Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 25 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 September 2018, Arsenal 2 0 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         6   18  +12       5.50    97.08     4.69    83.75     8.35    49.65    23.06    57.44    78.22    90.15    99.34     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          6   16  +16       1.11    65.84     2.66    90.09     7.59    72.43    61.88    85.04    94.32    98.11    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           6   16  +10       3.24    86.26     2.58    76.07     8.70    35.81     5.76    20.60    42.92    66.03    95.09     0.00     0.00  
Watford           6   13   +5       5.58    95.20     6.36    50.85     8.63    -7.41     0.00     0.03     0.19     0.86     8.64     2.12R    0.15  
Tottenham         6   12   +5       0.49    54.03    -0.47    77.25     8.40    40.51     6.90    24.26    49.52    71.81    96.56     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           6   12   +3       1.72    69.01    -0.34    70.35     8.82    26.80     1.46     7.36    19.42    38.30    85.29     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd           6   10   +0      -1.29    33.98    -4.54    69.05     8.52    23.21     0.93     5.17    14.79    31.97    82.98     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth       6   10   -1       2.38    76.91     0.34    46.43     8.71   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.28     3.62     6.80R    0.78  
Leicester         6    9   +1       0.68    58.18     1.08    52.65     9.00    -1.98     0.00     0.06     0.39     1.58    13.05     1.72R    0.12  
Wolverhampton     6    9   +0       2.75    80.72     3.39    46.83     9.00   -10.85     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.37     4.41     6.71R    0.72  
Crystal_Palace    6    7   -2      -0.85    40.70    -1.32    43.65     8.43   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     1.77    10.87R    1.32  
Everton           6    6   -3      -2.72    20.62    -3.48    45.45     8.77   -12.32     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     3.04     8.47R    1.01  
Brighton          6    5   -3      -0.70    43.68     1.19    40.59     8.41   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.74    19.57R    3.18  
Southampton       6    5   -3      -2.30    24.71    -1.34    42.66     8.48   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.43    13.32R    1.96  
Fulham            6    5   -5      -0.85    41.27     0.72    38.12     9.04   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.69    31.38R    7.28  
Burnley           6    4   -3      -3.71    12.74    -2.43    40.97     8.35   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.79    17.54R    2.70  
West_Ham          6    4   -6      -1.88    28.67    -1.36    41.27     8.62   -19.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.01    18.14R    3.20  
Newcastle         6    2   -4      -3.90     9.23    -0.07    43.05     8.59    -8.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.55    12.34R    1.63  
Cardiff           6    2  -11      -2.61    18.99    -4.18    30.12     8.28   -38.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    67.29R   27.17  
Huddersfield      6    2  -11      -2.35    20.56    -3.47    26.24     7.40   -44.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.71R   48.77  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2018, Aston_Villa 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     9   18  +12       4.01    83.46     9.39    74.93    10.05    21.34     9.02    19.04    55.64    27.31P    0.20R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    9   18   +8       2.80    75.42     3.86    81.12     9.54    26.16    21.16    39.41    78.32    51.25P    0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom        9   17  +10       0.10    50.10     2.79    82.95    10.32    33.68    31.22    48.57    81.75    59.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        9   16   +4       2.59    73.20     2.44    68.82    10.03     6.99     2.72     7.13    31.06    12.18P    1.02R    0.10  
Wigan            9   16   +3       1.68    65.28    -0.02    71.97    10.30    10.93     5.62    12.49    42.90    20.21P    0.53R    0.04  
Derby            9   16   +3       0.90    58.13    -1.06    73.44     9.78    13.22     6.16    14.22    48.90    23.12P    0.21R    0.02  
