Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 23 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 September 2018, Arsenal 2 0 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         6   18  +12       5.48    97.17     4.67    83.87     8.28    49.83    23.56    57.75    78.50    90.57    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          6   16  +16       1.11    65.92     2.62    90.08     7.58    72.41    61.92    84.70    94.20    98.04    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           6   16  +10       3.22    85.75     2.52    76.25     8.59    36.12     5.66    21.02    43.79    67.18    95.44     0.00     0.00  
Watford           6   13   +5       5.60    95.50     6.37    50.66     8.66    -7.79     0.01     0.05     0.17     0.80     8.43     2.32R    0.18  
Tottenham         6   12   +5       0.53    54.82    -0.43    77.13     8.37    40.30     6.42    23.98    48.91    71.58    96.54     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           6   12   +3       1.73    69.00    -0.32    70.39     8.87    26.92     1.52     7.50    19.91    38.69    85.33     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd           6   10   +0      -1.26    34.03    -4.51    68.80     8.54    22.78     0.90     4.90    13.93    30.51    82.46     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth       6   10   -1       2.37    76.69     0.32    46.59     8.70   -16.57     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.32     3.81     6.85R    0.74  
Leicester         6    9   +1       0.69    58.42     1.12    52.58     8.95    -2.10     0.01     0.06     0.35     1.45    12.79     1.79R    0.11  
Wolverhampton     6    9   +0       2.81    81.16     3.47    46.54     8.95   -11.36     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.32     4.17     7.00R    0.85  
Crystal_Palace    6    7   -2      -0.84    41.00    -1.31    43.69     8.47   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.88    11.00R    1.37  
Everton           6    6   -3      -2.73    20.43    -3.49    45.43     8.71   -12.33     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.17     3.00     8.48R    1.00  
Brighton          6    5   -3      -0.70    43.69     1.17    40.59     8.35   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.85    19.31R    3.16  
Southampton       6    5   -3      -2.34    24.41    -1.42    42.95     8.48   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.58    12.56R    1.79  
Fulham            6    5   -5      -0.87    41.08     0.69    38.14     9.08   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.81    31.44R    7.25  
Burnley           6    4   -3      -3.75    12.45    -2.47    40.99     8.28   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.79    17.25R    2.74  
West_Ham          6    4   -6      -1.87    29.08    -1.33    41.29     8.67   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.10    18.47R    3.23  
Newcastle         6    2   -4      -3.92     9.23    -0.05    43.13     8.57    -8.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.63    12.00R    1.71  
Cardiff           6    2  -11      -2.62    18.77    -4.20    30.12     8.17   -38.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    67.60R   27.29  
Huddersfield      6    2  -11      -2.35    20.76    -3.42    26.29     7.34   -44.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    83.93R   48.58  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2018, Aston_Villa 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     9   18  +12       3.98    83.07     9.36    74.88    10.14    21.23     9.23    19.30    55.43    27.53P    0.17R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    9   18   +8       2.79    75.20     3.84    81.13     9.55    26.19    21.47    39.72    78.50    51.71P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom        9   17  +10       0.11    50.21     2.84    82.74    10.36    33.34    30.47    47.99    81.28    58.68P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        9   16   +4       2.61    73.35     2.47    68.75    10.04     6.85     2.81     6.98    31.10    11.89P    1.02R    0.14  
Wigan            9   16   +3       1.69    65.39     0.01    71.97    10.23    10.94     5.43    12.16    43.11    19.85P    0.53R    0.06  
Derby            9   16   +3       0.83    57.14    -1.19    73.70     9.85    13.65     6.76    15.31    49.99    24.43P    0.20R    0.02  
