Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 5 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Burnley 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +8       3.20    89.56     2.28    79.68     8.95    43.74    15.98    41.00    63.40    80.57    97.05     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           4   12   +7       3.78    92.73     2.61    76.80     9.12    36.33    10.03    27.98    49.19    70.25    94.61     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           4   12   +6       6.78    99.31     6.56    52.22     9.18    -6.97     0.02     0.15     0.65     1.82    12.40     2.01R    0.20  
Man_City          4   10   +8       0.50    58.55     0.40    88.10     8.12    66.88    57.00    79.77    90.81    96.47    99.75     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         4    9   +5       1.03    62.22     0.62    78.62     8.89    43.18    13.43    36.21    59.24    78.00    96.36     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       4    7   +1       1.91    77.60     1.93    47.06     9.19   -12.45     0.00     0.04     0.12     0.49     5.05     6.87R    1.04  
Everton           4    6   +1      -0.52    41.34    -0.55    49.98     9.41    -5.45     0.01     0.08     0.44     1.34     9.17     3.85R    0.51  
Leicester         4    6   +1       1.17    66.73     2.19    53.72     9.53     0.54     0.03     0.25     0.91     2.70    17.00     1.75R    0.21  
Arsenal           4    6   +0      -0.35    43.42    -1.41    67.59     9.46    24.66     1.45     6.35    15.48    30.40    73.82     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd           4    6   -1      -1.27    30.53    -3.63    69.53     9.09    25.00     2.05     8.11    19.51    36.88    81.08     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     4    5   -1       1.04    67.94     1.75    43.11     9.31   -16.18     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     2.28    14.86R    3.08  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.34    32.85     0.19    45.12     8.97    -9.76     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.28     3.15     8.97R    1.54  
Fulham            4    4   -2      -0.33    48.14     0.54    38.31     9.66   -28.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.10     1.10    31.55R    9.54  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.09    55.01     0.64    40.86     8.78   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     1.10    19.47R    4.07  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -3      -1.72    26.16    -1.70    42.61     8.97   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.16     1.88    14.81R    2.90  
Cardiff           4    2   -3      -2.30    20.15    -1.12    33.64     8.86   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    49.61R   18.01  
Huddersfield      4    2   -8      -0.62    42.71    -2.22    28.68     7.86   -41.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.49R   39.39  
Newcastle         4    1   -3      -2.56    15.35     0.39    44.49     9.13    -8.44     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.20     3.03    10.47R    1.93  
Burnley           4    1   -6      -3.70     7.51    -4.98    39.02     8.74   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.63    25.49R    6.12  
West_Ham          4    0   -8      -3.86     3.80    -4.48    36.62     9.04   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.36    36.75R   11.46  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Bristol_City 4 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     6   14  +10       5.28    94.44     9.13    76.22    10.95    21.15     8.95    18.84    55.20    26.83P    0.18R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    6   14   +7       3.94    88.65     4.30    84.25    10.43    29.94    26.27    44.38    81.46    55.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   12   +4       3.31    82.95     3.27    70.66    11.03     9.46     3.57     8.54    35.11    14.06P    0.84R    0.12  
Derby            6   12   +2       2.06    71.69    -0.55    75.75    10.84    15.77     8.18    17.57    52.72    26.25P    0.22R    0.02  
Brentford        6   11   +6       1.38    66.19     3.75    73.47    10.96    17.68     6.04    13.43    45.29    20.85P    0.45R    0.04  
