Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 16 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 September 2018, Everton 1 3 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           5   15  +10       4.23    93.86     3.59    78.42     8.87    39.59    11.35    31.20    53.72    73.92    96.56     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         5   15   +9       4.85    96.06     3.29    82.40     8.66    46.84    22.22    50.74    72.08    86.38    98.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          5   13  +11       0.81    62.54     0.43    88.51     7.88    66.53    55.48    79.50    90.85    96.58    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Watford           5   12   +5       5.95    97.25     6.39    51.30     8.94    -7.38     0.00     0.06     0.28     1.04     9.55     2.22R    0.18  
Bournemouth       5   10   +3       3.33    86.87     3.62    50.00     9.06    -8.48     0.01     0.06     0.24     0.91     8.04     3.42R    0.38  
Tottenham         5    9   +4      -0.46    41.80    -0.48    76.33     8.73    40.48     7.32    23.10    45.07    67.06    94.85     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           5    9   +1       0.87    60.17    -1.02    69.18     9.22    25.72     1.56     6.94    17.29    33.32    79.94     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd           5    9   +0      -0.28    44.57    -3.61    70.64     8.80    25.14     2.05     8.28    19.86    38.25    85.04     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     5    8   +0       2.46    80.39     2.38    45.03     9.13   -14.44     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.26     3.14    10.20R    1.65  
Everton           5    6   -1      -2.00    25.56    -2.71    46.57     9.05   -11.03     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.36     4.13     7.21R    1.02  
Leicester         5    6   -1      -0.03    49.99     0.57    51.42     9.27    -3.27     0.01     0.09     0.34     1.31    10.45     2.69R    0.32  
Crystal_Palace    5    6   -2      -0.43    44.78    -1.18    44.06     8.74   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     2.12    10.77R    1.51  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.42    31.82     0.08    44.89     8.84   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.20     2.66     9.16R    1.37  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.09    55.03     0.67    40.95     8.77   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.90    19.31R    3.74  
Fulham            5    4   -5      -0.52    45.67     0.57    37.84     9.38   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.81    32.86R    9.24  
West_Ham          5    3   -6      -1.98    24.18    -2.06    40.38     8.95   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.96    21.98R    4.76  
Cardiff           5    2   -6      -2.55    18.81    -1.96    32.33     8.65   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    56.45R   20.83  
Huddersfield      5    2   -9      -1.69    27.34    -2.88    27.37     7.64   -42.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.98R   44.90  
Newcastle         5    1   -4      -3.56     9.21    -0.02    43.42     8.94    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     1.93    12.36R    2.11  
Burnley           5    1   -7      -4.83     3.83    -5.68    37.10     8.47   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.32    32.39R    7.98  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, Blackburn 1 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     7   15  +10       4.98    91.16     9.26    75.56    10.60    20.67    10.24    20.73    56.29    28.72P    0.23R    0.03  
Brentford        7   14   +8       2.58    76.28     5.13    76.20    10.64    21.44    11.78    22.56    58.43    31.41P    0.21R    0.01  
Bristol_City     7   14   +6       3.22    81.19     4.20    71.37    10.65    11.74     5.18    11.37    39.98    17.42P    0.68R    0.08  
Middlesbrough    7   14   +6       2.50    75.34     3.22    81.46    10.10    26.72    22.41    39.06    77.05    50.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        7   12   +3       2.28    73.02     2.84    68.74    10.68     7.74     3.19     7.47    30.96    12.59P    1.39R    0.19  
Swansea          7   12   +2       0.45    54.54    -0.82    73.71    10.72    14.42     7.53    15.93    48.75    25.09P    0.41R    0.05  
