Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 8 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Burnley 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +8       3.19    89.50     2.27    79.69     8.98    43.75    16.49    41.19    63.47    80.41    97.07     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           4   12   +7       3.77    92.74     2.62    76.86     9.10    36.43    10.12    28.60    49.77    70.29    94.59     0.00     0.00  
Watford           4   12   +6       6.80    99.33     6.58    52.20     9.16    -7.03     0.03     0.12     0.57     1.81    12.61     2.01R    0.23  
Man_City          4   10   +8       0.51    58.59     0.39    87.95     8.14    66.56    56.30    79.58    90.70    96.54    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         4    9   +5       1.04    62.68     0.65    78.49     8.87    42.92    13.58    35.90    58.74    77.66    96.35     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       4    7   +1       1.93    77.95     1.93    47.24     9.18   -12.15     0.01     0.04     0.13     0.54     5.28     6.50R    1.01  
Everton           4    6   +1      -0.57    40.52    -0.62    50.10     9.44    -5.24     0.02     0.08     0.46     1.40     9.51     3.71R    0.50  
Leicester         4    6   +1       1.16    66.41     2.18    53.89     9.52     0.84     0.03     0.23     1.00     2.92    17.46     1.70R    0.22  
Arsenal           4    6   +0      -0.31    43.93    -1.37    67.51     9.51    24.50     1.42     6.28    15.72    30.33    73.51     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd           4    6   -1      -1.25    30.84    -3.62    69.44     9.08    24.80     1.99     7.93    19.16    37.08    80.54     0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     4    5   -1       1.06    68.01     1.78    42.91     9.39   -16.50     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.21     2.36    15.49R    3.26  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.29    33.41     0.25    44.89     8.97   -10.10     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.22     2.88     9.68R    1.69  
Fulham            4    4   -2      -0.35    47.50     0.50    38.51     9.57   -27.63     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.07     1.04    30.52R    9.18  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.07    54.47     0.61    40.94     8.72   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     1.02    19.19R    3.96  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -3      -1.72    26.11    -1.70    42.48     8.95   -16.29     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.15     1.63    15.16R    3.00  
Cardiff           4    2   -3      -2.29    20.39    -1.11    33.61     8.87   -28.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    49.94R   18.33  
Huddersfield      4    2   -8      -0.61    42.70    -2.19    28.63     7.82   -41.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.97R   39.68  
Newcastle         4    1   -3      -2.57    15.26     0.34    44.68     9.13    -8.13     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.24     3.15    10.20R    1.78  
Burnley           4    1   -6      -3.72     7.46    -5.01    39.00     8.69   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.65    25.27R    5.99  
West_Ham          4    0   -8      -3.87     3.61    -4.48    36.67     8.99   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.42    36.62R   11.17  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Bristol_City 4 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     6   14  +10       5.26    94.61     9.10    76.27    10.91    21.22     9.46    19.41    55.57    27.33P    0.18R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    6   14   +7       3.95    88.58     4.32    84.08    10.36    29.71    26.00    44.19    81.40    55.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   12   +4       3.28    82.65     3.24    70.77    11.03     9.67     3.68     8.69    35.26    14.33P    0.88R    0.10  
Derby            6   12   +2       2.05    71.48    -0.56    75.89    10.82    15.99     8.52    17.93    53.50    27.08P    0.21R    0.01  
Brentford        6   11   +6       1.43    66.80     3.82    73.32    11.06    17.38     6.26    13.70    45.12    21.40P    0.47R    0.06  
