Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 4 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Burnley 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +8       3.19    89.43     2.26    79.59     9.02    43.54    16.31    40.76    62.73    79.97    97.04     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           4   12   +7       3.78    92.80     2.62    76.94     9.14    36.54     9.92    28.64    50.09    70.75    94.63     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           4   12   +6       6.82    99.36     6.60    52.05     9.19    -7.24     0.03     0.14     0.56     1.72    12.32     2.22R    0.31  
Man_City          4   10   +8       0.51    58.79     0.40    88.02     8.10    66.64    56.82    79.76    91.06    96.60    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         4    9   +5       1.06    62.60     0.67    78.50     8.91    42.97    13.41    35.77    58.45    77.26    96.42     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       4    7   +1       1.92    77.77     1.92    47.01     9.23   -12.53     0.00     0.03     0.16     0.55     5.31     6.91R    0.98  
Everton           4    6   +1      -0.51    41.54    -0.53    49.73     9.40    -5.83     0.01     0.07     0.34     1.17     8.91     4.08R    0.58  
Leicester         4    6   +1       1.18    66.71     2.24    53.57     9.52     0.27     0.04     0.21     0.90     2.66    16.66     1.86R    0.20  
Arsenal           4    6   +0      -0.35    43.17    -1.40    67.65     9.49    24.70     1.43     6.32    15.62    30.58    74.10     0.04R    0.00  
Man_Utd           4    6   -1      -1.30    30.08    -3.67    69.56     9.08    24.94     2.03     8.24    19.83    37.62    81.18     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     4    5   -1       1.04    67.93     1.74    43.09     9.31   -16.08     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.27     2.43    15.07R    3.05  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.34    32.62     0.18    45.03     8.83    -9.84     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.24     2.97     8.96R    1.62  
Fulham            4    4   -2      -0.36    47.46     0.48    38.51     9.66   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.16    31.13R    9.46  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.09    55.06     0.65    40.86     8.71   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.00    19.39R    4.22  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -3      -1.71    26.31    -1.69    42.48     8.95   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     1.74    15.40R    3.21  
Cardiff           4    2   -3      -2.31    19.92    -1.15    33.80     8.78   -28.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    49.04R   17.84  
Huddersfield      4    2   -8      -0.61    43.06    -2.24    28.76     7.92   -41.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    73.33R   39.30  
Newcastle         4    1   -3      -2.55    15.38     0.41    44.50     9.17    -8.42     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.24     3.05    10.88R    1.95  
Burnley           4    1   -6      -3.71     7.52    -5.00    39.23     8.75   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.67    25.12R    5.88  
West_Ham          4    0   -8      -3.88     3.75    -4.50    36.73     9.06   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.46    36.56R   11.40  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Bristol_City 4 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     6   14  +10       5.26    94.45     9.12    76.24    10.96    21.22     9.13    18.99    55.50    27.03P    0.17R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    6   14   +7       3.94    88.62     4.31    84.23    10.42    29.88    26.37    44.40    81.63    55.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   12   +4       3.27    82.50     3.26    70.69    11.06     9.59     3.79     8.86    35.26    14.23P    0.88R    0.09  
Derby            6   12   +2       2.09    72.10    -0.52    75.66    10.79    15.62     7.98    17.13    52.40    25.99P    0.23R    0.03  
Brentford        6   11   +6       1.40    66.34     3.77    73.43    10.99    17.60     6.00    13.40    45.10    20.85P    0.38R    0.03  
