Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 15 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, Bournemouth 4 2 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           5   15  +10       4.29    94.17     3.61    78.07     8.88    39.10    11.26    30.65    52.69    72.66    95.90     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         5   15   +9       4.86    96.11     3.31    82.27     8.74    46.69    22.40    50.90    71.85    85.75    98.41     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          5   13  +11       0.81    62.54     0.40    88.27     7.95    66.11    55.17    79.00    90.70    96.46    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Watford           5   12   +5       5.94    97.31     6.36    51.23     8.98    -7.63     0.01     0.08     0.30     1.11     9.26     2.34R    0.21  
Bournemouth       5   10   +3       3.28    86.44     3.58    50.14     9.08    -8.26     0.00     0.07     0.27     0.92     7.84     3.17R    0.32  
Tottenham         5    9   +4      -0.41    42.60    -0.41    76.25     8.69    40.50     7.39    23.37    45.25    67.27    94.41     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           5    9   +1       0.85    59.81    -1.12    69.26     9.24    25.83     1.64     7.26    17.74    34.27    79.03     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd           5    9   +0      -0.26    44.83    -3.54    70.50     8.84    24.97     2.10     8.45    20.26    38.21    83.73     0.00R    0.00  
Everton           4    6   +1      -0.51    41.57    -0.51    50.02     9.41    -5.37     0.01     0.08     0.35     1.12     8.75     3.58R    0.37  
Leicester         5    6   -1      -0.06    49.37     0.52    51.60     9.32    -3.01     0.01     0.10     0.38     1.37    11.00     2.56R    0.27  
Crystal_Palace    5    6   -2      -0.42    45.15    -1.19    44.20     8.76   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     2.14    10.03R    1.47  
Wolverhampton     4    5   -1       1.01    67.05     1.73    43.14     9.44   -16.24     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.22     2.39    14.48R    2.64  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.37    32.53     0.14    45.07     8.99    -9.87     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.25     2.79     8.79R    1.31  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.10    54.89     0.68    41.07     8.74   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.99    18.26R    3.31  
Fulham            5    4   -5      -0.58    44.48     0.45    38.43     9.45   -26.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.82    29.86R    8.05  
Cardiff           5    2   -6      -2.54    18.95    -1.96    32.27     8.64   -32.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    55.55R   20.27  
Huddersfield      5    2   -9      -1.65    27.62    -2.78    27.21     7.59   -43.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.79R   44.13  
Newcastle         5    1   -4      -3.62     8.74    -0.07    43.33     8.88    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.75    11.97R    1.92  
Burnley           4    1   -6      -3.67     7.59    -4.93    38.85     8.71   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.50    25.22R    5.64  
West_Ham          4    0   -8      -3.77     4.08    -4.30    36.74     9.08   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36    35.40R   10.07  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, Blackburn 1 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     7   15  +10       4.95    90.96     9.21    75.68    10.68    20.85    10.27    20.74    56.64    28.71P    0.25R    0.01  
Brentford        7   14   +8       2.58    76.12     5.14    76.22    10.59    21.37    11.31    22.27    58.88    31.39P    0.19R    0.02  
Bristol_City     7   14   +6       3.23    80.96     4.19    71.48    10.61    11.94     5.09    11.23    40.37    17.59P    0.68R    0.09  
Middlesbrough    7   14   +6       2.56    76.11     3.30    81.29    10.11    26.45    21.70    38.36    76.60    49.81P    0.04R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        7   12   +3       2.26    72.84     2.80    68.74    10.62     7.76     2.91     7.17    30.80    12.03P    1.40R    0.21  
Swansea          7   12   +2       0.39    53.95    -0.91    74.19    10.86    15.15     8.62    17.52    50.59    26.81P    0.40R    0.04  