Brentford        9   15   +6       1.30    62.42     3.85    73.25     9.96    17.41     6.56    14.82    49.16    23.09P    0.30R    0.02  
Bristol_City     9   14   +3       1.68    66.21     3.10    68.30     9.99     8.25     2.42     6.30    29.68    11.35P    1.17R    0.18  
Nott'm_Forest    9   14   +2       2.51    73.76     3.36    60.40     9.72    -4.55     0.32     1.10     8.88     2.43P    6.17R    1.16  
Sheff_Wed        9   14   +0       1.49    64.56    -0.16    66.40     9.96     2.44     1.76     4.52    23.24     8.40P    1.73R    0.25  
Norwich          9   14   +0       2.08    69.36     0.69    64.37     9.91    -1.05     1.03     2.89    17.36     5.63P    2.85R    0.47  
Blackburn        9   14   +0       2.05    69.22     0.64    65.41    10.20     1.10     1.57     4.03    20.63     7.56P    2.54R    0.45  
Aston_Villa      9   13   +1      -1.70    34.15    -2.60    70.20     9.88    10.76     3.61     8.65    36.42    15.99P    0.59R    0.05  
Swansea          9   13   +1      -0.68    43.61    -1.12    71.56    10.11    12.68     4.74    11.17    41.81    19.88P    0.51R    0.07  
Bolton           9   12   -3       2.86    77.87     1.97    48.79     9.06   -24.08     0.01     0.03     0.59     0.08P   36.67R   11.81  
QPR              9   10   -8      -0.48    46.59    -4.96    50.15     9.37   -25.23     0.01     0.08     0.89     0.21P   32.16R   10.32  
Birmingham       9    9   -1      -0.26    49.12     3.27    49.33     9.16   -15.59     0.01     0.03     0.65     0.15P   33.09R   10.52  
Stoke            9    9   -4      -3.70    19.36    -4.48    65.22    10.56     4.36     1.60     4.24    21.49     8.70P    3.17R    0.66  
Rotherham        9    9   -8       0.74    59.64    -1.16    45.15     9.67   -31.63     0.01     0.02     0.40     0.09P   53.12R   25.24  
Reading          9    8   -1      -3.17    22.66     0.88    50.95     9.60   -13.67     0.02     0.10     1.31     0.29P   27.70R    8.88  
Hull             9    7   -7      -4.36    14.84    -5.24    54.67    10.00   -12.65     0.10     0.33     3.45     0.95P   17.71R    4.86  
Millwall         9    6   -6      -4.43    13.30    -3.32    53.58     9.62   -10.37     0.04     0.13     2.36     0.57P   19.10R    5.25  
Ipswich          9    5   -6      -6.30     5.57    -4.46    48.71     9.31   -16.16     0.01     0.02     0.62     0.14P   35.68R   12.53  
Preston          9    5   -9      -6.43     4.87    -7.59    52.22     9.65   -14.22     0.02     0.10     1.64     0.42P   23.78R    7.03  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2018, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          9   22  +13       6.65    94.09     8.31    84.49    10.36    31.11    26.02    46.86    85.73    57.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth            9   21  +10       6.95    95.22     7.47    77.20    10.06    18.00     7.89    19.49    64.85    29.99P    0.19R    0.00  
Sunderland            9   18  +10       1.22    60.19     3.08    85.87    10.44    36.36    32.02    53.10    88.58    64.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Doncaster             9   18   +8       4.70    86.62     6.59    72.61    10.03    13.73     3.29     9.62    47.33    18.17P    0.76R    0.06  
Walsall               9   18   +3       5.76    91.32     3.18    67.29    10.01     0.75     1.21     3.70    26.11     7.85P    2.71R    0.18  
Charlton              9   17   +4       3.35    78.85     2.14    73.21     9.96    12.05     3.65    10.20    49.30    19.59P    0.59R    0.03  
Barnsley              8   15  +10      -0.08    47.93     3.78    82.19    10.83    32.57    20.75    39.04    80.04    52.90P    0.11R    0.00  
Blackpool             9   14   +3       0.74    57.26     1.55    64.63     9.78     3.26     0.59     1.97    18.83     5.76P    4.13R    0.35  
Accrington_Stanley    9   14   +1       2.62    73.49     2.37    59.05    10.39    -7.72     0.21     0.87     8.94     2.37P   13.83R    2.08  
Fleetwood_Town        9   13   +6      -0.24    48.10     4.71    67.44    10.03    11.53     1.24     4.06    28.46     9.91P    2.40R    0.17  
Scunthorpe            9   13   -5      -0.05    49.59    -5.95    68.14    10.32     1.39     1.49     4.80    29.82    10.68P    2.50R    0.24  
Luton                 9   12   +0       0.25    53.24     0.93    63.73    10.55     1.46     0.64     2.11    18.40     5.91P    6.50R    0.76  
