Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 18 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 September 2018, Southampton 2 2 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           5   15  +10       4.25    93.93     3.55    78.63     8.85    40.03    11.72    31.85    54.28    74.47    96.71     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         5   15   +9       4.83    96.08     3.25    82.42     8.64    47.04    21.84    50.71    71.62    85.95    98.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          5   13  +11       0.80    62.37     0.43    88.48     7.93    66.66    55.56    79.11    90.66    96.47    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Watford           5   12   +5       6.00    97.31     6.51    50.99     9.00    -8.05     0.01     0.04     0.28     0.98     9.07     2.61R    0.25  
Bournemouth       5   10   +3       3.35    86.94     3.68    49.96     9.12    -8.63     0.00     0.04     0.25     0.84     7.84     3.51R    0.41  
Tottenham         5    9   +4      -0.44    42.16    -0.45    76.40     8.65    40.69     7.17    22.73    44.79    66.83    94.93     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal           5    9   +1       0.87    60.05    -1.04    69.32     9.27    26.05     1.60     6.99    17.21    33.34    80.23     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd           5    9   +0      -0.32    44.02    -3.67    70.86     8.82    25.55     2.09     8.44    20.35    38.72    85.55     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     5    8   +0       2.44    80.34     2.38    45.11     9.12   -14.45     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.27     3.19    10.00R    1.51  
Everton           5    6   -1      -2.03    25.46    -2.74    46.57     9.01   -11.11     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.34     4.06     7.13R    0.88  
Leicester         5    6   -1      -0.04    49.94     0.58    51.32     9.36    -3.42     0.01     0.07     0.34     1.26    10.45     2.86R    0.36  
Crystal_Palace    5    6   -2      -0.46    44.43    -1.23    44.11     8.74   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     2.23    10.77R    1.54  
Southampton       5    5   +0      -2.01    26.93    -0.23    44.01     8.74   -11.22     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.18     2.19    10.47R    1.68  
Brighton          5    5   -2      -0.00    52.54     1.08    40.97     8.56   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.83    18.50R    3.32  
Fulham            5    4   -5      -0.53    45.03     0.52    37.99     9.41   -27.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.81    32.21R    9.08  
West_Ham          5    3   -6      -1.98    24.39    -2.07    40.25     9.04   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.96    22.68R    5.00  
Cardiff           5    2   -6      -2.56    18.52    -1.98    32.37     8.69   -32.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    56.24R   20.67  
Huddersfield      5    2   -9      -1.66    27.76    -2.80    27.25     7.60   -43.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    79.49R   45.64  
Newcastle         5    1   -4      -3.58     9.06    -0.02    43.59     8.92    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.97    12.09R    2.01  
Burnley           5    1   -7      -4.87     3.66    -5.75    37.43     8.51   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34    31.42R    7.64  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 September 2018, Aston_Villa 2 0 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     8   18  +13       5.77    93.20    10.94    78.46    10.31    25.72    15.08    28.09    67.10    37.04P    0.08R    0.01  
Brentford        8   15   +8       2.16    70.66     5.05    75.37    10.34    20.67     9.33    19.19    55.79    28.20P    0.21R    0.01  
West_Brom        8   14   +8      -0.72    42.05     1.96    81.14    10.77    31.48    23.30    39.19    74.99    50.33P    0.05R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    7   14   +6       2.59    76.37     3.34    81.40    10.04    26.63    21.19    38.33    77.06    50.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City     8   14   +4       2.55    74.45     3.35    69.73    10.45     9.33     3.25     8.01    33.80    13.41P    0.98R    0.11  
