Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 20 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 September 2018, Southampton 2 2 Brighton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 5 15 +10 4.26 93.98 3.59 78.43 8.96 39.69 11.49 31.57 53.64 73.42 96.34 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 5 15 +9 4.87 96.11 3.34 82.32 8.71 46.74 22.01 49.97 71.32 85.98 98.53 0.00 0.00 Man_City 5 13 +11 0.81 62.74 0.44 88.42 7.94 66.63 55.21 78.79 90.62 96.48 99.81 0.00 0.00 Watford 5 12 +5 5.96 97.30 6.42 51.30 9.05 -7.51 0.01 0.08 0.33 1.11 9.75 2.39R 0.25 Bournemouth 5 10 +3 3.31 86.57 3.64 50.08 9.01 -8.48 0.00 0.04 0.22 0.90 7.91 3.28R 0.32 Tottenham 5 9 +4 -0.48 41.65 -0.51 76.61 8.69 41.11 7.62 24.12 46.11 67.97 95.17 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 5 9 +1 0.87 60.09 -1.04 69.27 9.33 25.97 1.64 7.12 17.31 33.52 79.91 0.02R 0.00 Man_Utd 5 9 +0 -0.30 44.46 -3.64 70.55 8.87 25.09 2.01 8.17 19.76 38.18 84.81 0.00R 0.00 Wolverhampton 5 8 +0 2.45 80.37 2.39 45.02 9.14 -14.59 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.29 3.11 10.05R 1.60 Everton 5 6 -1 -2.01 25.61 -2.73 46.53 9.06 -11.16 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.37 4.18 7.35R 1.01 Leicester 5 6 -1 -0.05 49.86 0.57 51.36 9.35 -3.43 0.01 0.09 0.39 1.27 10.82 2.87R 0.40 Crystal_Palace 5 6 -2 -0.42 44.87 -1.16 44.00 8.76 -15.36 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.14 2.14 10.99R 1.56 Southampton 5 5 +0 -2.01 26.81 -0.23 44.08 8.75 -11.08 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.13 2.13 10.62R 1.66 Brighton 5 5 -2 0.02 52.97 1.09 40.90 8.70 -18.37 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.95 19.43R 3.68 Fulham 5 4 -5 -0.58 44.47 0.44 38.47 9.50 -27.04 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.93 30.72R 8.37 West_Ham 5 3 -6 -2.01 24.13 -2.12 40.41 9.07 -22.03 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 1.04 22.48R 5.01 Cardiff 5 2 -6 -2.56 18.48 -1.98 32.38 8.65 -32.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 55.79R 20.37 Huddersfield 5 2 -9 -1.67 27.61 -2.78 27.11 7.60 -43.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.08R 45.96 Newcastle 5 1 -4 -3.57 9.00 -0.01 43.52 8.92 -8.93 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 2.05 11.99R 1.98 Burnley 5 1 -7 -4.86 3.77 -5.72 37.33 8.56 -21.72 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.32 31.92R 7.83Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 September 2018, Middlesbrough 2 0 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 8 18 +13 5.82 93.29 11.01 78.30 10.29 25.42 14.19 27.78 67.06 36.61P 0.07R 0.00 Middlesbrough 8 17 +8 3.32 80.81 4.02 82.42 9.83 27.60 24.15 42.35 80.61 54.16P 0.00R 0.00 Brentford 8 15 +8 2.19 70.89 5.08 75.25 10.26 20.45 9.13 19.02 55.86 27.92P 