Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 15 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, Bournemouth 4 2 Leicester; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 5 15 +10 4.29 94.17 3.61 78.07 8.88 39.10 11.26 30.65 52.69 72.66 95.90 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 5 15 +9 4.86 96.11 3.31 82.27 8.74 46.69 22.40 50.90 71.85 85.75 98.41 0.00 0.00 Man_City 5 13 +11 0.81 62.54 0.40 88.27 7.95 66.11 55.17 79.00 90.70 96.46 99.83 0.00 0.00 Watford 5 12 +5 5.94 97.31 6.36 51.23 8.98 -7.63 0.01 0.08 0.30 1.11 9.26 2.34R 0.21 Bournemouth 5 10 +3 3.28 86.44 3.58 50.14 9.08 -8.26 0.00 0.07 0.27 0.92 7.84 3.17R 0.32 Tottenham 5 9 +4 -0.41 42.60 -0.41 76.25 8.69 40.50 7.39 23.37 45.25 67.27 94.41 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 5 9 +1 0.85 59.81 -1.12 69.26 9.24 25.83 1.64 7.26 17.74 34.27 79.03 0.01R 0.00 Man_Utd 5 9 +0 -0.26 44.83 -3.54 70.50 8.84 24.97 2.10 8.45 20.26 38.21 83.73 0.00R 0.00 Everton 4 6 +1 -0.51 41.57 -0.51 50.02 9.41 -5.37 0.01 0.08 0.35 1.12 8.75 3.58R 0.37 Leicester 5 6 -1 -0.06 49.37 0.52 51.60 9.32 -3.01 0.01 0.10 0.38 1.37 11.00 2.56R 0.27 Crystal_Palace 5 6 -2 -0.42 45.15 -1.19 44.20 8.76 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.15 2.14 10.03R 1.47 Wolverhampton 4 5 -1 1.01 67.05 1.73 43.14 9.44 -16.24 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.22 2.39 14.48R 2.64 Southampton 4 4 +0 -1.37 32.53 0.14 45.07 8.99 -9.87 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.25 2.79 8.79R 1.31 Brighton 4 4 -2 0.10 54.89 0.68 41.07 8.74 -18.20 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.99 18.26R 3.31 Fulham 5 4 -5 -0.58 44.48 0.45 38.43 9.45 -26.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.82 29.86R 8.05 Cardiff 5 2 -6 -2.54 18.95 -1.96 32.27 8.64 -32.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 55.55R 20.27 Huddersfield 5 2 -9 -1.65 27.62 -2.78 27.21 7.59 -43.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.79R 44.13 Newcastle 5 1 -4 -3.62 8.74 -0.07 43.33 8.88 -9.16 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.11 1.75 11.97R 1.92 Burnley 4 1 -6 -3.67 7.59 -4.93 38.85 8.71 -20.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.50 25.22R 5.64 West_Ham 4 0 -8 -3.77 4.08 -4.30 36.74 9.08 -27.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36 35.40R 10.07Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, Blackburn 1 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 7 15 +10 4.95 90.96 9.21 75.68 10.68 20.85 10.27 20.74 56.64 28.71P 0.25R 0.01 Brentford 7 14 +8 2.58 76.12 5.14 76.22 10.59 21.37 11.31 22.27 58.88 31.39P 0.19R 0.02 Bristol_City 7 14 +6 3.23 80.96 4.19 71.48 10.61 11.94 5.09 11.23 40.37 17.59P 0.68R 0.09 Middlesbrough 7 14 +6 2.56 76.11 3.30 81.29 10.11 26.45 21.70 38.36 76.60 49.81P 