Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 10 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Burnley 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +8       3.18    89.53     2.26    79.64     9.05    43.67    16.65    41.52    63.48    80.31    96.81     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           4   12   +7       3.83    92.94     2.70    76.71     9.12    36.20     9.77    27.98    49.52    70.43    94.27     0.00     0.00  
Watford           4   12   +6       6.78    99.29     6.54    52.08     9.14    -7.13     0.02     0.15     0.59     1.84    12.22     2.03R    0.24  
Man_City          4   10   +8       0.55    59.37     0.47    87.89     8.07    66.22    56.65    79.57    90.86    96.44    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         4    9   +5       1.08    63.07     0.70    78.42     8.88    42.64    13.29    35.64    58.40    77.03    96.50     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       4    7   +1       1.87    77.20     1.86    47.40     9.24   -11.79     0.01     0.03     0.18     0.63     5.64     6.30R    0.99  
Everton           4    6   +1      -0.54    41.13    -0.56    50.13     9.34    -5.19     0.00     0.07     0.31     1.27     9.46     3.70R    0.50  
Leicester         4    6   +1       1.16    66.50     2.19    53.76     9.50     0.66     0.03     0.27     0.99     2.95    17.26     1.74R    0.19  
Arsenal           4    6   +0      -0.36    42.99    -1.42    67.44     9.56    24.40     1.49     6.42    15.53    30.44    73.21     0.04R    0.00  
Man_Utd           4    6   -1      -1.27    30.62    -3.63    69.51     9.10    24.92     2.09     8.31    19.87    37.58    80.89     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     4    5   -1       1.05    67.78     1.74    43.18     9.34   -15.92     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.22     2.43    14.66R    3.07  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.34    32.64     0.18    45.15     8.94    -9.60     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.28     3.23     8.92R    1.57  
Fulham            4    4   -2      -0.33    47.94     0.53    38.21     9.65   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.10     1.15    32.25R    9.78  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.07    54.35     0.61    40.95     8.70   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.02    19.05R    4.05  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -3      -1.69    26.41    -1.67    42.40     8.97   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.74    15.47R    3.08  
Cardiff           4    2   -3      -2.25    20.65    -1.07    33.49     8.84   -29.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    50.38R   18.66  
Huddersfield      4    2   -8      -0.64    42.45    -2.28    28.74     7.85   -41.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    73.56R   38.92  
Newcastle         4    1   -3      -2.61    14.97     0.29    44.81     9.06    -7.96     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.24     3.12     9.87R    1.70  
Burnley           4    1   -6      -3.70     7.49    -4.99    39.03     8.71   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.60    25.41R    6.16  
West_Ham          4    0   -8      -3.84     3.72    -4.43    36.66     9.02   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.41    36.61R   11.08  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Bristol_City 4 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     6   14  +10       5.27    94.36     9.13    76.29    10.97    21.19     9.31    19.15    55.55    27.13P    0.20R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    6   14   +7       4.00    88.85     4.38    83.87    10.48    29.40    25.60    43.45    80.31    54.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   12   +4       3.28    82.70     3.25    70.72    11.04     9.56     3.66     8.87    35.15    14.24P    0.83R    0.09  
Derby            6   12   +2       2.02    71.26    -0.61    75.89    10.80    15.95     8.40    17.80    53.62    26.95P    0.19R    0.02  
Brentford        6   11   +6       1.36    66.13     3.73    73.57    10.96    17.78     6.27    13.75    45.63    21.48P    0.45R    0.05  
Bristol_City     6   11   +5       1.91    71.30     3.66    69.79    11.13    10.76     3.35     7.99    32.81    13.36P    1.06R    0.12  