Aston_Villa      8   13   +2      -0.15    48.34    -1.38    73.03    10.14    14.01     5.66    13.08    46.04    21.60P    0.31R    0.04  
Wigan            8   13   +2       0.51    55.12    -0.34    70.61    10.64    10.34     4.41     9.91    37.12    16.80P    0.84R    0.11  
Derby            8   13   +1      -0.18    47.83    -2.25    71.37    10.11    10.64     4.23    10.04    39.46    17.54P    0.42R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        7   12   +3       2.24    72.98     2.78    69.06    10.47     8.22     2.99     7.27    31.53    12.40P    1.09R    0.15  
Swansea          8   12   +1      -0.57    44.49    -1.37    71.42    10.46    12.07     4.68    10.78    39.66    18.80P    0.60R    0.07  
Sheff_Wed        7   11   +0       0.94    60.81    -0.62    65.51    10.40     1.44     1.41     3.84    20.43     7.42P    2.51R    0.38  
Bolton           7   11   -1       3.31    83.04     2.17    49.12     9.53   -24.97     0.01     0.04     0.76     0.12P   33.82R   10.95  
Blackburn        8   11   -1       0.42    55.40    -0.38    62.30    10.52    -2.11     0.70     2.03    13.47     4.48P    4.91R    0.87  
Stoke            8    9   -3      -2.22    29.40    -3.34    68.33    10.73     8.11     2.69     6.75    29.86    12.78P    1.65R    0.27  
Rotherham        8    9   -7       1.72    69.70    -0.60    46.10     9.89   -31.92     0.01     0.03     0.46     0.08P   47.60R   19.98  
Nott'm_Forest    7    8   +0      -0.10    50.71     2.42    57.23    10.26    -6.60     0.18     0.60     5.76     1.53P   11.33R    2.55  
Norwich          7    8   -2      -1.04    40.43    -1.06    59.65    10.40    -5.57     0.34     1.08     8.66     2.54P    7.75R    1.64  
Hull             8    7   -4      -3.47    19.11    -3.02    57.65    10.31    -7.16     0.22     0.71     6.13     1.88P   10.72R    2.42  
QPR              7    7   -9      -0.63    44.59    -5.70    49.54     9.99   -27.36     0.03     0.10     1.10     0.26P   33.47R   11.14  
Millwall         7    6   -2      -2.87    21.82    -1.09    57.54    10.22    -4.82     0.18     0.60     5.92     1.59P   10.69R    2.42  
Birmingham       7    5   -2      -2.49    24.34     0.93    45.03     9.55   -21.82     0.01     0.02     0.29     0.05P   49.93R   21.07  
Reading          7    5   -3      -3.06    19.89    -0.53    49.77    10.17   -17.48     0.02     0.08     1.22     0.28P   31.52R   10.97  
Preston          8    5   -8      -5.55     6.51    -7.35    53.46    10.02   -13.42     0.05     0.17     2.40     0.61P   19.44R    5.20  
Ipswich          8    4   -6      -5.59     6.51    -3.91    49.86     9.79   -15.44     0.02     0.06     0.99     0.22P   30.07R    9.60  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth            8   20  +10       7.74    97.78     8.06    78.26    10.26    19.07    11.55    25.20    69.37    35.61P    0.20R    0.01  
Peterborough          8   19  +11       5.73    92.40     7.46    82.11    10.59    27.76    21.82    40.43    80.41    50.71P    0.11R    0.00  
Barnsley              8   15  +10      -0.04    48.38     3.91    82.66    10.85    33.28    24.88    43.31    81.58    56.14P    0.12R    0.01  
Sunderland            8   15   +7       0.63    55.19     1.82    83.06    10.93    31.27    26.29    44.86    82.07    57.04P    0.10R    0.01  
Doncaster             8   15   +7       3.38    80.33     6.02    70.72    10.19    12.41     2.99     8.45    41.02    15.83P    1.31R    0.10  
Walsall               8   15   +2       4.36    86.39     2.50    65.28    10.33    -0.68     1.05     3.34    22.03     6.89P    4.73R    0.50  
Charlton              8   14   +3       2.14    70.81     1.68    71.79    10.29    11.39     3.76    10.10    44.73    18.72P    1.18R    0.07  
Fleetwood_Town        8   13   +7       1.08    60.90     5.62    69.54    10.19    13.58     2.45     7.05    37.27    14.32P    1.76R    0.13  
Blackpool             8   13   +3       1.20    62.27     1.72    64.96    10.10     3.11     0.85     2.86    21.26     6.86P    4.63R    0.40  
Accrington_Stanley    8   11   +0       1.24    63.40     1.75    56.67    10.48    -9.57     0.19     0.64     6.60     1.83P   20.60R    3.66  
Luton                 8   11   +0       0.41    55.12     0.62    63.92    10.91     1.05     0.97     3.07    20.11     6.84P    7.27R    0.97  
Coventry              8   11   -1       1.35    64.68     0.68    55.23    10.25   -11.23     0.11     0.38     4.74     1.27P   24.26R    4.49  
