Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 30 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 September 2018, Arsenal 2 0 Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 6 18 +12 5.50 97.13 4.69 83.81 8.33 49.77 23.38 57.92 78.28 90.36 99.30 0.00 0.00 Man_City 6 16 +16 1.12 66.19 2.66 90.10 7.55 72.51 62.13 84.86 94.11 98.05 99.95 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 6 16 +10 3.24 86.06 2.60 76.11 8.55 35.82 5.42 20.06 42.69 66.09 95.37 0.00 0.00 Watford 6 13 +5 5.58 95.35 6.35 50.98 8.56 -7.29 0.01 0.04 0.23 0.74 8.88 2.10R 0.16 Tottenham 6 12 +5 0.47 54.03 -0.49 77.22 8.41 40.50 6.69 24.25 49.57 71.95 96.56 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 6 12 +3 1.68 68.44 -0.42 70.68 8.90 27.47 1.54 8.16 20.69 39.79 85.81 0.00R 0.00 Man_Utd 6 10 +0 -1.24 34.68 -4.48 68.73 8.54 22.72 0.81 4.60 13.77 30.30 81.76 0.01R 0.00 Bournemouth 6 10 -1 2.38 76.67 0.36 46.36 8.65 -17.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.26 3.56 6.85R 0.70 Leicester 6 9 +1 0.65 57.63 1.07 52.64 9.04 -2.01 0.01 0.08 0.44 1.52 13.17 1.78R 0.13 Wolverhampton 6 9 +0 2.82 81.36 3.49 46.57 8.92 -11.35 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.33 4.02 6.96R 0.85 Crystal_Palace 6 7 -2 -0.83 41.14 -1.28 43.64 8.50 -15.12 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.11 1.95 10.98R 1.32 Everton 6 6 -3 -2.75 20.28 -3.52 45.47 8.78 -12.32 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.21 3.02 8.23R 1.05 Brighton 6 5 -3 -0.69 43.48 1.19 40.65 8.35 -17.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.82 19.00R 3.12 Southampton 6 5 -3 -2.34 24.59 -1.41 42.88 8.56 -13.62 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.08 1.60 12.98R 1.90 Fulham 6 5 -5 -0.87 40.67 0.67 38.25 9.09 -26.11 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.76 30.93R 7.30 Burnley 6 4 -3 -3.71 12.88 -2.43 40.89 8.32 -14.73 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.74 17.76R 2.73 West_Ham 6 4 -6 -1.87 28.85 -1.36 41.26 8.66 -19.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.04 18.72R 3.20 Newcastle 6 2 -4 -3.88 9.63 -0.01 42.95 8.59 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.65 12.62R 1.79 Cardiff 6 2 -11 -2.64 18.38 -4.23 30.20 8.25 -38.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 67.17R 26.98 Huddersfield 6 2 -11 -2.34 20.48 -3.45 26.24 7.36 -44.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 83.91R 48.76Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2018, Aston_Villa 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 9 18 +12 3.95 83.28 9.34 74.92 10.14 21.27 9.02 19.09 55.38 27.26P 0.17R 0.01 Middlesbrough 9 18 +8 2.76 74.89 3.79 81.29 9.58 26.41 21.57 39.61 78.61 51.64P 0.01R 0.00 West_Brom 9 17 +10 0.04 49.35 2.68 83.07 10.48 33.88 31.06 48.58 81.76 59.18P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 