Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 14 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Burnley 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +8       3.17    89.37     2.25    79.65     9.07    43.58    16.67    41.68    63.28    79.95    97.02     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           4   12   +7       3.81    92.81     2.64    76.80     9.13    36.31    10.04    28.38    49.81    70.36    94.39     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           4   12   +6       6.80    99.32     6.58    52.19     9.23    -7.07     0.02     0.16     0.61     1.84    12.67     2.16R    0.26  
Man_City          4   10   +8       0.51    58.66     0.41    87.99     8.10    66.48    56.96    79.81    91.03    96.69    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         4    9   +5       1.06    62.74     0.68    78.32     8.86    42.59    12.80    34.79    57.81    76.88    96.16     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       4    7   +1       1.91    77.55     1.93    47.17     9.32   -12.25     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.61     5.62     6.91R    1.04  
Everton           4    6   +1      -0.52    41.51    -0.56    49.85     9.38    -5.65     0.01     0.09     0.36     1.21     8.80     3.89R    0.49  
Leicester         4    6   +1       1.15    66.35     2.17    53.82     9.57     0.74     0.04     0.29     1.07     3.07    17.48     1.73R    0.23  
Arsenal           4    6   +0      -0.35    43.06    -1.41    67.74     9.54    24.91     1.55     6.66    16.20    31.40    74.04     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd           4    6   -1      -1.27    30.58    -3.64    69.50     9.04    24.85     1.91     8.08    19.43    36.98    80.92     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     4    5   -1       1.04    68.01     1.75    42.98     9.24   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.22     2.18    14.98R    3.17  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.32    32.94     0.20    45.00     8.92    -9.86     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.26     2.97     9.18R    1.55  
Fulham            4    4   -2      -0.37    47.44     0.48    38.54     9.61   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     1.05    30.65R    9.45  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.10    55.07     0.65    40.88     8.67   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.01    19.09R    4.02  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -3      -1.71    26.39    -1.68    42.42     9.00   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.72    15.53R    3.24  
Cardiff           4    2   -3      -2.30    20.13    -1.13    33.80     8.81   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19    49.07R   17.74  
Huddersfield      4    2   -8      -0.63    42.33    -2.26    28.73     7.87   -41.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    73.86R   39.37  
Newcastle         4    1   -3      -2.57    15.29     0.37    44.63     9.07    -8.24     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.17     3.02    10.31R    1.91  
Burnley           4    1   -6      -3.71     7.39    -5.01    39.04     8.70   -19.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.67    25.37R    5.97  
West_Ham          4    0   -8      -3.84     3.82    -4.43    36.51     9.02   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.33    37.23R   11.58  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 September 2018, Birmingham 1 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     6   14  +10       5.28    94.40     9.14    76.33    10.90    21.31     9.59    19.75    55.60    27.54P    0.18R    0.03  
Middlesbrough    6   14   +7       3.97    88.66     4.33    84.06    10.41    29.72    26.69    44.53    81.34    55.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   12   +4       3.30    82.63     3.27    70.44    11.03     9.20     3.67     8.59    34.36    13.98P    0.96R    0.14  
Derby            6   12   +2       2.06    71.60    -0.56    75.95    10.79    15.99     8.71    18.16    54.02    27.20P    0.18R    0.03  
West_Brom        7   11   +6      -1.71    31.57     1.11    79.19    11.14    28.84    15.74    29.38    66.24    41.15P    0.11R    0.00  
Brentford        6   11   +6       1.36    65.97     3.72    73.64    11.01    17.92     6.60    14.15    46.36    21.76P    0.38R    0.03  