Bristol_City     6   11   +5       1.97    72.00     3.76    69.66    11.12    10.55     3.16     7.42    32.29    12.65P    1.15R    0.15  
Swansea          6   11   +2       1.22    63.97    -0.27    76.00    11.24    17.44     9.12    18.76    54.06    28.85P    0.29R    0.03  
Bolton           6   11   +0       4.75    92.97     3.17    51.41    10.00   -22.66     0.02     0.10     1.40     0.25P   24.14R    5.87  
West_Brom        6   10   +6      -0.95    38.06     1.62    81.00    11.34    31.12    19.54    34.58    71.19    46.16P    0.09R    0.01  
Wigan            6   10   +3       0.17    51.73     0.48    71.78    11.50    13.51     5.22    11.37    39.65    18.79P    0.78R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +0       1.38    65.92    -0.53    66.10    10.73     1.72     1.43     3.72    20.52     7.19P    1.98R    0.29  
Aston_Villa      6    9   +0      -0.59    42.96    -2.05    72.76    10.75    13.63     4.80    11.13    42.32    19.17P    0.46R    0.04  
Blackburn        6    9   -1       0.79    59.16    -0.90    61.80    11.37    -4.24     0.79     2.13    12.80     4.50P    5.90R    1.05  
Nott'm_Forest    6    7   +0      -0.15    49.90     1.88    56.31    10.66    -8.95     0.18     0.50     4.79     1.24P   12.20R    2.61  
Rotherham        6    6   -6       0.47    57.69    -1.16    43.72    10.55   -35.53     0.01     0.02     0.33     0.06P   53.68R   24.76  
Millwall         6    5   -2      -2.50    23.85    -1.05    58.08    10.56    -4.58     0.19     0.63     6.27     1.80P    8.88R    1.88  
Norwich          6    5   -3      -2.65    23.05    -1.95    57.00    10.94    -8.48     0.18     0.59     5.74     1.60P   11.82R    2.67  
Stoke            6    5   -4      -3.32    17.46    -4.10    66.47    11.53     6.13     1.91     4.86    23.71     9.81P    2.72R    0.50  
Preston          6    5   -4      -3.22    16.74    -4.01    58.56    10.54    -5.69     0.21     0.70     6.72     1.99P    8.37R    1.51  
Birmingham       6    4   -2      -2.52    22.08     0.42    44.51     9.81   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   48.60R   18.86  
Hull             6    4   -5      -3.74    13.75    -4.06    56.36    10.89   -10.10     0.16     0.52     5.06     1.45P   13.02R    3.05  
QPR              6    4  -10      -2.15    26.68    -6.50    46.68    10.29   -30.57     0.00     0.02     0.51     0.08P   41.48R   15.21  
Ipswich          6    3   -4      -4.53     7.83    -2.93    52.27    10.45   -12.63     0.04     0.13     2.07     0.48P   21.12R    5.55  
Reading          6    2   -4      -4.82     6.19    -1.72    46.30    10.36   -21.29     0.02     0.05     0.55     0.12P   41.62R   15.66  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          6   16  +11       5.75    96.11     7.88    82.20    11.07    28.21    16.33    36.08    80.80    48.10P    0.13R    0.01  
Portsmouth            6   16   +9       6.56    97.66     7.16    75.94    10.70    16.50     6.07    16.33    61.85    27.09P    0.47R    0.02  
Barnsley              6   14  +11       2.42    75.83     5.86    88.13    11.44    40.34    35.81    58.96    90.97    70.27P    0.05R    0.00  
Sunderland            6   14   +8       2.81    79.23     3.47    87.51    11.42    36.67    33.11    56.63    89.97    68.02P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall               6   14   +5       5.34    94.36     4.32    67.80    10.68     3.49     1.35     4.58    31.80     9.99P    3.16R    0.28  
Fleetwood_Town        6   11   +7       1.84    70.35     5.62    70.14    10.84    13.20     2.27     7.37    41.58    15.55P    2.02R    0.17  
Doncaster             6    9   +3       0.76    59.40     2.93    64.49    10.54     4.28     0.61     2.33    22.04     6.61P    5.67R    0.66  
Accrington_Stanley    6    9   +0       1.67    69.07     1.31    56.69    11.10   -10.88     0.12     0.63     8.10     2.07P   22.23R    4.61  
Luton                 6    8   +0       0.25    54.14     0.77    64.04    11.69     1.65     0.79     2.88    23.33     7.65P    8.51R    1.32  
Charlton              6    8   +0      -0.16    49.32     0.05    67.48    10.67     6.94     1.14     4.17    31.12    10.82P    3.34R    0.33  
Blackpool             6    7   +1      -1.68    31.47     0.25    60.90    10.47     0.10     0.32     1.16    13.62     3.94P   10.34R    1.36  