0.17R 0.02 West_Brom 8 14 +8 -0.61 43.34 2.16 81.04 10.62 31.31 22.63 38.85 75.48 50.45P 0.06R 0.00 Bristol_City 8 14 +4 2.56 74.63 3.41 69.67 10.39 9.21 3.33 8.01 33.97 13.48P 0.90R 0.14 Sheff_Utd 8 13 +3 1.40 63.86 2.09 67.47 10.24 6.43 2.02 5.32 26.29 9.73P 1.51R 0.25 Aston_Villa 8 13 +2 -0.13 48.24 -1.36 72.93 10.08 13.87 5.63 12.85 45.88 21.36P 0.31R 0.03 Wigan 8 13 +2 0.50 55.34 -0.37 70.71 10.62 10.55 4.42 10.02 37.66 16.84P 0.82R 0.14 Derby 8 13 +1 -0.23 47.21 -2.31 71.14 9.99 10.29 3.82 9.31 39.09 16.80P 0.45R 0.04 Swansea 8 12 +1 -0.63 43.84 -1.45 71.70 10.39 12.50 4.82 11.11 41.71 19.67P 0.58R 0.06 Nott'm_Forest 8 11 +1 1.36 65.18 3.16 59.15 9.99 -5.15 0.26 0.77 7.45 1.99P 8.00R 1.66 Norwich 8 11 -1 0.51 55.91 -0.21 62.20 10.12 -3.06 0.56 1.76 12.67 3.80P 4.47R 0.85 Sheff_Wed 8 11 -1 -0.22 48.44 -1.28 63.48 10.15 -0.58 0.89 2.41 15.48 5.12P 3.28R 0.53 Blackburn 8 11 -1 0.39 55.02 -0.46 62.13 10.56 -2.26 0.82 2.14 13.24 4.45P 5.25R 1.04 Bolton 8 11 -3 2.83 79.05 1.54 48.19 9.26 -26.13 0.01 0.02 0.51 0.07P 38.26R 12.70 QPR 8 10 -7 0.81 59.43 -4.05 52.05 9.77 -23.81 0.02 0.11 1.73 0.37P 24.60R 7.11 Stoke 8 9 -3 -2.28 29.08 -3.40 68.47 10.80 8.29 2.89 6.86 30.84 13.29P 1.67R 0.28 Rotherham 8 9 -7 1.64 68.92 -0.74 46.36 9.94 -31.35 0.01 0.02 0.46 0.08P 46.95R 20.37 Hull 8 7 -4 -3.53 18.66 -3.09 57.75 10.31 -6.99 0.27 0.79 6.45 1.88P 10.83R 2.55 Birmingham 8 6 -2 -2.40 26.65 1.56 46.00 9.26 -19.33 0.00 0.01 0.28 0.05P 45.81R 17.71 Millwall 8 6 -4 -3.97 15.16 -2.72 55.04 9.76 -8.47 0.07 0.24 3.25 0.88P 14.95R 3.66 Reading 8 5 -4 -4.35 12.43 -1.39 47.36 9.79 -20.14 0.01 0.03 0.59 0.12P 41.08R 15.71 Preston 8 5 -8 -5.48 6.73 -7.28 53.34 9.95 -13.62 0.05 0.16 2.31 0.61P 20.03R 5.63 Ipswich 8 4 -6 -5.60 6.54 -3.94 50.12 9.74 -15.02 0.02 0.06 1.11 0.27P 29.96R 9.51League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 8 20 +10 7.72 97.72 8.06 78.42 10.26 19.30 11.83 25.47 69.72 35.71P 0.17R 0.01 Peterborough 8 19 +11 5.64 92.23 7.35 82.22 10.65 27.92 22.03 40.56 80.88 51.11P 0.07R 0.00 Barnsley 8 15 +10 0.04 49.20 4.03 82.32 10.78 32.70 23.72 42.21 80.90 55.06P 0.08R 0.01 Sunderland 8 15 +7 0.54 54.48 1.69 83.50 10.92 31.96 27.13 46.43 83.25 58.41P 0.09R 0.00 Doncaster 8 15 +7 3.50 80.97 6.17 70.29 10.27 11.80 2.91 7.90 39.87 15.12P 1.51R 0.08 Walsall 8 15 +2 4.33 86.27 2.46 65.35 10.30 -0.64 1.00 3.19 22.25 6.78P 4.81R 0.44 Charlton 8 14 +3 2.15 71.07 1.71 71.71 10.30 11.29 3.63 9.83 44.67 18.68P 1.16R 0.08 Fleetwood_Town 8 13 +7 1.11 60.87 5.65 69.45 10.36 13.41 2.60 7.42 37.05 14.57P 1.99R 0.15 Blackpool 8 13 +3 1.14 61.49 1.61 65.21 10.16 3.48 0.95 3.03 22.10 7.28P 4.49R 0.41 Accrington_Stanley 8 11 +0 1.24 63.55 1.74 56.75 10.49 -9.43 0.21 0.65 6.79 1.81P 20.57R 3.60 Luton 8 11 +0 0.46 55.58 0.68 63.70 10.94 0.86 0.92 2.88 19.58 6.67P 7.72R 1.01 