Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 9 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Burnley 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +8       3.21    89.71     2.33    79.46     9.02    43.32    16.26    40.73    62.55    79.89    96.89     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           4   12   +7       3.76    92.62     2.62    76.86     9.09    36.41    10.12    28.56    50.17    70.74    94.55     0.00     0.00  
Watford           4   12   +6       6.79    99.29     6.56    52.09     9.21    -7.14     0.02     0.16     0.58     1.79    12.42     2.18R    0.23  
Man_City          4   10   +8       0.52    58.90     0.40    87.90     8.12    66.36    56.91    79.54    90.85    96.41    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         4    9   +5       1.04    62.52     0.65    78.56     8.82    42.95    13.34    36.17    59.37    77.97    96.57     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       4    7   +1       1.90    77.50     1.90    47.23     9.22   -12.14     0.00     0.03     0.14     0.57     5.28     6.78R    1.01  
Everton           4    6   +1      -0.53    41.47    -0.55    49.78     9.40    -5.70     0.01     0.08     0.35     1.18     8.99     4.10R    0.53  
Leicester         4    6   +1       1.15    66.44     2.16    53.87     9.55     0.89     0.03     0.28     0.97     2.96    17.46     1.70R    0.18  
Arsenal           4    6   +0      -0.33    43.59    -1.39    67.41     9.47    24.36     1.41     6.23    15.16    29.82    73.43     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd           4    6   -1      -1.25    30.91    -3.62    69.55     9.02    24.96     1.90     8.19    19.60    37.50    80.99     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     4    5   -1       1.05    67.94     1.78    43.09     9.34   -16.16     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.26     2.42    14.98R    3.18  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.31    33.07     0.21    45.08     8.88    -9.77     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.26     2.93     9.19R    1.53  
Fulham            4    4   -2      -0.33    48.05     0.54    38.35     9.61   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.13    31.60R    9.70  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.08    54.42     0.62    40.85     8.68   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.05    19.48R    4.07  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -3      -1.74    26.08    -1.73    42.51     9.01   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.83    15.43R    3.19  
Cardiff           4    2   -3      -2.31    19.84    -1.16    33.90     8.84   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    48.79R   17.19  
Huddersfield      4    2   -8      -0.60    42.98    -2.21    28.69     7.91   -41.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.79R   39.97  
Newcastle         4    1   -3      -2.55    15.43     0.39    44.52     9.17    -8.42     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.26     3.06    10.58R    1.98  
Burnley           4    1   -6      -3.73     7.37    -5.02    39.18     8.68   -19.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.64    25.13R    5.97  
West_Ham          4    0   -8      -3.86     3.67    -4.49    36.73     9.00   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.43    36.23R   11.26  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Bristol_City 4 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     6   14  +10       5.27    94.50     9.10    76.41    10.90    21.44     9.03    19.24    56.12    27.36P    0.18R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    6   14   +7       3.93    88.45     4.28    84.20    10.41    29.87    26.05    44.37    81.44    55.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   12   +4       3.33    82.95     3.31    70.35    10.99     9.03     3.34     8.12    34.03    13.52P    0.85R    0.10  
Derby            6   12   +2       2.04    71.44    -0.59    76.05    10.85    16.17     8.59    18.10    54.14    26.96P    0.20R    0.01  
Brentford        6   11   +6       1.34    66.00     3.70    73.65    10.98    17.92     6.29    13.84    46.05    21.57P    0.38R    0.05  
Bristol_City     6   11   +5       1.93    71.75     3.70    69.73    10.98    10.65     3.03     7.41    32.13    12.59P    0.99R    0.14  
