Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 24 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 September 2018, Arsenal 2 0 Everton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Liverpool 6 18 +12 5.52 97.14 4.72 83.73 8.37 49.47 23.14 57.29 77.88 90.28 99.33 0.00 0.00
Man_City 6 16 +16 1.14 66.19 2.67 90.07 7.55 72.51 61.91 84.97 94.33 98.10 99.94 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 6 16 +10 3.24 86.10 2.60 76.08 8.65 35.84 5.80 20.77 42.75 66.31 95.21 0.00 0.00
Watford 6 13 +5 5.59 95.23 6.36 50.90 8.64 -7.41 0.01 0.04 0.24 0.89 8.96 2.05R 0.16
Tottenham 6 12 +5 0.48 53.92 -0.50 77.23 8.39 40.52 6.86 24.41 49.88 72.14 96.54 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 6 12 +3 1.71 68.88 -0.36 70.58 8.81 27.24 1.51 7.82 20.41 39.48 85.75 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 6 10 +0 -1.21 34.76 -4.44 68.64 8.53 22.46 0.77 4.58 13.80 30.03 81.79 0.01R 0.00
Bournemouth 6 10 -1 2.38 76.95 0.34 46.36 8.63 -16.91 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.25 3.58 6.87R 0.75
Leicester 6 9 +1 0.69 58.20 1.11 52.47 9.03 -2.34 0.01 0.08 0.44 1.56 12.86 1.94R 0.14
Wolverhampton 6 9 +0 2.76 80.79 3.42 46.70 9.01 -11.10 0.00 0.03 0.09 0.40 4.38 6.86R 0.87
Crystal_Palace 6 7 -2 -0.85 41.02 -1.31 43.74 8.47 -14.80 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 1.99 10.99R 1.36
Everton 6 6 -3 -2.72 20.61 -3.48 45.48 8.75 -12.30 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.20 3.12 8.24R 0.95
Brighton 6 5 -3 -0.73 43.31 1.16 40.65 8.39 -17.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.78 19.16R 3.19
Southampton 6 5 -3 -2.36 24.17 -1.44 42.76 8.42 -13.72 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 1.33 13.35R 1.89
Fulham 6 5 -5 -0.85 41.16 0.71 38.18 9.01 -26.14 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.71 31.25R 7.30
Burnley 6 4 -3 -3.70 13.01 -2.42 40.95 8.33 -14.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.90 17.77R 2.66
West_Ham 6 4 -6 -1.88 29.00 -1.36 41.40 8.65 -19.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.14 18.17R 3.21
Newcastle 6 2 -4 -3.89 9.50 -0.03 43.01 8.57 -8.91 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 1.63 12.36R 1.63
Cardiff 6 2 -11 -2.69 18.20 -4.31 30.26 8.27 -38.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 67.21R 26.70
Huddersfield 6 2 -11 -2.33 20.91 -3.43 26.22 7.37 -44.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.76R 49.18
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2018, Aston_Villa 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Leeds_United 9 18 +12 3.99 83.45 9.38 74.81 10.10 21.11 8.97 19.07 55.58 27.44P 0.19R 0.01
Middlesbrough 9 18 +8 2.75 74.96 3.80 81.30 9.63 26.41 21.86 40.20 78.69 52.03P 0.02R 0.00
West_Brom 9 17 +10 0.11 50.01 2.77 82.92 10.41 33.68 31.11 48.73 81.49 59.17P 0.03R 0.00
