Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 4 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 October 2018, Bournemouth 2 1 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 7 19 +18 1.56 71.22 2.49 89.82 7.44 69.78 62.95 85.46 94.68 98.33 99.94 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 7 19 +12 5.27 95.44 4.94 83.54 8.08 49.72 22.87 58.32 79.58 91.60 99.33 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 7 17 +10 2.83 79.62 2.55 75.40 8.31 35.18 4.75 18.41 40.65 65.86 94.62 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 7 15 +7 1.12 61.31 -0.10 77.52 8.09 40.10 7.19 26.14 52.88 75.19 96.91 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 7 15 +5 2.48 75.09 0.16 71.19 8.67 27.51 1.86 9.09 22.99 43.87 86.68 0.00 0.00 Watford 7 13 +3 4.93 91.89 5.67 49.78 8.27 -8.49 0.00 0.02 0.13 0.54 6.46 2.41R 0.14 Bournemouth 7 13 +0 3.83 85.67 1.07 48.35 8.36 -15.03 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.42 5.05 3.68R 0.22 Leicester 7 12 +3 2.11 72.21 2.72 55.53 8.80 2.41 0.02 0.19 0.86 3.12 21.05 0.61R 0.02 Wolverhampton 7 12 +2 4.00 87.04 4.71 49.79 8.73 -6.49 0.00 0.04 0.23 0.83 7.52 2.88R 0.25 Man_Utd 7 10 -2 -2.74 22.26 -6.65 65.73 8.27 18.20 0.36 2.31 7.79 19.61 70.33 0.01R 0.00 Everton 7 9 +0 -1.82 30.44 -1.65 47.76 8.48 -7.89 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.35 4.85 4.22R 0.33 Burnley 7 7 -2 -2.37 26.00 -1.86 42.86 8.09 -13.06 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 1.28 10.98R 1.17 Crystal_Palace 7 7 -3 -2.02 29.54 -2.04 42.12 8.11 -16.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.13 13.21R 1.39 West_Ham 7 7 -4 0.00 51.92 0.97 45.00 8.51 -13.72 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 2.42 8.69R 0.93 Brighton 7 5 -5 -1.08 39.10 1.32 40.20 8.19 -16.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.63 19.17R 2.72 Southampton 7 5 -5 -3.22 18.25 -2.69 40.91 8.18 -16.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.78 17.04R 2.37 Fulham 7 5 -8 -1.53 33.98 -0.99 35.93 8.60 -30.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.30 39.89R 9.12 Newcastle 7 2 -6 -5.15 5.01 -1.87 40.49 8.17 -12.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.69 17.82R 2.46 Cardiff 7 2 -12 -3.78 11.04 -4.94 28.50 7.92 -40.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 74.02R 31.26 Huddersfield 7 2 -13 -2.76 17.21 -3.82 25.73 7.18 -44.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.40R 47.64Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 October 2018, Blackburn 0 2 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 11 22 +13 5.22 86.85 10.37 76.76 9.52 23.16 10.66 22.95 64.56 32.59P 0.04R 0.00 Middlesbrough 11 22 +10 3.43 77.15 4.98 82.90 9.16 28.80 25.28 46.48 85.19 58.39P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 11 22 +7 5.54 88.15 4.93 74.40 9.67 13.56 7.02 15.98 54.11 24.17P 0.13R 0.01 West_Brom 11 21 +11 0.81 