Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 12 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Burnley 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +8       3.21    89.65     2.31    79.46     8.94    43.27    16.29    40.49    62.63    79.90    97.12     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           4   12   +7       3.79    92.65     2.64    76.86     9.02    36.40     9.94    28.36    50.06    70.65    94.66     0.00     0.00  
Watford           4   12   +6       6.79    99.27     6.56    52.09     9.18    -7.27     0.02     0.17     0.60     1.88    12.29     2.18R    0.24  
Man_City          4   10   +8       0.55    59.38     0.48    87.81     8.14    66.15    56.66    79.55    90.69    96.33    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         4    9   +5       1.07    62.89     0.69    78.52     8.94    42.95    13.58    36.36    58.97    77.58    96.12     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       4    7   +1       1.89    77.45     1.91    47.10     9.17   -12.38     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.53     5.18     6.69R    1.02  
Everton           4    6   +1      -0.56    40.85    -0.59    50.19     9.39    -5.02     0.01     0.09     0.38     1.33     9.71     3.59R    0.39  
Leicester         4    6   +1       1.17    66.64     2.19    53.89     9.57     0.78     0.04     0.27     1.01     3.03    17.55     1.77R    0.23  
Arsenal           4    6   +0      -0.35    43.20    -1.41    67.53     9.53    24.56     1.48     6.49    15.71    30.58    73.41     0.04R    0.00  
Man_Utd           4    6   -1      -1.28    30.52    -3.62    69.35     9.06    24.67     1.98     8.14    19.57    36.98    80.23     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     4    5   -1       1.03    67.63     1.70    43.36     9.43   -15.71     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.29     2.73    14.52R    2.97  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.34    32.68     0.18    45.13     8.89    -9.62     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.26     2.97     8.91R    1.50  
Fulham            4    4   -2      -0.37    47.66     0.46    38.44     9.68   -27.64     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.12     1.10    31.11R    9.49  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.10    55.10     0.63    40.76     8.75   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     1.01    19.74R    4.16  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -3      -1.73    25.94    -1.72    42.43     8.90   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     1.69    15.17R    3.06  
Cardiff           4    2   -3      -2.30    20.18    -1.13    33.76     8.81   -28.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    49.16R   17.72  
Huddersfield      4    2   -8      -0.60    43.11    -2.21    28.61     7.83   -41.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    74.12R   39.81  
Newcastle         4    1   -3      -2.59    14.96     0.34    44.77     9.20    -8.01     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.28     3.27    10.24R    1.89  
Burnley           4    1   -6      -3.69     7.49    -4.96    38.88     8.70   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.61    26.02R    6.38  
West_Ham          4    0   -8      -3.85     3.81    -4.46    36.63     9.03   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.42    36.72R   11.14  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Bristol_City 4 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     6   14  +10       5.28    94.61     9.16    76.22    10.97    21.08     9.05    19.03    55.24    26.97P    0.17R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    6   14   +7       3.97    88.77     4.33    84.08    10.48    29.68    26.04    43.93    80.90    54.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   12   +4       3.28    82.50     3.27    70.70    10.98     9.60     3.60     8.56    35.27    14.07P    0.83R    0.10  
Derby            6   12   +2       2.03    71.32    -0.61    76.08    10.88    16.24     8.96    18.51    53.93    27.29P    0.17R    0.01  
Brentford        6   11   +6       1.38    66.22     3.77    73.32    11.05    17.44     6.16    13.34    44.92    20.86P    0.43R    0.05  
Bristol_City     6   11   +5       1.94    71.69     3.72    69.78    11.00    10.69     3.15     7.50    32.34    13.02P    1.05R    0.13  
