Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 3 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 October 2018, Bournemouth 2 1 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 7 19 +18 1.54 71.06 2.36 90.03 7.42 70.33 63.30 85.84 94.95 98.48 99.93 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 7 19 +12 5.25 95.18 4.95 83.56 8.08 49.88 22.90 58.29 79.75 91.44 99.36 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 7 17 +10 2.88 79.95 2.64 75.24 8.34 34.92 4.28 17.61 39.45 64.91 94.52 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 7 15 +7 1.05 60.27 -0.20 77.80 8.09 40.62 7.44 26.77 53.99 76.25 97.13 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 7 15 +5 2.46 74.88 0.13 71.32 8.56 27.64 1.72 8.93 22.83 44.15 87.31 0.00R 0.00 Watford 7 13 +3 4.96 92.05 5.73 49.78 8.37 -8.55 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.58 6.84 2.43R 0.17 Bournemouth 7 13 +0 3.79 85.44 0.98 48.36 8.37 -15.01 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.36 5.12 3.71R 0.28 Leicester 7 12 +3 2.13 72.31 2.75 55.38 8.82 2.16 0.02 0.17 0.86 2.92 20.81 0.67R 0.04 Wolverhampton 7 12 +2 4.10 87.86 4.85 49.54 8.71 -7.00 0.00 0.03 0.17 0.72 7.16 3.08R 0.23 Man_Utd 7 10 -2 -2.71 22.37 -6.58 65.55 8.28 17.92 0.33 2.31 7.68 19.43 69.60 0.01R 0.00 Everton 7 9 +0 -1.82 30.57 -1.64 47.76 8.54 -7.96 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.42 4.87 4.38R 0.38 Burnley 7 7 -2 -2.38 25.76 -1.86 42.79 8.06 -13.23 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 1.21 11.18R 1.15 Crystal_Palace 7 7 -3 -2.03 29.46 -2.04 42.06 8.11 -16.27 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 1.05 13.44R 1.40 West_Ham 7 7 -4 -0.06 51.05 0.87 45.14 8.49 -13.55 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.11 2.54 8.39R 0.99 Brighton 7 5 -5 -1.12 38.56 1.26 40.54 8.19 -16.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.72 17.98R 2.47 Southampton 7 5 -5 -3.23 17.92 -2.71 40.99 8.16 -16.42 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.76 16.58R 2.39 Fulham 7 5 -8 -1.50 34.21 -0.90 35.83 8.58 -30.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.29 40.05R 9.20 Newcastle 7 2 -6 -5.14 5.18 -1.86 40.44 8.28 -12.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.75 18.07R 2.46 Cardiff 7 2 -12 -3.76 11.07 -4.88 28.37 7.90 -41.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 74.74R 31.70 Huddersfield 7 2 -13 -2.78 17.09 -3.84 25.80 7.13 -44.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.27R 47.13Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2018, Birmingham 2 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 10 20 +11 1.30 60.83 3.02 84.86 10.16 35.45 38.50 56.88 86.57 66.10P 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 10 19 +12 3.71 80.19 9.48 74.85 9.84 21.71 8.31 18.59 56.50 27.31P 0.15R 0.02 Middlesbrough 10 19 +8 2.23 69.45 3.55 80.96 9.30 26.50 