Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 11 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Burnley 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +8       3.18    89.44     2.25    79.76     9.01    43.94    16.65    41.74    63.67    80.65    97.04     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           4   12   +7       3.78    92.72     2.62    76.76     9.17    36.23     9.88    28.11    49.28    70.39    94.36     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           4   12   +6       6.78    99.37     6.54    52.07     9.17    -7.12     0.01     0.12     0.53     1.81    12.38     2.12R    0.24  
Man_City          4   10   +8       0.50    58.49     0.37    88.06     8.12    66.69    57.02    79.79    91.00    96.52    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         4    9   +5       1.04    62.51     0.65    78.42     8.92    42.76    13.01    35.43    58.56    77.13    96.38     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       4    7   +1       1.93    77.84     1.94    47.09     9.19   -12.40     0.01     0.03     0.13     0.51     5.23     6.85R    1.05  
Everton           4    6   +1      -0.56    40.80    -0.60    50.08     9.33    -5.17     0.00     0.07     0.34     1.20     9.24     3.58R    0.47  
Leicester         4    6   +1       1.14    66.06     2.14    53.96     9.58     0.99     0.04     0.27     1.04     3.14    17.83     1.75R    0.21  
Arsenal           4    6   +0      -0.34    43.34    -1.38    67.57     9.50    24.60     1.39     6.34    15.75    30.68    73.81     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd           4    6   -1      -1.25    30.86    -3.60    69.37     9.10    24.67     1.97     8.09    19.43    36.87    80.37     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     4    5   -1       1.05    67.89     1.75    43.21     9.40   -15.91     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.27     2.61    14.83R    3.08  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.30    33.36     0.25    44.89     8.91   -10.01     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.24     3.00     9.42R    1.68  
Fulham            4    4   -2      -0.34    47.87     0.52    38.24     9.60   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     1.04    31.50R    9.84  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.09    54.78     0.65    40.89     8.79   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     1.02    19.67R    4.16  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -3      -1.72    26.11    -1.70    42.40     9.00   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14     1.72    15.65R    3.20  
Cardiff           4    2   -3      -2.33    19.83    -1.18    33.94     8.89   -28.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    48.24R   17.42  
Huddersfield      4    2   -8      -0.62    42.56    -2.23    28.79     7.90   -41.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.49R   38.97  
Newcastle         4    1   -3      -2.54    15.55     0.42    44.68     9.11    -8.25     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.24     3.10    10.25R    1.84  
Burnley           4    1   -6      -3.71     7.49    -4.99    38.89     8.65   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.53    25.98R    6.28  
West_Ham          4    0   -8      -3.83     3.80    -4.41    36.55     8.97   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.37    36.64R   11.56  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Bristol_City 4 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     6   14  +10       5.31    94.66     9.17    76.31    10.90    21.33     9.01    19.06    55.77    27.20P    0.20R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    6   14   +7       3.96    88.50     4.34    83.99    10.43    29.57    25.65    43.44    80.78    54.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   12   +4       3.32    83.16     3.33    70.36    11.04     9.03     3.29     8.20    33.86    13.49P    0.86R    0.09  
Derby            6   12   +2       2.03    71.41    -0.59    75.73    10.84    15.72     8.47    17.51    52.74    26.58P    0.21R    0.02  
Brentford        6   11   +6       1.36    65.76     3.71    73.71    10.91    18.05     6.32    13.80    46.19    21.42P    0.37R    0.04  
Bristol_City     6   11   +5       1.94    71.71     3.73    69.76    11.04    10.58     3.11     7.54    32.53    12.70P    1.05R    0.12  