Swansea          6   11   +2       1.27    64.37    -0.19    75.81    11.25    17.14     9.10    18.45    53.40    27.91P    0.23R    0.03  
Bolton           6   11   +0       4.78    93.25     3.26    51.13     9.95   -23.15     0.02     0.08     1.30     0.25P   24.83R    6.30  
West_Brom        6   10   +6      -0.92    38.38     1.67    80.55    11.44    30.49    19.12    33.45    70.02    45.22P    0.11R    0.01  
Wigan            6   10   +3       0.13    51.06     0.43    71.92    11.43    13.72     5.27    11.72    40.28    19.12P    0.79R    0.08  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +0       1.37    65.61    -0.55    66.35    10.86     2.13     1.56     4.11    21.66     7.69P    2.22R    0.30  
Aston_Villa      6    9   +0      -0.53    43.84    -1.97    72.53    10.70    13.31     4.60    10.83    41.52    19.02P    0.47R    0.04  
Blackburn        6    9   -1       0.78    59.19    -0.90    62.05    11.25    -3.92     0.82     2.20    13.04     4.53P    5.51R    0.99  
Nott'm_Forest    6    7   +0      -0.15    49.83     1.91    56.02    10.69    -9.44     0.13     0.45     4.56     1.15P   13.15R    3.01  
Rotherham        6    6   -6       0.48    57.84    -1.19    43.97    10.57   -35.01     0.00     0.03     0.43     0.08P   52.75R   24.17  
Millwall         6    5   -2      -2.52    23.37    -1.08    58.37    10.45    -4.22     0.23     0.68     6.26     1.88P    8.27R    1.66  
Norwich          6    5   -3      -2.71    22.24    -2.07    57.21    10.78    -8.12     0.18     0.59     5.77     1.56P   11.18R    2.37  
Stoke            6    5   -4      -3.28    17.43    -4.06    66.37    11.54     5.94     1.90     4.81    23.54     9.74P    2.79R    0.48  
Preston          6    5   -4      -3.25    16.57    -4.05    58.62    10.58    -5.65     0.24     0.78     6.78     2.10P    8.41R    1.65  
Birmingham       6    4   -2      -2.52    22.19     0.45    44.28     9.79   -23.72     0.00     0.02     0.25     0.04P   49.69R   19.31  
Hull             6    4   -5      -3.74    14.03    -4.09    56.70    10.84    -9.52     0.19     0.59     5.20     1.55P   12.16R    2.74  
QPR              6    4  -10      -2.14    27.09    -6.51    46.72    10.32   -30.46     0.01     0.02     0.57     0.11P   41.52R   15.17  
Ipswich          6    3   -4      -4.50     8.11    -2.87    52.09    10.37   -12.90     0.04     0.16     1.84     0.49P   21.50R    5.61  
Reading          6    2   -4      -4.82     6.06    -1.74    46.32    10.42   -21.23     0.01     0.02     0.51     0.12P   41.69R   15.78  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 September 2018, Oxford_Utd 1 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          7   19  +12       6.93    97.44     8.18    84.34    10.90    30.17    22.96    44.31    85.68    55.26P    0.06R    0.00  
Portsmouth            7   17   +9       6.08    95.39     7.02    75.56    10.57    16.45     5.90    15.78    60.63    26.47P    0.44R    0.03  
Barnsley              7   15  +11       1.64    65.56     5.25    86.67    11.07    38.55    32.05    54.37    89.56    66.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland            7   15   +8       2.22    71.14     3.13    86.07    11.14    34.90    29.39    51.90    88.36    64.14P    0.05R    0.00  
Walsall               7   15   +5       5.31    92.36     4.88    68.88    10.52     5.65     1.66     5.55    35.08    11.59P    2.41R    0.20  
Fleetwood_Town        7   12   +7       1.67    67.18     5.94    70.67    10.65    14.62     2.48     7.63    43.17    16.16P    1.60R    0.12  
Doncaster             7   12   +4       2.23    72.69     3.67    66.81    10.37     6.21     1.09     3.75    28.40     9.15P    3.37R    0.28  
Charlton              7   11   +1       0.99    61.34     0.39    69.00    10.51     7.74     1.59     5.29    36.22    12.85P    2.29R    0.19  
Blackpool             7   10   +2      -0.20    48.33     1.03    63.18    10.42     1.88     0.46     1.87    18.07     5.47P    7.05R    0.85  
Accrington_Stanley    7   10   +0       1.42    65.43     1.47    56.35    10.95   -10.91     0.14     0.58     7.28     1.84P   22.74R    4.95  
Luton                 7    8   -1      -0.98    41.06     0.02    61.61    11.24    -1.09     0.45     1.75    16.67     5.10P   11.40R    1.85  
