Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 8 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Fulham 1 5 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 8 20 +18 1.05 61.07 2.72 89.38 7.17 68.69 60.57 83.12 93.34 97.78 99.92 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 8 20 +13 3.71 84.81 4.53 78.15 8.02 40.19 8.18 25.92 50.03 72.99 97.21 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 8 20 +12 4.88 91.40 5.16 83.23 7.83 49.22 20.96 53.69 75.21 89.10 99.28 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 8 18 +9 2.96 77.95 2.09 73.89 8.39 33.42 3.26 13.24 29.66 51.71 91.73 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 8 18 +8 1.49 64.56 -1.27 76.98 8.05 36.51 6.59 21.46 43.52 66.80 96.15 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 8 16 +4 5.04 89.77 4.34 52.42 8.30 -6.48 0.00 0.05 0.24 0.91 9.89 0.94R 0.06 Wolverhampton 8 15 +3 5.63 92.93 5.60 51.88 8.54 -4.51 0.01 0.05 0.24 0.83 9.13 1.16R 0.06 Man_Utd 8 13 -1 -1.97 29.94 -6.88 66.59 8.18 18.10 0.43 2.42 7.38 18.24 72.82 0.00R 0.00 Watford 8 13 -1 4.02 85.75 2.49 46.03 7.94 -16.34 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 2.04 4.62R 0.38 Leicester 8 12 +2 0.67 57.27 1.69 53.17 8.41 -0.10 0.00 0.03 0.27 1.07 11.48 0.83R 0.05 Everton 8 12 +1 -0.06 49.42 -0.43 50.39 8.28 -4.99 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.40 6.62 1.60R 0.12 Burnley 8 8 -2 -3.26 19.88 -2.54 41.34 7.82 -14.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.51 12.20R 1.32 Brighton 8 8 -4 0.25 54.86 1.59 41.75 7.99 -15.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.69 12.11R 1.45 Crystal_Palace 8 7 -4 -3.38 19.23 -3.03 39.64 7.90 -18.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.38 17.88R 2.48 West_Ham 8 7 -5 -0.96 41.31 0.46 43.66 8.27 -14.33 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 1.23 9.18R 1.18 Southampton 8 5 -8 -3.76 15.24 -4.50 38.97 7.95 -20.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.35 20.74R 3.36 Fulham 8 5 -12 -1.80 32.35 -2.86 33.14 8.29 -37.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 50.29R 15.06 Huddersfield 8 3 -13 -2.52 21.46 -3.23 26.07 7.04 -43.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.88R 44.51 Newcastle 8 2 -7 -5.81 3.79 -1.83 40.20 8.20 -12.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.44 16.45R 2.49 Cardiff 8 2 -13 -4.13 9.32 -4.10 29.07 7.87 -36.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 69.12R 27.49Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2018, Bristol_City 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 12 25 +8 6.59 90.89 5.05 75.56 9.42 13.79 8.83 20.80 60.77 28.82P 0.10R 0.01 West_Brom 12 24 +14 1.33 59.66 3.98 86.36 9.67 38.82 47.16 65.86 91.64 74.04P 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 12 23 +13 4.65 83.02 10.07 75.92 9.34 22.41 9.56 22.46 63.90 32.26P 0.07R 0.00 Middlesbrough 12 22 +8 1.93 65.33 2.79 