55.95 2.89 84.47 9.84 35.35 35.05 54.52 86.92 64.67P 0.01R 0.00 Norwich 11 18 +1 3.45 77.14 1.85 66.88 9.51 2.08 1.24 3.77 24.10 7.65P 1.14R 0.14 Brentford 11 17 +6 -0.56 45.18 2.21 69.90 9.64 13.36 3.09 8.10 36.32 14.95P 0.52R 0.07 Swansea 11 17 +4 -0.34 47.13 0.56 73.89 9.65 17.02 6.08 14.72 52.64 25.78P 0.16R 0.02 Derby 11 17 +2 -1.33 38.77 -2.73 69.49 9.40 8.87 2.35 6.52 33.86 13.43P 0.46R 0.05 Wigan 11 17 +2 0.12 50.95 -0.72 69.72 9.76 9.13 2.86 7.61 34.97 14.57P 0.61R 0.08 Bristol_City 11 16 +3 0.61 55.61 2.60 66.95 9.55 7.34 1.36 4.12 25.37 8.70P 1.12R 0.15 Nott'm_Forest 11 16 +2 1.84 66.43 3.48 59.81 9.32 -4.57 0.20 0.70 7.79 1.90P 5.75R 1.00 Sheff_Wed 11 16 +0 0.67 56.05 -0.29 65.74 9.43 2.52 0.95 3.01 20.89 6.78P 1.43R 0.19 Aston_Villa 11 15 +1 -2.90 27.00 -3.26 68.74 9.45 9.68 2.10 5.90 31.61 12.63P 0.69R 0.08 Blackburn 11 15 -2 0.34 53.72 -1.29 60.91 9.69 -5.15 0.39 1.21 10.14 2.98P 5.07R 0.92 Bolton 11 15 -4 4.16 83.70 2.50 50.28 8.77 -22.73 0.01 0.04 0.73 0.11P 28.30R 8.22 Stoke 11 13 -2 -3.63 22.34 -4.25 66.03 9.99 5.66 1.32 4.04 23.49 9.07P 1.85R 0.27 QPR 11 13 -10 1.03 60.41 -5.05 51.12 9.13 -25.83 0.01 0.06 1.06 0.23P 26.44R 7.99 Birmingham 11 11 -1 -0.47 47.25 4.14 49.72 8.79 -13.98 0.01 0.03 0.62 0.13P 29.08R 8.87 Rotherham 11 11 -8 0.41 55.81 -0.73 45.02 9.01 -30.22 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 52.25R 23.32 Reading 11 9 -2 -4.52 16.20 0.59 48.78 9.12 -15.13 0.00 0.03 0.61 0.11P 33.42R 11.54 Hull 11 8 -8 -5.81 10.31 -5.89 52.43 9.51 -14.40 0.01 0.08 1.81 0.41P 21.70R 6.33 Millwall 11 7 -7 -5.89 9.15 -3.85 51.73 9.27 -11.78 0.01 0.07 1.26 0.28P 23.04R 6.75 Ipswich 11 6 -8 -7.46 4.27 -5.71 46.57 9.04 -19.07 0.00 0.01 0.27 0.05P 42.97R 16.74 Preston 11 6 -10 -7.42 4.25 -7.33 51.69 9.48 -13.68 0.02 0.05 1.47 0.38P 23.83R 7.26League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 October 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 11 27 +13 9.26 97.86 9.09 81.12 9.62 21.97 15.85 32.54 79.20 43.22P 0.03R 0.00 Peterborough 11 24 +13 5.86 88.71 8.30 83.42 10.03 30.69 23.85 43.75 84.75 54.44P 0.02R 0.00 Doncaster 11 21 +8 4.73 84.28 6.24 72.08 9.61 12.55 3.22 8.76 45.43 16.85P 0.57R 0.02 Sunderland 11 20 +10 -0.17 47.54 2.18 83.30 9.94 33.39 23.85 43.89 84.98 57.62P 0.03R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 11 20 +3 5.62 87.99 3.94 64.36 9.89 -2.39 0.66 2.20 18.25 5.19P 4.61R 0.35 Barnsley 10 19 +12 0.07 49.28 4.14 82.92 10.32 33.76 24.22 42.63 83.07 56.29P 0.04R 0.00 Walsall 11 19 +2 4.23 81.70 2.40 64.67 9.46 -1.38 0.59 2.04 18.02 5.24P 3.62R 0.25 Charlton 11 18 +2 1.80 64.91 0.43 70.73 9.69 8.89 2.34 6.82 39.73 14.69P 0.97R 0.05 Scunthorpe 11 17 -3 0.76 56.73 -4.63 70.73 9.94 5.40 2.46 7.24 39.61 14.96P 1.18R 0.08 Luton 11 16 +1 1.19 60.25 1.43 65.64 10.12 3.32 0.91 2.85 22.64 7.15P 3.76R 0.37 Southend 11 16 -1 0.91 58.17 -0.98 63.60 9.65 -1.90 0.46 1.58 16.06 4.50P 4.90R 0.41 