Coventry              9   11   -3       0.41    55.25    -0.69    52.24     9.85   -15.90     0.03     0.12     2.17     0.52P   32.73R    6.96  
Rochdale              9   11   -6       0.42    55.38    -2.98    59.17    10.16   -10.33     0.15     0.60     8.19     2.08P   13.66R    2.08  
Burton_Albion         8   10   -1      -1.32    37.66    -1.50    61.83    10.68    -1.31     0.43     1.63    14.47     4.67P    9.15R    1.26  
Southend              9   10   -3      -1.76    34.72    -2.13    59.52    10.08    -5.04     0.16     0.74     8.78     2.39P   12.23R    1.70  
Bristol_Rovers        9    8   -2      -3.91    17.70    -1.26    54.23    10.04    -9.16     0.05     0.21     3.68     0.94P   25.58R    4.84  
Wycombe               9    8   -4      -1.71    35.44    -0.06    46.90    10.06   -22.60     0.01     0.03     0.79     0.15P   54.16R   18.47  
AFC_Wimbledon         9    8   -6      -1.95    32.54    -2.55    50.92     9.52   -16.75     0.01     0.05     1.30     0.27P   37.19R    8.60  
Shrewsbury            9    7   -2      -5.30     9.64    -2.15    59.49     9.79     0.95     0.14     0.60     8.46     2.57P   10.83R    1.43  
Gillingham            9    7   -7      -3.46    20.29    -3.84    51.50     9.82   -16.68     0.01     0.09     1.80     0.41P   35.80R    8.29  
Bradford              9    6   -8      -4.80    11.79    -5.85    52.91     9.98   -13.87     0.02     0.10     2.36     0.58P   30.22R    6.72  
Oxford_Utd            9    5  -10      -5.64     7.91    -7.09    49.89    10.05   -19.48     0.01     0.04     1.32     0.28P   42.25R   11.75  
Plymouth              9    3  -11      -7.32     2.56    -8.05    44.81     9.62   -24.30     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.05P   62.44R   24.04  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2018, Bury 0 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      9   22  +11       7.27    96.09     7.45    81.42     9.95    23.87    20.97    50.15    81.51    58.13P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter            9   19   +9       3.92    82.20     4.85    80.82    10.12    25.73    20.24    48.56    79.70    57.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County    9   19   -3       7.99    97.23    -1.06    65.10     9.77    -9.62     0.93     5.02    21.54     7.68P    0.57R    0.09  
Colchester        9   16  +12       1.27    61.31     8.43    77.57    10.06    28.25    13.11    36.67    70.62    46.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle          9   16   +0       3.28    78.29    -0.55    70.42     9.91     5.55     2.97    13.38    41.50    19.79P    0.19R    0.02  
Oldham            9   15   +6      -1.00    40.20     0.54    76.45    10.58    22.01    11.53    32.73    65.69    42.63P    0.04R    0.01  
Forest_Green      9   15   +6       3.78    81.83     7.72    62.30     9.93     0.76     0.55     3.16    16.06     5.39P    1.14R    0.20  
Swindon           9   15   +2       1.04    59.67    -0.50    71.63    10.27    10.73     4.34    17.34    47.01    24.65P    0.12R    0.01  
Stevenage         9   15   +2       1.04    59.99    -0.37    63.39     9.92    -1.44     0.75     4.09    18.54     7.13P    0.77R    0.15  
Yeovil            8   14   +9       2.99    77.67     8.94    67.76    10.19    11.50     2.17     9.60    33.10    14.53P    0.32R    0.05  
Bury              9   13   +3      -1.36    37.45    -0.00    71.67    10.64    14.95     5.07    18.51    48.23    26.81P    0.19R    0.03  
Port_Vale         9   13   +2       0.73    57.84     2.02    63.05     9.74     1.42     0.63     3.61    17.17     6.57P    0.94R    0.17  
Tranmere          9   13   +2       1.80    67.32     3.52    60.50    10.21    -2.25     0.44     2.51    12.64     4.66P    2.08R    0.46  
MK_Dons           8   13   +2       0.28    52.87    -0.60    77.46    10.60    20.10    12.53    35.77    68.47    45.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town      9   13   +0       1.81    67.54     1.72    60.94     9.88    -4.16     0.37     2.32    12.53     4.25P    1.65R    0.35  
Mansfield         8   11   +3      -1.43    36.28     0.83    69.67    10.11    12.87     2.88    12.68    40.19    20.06P    0.20R    0.04  
Crewe             8    8   +0      -2.82    23.71     0.25    56.39    10.20    -5.94     0.16     1.05     6.66     2.19P    4.83R    1.19  
