Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 6 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Burnley 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +8       3.21    89.62     2.32    79.49     9.07    43.33    16.10    40.83    62.73    79.74    96.70     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           4   12   +7       3.78    92.73     2.64    76.71     9.15    36.21     9.96    28.22    49.23    70.22    94.48     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           4   12   +6       6.77    99.27     6.53    52.33     9.15    -6.79     0.01     0.12     0.57     1.84    12.89     1.98R    0.19  
Man_City          4   10   +8       0.50    58.65     0.40    88.01     8.04    66.64    57.12    79.96    91.36    96.86    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         4    9   +5       1.04    62.47     0.63    78.58     8.87    43.01    13.37    36.06    59.09    77.90    96.44     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       4    7   +1       1.90    77.41     1.90    47.14     9.23   -12.32     0.00     0.04     0.16     0.59     5.35     6.82R    1.03  
Everton           4    6   +1      -0.51    41.71    -0.51    49.78     9.36    -5.74     0.01     0.11     0.37     1.29     9.10     4.00R    0.53  
Leicester         4    6   +1       1.15    66.34     2.16    53.68     9.56     0.45     0.05     0.27     1.01     2.93    17.23     1.83R    0.25  
Arsenal           4    6   +0      -0.32    43.82    -1.35    67.53     9.54    24.55     1.36     6.49    16.26    30.80    73.42     0.04R    0.00  
Man_Utd           4    6   -1      -1.26    30.71    -3.60    69.30     9.03    24.55     2.03     7.86    18.97    36.69    80.52     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     4    5   -1       1.02    67.45     1.71    43.12     9.44   -16.10     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.26     2.58    15.23R    3.07  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.35    32.58     0.19    45.16     8.90    -9.60     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.26     3.18     8.99R    1.56  
Fulham            4    4   -2      -0.35    47.73     0.52    38.52     9.63   -27.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.11    30.74R    9.47  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.09    54.76     0.63    40.90     8.75   -18.42     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     1.02    19.41R    4.21  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -3      -1.73    26.07    -1.71    42.59     8.99   -16.14     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.17     1.88    15.28R    3.05  
Cardiff           4    2   -3      -2.32    19.87    -1.19    33.90     8.80   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    48.73R   17.33  
Huddersfield      4    2   -8      -0.60    42.99    -2.20    28.69     7.86   -41.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    73.83R   39.36  
Newcastle         4    1   -3      -2.55    15.24     0.37    44.67     9.11    -8.16     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.25     3.05    10.23R    1.87  
Burnley           4    1   -6      -3.69     7.55    -4.98    38.97     8.69   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.60    25.79R    6.21  
West_Ham          4    0   -8      -3.84     3.78    -4.44    36.51     9.02   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.43    37.09R   11.85  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Bristol_City 4 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     6   14  +10       5.32    94.61     9.21    76.11    10.98    20.99     8.86    18.69    54.97    26.75P    0.19R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    6   14   +7       3.92    88.31     4.29    84.06    10.51    29.67    26.03    43.78    80.89    54.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   12   +4       3.31    82.92     3.28    70.63    11.06     9.44     3.52     8.39    34.91    13.86P    0.93R    0.15  
Derby            6   12   +2       2.01    71.27    -0.62    75.91    10.78    15.97     8.25    17.83    53.85    26.79P    0.18R    0.01  
Brentford        6   11   +6       1.37    66.07     3.75    73.53    11.01    17.76     6.11    13.64    45.49    21.18P    0.44R    0.03  