Sheff_Utd 9 16 +4 2.69 74.03 2.57 68.54 9.98 6.53 2.51 6.60 30.42 11.51P 1.14R 0.15
Wigan 9 16 +3 1.63 64.81 -0.07 72.09 10.23 11.16 5.58 12.55 43.68 20.52P 0.50R 0.05
Derby 9 16 +3 0.91 58.02 -1.03 73.27 9.80 12.95 6.29 14.27 48.06 23.01P 0.24R 0.03
Brentford 9 15 +6 1.32 62.49 3.91 73.21 10.01 17.40 6.69 14.84 48.82 22.87P 0.31R 0.03
Bristol_City 9 14 +3 1.71 66.41 3.17 68.11 10.02 7.95 2.29 5.98 29.08 10.94P 1.21R 0.19
Nott'm_Forest 9 14 +2 2.46 73.53 3.27 60.56 9.80 -4.34 0.39 1.17 9.47 2.60P 6.01R 1.18
Sheff_Wed 9 14 +0 1.55 65.06 -0.12 66.59 9.89 2.67 1.71 4.48 23.52 8.52P 1.72R 0.27
Norwich 9 14 +0 2.07 69.41 0.68 64.37 9.95 -1.04 0.92 2.80 17.77 5.74P 2.84R 0.49
Blackburn 9 14 +0 2.08 69.50 0.65 65.41 10.37 1.11 1.63 4.12 21.18 7.73P 2.70R 0.49
Aston_Villa 9 13 +1 -1.77 33.63 -2.73 70.39 9.88 11.06 3.55 8.92 37.20 16.51P 0.63R 0.10
Swansea 9 13 +1 -0.69 43.66 -1.11 71.53 10.11 12.58 4.85 11.38 41.75 19.92P 0.51R 0.07
Bolton 9 12 -3 2.92 78.22 2.06 48.68 9.04 -24.28 0.00 0.01 0.58 0.07P 37.03R 12.29
QPR 9 10 -8 -0.51 46.31 -4.99 50.22 9.41 -25.12 0.01 0.05 0.99 0.19P 31.66R 10.32
Birmingham 9 9 -1 -0.31 48.60 3.25 49.43 9.11 -15.47 0.01 0.03 0.66 0.12P 32.73R 10.24
Stoke 9 9 -4 -3.73 19.36 -4.50 65.20 10.48 4.36 1.41 4.05 21.23 8.55P 3.17R 0.58
Rotherham 9 9 -8 0.81 60.43 -1.04 44.97 9.62 -31.92 0.01 0.02 0.35 0.06P 53.99R 25.57
Reading 9 8 -1 -3.21 22.48 0.85 51.01 9.61 -13.63 0.03 0.11 1.44 0.32P 27.61R 8.64
Hull 9 7 -7 -4.35 14.88 -5.22 54.69 9.97 -12.68 0.09 0.29 3.27 0.90P 17.76R 4.81
Millwall 9 6 -6 -4.52 13.04 -3.41 53.74 9.62 -10.12 0.05 0.18 2.38 0.63P 18.81R 5.02
Ipswich 9 5 -6 -6.37 5.35 -4.57 48.83 9.49 -16.01 0.01 0.03 0.65 0.14P 35.49R 12.44
Preston 9 5 -9 -6.40 4.77 -7.56 52.18 9.69 -14.35 0.04 0.12 1.72 0.48P 23.72R 7.02
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2018, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Peterborough 9 22 +13 6.72 94.41 8.42 84.52 10.48 31.22 26.13 46.89 85.63 56.82P 0.03R 0.00
Portsmouth 9 21 +10 6.98 95.28 7.50 77.12 10.14 17.84 8.04 19.45 64.55 29.84P 0.18R 0.01
Sunderland 9 18 +10 1.20 59.96 3.06 86.01 10.53 36.66 32.56 53.52 88.57 65.30P 0.03R 0.00
Doncaster 9 18 +8 4.73 86.91 6.61 72.70 10.04 13.91 3.47 9.88 47.25 18.32P 0.67R 0.04
Walsall 9 18 +3 5.73 91.34 3.13 67.34 10.03 0.85 1.14 3.81 26.55 8.00P 2.55R 0.17
Charlton 9 17 +4 3.35 78.93 2.11 73.47 10.00 12.45 3.75 10.74 50.35 20.46P 0.54R 0.02
Barnsley 8 15 +10 -0.01 48.83 3.93 81.77 10.90 31.91 19.65 37.62 78.87 51.43P 0.10R 0.00
Blackpool 9 14 +3 0.77 57.55 1.58 64.53 9.85 3.06 0.67 2.13 18.68 5.80P 4.26R 0.33
Accrington_Stanley 9 14 +1 2.61 73.42 2.38 59.02 10.41 -7.75 0.22 0.80 8.94 2.41P 14.07R 2.23
Fleetwood_Town 9 13 +6 -0.25 48.02 4.71 67.32 10.07 11.31 1.21 4.00 28.07 9.78P 2.43R 0.22