Gillingham            6    7   -1      -0.33    47.30     0.49    59.13    10.70    -5.14     0.16     0.79    10.82     2.65P   14.88R    2.57  
Southend              6    7   -1      -1.35    35.40    -1.23    60.97    10.67    -2.53     0.32     1.30    13.92     3.98P   11.12R    1.58  
Rochdale              6    7   -6      -0.03    51.21    -4.04    57.74    10.79   -12.46     0.14     0.59     8.47     2.09P   19.03R    3.63  
Burton_Albion         6    6   -2      -2.49    24.00    -2.44    58.83    11.38    -4.91     0.31     1.20    11.67     3.63P   16.78R    3.27  
Wycombe               6    6   -3      -0.66    43.95    -0.73    47.36    10.72   -23.91     0.01     0.04     1.36     0.26P   53.57R   19.80  
Bradford              6    6   -4      -1.65    31.75    -3.22    58.75    10.59    -6.80     0.13     0.68    10.03     2.69P   15.41R    2.59  
Scunthorpe            6    6   -7      -2.12    26.73    -6.73    65.04    10.93    -0.85     0.68     2.86    23.68     8.10P    6.09R    0.76  
Coventry              6    5   -3      -2.06    28.03    -1.58    48.25    10.51   -18.58     0.01     0.05     1.49     0.32P   49.65R   16.29  
AFC_Wimbledon         6    5   -5      -1.34    35.68    -2.31    51.82    10.13   -15.64     0.02     0.11     2.49     0.52P   35.65R    8.47  
Bristol_Rovers        6    4   -3      -3.58    14.52    -1.94    53.78    10.65   -11.14     0.05     0.21     4.49     1.05P   29.03R    6.74  
Oxford_Utd            6    4   -8      -2.60    22.36    -5.22    55.07    10.81   -14.36     0.05     0.27     5.61     1.34P   26.41R    5.92  
Shrewsbury            6    3   -3      -5.32     4.77    -3.29    58.53    10.48    -1.49     0.19     0.72     9.53     2.96P   15.05R    2.42  
Plymouth              6    2   -9      -5.16     5.12    -7.37    47.82    10.43   -22.69     0.01     0.05     1.26     0.32P   51.36R   17.20  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Bury 3 2 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      6   16  +10       6.45    97.58     8.00    81.24    10.59    25.67    22.73    51.94    81.42    59.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County    6   13   +1       5.06    93.57     1.38    65.12    10.46    -2.82     1.38     6.86    25.70    10.39P    1.29R    0.30  
MK_Dons           6   12   +3       2.17    73.50     0.63    81.04    10.96    24.04    22.63    51.28    80.06    60.02P    0.04R    0.01  
Colchester        6   11   +9       1.29    65.02     6.77    75.48    10.63    23.53    10.19    31.54    64.82    40.85P    0.07R    0.02  
Yeovil            6   11   +6       3.23    83.31     6.66    65.20    10.50     5.17     1.47     7.29    27.27    11.27P    1.18R    0.31  
Oldham            6   11   +4       0.33    53.72     0.24    77.39    11.41    21.29    14.60    38.96    69.27    48.14P    0.12R    0.02  
Forest_Green      6   10   +5       2.76    79.40     6.58    59.86    10.57    -3.04     0.51     2.91    13.76     4.83P    4.07R    1.19  
Mansfield         6   10   +4       0.31    53.59     1.87    72.25    10.49    15.20     5.66    20.63    52.54    29.26P    0.20R    0.03  
Exeter            6   10   +2       0.97    61.22     0.78    72.72    10.75    13.98     6.07    22.28    54.04    30.66P    0.21R    0.03  
Carlisle          6   10   +0       1.46    66.90    -0.50    68.74    10.61     5.91     3.01    12.66    38.36    18.65P    0.53R    0.11  
Tranmere          6    9   +1       1.73    70.35     2.43    58.79    10.99    -6.07     0.50     2.80    12.62     4.73P    5.74R    1.85  
Swindon           6    9   -1      -0.16    47.83    -2.46    68.36    10.96     5.60     3.15    13.07    37.68    19.00P    0.79R    0.19  
Stevenage         6    8   +0      -0.86    40.91    -0.91    61.31    10.50    -2.26     0.65     3.64    16.75     6.55P    2.90R    0.81  
Crewe             6    7   +1      -1.11    37.57     1.23    59.17    10.85    -3.71     0.43     2.88    13.20     5.03P    5.00R    1.37  
Bury              6    7   -1      -2.08    27.09    -2.33    67.71    11.47     7.94     3.29    12.93    36.88    19.27P    1.20R    0.33  
Crawley_Town      6    7   -2      -0.20    49.08    -0.40    56.83    10.62    -9.98     0.25     1.55     8.67     2.95P    7.42R    2.32  
Cambridge_Utd     6    7   -4      -1.00    39.36    -3.70    60.03    10.50    -6.53     0.42     2.66    13.54     5.01P    3.98R    1.23  
