Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 7 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Burnley 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 4 12 +8 3.20 89.67 2.31 79.56 9.02 43.47 15.97 41.04 62.86 80.00 96.84 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 4 12 +7 3.80 92.77 2.66 76.67 9.12 36.09 9.76 27.89 48.78 69.74 94.22 0.00R 0.00 Watford 4 12 +6 6.78 99.36 6.54 52.21 9.25 -7.06 0.01 0.13 0.60 1.88 12.75 2.12R 0.24 Man_City 4 10 +8 0.52 58.84 0.39 88.04 8.16 66.69 56.93 79.72 91.03 96.58 99.76 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 4 9 +5 1.04 62.49 0.63 78.60 8.85 43.12 13.79 36.04 59.18 77.96 96.40 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 4 7 +1 1.91 77.62 1.93 47.00 9.22 -12.50 0.00 0.02 0.15 0.59 5.15 7.09R 1.09 Everton 4 6 +1 -0.53 40.98 -0.57 49.96 9.30 -5.41 0.00 0.05 0.34 1.17 8.83 3.70R 0.51 Leicester 4 6 +1 1.12 65.96 2.12 53.92 9.56 0.87 0.05 0.30 0.98 3.00 17.56 1.60R 0.20 Arsenal 4 6 +0 -0.33 43.44 -1.38 67.65 9.53 24.73 1.47 6.51 16.17 31.07 73.80 0.03R 0.00 Man_Utd 4 6 -1 -1.26 30.66 -3.61 69.46 9.04 24.84 2.00 8.26 19.65 36.90 80.96 0.02R 0.00 Wolverhampton 4 5 -1 1.04 67.76 1.75 43.10 9.45 -16.15 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.25 2.55 15.22R 3.14 Southampton 4 4 +0 -1.31 33.21 0.22 44.91 8.99 -10.02 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.31 2.95 9.47R 1.64 Fulham 4 4 -2 -0.37 47.52 0.49 38.51 9.76 -27.55 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 1.21 31.10R 9.46 Brighton 4 4 -2 0.12 55.43 0.68 40.70 8.82 -18.81 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 1.02 20.25R 4.45 Crystal_Palace 4 3 -3 -1.70 26.41 -1.68 42.33 8.96 -16.57 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.12 1.68 15.67R 3.24 Cardiff 4 2 -3 -2.30 20.26 -1.16 33.77 8.91 -28.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.23 48.76R 17.85 Huddersfield 4 2 -8 -0.62 42.70 -2.23 28.74 7.85 -41.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.49R 38.93 Newcastle 4 1 -3 -2.57 15.26 0.37 44.66 9.18 -8.13 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.24 3.08 10.31R 1.90 Burnley 4 1 -6 -3.71 7.41 -5.00 39.10 8.66 -19.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.63 25.12R 6.05 West_Ham 4 0 -8 -3.85 3.73 -4.46 36.72 8.95 -27.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 36.05R 11.30Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Bristol_City 4 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 6 14 +10 5.27 94.44 9.11 76.11 10.88 21.01 8.79 18.60 54.83 26.56P 0.18R 0.02 Middlesbrough 6 14 +7 3.96 88.56 4.31 84.08 10.40 29.71 25.73 43.67 81.19 55.14P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 6 12 +4 3.32 82.95 3.31 70.33 11.05 8.99 3.46 8.07 33.87 13.37P 0.94R 