Derby            7   12   +1       0.54    55.34    -1.77    72.61    10.47    11.95     5.98    13.13    44.46    20.97P    0.46R    0.05  
West_Brom        7   11   +6      -1.62    32.52     1.27    79.02    10.88    28.35    18.30    32.54    68.61    43.76P    0.14R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        7   11   +0       0.93    60.52    -0.65    65.76    10.32     1.89     1.45     3.90    21.44     7.56P    2.25R    0.35  
Bolton           7   11   -1       3.37    83.69     2.18    48.87     9.51   -25.30     0.01     0.04     0.78     0.13P   35.58R   11.65  
Wigan            7   10   +1      -0.61    43.36    -0.55    69.18    10.96     9.64     3.84     8.70    33.12    14.94P    1.41R    0.22  
Aston_Villa      7   10   +0      -0.85    40.99    -1.88    71.75    10.41    12.60     5.14    11.52    41.47    19.36P    0.57R    0.06  
Blackburn        7   10   -1       0.47    55.64    -0.84    61.96    11.09    -3.36     1.01     2.57    13.96     5.01P    6.39R    1.35  
Rotherham        7    9   -5       2.21    74.59    -0.16    47.49    10.30   -29.95     0.02     0.07     0.86     0.18P   42.67R   17.64  
Nott'm_Forest    7    8   +0      -0.01    51.81     2.51    56.82    10.25    -7.20     0.16     0.58     5.44     1.41P   12.17R    2.74  
Norwich          7    8   -2      -1.04    40.35    -1.12    59.80    10.63    -5.33     0.44     1.34     9.65     3.06P    8.23R    1.89  
Hull             7    7   -3      -2.62    24.55    -2.87    58.93    10.61    -6.24     0.44     1.19     8.25     2.64P    9.56R    2.14  
QPR              7    7   -9      -0.58    45.14    -5.67    49.25     9.95   -27.83     0.01     0.06     0.96     0.17P   35.04R   11.94  
Millwall         7    6   -2      -2.85    22.06    -1.05    57.47    10.24    -4.86     0.18     0.60     5.94     1.70P   10.79R    2.48  
Stoke            7    6   -4      -3.66    16.48    -4.09    66.62    11.24     6.93     2.47     5.93    26.19    11.45P    2.82R    0.49  
Birmingham       7    5   -2      -2.46    24.67     0.97    44.82     9.50   -22.03     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.05P   51.45R   21.81  
Reading          7    5   -3      -3.04    20.43    -0.53    49.66    10.25   -17.62     0.04     0.11     1.21     0.32P   32.91R   11.50  
Preston          7    5   -5      -4.88     8.43    -5.45    55.76    10.33    -8.99     0.14     0.48     4.59     1.37P   14.62R    3.61  
Ipswich          7    3   -6      -5.40     5.69    -4.15    50.23    10.07   -15.39     0.03     0.11     1.35     0.35P   30.03R    9.70  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth            8   20  +10       7.67    97.64     8.00    78.50    10.33    19.38    11.99    25.91    69.93    35.97P    0.18R    0.01  
Peterborough          8   19  +11       5.72    92.42     7.42    82.19    10.58    27.93    21.76    40.08    80.66    50.59P    0.10R    0.00  
Barnsley              8   15  +10      -0.07    48.07     3.87    82.71    10.79    33.34    24.59    43.39    81.78    56.44P    0.09R    0.00  
Sunderland            8   15   +7       0.58    54.74     1.73    83.30    10.84    31.68    26.23    45.39    82.75    57.43P    0.07R    0.00  
Doncaster             8   15   +7       3.41    80.60     6.06    70.50    10.23    12.06     2.87     7.90    40.10    15.26P    1.36R    0.09  
Walsall               8   15   +2       4.40    86.62     2.55    65.36    10.23    -0.67     0.99     3.12    21.86     6.76P    4.69R    0.41  
Charlton              8   14   +3       2.09    70.31     1.64    71.95    10.23    11.61     3.80    10.13    45.51    18.95P    1.00R    0.05  
Fleetwood_Town        8   13   +7       1.08    60.50     5.63    69.53    10.34    13.53     2.59     7.26    37.26    14.61P    1.82R    0.17  
Blackpool             8   13   +3       1.14    61.51     1.61    65.15    10.16     3.40     0.97     3.06    21.69     7.11P    4.51R    0.36  
Accrington_Stanley    8   11   +0       1.28    63.69     1.78    56.75    10.63    -9.50     0.20     0.67     6.84     1.83P   20.71R    3.98  
Luton                 8   11   +0       0.52    56.14     0.78    63.53    11.02     0.56     0.94     2.82    19.66     6.72P    8.07R    1.08  
Coventry              8   11   -1       1.48    66.01     0.86    54.73    10.05   -11.85     0.05     0.27     4.08     0.93P   25.48R    4.80  