Swansea          6   11   +2       1.21    63.62    -0.30    76.01    11.29    17.41     9.14    18.79    54.05    28.68P    0.31R    0.02  
Bolton           6   11   +0       4.70    92.83     3.11    51.47    10.03   -22.64     0.02     0.10     1.51     0.26P   23.66R    5.99  
West_Brom        6   10   +6      -0.93    38.34     1.63    80.85    11.48    30.91    19.90    34.49    70.41    45.92P    0.09R    0.01  
Wigan            6   10   +3       0.18    51.67     0.48    71.96    11.57    13.75     5.34    11.87    40.44    19.23P    0.82R    0.12  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +0       1.36    65.78    -0.56    66.31    10.76     2.07     1.36     3.83    21.29     7.56P    1.98R    0.30  
Aston_Villa      6    9   +0      -0.54    43.71    -1.97    72.48    10.81    13.26     4.68    10.94    41.29    18.94P    0.53R    0.06  
Blackburn        6    9   -1       0.78    59.20    -0.92    61.91    11.45    -4.13     0.81     2.27    13.29     4.55P    5.81R    1.09  
Nott'm_Forest    6    7   +0      -0.15    49.73     1.90    56.03    10.60    -9.44     0.14     0.40     4.34     1.10P   12.84R    2.76  
Rotherham        6    6   -6       0.45    57.41    -1.25    44.02    10.74   -34.86     0.01     0.02     0.41     0.08P   52.47R   24.25  
Millwall         6    5   -2      -2.50    23.77    -1.04    58.24    10.48    -4.41     0.19     0.60     6.00     1.75P    8.56R    1.60  
Norwich          6    5   -3      -2.66    22.62    -1.97    56.76    10.93    -8.75     0.20     0.64     5.46     1.58P   12.29R    2.69  
Stoke            6    5   -4      -3.33    17.10    -4.12    66.77    11.53     6.62     1.90     5.04    24.51    10.10P    2.70R    0.46  
Preston          6    5   -4      -3.24    16.49    -4.05    58.68    10.57    -5.58     0.20     0.68     6.79     1.96P    8.00R    1.64  
Birmingham       6    4   -2      -2.49    22.48     0.46    44.39     9.77   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   49.36R   18.93  
Hull             6    4   -5      -3.69    14.19    -4.01    56.41    10.90   -10.01     0.19     0.56     5.04     1.42P   12.89R    2.99  
QPR              6    4  -10      -2.15    26.59    -6.49    46.88    10.30   -30.27     0.01     0.03     0.62     0.11P   41.04R   14.80  
Ipswich          6    3   -4      -4.53     7.93    -2.91    51.94    10.42   -13.10     0.03     0.15     1.91     0.49P   21.74R    5.84  
Reading          6    2   -4      -4.79     6.46    -1.68    46.16    10.45   -21.49     0.01     0.03     0.52     0.13P   42.22R   16.16  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 September 2018, Oxford_Utd 1 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          7   19  +12       6.99    97.67     8.25    84.18    10.92    29.87    22.58    43.63    85.11    54.52P    0.05R    0.00  
Portsmouth            7   17   +9       6.05    95.21     6.98    75.67    10.55    16.63     6.04    16.02    60.77    26.25P    0.47R    0.04  
Barnsley              7   15  +11       1.67    65.76     5.29    86.49    11.09    38.36    31.43    53.95    89.14    66.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Sunderland            7   15   +8       2.18    70.80     3.06    86.25    11.17    35.31    30.12    52.65    88.68    64.72P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall               7   15   +5       5.32    92.38     4.87    68.75    10.49     5.42     1.62     5.21    34.35    10.98P    2.25R    0.18  
Fleetwood_Town        7   12   +7       1.62    66.75     5.89    70.68    10.59    14.71     2.51     7.79    43.13    16.29P    1.56R    0.11  
Doncaster             7   12   +4       2.21    72.60     3.65    66.93    10.45     6.37     1.07     3.62    28.96     9.37P    3.51R    0.35  
Charlton              7   11   +1       0.92    60.51     0.28    69.24    10.49     8.11     1.75     5.64    36.93    13.24P    2.25R    0.16  
Blackpool             7   10   +2      -0.22    47.91     1.01    63.21    10.43     1.86     0.45     1.79    18.41     5.59P    7.21R    0.81  
Accrington_Stanley    7   10   +0       1.37    65.18     1.43    56.71    10.92   -10.35     0.21     0.65     7.72     2.03P   21.51R    4.24  
Luton                 7    8   -1      -0.97    41.06     0.02    61.76    11.38    -0.76     0.48     1.88    17.00     5.39P   11.17R    1.92  
