Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 7 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Burnley 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +8       3.20    89.67     2.31    79.56     9.02    43.47    15.97    41.04    62.86    80.00    96.84     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           4   12   +7       3.80    92.77     2.66    76.67     9.12    36.09     9.76    27.89    48.78    69.74    94.22     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           4   12   +6       6.78    99.36     6.54    52.21     9.25    -7.06     0.01     0.13     0.60     1.88    12.75     2.12R    0.24  
Man_City          4   10   +8       0.52    58.84     0.39    88.04     8.16    66.69    56.93    79.72    91.03    96.58    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         4    9   +5       1.04    62.49     0.63    78.60     8.85    43.12    13.79    36.04    59.18    77.96    96.40     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       4    7   +1       1.91    77.62     1.93    47.00     9.22   -12.50     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.59     5.15     7.09R    1.09  
Everton           4    6   +1      -0.53    40.98    -0.57    49.96     9.30    -5.41     0.00     0.05     0.34     1.17     8.83     3.70R    0.51  
Leicester         4    6   +1       1.12    65.96     2.12    53.92     9.56     0.87     0.05     0.30     0.98     3.00    17.56     1.60R    0.20  
Arsenal           4    6   +0      -0.33    43.44    -1.38    67.65     9.53    24.73     1.47     6.51    16.17    31.07    73.80     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd           4    6   -1      -1.26    30.66    -3.61    69.46     9.04    24.84     2.00     8.26    19.65    36.90    80.96     0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     4    5   -1       1.04    67.76     1.75    43.10     9.45   -16.15     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.25     2.55    15.22R    3.14  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.31    33.21     0.22    44.91     8.99   -10.02     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.31     2.95     9.47R    1.64  
Fulham            4    4   -2      -0.37    47.52     0.49    38.51     9.76   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     1.21    31.10R    9.46  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.12    55.43     0.68    40.70     8.82   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.02    20.25R    4.45  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -3      -1.70    26.41    -1.68    42.33     8.96   -16.57     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.12     1.68    15.67R    3.24  
Cardiff           4    2   -3      -2.30    20.26    -1.16    33.77     8.91   -28.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    48.76R   17.85  
Huddersfield      4    2   -8      -0.62    42.70    -2.23    28.74     7.85   -41.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.49R   38.93  
Newcastle         4    1   -3      -2.57    15.26     0.37    44.66     9.18    -8.13     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.24     3.08    10.31R    1.90  
Burnley           4    1   -6      -3.71     7.41    -5.00    39.10     8.66   -19.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.63    25.12R    6.05  
West_Ham          4    0   -8      -3.85     3.73    -4.46    36.72     8.95   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38    36.05R   11.30  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Bristol_City 4 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     6   14  +10       5.27    94.44     9.11    76.11    10.88    21.01     8.79    18.60    54.83    26.56P    0.18R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    6   14   +7       3.96    88.56     4.31    84.08    10.40    29.71    25.73    43.67    81.19    55.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   12   +4       3.32    82.95     3.31    70.33    11.05     8.99     3.46     8.07    33.87    13.37P    0.94R    0.12  
Derby            6   12   +2       2.01    71.05    -0.58    75.94    10.83    16.04     8.52    17.96    53.55    26.88P    0.20R    0.02  
Brentford        6   11   +6       1.35    65.86     3.71    73.61    11.07    17.88     6.53    13.97    46.13    21.62P    0.42R    0.03  