Rochdale              8   11   -3       0.99    60.74    -1.37    61.43    10.42    -5.89     0.42     1.45    13.26     3.80P   10.25R    1.43  
Burton_Albion         8   10   -1      -1.26    38.58    -1.44    61.76    10.75    -1.32     0.70     1.99    14.95     4.98P    9.80R    1.36  
Scunthorpe            8   10   -6      -1.45    36.10    -6.57    66.25    10.56    -0.06     1.24     3.93    25.54     9.17P    4.44R    0.49  
AFC_Wimbledon         8    8   -5      -0.77    43.89    -1.90    52.58     9.84   -15.08     0.03     0.12     2.26     0.48P   32.58R    7.20  
Shrewsbury            8    7   -1      -4.24    13.73    -1.56    61.36    10.05     2.62     0.37     1.29    12.69     4.13P    8.83R    1.05  
Southend              8    7   -4      -3.44    19.43    -3.18    57.08    10.30    -7.28     0.12     0.50     6.62     1.77P   18.94R    3.20  
Wycombe               8    7   -4      -1.70    34.51    -0.65    45.92    10.08   -24.36     0.00     0.02     0.70     0.15P   59.04R   22.41  
Gillingham            8    7   -5      -2.65    25.34    -2.91    53.45    10.10   -13.57     0.05     0.16     3.24     0.76P   29.68R    6.35  
Bradford              8    6   -7      -3.75    16.55    -5.33    54.30    10.11   -12.58     0.05     0.26     3.67     0.96P   26.73R    5.54  
Bristol_Rovers        8    5   -4      -5.17     8.95    -2.75    51.50    10.11   -12.62     0.02     0.12     2.14     0.52P   35.86R    8.78  
Oxford_Utd            8    5   -9      -4.46    12.14    -6.48    51.84    10.29   -17.57     0.02     0.13     2.39     0.58P   36.02R    9.29  
Plymouth              8    3  -10      -6.44     3.49    -7.79    45.73     9.72   -23.78     0.00     0.02     0.42     0.09P   59.74R   21.95  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, Carlisle 0 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      8   19  +10       5.74    92.92     6.57    79.30    10.22    22.26    15.86    41.90    75.03    50.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter            8   16   +7       3.05    77.69     3.99    78.35    10.26    22.49    13.83    38.53    72.11    47.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County    8   16   -4       6.38    94.91    -2.02    62.68    10.01   -11.98     0.62     3.42    16.11     5.50P    1.26R    0.27  
Colchester        8   15  +12       1.54    64.60     8.31    77.55    10.24    27.61    13.10    36.48    70.41    45.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Yeovil            7   14  +12       4.08    86.54    11.53    71.12    10.53    17.48     4.64    16.80    46.08    23.22P    0.16R    0.02  
Oldham            8   14   +6      -0.45    44.92     0.83    77.48    10.78    22.92    13.47    36.49    68.69    46.69P    0.03R    0.00  
Bury              8   13   +4      -0.03    49.45     0.86    74.57    11.01    18.39     8.84    26.90    58.17    35.66P    0.08R    0.01  
Tranmere          8   13   +3       3.07    78.47     4.41    63.04    10.57     0.31     0.97     4.68    18.86     7.51P    1.44R    0.34  
MK_Dons           7   13   +3       1.40    64.21     0.04    79.51    10.76    22.10    17.58    42.83    74.43    52.65P    0.03R    0.01  
Crawley_Town      8   13   +1       2.93    77.64     2.40    62.37    10.15    -3.16     0.57     3.35    16.38     5.85P    1.45R    0.30  
Carlisle          8   13   -1       1.60    65.98    -1.65    67.69    10.32     2.99     2.20     9.40    31.93    14.46P    0.38R    0.06  
Forest_Green      8   12   +5       2.38    73.42     7.11    60.19    10.16    -1.19     0.37     2.22    12.12     4.02P    2.35R    0.55  
Stevenage         8   12   +1      -0.09    49.49    -0.63    62.10    10.19    -1.99     0.66     3.48    16.02     6.14P    1.40R    0.34  
Swindon           8   12   -1      -0.14    48.95    -2.78    67.93    10.46     4.53     2.19    10.13    33.28    15.53P    0.42R    0.06  
Mansfield         7   10   +3      -1.01    39.41     0.93    70.46    10.38    13.47     3.69    14.79    43.08    22.33P    0.22R    0.04  
Port_Vale         8   10   +1      -0.80    42.56     1.17    60.49    10.02    -1.07     0.37     2.34    12.43     4.56P    2.06R    0.48  
Crewe             7    8   +1      -1.51    34.89     1.15    58.68    10.61    -3.62     0.37     2.10    10.78     3.90P    3.54R    0.86  