Swansea          6   11   +2       1.26    64.46    -0.21    75.83    11.32    17.08     8.85    18.45    53.34    28.19P    0.32R    0.04  
Bolton           6   11   +0       4.75    92.86     3.19    51.23    10.08   -22.99     0.03     0.09     1.42     0.26P   24.83R    6.44  
West_Brom        6   10   +6      -0.96    38.01     1.59    80.89    11.44    30.93    19.93    34.76    70.73    46.30P    0.08R    0.02  
Wigan            6   10   +3       0.16    51.77     0.48    71.50    11.53    13.14     4.96    10.95    38.60    18.26P    0.92R    0.16  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +0       1.46    66.81    -0.43    65.86    10.79     1.44     1.36     3.57    20.53     7.14P    2.20R    0.34  
Aston_Villa      6    9   +0      -0.52    43.59    -1.95    72.52    10.87    13.26     4.86    10.84    41.63    18.75P    0.55R    0.07  
Blackburn        6    9   -1       0.76    58.99    -0.96    62.26    11.24    -3.54     0.80     2.28    13.48     4.65P    5.29R    0.93  
Nott'm_Forest    6    7   +0      -0.14    49.79     1.89    56.13    10.49    -9.30     0.10     0.36     4.37     1.04P   12.47R    2.74  
Rotherham        6    6   -6       0.45    57.33    -1.20    43.91    10.59   -35.10     0.01     0.02     0.49     0.10P   53.11R   24.09  
Millwall         6    5   -2      -2.52    23.38    -1.07    58.33    10.51    -4.29     0.21     0.67     6.35     1.82P    8.53R    1.71  
Norwich          6    5   -3      -2.63    22.83    -1.90    56.90    10.88    -8.61     0.17     0.58     5.56     1.54P   11.84R    2.68  
Stoke            6    5   -4      -3.28    17.36    -4.05    66.41    11.56     6.00     1.90     4.79    23.50     9.67P    2.78R    0.49  
Preston          6    5   -4      -3.27    16.28    -4.11    58.91    10.57    -5.21     0.23     0.79     7.25     2.18P    7.83R    1.54  
Birmingham       6    4   -2      -2.50    22.51     0.48    44.22     9.83   -23.88     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.03P   49.96R   19.45  
Hull             6    4   -5      -3.74    13.68    -4.08    56.61    11.02    -9.67     0.18     0.58     5.44     1.57P   12.54R    3.08  
QPR              6    4  -10      -2.12    27.09    -6.45    46.48    10.35   -30.87     0.01     0.03     0.53     0.13P   42.43R   15.89  
Ipswich          6    3   -4      -4.53     7.83    -2.93    52.17    10.42   -12.74     0.05     0.15     2.03     0.51P   21.25R    5.59  
Reading          6    2   -4      -4.87     5.91    -1.80    46.62    10.30   -20.72     0.01     0.04     0.61     0.12P   40.49R   14.44  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 September 2018, Oxford_Utd 1 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          7   19  +12       6.91    97.40     8.12    84.36    11.02    30.21    22.93    44.58    85.32    55.22P    0.09R    0.00  
Portsmouth            7   17   +9       6.09    95.33     7.03    75.55    10.54    16.46     5.73    15.65    60.73    25.95P    0.48R    0.02  
Barnsley              7   15  +11       1.64    65.44     5.27    86.54    11.13    38.41    31.06    53.71    89.26    65.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland            7   15   +8       2.12    70.19     2.96    86.49    11.23    35.62    31.00    53.20    88.97    65.19P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall               7   15   +5       5.34    92.58     4.93    68.54    10.47     5.14     1.51     5.08    34.00    10.80P    2.43R    0.21  
Fleetwood_Town        7   12   +7       1.68    67.50     5.97    70.53    10.61    14.44     2.40     7.43    42.52    16.02P    1.78R    0.17  
Doncaster             7   12   +4       2.26    73.09     3.75    66.63    10.36     5.97     0.90     3.38    27.83     8.98P    3.71R    0.33  
Charlton              7   11   +1       0.93    60.65     0.32    69.25    10.46     8.12     1.56     5.27    37.13    13.24P    2.27R    0.18  
Blackpool             7   10   +2      -0.24    47.63     0.95    63.36    10.49     2.03     0.51     1.97    19.13     5.78P    6.98R    0.74  
Accrington_Stanley    7   10   +0       1.40    65.44     1.44    56.44    10.77   -10.65     0.13     0.49     7.27     1.74P   21.93R    4.36  
Luton                 7    8   -1      -1.00    40.50    -0.01    61.79    11.26    -0.83     0.52     1.85    16.86     5.32P   10.92R    1.75  