Scunthorpe 9 13 -5 -0.07 49.85 -5.97 68.28 10.30 1.59 1.44 4.73 30.29 10.88P 2.60R 0.25
Luton 9 12 +0 0.15 52.24 0.76 63.93 10.62 1.75 0.63 2.25 19.01 6.12P 6.31R 0.78
Coventry 9 11 -3 0.36 54.84 -0.76 52.40 9.78 -15.72 0.02 0.09 2.13 0.48P 32.09R 6.58
Rochdale 9 11 -6 0.38 54.80 -3.03 59.34 10.19 -10.07 0.17 0.66 8.66 2.19P 13.32R 1.93
Burton_Albion 8 10 -1 -1.27 38.16 -1.44 61.55 10.73 -1.66 0.50 1.58 13.88 4.48P 9.70R 1.27
Southend 9 10 -3 -1.74 34.83 -2.11 59.43 10.08 -5.23 0.19 0.72 8.75 2.44P 12.21R 1.79
Bristol_Rovers 9 8 -2 -3.91 17.80 -1.26 54.36 9.99 -8.97 0.03 0.21 3.59 0.92P 25.06R 4.73
Wycombe 9 8 -4 -1.73 35.34 -0.09 46.92 10.08 -22.68 0.01 0.02 0.71 0.12P 54.08R 18.60
AFC_Wimbledon 9 8 -6 -1.92 32.76 -2.53 50.79 9.52 -16.95 0.00 0.04 1.19 0.22P 37.85R 8.97
Shrewsbury 9 7 -2 -5.34 9.67 -2.18 59.61 9.80 1.08 0.13 0.62 8.67 2.69P 10.71R 1.38
Gillingham 9 7 -7 -3.46 20.22 -3.84 51.50 9.84 -16.72 0.01 0.06 1.81 0.37P 35.77R 8.35
Bradford 9 6 -8 -4.84 11.63 -5.90 52.94 9.96 -13.79 0.03 0.14 2.30 0.59P 30.35R 6.62
Oxford_Utd 9 5 -10 -5.62 8.06 -7.06 49.73 10.02 -19.78 0.01 0.04 1.29 0.29P 42.81R 11.91
Plymouth 9 3 -11 -7.31 2.56 -8.03 44.82 9.56 -24.31 0.00 0.01 0.26 0.05P 62.26R 23.80
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2018, Bury 0 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Lincoln_City 9 22 +11 7.22 96.06 7.36 81.67 9.97 24.27 21.80 51.67 82.07 59.50P 0.00R 0.00
Exeter 9 19 +9 4.04 82.98 5.02 80.58 10.11 25.38 19.65 47.59 79.26 56.12P 0.02R 0.01
Newport_County 9 19 -3 7.97 97.36 -1.13 65.32 9.79 -9.27 1.00 5.23 22.31 7.98P 0.52R 0.09
Colchester 9 16 +12 1.34 61.86 8.53 77.25 10.04 27.74 12.01 35.63 69.74 45.14P 0.02R 0.00
Carlisle 9 16 +0 3.27 78.18 -0.57 70.44 10.08 5.61 3.26 13.69 41.48 19.93P 0.15R 0.02
Oldham 9 15 +6 -1.02 39.94 0.46 76.59 10.66 22.29 11.77 33.37 66.10 43.51P 0.05R 0.00
Forest_Green 9 15 +6 3.81 82.04 7.77 62.21 9.91 0.63 0.54 3.11 15.78 5.36P 1.22R 0.25
Swindon 9 15 +2 1.05 59.90 -0.47 71.60 10.33 10.69 4.70 17.42 46.99 24.74P 0.15R 0.02
Stevenage 9 15 +2 1.03 59.66 -0.37 63.43 9.90 -1.40 0.71 4.07 18.72 7.21P 0.74R 0.13
Yeovil 8 14 +9 3.06 78.10 9.04 67.55 10.19 11.17 2.06 9.23 32.57 14.12P 0.29R 0.06
Bury 9 13 +3 -1.40 37.10 -0.08 71.80 10.72 15.14 5.41 19.08 48.65 27.29P 0.16R 0.03
Port_Vale 9 13 +2 0.73 57.61 2.00 63.21 9.73 1.58 0.64 3.61 17.68 6.71P 0.92R 0.17
Tranmere 9 13 +2 1.80 67.38 3.53 60.48 10.23 -2.31 0.41 2.58 12.74 4.69P 2.26R 0.52
MK_Dons 8 13 +2 0.32 52.99 -0.57 77.39 10.61 19.96 12.41 35.50 68.59 45.62P 0.03R 0.00
Crawley_Town 9 13 +0 1.87 68.30 1.83 60.68 9.91 -4.51 0.33 2.16 12.38 4.03P 1.78R 0.37
Mansfield 8 11 +3 -1.44 36.01 0.84 69.40 10.07 12.42 2.80 12.27 38.97 19.49P 0.19R 0.06
Crewe 8 8 +0 -2.80 24.14 0.29 56.36 10.32 -6.02 0.15 1.13 7.03 2.34P 5.08R 1.22
