Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 2 October 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 October 2018, Bournemouth 2 1 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 7 19 +18 1.56 71.14 2.39 89.97 7.47 70.27 63.40 85.78 94.65 98.35 99.93 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 7 19 +12 5.28 95.31 4.94 83.46 8.07 49.66 22.66 58.12 79.26 91.30 99.28 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 7 17 +10 2.82 79.54 2.59 75.40 8.28 35.18 4.52 18.25 40.50 65.60 94.68 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 7 15 +7 1.13 61.15 -0.08 77.59 8.14 40.20 7.33 26.22 53.11 75.28 96.97 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 7 15 +5 2.45 74.59 0.12 71.24 8.62 27.43 1.73 9.04 23.00 43.88 86.82 0.00R 0.00 Watford 7 13 +3 4.91 91.64 5.66 49.74 8.35 -8.54 0.00 0.02 0.12 0.51 6.65 2.44R 0.15 Bournemouth 7 13 +0 3.78 85.33 0.97 48.37 8.36 -15.07 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.44 5.06 3.79R 0.29 Leicester 7 12 +3 2.11 72.11 2.75 55.40 8.74 2.24 0.01 0.16 0.85 2.86 20.29 0.59R 0.03 Wolverhampton 7 12 +2 4.00 86.89 4.71 49.83 8.74 -6.52 0.01 0.03 0.20 0.76 7.47 2.90R 0.24 Man_Utd 7 10 -2 -2.78 21.79 -6.68 65.88 8.28 18.42 0.33 2.34 8.08 20.36 71.10 0.01R 0.00 Everton 7 9 +0 -1.80 30.83 -1.60 47.70 8.45 -8.07 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.33 4.66 4.33R 0.35 Burnley 7 7 -2 -2.31 26.42 -1.77 42.72 8.00 -13.36 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 1.17 11.08R 1.12 Crystal_Palace 7 7 -3 -1.99 29.55 -1.98 42.01 8.11 -16.27 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 1.03 13.51R 1.46 West_Ham 7 7 -4 0.01 52.00 0.99 45.01 8.48 -13.73 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.12 2.34 8.61R 0.91 Brighton 7 5 -5 -1.11 38.83 1.29 40.42 8.28 -16.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.73 18.61R 2.74 Southampton 7 5 -5 -3.20 18.43 -2.71 40.92 8.25 -16.46 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.84 17.00R 2.38 Fulham 7 5 -8 -1.55 33.87 -1.00 35.96 8.57 -30.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.30 39.02R 9.20 Newcastle 7 2 -6 -5.14 5.12 -1.84 40.33 8.20 -12.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.67 18.34R 2.63 Cardiff 7 2 -12 -3.76 11.15 -4.92 28.48 7.92 -40.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 74.46R 31.34 Huddersfield 7 2 -13 -2.80 17.02 -3.84 25.76 7.19 -44.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.30R 47.17Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2018, Birmingham 2 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 10 20 +11 1.32 61.02 3.01 84.95 10.15 35.56 38.99 57.47 86.99 66.81P 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 10 19 +12 3.70 80.17 9.48 74.69 9.83 21.49 8.17 18.12 55.96 26.87P 0.14R 0.02 Middlesbrough 10 19 +8 2.29 69.87 3.64 80.80 9.28 26.23 19.47 38.26 78.81 