Rochdale              8   11   -3       0.93    60.20    -1.47    61.68    10.47    -5.50     0.49     1.68    14.10     4.14P    9.99R    1.36  
Burton_Albion         8   10   -1      -1.28    38.14    -1.46    61.71    10.72    -1.39     0.61     1.96    14.72     5.01P    9.74R    1.50  
Scunthorpe            8   10   -6      -1.42    36.68    -6.54    66.30    10.53     0.05     1.29     3.95    25.63     9.16P    4.58R    0.52  
AFC_Wimbledon         8    8   -5      -0.75    43.66    -1.89    52.66     9.73   -15.00     0.02     0.09     2.23     0.42P   32.31R    6.94  
Shrewsbury            8    7   -1      -4.25    13.78    -1.58    61.38    10.08     2.64     0.37     1.35    12.97     4.36P    8.81R    1.03  
Southend              8    7   -4      -3.31    20.47    -3.01    56.76    10.35    -7.79     0.14     0.53     6.31     1.73P   19.92R    3.56  
Wycombe               8    7   -4      -1.76    33.95    -0.76    46.11    10.19   -24.06     0.01     0.03     0.72     0.13P   58.35R   22.22  
Gillingham            8    7   -5      -2.59    25.83    -2.80    53.27    10.08   -13.92     0.04     0.19     3.14     0.74P   30.29R    6.69  
Bradford              8    6   -7      -3.81    16.24    -5.41    54.50    10.15   -12.25     0.09     0.30     3.91     0.99P   26.55R    5.18  
Bristol_Rovers        8    5   -4      -5.17     9.12    -2.75    51.31    10.08   -12.84     0.02     0.12     2.13     0.57P   36.98R    8.98  
Oxford_Utd            8    5   -9      -4.42    12.42    -6.44    51.82    10.41   -17.56     0.04     0.11     2.46     0.55P   36.34R    9.42  
Plymouth              8    3  -10      -6.41     3.83    -7.74    45.68     9.87   -23.83     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.13P   59.87R   22.27  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, Carlisle 0 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      8   19  +10       5.73    92.83     6.58    79.28    10.20    22.24    15.86    41.75    74.77    50.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter            8   16   +7       2.98    77.23     3.85    78.77    10.32    23.16    15.16    40.36    73.54    49.20P    0.02R    0.00  
Newport_County    8   16   -4       6.37    94.92    -2.01    62.71    10.06   -11.90     0.59     3.51    16.21     5.63P    1.33R    0.30  
Colchester        8   15  +12       1.60    65.27     8.39    77.34    10.18    27.35    12.75    35.67    69.83    45.37P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil            7   14  +12       4.13    86.82    11.59    70.96    10.58    17.24     4.67    17.00    45.53    23.23P    0.18R    0.05  
Oldham            8   14   +6      -0.43    45.11     0.85    77.34    10.70    22.73    12.94    35.65    68.38    45.70P    0.03R    0.01  
Bury              8   13   +4       0.01    49.96     0.94    74.35    11.00    18.09     8.61    26.55    57.71    35.22P    0.10R    0.02  
Tranmere          8   13   +3       3.05    78.20     4.42    62.92    10.57     0.12     0.90     4.53    18.65     7.45P    1.58R    0.35  
MK_Dons           7   13   +3       1.40    64.52     0.04    79.45    10.84    22.11    17.47    42.80    74.26    52.25P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town      8   13   +1       2.93    77.56     2.38    62.58    10.24    -2.88     0.68     3.73    16.94     6.31P    1.43R    0.34  
Carlisle          8   13   -1       1.56    65.54    -1.71    67.82    10.25     3.14     2.00     9.37    32.37    14.60P    0.38R    0.06  
Forest_Green      8   12   +5       2.37    73.30     7.12    60.05    10.08    -1.36     0.36     2.17    11.87     3.91P    2.35R    0.57  
Stevenage         8   12   +1      -0.12    49.01    -0.66    62.20    10.21    -1.85     0.63     3.53    16.38     6.30P    1.32R    0.28  
Swindon           8   12   -1      -0.13    48.83    -2.76    68.10    10.48     4.87     2.37    10.33    34.03    15.90P    0.41R    0.07  
Mansfield         7   10   +3      -0.98    39.74     0.95    70.51    10.32    13.48     3.71    14.75    43.12    22.36P    0.21R    0.03  
Port_Vale         8   10   +1      -0.86    42.08     1.10    60.55     9.98    -0.95     0.35     2.31    12.41     4.38P    1.90R    0.43  
Crewe             7    8   +1      -1.48    35.43     1.23    58.59    10.63    -3.96     0.33     2.05    10.54     3.82P    3.67R    0.97  
