Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 13 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Burnley 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 4 12 +8 3.21 89.69 2.29 79.67 8.95 43.81 16.23 40.88 63.19 80.47 97.15 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 4 12 +7 3.77 92.69 2.62 76.69 9.06 36.19 9.56 27.56 48.89 70.02 94.30 0.00R 0.00 Watford 4 12 +6 6.81 99.36 6.60 52.16 9.23 -7.06 0.01 0.13 0.62 1.81 12.58 2.24R 0.23 Man_City 4 10 +8 0.49 58.50 0.38 88.01 8.04 66.62 56.95 80.01 91.30 96.74 99.76 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 4 9 +5 1.04 62.72 0.65 78.60 8.89 43.07 13.59 36.28 59.15 77.77 96.47 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 4 7 +1 1.91 77.65 1.92 47.05 9.14 -12.41 0.00 0.02 0.13 0.56 5.04 6.63R 1.04 Everton 4 6 +1 -0.55 40.85 -0.59 49.96 9.45 -5.40 0.03 0.10 0.44 1.34 9.44 3.84R 0.48 Leicester 4 6 +1 1.14 66.00 2.14 54.06 9.60 1.16 0.03 0.24 1.02 3.11 18.02 1.80R 0.25 Arsenal 4 6 +0 -0.30 43.91 -1.33 67.30 9.56 24.10 1.41 6.27 15.01 29.34 72.58 0.05R 0.00 Man_Utd 4 6 -1 -1.28 30.54 -3.64 69.64 9.03 25.16 2.19 8.49 20.02 37.83 81.26 0.01R 0.00 Wolverhampton 4 5 -1 1.04 67.90 1.76 43.16 9.38 -16.08 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.23 2.46 14.84R 3.11 Southampton 4 4 +0 -1.31 33.25 0.23 44.95 8.83 -9.92 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.23 2.85 8.96R 1.52 Fulham 4 4 -2 -0.36 47.55 0.47 38.37 9.56 -28.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.08 1.03 31.04R 9.55 Brighton 4 4 -2 0.08 54.98 0.65 40.89 8.72 -18.45 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 1.07 19.29R 3.97 Crystal_Palace 4 3 -3 -1.71 26.34 -1.69 42.42 8.98 -16.37 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.14 1.68 15.64R 3.09 Cardiff 4 2 -3 -2.29 20.43 -1.14 33.79 8.87 -28.63 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.18 49.20R 17.62 Huddersfield 4 2 -8 -0.60 42.90 -2.19 28.56 7.93 -42.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 74.09R 39.91 Newcastle 4 1 -3 -2.59 14.93 0.34 44.79 9.01 -8.01 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.20 3.03 9.65R 1.65 Burnley 4 1 -6 -3.70 7.58 -4.99 39.12 8.72 -19.93 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.69 25.32R 6.01 West_Ham 4 0 -8 -3.85 3.72 -4.47 36.53 9.03 -27.78 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.38 37.40R 11.58Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Bristol_City 4 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 6 14 +10 5.30 94.57 9.19 76.15 10.91 21.06 8.98 18.55 55.38 26.53P 0.18R 0.01 Middlesbrough 6 14 +7 3.95 88.70 4.31 84.13 10.41 29.80 26.17 44.20 81.34 55.38P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 6 12 +4 3.25 82.51 3.20 70.78 11.00 9.77 3.71 8.89 35.43 14.22P 0.79R 0.07 Derby 6 