79.54 9.04 23.92 15.63 34.60 77.33 47.88P 0.01R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 12 19 +4 3.50 77.16 5.43 63.62 9.22 0.79 0.60 2.13 16.17 4.71P 2.53R 0.32 Sheff_Wed 12 19 +1 2.31 68.26 0.73 68.38 9.24 5.09 1.80 5.57 31.08 11.16P 0.76R 0.10 Brentford 12 18 +6 -0.79 43.64 2.41 69.98 9.45 14.02 3.11 8.93 39.06 16.50P 0.52R 0.05 Derby 12 18 +2 -1.81 35.82 -2.89 68.71 9.22 8.29 2.17 6.39 32.48 13.21P 0.56R 0.05 Norwich 12 18 +0 2.25 68.05 1.06 64.78 9.21 -0.05 0.68 2.56 18.72 5.87P 1.89R 0.23 Blackburn 12 18 -1 1.67 63.66 -0.83 63.34 9.50 -2.89 0.72 2.29 15.65 5.06P 3.12R 0.49 Swansea 12 17 +3 -1.99 34.05 -0.82 71.18 9.47 14.12 3.93 10.50 43.39 20.39P 0.38R 0.05 Wigan 12 17 -2 -0.30 47.92 -3.35 65.61 9.51 1.13 1.20 3.62 21.87 7.97P 1.88R 0.24 Bristol_City 12 16 +2 -0.75 44.43 1.70 64.26 9.34 4.30 0.74 2.59 18.37 6.02P 2.36R 0.36 Stoke 12 16 -1 -2.16 33.48 -3.47 68.44 9.76 7.90 2.41 6.97 32.74 13.82P 1.06R 0.14 Aston_Villa 12 15 +0 -4.04 20.66 -3.92 66.49 9.23 7.27 1.34 4.14 25.24 9.64P 1.22R 0.17 Bolton 12 15 -5 3.07 76.14 1.83 48.87 8.48 -23.59 0.00 0.02 0.46 0.08P 36.25R 10.97 Birmingham 12 14 +1 0.55 56.02 5.33 51.78 8.79 -11.52 0.00 0.03 1.26 0.24P 23.48R 5.99 QPR 12 14 -10 0.73 57.49 -4.92 51.14 8.83 -25.04 0.00 0.06 1.03 0.21P 27.90R 7.87 Rotherham 12 11 -10 -0.35 49.13 -1.75 43.08 8.83 -33.69 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 63.62R 32.87 Millwall 12 10 -6 -4.49 17.49 -3.12 54.23 9.06 -9.42 0.02 0.13 2.39 0.56P 16.92R 3.93 Reading 12 9 -5 -4.82 15.25 -0.39 47.80 8.99 -17.42 0.00 0.03 0.58 0.13P 40.23R 14.38 Preston 12 9 -6 -6.54 8.20 -4.49 55.31 9.37 -6.75 0.05 0.22 3.69 0.94P 14.64R 3.53 Ipswich 12 9 -7 -5.56 11.95 -4.31 49.58 9.00 -16.29 0.01 0.03 0.78 0.16P 32.77R 10.08 Hull 12 8 -9 -6.70 7.92 -6.12 51.07 9.24 -15.22 0.02 0.07 1.27 0.32P 27.74R 8.19League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2018, Blackpool 2 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 12 27 +11 8.04 94.86 7.32 77.67 9.35 16.90 8.42 21.39 70.22 32.42P 0.09R 0.00 Peterborough 12 24 +9 5.28 85.22 5.62 80.12 9.65 23.50 13.55 31.24 78.30 43.03P 0.07R 0.00 Sunderland 12 23 +11 0.90 56.17 2.37 84.66 9.66 33.99 28.38 51.89 89.12 64.66P 0.01R 0.00 Barnsley 11 22 +16 0.68 54.44 6.52 87.29 9.84 42.09 40.65 63.28 92.99 74.28P 0.00R 0.00 Walsall 12 22 +3 5.63 87.40 3.06 66.83 9.21 0.39 0.84 3.10 25.66 7.49P 2.16R 0.15 Doncaster 12 21 +4 4.04 79.24 3.21 68.35 9.40 4.95 1.28 4.38 32.10 10.22P 1.71R 0.11 Accrington_Stanley 12 20 +2 4.66 82.52 3.44 62.38 9.63 -4.23 0.39 1.48 14.43 3.90P 7.07R 0.73 Luton 12 19 +2 2.51 69.41 2.05 67.65 9.89 4.81 1.29 4.32 30.61 10.16P 2.52R 0.21 Charlton 12 18 +1 0.41 53.63 -0.60 68.24 9.47 6.27 1.22 4.36 32.17 11.07P 1.70R 0.13 Fleetwood_Town 12 17 +8 -0.81 43.77 6.04 68.03 9.43 14.44 1.22 4.37 32.52 11.60P 1.64R 0.13 Southend 12 17 -1 0.43 53.75 -1.15 62.48 9.39 -2.91 0.35 1.32 14.25 4.04P 6.45R 