9 16 +4 2.59 73.06 2.45 68.82 10.04 6.98 2.75 6.84 31.06 11.84P 1.05R 0.12 Wigan 9 16 +3 1.67 64.95 -0.02 72.09 10.30 11.11 5.59 12.58 43.09 20.34P 0.49R 0.05 Derby 9 16 +3 0.87 57.83 -1.10 73.30 9.87 13.07 6.15 14.13 48.20 22.98P 0.26R 0.04 Brentford 9 15 +6 1.25 62.07 3.79 73.42 10.03 17.70 6.93 15.20 49.24 23.47P 0.31R 0.04 Bristol_City 9 14 +3 1.63 65.74 3.03 68.61 10.15 8.68 2.60 6.85 30.57 11.93P 1.17R 0.17 Nott'm_Forest 9 14 +2 2.48 73.59 3.30 60.57 9.62 -4.29 0.35 1.10 9.00 2.47P 5.60R 0.94 Sheff_Wed 9 14 +0 1.55 64.92 -0.10 66.40 9.95 2.36 1.58 4.41 22.84 8.19P 1.77R 0.26 Norwich 9 14 +0 2.06 69.28 0.65 64.46 9.84 -0.91 0.94 2.74 17.28 5.46P 2.62R 0.40 Blackburn 9 14 +0 2.05 69.30 0.63 65.46 10.38 1.21 1.63 4.18 21.35 7.88P 2.57R 0.41 Aston_Villa 9 13 +1 -1.80 33.55 -2.76 70.42 9.82 11.12 3.42 8.69 37.18 16.26P 0.59R 0.08 Swansea 9 13 +1 -0.65 44.06 -1.05 71.51 10.09 12.63 4.75 11.05 41.38 19.64P 0.50R 0.07 Bolton 9 12 -3 2.91 78.33 2.08 48.63 9.14 -24.38 0.01 0.04 0.63 0.12P 36.69R 12.20 QPR 9 10 -8 -0.39 47.38 -4.81 49.87 9.36 -25.69 0.02 0.07 0.85 0.17P 32.73R 10.57 Birmingham 9 9 -1 -0.22 49.52 3.35 49.21 9.11 -15.83 0.00 0.03 0.65 0.15P 33.15R 10.48 Stoke 9 9 -4 -3.73 19.10 -4.50 65.30 10.45 4.46 1.42 4.05 21.48 8.55P 2.91R 0.54 Rotherham 9 9 -8 0.84 60.46 -1.01 44.75 9.52 -32.19 0.01 0.01 0.24 0.05P 54.56R 25.94 Reading 9 8 -1 -3.16 22.77 0.92 50.86 9.61 -13.90 0.02 0.11 1.30 0.33P 27.68R 8.82 Hull 9 7 -7 -4.38 14.62 -5.24 54.70 9.92 -12.70 0.09 0.31 3.28 0.88P 17.05R 4.58 Millwall 9 6 -6 -4.49 13.19 -3.39 53.64 9.59 -10.30 0.03 0.15 2.35 0.63P 18.60R 5.05 Ipswich 9 5 -6 -6.29 5.52 -4.44 48.66 9.43 -16.25 0.01 0.04 0.66 0.16P 35.81R 12.33 Preston 9 5 -9 -6.41 4.78 -7.58 52.12 9.64 -14.43 0.03 0.11 1.62 0.40P 23.68R 6.89League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2018, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Peterborough 9 22 +13 6.63 94.19 8.28 84.57 10.50 31.30 26.26 46.63 85.61 56.62P 0.03R 0.00 Portsmouth 9 21 +10 6.96 95.09 7.49 77.07 9.99 17.76 7.39 18.88 64.09 29.32P 0.16R 0.00 Sunderland 9 18 +10 1.15 59.36 2.99 86.16 10.65 36.90 32.83 53.94 88.51 65.65P 0.02R 0.00 Doncaster 9 18 +8 4.75 86.82 6.66 72.59 10.09 13.70 3.49 9.83 46.74 18.20P 0.72R 0.05 Walsall 9 18 +3 5.76 91.15 3.16 67.24 10.15 0.64 1.10 3.77 26.31 7.93P 2.96R 0.20 Charlton 9 17 +4 3.34 78.76 2.08 73.63 10.06 12.66 3.87 11.19 50.64 20.92P 0.55R 0.03 Barnsley 8 15 +10 -0.00 48.69 3.90 81.87 10.95 32.15 19.74 37.77 78.76 51.39P 0.09R 0.00 Blackpool 9 14 +3 0.76 57.43 1.57 64.27 9.80 2.80 0.55 1.91 17.74 5.48P 4.39R 0.33 Accrington_Stanley 9 14 +1 2.56 73.02 2.29 59.09 10.42 -7.67 0.22 0.88 9.12 2.50P 13.94R 1.91 Fleetwood_Town 9 13 +6 -0.15 49.03 4.83 67.12 10.09 11.02 1.19 3.81 27.56 9.54P 2.72R 0.24 Scunthorpe 9 13 -5 -0.05 49.98 -5.93 68.26 10.41 1.56 