Swansea          6   11   +2       1.23    63.90    -0.28    76.02    11.27    17.40     9.08    18.54    54.40    28.65P    0.29R    0.03  
Bolton           6   11   +0       4.73    92.85     3.16    51.35    10.04   -22.75     0.04     0.11     1.48     0.28P   24.18R    6.18  
West_Brom        6   10   +6      -0.92    38.51     1.67    80.55    11.36    30.39    18.76    33.48    69.83    45.12P    0.09R    0.01  
Wigan            6   10   +3       0.12    51.15     0.43    71.89    11.43    13.68     5.20    11.45    39.99    18.77P    0.75R    0.09  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +0       1.41    66.39    -0.47    66.19    10.78     1.89     1.32     3.75    20.92     7.29P    1.99R    0.29  
Aston_Villa      6    9   +0      -0.52    43.59    -1.97    72.55    10.79    13.32     4.90    11.10    41.85    18.95P    0.49R    0.05  
Blackburn        6    9   -1       0.78    59.09    -0.91    61.87    11.21    -4.15     0.75     2.12    12.65     4.27P    5.54R    1.00  
Nott'm_Forest    6    7   +0      -0.19    49.01     1.84    56.15    10.65    -9.29     0.13     0.48     4.51     1.15P   12.53R    2.79  
Rotherham        6    6   -6       0.49    57.81    -1.17    43.68    10.60   -35.60     0.01     0.03     0.35     0.08P   53.41R   24.75  
Millwall         6    5   -2      -2.54    23.31    -1.09    58.32    10.59    -4.25     0.18     0.69     6.47     1.99P    8.67R    1.67  
Norwich          6    5   -3      -2.64    22.91    -1.96    56.95    10.89    -8.46     0.16     0.63     5.55     1.53P   11.80R    2.60  
Stoke            6    5   -4      -3.29    17.32    -4.09    66.56    11.67     6.34     2.02     5.15    24.00    10.30P    2.88R    0.51  
Preston          6    5   -4      -3.27    16.42    -4.07    58.80    10.60    -5.42     0.24     0.80     7.10     2.18P    7.91R    1.46  
Birmingham       6    4   -2      -2.44    22.80     0.53    44.16     9.69   -23.90     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P   50.08R   19.59  
Hull             6    4   -5      -3.76    13.64    -4.11    56.64    10.88    -9.54     0.17     0.58     5.19     1.58P   12.55R    2.94  
QPR              6    4  -10      -2.16    26.78    -6.53    46.82    10.46   -30.29     0.01     0.03     0.57     0.10P   41.57R   15.07  
Ipswich          6    3   -4      -4.54     7.76    -2.92    52.07    10.36   -12.91     0.03     0.17     1.84     0.49P   21.31R    5.58  
Reading          6    2   -4      -4.81     6.22    -1.70    46.32    10.26   -21.18     0.01     0.01     0.49     0.09P   41.30R   15.08  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 September 2018, Oxford_Utd 1 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          7   19  +12       6.95    97.45     8.20    84.38    10.94    30.22    23.46    44.73    85.61    55.56P    0.05R    0.00  
Portsmouth            7   17   +9       6.06    95.37     6.99    75.61    10.52    16.56     6.05    16.02    60.95    26.40P    0.46R    0.02  
Barnsley              7   15  +11       1.67    65.72     5.30    86.33    11.13    38.05    30.80    53.20    89.01    65.48P    0.06R    0.00  
Sunderland            7   15   +8       2.16    70.58     3.03    86.21    11.19    35.15    29.97    52.57    88.44    64.34P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall               7   15   +5       5.33    92.62     4.91    68.68    10.59     5.29     1.65     5.31    34.48    11.21P    2.63R    0.27  
Fleetwood_Town        7   12   +7       1.70    67.61     5.99    70.29    10.65    14.10     2.30     7.38    41.80    15.72P    1.82R    0.17  
Doncaster             7   12   +4       2.26    73.18     3.75    66.71    10.33     6.07     1.03     3.52    28.10     8.98P    3.38R    0.32  
Charlton              7   11   +1       0.94    60.85     0.33    69.32    10.48     8.23     1.73     5.56    37.16    13.21P    2.20R    0.18  
Blackpool             7   10   +2      -0.22    47.90     1.01    63.30    10.39     1.98     0.48     1.89    18.56     5.67P    6.72R    0.85  
Accrington_Stanley    7   10   +0       1.36    65.12     1.40    56.72    10.84   -10.23     0.16     0.59     7.63     1.86P   21.21R    4.21  
Luton                 7    8   -1      -0.99    41.16     0.01    61.73    11.35    -0.87     0.52     1.90    16.91     5.37P   11.25R    1.89  