0.04R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 7 12 +3 2.26 72.84 2.80 68.74 10.62 7.76 2.91 7.17 30.80 12.03P 1.40R 0.21 Swansea 7 12 +2 0.39 53.95 -0.91 74.19 10.86 15.15 8.62 17.52 50.59 26.81P 0.40R 0.04 Derby 7 12 +1 0.48 54.63 -1.85 72.69 10.41 12.03 6.06 13.19 44.44 21.01P 0.44R 0.05 West_Brom 7 11 +6 -1.64 32.25 1.19 79.17 11.01 28.65 18.87 33.05 68.84 44.40P 0.14R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 7 11 +0 0.92 60.47 -0.65 65.65 10.46 1.71 1.56 4.14 21.10 7.67P 2.42R 0.45 Bolton 7 11 -1 3.38 83.71 2.17 49.24 9.54 -24.78 0.01 0.05 0.79 0.13P 34.06R 10.71 Wigan 7 10 +1 -0.62 43.56 -0.59 69.16 10.93 9.69 3.81 8.48 32.82 14.62P 1.44R 0.21 Aston_Villa 7 10 +0 -0.87 40.91 -1.89 71.85 10.46 12.80 5.20 11.41 41.74 19.36P 0.54R 0.07 Blackburn 7 10 -1 0.49 55.89 -0.82 61.94 11.04 -3.33 0.96 2.55 14.00 5.12P 6.35R 1.34 Rotherham 7 9 -5 2.25 74.96 -0.09 47.19 10.27 -30.52 0.02 0.08 0.83 0.19P 43.53R 18.06 Nott'm_Forest 7 8 +0 -0.06 51.23 2.47 57.05 10.36 -6.95 0.20 0.67 5.69 1.59P 12.23R 2.91 Norwich 7 8 -2 -1.06 40.20 -1.10 59.82 10.71 -5.32 0.48 1.38 9.89 3.01P 8.28R 1.75 Hull 7 7 -3 -2.65 24.35 -2.92 58.80 10.57 -6.51 0.37 1.08 8.09 2.49P 9.63R 2.16 QPR 7 7 -9 -0.56 45.40 -5.62 49.12 10.05 -28.01 0.02 0.07 0.99 0.19P 35.91R 12.48 Millwall 7 6 -2 -2.86 22.05 -1.07 57.63 10.23 -4.57 0.19 0.63 5.97 1.70P 10.49R 2.34 Stoke 7 6 -4 -3.55 17.15 -3.90 66.04 11.14 6.04 2.16 5.29 23.96 10.25P 3.18R 0.65 Birmingham 7 5 -2 -2.49 24.55 0.93 45.07 9.59 -21.68 0.00 0.01 0.31 0.06P 49.93R 21.08 Reading 7 5 -3 -3.02 20.40 -0.47 49.42 10.17 -17.93 0.02 0.07 1.20 0.27P 33.27R 11.60 Preston 7 5 -5 -4.88 8.34 -5.44 55.75 10.29 -8.96 0.16 0.48 4.28 1.32P 14.35R 3.52 Ipswich 7 3 -6 -5.35 5.82 -4.09 49.92 10.09 -15.87 0.02 0.08 1.18 0.28P 30.84R 10.23League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 8 20 +10 7.77 97.91 8.13 78.13 10.30 18.90 11.59 25.00 68.89 34.99P 0.21R 0.01 Peterborough 8 19 +11 5.69 92.26 7.41 82.15 10.64 27.87 22.03 40.32 80.64 50.69P 0.09R 0.00 Barnsley 8 15 +10 -0.02 48.74 3.94 82.51 10.83 32.99 24.46 43.03 81.48 55.84P 0.11R 0.00 Sunderland 8 15 +7 0.63 55.43 1.82 83.17 10.81 31.48 26.25 45.44 82.76 57.67P 0.09R 0.00 Doncaster 8 15 +7 3.39 80.35 6.02 70.72 10.21 12.40 3.17 8.48 41.31 16.07P 1.34R 0.07 Walsall 8 15 +2 4.41 86.68 2.57 65.21 10.22 -0.87 0.98 3.05 21.79 6.58P 4.74R 0.43 Charlton 8 14 +3 2.19 71.27 1.76 71.46 10.25 10.94 3.56 9.56 43.58 17.80P 1.17R 0.07 Fleetwood_Town 8 13 +7 1.05 60.45 5.59 69.77 10.35 13.86 2.79 7.96 38.29 15.34P 1.75R 0.15 Blackpool 8 13 +3 1.18 61.99 1.67 65.12 10.04 3.35 0.86 2.87 21.77 7.11P 4.45R 0.35 Accrington_Stanley 8 11 +0 1.28 63.65 1.80 56.72 10.58 -9.58 0.20 0.71 6.79 1.90P 20.84R 3.91 Luton 8 11 +0 0.42 55.07 0.64 63.82 10.91 1.01 1.00 2.93 19.91 6.87P 7.56R 0.94 