12 +2 2.05 71.55 -0.61 75.90 10.78 15.98 8.54 17.89 53.44 27.09P 0.18R 0.02 Brentford 6 11 +6 1.39 66.47 3.77 73.40 10.96 17.56 6.15 13.41 45.30 21.23P 0.37R 0.06 Bristol_City 6 11 +5 1.94 71.88 3.72 69.75 11.09 10.69 3.28 7.73 32.49 13.01P 1.04R 0.15 Swansea 6 11 +2 1.25 64.07 -0.22 75.94 11.28 17.31 9.04 18.78 53.43 28.41P 0.27R 0.03 Bolton 6 11 +0 4.76 92.88 3.19 51.27 9.96 -22.95 0.04 0.11 1.38 0.28P 24.19R 6.10 West_Brom 6 10 +6 -0.89 38.77 1.70 80.55 11.33 30.32 18.91 33.54 69.76 44.91P 0.10R 0.01 Wigan 6 10 +3 0.16 51.51 0.49 71.80 11.40 13.52 5.15 11.35 39.54 18.53P 0.77R 0.09 Sheff_Wed 6 10 +0 1.34 65.75 -0.57 66.17 10.78 1.89 1.55 4.02 20.84 7.64P 2.05R 0.32 Aston_Villa 6 9 +0 -0.55 43.46 -1.99 72.47 10.72 13.28 4.58 10.80 41.35 18.58P 0.51R 0.06 Blackburn 6 9 -1 0.76 58.99 -0.94 62.21 11.38 -3.71 0.83 2.35 13.51 4.78P 5.58R 1.14 Nott'm_Forest 6 7 +0 -0.15 49.72 1.88 56.03 10.63 -9.48 0.13 0.46 4.39 1.21P 12.92R 2.83 Rotherham 6 6 -6 0.44 57.28 -1.26 44.08 10.68 -34.85 0.01 0.04 0.45 0.12P 52.22R 23.73 Millwall 6 5 -2 -2.51 23.40 -1.05 58.31 10.52 -4.25 0.20 0.68 6.55 1.93P 8.53R 1.65 Norwich 6 5 -3 -2.68 22.66 -2.00 57.16 10.95 -8.17 0.20 0.65 6.01 1.70P 11.45R 2.41 Stoke 6 5 -4 -3.34 17.30 -4.15 66.63 11.57 6.33 2.05 5.07 24.01 10.06P 2.67R 0.51 Preston 6 5 -4 -3.31 15.99 -4.11 58.83 10.53 -5.34 0.25 0.78 7.00 2.13P 7.82R 1.58 Birmingham 6 4 -2 -2.54 21.70 0.42 44.34 9.82 -23.63 0.00 0.01 0.25 0.04P 49.41R 19.12 Hull 6 4 -5 -3.73 13.73 -4.07 56.54 10.85 -9.77 0.17 0.52 5.18 1.50P 12.62R 2.97 QPR 6 4 -10 -2.07 27.56 -6.37 46.43 10.29 -30.99 0.01 0.03 0.52 0.10P 42.42R 15.89 Ipswich 6 3 -4 -4.48 8.16 -2.84 51.93 10.46 -13.07 0.04 0.13 1.94 0.51P 22.25R 5.88 Reading 6 2 -4 -4.81 6.11 -1.70 46.24 10.22 -21.30 0.00 0.02 0.50 0.11P 41.65R 15.36League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 September 2018, Oxford_Utd 1 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Peterborough 7 19 +12 6.93 97.49 8.17 84.49 10.94 30.37 23.47 45.05 85.68 55.67P 0.07R 0.00 Portsmouth 7 17 +9 6.08 95.44 7.04 75.40 10.45 16.28 5.67 15.22 59.92 25.41P 0.40R 0.03 Barnsley 7 15 +11 1.68 65.93 5.31 86.46 11.08 38.25 31.09 53.42 89.28 65.79P 0.03R 0.00 Sunderland 7 15 +8 2.16 70.63 3.04 86.11 11.10 34.99 29.83 52.19 88.39 64.54P 0.04R 0.00 Walsall 7 15 +5 5.32 92.45 4.89 68.60 10.55 5.24 1.55 5.14 34.37 11.02P 2.63R 0.26 Fleetwood_Town 7 12 +7 1.70 67.59 6.00 70.50 10.62 14.39 2.45 7.61 42.18 16.00P 1.65R 0.13 Doncaster 7 12 +4 2.23 72.82 3.69 66.88 10.41 6.29 1.03 3.63 28.80 9.20P 3.46R 0.29 Charlton 7 11 +1 0.90 60.29 0.29 69.32 10.44 8.19 1.77 5.87 36.89 13.44P 2.09R 0.18 Blackpool 7 10 +2 -0.24 47.70 0.99 63.15 10.43 1.77 0.52 1.91 18.20 5.59P 7.07R 0.80 Accrington_Stanley 7 10 +0 1.43 65.69 1.46 56.56 10.81 -10.54 0.17 0.57 7.23 1.93P 21.56R 4.35 