Cheltenham 9 8 -4 -3.23 22.60 -2.35 53.18 9.76 -12.36 0.03 0.36 3.07 0.86P 8.60R 2.17
Cambridge_Utd 9 8 -8 -3.02 23.95 -6.16 55.26 9.75 -13.00 0.06 0.56 4.55 1.40P 5.95R 1.64
Northampton 9 7 -5 -5.71 8.82 -5.54 57.65 10.47 -5.14 0.25 1.54 8.90 3.30P 4.27R 1.20
Morecambe 9 6 -13 -3.15 21.73 -8.23 43.65 9.19 -31.97 0.00 0.01 0.22 0.03P 35.94R 13.12
Grimsby 9 5 -11 -4.00 15.10 -6.12 43.23 9.26 -29.22 0.00 0.01 0.21 0.06P 37.33R 13.94
Notts_County 9 3 -14 -7.78 2.23 -11.41 50.47 10.16 -19.68 0.02 0.16 1.98 0.54P 15.08R 5.20
Macclesfield 9 2 -11 -5.77 4.84 -3.66 33.08 9.22 -41.98 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 79.26R 59.77
National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2018, Aldershot 2 0 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1
Leyton_Orient 12 26 +14 6.22 89.94 9.11 83.76 9.17 30.84 37.89 83.46 50.97P 0.01R 0.00
Harrogate_Town 12 25 +11 7.84 93.80 9.88 74.23 10.15 14.91 9.60 46.55 17.58P 0.68R 0.02
Wrexham 12 24 +10 5.33 86.68 6.76 75.61 8.83 17.83 9.59 52.70 20.78P 0.11R 0.00
Salford_City 12 24 +9 7.54 93.10 8.99 71.74 10.02 11.07 6.17 36.83 12.60P 1.07R 0.03
Hartlepool 12 23 +5 4.68 83.08 2.19 69.94 9.05 6.09 3.28 28.05 8.61P 0.97R 0.02
Solihull_Moors 12 22 +4 6.87 92.09 5.92 66.72 9.09 1.64 1.56 17.55 4.53P 2.41R 0.09
Sutton_United 12 22 +3 4.40 81.57 1.23 70.88 9.17 6.69 3.87 31.80 9.98P 0.86R 0.01
AFC_Fylde 12 21 +10 1.28 60.08 4.99 76.65 9.25 23.60 12.86 58.18 25.91P 0.15R 0.00
Gateshead 12 20 +5 1.94 65.71 2.52 70.53 9.25 11.13 3.84 31.39 10.69P 0.89R 0.02
Boreham_Wood 12 19 +2 1.32 61.19 0.02 68.17 8.96 6.38 1.95 21.84 6.73P 1.56R 0.03
Halifax 12 18 +3 3.01 74.23 4.79 60.18 8.94 -2.71 0.25 5.37 1.23P 9.99R 0.46
Barnet 12 18 -3 -1.18 40.59 -7.07 73.13 9.47 9.69 6.43 41.49 17.27P 0.62R 0.01
Barrow 12 15 +0 -1.25 40.34 0.13 58.13 9.07 -4.73 0.18 3.74 0.91P 14.67R 0.91
Ebbsfleet_United 12 15 -1 -0.94 42.90 -0.58 63.16 9.21 1.65 0.63 10.22 2.76P 5.83R 0.29
Maidenhead 12 14 -1 -1.67 37.08 0.21 56.17 9.11 -7.90 0.09 2.56 0.56P 20.25R 1.59
Eastleigh 12 14 -7 0.02 51.52 -3.38 55.97 9.05 -13.66 0.08 2.07 0.42P 21.76R 2.01
Aldershot 12 13 -9 -2.79 28.43 -8.24 59.56 9.05 -8.59 0.21 4.48 1.14P 11.91R 0.67
Chesterfield 12 11 -4 -7.28 6.73 -6.80 64.92 9.69 7.08 1.26 15.61 5.63P 4.69R 0.26
Bromley 12 10 -6 -6.09 10.21 -5.49 55.73 9.31 -7.56 0.10 2.46 0.66P 22.31R 2.05
Maidstone_United 12 10 -8 -3.10 25.92 -3.24 47.09 8.73 -21.72 0.00 0.14 0.03P 58.94R 10.88
Havant_&_Wville 12 10 -9 -1.64 38.66 -0.95 42.79 9.42 -32.42 0.00 0.13 0.04P 75.00R 25.57
Dag_&_Red 12 9 -5 -8.37 3.87 -6.49 56.19 9.19 -3.92 0.13 2.62 0.76P 19.98R 1.69
Braintree_Town 12 6 -9 -5.68 9.75 -2.21 37.71 8.99 -30.46 0.00 0.01 0.00P 88.19R 48.40
Dover_Athletic 12 6 -14 -9.25 1.90 -12.30 51.78 9.21 -14.93 0.01 0.75 0.19P 37.16R 4.99