Bristol_City     6   11   +5       1.90    71.35     3.66    69.97    11.06    11.03     3.41     8.42    33.59    13.88P    0.97R    0.14  
Swansea          6   11   +2       1.24    64.04    -0.23    75.81    11.30    17.16     9.50    18.99    53.51    28.58P    0.27R    0.02  
Bolton           6   11   +0       4.76    93.21     3.19    51.20     9.94   -23.07     0.03     0.09     1.26     0.24P   24.55R    6.50  
Wigan            6   10   +3       0.14    51.43     0.43    71.97    11.55    13.74     5.66    12.03    40.11    19.25P    0.79R    0.08  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +0       1.41    66.43    -0.48    65.99    10.84     1.64     1.47     3.90    20.83     7.45P    2.21R    0.30  
Aston_Villa      6    9   +0      -0.51    43.91    -1.93    72.35    10.70    13.07     4.67    10.87    41.08    18.63P    0.43R    0.04  
Blackburn        6    9   -1       0.74    58.81    -0.96    62.28    11.37    -3.52     0.96     2.45    14.06     4.86P    5.39R    0.97  
Nott'm_Forest    6    7   +0      -0.15    49.70     1.88    56.20    10.56    -9.16     0.12     0.42     4.51     1.11P   12.38R    2.68  
Rotherham        6    6   -6       0.44    57.14    -1.21    43.78    10.57   -35.30     0.01     0.03     0.40     0.08P   53.38R   24.64  
Millwall         6    5   -2      -2.49    23.52    -1.04    58.14    10.56    -4.52     0.22     0.67     6.38     1.85P    8.90R    1.77  
Birmingham       7    5   -2      -2.39    25.42     1.13    44.68     9.55   -22.40     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   47.66R   17.71  
Norwich          6    5   -3      -2.68    22.60    -2.02    57.07    10.95    -8.37     0.21     0.66     5.79     1.72P   11.69R    2.75  
Stoke            6    5   -4      -3.35    16.98    -4.17    66.80    11.58     6.62     2.25     5.31    24.89    10.33P    2.71R    0.45  
Preston          6    5   -4      -3.30    16.23    -4.13    58.84    10.54    -5.31     0.25     0.78     7.11     2.22P    7.76R    1.54  
Hull             6    4   -5      -3.79    13.52    -4.14    56.79    10.89    -9.31     0.19     0.62     5.40     1.59P   12.24R    2.83  
QPR              6    4  -10      -2.12    27.12    -6.46    46.59    10.25   -30.68     0.01     0.03     0.50     0.08P   42.14R   15.36  
Ipswich          6    3   -4      -4.46     8.09    -2.81    51.72    10.48   -13.45     0.03     0.12     1.95     0.47P   23.03R    6.28  
Reading          6    2   -4      -4.83     6.00    -1.74    46.37    10.38   -21.16     0.01     0.03     0.50     0.12P   41.67R   15.71  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 September 2018, Oxford_Utd 1 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          7   19  +12       6.96    97.49     8.20    84.21    10.92    30.02    22.14    43.57    85.21    54.54P    0.06R    0.00  
Portsmouth            7   17   +9       6.07    95.23     7.01    75.50    10.57    16.38     5.84    15.60    60.32    26.09P    0.46R    0.02  
Barnsley              7   15  +11       1.61    65.41     5.21    86.76    11.05    38.82    31.82    54.68    89.70    66.87P    0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland            7   15   +8       2.07    69.81     2.90    86.58    11.09    35.68    30.72    53.49    89.35    65.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Walsall               7   15   +5       5.29    92.14     4.85    68.97    10.61     5.73     1.74     5.63    35.56    11.89P    2.32R    0.17  
Fleetwood_Town        7   12   +7       1.76    68.18     6.09    70.15    10.53    13.86     2.23     6.83    41.08    15.05P    1.75R    0.17  
Doncaster             7   12   +4       2.19    72.65     3.64    66.76    10.38     6.12     1.10     3.63    28.25     9.13P    3.43R    0.31  
Charlton              7   11   +1       0.96    61.22     0.34    69.26    10.45     8.06     1.59     5.37    36.95    12.81P    2.12R    0.17  
Blackpool             7   10   +2      -0.22    48.16     1.02    63.28    10.36     1.98     0.53     1.81    18.44     5.59P    6.74R    0.75  
Accrington_Stanley    7   10   +0       1.42    65.54     1.48    56.45    10.84   -10.66     0.14     0.59     7.37     1.97P   22.13R    4.49  
Luton                 7    8   -1      -0.91    41.87     0.12    61.58    11.32    -1.09     0.47     1.72    16.51     5.01P   11.56R    1.92  
