Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 9 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Fulham 1 5 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   20  +18       1.05    61.21     2.70    89.47     7.17    68.83    61.31    83.60    93.45    97.87    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           8   20  +13       3.70    84.81     4.53    78.06     8.05    40.03     8.18    25.89    49.78    72.69    97.11     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         8   20  +12       4.92    91.77     5.24    83.14     7.81    48.96    20.45    53.42    75.20    88.86    99.31     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   18   +9       2.96    78.01     2.09    73.83     8.34    33.27     3.10    12.99    29.27    51.35    91.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         8   18   +8       1.46    64.59    -1.31    76.99     8.03    36.51     6.55    21.46    43.94    67.53    96.18     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       8   16   +4       5.05    89.88     4.35    52.48     8.26    -6.36     0.00     0.04     0.20     0.81     9.84     0.86R    0.04  
Wolverhampton     8   15   +3       5.62    92.84     5.59    51.87     8.52    -4.46     0.00     0.05     0.21     0.80     9.03     1.20R    0.07  
Man_Utd           8   13   -1      -2.00    29.50    -6.92    66.66     8.19    18.20     0.38     2.45     7.59    18.39    72.84     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           8   13   -1       4.03    85.82     2.52    46.05     8.02   -16.24     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.08     2.06     4.92R    0.43  
Leicester         8   12   +2       0.70    57.29     1.74    53.14     8.56    -0.10     0.02     0.07     0.27     1.13    11.74     0.85R    0.04  
Everton           8   12   +1      -0.05    49.66    -0.44    50.45     8.24    -4.95     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.40     6.36     1.63R    0.10  
Burnley           8    8   -2      -3.25    20.10    -2.54    41.37     7.83   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.55    12.27R    1.43  
Brighton          8    8   -4       0.25    54.89     1.58    41.74     7.95   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.76    11.82R    1.43  
Crystal_Palace    8    7   -4      -3.47    18.56    -3.15    39.85     7.89   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.45    17.04R    2.39  
West_Ham          8    7   -5      -0.99    41.00     0.41    43.84     8.23   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.25     8.86R    1.15  
Southampton       8    5   -8      -3.77    15.38    -4.51    38.98     7.89   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26    20.55R    3.33  
Fulham            8    5  -12      -1.76    32.89    -2.84    33.05     8.18   -38.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    50.60R   15.29  
Huddersfield      8    3  -13      -2.60    20.79    -3.37    26.23     7.02   -42.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.46R   43.46  
Newcastle         8    2   -7      -5.70     3.92    -1.62    39.81     8.12   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.43    17.44R    2.64  
Cardiff           8    2  -13      -4.11     9.53    -4.05    28.94     7.88   -37.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    69.50R   28.21  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Bristol_City 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       12   25   +8       6.65    91.34     5.10    75.70     9.33    13.93     8.69    20.78    61.25    29.37P    0.08R    0.01  
West_Brom       12   24  +14       1.19    58.80     3.75    86.61     9.53    39.28    47.92    66.69    92.09    74.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    12   23  +13       4.61    82.65     9.97    76.21     9.36    22.81     9.81    23.09    65.10    32.99P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   12   22   +8       1.89    64.90     2.77    79.47     9.00    23.83    15.33    34.38    77.12    47.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   12   19   +4       3.59    77.76     5.56    63.37     9.24     0.40     0.59     1.98    15.36     4.41P    2.71R    0.37  
Sheff_Wed       12   19   +1       2.32    68.27     0.72    68.33     9.33     5.00     1.79     5.78    30.76    11.13P    0.77R    0.09  