Coventry              7    8   -2      -0.52    45.98    -0.62    51.48    10.31   -15.59     0.02     0.13     2.63     0.59P   37.33R    9.51  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    8   -4       0.33    55.93    -1.31    54.18     9.96   -13.61     0.02     0.14     3.62     0.75P   27.34R    5.39  
Rochdale              7    8   -6      -0.21    49.66    -3.70    58.25    10.64   -11.40     0.15     0.64     8.83     2.25P   17.49R    3.19  
Gillingham            7    7   -2      -1.66    33.42    -0.47    56.80    10.62    -7.69     0.12     0.48     7.24     1.82P   20.24R    3.82  
Southend              7    7   -2      -2.41    26.36    -1.66    59.58    10.58    -3.61     0.25     0.94    11.02     3.13P   13.58R    2.10  
Burton_Albion         7    7   -2      -3.04    21.52    -2.71    58.50    11.07    -4.88     0.27     1.00    10.51     3.28P   16.83R    3.22  
Scunthorpe            7    7   -7      -2.65    24.13    -6.95    64.41    10.78    -1.35     0.68     2.42    21.90     7.17P    6.71R    0.85  
Wycombe               7    6   -4      -1.50    35.49    -0.86    45.78    10.49   -25.88     0.01     0.03     0.89     0.19P   59.37R   24.61  
Bradford              7    6   -5      -2.89    21.73    -3.99    56.88    10.46    -8.83     0.09     0.48     7.16     1.97P   19.74R    3.57  
Bristol_Rovers        7    5   -3      -4.06    13.69    -2.13    53.34    10.47   -11.17     0.03     0.22     3.94     1.02P   30.39R    6.92  
Shrewsbury            7    4   -3      -5.63     5.61    -3.20    58.65    10.32    -0.93     0.14     0.65     9.15     2.92P   14.48R    2.30  
Oxford_Utd            7    4   -9      -3.95    13.21    -6.17    52.58    10.67   -17.24     0.04     0.17     3.45     0.88P   34.00R    8.90  
Plymouth              7    3   -9      -5.37     5.75    -7.16    47.50    10.17   -22.35     0.00     0.02     1.00     0.22P   52.68R   17.72  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Bury 4 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      7   16   +9       4.74    90.23     6.52    77.94    10.35    21.74    14.84    39.20    71.69    47.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Newport_County    7   16   +2       6.93    97.41     2.72    68.24    10.22     0.51     2.48    10.71    34.45    15.09P    0.41R    0.10  
Exeter            7   13   +6       1.57    66.05     3.20    76.64    10.57    21.41    12.34    35.27    67.47    44.07P    0.05R    0.01  
Carlisle          7   13   +1       2.99    79.15     0.36    71.42    10.42     8.46     5.04    17.96    47.09    24.74P    0.22R    0.04  
Colchester        7   12   +9       0.72    57.65     6.48    74.90    10.30    23.13     9.54    29.17    62.07    38.34P    0.06R    0.01  
MK_Dons           6   12   +3       2.14    73.08     0.58    81.27    10.98    24.30    24.43    51.67    79.87    60.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon           7   12   +0       1.15    62.17    -1.95    70.14    10.76     6.87     4.19    16.06    42.93    22.39P    0.39R    0.07  
Yeovil            6   11   +6       3.19    83.29     6.62    64.95    10.54     4.82     1.55     6.95    25.60    10.57P    1.11R    0.23  
Forest_Green      7   11   +5       2.19    73.31     6.30    59.25    10.18    -3.28     0.39     2.23    11.29     3.84P    3.39R    0.89  
Oldham            7   11   +3      -1.13    37.80    -0.81    73.49    10.97    16.49     8.20    25.60    55.90    34.71P    0.15R    0.02  
Stevenage         7   11   +1       0.23    53.12    -0.75    61.75    10.31    -2.89     0.75     3.79    16.41     6.50P    2.12R    0.53  
Mansfield         6   10   +4       0.28    53.06     1.83    72.68    10.50    15.84     6.51    22.19    52.88    30.82P    0.15R    0.04  
Bury              7   10   +3      -1.56    33.37    -0.01    71.60    11.38    15.36     6.63    21.59    49.20    29.26P    0.39R    0.08  
Tranmere          7   10   +1       1.48    66.54     2.55    58.91    10.67    -5.39     0.47     2.59    11.52     4.36P    4.48R    1.29  
Crawley_Town      7   10   -1       1.81    69.98     1.13    60.43    10.27    -5.75     0.52     2.84    13.13     4.80P    2.91R    0.68  
Crewe             6    7   +1      -1.01    38.84     1.36    59.06    10.81    -3.94     0.48     2.67    12.21     4.69P    4.51R    1.24  
Port_Vale         7    7   -1      -2.07    28.95    -0.31    58.23    10.16    -3.97     0.26     1.73     9.37     3.31P    4.22R    1.12  