Coventry 8 11 -1 1.38 64.78 0.71 55.11 10.11 -11.33 0.09 0.32 4.49 1.09P 24.23R 4.53 Rochdale 8 11 -3 0.98 60.89 -1.40 61.40 10.37 -5.94 0.42 1.36 13.14 3.59P 10.39R 1.41 Burton_Albion 8 10 -1 -1.28 37.98 -1.45 61.85 10.72 -1.24 0.64 2.07 15.25 5.19P 9.62R 1.38 Scunthorpe 8 10 -6 -1.41 36.69 -6.54 66.26 10.59 -0.05 1.23 3.99 25.65 9.10P 4.57R 0.55 AFC_Wimbledon 8 8 -5 -0.78 43.82 -1.87 52.57 9.74 -15.13 0.02 0.09 2.22 0.46P 32.57R 7.23 Shrewsbury 8 7 -1 -4.23 13.68 -1.56 61.36 10.00 2.64 0.34 1.28 12.70 4.16P 8.75R 1.02 Southend 8 7 -4 -3.35 20.04 -3.08 56.83 10.29 -7.65 0.13 0.50 6.37 1.78P 19.46R 3.41 Wycombe 8 7 -4 -1.68 34.54 -0.65 45.91 10.14 -24.35 0.01 0.03 0.68 0.15P 59.20R 22.80 Gillingham 8 7 -5 -2.68 25.07 -2.96 53.50 10.13 -13.50 0.06 0.23 3.36 0.90P 29.71R 6.46 Bradford 8 6 -7 -3.80 16.30 -5.39 54.46 10.19 -12.37 0.07 0.28 3.86 1.01P 26.65R 5.36 Bristol_Rovers 8 5 -4 -5.17 9.01 -2.73 51.43 10.21 -12.70 0.03 0.13 2.26 0.63P 36.71R 8.95 Oxford_Utd 8 5 -9 -4.43 12.26 -6.46 51.93 10.32 -17.39 0.03 0.14 2.44 0.60P 36.01R 9.00 Plymouth 8 3 -10 -6.42 3.54 -7.77 45.82 9.87 -23.65 0.00 0.02 0.49 0.13P 59.46R 22.10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, Carlisle 0 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 8 19 +10 5.78 93.06 6.65 79.12 10.18 21.98 15.53 40.78 74.69 49.39P 0.02R 0.00 Exeter 8 16 +7 2.99 77.30 3.86 78.79 10.36 23.23 15.22 40.22 73.10 49.09P 0.01R 0.00 Newport_County 8 16 -4 6.32 94.72 -2.09 62.90 9.98 -11.61 0.68 3.56 16.39 5.58P 1.21R 0.24 Colchester 8 15 +12 1.56 64.99 8.33 77.46 10.14 27.49 12.91 35.97 70.03 45.63P 0.02R 0.00 Yeovil 7 14 +12 4.11 86.73 11.55 71.13 10.47 17.50 4.51 16.94 46.21 23.13P 0.16R 0.03 Oldham 8 14 +6 -0.41 45.35 0.88 77.14 10.69 22.41 12.68 35.20 67.68 45.04P 0.02R 0.00 Bury 8 13 +4 -0.04 49.19 0.84 74.59 11.02 18.46 9.20 27.28 58.22 35.80P 0.09R 0.01 Tranmere 8 13 +3 3.03 77.94 4.36 63.08 10.51 0.36 0.89 4.61 18.97 7.58P 1.37R 0.28 MK_Dons 7 13 +3 1.42 64.42 0.06 79.58 10.81 22.24 17.53 43.40 74.62 53.10P 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 8 13 +1 2.93 77.46 2.41 62.36 10.22 -3.28 0.60 3.46 16.48 5.92P 1.49R 0.31 Carlisle 8 13 -1 1.52 64.88 -1.74 68.01 10.24 3.40 2.03 9.87 32.91 15.11P 0.36R 0.05 Forest_Green 8 12 +5 2.41 73.73 7.16 60.00 10.04 -1.49 0.32 2.15 11.75 3.85P 2.15R 0.53 Stevenage 8 12 +1 -0.09 49.44 -0.63 62.16 10.18 -1.92 0.58 3.50 16.21 6.25P 1.45R 0.33 Swindon 8 12 -1 -0.16 48.58 -2.80 67.84 10.44 4.42 2.33 9.98 32.82 15.36P 0.47R 0.09 Mansfield 7 10 +3 -0.98 39.59 0.97 70.53 10.38 13.59 3.80 14.73 43.36 22.47P 0.21R 0.03 Port_Vale 8 10 +1 -0.81 42.36 1.18 60.57 10.02 -0.95 0.31 2.38 12.53 4.55P 2.01R 0.47 Crewe 7 8 +1 -1.50 34.90 1.17 58.61 10.59 -3.78 0.35 1.99 10.56 3.77P 3.58R 0.85 Cheltenham 8 8 -2 -2.48 27.30 -1.30 54.90 10.04 -9.87 0.09 0.65 4.77 