Bristol_City     6   11   +5       1.97    72.02     3.75    69.72    11.07    10.59     3.15     7.80    32.56    13.13P    1.16R    0.16  
Swansea          6   11   +2       1.23    63.90    -0.23    75.77    11.22    17.10     9.05    18.38    53.49    28.21P    0.23R    0.03  
Bolton           6   11   +0       4.71    92.66     3.09    51.52     9.99   -22.48     0.03     0.09     1.44     0.28P   23.79R    5.86  
West_Brom        6   10   +6      -0.90    38.65     1.73    80.43    11.35    30.21    18.70    33.25    69.24    44.73P    0.09R    0.01  
Wigan            6   10   +3       0.19    52.04     0.52    71.69    11.40    13.35     5.18    11.14    39.43    18.52P    0.88R    0.12  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +0       1.35    65.65    -0.57    66.26    10.77     2.02     1.51     4.01    21.29     7.61P    2.06R    0.27  
Aston_Villa      6    9   +0      -0.55    43.45    -1.99    72.45    10.76    13.15     4.66    10.86    41.58    18.87P    0.48R    0.05  
Blackburn        6    9   -1       0.74    58.85    -0.96    62.18    11.40    -3.67     0.89     2.41    13.70     4.69P    5.65R    1.05  
Nott'm_Forest    6    7   +0      -0.21    48.86     1.77    56.34    10.68    -8.89     0.16     0.54     4.87     1.26P   12.39R    2.74  
Rotherham        6    6   -6       0.43    57.28    -1.25    43.99    10.65   -34.98     0.01     0.03     0.37     0.08P   52.69R   24.21  
Millwall         6    5   -2      -2.47    23.96    -1.02    58.20    10.57    -4.39     0.17     0.60     6.42     1.82P    8.96R    1.88  
Norwich          6    5   -3      -2.65    22.82    -1.98    57.04    10.94    -8.32     0.22     0.69     6.01     1.73P   11.80R    2.63  
Stoke            6    5   -4      -3.30    17.23    -4.11    66.28    11.58     5.80     1.92     4.85    23.31     9.66P    2.90R    0.53  
Preston          6    5   -4      -3.25    16.30    -4.05    58.79    10.51    -5.41     0.21     0.71     6.94     2.04P    7.85R    1.54  
Birmingham       6    4   -2      -2.48    22.66     0.49    44.31     9.77   -23.62     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P   49.81R   19.19  
Hull             6    4   -5      -3.71    14.00    -4.04    56.49    10.84    -9.82     0.16     0.52     5.21     1.44P   12.74R    3.01  
QPR              6    4  -10      -2.15    26.83    -6.51    46.65    10.37   -30.67     0.01     0.03     0.55     0.10P   42.28R   15.51  
Ipswich          6    3   -4      -4.50     8.06    -2.87    52.10    10.35   -12.86     0.04     0.13     1.92     0.47P   21.30R    5.60  
Reading          6    2   -4      -4.81     6.15    -1.70    46.42    10.43   -21.09     0.01     0.03     0.55     0.14P   41.18R   15.43  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          7   19  +12       6.96    97.59     8.22    84.17    10.86    29.93    22.55    43.84    85.25    54.83P    0.05R    0.00  
Portsmouth            7   17   +9       6.11    95.56     7.05    75.58    10.49    16.46     5.98    15.82    60.49    26.11P    0.44R    0.02  
Barnsley              7   15  +11       1.67    65.96     5.31    86.44    11.00    38.17    31.13    53.66    89.33    65.90P    0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland            7   15   +8       2.19    70.55     3.08    86.33    11.28    35.38    30.68    53.05    88.39    64.58P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall               7   15   +5       5.37    92.52     4.96    68.63    10.56     5.26     1.59     5.26    34.36    11.06P    2.41R    0.20  
Fleetwood_Town        7   12   +7       1.69    67.25     5.97    70.76    10.71    14.76     2.60     8.00    43.29    16.82P    1.63R    0.10  
Doncaster             7   12   +4       2.16    72.06     3.59    67.10    10.37     6.56     1.21     3.93    29.12     9.48P    3.13R    0.25  
Charlton              7   11   +1       0.96    60.89     0.37    68.97    10.43     7.70     1.49     5.22    35.87    12.68P    2.33R    0.19  
Blackpool             7   10   +2      -0.26    47.60     0.94    63.12    10.39     1.77     0.49     1.76    18.04     5.52P    6.79R    0.72  
Accrington_Stanley    7   10   +0       1.39    65.29     1.42    56.68    10.96   -10.36     0.19     0.66     7.82     2.14P   21.88R    4.31  
Luton                 7    8   -1      -0.95    41.34     0.09    61.67    11.15    -0.97     0.44     1.71    16.31     5.00P   10.76R    1.66  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    8   -4       0.29    55.19    -1.37    54.36     9.95   -13.42     0.03     0.15     3.67     0.77P   26.20R    4.90  