Bristol_City     6   11   +5       1.97    71.95     3.76    69.66    11.03    10.55     3.00     7.41    32.21    12.83P    1.03R    0.13  
Swansea          6   11   +2       1.19    63.47    -0.30    76.16    11.35    17.61     9.59    19.52    54.51    29.33P    0.27R    0.02  
Bolton           6   11   +0       4.76    93.06     3.20    51.28     9.98   -22.95     0.02     0.06     1.32     0.21P   24.16R    6.39  
West_Brom        6   10   +6      -0.92    38.56     1.64    80.77    11.59    30.82    19.61    34.33    70.23    45.91P    0.12R    0.01  
Wigan            6   10   +3       0.15    51.59     0.49    71.91    11.42    13.67     5.13    11.35    39.98    18.58P    0.79R    0.08  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +0       1.39    66.21    -0.53    66.01    10.82     1.63     1.41     3.71    20.78     7.33P    2.21R    0.33  
Aston_Villa      6    9   +0      -0.57    43.12    -2.02    72.74    10.72    13.58     4.77    11.05    42.20    19.08P    0.41R    0.04  
Blackburn        6    9   -1       0.73    58.54    -0.99    62.10    11.23    -3.72     0.75     2.16    13.07     4.49P    5.41R    1.05  
Nott'm_Forest    6    7   +0      -0.17    49.39     1.85    56.26    10.58    -9.06     0.14     0.43     4.67     1.23P   12.25R    2.60  
Rotherham        6    6   -6       0.37    56.18    -1.37    44.20    10.60   -34.65     0.01     0.04     0.41     0.08P   51.55R   23.41  
Millwall         6    5   -2      -2.43    24.45    -0.96    57.98    10.57    -4.79     0.17     0.61     6.11     1.72P    9.43R    1.86  
Norwich          6    5   -3      -2.66    22.79    -1.97    57.00    10.90    -8.42     0.20     0.63     5.74     1.68P   11.65R    2.68  
Stoke            6    5   -4      -3.29    17.52    -4.08    66.34    11.56     5.97     1.95     4.82    23.30     9.81P    2.82R    0.55  
Preston          6    5   -4      -3.29    16.27    -4.11    58.97    10.57    -5.14     0.25     0.76     7.18     2.16P    7.78R    1.46  
Birmingham       6    4   -2      -2.49    22.35     0.46    44.37     9.73   -23.52     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.04P   49.19R   18.86  
Hull             6    4   -5      -3.69    14.23    -3.98    56.26    10.94   -10.29     0.17     0.55     4.97     1.40P   13.43R    3.24  
QPR              6    4  -10      -2.13    27.11    -6.45    46.46    10.39   -30.96     0.00     0.02     0.54     0.08P   42.67R   15.96  
Ipswich          6    3   -4      -4.47     8.29    -2.84    51.85    10.45   -13.31     0.05     0.16     1.89     0.50P   22.42R    6.09  
Reading          6    2   -4      -4.82     6.11    -1.73    46.53    10.36   -20.85     0.00     0.03     0.53     0.13P   40.66R   15.03  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          6   16  +11       5.76    95.88     7.90    82.10    11.10    27.98    16.20    35.33    80.20    47.52P    0.12R    0.00  
Portsmouth            6   16   +9       6.56    97.72     7.18    75.97    10.70    16.51     5.96    16.28    61.97    27.00P    0.38R    0.01  
Barnsley              6   14  +11       2.42    76.08     5.84    88.20    11.34    40.45    35.40    59.26    91.16    70.34P    0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland            6   14   +8       2.83    79.49     3.47    87.69    11.46    36.99    33.70    57.19    90.06    68.26P    0.05R    0.00  
Walsall               6   14   +5       5.30    94.13     4.29    68.07    10.67     3.86     1.37     4.73    32.68    10.30P    3.02R    0.31  
Fleetwood_Town        6   11   +7       1.82    70.30     5.60    70.11    10.83    13.21     2.30     7.32    40.94    15.35P    1.96R    0.15  
Doncaster             6    9   +3       0.74    59.20     2.88    64.52    10.62     4.33     0.63     2.35    22.20     6.81P    5.83R    0.67  
Accrington_Stanley    6    9   +0       1.69    69.23     1.33    56.59    11.19   -11.07     0.16     0.63     7.96     2.10P   22.58R    4.95  
Luton                 6    8   +0       0.19    53.64     0.70    64.11    11.54     1.73     0.81     2.92    22.94     7.54P    8.26R    1.19  
Charlton              6    8   +0      -0.16    49.43     0.08    67.36    10.61     6.84     1.01     3.87    30.72    10.43P    3.53R    0.37  
Blackpool             6    7   +1      -1.68    31.14     0.25    60.83    10.56    -0.02     0.25     1.08    13.56     3.85P   10.76R    1.52  
