Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 13 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Burnley 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +8       3.21    89.69     2.29    79.67     8.95    43.81    16.23    40.88    63.19    80.47    97.15     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           4   12   +7       3.77    92.69     2.62    76.69     9.06    36.19     9.56    27.56    48.89    70.02    94.30     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           4   12   +6       6.81    99.36     6.60    52.16     9.23    -7.06     0.01     0.13     0.62     1.81    12.58     2.24R    0.23  
Man_City          4   10   +8       0.49    58.50     0.38    88.01     8.04    66.62    56.95    80.01    91.30    96.74    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         4    9   +5       1.04    62.72     0.65    78.60     8.89    43.07    13.59    36.28    59.15    77.77    96.47     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       4    7   +1       1.91    77.65     1.92    47.05     9.14   -12.41     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.56     5.04     6.63R    1.04  
Everton           4    6   +1      -0.55    40.85    -0.59    49.96     9.45    -5.40     0.03     0.10     0.44     1.34     9.44     3.84R    0.48  
Leicester         4    6   +1       1.14    66.00     2.14    54.06     9.60     1.16     0.03     0.24     1.02     3.11    18.02     1.80R    0.25  
Arsenal           4    6   +0      -0.30    43.91    -1.33    67.30     9.56    24.10     1.41     6.27    15.01    29.34    72.58     0.05R    0.00  
Man_Utd           4    6   -1      -1.28    30.54    -3.64    69.64     9.03    25.16     2.19     8.49    20.02    37.83    81.26     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     4    5   -1       1.04    67.90     1.76    43.16     9.38   -16.08     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.23     2.46    14.84R    3.11  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.31    33.25     0.23    44.95     8.83    -9.92     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.23     2.85     8.96R    1.52  
Fulham            4    4   -2      -0.36    47.55     0.47    38.37     9.56   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     1.03    31.04R    9.55  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.08    54.98     0.65    40.89     8.72   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.07    19.29R    3.97  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -3      -1.71    26.34    -1.69    42.42     8.98   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14     1.68    15.64R    3.09  
Cardiff           4    2   -3      -2.29    20.43    -1.14    33.79     8.87   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.18    49.20R   17.62  
Huddersfield      4    2   -8      -0.60    42.90    -2.19    28.56     7.93   -42.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    74.09R   39.91  
Newcastle         4    1   -3      -2.59    14.93     0.34    44.79     9.01    -8.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.20     3.03     9.65R    1.65  
Burnley           4    1   -6      -3.70     7.58    -4.99    39.12     8.72   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.69    25.32R    6.01  
West_Ham          4    0   -8      -3.85     3.72    -4.47    36.53     9.03   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.38    37.40R   11.58  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Bristol_City 4 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     6   14  +10       5.30    94.57     9.19    76.15    10.91    21.06     8.98    18.55    55.38    26.53P    0.18R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    6   14   +7       3.95    88.70     4.31    84.13    10.41    29.80    26.17    44.20    81.34    55.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   12   +4       3.25    82.51     3.20    70.78    11.00     9.77     3.71     8.89    35.43    14.22P    0.79R    0.07  
Derby            6   12   +2       2.05    71.55    -0.61    75.90    10.78    15.98     8.54    17.89    53.44    27.09P    0.18R    0.02  
Brentford        6   11   +6       1.39    66.47     3.77    73.40    10.96    17.56     6.15    13.41    45.30    21.23P    0.37R    0.06  
Bristol_City     6   11   +5       1.94    71.88     3.72    69.75    11.09    10.69     3.28     7.73    32.49    13.01P    1.04R    0.15  