Rochdale              7    8   -6      -0.20    49.58    -3.67    58.06    10.59   -11.65     0.11     0.54     8.50     2.07P   17.54R    3.02  
Gillingham            7    7   -2      -1.70    32.82    -0.55    56.94    10.55    -7.48     0.10     0.51     7.21     1.90P   19.55R    3.57  
Southend              7    7   -2      -2.44    26.28    -1.72    59.63    10.61    -3.57     0.21     0.95    11.25     3.21P   13.38R    2.10  
Burton_Albion         7    7   -2      -3.02    21.42    -2.67    58.61    10.95    -4.71     0.20     0.91    10.33     3.22P   16.17R    2.90  
Scunthorpe            7    7   -7      -2.72    23.50    -7.03    64.52    10.83    -1.19     0.64     2.39    22.24     7.28P    6.52R    0.87  
Wycombe               7    6   -4      -1.47    35.80    -0.80    45.71    10.50   -26.07     0.01     0.04     0.84     0.21P   59.33R   24.05  
Bradford              7    6   -5      -2.80    22.43    -3.87    56.66    10.45    -9.20     0.09     0.37     6.65     1.66P   20.15R    3.66  
Bristol_Rovers        7    5   -3      -4.07    13.42    -2.13    53.29    10.53   -11.25     0.04     0.19     3.88     0.90P   30.34R    6.87  
Coventry              6    5   -3      -2.09    27.76    -1.56    48.45    10.47   -18.49     0.01     0.09     1.54     0.38P   48.38R   15.34  
Shrewsbury            7    4   -3      -5.58     5.61    -3.15    58.44    10.32    -1.17     0.12     0.55     8.79     2.64P   14.78R    2.31  
Oxford_Utd            6    4   -8      -2.62    22.15    -5.27    55.20    10.94   -14.24     0.08     0.35     5.88     1.46P   26.05R    5.94  
Plymouth              7    3   -9      -5.42     5.76    -7.20    47.57    10.14   -22.22     0.01     0.04     0.95     0.18P   52.12R   17.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 September 2018, Bury 4 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      7   16   +9       4.76    90.19     6.54    77.93    10.39    21.69    15.05    39.78    71.98    47.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Newport_County    7   16   +2       6.94    97.39     2.74    68.21    10.23     0.43     2.62    10.88    34.45    15.25P    0.45R    0.08  
Exeter            7   13   +6       1.63    66.73     3.32    76.20    10.48    20.72    11.62    33.34    66.07    42.15P    0.06R    0.01  
Carlisle          7   13   +1       3.03    79.33     0.42    71.10    10.47     8.03     4.88    17.55    46.22    24.23P    0.29R    0.05  
Colchester        7   12   +9       0.76    57.73     6.53    74.57    10.35    22.65     9.31    28.75    61.02    37.63P    0.09R    0.01  
MK_Dons           6   12   +3       2.25    74.11     0.72    80.73    11.07    23.49    23.52    50.44    78.26    58.78P    0.03R    0.01  
Swindon           7   12   +0       1.09    61.35    -2.02    70.41    10.72     7.36     4.66    16.97    43.84    23.52P    0.30R    0.05  
Yeovil            6   11   +6       3.18    83.17     6.59    65.05    10.52     4.98     1.61     7.33    25.92    11.21P    1.12R    0.23  
Forest_Green      7   11   +5       2.21    73.36     6.32    59.08    10.30    -3.51     0.39     2.28    11.39     3.92P    3.85R    1.02  
Oldham            7   11   +3      -1.26    36.42    -0.97    73.99    10.97    17.23     9.05    27.19    57.81    36.55P    0.15R    0.03  
Stevenage         7   11   +1       0.16    52.12    -0.84    62.17    10.27    -2.27     0.76     4.14    17.19     6.95P    1.94R    0.45  
Mansfield         6   10   +4       0.32    53.42     1.88    72.67    10.50    15.81     6.84    22.39    52.75    30.55P    0.13R    0.01  
Bury              7   10   +3      -1.49    33.94     0.08    71.21    11.35    14.74     6.37    20.67    48.19    28.66P    0.41R    0.11  
Tranmere          7   10   +1       1.46    66.14     2.49    59.14    10.67    -5.01     0.50     2.68    11.93     4.51P    4.34R    1.33  
Crawley_Town      7   10   -1       1.82    69.87     1.15    60.56    10.32    -5.57     0.48     2.90    13.75     4.96P    2.96R    0.81  
Crewe             6    7   +1      -1.10    37.95     1.23    59.30    10.84    -3.53     0.54     2.87    12.71     4.89P    4.42R    1.19  
Port_Vale         7    7   -1      -2.06    29.07    -0.27    57.99    10.15    -4.34     0.28     1.68     9.05     3.22P    4.55R    1.27  