0.61 Scunthorpe 12 17 -4 -0.43 47.11 -5.24 68.90 9.76 3.67 1.51 5.22 34.94 12.49P 2.00R 0.17 Blackpool 11 16 +3 0.21 52.32 1.87 64.26 9.51 3.56 0.54 1.93 19.38 5.90P 4.37R 0.35 Coventry 12 15 -3 1.15 60.80 0.55 54.90 9.18 -11.70 0.03 0.14 3.31 0.76P 23.44R 3.81 Rochdale 12 13 -8 -1.03 42.89 -3.91 56.72 9.42 -12.93 0.05 0.24 4.96 1.12P 18.84R 3.11 Shrewsbury 12 12 -1 -4.95 15.62 -1.94 59.98 9.09 1.32 0.11 0.51 8.88 2.74P 9.18R 1.02 Wycombe 12 12 -4 -1.28 41.19 0.79 48.36 9.27 -20.44 0.01 0.02 0.81 0.16P 50.10R 14.85 Burton_Albion 11 11 -3 -4.12 19.47 -3.05 56.52 9.79 -6.40 0.08 0.40 5.79 1.66P 18.98R 3.23 Gillingham 11 11 -5 -2.09 33.59 -1.71 54.82 9.68 -11.73 0.04 0.21 3.98 0.98P 24.54R 4.96 AFC_Wimbledon 12 11 -7 -2.60 30.00 -3.00 49.45 8.87 -18.20 0.00 0.03 0.70 0.16P 45.00R 11.05 Bristol_Rovers 12 10 -3 -5.61 12.50 -1.81 51.80 9.22 -10.24 0.02 0.07 1.66 0.39P 34.03R 7.47 Bradford 12 10 -8 -4.70 16.46 -5.50 53.42 9.31 -12.59 0.02 0.10 2.44 0.63P 28.50R 5.76 Plymouth 12 7 -11 -6.76 7.13 -6.97 46.09 9.06 -22.29 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.07P 59.37R 21.28 Oxford_Utd 12 6 -12 -7.96 4.00 -7.99 46.34 9.20 -22.22 0.00 0.01 0.40 0.08P 58.23R 20.88League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2018, Bury 2 2 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 12 28 +13 8.27 95.71 8.16 83.04 9.28 25.58 26.88 59.23 87.67 66.55P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 12 24 +10 4.13 79.78 4.78 80.81 9.40 25.40 20.05 50.26 81.95 58.61P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 12 24 -1 8.09 95.15 -0.12 66.47 9.22 -7.27 1.15 6.24 25.60 9.36P 0.24R 0.03 MK_Dons 12 21 +7 0.61 54.50 1.22 80.86 9.54 26.48 20.59 50.90 82.21 60.95P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 12 21 +4 3.14 74.09 1.92 67.96 9.25 4.69 1.66 8.48 32.12 13.19P 0.18R 0.01 Forest_Green 12 20 +8 4.08 79.94 8.85 63.69 9.15 3.54 0.60 3.75 18.16 6.35P 0.60R 0.09 Tranmere 12 20 +4 4.55 82.01 5.32 65.94 9.67 3.20 1.27 6.57 25.68 10.35P 0.41R 0.07 Colchester 12 19 +11 -0.37 46.83 6.61 74.49 9.36 24.49 7.27 26.29 61.37 36.06P 0.02R 0.00 Crawley_Town 12 19 +2 3.14 74.04 2.92 63.46 9.28 -1.30 0.53 3.52 17.60 6.29P 0.70R 0.11 Carlisle 12 19 +0 1.76 64.49 -1.18 68.48 9.30 4.49 1.86 9.23 34.04 14.87P 0.18R 0.03 Bury 12 18 +4 -0.61 45.17 0.72 73.12 9.89 16.83 6.00 22.07 54.60 31.14P 0.07R 0.00 Oldham 12 17 +4 -2.83 28.69 -1.05 72.39 9.67 16.98 4.89 19.45 51.80 29.30P 0.07R 0.01 Swindon 12 17 +1 -1.02 42.18 -1.39 68.09 9.38 7.68 1.79 8.96 33.52 14.95P 0.20R 0.02 Mansfield 11 16 +7 -1.51 37.38 3.42 72.30 9.34 19.39 4.57 18.44 51.96 28.15P 0.06R 0.00 Yeovil 12 16 +5 0.94 58.47 7.16 63.79 9.40 6.63 0.63 3.90 19.61 7.04P 0.77R 0.14 Port_Vale 12 14 -2 -1.50 38.49 -0.79 58.20 9.03 -5.12 0.10 0.88 6.74 2.16P 2.34R 0.48 Notts_County 12 12 -10 -4.07 20.90 -9.20 56.21 9.39 -14.12 0.05 0.65 4.87 1.54P 4.72R 0.95 Crewe 11 11 -1 -3.33 24.06 0.15 56.12 