      -6.73     7.64    -6.17    51.14     9.22   -15.14     0.01     0.06     1.34     0.31P   27.55R    8.07  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2018, Blackpool 2 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           12   27  +11       7.95    94.66     7.19    77.82     9.39    17.09     8.87    22.29    70.81    33.52P    0.09R    0.00  
Peterborough         12   24   +9       5.29    84.90     5.64    80.07     9.74    23.44    13.39    31.03    78.05    42.98P    0.10R    0.01  
Sunderland           12   23  +11       0.91    56.29     2.39    84.60     9.71    33.89    27.89    51.67    89.18    64.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley             11   22  +16       0.70    54.43     6.53    87.33     9.87    42.15    41.07    63.29    92.97    74.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Walsall              12   22   +3       5.63    87.36     3.04    66.90     9.29     0.55     0.89     3.14    26.11     7.44P    2.27R    0.15  
Doncaster            12   21   +4       4.01    79.04     3.17    68.38     9.28     5.03     1.24     4.15    31.91    10.02P    1.59R    0.09  
Accrington_Stanley   12   20   +2       4.64    82.39     3.41    62.59     9.62    -3.96     0.36     1.48    14.63     3.86P    6.90R    0.65  
Luton                12   19   +2       2.49    69.05     2.01    67.81     9.95     5.05     1.43     4.63    31.16    10.78P    2.57R    0.19  
Charlton             12   18   +1       0.44    53.76    -0.54    68.14     9.44     6.09     1.19     4.22    31.86    10.85P    1.93R    0.10  
Fleetwood_Town       12   17   +8      -0.81    43.78     6.07    67.94     9.48    14.26     1.16     4.34    32.32    11.49P    1.82R    0.11  
Southend             12   17   -1       0.41    53.78    -1.17    62.51     9.41    -2.91     0.29     1.23    14.29     3.91P    6.22R    0.54  
Scunthorpe           12   17   -4      -0.44    46.83    -5.27    68.87     9.63     3.61     1.50     5.11    34.55    12.39P    1.86R    0.16  
Blackpool            11   16   +3       0.21    52.02     1.91    64.12     9.48     3.38     0.46     1.84    18.96     5.60P    4.38R    0.44  
Coventry             12   15   -3       1.26    61.53     0.71    54.60     9.18   -12.10     0.02     0.15     3.14     0.68P   24.13R    4.04  
Rochdale             12   13   -8      -1.06    42.56    -3.93    56.59     9.39   -13.10     0.04     0.20     4.72     1.06P   19.02R    3.33  
Shrewsbury           12   12   -1      -4.90    15.89    -1.84    59.98     9.09     1.33     0.10     0.55     8.82     2.76P    9.22R    1.02  
Wycombe              12   12   -4      -1.20    41.98     0.93    48.19     9.38   -20.80     0.00     0.02     0.81     0.16P   50.43R   15.67  
Burton_Albion        11   11   -3      -4.10    19.80    -3.04    56.53     9.88    -6.42     0.05     0.35     5.94     1.66P   19.42R    3.30  
Gillingham           11   11   -5      -2.15    33.04    -1.81    55.06     9.67   -11.34     0.03     0.16     4.08     0.95P   23.97R    4.56  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   11   -7      -2.56    30.03    -2.96    49.48     8.83   -18.17     0.01     0.02     0.71     0.15P   44.57R   10.88  
Bristol_Rovers       12   10   -3      -5.65    12.43    -1.85    51.85     9.25   -10.12     0.01     0.06     1.75     0.43P   33.79R    7.32  
Bradford             12   10   -8      -4.70    16.45    -5.48    53.37     9.25   -12.65     0.01     0.08     2.44     0.64P   28.50R    5.61  
Plymouth             12    7  -11      -6.75     6.85    -6.99    45.99     9.05   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P   59.77R   21.35  
Oxford_Utd           12    6  -12      -8.08     3.99    -8.12    46.47     9.33   -21.92     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.09P   57.39R   20.48  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2018, Bury 2 2 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     12   28  +13       8.23    95.57     8.12    82.93     9.21    25.46    26.47    58.75    87.23    66.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           12   24  +10       4.10    79.90     4.76    80.79     9.38    25.42    20.01    50.43    81.93    58.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   12   24   -1       8.09    95.30    -0.13    66.60     9.24    -7.11     1.23     6.30    26.14     9.61P    0.26R    0.03  
MK_Dons          12   21   +7       0.67    55.06     1.29    80.86     9.43    26.39    20.51    50.82    82.14    60.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage        12   21   +4       3.16    74.59     1.93    67.95     9.27     4.67     1.64     8.36    32.09    13.26P    0.18R    0.01  
Forest_Green     12   20   +8       4.12    80.16     8.90    63.73     9.15     3.62     0.61     3.57    18.35     6.20P    0.56R    0.08  
Tranmere         12   20   +4       4.54    82.27     5.33    65.85     9.55     3.10     1.13     6.04    25.14     9.70P    0.37R    0.07  
Colchester       12   19  +11      -0.28    47.64     6.75    74.26     9.41    24.08     7.00    25.51    60.42    35.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     12   19   +2       3.20    74.76     3.03    63.21     9.36    -1.67     0.56     3.49    17.05     5.97P    0.73R    0.12  
Carlisle         12   19   +0       1.82    64.74    -1.09    68.40     9.39     4.33     1.88     9.20    33.93    14.80P    0.17R    0.03  