Coventry              7    8   -2      -0.54    45.79    -0.67    51.57    10.30   -15.48     0.03     0.13     2.68     0.62P   36.74R    9.29  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    8   -4       0.33    55.66    -1.29    54.33     9.94   -13.50     0.03     0.15     3.82     0.78P   26.58R    5.31  
Rochdale              7    8   -6      -0.17    50.19    -3.63    58.20    10.69   -11.47     0.17     0.69     8.92     2.30P   17.53R    3.26  
Gillingham            7    7   -2      -1.65    33.52    -0.47    56.92    10.53    -7.49     0.08     0.44     7.39     1.86P   19.77R    3.77  
Southend              7    7   -2      -2.36    27.03    -1.59    59.14    10.63    -4.31     0.18     0.83    10.69     2.97P   14.58R    2.49  
Burton_Albion         7    7   -2      -3.00    21.66    -2.62    58.14    11.02    -5.34     0.26     0.97     9.92     3.06P   17.54R    3.33  
Scunthorpe            7    7   -7      -2.70    23.80    -7.00    64.61    10.77    -1.02     0.61     2.39    22.35     7.24P    6.64R    0.84  
Wycombe               7    6   -4      -1.52    35.34    -0.89    45.83    10.48   -25.83     0.01     0.03     0.85     0.19P   59.41R   23.96  
Bradford              7    6   -5      -2.89    21.76    -4.01    56.97    10.37    -8.67     0.10     0.47     7.02     1.84P   19.11R    3.43  
Bristol_Rovers        7    5   -3      -4.10    13.35    -2.18    53.46    10.41   -11.04     0.02     0.14     3.91     0.85P   29.89R    6.85  
Shrewsbury            7    4   -3      -5.64     5.37    -3.20    58.50    10.32    -1.09     0.16     0.62     9.13     2.72P   14.80R    2.41  
Oxford_Utd            7    4   -9      -3.95    13.38    -6.19    52.67    10.69   -17.16     0.03     0.17     3.57     0.90P   33.71R    9.03  
Plymouth              7    3   -9      -5.35     5.75    -7.11    47.41    10.10   -22.49     0.00     0.03     1.00     0.23P   53.10R   18.04  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Bury 4 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      7   16   +9       4.75    90.33     6.52    77.92    10.34    21.65    14.84    39.10    71.96    47.59P    0.02R    0.01  
Newport_County    7   16   +2       6.95    97.34     2.73    68.15    10.23     0.38     2.58    10.75    33.97    15.02P    0.44R    0.07  
Exeter            7   13   +6       1.59    66.27     3.28    76.27    10.63    20.89    12.02    34.33    66.30    43.07P    0.09R    0.02  
Carlisle          7   13   +1       3.01    79.27     0.36    71.32    10.48     8.31     5.10    18.06    47.12    24.86P    0.27R    0.05  
Colchester        7   12   +9       0.70    57.38     6.42    75.07    10.41    23.38    10.20    30.31    62.78    39.18P    0.05R    0.01  
MK_Dons           6   12   +3       2.23    73.96     0.70    80.72    11.08    23.55    23.26    50.26    78.35    58.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon           7   12   +0       1.16    62.11    -1.93    69.95    10.66     6.62     4.13    15.79    42.04    21.98P    0.39R    0.08  
Yeovil            6   11   +6       3.17    82.97     6.59    65.00    10.51     4.88     1.62     7.25    25.68    11.00P    1.02R    0.24  
Forest_Green      7   11   +5       2.19    73.19     6.30    59.09    10.25    -3.48     0.39     2.30    11.07     3.92P    3.71R    0.95  
Oldham            7   11   +3      -1.19    37.01    -0.90    73.66    11.00    16.72     8.48    26.38    56.60    35.39P    0.19R    0.04  
Stevenage         7   11   +1       0.13    51.88    -0.89    62.28    10.30    -2.16     0.81     4.18    17.69     7.04P    1.85R    0.44  
Mansfield         6   10   +4       0.32    53.32     1.89    72.65    10.53    15.72     6.70    22.22    52.95    30.69P    0.17R    0.02  
Bury              7   10   +3      -1.57    33.39    -0.02    71.63    11.27    15.37     6.66    21.49    49.40    29.50P    0.34R    0.07  
Tranmere          7   10   +1       1.50    66.78     2.58    59.02    10.69    -5.26     0.55     2.56    11.79     4.57P    4.67R    1.42  
Crawley_Town      7   10   -1       1.85    70.39     1.20    60.17    10.24    -6.16     0.42     2.50    12.66     4.33P    3.22R    0.81  
Crewe             6    7   +1      -1.03    38.55     1.35    58.97    10.85    -4.00     0.51     2.63    12.34     4.59P    4.71R    1.39  
Port_Vale         7    7   -1      -2.07    29.02    -0.28    57.94    10.11    -4.38     0.27     1.56     8.97     3.10P    4.59R    1.28  