Derby            7   12   +1       0.48    54.63    -1.85    72.69    10.41    12.03     6.06    13.19    44.44    21.01P    0.44R    0.05  
West_Brom        7   11   +6      -1.64    32.25     1.19    79.17    11.01    28.65    18.87    33.05    68.84    44.40P    0.14R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        7   11   +0       0.92    60.47    -0.65    65.65    10.46     1.71     1.56     4.14    21.10     7.67P    2.42R    0.45  
Bolton           7   11   -1       3.38    83.71     2.17    49.24     9.54   -24.78     0.01     0.05     0.79     0.13P   34.06R   10.71  
Wigan            7   10   +1      -0.62    43.56    -0.59    69.16    10.93     9.69     3.81     8.48    32.82    14.62P    1.44R    0.21  
Aston_Villa      7   10   +0      -0.87    40.91    -1.89    71.85    10.46    12.80     5.20    11.41    41.74    19.36P    0.54R    0.07  
Blackburn        7   10   -1       0.49    55.89    -0.82    61.94    11.04    -3.33     0.96     2.55    14.00     5.12P    6.35R    1.34  
Rotherham        7    9   -5       2.25    74.96    -0.09    47.19    10.27   -30.52     0.02     0.08     0.83     0.19P   43.53R   18.06  
Nott'm_Forest    7    8   +0      -0.06    51.23     2.47    57.05    10.36    -6.95     0.20     0.67     5.69     1.59P   12.23R    2.91  
Norwich          7    8   -2      -1.06    40.20    -1.10    59.82    10.71    -5.32     0.48     1.38     9.89     3.01P    8.28R    1.75  
Hull             7    7   -3      -2.65    24.35    -2.92    58.80    10.57    -6.51     0.37     1.08     8.09     2.49P    9.63R    2.16  
QPR              7    7   -9      -0.56    45.40    -5.62    49.12    10.05   -28.01     0.02     0.07     0.99     0.19P   35.91R   12.48  
Millwall         7    6   -2      -2.86    22.05    -1.07    57.63    10.23    -4.57     0.19     0.63     5.97     1.70P   10.49R    2.34  
Stoke            7    6   -4      -3.55    17.15    -3.90    66.04    11.14     6.04     2.16     5.29    23.96    10.25P    3.18R    0.65  
Birmingham       7    5   -2      -2.49    24.55     0.93    45.07     9.59   -21.68     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.06P   49.93R   21.08  
Reading          7    5   -3      -3.02    20.40    -0.47    49.42    10.17   -17.93     0.02     0.07     1.20     0.27P   33.27R   11.60  
Preston          7    5   -5      -4.88     8.34    -5.44    55.75    10.29    -8.96     0.16     0.48     4.28     1.32P   14.35R    3.52  
Ipswich          7    3   -6      -5.35     5.82    -4.09    49.92    10.09   -15.87     0.02     0.08     1.18     0.28P   30.84R   10.23  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth            8   20  +10       7.77    97.91     8.13    78.13    10.30    18.90    11.59    25.00    68.89    34.99P    0.21R    0.01  
Peterborough          8   19  +11       5.69    92.26     7.41    82.15    10.64    27.87    22.03    40.32    80.64    50.69P    0.09R    0.00  
Barnsley              8   15  +10      -0.02    48.74     3.94    82.51    10.83    32.99    24.46    43.03    81.48    55.84P    0.11R    0.00  
Sunderland            8   15   +7       0.63    55.43     1.82    83.17    10.81    31.48    26.25    45.44    82.76    57.67P    0.09R    0.00  
Doncaster             8   15   +7       3.39    80.35     6.02    70.72    10.21    12.40     3.17     8.48    41.31    16.07P    1.34R    0.07  
Walsall               8   15   +2       4.41    86.68     2.57    65.21    10.22    -0.87     0.98     3.05    21.79     6.58P    4.74R    0.43  
Charlton              8   14   +3       2.19    71.27     1.76    71.46    10.25    10.94     3.56     9.56    43.58    17.80P    1.17R    0.07  
Fleetwood_Town        8   13   +7       1.05    60.45     5.59    69.77    10.35    13.86     2.79     7.96    38.29    15.34P    1.75R    0.15  
Blackpool             8   13   +3       1.18    61.99     1.67    65.12    10.04     3.35     0.86     2.87    21.77     7.11P    4.45R    0.35  
Accrington_Stanley    8   11   +0       1.28    63.65     1.80    56.72    10.58    -9.58     0.20     0.71     6.79     1.90P   20.84R    3.91  
Luton                 8   11   +0       0.42    55.07     0.64    63.82    10.91     1.01     1.00     2.93    19.91     6.87P    7.56R    0.94  
Coventry              8   11   -1       1.35    64.59     0.70    55.21    10.12   -11.23     0.09     0.36     4.63     1.18P   23.97R    4.41  