Bury             12   18   +4      -0.74    44.23     0.55    73.42     9.88    17.30     6.18    22.78    55.60    32.17P    0.05R    0.00  
Oldham           12   17   +4      -2.81    28.42    -1.02    72.47     9.66    17.11     5.14    19.77    52.11    29.36P    0.05R    0.01  
Swindon          12   17   +1      -0.99    42.19    -1.40    68.24     9.44     7.88     1.78     9.30    34.27    15.39P    0.23R    0.04  
Mansfield        11   16   +7      -1.56    36.87     3.35    72.40     9.42    19.52     4.88    19.05    52.35    28.63P    0.06R    0.01  
Yeovil           12   16   +5       0.91    58.22     7.11    63.80     9.42     6.71     0.66     3.98    19.36     7.16P    0.72R    0.14  
Port_Vale        12   14   -2      -1.52    38.50    -0.82    58.21     9.02    -5.07     0.11     0.86     6.63     2.15P    2.34R    0.47  
Notts_County     12   12  -10      -4.02    21.17    -9.13    56.06     9.37   -14.29     0.07     0.59     4.72     1.47P    4.84R    0.99  
Crewe            11   11   -1      -3.29    24.05     0.20    55.89     9.41    -5.65     0.07     0.59     5.06     1.50P    4.59R    1.00  
Grimsby          12   11   -9      -1.97    34.74    -4.03    47.39     8.76   -23.67     0.00     0.03     0.45     0.07P   21.28R    6.05  
Morecambe        12   10  -13      -2.70    28.92    -7.25    44.20     8.61   -32.04     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   34.61R   11.26  
Cheltenham       12    9   -9      -5.12    14.00    -5.41    48.24     9.04   -20.33     0.00     0.05     0.71     0.17P   18.80R    5.38  
Northampton      12    9   -9      -6.65     8.59    -7.83    54.13     9.64   -11.19     0.06     0.46     3.61     1.29P    7.22R    1.97  
Cambridge_Utd    12    8  -14      -5.94    10.31   -10.22    48.08     9.01   -23.97     0.00     0.04     0.57     0.16P   20.05R    6.49  
Macclesfield     12    4  -12      -6.74     5.43    -2.97    32.70     8.49   -40.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.85R   65.87  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2018, Aldershot 3 0 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       15   33  +18       9.40    94.91    13.49    82.33     9.23    28.46    21.80    74.76    34.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      15   32  +19       6.07    86.38    11.16    85.81     8.61    36.03    35.23    86.97    50.55P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     15   32  +15       9.63    95.13    12.17    80.88     9.40    24.73    17.39    69.42    29.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   31  +12       7.35    91.32     7.44    77.98     8.31    18.97     8.31    57.84    20.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     15   28   +5       8.89    94.72     6.96    69.23     8.44     3.66     1.04    19.26     4.17P    0.62R    0.00  
Hartlepool         15   27   +4       4.70    80.11     1.36    69.07     8.38     3.98     1.13    19.02     4.76P    0.56R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          15   26  +13       1.11    57.77     6.41    77.34     8.57    26.05     8.21    56.39    22.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead          15   26   +7       2.94    70.19     3.23    71.90     8.52    12.26     2.23    30.29     9.09P    0.21R    0.00  
Sutton_United      15   26   +3       4.54    79.51     1.59    71.48     8.63     7.71     1.96    27.75     7.53P    0.38R    0.00  
Eastleigh          15   23   -4       4.44    79.45    -1.21    62.42     8.43    -8.16     0.17     5.11     1.07P    4.38R    0.05  
Barnet             15   22   -2      -2.31    33.91    -7.68    71.28     8.79     7.96     2.01    27.74     9.81P    0.44R    0.00  
Barrow             15   21   +2       0.31    52.68     1.66    60.87     8.51    -1.41     0.10     4.13     0.91P    5.71R    0.06  
Halifax            15   20   +0       2.11    66.21     3.46    57.89     8.28    -5.90     0.02     1.65     0.28P   10.76R    0.21  
Boreham_Wood       15   19   -3      -1.78    37.40    -3.66    61.69     8.45    -2.00     0.11     4.70     1.13P    4.94R    0.05  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   18   -2      -1.85    37.27    -1.27    61.26     8.46    -0.56     0.10     4.29     0.94P    5.34R    0.06  
Bromley            15   17   -4      -3.46    27.20    -3.87    59.76     8.70    -3.76     0.07     3.27     0.75P    8.20R    0.19  
Maidenhead         15   17   -4      -1.61    39.18    -1.00    55.01     8.55   -10.99     0.01     0.99     0.19P   19.85R    0.71  
Aldershot          15   17   -7      -3.48    26.82    -7.18    59.24     8.57    -6.88     0.05     2.66     0.69P    8.92R    0.18  
Maidstone_United   15   14   -8      -2.74    31.23    -2.68    48.39     8.09   -19.20     0.00     0.11     0.02P   48.15R    3.14  
Chesterfield       15   13   -6      -9.36     4.60    -8.84    59.52     8.86     0.19     0.08     3.44     1.04P    8.60R    0.19  
Havant_&_Wville    15   11  -11      -3.16    28.94    -0.64    41.51     8.64   -30.58     0.00     0.03     0.00P   77.14R   15.36  
Dag_&_Red          15    9  -11     -11.02     1.69   -10.40    49.11     8.62   -14.33     0.00     0.12     0.03P   43.03R    3.19  
Dover_Athletic     15    7  -19     -11.08     1.40   -15.34    46.86     8.57   -22.77     0.00     0.06     0.01P   55.19R    5.58  
Braintree_Town     15    6  -17      -6.70     7.94    -5.14    31.11     7.86   -43.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.49R   71.04