Coventry              7    8   -2      -0.52    46.05    -0.63    51.62    10.29   -15.29     0.03     0.12     2.56     0.57P   36.48R    9.00  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    8   -4       0.36    56.01    -1.25    54.08     9.97   -13.79     0.02     0.14     3.63     0.79P   27.44R    5.63  
Rochdale              7    8   -6      -0.21    49.40    -3.68    58.22    10.55   -11.43     0.16     0.61     8.62     2.21P   17.24R    3.07  
Gillingham            7    7   -2      -1.69    33.12    -0.51    56.88    10.55    -7.56     0.09     0.45     7.43     1.86P   19.81R    3.75  
Southend              7    7   -2      -2.42    26.29    -1.68    59.59    10.64    -3.63     0.23     0.96    11.27     3.17P   13.59R    2.27  
Burton_Albion         7    7   -2      -3.01    21.25    -2.65    58.06    10.99    -5.49     0.23     0.96     9.78     3.02P   17.70R    3.37  
Scunthorpe            7    7   -7      -2.68    24.09    -6.98    64.56    10.79    -1.15     0.67     2.53    22.17     7.21P    6.52R    0.95  
Wycombe               7    6   -4      -1.49    35.52    -0.85    45.85    10.64   -25.77     0.01     0.04     1.01     0.24P   59.24R   24.31  
Bradford              7    6   -5      -2.90    21.46    -4.01    56.94    10.48    -8.78     0.08     0.48     7.06     1.81P   19.48R    3.69  
Bristol_Rovers        7    5   -3      -4.05    13.71    -2.12    53.24    10.45   -11.29     0.05     0.21     3.81     0.99P   30.44R    7.00  
Shrewsbury            7    4   -3      -5.62     5.48    -3.19    58.54    10.31    -1.06     0.14     0.63     8.98     2.80P   14.66R    2.38  
Oxford_Utd            7    4   -9      -3.94    13.45    -6.14    52.71    10.72   -17.10     0.04     0.21     3.66     0.92P   33.51R    8.88  
Plymouth              7    3   -9      -5.30     5.81    -7.05    47.36    10.10   -22.59     0.00     0.04     1.00     0.25P   53.24R   17.95  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Bury 4 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      7   16   +9       4.71    90.00     6.46    78.11    10.37    21.99    15.20    40.00    72.32    48.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County    7   16   +2       6.95    97.36     2.76    68.22    10.33     0.52     2.69    11.04    34.49    15.36P    0.44R    0.10  
Exeter            7   13   +6       1.57    66.25     3.21    76.39    10.56    21.06    12.01    33.98    66.48    42.88P    0.04R    0.00  
Carlisle          7   13   +1       3.02    79.22     0.41    71.23    10.46     8.14     4.88    17.73    46.56    24.52P    0.22R    0.05  
Colchester        7   12   +9       0.80    58.26     6.58    74.42    10.36    22.39     9.01    28.10    60.40    36.98P    0.06R    0.01  
MK_Dons           6   12   +3       2.28    74.51     0.76    80.81    10.96    23.62    23.25    50.59    78.78    59.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon           7   12   +0       1.15    61.88    -1.98    70.26    10.68     7.10     4.36    16.09    43.11    22.65P    0.34R    0.06  
Yeovil            6   11   +6       3.20    83.14     6.61    65.03    10.59     4.92     1.71     7.49    26.01    11.09P    1.09R    0.26  
Forest_Green      7   11   +5       2.19    73.06     6.28    59.34    10.31    -3.13     0.42     2.34    11.54     4.02P    3.62R    0.93  
Oldham            7   11   +3      -1.25    36.51    -0.97    73.84    10.93    17.00     8.87    26.77    56.92    35.82P    0.14R    0.03  
Stevenage         7   11   +1       0.13    51.87    -0.85    62.16    10.37    -2.37     0.80     4.19    17.44     7.07P    1.91R    0.45  
Mansfield         6   10   +4       0.34    53.82     1.90    72.56    10.59    15.61     6.79    22.01    52.55    30.36P    0.16R    0.03  
Bury              7   10   +3      -1.60    32.97    -0.07    71.70    11.39    15.61     6.79    21.90    49.64    29.83P    0.38R    0.08  
Tranmere          7   10   +1       1.51    66.93     2.57    58.94    10.71    -5.35     0.45     2.54    11.50     4.38P    4.59R    1.39  
Crawley_Town      7   10   -1       1.86    70.53     1.23    60.26    10.32    -6.03     0.49     2.78    12.79     4.73P    3.12R    0.84  
Crewe             6    7   +1      -1.11    37.80     1.22    59.27    10.81    -3.60     0.50     2.78    12.62     4.82P    4.24R    1.16  
Port_Vale         7    7   -1      -2.11    28.72    -0.35    58.23    10.19    -4.05     0.23     1.67     9.47     3.31P    4.42R    1.20  