Rochdale              8   11   -3       0.99    60.84    -1.39    61.34    10.38    -5.99     0.41     1.48    12.97     3.82P   10.47R    1.41  
Burton_Albion         8   10   -1      -1.24    38.30    -1.42    61.62    10.70    -1.52     0.61     1.93    14.48     4.79P   10.25R    1.44  
Scunthorpe            8   10   -6      -1.47    36.09    -6.61    66.37    10.70     0.13     1.35     4.24    26.30     9.40P    4.64R    0.54  
AFC_Wimbledon         8    8   -5      -0.73    44.17    -1.84    52.48     9.72   -15.31     0.01     0.09     2.14     0.46P   33.08R    7.18  
Shrewsbury            8    7   -1      -4.24    13.74    -1.56    61.28    10.01     2.54     0.36     1.28    12.56     4.25P    8.95R    1.17  
Southend              8    7   -4      -3.42    19.77    -3.17    56.95    10.25    -7.47     0.13     0.53     6.38     1.86P   19.09R    3.31  
Wycombe               8    7   -4      -1.77    33.81    -0.79    46.21    10.29   -23.89     0.01     0.05     0.84     0.20P   58.21R   22.18  
Gillingham            8    7   -5      -2.68    24.93    -2.96    53.63    10.20   -13.37     0.03     0.18     3.44     0.86P   29.41R    6.56  
Bradford              8    6   -7      -3.76    16.71    -5.34    54.27    10.15   -12.59     0.05     0.22     3.66     1.02P   27.35R    5.75  
Bristol_Rovers        8    5   -4      -5.12     9.25    -2.67    51.29    10.09   -12.93     0.03     0.11     2.01     0.54P   36.96R    8.96  
Oxford_Utd            8    5   -9      -4.52    11.87    -6.54    52.17    10.40   -17.01     0.03     0.14     2.81     0.63P   35.38R    8.73  
Plymouth              8    3  -10      -6.41     3.69    -7.75    45.75     9.91   -23.69     0.01     0.02     0.54     0.12P   59.90R   22.42  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, Carlisle 0 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      8   19  +10       5.73    92.89     6.57    79.25    10.16    22.21    15.67    41.52    75.01    49.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter            8   16   +7       3.05    77.58     3.95    78.52    10.42    22.73    14.48    39.26    72.36    48.12P    0.02R    0.01  
Newport_County    8   16   -4       6.34    94.95    -2.02    62.81    10.00   -11.77     0.61     3.47    16.26     5.66P    1.20R    0.27  
Colchester        8   15  +12       1.59    65.13     8.37    77.41    10.24    27.38    12.85    36.12    70.05    45.47P    0.01R    0.01  
Yeovil            7   14  +12       4.13    86.73    11.60    71.03    10.55    17.37     4.64    16.82    45.92    23.11P    0.18R    0.02  
Oldham            8   14   +6      -0.45    44.72     0.82    77.37    10.81    22.77    13.36    35.90    68.37    45.87P    0.03R    0.00  
Bury              8   13   +4       0.01    49.88     0.91    74.40    10.98    18.11     8.54    26.33    57.81    35.02P    0.12R    0.02  
Tranmere          8   13   +3       3.05    77.96     4.42    62.98    10.61     0.22     0.88     4.75    19.10     7.68P    1.35R    0.33  
MK_Dons           7   13   +3       1.39    64.33     0.02    79.51    10.88    22.25    17.66    43.09    73.96    52.53P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town      8   13   +1       2.92    77.68     2.38    62.50    10.13    -3.02     0.64     3.59    16.32     6.08P    1.28R    0.27  
Carlisle          8   13   -1       1.58    65.50    -1.68    67.81    10.32     3.12     2.12     9.55    32.41    14.69P    0.38R    0.09  
Forest_Green      8   12   +5       2.37    73.22     7.11    60.25    10.13    -1.00     0.35     2.29    12.17     4.09P    2.29R    0.59  
Stevenage         8   12   +1      -0.05    49.67    -0.60    62.06    10.17    -2.09     0.57     3.42    15.90     6.15P    1.40R    0.32  
Swindon           8   12   -1      -0.15    48.47    -2.82    68.10    10.52     4.75     2.36    10.40    34.02    16.03P    0.41R    0.07  
Mansfield         7   10   +3      -1.03    38.97     0.89    70.64    10.43    13.75     3.96    15.28    43.96    22.92P    0.20R    0.03  
Port_Vale         8   10   +1      -0.85    42.11     1.11    60.64     9.97    -0.84     0.38     2.29    12.69     4.50P    2.09R    0.44  
Crewe             7    8   +1      -1.49    34.93     1.20    58.61    10.63    -3.86     0.32     2.01    10.57     3.80P    3.70R    0.92  