1.53 4.68 30.55 10.90P 2.69R 0.26 Luton 9 12 +0 0.21 52.89 0.85 63.81 10.62 1.60 0.65 2.27 18.58 5.98P 6.40R 0.69 Coventry 9 11 -3 0.40 55.33 -0.69 52.35 9.82 -15.82 0.02 0.10 2.24 0.53P 32.28R 6.41 Rochdale 9 11 -6 0.33 54.90 -3.12 59.60 10.15 -9.65 0.18 0.69 9.07 2.29P 12.58R 1.78 Burton_Albion 8 10 -1 -1.32 37.73 -1.51 61.95 10.76 -1.17 0.56 1.78 15.01 4.87P 9.01R 1.23 Southend 9 10 -3 -1.85 33.92 -2.25 59.78 10.03 -4.72 0.18 0.77 9.17 2.61P 11.38R 1.46 Bristol_Rovers 9 8 -2 -3.86 18.23 -1.18 54.26 10.04 -9.12 0.04 0.20 3.67 0.86P 25.22R 4.61 Wycombe 9 8 -4 -1.71 35.49 -0.04 46.79 10.05 -23.01 0.01 0.04 0.69 0.15P 54.42R 18.66 AFC_Wimbledon 9 8 -6 -1.91 33.06 -2.49 50.59 9.49 -17.23 0.01 0.03 1.13 0.24P 38.60R 8.80 Shrewsbury 9 7 -2 -5.38 9.51 -2.25 59.76 9.83 1.32 0.16 0.61 8.89 2.67P 10.47R 1.29 Gillingham 9 7 -7 -3.47 20.28 -3.85 51.56 9.92 -16.66 0.02 0.06 1.95 0.44P 35.14R 8.39 Bradford 9 6 -8 -4.80 11.75 -5.86 52.94 9.96 -13.77 0.02 0.09 2.35 0.52P 30.19R 6.36 Oxford_Utd 9 5 -10 -5.61 8.22 -7.05 49.77 10.13 -19.70 0.00 0.07 1.32 0.31P 42.42R 12.04 Plymouth 9 3 -11 -7.22 2.67 -7.89 44.45 9.71 -24.87 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.06P 63.62R 25.26League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 September 2018, Yeovil 1 1 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 9 22 +11 7.21 95.93 7.35 81.72 10.03 24.36 22.35 51.65 82.15 59.31P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 9 19 +9 3.99 82.60 4.94 80.43 10.16 25.22 19.48 47.04 78.58 55.44P 0.01R 0.00 Newport_County 9 19 -3 7.96 97.22 -1.10 65.33 9.84 -9.23 1.06 5.48 22.89 8.35P 0.54R 0.09 Colchester 9 16 +12 1.29 61.72 8.47 77.38 9.98 27.95 12.72 36.13 70.54 45.86P 0.02R 0.00 Carlisle 9 16 +0 3.23 77.87 -0.65 70.48 10.08 5.70 3.29 14.07 41.88 20.39P 0.17R 0.04 Yeovil 9 15 +9 2.84 75.04 9.26 67.36 10.03 11.44 1.92 8.95 31.67 13.76P 0.30R 0.05 Oldham 9 15 +6 -1.00 40.20 0.52 76.53 10.55 22.10 11.68 33.25 65.94 43.21P 0.02R 0.00 Forest_Green 9 15 +6 3.79 81.89 7.73 62.31 9.86 0.81 0.56 3.29 15.96 5.61P 1.09R 0.20 Swindon 9 15 +2 1.05 59.75 -0.49 71.66 10.25 10.82 4.60 17.55 47.13 24.82P 0.10R 0.01 Stevenage 9 15 +2 1.07 59.81 -0.34 63.34 9.97 -1.49 0.86 4.25 18.34 7.07P 0.83R 0.15 MK_Dons 9 14 +2 -0.18 48.30 -0.74 76.77 10.36 19.64 10.86 33.00 66.96 43.41P 0.02R 0.00 Bury 9 13 +3 -1.42 36.76 -0.11 72.00 10.65 15.40 5.46 19.59 49.32 28.02P 0.19R 0.04 Port_Vale 9 13 +2 0.72 57.41 2.00 63.03 9.75 1.35 0.67 3.59 17.25 6.54P 0.85R 0.15 Tranmere 9 13 +2 1.85 67.61 3.58 60.44 10.24 -2.29 0.46 2.54 12.68 4.56P 2.22R 0.52 Crawley_Town 9 13 +0 1.84 67.90 1.77 60.74 9.86 -4.43 0.36 2.31 12.37 4.22P 1.67R 0.34 Mansfield 8 11 +3 -1.50 35.39 0.74 69.82 10.19 13.02 3.14 13.36 40.74 20.63P 0.19R 0.03 Crewe 8 8 +0 -2.76 24.50 0.32 56.18 10.27 -6.24 0.16 1.07 6.68 2.28P 5.16R 1.23 Cheltenham 9 8 -4 -3.21 22.52 -2.28 53.04 9.82 -12.59 0.04 0.36 3.02 0.87P 8.61R 2.32 Cambridge_Utd 9 8 -8 -3.04 23.85 -6.15 55.20 9.84 -13.04 0.07 0.60 4.59 1.41P 5.96R 1.70 Northampton 9 7 -5 -5.76 8.61 -5.61 57.72 10.65 -5.07 0.24 1.73 9.20 3.65P 4.40R 1.26 Morecambe 9 6 -13 -3.10 22.08 -8.18 43.53 9.22 -32.13 0.00 0.01 0.20 0.05P 36.24R 13.63 Grimsby 9 5 -11 -4.02 14.88 -6.21 43.28 9.21 -29.06 0.00 0.01 0.17 0.03P 36.80R 13.67 Notts_County 9 3 -14 -7.66 2.25 -11.20 50.19 10.00 -20.14 0.02 0.17 1.71 0.52P 15.35R 5.03 Macclesfield 9 2 -11 -5.72 4.95 -3.62 33.07 9.21 -42.10 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 79.26R 59.55National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 September 2018, Aldershot 0 1 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 13 29 +18 6.49 90.06 11.10 86.91 9.04 37.29 50.37 90.84 62.49P 0.01R 0.00 Salford_City 13 27 +12 8.31 94.33 10.69 75.08 9.74 16.60 8.89 50.55 17.93P 0.31R 0.00 Harrogate_Town 13 26 +11 7.51 91.93 9.90 73.90 9.91 15.02 7.49 45.86 15.80P 0.59R 0.01 Wrexham 13 25 +10 5.05 84.50 6.86 75.31 8.70 17.89 7.33 52.04 19.36P 0.11R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 13 25 +6 8.09 94.31 7.29 69.24 8.94 4.97 2.07 25.55 6.38P 1.32R 0.02 Gateshead 13 23 +6 3.39 74.74 3.25 72.66 8.99 12.82 4.77 40.26 13.35P 0.44R 0.01 Sutton_United 13 23 +3 3.77 76.95 0.86 70.41 9.07 6.50 2.89 30.13 9.15P 0.94R 0.02 Hartlepool 13 23 +2 4.10 78.43 0.30 67.29 8.88 1.20 1.38 18.92 4.94P 2.00R 0.04 AFC_Fylde 13 22 +10 0.89 56.53 5.02 76.06 8.99 23.20 9.41 56.46 23.34P 0.14R 0.00 Halifax 13 19 +3 2.88 72.57 5.04 60.05 8.68 -2.22 0.13 4.84 0.97P 10.02R 0.33 Boreham_Wood 13 19 +1 0.01 50.57 -0.90 66.48 8.79 4.97 0.92 16.99 4.94P 2.37R 0.04 Barnet 13 19 -3 -2.09 33.99 -7.96 71.09 9.24 7.15 3.24 33.36 12.50P 0.98R 0.02 Maidenhead 13 17 +1 -0.19 49.08 1.98 59.59 9.09 -3.19 0.20 5.24 1.24P 11.93R 0.54 Eastleigh 13 17 -6 1.51 62.72 -2.70 58.29 8.82 -11.57 0.09 3.34 0.64P 15.47R 0.84 Barrow 13 15 -1 -2.35 32.68 -0.46 56.19 8.81 -6.49 0.06 2.25 0.55P 20.33R 1.03 Ebbsfleet_United 13 15 -2 -2.36 32.61 -1.60 60.96 9.00 -0.53 0.21 6.58 1.68P 9.07R 0.34 Bromley 13 13 -5 -4.30 20.36 -4.26 58.42 9.15 -4.98 0.12 3.95 0.93P 15.06R 0.87 Maidstone_United 13 13 -7 -1.38 40.23 -2.17 49.95 8.50 -18.75 0.00 0.35 0.05P 47.17R 4.76 Aldershot 13 13 -10 -4.20 20.35 -9.32 56.67 8.80 -11.72 0.05 2.24 0.57P 19.53R 1.12 Chesterfield 13 11 -6 -8.62 4.45 -8.81 61.26 9.33 1.62 0.32 7.91 2.60P 9.16R 0.43 Havant_&_Wville 13 11 -9 -1.65 39.13 -0.27 43.79 9.32 -30.08 0.01 0.15 0.04P 72.65R 18.62 Dag_&_Red 13 9 -7 -9.33 2.86 -7.96 53.80 9.09 -7.46 0.03 1.35 0.36P 28.91R 2.33 Dover_Athletic 13 7 -14 -9.46 2.35 -12.04 52.11 9.00 -13.94 0.01 0.80 0.20P 36.93R 3.56 Braintree_Town 13 6 -13 -5.63 10.82 -3.82 34.44 8.55 -38.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.56R 65.07