Cheltenham        7    7   -2      -2.04    29.80    -1.14    55.83    10.30    -9.22     0.19     1.10     6.53     2.19P    7.18R    2.08  
Cambridge_Utd     7    7   -5      -2.20    28.14    -4.46    57.58    10.16    -9.09     0.24     1.49     8.33     2.84P    5.06R    1.43  
Northampton       7    6   -3      -4.33    12.25    -4.08    61.79    11.28     0.36     1.08     5.02    18.87     8.62P    3.18R    0.95  
Grimsby           7    5   -7      -2.43    25.15    -3.81    47.00     9.81   -23.77     0.00     0.07     0.84     0.20P   27.17R   10.42  
Morecambe         7    3  -12      -3.63    13.98    -7.56    43.50     9.60   -30.91     0.00     0.02     0.34     0.08P   41.35R   18.67  
Macclesfield      7    2   -9      -3.92    10.88    -3.08    35.82     9.72   -39.85     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   72.85R   52.67  
Notts_County      7    1  -14      -7.17     1.20   -11.65    50.46    10.50   -20.98     0.04     0.29     2.38     0.75P   18.40R    7.18  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 September 2018, Havant_&_Wville 2 1 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Harrogate_Town      9   19  +11       6.46    93.14    10.69    74.47    10.98    18.40    13.56    48.93    21.31P    1.05R    0.04  
Leyton_Orient       9   19   +9       4.35    85.24     5.62    78.54     9.81    22.48    20.83    64.94    32.62P    0.13R    0.00  
Wrexham             9   18   +9       4.10    83.97     6.70    74.03     9.52    17.47     9.59    46.99    19.14P    0.43R    0.02  
Halifax             9   17   +7       5.02    89.20     7.24    64.81     9.49     3.53     1.44    14.93     4.03P    4.80R    0.19  
AFC_Fylde           9   16   +7       1.24    61.13     3.23    75.00     9.92    19.63    12.28    51.24    22.49P    0.51R    0.01  
Hartlepool          9   16   +3       2.43    71.86     1.17    66.58     9.63     3.38     2.15    19.69     5.90P    3.55R    0.11  
Sutton_United       9   16   +3       2.79    74.90     1.67    69.82     9.71     8.03     4.57    29.70    10.29P    1.62R    0.04  
Solihull_Moors      9   16   -2       5.75    92.08     1.12    61.14     9.62    -9.89     0.56     7.91     1.66P   10.98R    0.70  
Salford_City        9   15   +4       4.08    83.00     6.17    62.75    10.75    -0.14     1.60    13.51     4.00P   10.09R    0.83  
Boreham_Wood        9   15   +0       1.66    66.18    -1.65    67.26     9.55     3.17     2.38    20.92     6.68P    2.84R    0.09  
Ebbsfleet_United    9   14   +3       1.92    68.17     3.24    69.84     9.71    11.00     4.27    30.52    10.35P    1.69R    0.06  
Gateshead           9   14   +2       0.71    57.15     0.50    67.29     9.87     6.20     2.96    22.27     7.52P    3.23R    0.17  
Barnet              9   14   -2      -0.61    44.23    -5.42    75.89    10.17    14.62    14.26    53.94    26.61P    0.50R    0.01  
Maidenhead          9   11   -1      -1.07    40.74    -0.55    56.05     9.71   -10.09     0.16     3.31     0.78P   23.72R    2.32  
Barrow              9   11   -1      -1.16    39.50    -0.86    57.19     9.67    -7.45     0.24     4.02     0.99P   19.64R    1.52  
Bromley             9   10   +2      -3.32    21.60     0.40    64.23     9.99     7.32     1.55    15.35     4.99P    6.19R    0.36  
Chesterfield        9    9   -1      -5.35     9.99    -4.10    71.04    10.37    16.20     6.83    37.05    16.63P    1.82R    0.06  
Havant_&_Wville     9    9   -7      -0.02    51.83    -1.44    43.67    10.14   -34.30     0.02     0.32     0.07P   71.79R   24.03  
Eastleigh           9    9   -8      -0.99    41.64    -4.36    54.24     9.79   -16.41     0.11     2.11     0.48P   30.57R    3.83  
Maidstone_United    9    7   -6      -2.98    23.69    -2.58    48.19     9.37   -20.30     0.01     0.39     0.06P   54.51R   10.63  
Aldershot           9    7   -9      -4.52    13.26    -8.05    57.84     9.66    -8.27     0.23     4.33     1.13P   18.15R    1.54  
Dag_&_Red           9    5   -5      -8.43     1.71    -6.75    55.84     9.99    -4.74     0.20     3.51     1.06P   24.02R    2.48  
Dover_Athletic      9    5  -10      -7.08     3.53    -9.68    56.91    10.03    -8.15     0.21     4.09     1.19P   21.58R    2.36  
Braintree_Town      9    3   -8      -5.57     6.05    -2.30    37.82     9.83   -31.69     0.00     0.04     0.01P   86.60R   48.60