Cheltenham        8    8   -2      -2.48    27.30    -1.30    55.03    10.11    -9.66     0.11     0.77     5.17     1.60P    6.42R    1.77  
Cambridge_Utd     8    7   -8      -2.80    24.04    -6.33    55.14    10.04   -13.75     0.08     0.62     4.80     1.44P    6.61R    1.94  
Northampton       8    6   -5      -5.26     9.07    -5.40    58.89    10.98    -4.00     0.44     2.49    11.56     4.79P    4.01R    1.20  
Grimsby           8    5  -10      -3.07    20.73    -5.71    44.55     9.52   -28.55     0.00     0.03     0.33     0.07P   32.61R   12.68  
Morecambe         8    3  -14      -4.39    10.29    -8.64    41.73     9.35   -33.47     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   44.64R   20.23  
Macclesfield      8    2  -10      -4.76     7.72    -3.25    34.63     9.45   -40.70     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.01P   74.04R   52.72  
Notts_County      8    2  -14      -7.59     1.69   -11.61    49.99    10.40   -21.41     0.03     0.23     2.05     0.62P   16.79R    6.11  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Aldershot 3 2 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Harrogate_Town     10   22  +12       7.50    95.06    10.68    74.73    10.83    17.22    14.13    49.70    21.77P    0.91R    0.02  
Wrexham            10   21  +10       5.31    89.18     7.11    75.68     9.20    18.42    12.30    53.88    22.72P    0.17R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient      10   20   +9       3.91    81.40     5.49    78.11     9.65    22.33    19.95    63.93    31.68P    0.12R    0.01  
Hartlepool         10   19   +4       3.88    80.86     1.84    68.53     9.38     5.06     3.07    25.08     7.89P    1.86R    0.04  
Halifax            10   18   +7       4.83    86.88     7.46    64.43     9.39     3.64     1.47    14.05     3.86P    4.72R    0.14  
Salford_City       10   18   +5       5.23    87.72     6.36    64.34    10.41     1.00     2.06    16.25     4.88P    6.83R    0.36  
AFC_Fylde          10   17   +7       0.78    56.73     3.15    73.89     9.62    18.51     9.91    47.10    19.89P    0.49R    0.01  
Gateshead          10   17   +3       2.38    70.66     1.53    70.11     9.58     9.00     4.67    31.27    10.81P    1.50R    0.04  
Barnet             10   17   -1       0.34    52.70    -5.36    76.77     9.81    14.42    15.72    57.05    28.70P    0.28R    0.01  
Sutton_United       9   16   +3       2.77    74.66     1.64    69.77     9.74     8.06     4.55    29.95    10.38P    1.68R    0.05  
Solihull_Moors     10   16   -3       4.56    85.66     0.24    59.15     9.26   -11.58     0.22     4.84     0.93P   14.10R    0.93  
Boreham_Wood        9   15   +0       1.68    66.10    -1.64    67.26     9.52     3.26     2.46    21.10     6.78P    2.67R    0.06  
Ebbsfleet_United   10   14   +2       0.67    56.84     2.34    67.16     9.52     8.15     2.42    21.33     6.87P    2.89R    0.08  
Maidenhead         10   11   -2      -1.85    34.42    -0.71    55.51     9.48    -9.43     0.12     2.63     0.66P   24.42R    1.98  
Barrow             10   11   -2      -2.38    29.69    -1.66    54.77     9.32    -9.64     0.11     2.10     0.48P   26.19R    1.99  
Bromley            10   10   +1      -4.38    16.05    -0.19    62.85     9.75     6.28     0.99    12.17     3.76P    7.23R    0.36  
Chesterfield       10   10   -1      -6.03     8.54    -4.55    69.35    10.03    14.06     4.92    30.56    13.37P    2.18R    0.07  
Aldershot          10   10   -8      -3.23    23.43    -7.54    59.78     9.45    -6.86     0.35     5.93     1.56P   12.80R    0.76  
Eastleigh          10   10   -8      -1.29    39.47    -4.40    54.07     9.42   -15.60     0.07     1.70     0.37P   29.94R    3.01  
Havant_&_Wville    10    9   -8      -0.73    45.51    -1.17    43.08     9.81   -33.70     0.01     0.19     0.03P   73.97R   22.92  
Dag_&_Red          10    8   -4      -6.81     5.55    -5.79    58.34     9.66    -2.32     0.33     5.06     1.48P   15.94R    1.06  
Maidstone_United   10    7   -7      -3.82    18.48    -2.91    46.79     9.15   -20.78     0.01     0.22     0.05P   60.22R   11.25  
Dover_Athletic     10    6  -10      -7.07     4.30    -9.19    57.38     9.63    -6.70     0.18     3.89     1.11P   18.83R    1.49  
Braintree_Town     10    3   -9      -6.39     4.37    -2.71    36.18     9.55   -32.81     0.00     0.01     0.00P   90.07R   53.37