Cheltenham        7    7   -2      -2.03    29.79    -1.14    55.85    10.27    -9.23     0.16     1.14     6.55     2.26P    7.17R    2.20  
Cambridge_Utd     7    7   -5      -2.27    27.18    -4.56    57.62    10.26    -9.05     0.24     1.54     8.61     3.19P    5.38R    1.70  
Northampton       7    6   -3      -4.26    12.40    -3.98    61.75    11.14     0.27     1.08     5.02    18.73     8.60P    2.98R    0.90  
Grimsby           7    5   -7      -2.43    25.01    -3.83    46.98     9.72   -23.79     0.01     0.09     0.83     0.17P   27.46R   10.39  
Morecambe         7    3  -12      -3.70    13.46    -7.66    43.75     9.59   -30.58     0.01     0.02     0.28     0.05P   40.87R   18.49  
Macclesfield      7    2   -9      -3.96    10.55    -3.11    36.00     9.66   -39.48     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.03P   72.50R   52.58  
Notts_County      7    1  -14      -7.18     1.22   -11.64    50.38    10.45   -21.05     0.04     0.34     2.41     0.76P   18.54R    7.08  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 September 2018, Havant_&_Wville 2 1 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Harrogate_Town      9   19  +11       6.46    93.12    10.68    74.56    11.04    18.51    13.37    49.67    21.71P    1.17R    0.03  
Leyton_Orient       9   19   +9       4.28    84.75     5.51    78.70     9.83    22.73    21.30    65.42    32.94P    0.15R    0.00  
Wrexham             9   18   +9       4.13    84.19     6.74    74.05     9.52    17.42     9.63    46.81    19.03P    0.40R    0.00  
Halifax             9   17   +7       5.04    89.24     7.28    64.67     9.54     3.33     1.50    14.61     3.89P    4.96R    0.17  
AFC_Fylde           9   16   +7       1.22    60.94     3.20    75.14     9.95    19.92    12.45    51.82    23.01P    0.46R    0.01  
Hartlepool          9   16   +3       2.43    71.58     1.15    66.47     9.66     3.22     2.18    19.10     5.90P    3.39R    0.11  
Sutton_United       9   16   +3       2.77    74.63     1.63    70.05     9.78     8.42     4.63    30.74    10.76P    1.71R    0.05  
Solihull_Moors      9   16   -2       5.82    92.25     1.22    61.02     9.57   -10.10     0.52     7.45     1.56P   11.01R    0.71  
Salford_City        9   15   +4       4.07    83.09     6.17    62.90    10.80    -0.00     1.69    13.76     4.12P    9.76R    0.73  
Boreham_Wood        9   15   +0       1.69    66.30    -1.59    67.01     9.54     2.81     2.19    20.00     6.27P    2.99R    0.09  
Ebbsfleet_United    9   14   +3       1.96    68.56     3.28    69.84     9.74    10.99     4.33    30.30    10.36P    1.64R    0.04  
Gateshead           9   14   +2       0.69    56.97     0.48    67.58     9.80     6.56     2.93    22.81     7.39P    2.88R    0.11  
Barnet              9   14   -2      -0.61    44.24    -5.44    75.91    10.16    14.58    13.78    53.65    26.31P    0.57R    0.01  
Maidenhead          9   11   -1      -1.16    39.90    -0.69    56.32     9.74    -9.62     0.21     3.49     0.78P   22.61R    2.03  
Barrow              9   11   -1      -1.15    39.58    -0.85    57.29     9.67    -7.37     0.22     4.12     0.98P   19.38R    1.53  
Bromley             9   10   +2      -3.30    21.72     0.40    64.38     9.91     7.55     1.46    15.35     4.83P    5.79R    0.31  
Chesterfield        9    9   -1      -5.36     9.98    -4.11    71.00    10.33    16.19     6.85    36.82    16.44P    1.70R    0.03  
Havant_&_Wville     9    9   -7      -0.01    51.96    -1.39    43.53    10.14   -34.69     0.01     0.25     0.06P   72.33R   23.97  
Eastleigh           9    9   -8      -1.01    41.47    -4.37    54.10     9.63   -16.53     0.08     1.80     0.42P   30.78R    3.83  
Maidstone_United    9    7   -6      -2.96    23.69    -2.52    48.03     9.41   -20.53     0.01     0.45     0.11P   55.33R   10.74  
Aldershot           9    7   -9      -4.56    12.94    -8.08    57.78     9.65    -8.31     0.22     4.13     1.07P   18.38R    1.49  
Dag_&_Red           9    5   -5      -8.45     1.63    -6.79    55.83    10.00    -4.78     0.21     3.41     0.99P   23.88R    2.45  
Dover_Athletic      9    5  -10      -7.08     3.55    -9.67    56.95     9.95    -8.05     0.22     4.00     1.08P   21.38R    2.08  
Braintree_Town      9    3   -8      -5.54     6.18    -2.23    37.46     9.74   -32.24     0.00     0.04     0.00P   87.35R   49.46