Swansea          6   11   +2       1.25    64.07    -0.22    75.94    11.28    17.31     9.04    18.78    53.43    28.41P    0.27R    0.03  
Bolton           6   11   +0       4.76    92.88     3.19    51.27     9.96   -22.95     0.04     0.11     1.38     0.28P   24.19R    6.10  
West_Brom        6   10   +6      -0.89    38.77     1.70    80.55    11.33    30.32    18.91    33.54    69.76    44.91P    0.10R    0.01  
Wigan            6   10   +3       0.16    51.51     0.49    71.80    11.40    13.52     5.15    11.35    39.54    18.53P    0.77R    0.09  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +0       1.34    65.75    -0.57    66.17    10.78     1.89     1.55     4.02    20.84     7.64P    2.05R    0.32  
Aston_Villa      6    9   +0      -0.55    43.46    -1.99    72.47    10.72    13.28     4.58    10.80    41.35    18.58P    0.51R    0.06  
Blackburn        6    9   -1       0.76    58.99    -0.94    62.21    11.38    -3.71     0.83     2.35    13.51     4.78P    5.58R    1.14  
Nott'm_Forest    6    7   +0      -0.15    49.72     1.88    56.03    10.63    -9.48     0.13     0.46     4.39     1.21P   12.92R    2.83  
Rotherham        6    6   -6       0.44    57.28    -1.26    44.08    10.68   -34.85     0.01     0.04     0.45     0.12P   52.22R   23.73  
Millwall         6    5   -2      -2.51    23.40    -1.05    58.31    10.52    -4.25     0.20     0.68     6.55     1.93P    8.53R    1.65  
Norwich          6    5   -3      -2.68    22.66    -2.00    57.16    10.95    -8.17     0.20     0.65     6.01     1.70P   11.45R    2.41  
Stoke            6    5   -4      -3.34    17.30    -4.15    66.63    11.57     6.33     2.05     5.07    24.01    10.06P    2.67R    0.51  
Preston          6    5   -4      -3.31    15.99    -4.11    58.83    10.53    -5.34     0.25     0.78     7.00     2.13P    7.82R    1.58  
Birmingham       6    4   -2      -2.54    21.70     0.42    44.34     9.82   -23.63     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.04P   49.41R   19.12  
Hull             6    4   -5      -3.73    13.73    -4.07    56.54    10.85    -9.77     0.17     0.52     5.18     1.50P   12.62R    2.97  
QPR              6    4  -10      -2.07    27.56    -6.37    46.43    10.29   -30.99     0.01     0.03     0.52     0.10P   42.42R   15.89  
Ipswich          6    3   -4      -4.48     8.16    -2.84    51.93    10.46   -13.07     0.04     0.13     1.94     0.51P   22.25R    5.88  
Reading          6    2   -4      -4.81     6.11    -1.70    46.24    10.22   -21.30     0.00     0.02     0.50     0.11P   41.65R   15.36  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 September 2018, Oxford_Utd 1 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          7   19  +12       6.93    97.49     8.17    84.49    10.94    30.37    23.47    45.05    85.68    55.67P    0.07R    0.00  
Portsmouth            7   17   +9       6.08    95.44     7.04    75.40    10.45    16.28     5.67    15.22    59.92    25.41P    0.40R    0.03  
Barnsley              7   15  +11       1.68    65.93     5.31    86.46    11.08    38.25    31.09    53.42    89.28    65.79P    0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland            7   15   +8       2.16    70.63     3.04    86.11    11.10    34.99    29.83    52.19    88.39    64.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall               7   15   +5       5.32    92.45     4.89    68.60    10.55     5.24     1.55     5.14    34.37    11.02P    2.63R    0.26  
Fleetwood_Town        7   12   +7       1.70    67.59     6.00    70.50    10.62    14.39     2.45     7.61    42.18    16.00P    1.65R    0.13  
Doncaster             7   12   +4       2.23    72.82     3.69    66.88    10.41     6.29     1.03     3.63    28.80     9.20P    3.46R    0.29  
Charlton              7   11   +1       0.90    60.29     0.29    69.32    10.44     8.19     1.77     5.87    36.89    13.44P    2.09R    0.18  
Blackpool             7   10   +2      -0.24    47.70     0.99    63.15    10.43     1.77     0.52     1.91    18.20     5.59P    7.07R    0.80  
Accrington_Stanley    7   10   +0       1.43    65.69     1.46    56.56    10.81   -10.54     0.17     0.57     7.23     1.93P   21.56R    4.35  
Luton                 7    8   -1      -1.03    40.28    -0.04    62.09    11.38    -0.36     0.57     1.99    17.85     5.62P   10.99R    1.74  