Bristol_City     6   11   +5       1.93    71.51     3.69    69.86    10.99    10.87     3.04     7.62    32.81    13.09P    1.03R    0.13  
Swansea          6   11   +2       1.22    64.03    -0.27    75.86    11.29    17.25     9.30    18.77    53.46    28.62P    0.27R    0.03  
Bolton           6   11   +0       4.74    92.97     3.19    51.20     9.96   -23.06     0.03     0.09     1.31     0.28P   24.19R    6.09  
West_Brom        6   10   +6      -0.96    37.95     1.60    80.77    11.38    30.75    19.21    34.19    70.37    45.62P    0.11R    0.01  
Wigan            6   10   +3       0.11    51.18     0.38    72.11    11.35    14.05     5.31    11.63    40.74    19.33P    0.74R    0.11  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +0       1.39    66.11    -0.50    66.19    10.83     1.95     1.46     3.96    21.13     7.47P    2.13R    0.27  
Aston_Villa      6    9   +0      -0.55    43.42    -1.98    72.65    10.72    13.44     4.95    11.33    41.74    19.24P    0.48R    0.05  
Blackburn        6    9   -1       0.76    58.98    -0.94    62.21    11.25    -3.64     0.85     2.28    13.34     4.59P    5.30R    1.04  
Nott'm_Forest    6    7   +0      -0.17    49.42     1.87    56.41    10.67    -8.83     0.16     0.48     4.82     1.24P   12.14R    2.64  
Rotherham        6    6   -6       0.49    57.76    -1.15    43.70    10.63   -35.54     0.01     0.02     0.36     0.07P   53.34R   24.76  
Millwall         6    5   -2      -2.48    23.92    -1.03    58.17    10.53    -4.51     0.18     0.56     6.06     1.74P    8.87R    1.78  
Norwich          6    5   -3      -2.66    22.84    -1.97    57.09    10.99    -8.29     0.24     0.76     6.04     1.76P   11.54R    2.62  
Stoke            6    5   -4      -3.24    17.62    -4.01    66.31    11.50     5.86     1.77     4.53    23.01     9.20P    2.86R    0.55  
Preston          6    5   -4      -3.25    16.43    -4.08    58.75    10.46    -5.51     0.22     0.71     6.69     1.93P    7.87R    1.49  
Birmingham       6    4   -2      -2.51    22.31     0.44    44.36     9.84   -23.61     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P   48.89R   19.08  
Hull             6    4   -5      -3.77    13.53    -4.10    56.63    10.96    -9.62     0.19     0.60     5.35     1.53P   12.70R    2.96  
QPR              6    4  -10      -2.13    26.93    -6.45    46.51    10.26   -30.86     0.00     0.03     0.56     0.09P   42.08R   15.23  
Ipswich          6    3   -4      -4.47     8.10    -2.85    51.88    10.42   -13.19     0.03     0.12     1.81     0.47P   22.26R    5.96  
Reading          6    2   -4      -4.80     6.17    -1.71    46.36    10.30   -21.13     0.01     0.04     0.58     0.12P   41.45R   15.01  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          6   16  +11       5.73    95.97     7.86    82.34    11.16    28.35    16.97    36.54    80.82    48.42P    0.12R    0.01  
Portsmouth            6   16   +9       6.60    97.78     7.24    75.87    10.72    16.44     6.05    16.14    61.52    26.63P    0.48R    0.03  
Barnsley              6   14  +11       2.41    75.78     5.85    88.12    11.38    40.30    35.64    58.98    90.95    69.93P    0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland            6   14   +8       2.84    79.32     3.49    87.49    11.33    36.60    32.51    56.23    90.14    67.71P    0.04R    0.01  
Walsall               6   14   +5       5.31    94.17     4.30    67.89    10.66     3.61     1.30     4.59    31.87    10.01P    3.18R    0.27  
Fleetwood_Town        6   11   +7       1.79    70.17     5.55    70.26    10.87    13.47     2.49     7.56    41.50    15.82P    1.94R    0.17  
Doncaster             6    9   +3       0.72    58.89     2.85    64.82    10.54     4.77     0.61     2.46    22.79     7.13P    5.23R    0.58  
Accrington_Stanley    6    9   +0       1.67    69.41     1.30    56.72    11.21   -10.89     0.20     0.73     8.33     2.22P   22.07R    4.60  
Luton                 6    8   +0       0.19    53.51     0.73    64.18    11.66     1.89     0.83     3.14    23.43     7.91P    8.14R    1.24  
Charlton              6    8   +0      -0.16    49.59     0.07    67.39    10.60     6.79     1.04     3.90    30.89    10.53P    3.27R    0.33  
Blackpool             6    7   +1      -1.65    31.47     0.28    60.65    10.49    -0.23     0.21     1.01    13.07     3.82P   10.96R    1.46  