Brentford       12   18   +6      -0.71    44.29     2.52    69.85     9.44    13.83     3.01     8.39    38.49    15.73P    0.49R    0.04  
Derby           12   18   +2      -1.86    35.34    -3.00    68.88     9.21     8.53     2.20     6.57    33.15    13.60P    0.58R    0.06  
Norwich         12   18   +0       2.17    67.28     0.94    64.97     9.25     0.24     0.78     2.57    19.35     6.06P    1.91R    0.26  
Blackburn       12   18   -1       1.64    63.36    -0.85    63.21     9.45    -3.05     0.58     2.10    15.04     4.73P    3.30R    0.47  
Swansea         12   17   +3      -2.02    33.90    -0.87    71.31     9.46    14.28     3.82    10.50    43.82    20.05P    0.35R    0.04  
Wigan           12   17   -2      -0.20    48.82    -3.20    65.20     9.51     0.52     1.06     3.37    20.65     7.49P    2.05R    0.30  
Bristol_City    12   16   +2      -0.79    44.06     1.63    64.47     9.41     4.57     0.77     2.58    19.00     6.22P    2.29R    0.34  
Stoke           12   16   -1      -2.11    33.77    -3.35    68.15     9.67     7.44     2.13     6.14    31.18    12.72P    1.02R    0.11  
Aston_Villa     12   15   +0      -4.20    19.61    -4.16    66.85     9.28     7.81     1.39     4.50    26.42    10.39P    1.12R    0.12  
Bolton          12   15   -5       3.08    76.03     1.91    48.77     8.49   -23.75     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.08P   36.63R   11.38  
Birmingham      12   14   +1       0.55    56.05     5.33    51.86     8.74   -11.35     0.01     0.07     1.30     0.28P   22.87R    5.61  
QPR             12   14  -10       0.67    57.30    -5.01    51.35     8.91   -24.73     0.01     0.06     1.13     0.22P   27.10R    7.81  
Rotherham       12   11  -10      -0.33    49.08    -1.71    42.99     8.73   -33.80     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   63.57R   32.64  
Millwall        12   10   -6      -4.41    17.94    -3.01    54.15     9.09    -9.59     0.02     0.12     2.38     0.58P   17.16R    3.96  
Reading         12    9   -5      -4.73    15.78    -0.25    47.71     8.96   -17.53     0.01     0.01     0.47     0.09P   40.48R   14.49  
Preston         12    9   -6      -6.50     8.28    -4.40    55.18     9.29    -6.93     0.06     0.23     3.39     0.87P   14.55R    3.38  
Ipswich         12    9   -7      -5.57    11.73    -4.30    49.54     9.01   -16.36     0.00     0.02     0.79     0.16P   33.05R   10.14  
Hull            12    8   -9      -6.68     7.84    -6.08    51.00     9.25   -15.38     0.01     0.05     1.18     0.26P   27.87R    8.40  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2018, Blackpool 2 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           12   27  +11       7.97    94.73     7.22    77.90     9.42    17.16     8.99    22.25    70.76    33.70P    0.07R    0.00  
Peterborough         12   24   +9       5.24    84.93     5.59    80.16     9.73    23.56    13.37    31.67    78.34    43.52P    0.07R    0.00  
Sunderland           12   23  +11       0.95    56.63     2.41    84.51     9.74    33.71    27.67    51.07    88.90    63.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley             11   22  +16       0.68    54.69     6.53    87.39     9.85    42.20    41.04    63.33    93.16    74.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall              12   22   +3       5.71    87.61     3.16    66.79     9.28     0.28     0.87     3.12    25.69     7.54P    2.23R    0.16  
Doncaster            12   21   +4       4.08    79.57     3.26    68.39     9.29     5.04     1.27     4.23    32.04     9.92P    1.57R    0.07  
Accrington_Stanley   12   20   +2       4.58    82.32     3.33    62.57     9.53    -3.95     0.40     1.41    14.49     3.93P    6.67R    0.65  
Luton                12   19   +2       2.48    69.05     1.99    67.76     9.86     4.97     1.42     4.47    31.04    10.65P    2.45R    0.17  
Charlton             12   18   +1       0.48    54.15    -0.51    68.14     9.49     6.05     1.25     4.15    31.81    10.64P    1.90R    0.12  
Fleetwood_Town       12   17   +8      -0.82    43.68     6.04    68.01     9.39    14.40     1.19     4.22    32.67    11.36P    1.74R    0.13  
Southend             12   17   -1       0.42    53.91    -1.20    62.50     9.42    -2.93     0.31     1.32    14.37     4.08P    6.24R    0.63  
Scunthorpe           12   17   -4      -0.38    47.45    -5.18    68.81     9.69     3.53     1.45     5.08    34.32    12.25P    1.90R    0.15  