Cheltenham        7    7   -2      -1.99    30.08    -1.11    55.76    10.29    -9.29     0.18     1.16     6.53     2.24P    7.32R    2.05  
Cambridge_Utd     7    7   -5      -2.24    27.50    -4.53    57.75    10.16    -8.86     0.21     1.54     8.65     3.07P    4.95R    1.53  
Northampton       7    6   -3      -4.37    11.95    -4.10    62.14    11.16     0.88     1.05     5.20    19.47     8.94P    2.98R    0.91  
Grimsby           7    5   -7      -2.42    24.96    -3.81    47.05     9.80   -23.70     0.00     0.07     0.88     0.23P   27.03R   10.41  
Morecambe         7    3  -12      -3.68    13.44    -7.65    43.61     9.54   -30.65     0.00     0.03     0.28     0.10P   41.20R   18.58  
Macclesfield      7    2   -9      -3.95    10.69    -3.12    35.98     9.72   -39.51     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   72.37R   52.37  
Notts_County      7    1  -14      -7.15     1.33   -11.59    50.54    10.55   -20.89     0.04     0.32     2.46     0.82P   18.38R    7.24  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Aldershot 3 2 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Harrogate_Town     10   22  +12       7.42    94.83    10.57    74.99    10.71    17.62    14.50    50.96    22.30P    0.73R    0.02  
Wrexham            10   21  +10       5.38    89.52     7.20    75.52     9.12    18.21    11.95    53.30    22.57P    0.16R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      10   20   +9       3.95    81.63     5.53    77.93     9.59    22.06    19.44    63.53    31.24P    0.13R    0.00  
Hartlepool         10   19   +4       3.89    80.67     1.88    68.65     9.40     5.16     3.51    25.29     8.19P    1.74R    0.03  
Halifax            10   18   +7       4.77    86.71     7.35    64.53     9.39     3.81     1.39    14.10     3.80P    4.72R    0.14  
Salford_City       10   18   +5       5.35    88.31     6.53    64.06    10.37     0.69     1.92    15.35     4.52P    7.36R    0.38  
AFC_Fylde          10   17   +7       0.76    56.65     3.11    73.99     9.68    18.61    10.40    47.49    20.28P    0.53R    0.01  
Gateshead          10   17   +3       2.36    70.47     1.51    70.01     9.50     8.85     4.36    30.58    10.51P    1.48R    0.03  
Barnet             10   17   -1       0.37    53.28    -5.34    76.73     9.79    14.33    15.41    57.23    28.57P    0.30R    0.01  
Sutton_United       9   16   +3       2.73    74.16     1.59    69.96     9.79     8.32     4.94    30.85    10.82P    1.62R    0.05  
Solihull_Moors     10   16   -3       4.60    86.03     0.29    58.97     9.27   -11.79     0.29     4.80     1.04P   14.43R    0.92  
Boreham_Wood        9   15   +0       1.73    66.64    -1.56    67.15     9.51     3.09     2.44    20.75     6.71P    2.79R    0.08  
Ebbsfleet_United   10   14   +2       0.67    56.88     2.32    67.32     9.51     8.39     2.49    22.10     7.05P    2.61R    0.08  
Maidenhead         10   11   -2      -1.82    34.51    -0.69    55.51     9.51    -9.43     0.14     2.56     0.60P   24.43R    2.01  
Barrow             10   11   -2      -2.36    29.51    -1.66    54.81     9.30    -9.65     0.10     2.14     0.51P   26.38R    1.96  
Bromley            10   10   +1      -4.34    16.50    -0.13    62.69     9.76     6.05     1.06    11.74     3.68P    7.60R    0.42  
Chesterfield       10   10   -1      -6.08     8.37    -4.59    69.27    10.03    14.01     4.69    30.24    12.97P    2.23R    0.09  
Aldershot          10   10   -8      -3.21    23.46    -7.50    59.71     9.44    -6.93     0.38     5.81     1.61P   12.92R    0.82  
Eastleigh          10   10   -8      -1.35    38.95    -4.48    54.16     9.47   -15.49     0.06     1.74     0.37P   29.95R    3.21  
Havant_&_Wville    10    9   -8      -0.75    45.21    -1.22    43.27     9.85   -33.43     0.00     0.19     0.03P   73.15R   22.57  
Dag_&_Red          10    8   -4      -6.81     5.42    -5.77    58.28     9.65    -2.34     0.31     5.21     1.58P   15.79R    1.05  
Maidstone_United   10    7   -7      -3.85    18.02    -2.96    46.78     9.14   -20.82     0.01     0.28     0.06P   60.15R   11.83  
Dover_Athletic     10    6  -10      -7.06     4.42    -9.16    57.28     9.60    -6.85     0.20     3.72     1.01P   19.15R    1.54  
Braintree_Town     10    3   -9      -6.46     4.29    -2.81    36.43     9.49   -32.49     0.00     0.03     0.01P   89.66R   52.73