Cheltenham        8    8   -2      -2.52    26.80    -1.37    55.11    10.03    -9.58     0.10     0.68     4.98     1.55P    6.34R    1.74  
Cambridge_Utd     8    7   -8      -2.80    24.03    -6.30    55.18     9.93   -13.71     0.07     0.61     4.64     1.39P    6.28R    1.91  
Northampton       8    6   -5      -5.20     9.46    -5.30    58.71    10.99    -4.26     0.43     2.42    11.41     4.70P    4.21R    1.20  
Grimsby           8    5  -10      -3.03    21.27    -5.69    44.49     9.53   -28.64     0.00     0.02     0.30     0.07P   32.69R   12.85  
Morecambe         8    3  -14      -4.39    10.31    -8.66    41.77     9.40   -33.44     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.05P   44.71R   20.12  
Macclesfield      8    2  -10      -4.79     7.44    -3.33    34.65     9.44   -40.64     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   74.07R   52.80  
Notts_County      8    2  -14      -7.59     1.74   -11.63    50.00    10.37   -21.34     0.02     0.21     1.94     0.56P   16.72R    5.92  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, AFC_Fylde 3 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Harrogate_Town     11   25  +14       8.33    95.98    11.45    77.76    10.42    21.26    18.12    60.38    27.22P    0.24R    0.01  
Wrexham            11   24  +13       6.15    91.29     9.08    78.54     9.04    22.99    16.82    65.63    29.87P    0.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      11   23  +11       4.95    85.74     6.65    80.45     9.36    25.36    23.78    72.60    37.07P    0.07R    0.00  
Salford_City       11   21   +7       6.48    91.18     7.79    68.53    10.07     6.88     3.48    25.78     7.99P    2.34R    0.09  
AFC_Fylde          11   20  +10       1.61    63.25     4.99    76.56     9.45    23.02    13.19    57.51    25.49P    0.18R    0.01  
Hartlepool         11   20   +4       3.29    75.99     1.54    67.59     9.15     4.13     2.07    20.63     6.01P    1.83R    0.05  
Sutton_United      10   19   +4       4.04    81.65     2.11    71.41     9.63     9.00     5.10    34.72    11.75P    0.96R    0.02  
Solihull_Moors     11   19   -1       6.32    91.92     2.44    62.51     9.15    -6.96     0.54     8.73     1.88P    6.87R    0.32  
Halifax            11   18   +4       4.20    82.74     5.50    61.97     9.08    -1.01     0.51     8.07     1.87P    6.90R    0.28  
Gateshead          11   17   +2       0.69    56.23     0.08    66.69     9.30     5.04     1.60    18.80     5.60P    2.62R    0.08  
Barnet             11   17   -3      -0.50    45.52    -6.61    74.05     9.68    10.48     8.06    45.51    19.40P    0.50R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood       10   16   +0       1.12    60.33    -1.88    66.15     9.31     2.21     1.44    16.88     4.95P    3.04R    0.08  
Maidenhead         11   14   +1      -0.87    43.24     1.33    58.42     9.42    -4.46     0.26     4.71     1.05P   14.45R    1.07  
Ebbsfleet_United   11   14   -1      -0.01    50.83     0.28    64.78     9.35     3.51     0.97    14.16     3.98P    4.13R    0.20  
Barrow             11   12   -2      -2.41    30.31    -1.25    55.25     9.20    -8.52     0.07     2.18     0.53P   23.23R    1.87  
Chesterfield       11   11   -1      -6.45     8.41    -4.58    68.76     9.82    13.70     3.26    27.28    11.11P    2.05R    0.08  
Eastleigh          11   11   -8      -1.30    40.18    -3.87    54.32     9.33   -14.75     0.04     1.60     0.30P   27.86R    3.20  
Bromley            11   10   -1      -5.59    11.38    -1.88    59.43     9.59     1.14     0.29     6.09     1.56P   12.53R    0.89  
Aldershot          11   10  -11      -3.78    20.87    -9.31    57.45     9.27   -11.22     0.13     3.04     0.79P   17.51R    1.50  
Dag_&_Red          11    9   -4      -7.10     5.75    -5.65    57.83     9.43    -2.51     0.22     4.04     1.11P   15.71R    1.29  
Havant_&_Wville    11    9   -9      -1.62    38.35    -1.42    41.66     9.55   -35.13     0.00     0.10     0.03P   77.70R   31.03  
Maidstone_United   11    7   -9      -4.72    13.92    -4.19    44.81     8.84   -23.76     0.00     0.09     0.01P   67.50R   17.60  
Braintree_Town     11    6   -8      -4.57    14.20    -1.54    39.96     9.33   -28.18     0.00     0.05     0.01P   82.26R   36.67  
Dover_Athletic     11    6  -12      -8.38     2.56   -11.05    53.65     9.44   -12.23     0.05     1.43     0.41P   29.48R    3.66