Bristol_City     6   11   +5       1.94    71.74     3.72    69.83    11.01    10.81     3.29     7.67    32.83    13.09P    1.04R    0.12  
Swansea          6   11   +2       1.21    63.75    -0.29    75.97    11.32    17.38     9.56    19.13    53.71    28.87P    0.31R    0.03  
Bolton           6   11   +0       4.78    93.12     3.22    51.18     9.96   -23.07     0.03     0.08     1.30     0.23P   24.90R    6.29  
West_Brom        6   10   +6      -0.92    38.50     1.68    80.50    11.28    30.22    18.55    33.28    69.85    45.06P    0.08R    0.01  
Wigan            6   10   +3       0.11    51.08     0.40    72.15    11.41    14.02     5.45    11.83    40.53    19.13P    0.79R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +0       1.39    66.18    -0.52    66.23    10.83     1.96     1.34     3.86    21.15     7.55P    2.03R    0.29  
Aston_Villa      6    9   +0      -0.56    43.13    -2.02    72.66    10.70    13.49     4.81    11.13    41.86    19.24P    0.43R    0.06  
Blackburn        6    9   -1       0.74    58.66    -0.98    62.22    11.34    -3.63     0.83     2.18    13.49     4.43P    5.55R    0.99  
Nott'm_Forest    6    7   +0      -0.15    49.78     1.87    56.30    10.56    -9.00     0.12     0.40     4.52     1.15P   12.09R    2.55  
Rotherham        6    6   -6       0.48    57.74    -1.18    43.86    10.63   -35.18     0.01     0.02     0.39     0.07P   53.08R   24.58  
Millwall         6    5   -2      -2.52    23.45    -1.06    58.24    10.51    -4.35     0.19     0.68     6.34     1.84P    8.55R    1.69  
Norwich          6    5   -3      -2.63    22.93    -1.93    56.84    10.89    -8.65     0.17     0.57     5.59     1.52P   11.72R    2.76  
Stoke            6    5   -4      -3.28    17.48    -4.07    66.32    11.60     5.85     1.96     4.90    23.24     9.81P    2.98R    0.53  
Preston          6    5   -4      -3.29    16.17    -4.11    58.79    10.58    -5.37     0.21     0.76     7.00     2.08P    7.94R    1.52  
Birmingham       6    4   -2      -2.53    21.96     0.41    44.43     9.77   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P   48.84R   18.87  
Hull             6    4   -5      -3.73    14.04    -4.04    56.39    10.96   -10.04     0.17     0.54     5.17     1.53P   12.91R    3.06  
QPR              6    4  -10      -2.10    27.21    -6.43    46.62    10.21   -30.68     0.01     0.02     0.51     0.08P   41.88R   15.04  
Ipswich          6    3   -4      -4.49     8.14    -2.86    51.81    10.39   -13.29     0.03     0.14     1.81     0.47P   22.35R    6.05  
Reading          6    2   -4      -4.85     6.01    -1.76    46.50    10.36   -20.94     0.01     0.04     0.57     0.12P   40.86R   15.29  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          6   16  +11       5.77    96.08     7.91    82.12    11.15    28.02    16.34    35.84    80.41    47.69P    0.12R    0.01  
Portsmouth            6   16   +9       6.55    97.71     7.15    75.93    10.64    16.44     5.95    16.34    61.89    26.93P    0.46R    0.02  
Barnsley              6   14  +11       2.44    76.05     5.89    87.97    11.34    40.10    35.00    58.41    91.12    69.88P    0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland            6   14   +8       2.79    79.07     3.42    87.73    11.35    36.98    33.97    57.22    90.28    68.46P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall               6   14   +5       5.34    94.41     4.34    67.78    10.68     3.43     1.34     4.69    31.73    10.06P    3.21R    0.32  
Fleetwood_Town        6   11   +7       1.77    69.99     5.51    70.41    10.77    13.69     2.35     7.40    42.25    15.79P    1.86R    0.16  
Doncaster             6    9   +3       0.73    58.97     2.88    64.65    10.48     4.55     0.59     2.31    22.64     6.86P    5.32R    0.55  
Accrington_Stanley    6    9   +0       1.70    69.54     1.32    56.76    11.15   -10.79     0.18     0.67     8.10     2.16P   22.05R    4.57  
Luton                 6    8   +0       0.29    54.90     0.86    63.65    11.61     0.98     0.78     2.84    22.06     7.42P    8.87R    1.33  
Charlton              6    8   +0      -0.16    49.28     0.08    67.51    10.59     6.97     1.04     4.07    31.37    10.80P    3.35R    0.32  