Brentford        9   15   +6       1.26    61.90     3.80    73.35    10.10    17.54     6.93    15.21    48.98    23.38P    0.34R    0.04  
Bristol_City     9   14   +3       1.65    66.06     3.08    68.52    10.05     8.61     2.66     6.58    30.18    11.54P    1.14R    0.11  
Nott'm_Forest    9   14   +2       2.50    73.82     3.35    60.41     9.76    -4.58     0.31     1.08     9.01     2.43P    6.25R    1.18  
Sheff_Wed        9   14   +0       1.51    64.85    -0.16    66.44     9.95     2.44     1.68     4.52    23.22     8.44P    1.73R    0.23  
Norwich          9   14   +0       2.08    69.43     0.68    64.35     9.92    -1.07     0.94     2.81    17.28     5.59P    2.89R    0.47  
Blackburn        9   14   +0       2.05    69.05     0.62    65.48    10.35     1.19     1.56     4.06    21.43     7.73P    2.67R    0.45  
Aston_Villa      9   13   +1      -1.65    34.48    -2.53    70.05     9.90    10.54     3.47     8.60    35.79    15.94P    0.64R    0.09  
Swansea          9   13   +1      -0.70    43.48    -1.13    71.57    10.09    12.70     4.74    11.20    41.36    19.80P    0.51R    0.06  
Bolton           9   12   -3       2.87    77.84     1.97    48.92     9.13   -23.88     0.01     0.03     0.68     0.13P   35.97R   11.93  
QPR              9   10   -8      -0.47    46.68    -4.90    50.15     9.45   -25.23     0.01     0.05     0.98     0.17P   31.84R   10.60  
Birmingham       9    9   -1      -0.21    49.76     3.37    49.15     9.12   -15.93     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.10P   33.77R   10.90  
Stoke            9    9   -4      -3.76    19.06    -4.55    65.47    10.56     4.75     1.60     4.28    22.32     9.03P    3.07R    0.59  
Rotherham        9    9   -8       0.71    59.22    -1.22    45.16     9.66   -31.57     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P   52.63R   24.71  
Reading          9    8   -1      -3.13    22.96     0.95    50.62     9.55   -14.25     0.02     0.08     1.17     0.26P   28.69R    9.18  
Hull             9    7   -7      -4.34    14.87    -5.21    54.54     9.93   -13.04     0.06     0.30     3.19     0.88P   17.90R    4.78  
Millwall         9    6   -6      -4.49    12.89    -3.39    53.65     9.62   -10.24     0.05     0.18     2.37     0.65P   18.96R    4.85  
Ipswich          9    5   -6      -6.32     5.55    -4.49    48.69     9.48   -16.22     0.01     0.04     0.71     0.15P   35.79R   12.37  
Preston          9    5   -9      -6.47     4.81    -7.65    52.35     9.77   -14.07     0.03     0.12     1.79     0.43P   23.21R    7.28  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2018, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          9   22  +13       6.64    94.14     8.29    84.58    10.43    31.33    26.09    47.03    85.88    57.13P    0.04R    0.00  
Portsmouth            9   21  +10       6.95    95.15     7.47    77.16    10.07    17.93     7.91    19.43    64.65    29.93P    0.20R    0.02  
Sunderland            9   18  +10       1.25    60.37     3.15    85.72    10.48    36.12    31.46    52.49    88.11    64.29P    0.03R    0.00  
Doncaster             9   18   +8       4.74    86.90     6.64    72.60    10.04    13.78     3.48     9.68    47.21    17.99P    0.65R    0.04  
Walsall               9   18   +3       5.76    91.19     3.17    67.26    10.02     0.63     1.07     3.58    26.39     7.82P    2.74R    0.21  
Charlton              9   17   +4       3.34    78.57     2.10    73.35    10.02    12.31     3.85    10.64    49.52    20.14P    0.60R    0.03  
Barnsley              8   15  +10      -0.14    47.45     3.72    82.36    10.83    32.88    21.00    39.50    80.34    53.37P    0.09R    0.00  
Blackpool             9   14   +3       0.77    57.70     1.62    64.33     9.82     2.82     0.51     1.92    18.12     5.44P    4.38R    0.32  
Accrington_Stanley    9   14   +1       2.61    73.46     2.38    58.89    10.39    -7.93     0.26     0.82     8.69     2.31P   14.22R    2.13  
Fleetwood_Town        9   13   +6      -0.22    48.28     4.73    67.41    10.03    11.38     1.25     4.04    28.20     9.90P    2.46R    0.22  
Scunthorpe            9   13   -5      -0.03    50.13    -5.89    68.12    10.33     1.32     1.46     4.47    29.56    10.55P    2.76R    0.27  
Luton                 9   12   +0       0.16    52.58     0.79    64.08    10.61     1.96     0.66     2.32    19.25     6.23P    6.19R    0.72  