Coventry              7    8   -2      -0.53    45.85    -0.64    51.59    10.39   -15.38     0.02     0.12     2.65     0.56P   37.12R    9.58  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    8   -4       0.28    55.08    -1.39    54.52    10.00   -13.07     0.03     0.15     3.96     0.78P   25.97R    5.27  
Rochdale              7    8   -6      -0.19    49.64    -3.66    58.30    10.57   -11.29     0.13     0.61     8.86     2.20P   16.99R    3.06  
Gillingham            7    7   -2      -1.67    33.30    -0.50    56.86    10.61    -7.54     0.11     0.48     7.50     1.95P   20.04R    3.70  
Southend              7    7   -2      -2.40    26.53    -1.63    59.21    10.61    -4.16     0.24     0.89    10.58     2.98P   14.46R    2.36  
Burton_Albion         7    7   -2      -3.05    21.07    -2.70    58.46    10.97    -4.93     0.27     0.99    10.36     3.28P   16.80R    3.01  
Scunthorpe            7    7   -7      -2.65    24.25    -6.95    64.53    10.82    -1.18     0.73     2.54    22.05     7.43P    6.55R    0.88  
Wycombe               7    6   -4      -1.49    35.63    -0.85    45.90    10.56   -25.75     0.01     0.03     0.97     0.19P   58.87R   24.09  
Bradford              7    6   -5      -2.87    21.69    -3.97    56.80    10.36    -8.90     0.10     0.41     6.56     1.73P   19.73R    3.59  
Bristol_Rovers        7    5   -3      -4.13    13.12    -2.23    53.50    10.40   -10.94     0.03     0.18     4.06     0.98P   29.74R    6.55  
Shrewsbury            7    4   -3      -5.62     5.44    -3.18    58.49    10.31    -1.12     0.13     0.61     9.02     2.83P   14.82R    2.53  
Oxford_Utd            7    4   -9      -3.91    13.71    -6.12    52.48    10.70   -17.42     0.03     0.17     3.34     0.77P   34.29R    9.11  
Plymouth              7    3   -9      -5.36     5.82    -7.13    47.40    10.09   -22.49     0.00     0.03     0.99     0.19P   53.20R   17.79  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Bury 4 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      7   16   +9       4.78    90.50     6.56    77.73    10.32    21.38    14.18    38.65    70.93    47.09P    0.03R    0.01  
Newport_County    7   16   +2       6.94    97.46     2.73    68.29    10.27     0.60     2.52    10.84    34.63    15.36P    0.42R    0.09  
Exeter            7   13   +6       1.57    66.15     3.22    76.44    10.59    21.13    12.06    34.29    66.84    42.83P    0.04R    0.01  
Carlisle          7   13   +1       2.95    78.86     0.30    71.56    10.51     8.63     5.34    18.69    47.69    25.40P    0.23R    0.04  
Colchester        7   12   +9       0.72    57.59     6.48    74.68    10.39    22.78     9.40    28.67    61.06    37.67P    0.06R    0.01  
MK_Dons           6   12   +3       2.25    74.12     0.72    81.06    11.09    23.97    24.24    51.01    79.00    59.32P    0.03R    0.01  
Swindon           7   12   +0       1.13    61.83    -1.97    70.13    10.75     6.88     4.28    15.91    42.63    22.34P    0.38R    0.09  
Yeovil            6   11   +6       3.20    83.32     6.63    64.94    10.61     4.76     1.63     7.26    25.56    11.03P    1.17R    0.29  
Forest_Green      7   11   +5       2.15    72.95     6.23    59.58    10.20    -2.73     0.40     2.46    11.94     4.28P    3.14R    0.77  
Oldham            7   11   +3      -1.28    36.15    -1.02    74.09    11.09    17.41     9.17    27.38    58.07    36.76P    0.17R    0.04  
Stevenage         7   11   +1       0.17    52.21    -0.84    62.08    10.33    -2.45     0.77     4.13    17.21     6.95P    1.90R    0.45  
Mansfield         6   10   +4       0.38    54.32     1.95    72.25    10.54    15.17     6.19    21.04    50.99    29.04P    0.15R    0.03  
Bury              7   10   +3      -1.59    33.18    -0.04    71.66    11.44    15.43     6.74    21.99    49.54    29.96P    0.40R    0.08  
Tranmere          7   10   +1       1.47    66.43     2.54    58.99    10.54    -5.23     0.40     2.41    11.54     4.23P    4.17R    1.20  
Crawley_Town      7   10   -1       1.86    70.55     1.22    60.21    10.27    -6.07     0.44     2.74    12.82     4.66P    3.05R    0.82  
Crewe             6    7   +1      -1.11    37.67     1.24    59.39    10.96    -3.38     0.54     2.97    13.18     5.13P    4.53R    1.14  
Port_Vale         7    7   -1      -2.05    29.10    -0.24    57.91    10.16    -4.48     0.21     1.57     9.01     3.17P    4.66R    1.23  