Luton 7 8 -1 -1.03 40.28 -0.04 62.09 11.38 -0.36 0.57 1.99 17.85 5.62P 10.99R 1.74 Coventry 7 8 -2 -0.50 46.20 -0.60 51.36 10.25 -15.72 0.04 0.13 2.58 0.67P 37.58R 9.55 AFC_Wimbledon 7 8 -4 0.31 55.35 -1.34 54.33 10.00 -13.42 0.02 0.19 3.77 0.83P 26.71R 5.14 Rochdale 7 8 -6 -0.23 49.09 -3.67 58.38 10.65 -11.16 0.17 0.65 9.03 2.26P 16.93R 3.14 Gillingham 7 7 -2 -1.67 32.97 -0.49 56.89 10.48 -7.58 0.09 0.46 7.03 1.75P 19.60R 3.75 Southend 7 7 -2 -2.40 26.55 -1.64 59.47 10.60 -3.82 0.26 0.90 10.93 3.01P 13.71R 2.16 Burton_Albion 7 7 -2 -3.05 21.22 -2.72 58.56 11.03 -4.76 0.28 0.98 10.60 3.23P 16.43R 3.19 Scunthorpe 7 7 -7 -2.70 23.64 -7.02 64.77 10.78 -0.84 0.71 2.59 22.72 7.58P 6.39R 0.79 Wycombe 7 6 -4 -1.51 35.24 -0.85 45.78 10.58 -25.99 0.00 0.04 0.93 0.15P 59.33R 24.47 Bradford 7 6 -5 -2.87 21.78 -3.96 56.67 10.38 -9.12 0.09 0.46 6.66 1.75P 20.01R 3.49 Bristol_Rovers 7 5 -3 -4.07 13.72 -2.14 53.29 10.51 -11.22 0.04 0.21 3.90 0.90P 30.46R 7.01 Shrewsbury 7 4 -3 -5.57 5.63 -3.14 58.43 10.33 -1.25 0.13 0.58 8.88 2.69P 15.06R 2.39 Oxford_Utd 7 4 -9 -3.94 13.51 -6.17 52.52 10.62 -17.31 0.03 0.18 3.34 0.80P 34.38R 8.91 Plymouth 7 3 -9 -5.33 5.82 -7.11 47.30 10.10 -22.68 0.01 0.03 0.88 0.19P 53.42R 18.21League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Bury 4 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 7 16 +9 4.72 90.17 6.48 77.85 10.26 21.65 14.55 39.06 71.57 47.33P 0.03R 0.00 Newport_County 7 16 +2 6.90 97.33 2.67 68.47 10.20 0.87 2.59 11.26 35.40 15.85P 0.38R 0.08 Exeter 7 13 +6 1.58 66.24 3.24 76.48 10.41 21.18 11.95 34.37 67.27 43.34P 0.04R 0.01 Carlisle 7 13 +1 3.00 79.25 0.38 71.39 10.43 8.43 5.26 18.37 46.99 24.94P 0.19R 0.03 Colchester 7 12 +9 0.73 57.38 6.49 74.78 10.33 22.95 9.66 29.51 61.84 38.65P 0.09R 0.03 MK_Dons 6 12 +3 2.29 74.29 0.79 80.69 11.08 23.46 23.19 50.11 78.33 58.75P 0.04R 0.01 Swindon 7 12 +0 1.16 62.26 -1.93 69.84 10.67 6.39 4.20 15.37 41.61 21.59P 0.35R 0.06 Yeovil 6 11 +6 3.18 83.10 6.60 65.07 10.57 4.93 1.73 7.48 25.90 11.06P 1.12R 0.26 Forest_Green 7 11 +5 2.18 73.04 6.28 59.32 10.23 -3.16 0.39 2.29 11.63 3.93P 3.45R 0.95 Oldham 7 11 +3 -1.22 36.77 -0.93 73.56 11.00 16.70 8.74 25.99 56.01 35.02P 0.18R 0.03 Stevenage 7 11 +1 0.19 52.62 -0.79 61.89 10.36 -2.69 0.85 4.01 16.78 6.68P 2.04R 0.47 Mansfield 6 10 +4 0.34 53.74 1.89 72.61 10.53 15.71 6.75 22.20 52.33 30.33P 0.17R 0.02 Bury 7 10 +3 -1.60 32.78 -0.07 71.71 11.39 15.59 6.89 21.87 49.91 29.91P 0.34R 0.09 Tranmere 7 10 +1 1.45 66.27 2.51 59.01 10.72 -5.21 0.44 2.66 11.69 4.48P 4.57R 1.29 Crawley_Town 7 10 -1 1.84 70.11 1.22 60.18 10.35 -6.18 0.49 2.65 12.95 4.59P 3.26R 0.88 Crewe 6 7 +1 -1.09 38.06 1.25 59.22 10.87 -3.64 0.53 2.84 12.78 4.98P 4.36R 1.22 Port_Vale 7 7 -1 -2.07 28.92 -0.29 58.26 10.18 -3.98 0.25 1.86 9.44 3.47P 4.39R 1.24 Cheltenham 