Coventry              7    8   -2      -0.49    46.49    -0.63    51.38    10.37   -15.66     0.02     0.12     2.56     0.57P   37.38R    9.78  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    8   -4       0.32    55.47    -1.32    54.27     9.96   -13.46     0.04     0.16     3.70     0.74P   26.67R    5.24  
Rochdale              7    8   -6      -0.17    50.17    -3.61    58.04    10.66   -11.71     0.12     0.63     8.63     2.20P   18.04R    3.14  
Gillingham            7    7   -2      -1.65    33.49    -0.47    56.95    10.61    -7.41     0.09     0.42     7.48     1.82P   19.66R    3.82  
Southend              7    7   -2      -2.40    26.45    -1.64    59.26    10.56    -4.11     0.18     0.82    10.59     2.94P   14.14R    2.31  
Burton_Albion         7    7   -2      -3.05    21.28    -2.71    58.36    11.17    -5.07     0.33     1.04    10.64     3.34P   17.09R    3.29  
Scunthorpe            7    7   -7      -2.67    23.90    -6.96    64.42    10.75    -1.33     0.64     2.49    21.75     7.30P    6.64R    0.84  
Wycombe               7    6   -4      -1.51    35.29    -0.89    45.84    10.58   -25.75     0.01     0.03     0.88     0.20P   58.99R   24.26  
Bradford              7    6   -5      -2.87    21.89    -3.97    56.72    10.39    -9.02     0.08     0.42     6.62     1.72P   20.05R    3.63  
Bristol_Rovers        7    5   -3      -4.04    13.37    -2.10    53.24    10.48   -11.31     0.03     0.19     3.76     0.95P   30.50R    7.02  
Shrewsbury            7    4   -3      -5.58     5.59    -3.16    58.50    10.32    -1.15     0.15     0.63     8.76     2.76P   14.68R    2.38  
Oxford_Utd            7    4   -9      -3.95    13.41    -6.17    52.75    10.73   -17.03     0.04     0.18     3.59     0.90P   33.51R    8.81  
Plymouth              7    3   -9      -5.34     5.83    -7.11    47.42    10.06   -22.51     0.01     0.03     0.83     0.18P   52.59R   17.67  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Bury 4 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      7   16   +9       4.78    90.26     6.57    77.69    10.46    21.43    14.58    38.39    70.69    46.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Newport_County    7   16   +2       6.99    97.33     2.82    68.10    10.28     0.33     2.65    10.88    34.18    15.31P    0.48R    0.09  
Exeter            7   13   +6       1.55    66.05     3.18    76.61    10.55    21.40    12.41    34.91    67.28    43.94P    0.04R    0.01  
Carlisle          7   13   +1       3.08    80.06     0.49    71.22    10.50     8.12     5.01    18.07    46.68    24.62P    0.19R    0.05  
Colchester        7   12   +9       0.74    57.64     6.49    74.84    10.40    23.09     9.53    29.72    61.95    38.84P    0.07R    0.01  
MK_Dons           6   12   +3       2.21    73.54     0.69    80.80    11.04    23.62    23.52    50.42    78.46    59.02P    0.03R    0.01  
Swindon           7   12   +0       1.13    62.05    -1.98    70.19    10.70     6.95     4.30    15.97    43.18    22.53P    0.34R    0.06  
Yeovil            6   11   +6       3.23    83.53     6.66    64.91    10.54     4.76     1.52     7.12    25.59    10.88P    1.19R    0.29  
Forest_Green      7   11   +5       2.23    73.43     6.36    59.25    10.33    -3.33     0.41     2.32    11.53     3.97P    3.82R    1.04  
Oldham            7   11   +3      -1.26    36.38    -0.97    74.00    10.98    17.24     8.95    27.16    57.90    36.44P    0.17R    0.03  
Stevenage         7   11   +1       0.15    52.13    -0.84    62.09    10.27    -2.41     0.77     4.00    17.03     6.69P    1.87R    0.44  
Mansfield         6   10   +4       0.25    53.02     1.78    72.88    10.56    16.11     6.94    23.17    53.88    31.58P    0.17R    0.03  
Bury              7   10   +3      -1.48    34.25     0.09    71.19    11.30    14.73     6.33    20.34    47.77    27.84P    0.37R    0.10  
Tranmere          7   10   +1       1.47    66.44     2.53    59.01    10.68    -5.27     0.47     2.52    11.68     4.33P    4.57R    1.42  
Crawley_Town      7   10   -1       1.82    70.07     1.15    60.39    10.25    -5.83     0.44     2.72    13.43     4.76P    3.02R    0.76  
Crewe             6    7   +1      -1.07    38.07     1.29    59.13    10.77    -3.79     0.44     2.61    12.27     4.56P    4.49R    1.23  
Port_Vale         7    7   -1      -2.06    28.90    -0.29    58.07    10.08    -4.22     0.26     1.60     9.14     3.15P    4.42R    1.27  