Gillingham            6    7   -1      -0.32    47.39     0.50    59.17    10.72    -5.11     0.19     0.89    10.87     2.92P   14.76R    2.42  
Southend              6    7   -1      -1.34    35.57    -1.21    60.82    10.72    -2.72     0.28     1.18    13.51     3.83P   11.53R    1.72  
Rochdale              6    7   -6      -0.01    51.25    -4.02    57.74    10.81   -12.40     0.14     0.57     8.41     2.08P   18.77R    3.44  
Burton_Albion         6    6   -2      -2.51    23.81    -2.48    58.94    11.25    -4.69     0.32     1.12    11.54     3.56P   16.02R    3.00  
Wycombe               6    6   -3      -0.61    44.44    -0.67    47.14    10.72   -24.35     0.01     0.04     1.43     0.24P   54.42R   20.17  
Bradford              6    6   -4      -1.63    32.03    -3.18    58.55    10.53    -7.14     0.14     0.61     9.47     2.52P   15.83R    2.49  
Scunthorpe            6    6   -7      -2.13    27.07    -6.74    65.17    11.03    -0.70     0.75     2.83    24.31     8.22P    6.21R    0.79  
Coventry              6    5   -3      -2.13    27.38    -1.64    48.54    10.46   -18.31     0.02     0.06     1.59     0.36P   48.24R   15.39  
AFC_Wimbledon         6    5   -5      -1.33    35.86    -2.27    51.67    10.19   -15.86     0.02     0.08     2.53     0.49P   36.39R    8.80  
Bristol_Rovers        6    4   -3      -3.61    14.31    -2.00    54.02    10.73   -10.81     0.06     0.27     4.74     1.21P   28.51R    6.62  
Oxford_Utd            6    4   -8      -2.61    22.19    -5.22    55.08    10.88   -14.33     0.04     0.32     5.59     1.29P   26.26R    6.08  
Shrewsbury            6    3   -3      -5.33     4.83    -3.31    58.63    10.46    -1.41     0.16     0.71     9.60     2.92P   14.76R    2.34  
Plymouth              6    2   -9      -5.10     5.29    -7.30    47.41    10.29   -23.29     0.01     0.03     1.08     0.23P   52.83R   18.04  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Bury 3 2 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      6   16  +10       6.45    97.65     8.01    81.22    10.57    25.66    22.74    52.13    81.55    59.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County    6   13   +1       5.08    93.70     1.39    65.19    10.37    -2.73     1.39     6.91    25.65    10.40P    1.25R    0.26  
MK_Dons           6   12   +3       2.22    73.65     0.71    80.64    11.04    23.48    21.78    49.80    78.90    58.82P    0.03R    0.01  
Colchester        6   11   +9       1.33    65.30     6.82    75.45    10.55    23.46    10.31    31.25    65.02    40.47P    0.10R    0.02  
Yeovil            6   11   +6       3.24    83.42     6.68    65.25    10.59     5.19     1.63     7.65    27.29    11.54P    1.27R    0.31  
Oldham            6   11   +4       0.30    53.31     0.21    77.50    11.19    21.47    14.70    39.04    69.73    48.26P    0.09R    0.02  
Forest_Green      6   10   +5       2.72    79.14     6.51    59.95    10.50    -2.87     0.41     2.93    13.74     4.90P    3.91R    1.10  
Mansfield         6   10   +4       0.28    53.00     1.81    72.56    10.50    15.68     6.17    21.79    53.81    30.61P    0.19R    0.03  
Exeter            6   10   +2       0.96    60.99     0.77    72.69    10.67    13.90     6.12    22.29    53.82    30.69P    0.22R    0.04  
Carlisle          6   10   +0       1.41    66.37    -0.56    68.90    10.67     6.15     3.27    13.38    39.22    19.32P    0.61R    0.15  
Tranmere          6    9   +1       1.71    69.92     2.40    59.00    10.94    -5.89     0.49     2.83    12.75     4.90P    5.49R    1.60  
Swindon           6    9   -1      -0.13    48.23    -2.41    67.89    10.90     4.97     2.87    12.23    36.32    18.05P    0.90R    0.20  
Stevenage         6    8   +0      -0.83    41.30    -0.89    61.28    10.56    -2.28     0.72     3.88    16.74     6.66P    3.00R    0.79  
Crewe             6    7   +1      -1.10    37.66     1.21    59.19    10.82    -3.69     0.47     2.75    13.15     4.87P    4.88R    1.50  
Bury              6    7   -1      -2.11    26.75    -2.35    67.60    11.49     7.71     3.24    12.80    36.48    19.18P    1.19R    0.29  
Crawley_Town      6    7   -2      -0.17    49.31    -0.34    56.58    10.53   -10.32     0.21     1.44     8.17     2.78P    7.61R    2.42  
Cambridge_Utd     6    7   -4      -0.94    39.89    -3.62    59.91    10.39    -6.68     0.39     2.55    13.10     4.78P    4.08R    1.22  