Gillingham            6    7   -1      -0.35    47.19     0.47    59.34    10.80    -4.80     0.21     0.86    11.33     2.95P   14.38R    2.44  
Southend              6    7   -1      -1.36    35.29    -1.23    60.91    10.75    -2.62     0.34     1.36    14.11     4.20P   11.03R    1.60  
Rochdale              6    7   -6       0.02    51.70    -3.99    57.59    10.79   -12.66     0.13     0.59     8.38     2.11P   19.19R    3.72  
Burton_Albion         6    6   -2      -2.54    23.48    -2.50    58.88    11.30    -4.82     0.31     1.18    11.59     3.63P   16.42R    3.02  
Wycombe               6    6   -3      -0.63    44.12    -0.69    47.23    10.69   -24.19     0.01     0.05     1.32     0.26P   53.82R   20.11  
Bradford              6    6   -4      -1.60    32.33    -3.14    58.36    10.58    -7.40     0.16     0.66     9.15     2.54P   16.37R    2.75  
Scunthorpe            6    6   -7      -2.13    26.73    -6.74    65.21    11.03    -0.63     0.74     2.87    24.58     8.30P    6.15R    0.72  
Coventry              6    5   -3      -2.14    27.08    -1.67    48.88    10.42   -17.82     0.02     0.06     1.77     0.39P   46.91R   14.48  
AFC_Wimbledon         6    5   -5      -1.32    36.26    -2.27    51.83    10.21   -15.62     0.02     0.10     2.58     0.54P   35.70R    8.62  
Bristol_Rovers        6    4   -3      -3.61    14.32    -1.98    53.66    10.74   -11.40     0.04     0.23     4.42     1.09P   29.73R    7.12  
Oxford_Utd            6    4   -8      -2.57    22.84    -5.19    55.06    10.91   -14.29     0.08     0.37     5.72     1.43P   26.53R    6.08  
Shrewsbury            6    3   -3      -5.32     4.86    -3.27    58.38    10.54    -1.75     0.13     0.67     9.41     2.77P   15.37R    2.61  
Plymouth              6    2   -9      -5.13     5.16    -7.32    47.74    10.40   -22.80     0.00     0.03     1.26     0.30P   51.89R   17.54  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Bury 3 2 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      6   16  +10       6.50    97.75     8.06    81.16    10.63    25.52    22.30    51.59    81.26    59.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Newport_County    6   13   +1       5.06    93.51     1.38    65.09    10.48    -2.86     1.44     6.83    25.64    10.27P    1.32R    0.34  
MK_Dons           6   12   +3       2.20    73.42     0.68    80.86    11.02    23.77    22.11    50.23    79.51    59.33P    0.03R    0.01  
Colchester        6   11   +9       1.28    64.80     6.77    75.55    10.63    23.66    10.27    31.72    65.01    41.02P    0.09R    0.02  
Yeovil            6   11   +6       3.28    83.99     6.72    65.17    10.56     5.10     1.50     7.49    27.26    11.59P    1.24R    0.30  
Oldham            6   11   +4       0.34    53.81     0.25    77.45    11.45    21.39    15.00    38.61    69.55    48.01P    0.09R    0.01  
Forest_Green      6   10   +5       2.70    79.07     6.48    60.21    10.64    -2.47     0.54     3.18    14.61     5.23P    3.85R    1.05  
Mansfield         6   10   +4       0.31    53.42     1.85    72.18    10.58    15.11     5.66    20.86    52.37    29.48P    0.22R    0.05  
Exeter            6   10   +2       0.91    60.48     0.71    72.82    10.84    14.10     6.36    22.71    54.18    30.87P    0.24R    0.05  
Carlisle          6   10   +0       1.43    66.55    -0.56    68.90    10.74     6.11     3.28    13.39    39.25    19.44P    0.61R    0.14  
Tranmere          6    9   +1       1.69    69.74     2.38    58.83    10.92    -6.04     0.46     2.76    12.52     4.60P    5.46R    1.72  
Swindon           6    9   -1      -0.18    47.83    -2.49    68.26    10.92     5.45     2.95    12.62    37.65    18.50P    0.71R    0.18  
Stevenage         6    8   +0      -0.81    41.77    -0.85    60.98    10.54    -2.76     0.65     3.53    15.97     6.13P    3.09R    0.88  
Crewe             6    7   +1      -1.12    37.57     1.22    59.24    10.82    -3.63     0.48     2.82    13.08     4.96P    4.82R    1.46  
Bury              6    7   -1      -2.08    26.97    -2.32    67.53    11.60     7.65     3.24    12.84    36.24    19.15P    1.32R    0.33  
Crawley_Town      6    7   -2      -0.16    49.54    -0.33    56.71    10.49   -10.12     0.24     1.50     8.13     2.82P    7.47R    2.32  
Cambridge_Utd     6    7   -4      -0.96    39.80    -3.64    59.81    10.47    -6.84     0.40     2.61    12.88     4.82P    4.20R    1.21  