0.12 Derby 6 12 +2 2.01 71.05 -0.58 75.94 10.83 16.04 8.52 17.96 53.55 26.88P 0.20R 0.02 Brentford 6 11 +6 1.35 65.86 3.71 73.61 11.07 17.88 6.53 13.97 46.13 21.62P 0.42R 0.03 Bristol_City 6 11 +5 1.93 71.51 3.69 69.86 10.99 10.87 3.04 7.62 32.81 13.09P 1.03R 0.13 Swansea 6 11 +2 1.22 64.03 -0.27 75.86 11.29 17.25 9.30 18.77 53.46 28.62P 0.27R 0.03 Bolton 6 11 +0 4.74 92.97 3.19 51.20 9.96 -23.06 0.03 0.09 1.31 0.28P 24.19R 6.09 West_Brom 6 10 +6 -0.96 37.95 1.60 80.77 11.38 30.75 19.21 34.19 70.37 45.62P 0.11R 0.01 Wigan 6 10 +3 0.11 51.18 0.38 72.11 11.35 14.05 5.31 11.63 40.74 19.33P 0.74R 0.11 Sheff_Wed 6 10 +0 1.39 66.11 -0.50 66.19 10.83 1.95 1.46 3.96 21.13 7.47P 2.13R 0.27 Aston_Villa 6 9 +0 -0.55 43.42 -1.98 72.65 10.72 13.44 4.95 11.33 41.74 19.24P 0.48R 0.05 Blackburn 6 9 -1 0.76 58.98 -0.94 62.21 11.25 -3.64 0.85 2.28 13.34 4.59P 5.30R 1.04 Nott'm_Forest 6 7 +0 -0.17 49.42 1.87 56.41 10.67 -8.83 0.16 0.48 4.82 1.24P 12.14R 2.64 Rotherham 6 6 -6 0.49 57.76 -1.15 43.70 10.63 -35.54 0.01 0.02 0.36 0.07P 53.34R 24.76 Millwall 6 5 -2 -2.48 23.92 -1.03 58.17 10.53 -4.51 0.18 0.56 6.06 1.74P 8.87R 1.78 Norwich 6 5 -3 -2.66 22.84 -1.97 57.09 10.99 -8.29 0.24 0.76 6.04 1.76P 11.54R 2.62 Stoke 6 5 -4 -3.24 17.62 -4.01 66.31 11.50 5.86 1.77 4.53 23.01 9.20P 2.86R 0.55 Preston 6 5 -4 -3.25 16.43 -4.08 58.75 10.46 -5.51 0.22 0.71 6.69 1.93P 7.87R 1.49 Birmingham 6 4 -2 -2.51 22.31 0.44 44.36 9.84 -23.61 0.00 0.01 0.27 0.06P 48.89R 19.08 Hull 6 4 -5 -3.77 13.53 -4.10 56.63 10.96 -9.62 0.19 0.60 5.35 1.53P 12.70R 2.96 QPR 6 4 -10 -2.13 26.93 -6.45 46.51 10.26 -30.86 0.00 0.03 0.56 0.09P 42.08R 15.23 Ipswich 6 3 -4 -4.47 8.10 -2.85 51.88 10.42 -13.19 0.03 0.12 1.81 0.47P 22.26R 5.96 Reading 6 2 -4 -4.80 6.17 -1.71 46.36 10.30 -21.13 0.01 0.04 0.58 0.12P 41.45R 15.01League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Peterborough 6 16 +11 5.73 95.97 7.86 82.34 11.16 28.35 16.97 36.54 80.82 48.42P 0.12R 0.01 Portsmouth 6 16 +9 6.60 97.78 7.24 75.87 10.72 16.44 6.05 16.14 61.52 26.63P 0.48R 0.03 Barnsley 6 14 +11 2.41 75.78 5.85 88.12 11.38 40.30 35.64 58.98 90.95 69.93P 0.03R 0.00 Sunderland 6 14 +8 2.84 79.32 3.49 87.49 11.33 36.60 32.51 56.23 90.14 67.71P 0.04R 0.01 Walsall 6 14 +5 5.31 94.17 4.30 67.89 10.66 3.61 1.30 4.59 31.87 10.01P 3.18R 0.27 Fleetwood_Town 6 11 +7 1.79 70.17 5.55 70.26 10.87 13.47 2.49 7.56 41.50 15.82P 1.94R 0.17 Doncaster 6 9 +3 0.72 58.89 2.85 64.82 10.54 4.77 0.61 2.46 22.79 7.13P 5.23R 0.58 Accrington_Stanley 6 9 +0 1.67 69.41 1.30 56.72 11.21 -10.89 0.20 0.73 8.33 2.22P 22.07R 4.60 Luton 6 8 +0 0.19 53.51 0.73 64.18 11.66 1.89 0.83 3.14 23.43 7.91P 8.14R 1.24 Charlton 6 8 +0 -0.16 49.59 0.07 67.39 10.60 6.79 1.04 3.90 30.89 10.53P 3.27R 0.33 Blackpool 6 7 +1 -1.65 31.47 0.28 60.65 10.49 -0.23 0.21 1.01 13.07 3.82P 10.96R 1.46 Gillingham 6 7 -1 -0.32 47.39 0.50 59.17 10.72 -5.11 0.19 0.89 10.87 2.92P 14.76R 2.42 Southend 6 7 -1 -1.34 35.57 -1.21 60.82 10.72 -2.72 0.28 1.18 13.51 3.83P 11.53R 1.72 Rochdale 6 7 -6 -0.01 51.25 -4.02 57.74 10.81 -12.40 0.14 0.57 8.41 2.08P 18.77R 3.44 Burton_Albion 6 6 -2 -2.51 23.81 -2.48 58.94 11.25 -4.69 0.32 1.12 11.54 3.56P 16.02R 3.00 Wycombe 6 6 -3 -0.61 44.44 -0.67 47.14 10.72 -24.35 0.01 0.04 1.43 0.24P 54.42R 20.17 Bradford 6 6 -4 -1.63 32.03 -3.18 58.55 10.53 -7.14 0.14 0.61 9.47 2.52P 15.83R 2.49 Scunthorpe 6 6 -7 -2.13 27.07 -6.74 65.17 11.03 -0.70 0.75 2.83 24.31 8.22P 6.21R 0.79 Coventry 6 5 -3 -2.13 27.38 -1.64 48.54 10.46 -18.31 0.02 0.06 1.59 0.36P 48.24R 15.39 AFC_Wimbledon 6 5 -5 -1.33 35.86 -2.27 51.67 10.19 -15.86 0.02 0.08 2.53 0.49P 36.39R 8.80 Bristol_Rovers 6 4 -3 -3.61 14.31 -2.00 54.02 10.73 -10.81 0.06 0.27 4.74 1.21P 28.51R 6.62 Oxford_Utd 6 4 -8 -2.61 22.19 -5.22 55.08 10.88 -14.33 0.04 0.32 5.59 1.29P 26.26R 6.08 Shrewsbury 6 3 -3 -5.33 4.83 -3.31 58.63 10.46 -1.41 0.16 0.71 9.60 2.92P 14.76R 2.34 Plymouth 6 2 -9 -5.10 5.29 -7.30 47.41 10.29 -23.29 0.01 0.03 1.08 0.23P 52.83R 18.04League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Bury 3 2 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 6 16 +10 6.45 97.65 8.01 81.22 10.57 25.66 22.74 52.13 81.55 59.73P 0.01R 0.00 Newport_County 6 13 +1 5.08 93.70 1.39 65.19 10.37 -2.73 1.39 6.91 25.65 10.40P 1.25R 0.26 MK_Dons 6 12 +3 2.22 73.65 0.71 80.64 11.04 23.48 21.78 49.80 78.90 58.82P 0.03R 0.01 Colchester 6 11 +9 1.33 65.30 6.82 75.45 10.55 23.46 10.31 31.25 65.02 40.47P 0.10R 0.02 Yeovil 6 11 +6 3.24 83.42 6.68 65.25 10.59 5.19 1.63 7.65 27.29 11.54P 1.27R 0.31 Oldham 6 11 +4 0.30 53.31 0.21 77.50 11.19 21.47 14.70 39.04 69.73 48.26P 0.09R 0.02 Forest_Green 6 10 +5 2.72 79.14 6.51 59.95 10.50 -2.87 0.41 2.93 13.74 4.90P 3.91R 1.10 Mansfield 6 10 +4 0.28 53.00 1.81 72.56 10.50 15.68 6.17 21.79 53.81 30.61P 0.19R 0.03 Exeter 6 10 +2 0.96 60.99 0.77 72.69 10.67 13.90 6.12 22.29 53.82 30.69P 0.22R 0.04 Carlisle 6 10 +0 1.41 66.37 -0.56 68.90 10.67 6.15 3.27 13.38 39.22 19.32P 0.61R 0.15 Tranmere 6 9 +1 1.71 69.92 2.40 59.00 10.94 -5.89 0.49 2.83 12.75 4.90P 5.49R 1.60 Swindon 6 9 -1 -0.13 48.23 -2.41 67.89 10.90 4.97 2.87 12.23 36.32 18.05P 0.90R 0.20 Stevenage 6 8 +0 -0.83 41.30 -0.89 61.28 10.56 -2.28 0.72 3.88 16.74 6.66P 3.00R 0.79 Crewe 6 7 +1 -1.10 37.66 1.21 59.19 10.82 -3.69 0.47 2.75 13.15 4.87P 4.88R 1.50 Bury 6 7 -1 -2.11 26.75 -2.35 67.60 11.49 7.71 3.24 12.80 36.48 19.18P 1.19R 0.29 Crawley_Town 6 7 -2 -0.17 49.31 -0.34 56.58 10.53 -10.32 0.21 1.44 8.17 2.78P 7.61R 2.42 Cambridge_Utd 6 7 -4 -0.94 39.89 -3.62 59.91 10.39 -6.68 0.39 2.55 13.10 4.78P 4.08R 1.22 Northampton 6 6 -1 -2.92 19.93 -2.01 66.40 11.48 7.47 2.61 10.89 32.93 16.79P 1.62R 0.44 Port_Vale 6 6 -1 -1.85 29.25 -0.47 57.98 10.37 -4.92 0.29 1.82 9.93 3.51P 5.60R 1.71 Grimsby 6 5 -3 -1.97 28.56 -1.26 49.89 10.02 -17.39 0.02 0.25 2.10 0.60P 19.77R 7.29 Cheltenham 6 4 -4 -3.78 12.74 -3.40 51.93 10.36 -14.76 0.05 0.48 3.50 1.14P 15.60R 5.45 Morecambe 6 3 -11 -2.62 20.30 -7.07 45.04 9.87 -30.06 0.00 0.05 0.61 0.12P 38.32R 17.80 Macclesfield 6 2 -8 -3.24 14.44 -3.01 36.75 9.99 -40.01 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.03P 71.50R 52.72 Notts_County 6 1 -10 -6.67 1.53 -9.10 53.87 10.75 -13.56 0.12 0.86 5.39 1.84P 12.77R 4.64National League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 September 2018, Havant_&_Wville 2 1 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Harrogate_Town 9 19 +11 6.48 93.29 10.71 74.40 11.09 18.34 13.47 48.90 21.36P 1.20R 0.06 Leyton_Orient 9 19 +9 4.32 85.17 5.55 78.68 9.81 22.71 21.27 65.40 33.08P 0.13R 0.00 Wrexham 9 18 +9 4.06 83.76 6.64 74.20 9.46 17.65 9.74 47.46 19.27P 0.33R 0.01 Halifax 9 17 +7 5.05 89.37 7.28 64.77 9.57 3.42 1.54 14.98 4.06P 4.95R 0.15 AFC_Fylde 9 16 +7 1.23 61.09 3.21 74.95 9.93 19.63 12.17 51.09 22.38P 0.53R 0.01 Hartlepool 9 16 +3 2.30 70.46 0.96 66.89 9.73 3.83 2.53 20.50 6.31P 3.31R 0.10 Sutton_United 9 16 +3 2.81 74.92 1.67 69.90 9.81 8.19 4.53 30.42 10.47P 1.72R 0.06 Solihull_Moors 9 16 -2 5.77 92.17 1.17 61.18 9.60 -9.84 0.63 7.85 1.83P 10.62R 0.71 Salford_City 9 15 +4 4.04 82.94 6.10 62.95 10.75 0.16 1.70 13.78 4.04P 9.77R 0.69 Boreham_Wood 9 15 +0 1.67 66.04 -1.63 67.10 9.56 2.89 2.38 20.53 6.55P 3.00R 0.07 Ebbsfleet_United 9 14 +3 1.96 68.76 3.33 69.76 9.80 10.89 4.44 30.44 10.69P 1.83R 0.06 Gateshead 9 14 +2 0.69 56.80 0.49 67.42 9.80 6.35 2.82 22.78 7.48P 3.16R 0.14 Barnet 9 14 -2 -0.58 44.55 -5.40 75.62 10.23 14.26 13.57 52.69 25.92P 0.54R 0.01 Maidenhead 9 11 -1 -1.13 40.39 -0.67 56.27 9.76 -9.76 0.20 3.36 0.76P 23.05R 2.20 Barrow 9 11 -1 -1.18 39.45 -0.90 57.52 9.59 -6.92 0.25 4.25 1.03P 18.59R 1.39 Bromley 9 10 +2 -3.23 22.14 0.53 64.20 9.99 7.24 1.48 15.40 4.80P 6.24R 0.40 Chesterfield 9 9 -1 -5.32 10.07 -4.05 70.76 10.34 15.84 6.45 35.66 16.04P 1.98R 0.10 Havant_&_Wville 9 9 -7 -0.01 52.20 -1.43 43.48 10.06 -34.72 0.01 0.27 0.06P 72.76R 24.26 Eastleigh 9 9 -8 -1.00 41.56 -4.36 54.28 9.74 -16.35 0.12 2.12 0.46P 30.55R 3.60 Maidstone_United 9 7 -6 -2.91 24.03 -2.46 47.95 9.43 -20.66 0.01 0.41 0.06P 55.36R 10.90 Aldershot 9 7 -9 -4.52 13.16 -8.03 57.74 9.63 -8.45 0.24 4.17 1.19P 18.57R 1.53 Dag_&_Red 9 5 -5 -8.42 1.67 -6.75 55.98 9.90 -4.53 0.22 3.41 1.00P 23.37R 2.33 Dover_Athletic 9 5 -10 -7.13 3.45 -9.75 56.94 9.91 -8.04 0.23 4.08 1.15P 21.34R 1.98 Braintree_Town 9 3 -8 -5.55 6.21 -2.21 37.61 9.82 -32.13 0.00 0.04 0.01P 87.12R 49.25