19.75 38.91 79.04 51.39P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 10 19 +5 4.17 82.62 3.35 71.26 9.87 9.16 4.16 10.44 40.40 16.68P 0.45R 0.05 Norwich 10 17 +1 3.44 78.09 1.30 66.51 9.68 0.81 1.31 3.99 23.06 7.67P 1.56R 0.22 Brentford 10 16 +6 0.30 52.71 2.88 71.73 9.82 15.65 4.81 11.77 43.79 19.61P 0.37R 0.05 Swansea 10 16 +4 -0.17 48.35 0.30 74.02 9.94 16.81 7.28 16.25 52.55 26.80P 0.20R 0.02 Wigan 10 16 +2 0.57 55.28 -0.63 69.93 9.96 8.96 3.43 8.60 36.11 15.35P 0.71R 0.10 Derby 10 16 +2 -0.57 45.07 -2.21 70.79 9.66 10.35 3.63 9.28 39.00 16.87P 0.46R 0.03 Bristol_City 10 15 +3 1.11 60.36 2.83 68.17 9.89 8.60 2.03 5.90 29.87 11.04P 1.18R 0.18 Nott'm_Forest 10 15 +2 2.42 71.95 3.82 60.81 9.55 -3.64 0.32 1.08 9.63 2.65P 5.31R 1.02 Sheff_Wed 10 15 +0 1.02 59.69 -0.36 65.82 9.64 2.05 1.24 3.49 21.15 7.30P 1.64R 0.25 Blackburn 10 15 +0 1.48 63.52 0.39 63.96 9.94 -0.66 0.90 2.69 16.84 5.52P 3.22R 0.49 Bolton 10 15 -2 4.66 87.14 3.21 51.42 8.93 -21.43 0.01 0.05 1.07 0.19P 25.31R 6.67 Aston_Villa 10 14 +1 -1.98 32.99 -2.47 69.93 9.65 11.00 2.94 7.96 35.86 15.46P 0.61R 0.06 Birmingham 10 10 -1 -0.68 44.99 3.30 49.09 8.97 -15.78 0.01 0.02 0.59 0.09P 33.60R 10.73 Stoke 10 10 -4 -4.31 17.27 -4.78 64.36 10.36 3.58 1.24 3.54 19.16 7.90P 3.30R 0.62 Rotherham 10 10 -8 0.54 57.06 -0.83 45.12 9.42 -31.40 0.00 0.01 0.28 0.05P 53.03R 24.90 QPR 10 10 -11 -0.80 44.08 -6.24 48.38 9.28 -29.12 0.01 0.03 0.59 0.10P 38.74R 14.19 Reading 10 9 -1 -3.07 24.44 1.76 51.59 9.49 -12.24 0.03 0.12 1.56 0.34P 25.08R 7.65 Hull 10 8 -7 -4.62 14.84 -5.11 54.55 9.71 -12.40 0.06 0.25 3.13 0.80P 17.09R 4.46 Ipswich 10 6 -6 -6.60 5.67 -4.37 48.52 9.22 -16.30 0.00 0.02 0.60 0.13P 36.11R 12.42 Millwall 10 6 -7 -5.80 8.11 -4.24 51.70 9.44 -12.35 0.02 0.08 1.45 0.36P 24.32R 7.01 Preston 10 5 -10 -7.44 3.31 -7.96 50.97 9.54 -15.30 0.02 0.08 1.20 0.27P 27.54R 8.85League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 10 24 +12 8.02 96.58 8.63 79.53 9.83 21.06 10.94 25.19 73.46 36.48P 0.06R 0.00 Peterborough 10 23 +13 6.00 90.81 7.85 83.79 10.13 30.73 22.81 42.66 84.99 53.75P 0.02R 0.00 Doncaster 10 21 +9 5.97 90.91 7.06 74.36 9.92 14.84 4.49 12.01 54.04 21.49P 0.33R 0.02 Sunderland 10 19 +10 0.39 52.26 2.42 84.38 10.36 34.67 25.56 46.23 85.84 59.46P 0.04R 0.00 Barnsley 9 18 +12 0.83 56.31 4.66 85.02 10.46 36.68 28.48 48.58 86.83 61.48P 0.02R 0.00 Charlton 10 18 +4 2.81 73.30 1.88 72.91 9.86 12.16 3.21 9.24 48.18 18.63P 0.63R 0.02 Walsall 10 18 +2 4.42 83.74 2.21 65.20 9.84 -1.33 0.64 2.14 19.67 5.43P 3.78R 0.30 Accrington_Stanley 10 17 +2 4.16 82.28 3.20 61.48 10.12 -5.42 0.35 1.17 12.20 3.16P 8.63R 0.89 Blackpool 10 15 +3 0.67 56.51 2.04 64.57 9.66 3.65 0.41 1.70 18.32 5.30P 3.84R 0.32 Scunthorpe 10 14 -5 -0.51 45.81 -6.07 67.87 10.02 1.54 1.19 3.78 28.43 9.69P 2.43R 0.19 Fleetwood_Town 10 13 +4 -1.00 41.72 3.60 65.13 9.88 8.04 0.56 2.19 20.89 6.49P 3.62R 0.28 