9.39 -5.36 0.08 0.67 5.24 1.58P 4.41R 0.86 Grimsby 12 11 -9 -1.95 34.83 -4.00 47.25 8.68 -23.90 0.00 0.02 0.41 0.08P 21.51R 6.08 Morecambe 12 10 -13 -2.75 28.80 -7.37 44.41 8.64 -31.78 0.00 0.01 0.14 0.03P 34.08R 10.88 Cheltenham 12 9 -9 -5.11 14.04 -5.37 48.27 9.01 -20.26 0.00 0.04 0.71 0.15P 18.59R 5.25 Northampton 12 9 -9 -6.61 8.76 -7.78 53.99 9.64 -11.34 0.03 0.40 3.40 1.13P 7.57R 2.10 Cambridge_Utd 12 8 -14 -5.91 10.37 -10.15 48.11 9.04 -23.94 0.00 0.04 0.59 0.15P 20.01R 6.36 Macclesfield 12 4 -12 -6.67 5.62 -2.83 32.52 8.49 -40.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.28R 66.53National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2018, Aldershot 3 0 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Salford_City 15 33 +18 9.40 94.78 13.48 82.27 9.34 28.47 21.75 74.37 34.49P 0.00R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 15 32 +19 6.03 86.49 11.08 85.99 8.57 36.33 35.68 87.63 51.49P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 15 32 +15 9.52 94.81 12.01 81.12 9.43 25.08 17.62 70.25 29.62P 0.03R 0.00 Wrexham 15 31 +12 7.45 91.71 7.60 77.75 8.33 18.64 7.97 56.82 20.08P 0.02R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 15 28 +5 8.82 94.40 6.88 69.37 8.46 3.81 1.08 19.53 4.09P 0.54R 0.00 Hartlepool 15 27 +4 4.80 80.69 1.51 68.99 8.43 3.85 0.99 19.00 4.71P 0.62R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 15 26 +13 1.22 58.72 6.55 77.14 8.61 25.74 8.02 55.81 22.01P 0.05R 0.00 Gateshead 15 26 +7 2.99 70.72 3.32 71.80 8.53 12.19 2.15 29.96 8.72P 0.27R 0.00 Sutton_United 15 26 +3 4.43 78.59 1.46 71.58 8.58 7.92 1.91 28.40 7.59P 0.29R 0.00 Eastleigh 15 23 -4 4.47 79.65 -1.19 62.38 8.45 -8.21 0.15 5.09 0.98P 4.62R 0.07 Barnet 15 22 -2 -2.17 34.61 -7.50 71.17 8.88 7.84 2.14 27.68 9.93P 0.51R 0.00 Barrow 15 21 +2 0.35 53.06 1.72 60.83 8.45 -1.45 0.11 3.97 0.94P 5.78R 0.06 Halifax 15 20 +0 2.10 65.83 3.44 57.86 8.34 -5.92 0.03 1.79 0.37P 10.98R 0.24 Boreham_Wood 15 19 -3 -1.82 37.27 -3.72 61.77 8.41 -1.87 0.10 4.67 1.16P 4.87R 0.04 Ebbsfleet_United 15 18 -2 -1.96 36.57 -1.42 61.51 8.53 -0.20 0.10 4.58 1.16P 5.12R 0.07 Bromley 15 17 -4 -3.41 27.28 -3.80 59.65 8.69 -3.99 0.08 3.18 0.68P 8.30R 0.21 Maidenhead 15 17 -4 -1.65 39.01 -1.09 55.02 8.56 -10.95 0.01 0.89 0.17P 19.82R 0.60 Aldershot 15 17 -7 -3.52 26.33 -7.17 59.16 8.45 -7.02 0.03 2.42 0.55P 8.83R 0.20 Maidstone_United 15 14 -8 -2.61 32.20 -2.55 48.24 8.11 -19.39 0.00 0.08 0.01P 48.64R 3.22 Chesterfield 15 13 -6 -9.45 4.25 -8.92 59.71 8.85 0.42 0.08 3.64 1.19P 8.15R 0.21 Havant_&_Wville 15 11 -11 -3.15 28.74 -0.65 41.43 8.57 -30.70 0.00 0.02 0.00 77.63R 15.28 Dag_&_Red 15 9 -11 -11.06 1.62 -10.45 49.21 8.52 -14.24 0.00 0.15 0.03P 42.61R 2.86 Dover_Athletic 15 7 -19 -11.18 1.38 -15.48 46.97 8.50 -22.64 0.00 0.07 0.02P 54.87R 5.44 Braintree_Town 15 6 -17 -6.72 7.83 -5.12 31.04 7.91 -43.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.42R 71.49