50.69P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 10 19 +5 4.17 82.51 3.33 71.26 9.86 9.12 4.12 10.41 40.59 16.51P 0.45R 0.04 Norwich 10 17 +1 3.46 77.97 1.30 66.67 9.69 1.12 1.37 4.19 23.79 8.03P 1.45R 0.20 Brentford 10 16 +6 0.32 52.66 2.93 71.56 9.92 15.32 4.80 11.57 43.15 19.02P 0.48R 0.05 Swansea 10 16 +4 -0.21 47.94 0.24 74.01 9.93 16.82 6.95 16.38 52.25 27.02P 0.23R 0.02 Wigan 10 16 +2 0.57 55.11 -0.61 70.03 9.92 9.11 3.55 8.82 36.07 15.73P 0.66R 0.06 Derby 10 16 +2 -0.53 44.99 -2.15 70.71 9.59 10.22 3.55 9.10 38.58 16.63P 0.37R 0.05 Bristol_City 10 15 +3 1.16 60.58 2.90 67.99 9.91 8.31 2.06 5.91 29.46 11.03P 1.18R 0.14 Nott'm_Forest 10 15 +2 2.42 72.06 3.80 60.89 9.61 -3.48 0.32 1.21 10.02 2.85P 5.28R 0.85 Sheff_Wed 10 15 +0 0.93 58.66 -0.46 65.95 9.60 2.33 1.26 3.65 21.32 7.44P 1.60R 0.26 Blackburn 10 15 +0 1.47 63.44 0.34 64.06 10.04 -0.54 1.04 2.90 17.49 6.09P 3.20R 0.54 Bolton 10 15 -2 4.68 87.37 3.26 51.25 8.92 -21.76 0.01 0.04 1.08 0.16P 26.42R 7.29 Aston_Villa 10 14 +1 -2.03 32.51 -2.52 70.00 9.54 11.05 3.08 8.09 35.95 15.47P 0.51R 0.06 Birmingham 10 10 -1 -0.66 45.17 3.30 49.13 8.99 -15.77 0.00 0.03 0.65 0.12P 33.49R 10.85 Stoke 10 10 -4 -4.35 16.79 -4.86 64.34 10.27 3.56 1.11 3.28 19.13 7.50P 3.38R 0.67 Rotherham 10 10 -8 0.57 57.47 -0.82 45.14 9.40 -31.47 0.00 0.02 0.32 0.07P 53.07R 24.92 QPR 10 10 -11 -0.88 43.24 -6.34 48.54 9.13 -28.84 0.00 0.02 0.55 0.08P 38.31R 13.47 Reading 10 9 -1 -3.10 24.23 1.71 51.67 9.49 -12.04 0.04 0.10 1.55 0.34P 24.85R 7.48 Hull 10 8 -7 -4.62 14.94 -5.09 54.65 9.67 -12.27 0.07 0.27 3.15 0.79P 16.78R 4.33 Ipswich 10 6 -6 -6.56 5.80 -4.27 48.38 9.21 -16.51 0.01 0.02 0.54 0.12P 36.74R 12.88 Millwall 10 6 -7 -5.82 8.05 -4.24 51.87 9.34 -12.11 0.02 0.07 1.36 0.31P 23.55R 6.91 Preston 10 5 -10 -7.41 3.35 -7.92 50.87 9.54 -15.47 0.02 0.08 1.25 0.35P 27.83R 8.90League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 10 24 +12 8.03 96.58 8.63 79.59 9.84 21.12 11.20 25.55 73.20 36.56P 0.07R 0.00 Peterborough 10 23 +13 6.10 91.25 8.03 83.42 10.10 30.14 21.69 41.04 84.24 51.95P 0.01R 0.00 Doncaster 10 21 +9 5.91 90.60 6.98 74.36 9.88 14.89 4.46 12.09 54.11 21.43P 0.34R 0.01 Sunderland 10 19 +10 0.38 52.22 2.42 84.42 10.30 34.76 25.92 46.51 86.15 59.92P 0.03R 0.00 Barnsley 9 18 +12 0.87 56.79 4.73 84.92 10.61 36.51 28.75 48.74 86.42 61.53P 0.04R 0.00 Charlton 10 18 +4 2.76 73.15 1.80 73.06 9.92 12.37 3.41 9.79 48.52 19.42P 0.58R 0.03 Walsall 10 18 +2 4.48 84.23 2.31 65.01 9.69 -1.59 0.53 1.96 19.08 5.04P 3.63R 0.25 Accrington_Stanley 10 17 +2 4.18 82.33 3.23 61.59 10.15 -5.21 0.38 1.20 12.43 3.30P 8.41R 0.91 Blackpool 10 15 +3 0.56 55.52 1.88 64.79 9.64 3.96 0.46 1.80 18.94 5.52P 3.56R 0.24 Scunthorpe 10 14 -5 -0.39 47.05 -5.90 67.52 10.14 0.99 1.12 3.70 27.59 9.47P 2.77R 0.22 Fleetwood_Town 10 13 +4 -1.02 41.62 3.55 65.19 9.91 8.14 0.62 2.22 21.05 6.67P 3.59R 0.33 Luton 