Luton 10 13 +0 -0.13 49.68 0.91 63.85 10.50 2.07 0.57 1.91 18.45 5.68P 6.24R 0.61 Southend 10 13 -2 -0.48 46.37 -1.63 61.13 9.87 -4.21 0.24 0.85 10.94 2.82P 8.57R 0.86 Coventry 10 12 -3 0.42 55.23 -0.07 53.15 9.66 -13.98 0.01 0.08 2.39 0.56P 28.52R 5.04 Burton_Albion 9 11 -1 -1.56 36.50 -1.34 61.13 10.39 -1.66 0.27 1.12 12.54 3.83P 9.46R 1.10 AFC_Wimbledon 10 11 -5 -0.39 47.95 -1.65 52.88 9.46 -15.48 0.03 0.08 1.94 0.40P 29.34R 5.20 Rochdale 10 11 -8 -0.46 47.34 -4.11 57.08 9.90 -13.59 0.05 0.31 5.30 1.20P 17.49R 2.81 Bristol_Rovers 10 9 -2 -4.22 17.43 -1.17 54.04 9.69 -8.79 0.03 0.13 2.85 0.71P 24.87R 4.05 Shrewsbury 10 8 -2 -5.92 8.76 -2.48 59.08 9.68 0.80 0.12 0.49 7.83 2.40P 10.94R 1.40 Wycombe 10 8 -5 -2.72 28.05 -0.36 45.13 9.79 -24.73 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.10P 60.94R 22.23 Gillingham 10 8 -7 -3.64 20.57 -3.54 51.73 9.80 -16.03 0.01 0.04 1.78 0.33P 34.04R 7.50 Bradford 10 7 -8 -5.21 11.27 -5.90 52.42 9.66 -13.91 0.02 0.07 1.85 0.44P 30.71R 6.13 Oxford_Utd 10 5 -11 -6.81 5.14 -7.78 47.99 9.79 -21.56 0.00 0.01 0.70 0.16P 48.92R 14.04 Plymouth 10 3 -12 -8.29 1.73 -8.38 43.51 9.47 -25.56 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 66.55R 27.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2018, Carlisle 0 1 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 10 25 +13 8.39 97.39 8.72 83.69 9.74 26.89 29.35 60.20 87.12 67.02P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 10 22 -1 9.18 98.15 0.33 68.02 9.64 -5.93 1.74 8.53 30.75 12.01P 0.18R 0.02 Exeter 10 20 +9 3.59 78.98 4.91 79.88 9.85 24.92 17.30 44.89 77.70 53.68P 0.00R 0.00 Stevenage 10 18 +3 2.63 72.52 0.55 66.27 9.70 1.55 1.32 6.74 25.86 10.80P 0.32R 0.05 Colchester 10 16 +11 -0.14 48.53 7.37 75.06 9.80 25.50 8.13 27.72 62.02 37.58P 0.03R 0.00 Oldham 10 16 +6 -1.45 36.99 0.42 76.27 10.24 22.22 10.67 31.84 65.50 42.32P 0.03R 0.00 Forest_Green 10 16 +6 3.24 77.08 7.47 61.43 9.61 0.08 0.33 2.37 13.06 4.30P 1.18R 0.22 Bury 10 16 +4 0.11 50.83 0.70 74.58 10.43 17.97 8.14 26.38 58.62 35.23P 0.08R 0.01 Swindon 10 16 +2 0.76 57.08 -0.31 71.51 10.03 11.20 4.26 16.63 46.22 23.85P 0.13R 0.03 Crawley_Town 10 16 +2 3.19 76.69 3.34 63.75 9.73 -0.47 0.72 3.87 18.79 6.62P 0.80R 0.17 Carlisle 10 16 -1 1.89 66.75 -1.60 67.73 9.69 2.71 1.63 8.41 30.73 13.52P 0.23R 0.05 Yeovil 10 15 +7 1.93 67.21 7.94 65.25 9.72 8.25 0.95 5.51 23.69 9.19P 0.51R 0.09 MK_Dons 10 15 +2 -0.91 42.17 -1.24 75.54 10.10 18.38 8.68 28.51 62.31 38.84P 0.03R 0.00 Mansfield 9 14 +7 -0.76 42.93 3.45 73.00 9.91 19.33 5.68 20.88 53.16 29.82P 0.06R 0.02 Port_Vale 10 14 +2 0.45 54.82 2.12 62.55 9.55 1.21 0.46 3.09 15.57 5.64P 0.91R 0.15 Tranmere 10 14 +2 1.76 66.37 3.97 60.92 9.99 -1.16 0.43 2.49 12.96 4.62P 1.76R 0.40 Morecambe 10 9 -12 -1.50 37.56 -7.25 45.80 8.93 -30.33 0.00 0.02 0.31 0.07P 25.71R 8.46 Crewe 9 8 -1 -3.93 17.37 -0.35 54.52 9.97 -7.69 0.06 0.59 4.43 1.42P 