Cheltenham        7    7   -2      -2.05    29.58    -1.17    56.01    10.26    -8.94     0.13     1.08     6.65     2.27P    6.88R    1.96  
Cambridge_Utd     7    7   -5      -2.23    27.76    -4.50    57.56    10.18    -9.13     0.22     1.48     8.35     2.88P    4.95R    1.49  
Northampton       7    6   -3      -4.32    12.18    -4.03    61.80    11.22     0.37     1.07     5.09    18.74     8.76P    3.02R    0.92  
Grimsby           7    5   -7      -2.47    24.75    -3.86    46.96     9.73   -23.89     0.01     0.07     0.83     0.20P   27.16R   10.40  
Morecambe         7    3  -12      -3.72    13.17    -7.70    43.67     9.59   -30.66     0.00     0.03     0.30     0.07P   41.22R   18.63  
Macclesfield      7    2   -9      -3.93    10.79    -3.11    35.79     9.70   -39.82     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   73.29R   52.86  
Notts_County      7    1  -14      -7.18     1.23   -11.65    50.57    10.53   -20.87     0.04     0.33     2.45     0.84P   18.21R    6.91  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Aldershot 3 2 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Harrogate_Town     10   22  +12       7.33    94.69    10.43    75.23    10.76    17.96    15.00    51.93    22.97P    0.73R    0.03  
Wrexham            10   21  +10       5.31    88.97     7.11    75.72     9.22    18.54    12.42    54.30    23.30P    0.18R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      10   20   +9       3.88    81.01     5.47    78.15     9.55    22.36    19.72    64.21    31.59P    0.12R    0.00  
Hartlepool         10   19   +4       3.92    80.80     1.91    68.52     9.35     5.05     3.23    24.96     7.80P    1.83R    0.03  
Halifax            10   18   +7       4.81    86.98     7.41    64.54     9.32     3.76     1.39    13.85     3.79P    4.61R    0.17  
Salford_City       10   18   +5       5.23    87.69     6.35    64.27    10.40     0.95     1.98    16.10     4.87P    6.97R    0.35  
AFC_Fylde          10   17   +7       0.74    56.48     3.09    74.18     9.61    18.89    10.30    48.52    20.73P    0.49R    0.01  
Gateshead          10   17   +3       2.42    71.04     1.56    69.87     9.54     8.65     4.37    30.13    10.23P    1.51R    0.04  
Barnet             10   17   -1       0.39    53.28    -5.28    76.51     9.82    14.08    15.17    56.27    27.84P    0.28R    0.00  
Sutton_United       9   16   +3       2.82    75.16     1.68    69.73     9.67     7.99     4.42    29.77    10.37P    1.59R    0.03  
Solihull_Moors     10   16   -3       4.56    85.89     0.25    59.12     9.20   -11.62     0.28     4.81     1.05P   14.07R    0.77  
Boreham_Wood        9   15   +0       1.67    66.15    -1.63    67.31     9.49     3.31     2.40    21.24     6.71P    2.77R    0.05  
Ebbsfleet_United   10   14   +2       0.69    57.06     2.37    67.11     9.42     8.05     2.39    20.98     6.84P    2.69R    0.09  
Maidenhead         10   11   -2      -1.79    34.94    -0.62    55.27     9.47    -9.80     0.11     2.54     0.55P   25.38R    2.10  
Barrow             10   11   -2      -2.46    28.89    -1.77    55.04     9.38    -9.29     0.09     2.29     0.52P   25.45R    2.00  
Bromley            10   10   +1      -4.35    16.19    -0.14    62.58     9.68     5.91     0.94    11.33     3.59P    7.62R    0.34  
Chesterfield       10   10   -1      -6.00     8.78    -4.49    69.16    10.06    13.85     4.80    29.84    12.73P    2.28R    0.10  
Aldershot          10   10   -8      -3.16    23.89    -7.45    59.66     9.48    -7.03     0.35     5.72     1.52P   13.30R    0.77  
Eastleigh          10   10   -8      -1.30    39.33    -4.40    54.14     9.46   -15.51     0.09     1.73     0.39P   29.85R    3.24  
Havant_&_Wville    10    9   -8      -0.71    45.87    -1.16    43.24     9.86   -33.57     0.01     0.22     0.04P   73.41R   22.65  
Dag_&_Red          10    8   -4      -6.78     5.55    -5.77    58.23     9.63    -2.42     0.31     5.03     1.39P   16.06R    1.13  
Maidstone_United   10    7   -7      -3.78    18.69    -2.85    46.73     9.11   -20.90     0.01     0.21     0.04P   60.25R   11.57  
Dover_Athletic     10    6  -10      -7.09     4.32    -9.22    57.34     9.68    -6.77     0.24     4.00     1.13P   19.14R    1.60  
Braintree_Town     10    3   -9      -6.47     4.12    -2.86    36.37     9.55   -32.45     0.00     0.02     0.01P   89.41R   52.93