Northampton       6    6   -1      -2.87    20.28    -1.96    66.34    11.74     7.37     2.64    11.18    33.14    17.32P    1.82R    0.51  
Port_Vale         6    6   -1      -1.84    29.61    -0.48    57.97    10.38    -4.93     0.27     1.79     9.90     3.51P    5.51R    1.66  
Grimsby           6    5   -3      -2.02    27.75    -1.33    50.11    10.07   -17.02     0.02     0.23     2.21     0.60P   19.62R    7.02  
Cheltenham        6    4   -4      -3.79    12.61    -3.37    51.94    10.39   -14.72     0.07     0.54     3.49     1.19P   15.49R    5.50  
Morecambe         6    3  -11      -2.65    19.95    -7.14    45.05     9.85   -29.95     0.00     0.03     0.60     0.11P   38.30R   17.45  
Macclesfield      6    2   -8      -3.19    14.73    -2.94    36.70     9.92   -40.04     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.01P   71.48R   52.94  
Notts_County      6    1  -10      -6.66     1.54    -9.09    53.69    10.82   -13.86     0.13     0.93     5.45     1.94P   13.02R    4.85  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 September 2018, Havant_&_Wville 2 1 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Harrogate_Town      9   19  +11       6.48    93.33    10.71    74.40    10.97    18.34    13.11    48.77    21.02P    1.13R    0.04  
Leyton_Orient       9   19   +9       4.31    84.84     5.56    78.75     9.82    22.79    21.35    65.76    33.21P    0.11R    0.00  
Wrexham             9   18   +9       4.13    84.42     6.73    74.05     9.37    17.45     9.17    46.71    18.58P    0.39R    0.00  
Halifax             9   17   +7       5.09    89.60     7.31    64.71     9.55     3.44     1.48    14.76     3.89P    4.84R    0.18  
AFC_Fylde           9   16   +7       1.26    61.44     3.27    74.80     9.91    19.37    11.67    50.33    21.81P    0.53R    0.01  
Hartlepool          9   16   +3       2.42    71.61     1.12    66.40     9.66     3.14     2.18    19.04     5.82P    3.50R    0.13  
Sutton_United       9   16   +3       2.77    74.86     1.63    70.00     9.74     8.30     4.48    30.47    10.50P    1.63R    0.08  
Solihull_Moors      9   16   -2       5.73    92.04     1.10    61.32     9.54    -9.67     0.54     7.85     1.69P   10.34R    0.69  
Salford_City        9   15   +4       4.03    82.97     6.10    62.96    10.81     0.12     1.79    13.97     4.25P    9.67R    0.76  
Boreham_Wood        9   15   +0       1.59    65.48    -1.74    67.42     9.48     3.32     2.37    21.12     6.74P    2.67R    0.05  
Ebbsfleet_United    9   14   +3       1.97    68.92     3.32    69.88     9.80    11.05     4.60    30.62    10.69P    1.65R    0.06  
Gateshead           9   14   +2       0.72    57.16     0.51    67.44     9.81     6.41     2.85    22.50     7.42P    3.03R    0.12  
Barnet              9   14   -2      -0.68    43.29    -5.57    76.11    10.18    14.98    14.67    54.37    27.04P    0.40R    0.02  
Maidenhead          9   11   -1      -1.13    40.13    -0.66    56.20     9.78    -9.86     0.20     3.46     0.75P   23.11R    2.19  
Barrow              9   11   -1      -1.15    39.67    -0.85    57.34     9.79    -7.28     0.28     4.34     1.09P   19.42R    1.59  
Bromley             9   10   +2      -3.28    21.80     0.44    64.14     9.98     7.22     1.51    14.99     4.83P    6.08R    0.33  
Chesterfield        9    9   -1      -5.38    10.00    -4.14    71.13    10.39    16.37     7.05    36.95    16.98P    1.74R    0.06  
Havant_&_Wville     9    9   -7      -0.03    51.56    -1.42    43.55    10.07   -34.56     0.01     0.24     0.03P   72.16R   23.89  
Eastleigh           9    9   -8      -1.00    41.75    -4.31    54.05     9.78   -16.65     0.08     2.02     0.43P   31.21R    3.89  
Maidstone_United    9    7   -6      -2.94    23.85    -2.52    47.92     9.38   -20.71     0.01     0.37     0.07P   55.41R   10.77  
Aldershot           9    7   -9      -4.52    13.15    -8.03    57.69     9.62    -8.48     0.22     4.04     1.08P   18.37R    1.58  
Dag_&_Red           9    5   -5      -8.42     1.60    -6.72    55.69     9.92    -4.99     0.17     3.14     0.84P   24.32R    2.49  
Dover_Athletic      9    5  -10      -7.08     3.42    -9.70    57.05     9.97    -7.92     0.20     4.13     1.24P   21.00R    1.96  
Braintree_Town      9    3   -8      -5.51     6.42    -2.16    37.54     9.85   -32.18     0.00     0.05     0.02P   87.27R   49.11