6.41R 1.75 Cheltenham 10 8 -6 -4.27 16.60 -3.84 51.37 9.50 -15.00 0.02 0.17 1.94 0.50P 10.81R 2.98 Cambridge_Utd 10 8 -10 -4.03 17.82 -7.52 52.98 9.52 -16.60 0.03 0.26 2.47 0.71P 8.47R 2.44 Northampton 10 7 -9 -6.08 8.15 -8.04 53.90 10.24 -12.92 0.07 0.59 4.16 1.42P 8.12R 2.35 Notts_County 10 6 -13 -6.52 6.49 -10.98 52.42 9.79 -18.07 0.03 0.32 2.54 0.82P 10.00R 3.14 Grimsby 10 5 -12 -5.25 9.47 -6.93 41.41 9.01 -31.10 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 45.35R 18.78 Macclesfield 10 3 -11 -5.81 5.93 -3.26 33.30 8.85 -40.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 78.88R 58.87National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2018, AFC_Fylde 3 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Salford_City 14 30 +15 8.82 94.33 12.02 79.06 9.63 22.97 16.55 64.33 27.60P 0.09R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 14 29 +17 5.01 82.78 10.02 84.36 8.76 34.32 34.62 84.49 50.02P 0.00R 0.00 Harrogate_Town 14 29 +13 8.59 93.77 11.12 77.63 9.66 20.16 13.09 58.31 23.12P 0.13R 0.00 Wrexham 14 28 +11 6.42 89.19 7.44 77.18 8.55 19.11 9.60 57.22 21.84P 0.05R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 14 28 +7 9.43 96.30 7.80 70.97 8.67 6.21 2.60 28.46 7.18P 0.42R 0.00 Sutton_United 14 26 +4 5.65 85.70 2.25 73.44 8.86 9.64 4.64 39.12 12.51P 0.27R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 14 25 +13 1.39 60.03 6.30 77.79 8.87 26.26 12.31 60.93 27.01P 0.09R 0.00 Hartlepool 14 24 +2 3.65 75.40 0.20 66.49 8.61 0.59 0.92 14.05 3.55P 1.99R 0.01 Gateshead 14 23 +5 1.87 63.67 2.04 70.08 8.82 10.09 2.21 26.81 8.02P 0.67R 0.01 Halifax 14 20 +3 2.59 69.62 5.19 60.28 8.55 -1.36 0.14 4.18 0.94P 7.85R 0.22 Eastleigh 14 20 -5 3.28 73.98 -1.60 60.81 8.69 -9.13 0.17 4.47 0.90P 8.09R 0.17 Boreham_Wood 14 19 -1 -1.05 42.45 -2.50 63.92 8.59 1.20 0.38 8.85 2.38P 3.62R 0.04 Barnet 14 19 -4 -3.09 28.23 -8.42 69.03 9.07 5.10 1.78 22.87 8.06P 1.27R 0.01 Barrow 14 18 +1 -1.03 42.91 1.06 59.00 8.78 -2.75 0.11 3.62 0.80P 10.85R 0.31 Ebbsfleet_United 14 18 +0 -1.05 42.48 -0.06 63.79 8.76 3.10 0.44 9.41 2.62P 3.92R 0.07 Maidenhead 14 17 -2 -0.92 43.95 -0.07 56.69 8.85 -8.51 0.08 2.16 0.42P 17.58R 0.66 Bromley 14 14 -5 -4.76 19.02 -4.33 57.64 8.89 -5.59 0.07 2.52 0.64P 14.76R 0.62 Maidstone_United 14 14 -7 -1.54 39.30 -1.91 49.65 8.30 -18.52 0.00 0.20 0.03P 45.29R 3.29 Aldershot 14 14 -10 -4.33 20.97 -9.02 56.74 8.69 -11.12 0.03 1.73 0.41P 16.96R 0.71 Chesterfield 14 12 -6 -9.21 4.22 -9.11 60.29 9.26 0.77 0.23 5.57 1.79P 9.56R 0.32 Havant_&_Wville 14 11 -10 -2.67 31.81 -0.86 42.32 8.91 -30.66 0.00 0.03 0.01P 76.25R 16.99 Dag_&_Red 14 9 -9 -10.34 2.01 -9.40 51.13 8.88 -11.43 0.01 0.45 0.10P 36.95R 2.85 Dover_Athletic 14 7 -16 -10.40 1.72 -13.44 49.26 8.86 -18.16 0.00 0.22 0.05P 46.81R 4.59 Braintree_Town 14 6 -16 -5.70 10.80 -4.71 32.50 8.14 -42.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.53R 69.13