7 7 -2 -1.96 30.40 -1.07 55.75 10.28 -9.35 0.16 1.08 6.42 2.32P 7.24R 2.14 Cambridge_Utd 7 7 -5 -2.25 27.43 -4.54 57.72 10.28 -8.93 0.25 1.57 8.74 3.06P 5.17R 1.52 Northampton 7 6 -3 -4.33 12.25 -4.06 61.95 11.12 0.67 1.09 4.99 18.81 8.60P 2.93R 0.88 Grimsby 7 5 -7 -2.46 24.91 -3.85 47.14 9.70 -23.55 0.00 0.07 0.81 0.21P 26.66R 10.12 Morecambe 7 3 -12 -3.67 13.66 -7.59 43.33 9.53 -31.24 0.00 0.02 0.28 0.07P 42.38R 19.14 Macclesfield 7 2 -9 -3.96 10.54 -3.09 36.00 9.68 -39.59 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 72.03R 52.15 Notts_County 7 1 -14 -7.12 1.35 -11.57 50.43 10.51 -20.99 0.05 0.36 2.45 0.82P 18.60R 7.38National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Aldershot 3 2 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Harrogate_Town 10 22 +12 7.42 94.75 10.56 74.90 10.85 17.46 14.40 50.80 22.31P 0.91R 0.02 Wrexham 10 21 +10 5.32 89.18 7.13 75.53 9.18 18.26 11.93 53.51 22.33P 0.19R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 10 20 +9 3.88 81.23 5.44 78.17 9.60 22.42 20.15 63.97 31.96P 0.15R 0.00 Hartlepool 10 19 +4 3.87 80.75 1.85 68.56 9.36 5.08 3.29 24.54 7.78P 1.70R 0.02 Halifax 10 18 +7 4.79 86.73 7.38 64.62 9.35 3.92 1.38 14.10 3.92P 4.42R 0.11 Salford_City 10 18 +5 5.16 87.53 6.26 64.70 10.37 1.61 2.02 16.82 4.94P 6.38R 0.30 AFC_Fylde 10 17 +7 0.71 56.08 3.04 74.17 9.61 18.91 10.42 48.29 20.69P 0.50R 0.01 Gateshead 10 17 +3 2.39 70.96 1.55 70.12 9.51 9.00 4.58 30.61 10.51P 1.34R 0.02 Barnet 10 17 -1 0.37 53.18 -5.33 76.51 9.79 14.05 14.89 56.19 27.61P 0.27R 0.00 Sutton_United 9 16 +3 2.77 74.59 1.64 69.95 9.80 8.33 4.75 30.99 10.85P 1.72R 0.05 Solihull_Moors 10 16 -3 4.59 85.86 0.30 58.83 9.37 -11.98 0.29 4.81 1.02P 14.99R 0.97 Boreham_Wood 9 15 +0 1.76 66.94 -1.53 67.05 9.49 2.98 2.36 20.13 6.49P 2.83R 0.07 Ebbsfleet_United 10 14 +2 0.61 56.35 2.28 67.30 9.52 8.37 2.45 21.91 7.05P 2.78R 0.09 Maidenhead 10 11 -2 -1.83 34.29 -0.69 55.45 9.63 -9.53 0.15 2.84 0.71P 24.61R 2.16 Barrow 10 11 -2 -2.38 29.63 -1.69 55.08 9.41 -9.30 0.15 2.30 0.56P 25.06R 2.04 Bromley 10 10 +1 -4.34 16.47 -0.14 62.61 9.72 5.96 0.98 11.34 3.40P 7.57R 0.37 Chesterfield 10 10 -1 -6.07 8.64 -4.60 69.37 10.12 14.14 4.88 30.61 13.39P 2.30R 0.06 Aldershot 10 10 -8 -3.13 23.79 -7.43 59.48 9.41 -7.21 0.33 5.42 1.44P 13.16R 0.84 Eastleigh 10 10 -8 -1.27 39.76 -4.37 53.96 9.51 -15.73 0.08 1.66 0.35P 30.67R 3.26 Havant_&_Wville 10 9 -8 -0.74 45.07 -1.18 43.20 9.76 -33.56 0.01 0.20 0.05P 73.56R 22.39 Dag_&_Red 10 8 -4 -6.81 5.51 -5.76 58.19 9.63 -2.47 0.28 4.87 1.43P 15.92R 1.12 Maidstone_United 10 7 -7 -3.78 18.50 -2.85 46.79 9.17 -20.84 0.01 0.24 0.05P 59.99R 11.38 Dover_Athletic 10 6 -10 -7.05 4.34 -9.15 57.26 9.66 -6.90 0.22 3.84 1.13P 19.10R 1.48 Braintree_Town 10 3 -9 -6.39 4.35 -2.70 36.20 9.53 -32.95 0.00 0.01 0.01P 89.91R 53.21