Blackpool            11   16   +3       0.24    52.70     1.92    64.08     9.42     3.36     0.45     1.89    18.91     5.61P    4.44R    0.39  
Coventry             12   15   -3       1.25    61.87     0.71    54.53     9.22   -12.27     0.01     0.15     3.01     0.65P   24.59R    4.14  
Rochdale             12   13   -8      -1.14    41.87    -4.07    56.90     9.45   -12.62     0.04     0.30     5.21     1.20P   18.23R    3.04  
Shrewsbury           12   12   -1      -4.99    15.41    -1.99    60.11     9.12     1.55     0.13     0.58     9.11     2.77P    9.06R    1.04  
Wycombe              12   12   -4      -1.20    41.69     0.91    48.26     9.32   -20.63     0.00     0.02     0.84     0.17P   50.53R   15.36  
Burton_Albion        11   11   -3      -4.12    19.76    -3.03    56.50     9.86    -6.44     0.09     0.38     6.03     1.85P   19.17R    3.43  
Gillingham           11   11   -5      -2.11    33.39    -1.75    55.03     9.64   -11.41     0.04     0.20     3.99     0.95P   24.15R    4.74  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   11   -7      -2.56    30.08    -2.93    49.35     8.84   -18.35     0.00     0.02     0.73     0.13P   45.13R   11.05  
Bristol_Rovers       12   10   -3      -5.62    12.42    -1.84    51.86     9.18   -10.12     0.01     0.06     1.63     0.40P   33.60R    7.23  
Bradford             12   10   -8      -4.68    16.44    -5.47    53.22     9.21   -12.83     0.01     0.06     2.20     0.52P   29.17R    5.84  
Plymouth             12    7  -11      -6.79     6.95    -7.01    46.15     9.07   -22.16     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P   59.28R   21.00  
Oxford_Utd           12    6  -12      -8.04     3.88    -8.07    46.38     9.27   -22.10     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.09P   57.78R   20.65  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2018, Bury 2 2 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     12   28  +13       8.18    95.50     8.06    83.18     9.17    25.76    27.71    60.06    88.12    67.15P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           12   24  +10       4.13    79.96     4.81    80.72     9.37    25.27    19.78    49.90    81.80    58.46P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   12   24   -1       8.03    95.09    -0.20    66.63     9.27    -7.04     1.19     6.31    26.37     9.60P    0.27R    0.03  
MK_Dons          12   21   +7       0.70    55.12     1.36    80.72     9.52    26.29    20.07    50.41    81.70    60.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        12   21   +4       3.19    74.48     1.99    67.86     9.22     4.56     1.61     8.24    31.33    13.01P    0.16R    0.03  
Forest_Green     12   20   +8       4.12    79.90     8.90    63.68     9.19     3.60     0.59     3.70    18.35     6.30P    0.59R    0.08  
Tranmere         12   20   +4       4.52    82.00     5.30    65.91     9.57     3.15     1.15     6.17    25.44    10.06P    0.42R    0.05  
Colchester       12   19  +11      -0.40    46.56     6.56    74.48     9.35    24.46     7.32    26.14    61.47    35.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     12   19   +2       3.15    74.12     2.92    63.56     9.29    -1.16     0.56     3.65    17.80     6.36P    0.69R    0.11  
Carlisle         12   19   +0       1.81    64.72    -1.11    68.39     9.32     4.30     1.73     9.18    33.69    14.88P    0.17R    0.02  
Bury             12   18   +4      -0.68    44.69     0.61    73.23     9.83    16.96     5.93    22.29    55.10    31.42P    0.08R    0.01  
Oldham           12   17   +4      -2.79    28.73    -1.01    72.36     9.70    17.00     5.14    19.52    51.88    29.17P    0.06R    0.00  
Swindon          12   17   +1      -1.02    42.09    -1.39    68.34     9.47     8.02     1.87     9.64    34.74    15.82P    0.21R    0.02  
Mansfield        11   16   +7      -1.51    37.23     3.43    72.17     9.37    19.25     4.43    18.45    51.52    27.71P    0.06R    0.01  
Yeovil           12   16   +5       0.98    58.68     7.23    63.69     9.33     6.52     0.62     3.76    18.73     6.83P    0.67R    0.09  
Port_Vale        12   14   -2      -1.48    38.89    -0.76    58.16     9.03    -5.20     0.10     0.87     6.76     2.07P    2.43R    0.45  
Notts_County     12   12  -10      -4.10    20.71    -9.25    56.24     9.35   -14.11     0.05     0.63     4.94     1.57P    4.68R    0.96  
Crewe            11   11   -1      -3.26    24.14     0.25    55.87     9.40    -5.71     0.07     0.61     4.99     1.57P    4.67R    1.02  