Blackpool 10 15 +3 0.64 56.04 1.98 64.95 9.67 4.19 0.61 2.11 20.04 6.16P 3.58R 0.26 Fleetwood_Town 11 14 +4 -1.68 36.47 3.18 64.00 9.56 6.95 0.51 1.78 17.58 5.48P 4.04R 0.31 Coventry 11 12 -4 -0.48 47.27 -0.46 51.75 9.45 -14.86 0.02 0.07 1.68 0.36P 32.99R 6.31 Rochdale 11 12 -8 -0.87 43.94 -4.28 56.51 9.59 -13.74 0.06 0.26 4.49 1.04P 18.40R 2.84 Burton_Albion 10 11 -2 -2.86 27.24 -2.23 59.44 10.15 -3.09 0.22 0.80 9.47 2.90P 11.88R 1.61 AFC_Wimbledon 11 11 -6 -1.55 37.73 -2.41 51.15 9.11 -16.85 0.01 0.03 1.14 0.26P 35.24R 6.94 Bristol_Rovers 11 10 -2 -4.46 17.31 -1.05 53.68 9.41 -8.53 0.02 0.09 2.47 0.57P 25.05R 4.32 Bradford 11 10 -7 -3.80 20.66 -5.32 54.36 9.41 -12.25 0.02 0.12 2.72 0.70P 23.51R 3.81 Shrewsbury 11 9 -2 -6.23 8.63 -2.42 58.26 9.24 0.25 0.10 0.35 5.92 1.79P 11.67R 1.32 Wycombe 11 9 -5 -2.79 28.26 0.02 45.60 9.44 -23.10 0.00 0.01 0.37 0.06P 58.79R 19.97 Gillingham 10 8 -7 -3.61 20.83 -3.51 51.44 9.76 -16.52 0.01 0.07 1.76 0.41P 34.83R 7.93 Oxford_Utd 11 5 -12 -7.92 3.32 -8.42 46.41 9.55 -22.87 0.01 0.02 0.45 0.11P 55.41R 18.01 Plymouth 11 4 -12 -8.20 2.37 -7.64 44.12 9.27 -23.87 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 64.86R 24.83League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 October 2018, Cambridge_Utd 1 3 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 11 25 +12 7.05 93.62 7.73 81.70 9.43 24.96 22.52 53.31 84.22 61.04P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 11 23 +10 4.57 83.63 4.96 81.43 9.63 25.76 22.63 52.38 83.16 60.34P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 11 23 -1 8.36 96.42 -0.29 66.74 9.46 -7.39 1.34 6.77 27.28 10.04P 0.30R 0.05 Colchester 11 19 +13 0.83 56.68 8.37 77.09 9.47 28.24 11.79 35.46 71.53 45.61P 0.01R 0.00 Forest_Green 11 19 +8 4.61 83.56 9.06 64.31 9.44 3.96 0.79 4.52 21.00 7.44P 0.57R 0.09 MK_Dons 11 18 +4 0.26 51.93 0.08 78.18 9.81 21.88 13.58 39.05 73.71 49.68P 0.01R 0.00 Stevenage 11 18 +2 1.75 65.03 0.29 64.93 9.44 0.76 0.80 4.94 22.44 8.57P 0.47R 0.10 Oldham 11 17 +6 -1.67 35.86 0.65 75.71 9.86 21.80 9.58 30.32 65.60 41.37P 0.03R 0.00 Bury 11 17 +4 -0.21 48.38 0.78 73.40 10.05 16.73 6.30 22.99 55.83 32.16P 0.07R 0.01 Tranmere 11 17 +3 3.31 76.53 4.76 63.52 9.77 1.39 0.82 4.17 19.02 7.17P 0.99R 0.20 Swindon 11 16 +1 -0.42 46.88 -1.06 69.25 9.67 8.87 2.50 11.35 38.84 17.96P 0.19R 0.03 Crawley_Town 11 16 +0 2.15 68.44 1.87 61.40 9.39 -3.87 0.33 2.25 13.12 4.34P 1.40R 0.28 Carlisle 11 16 -2 0.37 53.35 -2.85 64.95 9.48 -0.26 0.84 4.92 22.32 8.79P 0.62R 0.12 Mansfield 10 15 +7 -1.22 39.21 3.32 72.61 9.62 19.28 5.05 19.72 53.21 29.24P 0.06R 0.02 Yeovil 11 15 +5 1.18 60.80 6.90 63.55 9.49 5.84 0.58 3.77 19.37 6.85P 0.85R 0.18 Port_Vale 11 14 +0 -0.46 46.87 0.74 60.56 9.32 -1.63 0.28 1.92 11.46 3.89P 1.63R 0.34 Crewe 10 11 +0 -2.38 30.16 0.53 57.04 9.71 -5.04 0.14 0.97 6.93 2.21P 4.34R 1.04 Morecambe 11 10 -12 -1.65 36.93 -7.01 46.03 8.84 -29.55 