10 13 +0 -0.15 49.45 0.90 63.99 10.42 2.26 0.57 1.97 18.48 5.73P 5.90R 0.63 Southend 10 13 -2 -0.53 46.16 -1.69 61.28 9.84 -4.04 0.25 0.92 11.18 2.99P 8.26R 0.83 Coventry 10 12 -3 0.43 55.34 -0.04 53.10 9.72 -14.10 0.03 0.11 2.43 0.48P 28.90R 5.10 Burton_Albion 9 11 -1 -1.63 35.88 -1.44 61.43 10.39 -1.23 0.33 1.28 12.91 4.14P 8.98R 0.97 AFC_Wimbledon 10 11 -5 -0.45 47.11 -1.76 53.05 9.40 -15.12 0.02 0.06 1.97 0.42P 28.56R 4.97 Rochdale 10 11 -8 -0.50 47.12 -4.20 57.15 9.96 -13.56 0.07 0.31 5.54 1.30P 17.60R 2.72 Bristol_Rovers 10 9 -2 -4.25 17.20 -1.22 54.11 9.87 -8.67 0.05 0.16 3.27 0.82P 24.76R 4.36 Shrewsbury 10 8 -2 -5.88 9.05 -2.40 58.93 9.73 0.56 0.10 0.42 7.45 2.26P 11.55R 1.39 Wycombe 10 8 -5 -2.64 28.54 -0.24 45.02 9.84 -24.92 0.01 0.02 0.44 0.08P 61.01R 22.30 Gillingham 10 8 -7 -3.67 20.33 -3.55 51.89 9.82 -15.83 0.01 0.07 1.82 0.40P 33.50R 7.10 Bradford 10 7 -8 -5.19 11.21 -5.89 52.41 9.68 -13.89 0.01 0.06 1.92 0.40P 31.01R 6.06 Oxford_Utd 10 5 -11 -6.80 5.23 -7.77 47.81 9.82 -21.76 0.00 0.01 0.75 0.15P 49.64R 14.38 Plymouth 10 3 -12 -8.29 1.76 -8.35 43.37 9.47 -25.77 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 67.31R 27.18League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2018, Carlisle 0 1 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 10 25 +13 8.33 97.28 8.62 83.77 9.67 27.04 29.14 60.25 87.35 67.08P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 10 22 -1 9.16 98.19 0.28 68.08 9.58 -5.82 1.70 8.38 30.59 12.01P 0.23R 0.03 Exeter 10 20 +9 3.53 78.44 4.82 79.92 9.95 24.94 17.36 44.96 77.52 53.63P 0.00R 0.00 Stevenage 10 18 +3 2.73 73.12 0.73 65.86 9.66 0.89 1.25 6.17 24.61 9.84P 0.32R 0.05 Colchester 10 16 +11 -0.19 47.89 7.29 75.30 9.82 25.89 8.55 28.34 62.93 38.08P 0.02R 0.00 Oldham 10 16 +6 -1.38 37.38 0.55 76.08 10.18 21.96 10.32 31.26 64.80 41.55P 0.02R 0.00 Forest_Green 10 16 +6 3.25 77.18 7.47 61.42 9.67 0.08 0.42 2.47 13.35 4.39P 1.16R 0.16 Bury 10 16 +4 0.10 50.69 0.71 74.73 10.41 18.19 8.31 26.60 59.51 35.75P 0.06R 0.01 Swindon 10 16 +2 0.82 57.47 -0.22 71.37 9.89 10.99 3.83 15.78 45.44 22.97P 0.11R 0.02 Crawley_Town 10 16 +2 3.13 76.22 3.28 63.83 9.73 -0.36 0.71 4.12 18.76 6.88P 0.70R 0.14 Carlisle 10 16 -1 1.88 66.59 -1.62 67.92 9.71 2.96 1.81 8.68 31.27 13.82P 0.24R 0.03 Yeovil 10 15 +7 1.96 67.42 7.98 65.17 9.77 8.12 0.98 5.43 23.39 9.20P 0.52R 0.09 MK_Dons 10 15 +2 -0.94 41.63 -1.30 75.64 10.05 18.56 8.47 28.79 62.83 39.24P 0.02R 0.00 Mansfield 9 14 +7 -0.82 42.39 3.35 73.31 9.92 19.74 6.13 21.57 54.40 30.73P 0.04R 0.00 Port_Vale 10 14 +2 0.52 55.61 2.19 62.54 9.51 1.24 0.43 2.99 15.31 5.61P 0.78R 0.13 Tranmere 10 14 +2 1.73 66.22 3.92 60.90 9.91 -1.16 0.38 2.49 12.72 4.65P 1.66R 0.34 Morecambe 10 9 -12 -1.50 37.49 -7.23 45.78 8.97 -30.35 0.00 0.02 0.31 0.07P 26.14R 8.57 Crewe 9 8 -1 -3.92 17.24 -0.31 54.43 9.94 -7.84 0.06 0.54 4.26 1.30P 6.42R 1.71 Cheltenham 