Coventry 8 11 -1 1.35 64.59 0.70 55.21 10.12 -11.23 0.09 0.36 4.63 1.18P 23.97R 4.41 Rochdale 8 11 -3 0.99 60.84 -1.39 61.34 10.38 -5.99 0.41 1.48 12.97 3.82P 10.47R 1.41 Burton_Albion 8 10 -1 -1.24 38.30 -1.42 61.62 10.70 -1.52 0.61 1.93 14.48 4.79P 10.25R 1.44 Scunthorpe 8 10 -6 -1.47 36.09 -6.61 66.37 10.70 0.13 1.35 4.24 26.30 9.40P 4.64R 0.54 AFC_Wimbledon 8 8 -5 -0.73 44.17 -1.84 52.48 9.72 -15.31 0.01 0.09 2.14 0.46P 33.08R 7.18 Shrewsbury 8 7 -1 -4.24 13.74 -1.56 61.28 10.01 2.54 0.36 1.28 12.56 4.25P 8.95R 1.17 Southend 8 7 -4 -3.42 19.77 -3.17 56.95 10.25 -7.47 0.13 0.53 6.38 1.86P 19.09R 3.31 Wycombe 8 7 -4 -1.77 33.81 -0.79 46.21 10.29 -23.89 0.01 0.05 0.84 0.20P 58.21R 22.18 Gillingham 8 7 -5 -2.68 24.93 -2.96 53.63 10.20 -13.37 0.03 0.18 3.44 0.86P 29.41R 6.56 Bradford 8 6 -7 -3.76 16.71 -5.34 54.27 10.15 -12.59 0.05 0.22 3.66 1.02P 27.35R 5.75 Bristol_Rovers 8 5 -4 -5.12 9.25 -2.67 51.29 10.09 -12.93 0.03 0.11 2.01 0.54P 36.96R 8.96 Oxford_Utd 8 5 -9 -4.52 11.87 -6.54 52.17 10.40 -17.01 0.03 0.14 2.81 0.63P 35.38R 8.73 Plymouth 8 3 -10 -6.41 3.69 -7.75 45.75 9.91 -23.69 0.01 0.02 0.54 0.12P 59.90R 22.42League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2018, Carlisle 0 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 8 19 +10 5.73 92.89 6.57 79.25 10.16 22.21 15.67 41.52 75.01 49.91P 0.01R 0.00 Exeter 8 16 +7 3.05 77.58 3.95 78.52 10.42 22.73 14.48 39.26 72.36 48.12P 0.02R 0.01 Newport_County 8 16 -4 6.34 94.95 -2.02 62.81 10.00 -11.77 0.61 3.47 16.26 5.66P 1.20R 0.27 Colchester 8 15 +12 1.59 65.13 8.37 77.41 10.24 27.38 12.85 36.12 70.05 45.47P 0.01R 0.01 Yeovil 7 14 +12 4.13 86.73 11.60 71.03 10.55 17.37 4.64 16.82 45.92 23.11P 0.18R 0.02 Oldham 8 14 +6 -0.45 44.72 0.82 77.37 10.81 22.77 13.36 35.90 68.37 45.87P 0.03R 0.00 Bury 8 13 +4 0.01 49.88 0.91 74.40 10.98 18.11 8.54 26.33 57.81 35.02P 0.12R 0.02 Tranmere 8 13 +3 3.05 77.96 4.42 62.98 10.61 0.22 0.88 4.75 19.10 7.68P 1.35R 0.33 MK_Dons 7 13 +3 1.39 64.33 0.02 79.51 10.88 22.25 17.66 43.09 73.96 52.53P 0.02R 0.00 Crawley_Town 8 13 +1 2.92 77.68 2.38 62.50 10.13 -3.02 0.64 3.59 16.32 6.08P 1.28R 0.27 Carlisle 8 13 -1 1.58 65.50 -1.68 67.81 10.32 3.12 2.12 9.55 32.41 14.69P 0.38R 0.09 Forest_Green 8 12 +5 2.37 73.22 7.11 60.25 10.13 -1.00 0.35 2.29 12.17 4.09P 2.29R 0.59 Stevenage 8 12 +1 -0.05 49.67 -0.60 62.06 10.17 -2.09 0.57 3.42 15.90 6.15P 1.40R 0.32 Swindon 8 12 -1 -0.15 48.47 -2.82 68.10 10.52 4.75 2.36 10.40 34.02 16.03P 0.41R 0.07 Mansfield 7 10 +3 -1.03 38.97 0.89 70.64 10.43 13.75 3.96 15.28 43.96 22.92P 0.20R 0.03 Port_Vale 8 10 +1 -0.85 42.11 1.11 60.64 9.97 -0.84 0.38 2.29 12.69 4.50P 2.09R 0.44 Crewe 7 8 +1 -1.49 34.93 1.20 58.61 10.63 -3.86 0.32 2.01 10.57 3.80P 3.70R 0.92 Cheltenham 8 8 -2 -2.47 27.24 -1.29 54.82 10.02 -9.98 0.09 0.66 4.56 1.44P 6.68R 