Coventry              7    8   -2      -0.50    46.20    -0.60    51.36    10.25   -15.72     0.04     0.13     2.58     0.67P   37.58R    9.55  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    8   -4       0.31    55.35    -1.34    54.33    10.00   -13.42     0.02     0.19     3.77     0.83P   26.71R    5.14  
Rochdale              7    8   -6      -0.23    49.09    -3.67    58.38    10.65   -11.16     0.17     0.65     9.03     2.26P   16.93R    3.14  
Gillingham            7    7   -2      -1.67    32.97    -0.49    56.89    10.48    -7.58     0.09     0.46     7.03     1.75P   19.60R    3.75  
Southend              7    7   -2      -2.40    26.55    -1.64    59.47    10.60    -3.82     0.26     0.90    10.93     3.01P   13.71R    2.16  
Burton_Albion         7    7   -2      -3.05    21.22    -2.72    58.56    11.03    -4.76     0.28     0.98    10.60     3.23P   16.43R    3.19  
Scunthorpe            7    7   -7      -2.70    23.64    -7.02    64.77    10.78    -0.84     0.71     2.59    22.72     7.58P    6.39R    0.79  
Wycombe               7    6   -4      -1.51    35.24    -0.85    45.78    10.58   -25.99     0.00     0.04     0.93     0.15P   59.33R   24.47  
Bradford              7    6   -5      -2.87    21.78    -3.96    56.67    10.38    -9.12     0.09     0.46     6.66     1.75P   20.01R    3.49  
Bristol_Rovers        7    5   -3      -4.07    13.72    -2.14    53.29    10.51   -11.22     0.04     0.21     3.90     0.90P   30.46R    7.01  
Shrewsbury            7    4   -3      -5.57     5.63    -3.14    58.43    10.33    -1.25     0.13     0.58     8.88     2.69P   15.06R    2.39  
Oxford_Utd            7    4   -9      -3.94    13.51    -6.17    52.52    10.62   -17.31     0.03     0.18     3.34     0.80P   34.38R    8.91  
Plymouth              7    3   -9      -5.33     5.82    -7.11    47.30    10.10   -22.68     0.01     0.03     0.88     0.19P   53.42R   18.21  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Bury 4 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      7   16   +9       4.72    90.17     6.48    77.85    10.26    21.65    14.55    39.06    71.57    47.33P    0.03R    0.00  
Newport_County    7   16   +2       6.90    97.33     2.67    68.47    10.20     0.87     2.59    11.26    35.40    15.85P    0.38R    0.08  
Exeter            7   13   +6       1.58    66.24     3.24    76.48    10.41    21.18    11.95    34.37    67.27    43.34P    0.04R    0.01  
Carlisle          7   13   +1       3.00    79.25     0.38    71.39    10.43     8.43     5.26    18.37    46.99    24.94P    0.19R    0.03  
Colchester        7   12   +9       0.73    57.38     6.49    74.78    10.33    22.95     9.66    29.51    61.84    38.65P    0.09R    0.03  
MK_Dons           6   12   +3       2.29    74.29     0.79    80.69    11.08    23.46    23.19    50.11    78.33    58.75P    0.04R    0.01  
Swindon           7   12   +0       1.16    62.26    -1.93    69.84    10.67     6.39     4.20    15.37    41.61    21.59P    0.35R    0.06  
Yeovil            6   11   +6       3.18    83.10     6.60    65.07    10.57     4.93     1.73     7.48    25.90    11.06P    1.12R    0.26  
Forest_Green      7   11   +5       2.18    73.04     6.28    59.32    10.23    -3.16     0.39     2.29    11.63     3.93P    3.45R    0.95  
Oldham            7   11   +3      -1.22    36.77    -0.93    73.56    11.00    16.70     8.74    25.99    56.01    35.02P    0.18R    0.03  
Stevenage         7   11   +1       0.19    52.62    -0.79    61.89    10.36    -2.69     0.85     4.01    16.78     6.68P    2.04R    0.47  
Mansfield         6   10   +4       0.34    53.74     1.89    72.61    10.53    15.71     6.75    22.20    52.33    30.33P    0.17R    0.02  
Bury              7   10   +3      -1.60    32.78    -0.07    71.71    11.39    15.59     6.89    21.87    49.91    29.91P    0.34R    0.09  
Tranmere          7   10   +1       1.45    66.27     2.51    59.01    10.72    -5.21     0.44     2.66    11.69     4.48P    4.57R    1.29  
Crawley_Town      7   10   -1       1.84    70.11     1.22    60.18    10.35    -6.18     0.49     2.65    12.95     4.59P    3.26R    0.88  
Crewe             6    7   +1      -1.09    38.06     1.25    59.22    10.87    -3.64     0.53     2.84    12.78     4.98P    4.36R    1.22  
Port_Vale         7    7   -1      -2.07    28.92    -0.29    58.26    10.18    -3.98     0.25     1.86     9.44     3.47P    4.39R    1.24  