Cheltenham        7    7   -2      -2.03    29.61    -1.17    55.83    10.27    -9.27     0.16     1.17     6.54     2.27P    7.27R    2.09  
Cambridge_Utd     7    7   -5      -2.24    27.75    -4.52    57.67    10.14    -8.96     0.19     1.39     8.31     2.83P    4.84R    1.44  
Northampton       7    6   -3      -4.28    12.51    -3.97    61.72    11.21     0.24     1.00     4.87    18.56     8.51P    3.06R    0.87  
Grimsby           7    5   -7      -2.44    25.03    -3.83    47.06     9.76   -23.70     0.01     0.07     0.86     0.20P   26.77R   10.07  
Morecambe         7    3  -12      -3.71    13.23    -7.68    43.60     9.57   -30.73     0.00     0.03     0.32     0.08P   40.91R   18.01  
Macclesfield      7    2   -9      -3.90    10.93    -3.04    35.54     9.61   -40.26     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   73.96R   53.73  
Notts_County      7    1  -14      -7.15     1.34   -11.62    50.47    10.44   -21.03     0.03     0.26     2.26     0.72P   18.58R    7.45  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Aldershot 3 2 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Harrogate_Town     10   22  +12       7.44    94.75    10.60    74.90    10.83    17.48    14.36    50.47    22.05P    0.84R    0.01  
Wrexham            10   21  +10       5.36    89.09     7.18    75.47     9.16    18.14    11.99    53.06    22.51P    0.20R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      10   20   +9       3.91    81.27     5.50    78.05     9.56    22.26    19.59    64.09    31.56P    0.15R    0.00  
Hartlepool         10   19   +4       3.80    80.33     1.75    68.71     9.32     5.32     3.30    25.46     7.96P    1.72R    0.02  
Halifax            10   18   +7       4.84    87.09     7.45    64.47     9.35     3.69     1.38    13.82     3.58P    4.70R    0.14  
Salford_City       10   18   +5       5.21    87.40     6.31    64.59    10.38     1.42     2.21    16.68     5.13P    6.47R    0.28  
AFC_Fylde          10   17   +7       0.80    56.79     3.17    73.97     9.63    18.62    10.12    47.64    20.21P    0.54R    0.01  
Gateshead          10   17   +3       2.39    70.74     1.54    70.10     9.60     8.92     4.83    31.13    11.00P    1.39R    0.03  
Barnet             10   17   -1       0.50    54.33    -5.18    76.20     9.83    13.61    14.61    55.07    27.41P    0.37R    0.00  
Sutton_United       9   16   +3       2.77    74.69     1.63    69.96     9.76     8.37     4.93    30.54    10.82P    1.60R    0.06  
Solihull_Moors     10   16   -3       4.60    85.80     0.30    59.05     9.31   -11.67     0.27     4.83     0.94P   14.55R    0.92  
Boreham_Wood        9   15   +0       1.74    66.95    -1.55    67.10     9.52     3.00     2.44    20.90     6.73P    2.80R    0.08  
Ebbsfleet_United   10   14   +2       0.58    56.05     2.22    67.31     9.44     8.37     2.46    21.87     7.00P    2.60R    0.09  
Maidenhead         10   11   -2      -1.83    34.48    -0.65    55.42     9.48    -9.60     0.11     2.64     0.59P   24.62R    2.01  
Barrow             10   11   -2      -2.43    29.29    -1.74    55.14     9.50    -9.14     0.14     2.50     0.60P   25.57R    1.94  
Bromley            10   10   +1      -4.40    16.05    -0.22    62.70     9.78     6.06     1.11    11.68     3.71P    7.49R    0.38  
Chesterfield       10   10   -1      -6.03     8.56    -4.56    69.34    10.08    14.08     5.08    30.65    13.39P    2.25R    0.08  
Aldershot          10   10   -8      -3.23    23.18    -7.53    59.65     9.44    -7.00     0.37     5.69     1.54P   13.05R    0.74  
Eastleigh          10   10   -8      -1.31    39.40    -4.42    54.14     9.43   -15.54     0.09     1.80     0.44P   29.99R    2.96  
Havant_&_Wville    10    9   -8      -0.72    45.55    -1.20    43.33     9.87   -33.35     0.01     0.22     0.05P   73.17R   21.89  
Dag_&_Red          10    8   -4      -6.81     5.47    -5.79    58.21     9.65    -2.44     0.37     5.10     1.59P   16.14R    0.97  
Maidstone_United   10    7   -7      -3.86    18.16    -2.95    46.89     9.06   -20.66     0.00     0.19     0.05P   59.66R   11.15  
Dover_Athletic     10    6  -10      -7.09     4.32    -9.21    57.26     9.73    -6.86     0.24     3.95     1.13P   19.63R    1.54  
Braintree_Town     10    3   -9      -6.35     4.52    -2.67    35.97     9.49   -33.09     0.00     0.03     0.01P   90.49R   54.70