Northampton       6    6   -1      -2.90    20.00    -1.98    66.37    11.50     7.36     2.58    10.79    32.52    16.76P    1.54R    0.42  
Port_Vale         6    6   -1      -1.85    29.52    -0.50    58.04    10.38    -4.85     0.30     1.88     9.74     3.55P    5.42R    1.63  
Grimsby           6    5   -3      -1.99    28.31    -1.26    49.75    10.11   -17.63     0.02     0.25     2.08     0.56P   20.68R    7.58  
Cheltenham        6    4   -4      -3.79    12.80    -3.38    51.93    10.37   -14.76     0.06     0.46     3.46     1.07P   15.41R    5.48  
Morecambe         6    3  -11      -2.66    20.12    -7.16    45.23     9.91   -29.77     0.00     0.04     0.60     0.13P   37.46R   17.11  
Macclesfield      6    2   -8      -3.21    14.64    -2.97    36.68    10.04   -40.08     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.03P   71.46R   52.66  
Notts_County      6    1  -10      -6.63     1.51    -9.03    53.44    10.72   -14.20     0.09     0.69     4.90     1.71P   13.27R    5.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 September 2018, AFC_Fylde 0 2 Salford_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Harrogate_Town      9   19  +11       6.47    93.23    10.73    74.55    11.04    18.54    13.74    49.33    21.59P    1.19R    0.03  
Leyton_Orient       9   19   +9       4.33    85.17     5.58    78.54     9.87    22.51    20.77    64.78    32.58P    0.12R    0.00  
Wrexham             9   18   +9       4.16    84.52     6.77    74.07     9.47    17.49     9.32    46.76    18.82P    0.41R    0.00  
Halifax             9   17   +7       5.04    89.19     7.27    64.86     9.52     3.58     1.50    15.07     4.19P    4.56R    0.13  
AFC_Fylde           9   16   +7       1.20    60.83     3.18    75.11     9.96    19.87    12.35    51.51    22.52P    0.51R    0.01  
Hartlepool          9   16   +3       2.38    71.21     1.06    66.53     9.58     3.37     2.17    18.98     5.89P    3.25R    0.08  
Sutton_United       9   16   +3       2.82    75.05     1.68    69.91     9.76     8.19     4.53    29.96    10.32P    1.64R    0.06  
Solihull_Moors      9   16   -2       5.84    92.32     1.22    60.99     9.62   -10.08     0.56     7.52     1.67P   11.18R    0.66  
Salford_City        9   15   +4       4.05    83.05     6.10    62.74    10.67    -0.19     1.57    13.32     3.88P    9.71R    0.60  
Boreham_Wood        9   15   +0       1.65    66.05    -1.64    67.08     9.53     2.89     2.28    20.30     6.48P    2.86R    0.08  
Ebbsfleet_United    9   14   +3       1.99    68.83     3.33    69.81     9.78    10.94     4.32    30.21    10.46P    1.71R    0.05  
Gateshead           9   14   +2       0.76    57.61     0.59    67.40     9.82     6.33     2.75    22.36     7.20P    3.00R    0.12  
Barnet              9   14   -2      -0.71    43.28    -5.56    76.22    10.13    15.05    14.48    54.96    27.22P    0.46R    0.01  
Maidenhead          9   11   -1      -1.18    40.03    -0.70    56.36     9.78    -9.59     0.22     3.57     0.82P   22.60R    1.90  
Barrow              9   11   -1      -1.14    39.55    -0.83    57.02     9.64    -7.69     0.22     3.82     0.94P   19.77R    1.41  
Bromley             9   10   +2      -3.27    21.81     0.44    64.15     9.97     7.21     1.57    14.80     4.68P    6.12R    0.31  
Chesterfield        9    9   -1      -5.25    10.65    -3.96    70.60    10.55    15.57     6.59    35.59    16.00P    2.21R    0.09  
Eastleigh           9    9   -8      -0.98    41.94    -4.34    54.08     9.67   -16.56     0.10     1.92     0.40P   30.89R    3.37  
Maidstone_United    9    7   -6      -2.95    23.57    -2.54    47.93     9.28   -20.55     0.01     0.34     0.06P   55.41R    9.71  
Aldershot           8    7   -8      -3.16    20.78    -7.04    60.22     9.88    -5.72     0.49     6.94     2.02P   13.01R    0.95  
Havant_&_Wville     8    6   -8      -1.65    35.02    -2.44    40.91    10.25   -37.16     0.02     0.17     0.04P   79.29R   32.09  
Dag_&_Red           9    5   -5      -8.43     1.67    -6.75    55.98     9.93    -4.52     0.20     3.55     1.05P   23.03R    2.14  
Dover_Athletic      9    5  -10      -7.18     3.31    -9.82    57.20     9.97    -7.68     0.23     4.16     1.17P   20.48R    1.87  
Braintree_Town      9    3   -8      -5.60     6.27    -2.31    37.79     9.90   -31.81     0.00     0.06     0.01P   86.60R   44.31