Cheltenham        7    7   -2      -2.06    29.47    -1.20    56.01    10.33    -8.94     0.16     1.16     6.84     2.37P    6.87R    1.98  
Cambridge_Utd     7    7   -5      -2.20    28.07    -4.46    57.44    10.15    -9.42     0.22     1.44     8.06     2.83P    5.28R    1.56  
Northampton       7    6   -3      -4.30    12.30    -4.01    61.73    11.28     0.28     1.05     4.98    18.79     8.55P    3.16R    0.96  
Grimsby           7    5   -7      -2.42    25.04    -3.82    46.99     9.73   -23.73     0.01     0.06     0.81     0.18P   26.80R   10.13  
Morecambe         7    3  -12      -3.64    13.71    -7.57    43.55     9.54   -30.82     0.00     0.02     0.28     0.07P   41.46R   18.55  
Macclesfield      7    2   -9      -3.93    10.60    -3.07    35.78     9.68   -39.89     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   72.82R   53.09  
Notts_County      7    1  -14      -7.13     1.31   -11.57    50.27    10.58   -21.30     0.05     0.33     2.52     0.79P   19.08R    7.43  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Aldershot 3 2 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Harrogate_Town     10   22  +12       7.45    94.83    10.59    74.84    10.68    17.39    14.07    50.58    21.97P    0.82R    0.02  
Wrexham            10   21  +10       5.36    89.53     7.20    75.44     9.23    18.15    12.13    53.07    22.52P    0.23R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient      10   20   +9       3.92    81.33     5.53    77.98     9.60    22.15    19.39    63.72    31.14P    0.14R    0.00  
Hartlepool         10   19   +4       3.91    81.12     1.90    68.55     9.36     5.06     3.33    25.14     8.01P    1.85R    0.05  
Halifax            10   18   +7       4.79    86.92     7.37    64.67     9.31     4.03     1.38    14.38     3.89P    4.35R    0.16  
Salford_City       10   18   +5       5.24    87.96     6.34    64.33    10.28     1.09     2.04    15.81     4.82P    6.67R    0.29  
AFC_Fylde          10   17   +7       0.78    56.71     3.14    74.05     9.62    18.78    10.34    47.94    20.48P    0.48R    0.01  
Gateshead          10   17   +3       2.36    70.30     1.50    70.16     9.57     9.07     4.77    31.36    11.09P    1.38R    0.04  
Barnet             10   17   -1       0.39    53.43    -5.29    76.59     9.85    14.11    15.63    56.46    28.34P    0.28R    0.00  
Sutton_United       9   16   +3       2.79    74.68     1.65    69.83     9.78     8.20     4.70    30.54    10.48P    1.70R    0.06  
Solihull_Moors     10   16   -3       4.51    85.64     0.20    59.16     9.26   -11.45     0.28     4.89     1.03P   14.12R    0.87  
Boreham_Wood        9   15   +0       1.78    67.23    -1.50    66.91     9.50     2.81     2.36    20.14     6.51P    2.92R    0.09  
Ebbsfleet_United   10   14   +2       0.64    56.34     2.27    67.39     9.52     8.46     2.57    22.01     7.07P    2.79R    0.10  
Maidenhead         10   11   -2      -1.87    34.30    -0.73    55.55     9.56    -9.39     0.14     2.81     0.65P   24.20R    2.02  
Barrow             10   11   -2      -2.42    29.23    -1.75    54.96     9.30    -9.38     0.12     2.24     0.53P   25.57R    1.98  
Bromley            10   10   +1      -4.40    16.10    -0.24    62.77     9.79     6.17     1.11    11.92     3.82P    7.64R    0.40  
Chesterfield       10   10   -1      -6.01     8.52    -4.51    69.18    10.07    13.86     4.64    30.11    12.99P    2.31R    0.09  
Aldershot          10   10   -8      -3.20    23.44    -7.54    59.80     9.39    -6.81     0.39     5.77     1.60P   12.70R    0.78  
Eastleigh          10   10   -8      -1.24    40.09    -4.31    53.92     9.39   -15.87     0.07     1.66     0.37P   30.83R    3.14  
Havant_&_Wville    10    9   -8      -0.68    45.94    -1.10    43.11     9.85   -33.75     0.00     0.20     0.05P   73.88R   22.92  
Dag_&_Red          10    8   -4      -6.84     5.51    -5.81    58.35     9.69    -2.25     0.32     5.25     1.56P   15.80R    1.04  
Maidstone_United   10    7   -7      -3.82    18.40    -2.89    46.82     9.16   -20.89     0.00     0.26     0.05P   60.13R   11.28  
Dover_Athletic     10    6  -10      -7.09     4.22    -9.21    57.25     9.66    -6.85     0.22     3.74     1.06P   19.35R    1.52  
Braintree_Town     10    3   -9      -6.45     4.19    -2.80    36.27     9.54   -32.69     0.00     0.01     0.00    89.85R   53.13