1.42P 6.50R 1.77 Cambridge_Utd 8 7 -8 -2.86 23.75 -6.39 55.46 9.94 -13.26 0.05 0.73 4.79 1.56P 5.95R 1.78 Northampton 8 6 -5 -5.19 9.67 -5.31 58.68 11.02 -4.37 0.40 2.38 11.36 4.69P 4.16R 1.26 Grimsby 8 5 -10 -3.03 21.11 -5.66 44.38 9.51 -28.84 0.00 0.01 0.30 0.06P 33.13R 12.70 Morecambe 8 3 -14 -4.39 10.38 -8.64 41.77 9.32 -33.40 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.04P 44.40R 19.83 Macclesfield 8 2 -10 -4.76 7.65 -3.27 34.35 9.41 -41.12 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 74.84R 53.52 Notts_County 8 2 -14 -7.55 1.83 -11.57 50.09 10.45 -21.19 0.02 0.20 2.08 0.62P 16.41R 5.91National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 September 2018, Sutton_United 0 4 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Harrogate_Town 11 25 +14 8.29 95.86 11.43 77.42 10.43 20.77 17.36 59.45 26.35P 0.31R 0.00 Wrexham 11 24 +13 6.22 91.39 9.16 78.58 9.03 23.04 16.88 66.02 29.82P 0.06R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 11 23 +11 5.03 86.14 6.77 80.60 9.38 25.55 24.37 72.98 37.49P 0.04R 0.00 Salford_City 11 21 +7 6.49 91.04 7.80 68.15 10.25 6.34 3.34 25.12 7.70P 2.78R 0.12 AFC_Fylde 11 20 +10 1.52 62.30 4.84 76.60 9.53 23.04 13.36 57.79 25.61P 0.19R 0.00 Hartlepool 11 20 +4 3.26 75.72 1.50 67.72 9.25 4.32 2.14 21.30 6.16P 2.01R 0.05 Boreham_Wood 11 19 +4 2.22 68.75 1.38 70.40 9.22 9.65 3.78 30.61 10.27P 0.86R 0.02 Sutton_United 11 19 +0 3.23 75.47 -1.07 67.39 9.32 1.05 1.86 20.08 5.76P 2.34R 0.08 Solihull_Moors 11 19 -1 6.19 91.25 2.27 62.42 9.16 -7.08 0.51 8.42 1.82P 7.13R 0.38 Halifax 11 18 +4 4.09 81.82 5.35 62.14 9.18 -0.74 0.51 8.51 2.00P 6.91R 0.33 Gateshead 11 17 +2 0.78 56.92 0.22 66.76 9.46 5.06 1.80 19.49 5.82P 2.82R 0.11 Barnet 11 17 -3 -0.53 45.41 -6.64 74.20 9.74 10.70 8.55 45.82 20.12P 0.56R 0.02 Maidenhead 11 14 +1 -0.80 43.86 1.41 58.34 9.46 -4.66 0.20 4.65 1.07P 15.05R 1.06 Ebbsfleet_United 11 14 -1 -0.12 50.12 0.13 64.64 9.41 3.39 1.00 13.71 3.85P 4.61R 0.21 Barrow 11 12 -2 -2.36 30.73 -1.15 55.42 9.21 -8.31 0.10 2.12 0.48P 22.79R 1.93 Chesterfield 11 11 -1 -6.37 8.66 -4.46 68.75 9.85 13.70 3.41 27.23 11.19P 2.06R 0.07 Eastleigh 11 11 -8 -1.30 40.00 -3.89 54.09 9.30 -15.07 0.05 1.45 0.34P 28.70R 3.41 Bromley 11 10 -1 -5.58 11.56 -1.88 59.42 9.56 1.18 0.34 5.87 1.60P 12.30R 1.01 Aldershot 11 10 -11 -3.77 20.74 -9.30 57.22 9.22 -11.55 0.12 2.95 0.75P 17.95R 1.47 Dag_&_Red 11 9 -4 -7.11 5.81 -5.67 58.24 9.50 -1.88 0.25 4.49 1.31P 15.03R 1.10 Havant_&_Wville 11 9 -9 -1.63 38.19 -1.45 41.87 9.71 -34.66 0.00 0.13 0.03P 77.02R 30.43 Maidstone_United 11 7 -9 -4.67 14.41 -4.14 44.61 8.87 -24.06 0.00 0.08 0.01P 68.21R 18.06 Braintree_Town 11 6 -8 -4.48 15.02 -1.42 39.98 9.40 -28.22 0.00 0.04 0.01P 81.98R 36.81 Dover_Athletic 11 6 -12 -8.46 2.48 -11.17 54.08 9.47 -11.56 0.05 1.70 0.44P 28.31R 3.36