10 8 -6 -4.16 16.94 -3.69 51.06 9.46 -15.55 0.01 0.12 1.64 0.46P 11.17R 3.21 Cambridge_Utd 10 8 -10 -3.99 18.29 -7.48 52.93 9.55 -16.73 0.02 0.24 2.52 0.68P 8.53R 2.55 Northampton 10 7 -9 -6.11 8.30 -8.05 54.03 10.21 -12.72 0.06 0.53 4.13 1.35P 7.88R 2.52 Notts_County 10 6 -13 -6.51 6.52 -10.94 52.27 9.78 -18.32 0.03 0.24 2.30 0.68P 10.26R 3.18 Grimsby 10 5 -12 -5.30 9.24 -6.98 41.34 8.92 -31.14 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.02P 45.66R 19.11 Macclesfield 10 3 -11 -5.86 5.89 -3.37 33.55 8.93 -40.62 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 78.06R 58.13National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2018, AFC_Fylde 3 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Salford_City 14 30 +15 8.71 94.04 11.90 79.22 9.48 23.29 16.69 65.29 28.09P 0.07R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 14 29 +17 5.05 82.87 10.03 84.32 8.74 34.25 34.57 84.54 49.68P 0.00R 0.00 Harrogate_Town 14 29 +13 8.63 93.80 11.14 77.54 9.66 20.07 12.89 57.97 22.81P 0.18R 0.00 Wrexham 14 28 +11 6.42 88.95 7.45 77.16 8.52 19.10 9.58 57.00 21.91P 0.03R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 14 28 +7 9.50 96.33 7.90 70.79 8.69 5.92 2.50 27.94 6.99P 0.54R 0.01 Sutton_United 14 26 +4 5.71 85.72 2.33 73.36 8.82 9.46 4.46 38.51 12.05P 0.26R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 14 25 +13 1.41 60.17 6.37 77.85 8.85 26.28 12.51 61.37 27.30P 0.04R 0.00 Hartlepool 14 24 +2 3.61 75.38 0.12 66.73 8.61 0.96 0.94 14.80 3.67P 1.69R 0.02 Gateshead 14 23 +5 1.85 63.67 2.02 70.21 8.75 10.22 2.37 26.55 8.20P 0.67R 0.00 Halifax 14 20 +3 2.63 70.00 5.25 60.28 8.46 -1.34 0.11 3.99 0.82P 7.99R 0.16 Eastleigh 14 20 -5 3.30 74.25 -1.53 60.86 8.68 -9.08 0.15 4.76 0.95P 8.13R 0.21 Boreham_Wood 14 19 -1 -1.08 42.32 -2.53 63.90 8.62 1.20 0.33 8.99 2.42P 3.57R 0.06 Barnet 14 19 -4 -3.11 28.32 -8.48 69.14 9.08 5.29 1.98 23.50 8.57P 1.22R 0.02 Barrow 14 18 +1 -1.05 42.57 1.04 58.83 8.66 -2.96 0.08 3.24 0.72P 11.02R 0.25 Ebbsfleet_United 14 18 +0 -1.00 43.05 -0.01 63.66 8.80 2.94 0.46 9.23 2.48P 4.16R 0.06 Maidenhead 14 17 -2 -0.87 44.26 0.03 56.52 8.77 -8.85 0.05 1.88 0.39P 18.02R 0.75 Bromley 14 14 -5 -4.83 18.61 -4.46 57.83 8.97 -5.24 0.09 2.87 0.72P 14.38R 0.59 Maidstone_United 14 14 -7 -1.54 39.47 -1.92 49.68 8.33 -18.46 0.00 0.19 0.03P 45.07R 3.46 Aldershot 14 14 -10 -4.40 20.23 -9.12 56.80 8.65 -11.00 0.05 1.65 0.44P 16.87R 0.64 Chesterfield 14 12 -6 -9.06 4.35 -8.91 59.98 9.16 0.32 0.17 5.08 1.59P 9.83R 0.27 Havant_&_Wville 14 11 -10 -2.60 32.40 -0.74 42.27 8.89 -30.78 0.00 0.04 0.01P 76.46R 17.60 Dag_&_Red 14 9 -9 -10.33 2.19 -9.39 51.02 8.79 -11.59 0.01 0.40 0.11P 37.54R 2.86 Dover_Athletic 14 7 -16 -10.53 1.51 -13.60 49.40 8.75 -17.93 0.01 0.21 0.05P 45.98R 4.35 Braintree_Town 14 6 -16 -5.79 10.60 -4.88 32.61 8.24 -42.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.27R 68.67