Coventry              9   11   -3       0.40    55.23    -0.70    52.38     9.78   -15.65     0.03     0.10     2.22     0.49P   32.11R    6.70  
Rochdale              9   11   -6       0.45    55.69    -2.93    59.15    10.19   -10.38     0.16     0.64     8.39     2.15P   13.65R    2.07  
Burton_Albion         8   10   -1      -1.30    37.86    -1.50    61.69    10.77    -1.53     0.41     1.61    14.51     4.57P    9.54R    1.25  
Southend              9   10   -3      -1.82    34.02    -2.21    59.59    10.10    -4.96     0.16     0.68     8.99     2.41P   12.01R    1.63  
Bristol_Rovers        9    8   -2      -3.86    18.31    -1.20    54.23    10.09    -9.17     0.04     0.18     3.39     0.83P   25.51R    4.94  
Wycombe               9    8   -4      -1.77    34.87    -0.18    46.91     9.97   -22.49     0.01     0.03     0.70     0.17P   54.07R   18.23  
AFC_Wimbledon         9    8   -6      -1.92    32.91    -2.53    50.83     9.60   -16.92     0.01     0.03     1.31     0.23P   37.58R    8.84  
Shrewsbury            9    7   -2      -5.33     9.66    -2.18    59.52     9.81     0.94     0.13     0.59     8.54     2.68P   10.93R    1.34  
Gillingham            9    7   -7      -3.45    20.36    -3.85    51.67    10.01   -16.50     0.00     0.07     1.97     0.43P   35.04R    8.38  
Bradford              9    6   -8      -4.77    12.04    -5.83    52.88     9.93   -13.88     0.02     0.11     2.46     0.58P   30.39R    6.66  
Oxford_Utd            9    5  -10      -5.64     7.94    -7.10    49.93    10.07   -19.46     0.02     0.05     1.36     0.31P   42.15R   11.79  
Plymouth              9    3  -11      -7.26     2.60    -7.95    44.67     9.57   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   62.69R   24.19  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2018, Bury 0 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      9   22  +11       7.28    96.13     7.47    81.47     9.93    24.00    21.13    50.15    81.37    58.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter            9   19   +9       3.93    82.23     4.89    80.71    10.06    25.55    19.54    47.71    79.54    56.21P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County    9   19   -3       7.93    97.20    -1.17    65.30     9.77    -9.31     1.01     5.19    22.10     7.86P    0.51R    0.07  
Colchester        9   16  +12       1.22    60.93     8.36    77.61    10.03    28.31    12.83    36.71    71.04    46.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle          9   16   +0       3.26    78.11    -0.61    70.35    10.01     5.48     3.12    13.22    41.41    19.63P    0.17R    0.02  
Oldham            9   15   +6      -1.00    40.17     0.50    76.63    10.43    22.24    11.43    33.10    66.33    43.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Forest_Green      9   15   +6       3.76    81.72     7.68    62.45     9.87     0.96     0.57     3.29    16.17     5.65P    1.04R    0.22  
Swindon           9   15   +2       0.97    59.09    -0.57    71.80    10.23    11.08     4.72    17.50    47.57    24.75P    0.12R    0.03  
Stevenage         9   15   +2       1.04    59.83    -0.39    63.45     9.84    -1.35     0.67     4.08    18.35     7.05P    0.84R    0.14  
Yeovil            8   14   +9       3.08    78.21     9.08    67.44    10.28    10.92     2.11     9.41    31.82    14.25P    0.35R    0.05  
Bury              9   13   +3      -1.36    37.57    -0.02    71.75    10.68    15.08     5.14    18.77    48.16    26.94P    0.19R    0.03  
Port_Vale         9   13   +2       0.78    58.07     2.08    62.90     9.78     1.15     0.61     3.52    16.85     6.26P    0.96R    0.19  
Tranmere          9   13   +2       1.85    67.64     3.60    60.30    10.21    -2.52     0.39     2.48    12.30     4.58P    2.20R    0.54  
MK_Dons           8   13   +2       0.28    52.74    -0.61    77.64    10.59    20.35    12.91    36.32    69.19    46.43P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley_Town      9   13   +0       1.78    67.08     1.70    61.03     9.87    -3.97     0.37     2.29    12.68     4.28P    1.59R    0.35  
Mansfield         8   11   +3      -1.41    36.28     0.87    69.49    10.16    12.55     2.98    12.43    39.38    19.64P    0.22R    0.03  
Crewe             8    8   +0      -2.78    24.18     0.33    56.11    10.32    -6.36     0.15     1.07     6.65     2.26P    5.13R    1.30  