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.06P 28.31R 9.71 Cheltenham 11 9 -6 -4.76 15.20 -4.00 50.21 9.35 -16.25 0.02 0.11 1.45 0.37P 14.58R 4.52 Notts_County 11 9 -11 -5.26 13.48 -9.53 54.61 9.62 -15.07 0.06 0.53 3.89 1.23P 7.48R 2.20 Northampton 11 8 -9 -6.35 8.46 -7.97 53.71 9.89 -12.35 0.05 0.43 3.74 1.24P 8.92R 2.83 Grimsby 11 8 -11 -3.43 22.12 -5.76 44.48 8.86 -27.55 0.00 0.01 0.21 0.05P 34.84R 12.66 Cambridge_Utd 11 8 -12 -5.09 13.29 -9.01 50.10 9.29 -20.91 0.00 0.10 1.33 0.34P 15.54R 5.20 Macclesfield 11 4 -11 -5.76 7.68 -2.53 34.14 8.80 -39.59 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 78.77R 60.44National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2018, AFC_Fylde 3 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Salford_City 14 30 +15 8.74 94.26 11.94 79.11 9.51 23.08 16.60 64.65 27.54P 0.06R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 14 29 +17 5.03 82.78 10.01 84.22 8.76 34.18 34.13 84.08 49.05P 0.00R 0.00 Harrogate_Town 14 29 +13 8.63 93.78 11.16 77.45 9.75 19.95 12.83 57.47 22.89P 0.17R 0.00 Wrexham 14 28 +11 6.34 88.66 7.34 77.46 8.51 19.50 10.30 58.59 23.16P 0.05R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 14 28 +7 9.44 96.25 7.81 71.05 8.64 6.35 2.57 28.25 7.07P 0.44R 0.00 Sutton_United 14 26 +4 5.72 85.70 2.35 73.35 8.90 9.44 4.49 38.59 11.86P 0.30R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 14 25 +13 1.40 60.00 6.32 77.77 8.83 26.20 12.25 60.97 26.78P 0.05R 0.00 Hartlepool 14 24 +2 3.59 75.12 0.11 66.60 8.60 0.76 0.91 14.39 3.77P 1.73R 0.02 Gateshead 14 23 +5 1.91 64.10 2.11 70.08 8.78 10.04 2.39 26.27 8.27P 0.68R 0.01 Halifax 14 20 +3 2.66 70.24 5.32 60.21 8.54 -1.47 0.12 4.22 0.91P 8.17R 0.16 Eastleigh 14 20 -5 3.32 74.14 -1.48 60.83 8.69 -9.11 0.17 4.47 0.98P 8.04R 0.21 Boreham_Wood 14 19 -1 -1.03 42.52 -2.48 63.80 8.66 1.03 0.34 8.70 2.26P 4.00R 0.07 Barnet 14 19 -4 -3.19 27.68 -8.61 69.33 9.06 5.47 1.94 24.02 8.65P 1.17R 0.01 Barrow 14 18 +1 -1.03 43.01 1.03 58.92 8.72 -2.86 0.10 3.37 0.74P 10.96R 0.25 Ebbsfleet_United 14 18 +0 -0.99 43.28 -0.00 63.78 8.79 3.09 0.43 9.38 2.56P 3.87R 0.05 Maidenhead 14 17 -2 -1.00 43.61 -0.19 56.81 8.79 -8.42 0.07 2.09 0.44P 16.97R 0.57 Bromley 14 14 -5 -4.77 18.85 -4.41 57.83 8.91 -5.26 0.08 2.71 0.68P 14.41R 0.55 Maidstone_United 14 14 -7 -1.59 39.12 -1.99 49.62 8.41 -18.56 0.00 0.22 0.03P 45.49R 3.50 Aldershot 14 14 -10 -4.33 20.66 -9.05 56.78 8.65 -11.03 0.04 1.69 0.40P 16.91R 0.62 Chesterfield 14 12 -6 -9.03 4.54 -8.86 59.93 9.26 0.26 0.22 5.16 1.80P 9.95R 0.33 Havant_&_Wville 14 11 -10 -2.51 32.98 -0.59 42.03 8.86 -31.11 0.00 0.06 0.01P 77.23R 18.23 Dag_&_Red 14 9 -9 -10.30 2.10 -9.31 50.90 8.81 -11.75 0.00 0.43 0.09P 38.14R 2.82 Dover_Athletic 14 7 -16 -10.59 1.46 -13.71 49.62 8.76 -17.62 0.00 0.22 0.06P 44.83R 4.14 Braintree_Town 14 6 -16 -5.76 10.57 -4.82 32.55 8.21 -42.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.37R 68.47