1.79 Cambridge_Utd 8 7 -8 -2.80 24.13 -6.31 55.03 9.98 -13.93 0.09 0.61 4.63 1.42P 6.79R 2.09 Northampton 8 6 -5 -5.24 9.19 -5.39 58.91 10.93 -4.03 0.41 2.42 11.59 4.83P 3.90R 1.16 Grimsby 8 5 -10 -3.05 20.83 -5.71 44.50 9.55 -28.62 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.07P 32.87R 12.68 Morecambe 8 3 -14 -4.40 10.20 -8.64 41.71 9.38 -33.47 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.03P 44.95R 20.54 Macclesfield 8 2 -10 -4.78 7.67 -3.26 34.68 9.49 -40.67 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 73.72R 52.39 Notts_County 8 2 -14 -7.58 1.73 -11.63 49.98 10.29 -21.36 0.02 0.19 1.86 0.60P 16.39R 5.97National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Aldershot 3 2 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Harrogate_Town 10 22 +12 7.40 94.89 10.52 75.09 10.69 17.74 14.60 51.12 22.39P 0.75R 0.02 Wrexham 10 21 +10 5.29 88.91 7.10 75.68 9.15 18.45 12.21 54.25 22.92P 0.20R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 10 20 +9 3.91 81.56 5.50 78.09 9.53 22.36 19.75 63.74 31.65P 0.10R 0.00 Hartlepool 10 19 +4 3.93 80.97 1.91 68.53 9.35 5.05 3.38 24.81 7.91P 1.77R 0.03 Halifax 10 18 +7 4.85 87.03 7.45 64.60 9.33 3.86 1.35 14.14 3.76P 4.44R 0.14 Salford_City 10 18 +5 5.21 87.58 6.32 64.45 10.43 1.23 2.05 16.46 4.98P 6.66R 0.40 AFC_Fylde 10 17 +7 0.74 56.41 3.09 74.14 9.63 18.85 10.53 47.90 20.81P 0.48R 0.00 Gateshead 10 17 +3 2.36 70.65 1.53 70.03 9.52 8.89 4.53 30.93 10.68P 1.34R 0.04 Barnet 10 17 -1 0.47 54.14 -5.20 76.33 9.81 13.76 14.72 55.47 27.32P 0.30R 0.01 Sutton_United 9 16 +3 2.77 74.58 1.62 69.84 9.80 8.14 4.61 30.52 10.43P 1.58R 0.06 Solihull_Moors 10 16 -3 4.58 85.85 0.30 59.04 9.37 -11.73 0.31 4.99 0.99P 14.62R 0.86 Boreham_Wood 9 15 +0 1.73 66.82 -1.55 67.13 9.50 3.07 2.32 20.65 6.56P 2.93R 0.07 Ebbsfleet_United 10 14 +2 0.64 56.67 2.32 67.20 9.53 8.21 2.54 21.55 6.93P 2.83R 0.07 Maidenhead 10 11 -2 -1.91 33.94 -0.81 55.55 9.45 -9.36 0.12 2.63 0.63P 24.27R 1.94 Barrow 10 11 -2 -2.40 29.30 -1.74 55.04 9.34 -9.25 0.10 2.30 0.54P 25.07R 1.94 Bromley 10 10 +1 -4.34 16.31 -0.13 62.59 9.73 5.89 0.96 11.41 3.56P 7.73R 0.36 Chesterfield 10 10 -1 -6.08 8.44 -4.60 69.36 10.07 14.16 4.98 30.73 13.42P 2.19R 0.07 Aldershot 10 10 -8 -3.19 23.39 -7.48 59.56 9.40 -7.12 0.36 5.58 1.54P 13.20R 0.72 Eastleigh 10 10 -8 -1.24 39.92 -4.32 53.86 9.41 -15.94 0.06 1.60 0.31P 30.91R 3.34 Havant_&_Wville 10 9 -8 -0.77 45.16 -1.25 43.33 9.90 -33.38 0.00 0.19 0.03P 72.86R 22.40 Dag_&_Red 10 8 -4 -6.80 5.54 -5.77 58.12 9.69 -2.62 0.34 4.98 1.55P 16.57R 1.09 Maidstone_United 10 7 -7 -3.80 18.58 -2.88 46.82 9.09 -20.73 0.00 0.20 0.03P 59.99R 11.38 Dover_Athletic 10 6 -10 -7.04 4.28 -9.15 57.26 9.65 -6.86 0.18 3.84 1.04P 19.13R 1.57 Braintree_Town 10 3 -9 -6.42 4.32 -2.77 36.25 9.45 -32.66 0.00 0.01 0.00P 90.08R 53.47