Cheltenham        9    8   -4      -3.17    22.63    -2.24    53.21     9.79   -12.36     0.03     0.34     3.18     0.87P    8.19R    2.07  
Cambridge_Utd     9    8   -8      -2.98    24.31    -6.09    55.12     9.71   -13.18     0.06     0.55     4.16     1.33P    5.95R    1.63  
Northampton       9    7   -5      -5.83     8.09    -5.74    58.05    10.61    -4.60     0.23     1.70     9.65     3.74P    4.09R    1.14  
Morecambe         9    6  -13      -3.04    22.30    -8.11    43.40     9.00   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   36.23R   12.98  
Grimsby           9    5  -11      -3.99    15.06    -6.13    43.13     9.17   -29.33     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.05P   37.30R   13.93  
Notts_County      9    3  -14      -7.70     2.32   -11.29    50.21    10.05   -20.05     0.00     0.15     1.74     0.47P   15.01R    4.98  
Macclesfield      9    2  -11      -5.70     4.97    -3.59    32.87     9.16   -42.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   79.86R   60.28  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2018, Aldershot 2 0 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      12   26  +14       6.14    89.66     9.01    83.94     9.15    31.17    38.10    83.79    51.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     12   25  +11       7.86    93.90     9.86    74.28    10.12    15.04     9.59    46.73    17.53P    0.56R    0.01  
Wrexham            12   24  +10       5.31    86.62     6.74    75.67     8.87    17.86     9.76    52.84    20.94P    0.14R    0.00  
Salford_City       12   24   +9       7.48    93.14     8.89    71.76    10.00    11.07     6.06    36.98    12.56P    1.06R    0.03  
Hartlepool         12   23   +5       4.67    82.96     2.17    70.05     9.02     6.24     3.35    28.33     8.69P    0.87R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     12   22   +4       6.92    92.35     5.99    66.56     9.09     1.39     1.36    17.36     4.20P    2.59R    0.09  
Sutton_United      12   22   +3       4.38    81.25     1.23    70.99     9.18     6.84     4.04    32.03    10.44P    0.79R    0.02  
AFC_Fylde          12   21  +10       1.30    60.32     5.05    76.52     9.17    23.41    12.61    57.60    25.57P    0.16R    0.00  
Gateshead          12   20   +5       1.98    65.73     2.60    70.39     9.18    10.88     3.67    30.66    10.26P    0.97R    0.02  
Boreham_Wood       12   19   +2       1.26    60.69    -0.04    68.38     9.00     6.63     2.18    22.65     7.14P    1.43R    0.03  
Halifax            12   18   +3       3.02    74.45     4.80    60.32     8.99    -2.52     0.32     5.64     1.29P    9.78R    0.42  
Barnet             12   18   -3      -1.12    41.15    -6.96    72.98     9.43     9.47     6.26    40.45    16.65P    0.63R    0.01  
Barrow             12   15   +0      -1.24    40.31     0.14    58.02     9.02    -4.79     0.15     3.53     0.84P   14.74R    0.93  
Ebbsfleet_United   12   15   -1      -0.89    43.24    -0.51    63.22     9.17     1.70     0.57    10.24     2.81P    5.80R    0.27  
Maidenhead         12   14   -1      -1.66    37.40     0.20    56.23     9.16    -7.86     0.09     2.58     0.57P   20.47R    1.69  
Eastleigh          12   14   -7      -0.02    51.03    -3.42    56.03     9.03   -13.52     0.10     2.13     0.46P   21.24R    1.91  
Aldershot          12   13   -9      -2.74    29.25    -8.14    59.30     9.07    -9.00     0.17     4.18     1.02P   12.64R    0.77  
Chesterfield       12   11   -4      -7.37     6.55    -6.94    65.29     9.69     7.57     1.43    16.50     6.27P    4.37R    0.19  
Bromley            12   10   -6      -6.02    10.78    -5.38    55.57     9.27    -7.83     0.09     2.21     0.55P   22.53R    2.12  
Maidstone_United   12   10   -8      -3.09    26.17    -3.24    47.05     8.73   -21.84     0.00     0.16     0.02P   58.92R   10.96  
Havant_&_Wville    12   10   -9      -1.63    38.53    -0.96    42.66     9.30   -32.58     0.00     0.06     0.01P   75.28R   25.96  
Dag_&_Red          12    9   -5      -8.29     3.87    -6.38    56.08     9.21    -4.08     0.09     2.58     0.79P   20.09R    1.72  
Braintree_Town     12    6   -9      -5.72     9.60    -2.31    37.77     8.94   -30.26     0.00     0.01     0.00P   87.92R   47.96  
Dover_Athletic     12    6  -14      -9.31     1.84   -12.39    51.75     9.18   -14.99     0.02     0.77     0.22P   37.02R    4.88