Cheltenham        8    8   -2      -2.47    27.24    -1.29    54.82    10.02    -9.98     0.09     0.66     4.56     1.44P    6.68R    1.79  
Cambridge_Utd     8    7   -8      -2.80    24.13    -6.31    55.03     9.98   -13.93     0.09     0.61     4.63     1.42P    6.79R    2.09  
Northampton       8    6   -5      -5.24     9.19    -5.39    58.91    10.93    -4.03     0.41     2.42    11.59     4.83P    3.90R    1.16  
Grimsby           8    5  -10      -3.05    20.83    -5.71    44.50     9.55   -28.62     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.07P   32.87R   12.68  
Morecambe         8    3  -14      -4.40    10.20    -8.64    41.71     9.38   -33.47     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.03P   44.95R   20.54  
Macclesfield      8    2  -10      -4.78     7.67    -3.26    34.68     9.49   -40.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   73.72R   52.39  
Notts_County      8    2  -14      -7.58     1.73   -11.63    49.98    10.29   -21.36     0.02     0.19     1.86     0.60P   16.39R    5.97  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Aldershot 3 2 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Harrogate_Town     10   22  +12       7.40    94.89    10.52    75.09    10.69    17.74    14.60    51.12    22.39P    0.75R    0.02  
Wrexham            10   21  +10       5.29    88.91     7.10    75.68     9.15    18.45    12.21    54.25    22.92P    0.20R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      10   20   +9       3.91    81.56     5.50    78.09     9.53    22.36    19.75    63.74    31.65P    0.10R    0.00  
Hartlepool         10   19   +4       3.93    80.97     1.91    68.53     9.35     5.05     3.38    24.81     7.91P    1.77R    0.03  
Halifax            10   18   +7       4.85    87.03     7.45    64.60     9.33     3.86     1.35    14.14     3.76P    4.44R    0.14  
Salford_City       10   18   +5       5.21    87.58     6.32    64.45    10.43     1.23     2.05    16.46     4.98P    6.66R    0.40  
AFC_Fylde          10   17   +7       0.74    56.41     3.09    74.14     9.63    18.85    10.53    47.90    20.81P    0.48R    0.00  
Gateshead          10   17   +3       2.36    70.65     1.53    70.03     9.52     8.89     4.53    30.93    10.68P    1.34R    0.04  
Barnet             10   17   -1       0.47    54.14    -5.20    76.33     9.81    13.76    14.72    55.47    27.32P    0.30R    0.01  
Sutton_United       9   16   +3       2.77    74.58     1.62    69.84     9.80     8.14     4.61    30.52    10.43P    1.58R    0.06  
Solihull_Moors     10   16   -3       4.58    85.85     0.30    59.04     9.37   -11.73     0.31     4.99     0.99P   14.62R    0.86  
Boreham_Wood        9   15   +0       1.73    66.82    -1.55    67.13     9.50     3.07     2.32    20.65     6.56P    2.93R    0.07  
Ebbsfleet_United   10   14   +2       0.64    56.67     2.32    67.20     9.53     8.21     2.54    21.55     6.93P    2.83R    0.07  
Maidenhead         10   11   -2      -1.91    33.94    -0.81    55.55     9.45    -9.36     0.12     2.63     0.63P   24.27R    1.94  
Barrow             10   11   -2      -2.40    29.30    -1.74    55.04     9.34    -9.25     0.10     2.30     0.54P   25.07R    1.94  
Bromley            10   10   +1      -4.34    16.31    -0.13    62.59     9.73     5.89     0.96    11.41     3.56P    7.73R    0.36  
Chesterfield       10   10   -1      -6.08     8.44    -4.60    69.36    10.07    14.16     4.98    30.73    13.42P    2.19R    0.07  
Aldershot          10   10   -8      -3.19    23.39    -7.48    59.56     9.40    -7.12     0.36     5.58     1.54P   13.20R    0.72  
Eastleigh          10   10   -8      -1.24    39.92    -4.32    53.86     9.41   -15.94     0.06     1.60     0.31P   30.91R    3.34  
Havant_&_Wville    10    9   -8      -0.77    45.16    -1.25    43.33     9.90   -33.38     0.00     0.19     0.03P   72.86R   22.40  
Dag_&_Red          10    8   -4      -6.80     5.54    -5.77    58.12     9.69    -2.62     0.34     4.98     1.55P   16.57R    1.09  
Maidstone_United   10    7   -7      -3.80    18.58    -2.88    46.82     9.09   -20.73     0.00     0.20     0.03P   59.99R   11.38  
Dover_Athletic     10    6  -10      -7.04     4.28    -9.15    57.26     9.65    -6.86     0.18     3.84     1.04P   19.13R    1.57  
Braintree_Town     10    3   -9      -6.42     4.32    -2.77    36.25     9.45   -32.66     0.00     0.01     0.00P   90.08R   53.47