Grimsby          12   11   -9      -1.94    34.79    -4.01    47.37     8.75   -23.73     0.00     0.02     0.42     0.09P   21.62R    6.10  
Morecambe        12   10  -13      -2.76    28.42    -7.38    44.40     8.61   -31.75     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.03P   34.02R   10.88  
Cheltenham       12    9   -9      -5.10    13.96    -5.37    48.09     8.99   -20.54     0.00     0.03     0.61     0.10P   19.05R    5.44  
Northampton      12    9   -9      -6.61     8.65    -7.78    54.08     9.53   -11.19     0.05     0.37     3.42     1.12P    7.21R    1.91  
Cambridge_Utd    12    8  -14      -5.92    10.40   -10.22    48.25     9.05   -23.78     0.00     0.05     0.62     0.17P   19.69R    6.16  
Macclesfield     12    4  -12      -6.71     5.50    -2.93    32.52     8.50   -40.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    83.22R   66.63  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2018, Aldershot 3 0 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       15   33  +18       9.30    94.83    13.34    82.52     9.13    28.79    21.86    75.75    34.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      15   32  +19       6.04    86.49    11.10    85.92     8.45    36.22    35.23    87.45    50.83P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     15   32  +15       9.64    95.15    12.24    80.89     9.40    24.73    17.45    69.14    28.92P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   31  +12       7.33    91.38     7.43    77.93     8.27    18.91     8.23    57.63    20.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     15   28   +5       8.87    94.60     6.92    69.31     8.47     3.77     1.13    19.35     4.23P    0.64R    0.00  
Hartlepool         15   27   +4       4.74    80.39     1.45    69.05     8.46     3.87     1.19    19.03     4.90P    0.62R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          15   26  +13       1.17    58.09     6.52    77.13     8.57    25.73     7.87    55.26    21.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          15   26   +7       2.89    69.84     3.14    72.02     8.54    12.49     2.38    30.79     9.04P    0.24R    0.00  
Sutton_United      15   26   +3       4.50    79.36     1.53    71.64     8.55     7.93     1.89    28.14     7.68P    0.31R    0.00  
Eastleigh          15   23   -4       4.40    79.37    -1.28    62.54     8.45    -8.01     0.13     5.13     1.01P    4.43R    0.05  
Barnet             15   22   -2      -2.33    33.58    -7.71    71.26     8.80     7.90     2.06    27.55     9.76P    0.51R    0.00  
Barrow             15   21   +2       0.39    53.31     1.73    60.79     8.43    -1.48     0.10     3.82     0.90P    5.69R    0.07  
Halifax            15   20   +0       2.14    66.33     3.49    57.85     8.30    -5.95     0.02     1.75     0.32P   10.77R    0.18  
Boreham_Wood       15   19   -3      -1.83    37.17    -3.74    61.82     8.44    -1.83     0.11     4.61     1.20P    4.63R    0.05  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   18   -2      -1.92    36.92    -1.36    61.52     8.47    -0.18     0.12     4.47     1.11P    5.15R    0.08  
Bromley            15   17   -4      -3.37    27.64    -3.78    59.54     8.72    -4.10     0.09     3.07     0.73P    8.49R    0.19  
Maidenhead         15   17   -4      -1.63    39.39    -1.07    55.02     8.45   -10.97     0.00     0.86     0.15P   19.35R    0.56  
Aldershot          15   17   -7      -3.51    26.47    -7.22    59.24     8.48    -6.88     0.06     2.58     0.60P    8.80R    0.16  
Maidstone_United   15   14   -8      -2.54    32.46    -2.44    47.96     8.10   -19.77     0.00     0.06     0.01P   49.93R    3.41  
Chesterfield       15   13   -6      -9.44     4.16    -8.92    59.60     8.84     0.34     0.07     3.37     1.06P    8.35R    0.18  
Havant_&_Wville    15   11  -11      -3.22    28.82    -0.72    41.52     8.71   -30.53     0.00     0.02     0.00P   76.67R   15.36  
Dag_&_Red          15    9  -11     -11.04     1.61   -10.43    49.12     8.54   -14.32     0.00     0.12     0.02P   42.70R    2.77  
Dover_Athletic     15    7  -19     -11.02     1.43   -15.22    46.83     8.54   -22.80     0.00     0.07     0.01P   55.16R    5.48  
Braintree_Town     15    6  -17      -6.63     8.14    -5.01    30.97     7.86   -43.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.48R   71.47