Cheltenham        9    8   -4      -3.21    22.82    -2.30    53.21     9.88   -12.36     0.05     0.41     3.24     0.98P    8.45R    2.26  
Cambridge_Utd     9    8   -8      -3.01    24.00    -6.10    55.20     9.78   -13.09     0.05     0.56     4.41     1.31P    5.86R    1.65  
Northampton       9    7   -5      -5.74     8.87    -5.61    57.78    10.56    -5.02     0.24     1.70     9.16     3.53P    4.19R    1.09  
Morecambe         9    6  -13      -3.09    22.06    -8.20    43.48     9.10   -32.18     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   36.25R   13.20  
Grimsby           9    5  -11      -3.96    15.25    -6.08    43.10     9.19   -29.41     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03P   37.58R   14.18  
Notts_County      9    3  -14      -7.65     2.41   -11.22    50.03    10.05   -20.33     0.03     0.16     1.68     0.53P   15.33R    5.38  
Macclesfield      9    2  -11      -5.74     4.91    -3.67    33.06     9.22   -41.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    79.27R   59.46  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 September 2018, Sutton_United 0 4 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Harrogate_Town     11   25  +14       8.27    95.61    11.37    77.49    10.45    20.91    17.51    59.54    26.77P    0.32R    0.01  
Wrexham            11   24  +13       6.20    91.47     9.15    78.70     9.06    23.20    17.32    66.14    30.29P    0.05R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      11   23  +11       4.98    86.06     6.68    80.74     9.41    25.82    25.13    73.33    37.98P    0.04R    0.00  
Salford_City       11   21   +7       6.53    91.46     7.84    68.09    10.04     6.18     3.20    24.33     7.36P    2.64R    0.08  
AFC_Fylde          11   20  +10       1.54    62.66     4.90    76.55     9.37    22.94    12.70    57.84    25.00P    0.15R    0.00  
Hartlepool         11   20   +4       3.33    76.09     1.59    67.65     9.24     4.23     2.12    21.08     6.19P    1.91R    0.04  
Boreham_Wood       11   19   +4       2.24    68.90     1.40    70.34     9.20     9.52     3.61    30.37    10.10P    0.92R    0.02  
Sutton_United      11   19   +0       3.25    75.72    -1.07    67.38     9.29     1.06     1.89    20.03     5.77P    2.32R    0.08  
Solihull_Moors     11   19   -1       6.29    91.53     2.39    62.34     9.18    -7.18     0.46     8.45     1.77P    7.17R    0.30  
Halifax            11   18   +4       4.13    82.22     5.42    62.00     9.13    -0.90     0.46     8.13     1.83P    7.03R    0.32  
Gateshead          11   17   +2       0.72    56.46     0.15    66.88     9.35     5.24     1.74    19.62     5.84P    2.59R    0.08  
Barnet             11   17   -3      -0.52    45.98    -6.68    74.25     9.63    10.83     8.46    46.15    19.91P    0.42R    0.01  
Maidenhead         11   14   +1      -0.86    43.55     1.34    58.43     9.45    -4.56     0.30     4.76     1.17P   14.57R    1.09  
Ebbsfleet_United   11   14   -1      -0.08    50.29     0.20    64.61     9.40     3.26     0.99    13.69     3.79P    4.54R    0.24  
Barrow             11   12   -2      -2.38    30.53    -1.17    55.41     9.28    -8.29     0.08     2.16     0.49P   22.90R    2.02  
Chesterfield       11   11   -1      -6.47     8.09    -4.58    68.93     9.79    13.91     3.39    28.00    11.39P    2.01R    0.11  
Eastleigh          11   11   -8      -1.32    39.90    -3.90    54.05     9.29   -15.19     0.05     1.50     0.34P   28.90R    3.43  
Bromley            11   10   -1      -5.59    11.51    -1.87    59.54     9.52     1.30     0.26     5.87     1.61P   12.00R    0.93  
Aldershot          11   10  -11      -3.77    20.70    -9.30    57.14     9.28   -11.68     0.10     2.92     0.71P   18.69R    1.59  
Dag_&_Red          11    9   -4      -7.06     5.96    -5.56    57.90     9.49    -2.40     0.19     4.30     1.20P   15.70R    1.31  
Havant_&_Wville    11    9   -9      -1.67    37.88    -1.52    41.83     9.62   -34.72     0.00     0.09     0.02P   77.22R   30.91  
Maidstone_United   11    7   -9      -4.64    14.62    -4.10    44.66     8.90   -24.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   67.84R   18.25  
Braintree_Town     11    6   -8      -4.54    14.32    -1.53    40.20     9.34   -27.73     0.00     0.06     0.01P   81.74R   35.94  
Dover_Athletic     11    6  -12      -8.42     2.64   -11.14    53.94     9.38   -11.77     0.04     1.55     0.42P   28.33R    3.22