Cheltenham        7    7   -2      -1.96    30.40    -1.07    55.75    10.28    -9.35     0.16     1.08     6.42     2.32P    7.24R    2.14  
Cambridge_Utd     7    7   -5      -2.25    27.43    -4.54    57.72    10.28    -8.93     0.25     1.57     8.74     3.06P    5.17R    1.52  
Northampton       7    6   -3      -4.33    12.25    -4.06    61.95    11.12     0.67     1.09     4.99    18.81     8.60P    2.93R    0.88  
Grimsby           7    5   -7      -2.46    24.91    -3.85    47.14     9.70   -23.55     0.00     0.07     0.81     0.21P   26.66R   10.12  
Morecambe         7    3  -12      -3.67    13.66    -7.59    43.33     9.53   -31.24     0.00     0.02     0.28     0.07P   42.38R   19.14  
Macclesfield      7    2   -9      -3.96    10.54    -3.09    36.00     9.68   -39.59     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   72.03R   52.15  
Notts_County      7    1  -14      -7.12     1.35   -11.57    50.43    10.51   -20.99     0.05     0.36     2.45     0.82P   18.60R    7.38  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Aldershot 3 2 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Harrogate_Town     10   22  +12       7.42    94.75    10.56    74.90    10.85    17.46    14.40    50.80    22.31P    0.91R    0.02  
Wrexham            10   21  +10       5.32    89.18     7.13    75.53     9.18    18.26    11.93    53.51    22.33P    0.19R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      10   20   +9       3.88    81.23     5.44    78.17     9.60    22.42    20.15    63.97    31.96P    0.15R    0.00  
Hartlepool         10   19   +4       3.87    80.75     1.85    68.56     9.36     5.08     3.29    24.54     7.78P    1.70R    0.02  
Halifax            10   18   +7       4.79    86.73     7.38    64.62     9.35     3.92     1.38    14.10     3.92P    4.42R    0.11  
Salford_City       10   18   +5       5.16    87.53     6.26    64.70    10.37     1.61     2.02    16.82     4.94P    6.38R    0.30  
AFC_Fylde          10   17   +7       0.71    56.08     3.04    74.17     9.61    18.91    10.42    48.29    20.69P    0.50R    0.01  
Gateshead          10   17   +3       2.39    70.96     1.55    70.12     9.51     9.00     4.58    30.61    10.51P    1.34R    0.02  
Barnet             10   17   -1       0.37    53.18    -5.33    76.51     9.79    14.05    14.89    56.19    27.61P    0.27R    0.00  
Sutton_United       9   16   +3       2.77    74.59     1.64    69.95     9.80     8.33     4.75    30.99    10.85P    1.72R    0.05  
Solihull_Moors     10   16   -3       4.59    85.86     0.30    58.83     9.37   -11.98     0.29     4.81     1.02P   14.99R    0.97  
Boreham_Wood        9   15   +0       1.76    66.94    -1.53    67.05     9.49     2.98     2.36    20.13     6.49P    2.83R    0.07  
Ebbsfleet_United   10   14   +2       0.61    56.35     2.28    67.30     9.52     8.37     2.45    21.91     7.05P    2.78R    0.09  
Maidenhead         10   11   -2      -1.83    34.29    -0.69    55.45     9.63    -9.53     0.15     2.84     0.71P   24.61R    2.16  
Barrow             10   11   -2      -2.38    29.63    -1.69    55.08     9.41    -9.30     0.15     2.30     0.56P   25.06R    2.04  
Bromley            10   10   +1      -4.34    16.47    -0.14    62.61     9.72     5.96     0.98    11.34     3.40P    7.57R    0.37  
Chesterfield       10   10   -1      -6.07     8.64    -4.60    69.37    10.12    14.14     4.88    30.61    13.39P    2.30R    0.06  
Aldershot          10   10   -8      -3.13    23.79    -7.43    59.48     9.41    -7.21     0.33     5.42     1.44P   13.16R    0.84  
Eastleigh          10   10   -8      -1.27    39.76    -4.37    53.96     9.51   -15.73     0.08     1.66     0.35P   30.67R    3.26  
Havant_&_Wville    10    9   -8      -0.74    45.07    -1.18    43.20     9.76   -33.56     0.01     0.20     0.05P   73.56R   22.39  
Dag_&_Red          10    8   -4      -6.81     5.51    -5.76    58.19     9.63    -2.47     0.28     4.87     1.43P   15.92R    1.12  
Maidstone_United   10    7   -7      -3.78    18.50    -2.85    46.79     9.17   -20.84     0.01     0.24     0.05P   59.99R   11.38  
Dover_Athletic     10    6  -10      -7.05     4.34    -9.15    57.26     9.66    -6.90     0.22     3.84     1.13P   19.10R    1.48  
Braintree_Town     10    3   -9      -6.39     4.35    -2.70    36.20     9.53   -32.95     0.00     0.01     0.01P   89.91R   53.21