Northampton       6    6   -1      -2.92    19.93    -2.01    66.40    11.48     7.47     2.61    10.89    32.93    16.79P    1.62R    0.44  
Port_Vale         6    6   -1      -1.85    29.25    -0.47    57.98    10.37    -4.92     0.29     1.82     9.93     3.51P    5.60R    1.71  
Grimsby           6    5   -3      -1.97    28.56    -1.26    49.89    10.02   -17.39     0.02     0.25     2.10     0.60P   19.77R    7.29  
Cheltenham        6    4   -4      -3.78    12.74    -3.40    51.93    10.36   -14.76     0.05     0.48     3.50     1.14P   15.60R    5.45  
Morecambe         6    3  -11      -2.62    20.30    -7.07    45.04     9.87   -30.06     0.00     0.05     0.61     0.12P   38.32R   17.80  
Macclesfield      6    2   -8      -3.24    14.44    -3.01    36.75     9.99   -40.01     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.03P   71.50R   52.72  
Notts_County      6    1  -10      -6.67     1.53    -9.10    53.87    10.75   -13.56     0.12     0.86     5.39     1.84P   12.77R    4.64  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 September 2018, Havant_&_Wville 2 1 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Harrogate_Town      9   19  +11       6.48    93.29    10.71    74.40    11.09    18.34    13.47    48.90    21.36P    1.20R    0.06  
Leyton_Orient       9   19   +9       4.32    85.17     5.55    78.68     9.81    22.71    21.27    65.40    33.08P    0.13R    0.00  
Wrexham             9   18   +9       4.06    83.76     6.64    74.20     9.46    17.65     9.74    47.46    19.27P    0.33R    0.01  
Halifax             9   17   +7       5.05    89.37     7.28    64.77     9.57     3.42     1.54    14.98     4.06P    4.95R    0.15  
AFC_Fylde           9   16   +7       1.23    61.09     3.21    74.95     9.93    19.63    12.17    51.09    22.38P    0.53R    0.01  
Hartlepool          9   16   +3       2.30    70.46     0.96    66.89     9.73     3.83     2.53    20.50     6.31P    3.31R    0.10  
Sutton_United       9   16   +3       2.81    74.92     1.67    69.90     9.81     8.19     4.53    30.42    10.47P    1.72R    0.06  
Solihull_Moors      9   16   -2       5.77    92.17     1.17    61.18     9.60    -9.84     0.63     7.85     1.83P   10.62R    0.71  
Salford_City        9   15   +4       4.04    82.94     6.10    62.95    10.75     0.16     1.70    13.78     4.04P    9.77R    0.69  
Boreham_Wood        9   15   +0       1.67    66.04    -1.63    67.10     9.56     2.89     2.38    20.53     6.55P    3.00R    0.07  
Ebbsfleet_United    9   14   +3       1.96    68.76     3.33    69.76     9.80    10.89     4.44    30.44    10.69P    1.83R    0.06  
Gateshead           9   14   +2       0.69    56.80     0.49    67.42     9.80     6.35     2.82    22.78     7.48P    3.16R    0.14  
Barnet              9   14   -2      -0.58    44.55    -5.40    75.62    10.23    14.26    13.57    52.69    25.92P    0.54R    0.01  
Maidenhead          9   11   -1      -1.13    40.39    -0.67    56.27     9.76    -9.76     0.20     3.36     0.76P   23.05R    2.20  
Barrow              9   11   -1      -1.18    39.45    -0.90    57.52     9.59    -6.92     0.25     4.25     1.03P   18.59R    1.39  
Bromley             9   10   +2      -3.23    22.14     0.53    64.20     9.99     7.24     1.48    15.40     4.80P    6.24R    0.40  
Chesterfield        9    9   -1      -5.32    10.07    -4.05    70.76    10.34    15.84     6.45    35.66    16.04P    1.98R    0.10  
Havant_&_Wville     9    9   -7      -0.01    52.20    -1.43    43.48    10.06   -34.72     0.01     0.27     0.06P   72.76R   24.26  
Eastleigh           9    9   -8      -1.00    41.56    -4.36    54.28     9.74   -16.35     0.12     2.12     0.46P   30.55R    3.60  
Maidstone_United    9    7   -6      -2.91    24.03    -2.46    47.95     9.43   -20.66     0.01     0.41     0.06P   55.36R   10.90  
Aldershot           9    7   -9      -4.52    13.16    -8.03    57.74     9.63    -8.45     0.24     4.17     1.19P   18.57R    1.53  
Dag_&_Red           9    5   -5      -8.42     1.67    -6.75    55.98     9.90    -4.53     0.22     3.41     1.00P   23.37R    2.33  
Dover_Athletic      9    5  -10      -7.13     3.45    -9.75    56.94     9.91    -8.04     0.23     4.08     1.15P   21.34R    1.98  
Braintree_Town      9    3   -8      -5.55     6.21    -2.21    37.61     9.82   -32.13     0.00     0.04     0.01P   87.12R   49.25