Blackpool             6    7   +1      -1.67    31.32     0.24    60.76    10.54    -0.07     0.26     1.20    13.48     3.96P   10.85R    1.44  
Gillingham            6    7   -1      -0.36    47.07     0.43    59.38    10.78    -4.77     0.21     0.86    11.29     2.94P   14.48R    2.39  
Southend              6    7   -1      -1.34    35.27    -1.21    60.89    10.80    -2.67     0.40     1.38    14.10     4.17P   11.34R    1.78  
Rochdale              6    7   -6       0.01    51.82    -4.02    57.83    10.72   -12.30     0.13     0.61     8.47     2.08P   18.60R    3.49  
Burton_Albion         6    6   -2      -2.57    23.21    -2.56    59.17    11.22    -4.41     0.31     1.20    11.93     3.66P   15.85R    2.86  
Wycombe               6    6   -3      -0.63    44.42    -0.70    47.17    10.68   -24.14     0.01     0.05     1.32     0.28P   54.20R   20.44  
Bradford              6    6   -4      -1.67    31.77    -3.22    58.74    10.64    -6.85     0.18     0.75     9.70     2.70P   15.85R    2.58  
Scunthorpe            6    6   -7      -2.09    27.21    -6.68    64.80    10.94    -1.18     0.65     2.77    23.18     7.73P    6.53R    0.88  
Coventry              6    5   -3      -2.08    27.80    -1.59    48.36    10.42   -18.59     0.01     0.04     1.46     0.31P   49.04R   15.74  
AFC_Wimbledon         6    5   -5      -1.33    35.76    -2.28    51.73    10.07   -15.69     0.02     0.08     2.27     0.44P   35.76R    8.54  
Bristol_Rovers        6    4   -3      -3.62    14.20    -1.99    53.92    10.70   -11.03     0.05     0.26     4.54     1.17P   28.80R    6.63  
Oxford_Utd            6    4   -8      -2.56    22.81    -5.14    55.06    10.77   -14.35     0.07     0.32     5.54     1.34P   26.26R    5.82  
Shrewsbury            6    3   -3      -5.32     4.81    -3.29    58.59    10.51    -1.45     0.17     0.66     9.76     2.91P   14.82R    2.51  
Plymouth              6    2   -9      -5.15     4.89    -7.36    47.67    10.37   -22.86     0.01     0.03     1.13     0.26P   52.32R   17.61  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Bury 3 2 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      6   16  +10       6.43    97.58     7.96    81.47    10.61    26.00    23.10    52.57    81.94    60.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County    6   13   +1       5.07    93.54     1.40    65.12    10.56    -2.82     1.42     6.98    25.81    10.46P    1.31R    0.33  
MK_Dons           6   12   +3       2.21    73.66     0.70    80.96    11.06    23.93    22.31    50.58    79.61    59.47P    0.02R    0.01  
Colchester        6   11   +9       1.28    64.98     6.76    75.52    10.52    23.61    10.09    31.36    65.18    40.72P    0.09R    0.01  
Yeovil            6   11   +6       3.30    83.75     6.74    65.15    10.66     5.05     1.51     7.48    27.27    11.55P    1.30R    0.33  
Oldham            6   11   +4       0.30    52.99     0.20    77.48    11.24    21.43    14.28    38.42    69.67    47.72P    0.09R    0.02  
Forest_Green      6   10   +5       2.69    78.92     6.49    60.26    10.63    -2.45     0.50     3.19    14.68     5.24P    3.87R    1.08  
Mansfield         6   10   +4       0.28    53.15     1.80    72.39    10.54    15.41     5.83    21.28    53.12    30.00P    0.17R    0.03  
Exeter            6   10   +2       0.94    60.97     0.74    72.77    10.76    14.04     6.29    22.41    54.04    30.82P    0.26R    0.05  
Carlisle          6   10   +0       1.43    66.40    -0.54    68.68    10.69     5.78     3.10    12.66    38.14    18.36P    0.64R    0.16  
Tranmere          6    9   +1       1.67    69.57     2.34    59.08    10.96    -5.73     0.53     2.86    12.90     4.81P    5.32R    1.61  
Swindon           6    9   -1      -0.16    47.97    -2.48    68.38    10.92     5.63     2.99    12.81    37.66    18.72P    0.79R    0.20  
Stevenage         6    8   +0      -0.80    41.53    -0.83    61.05    10.62    -2.63     0.62     3.57    16.08     6.37P    3.27R    0.95  
Crewe             6    7   +1      -1.09    37.83     1.24    59.09    10.92    -3.87     0.51     2.75    12.98     4.94P    5.15R    1.49  
Bury              6    7   -1      -2.09    27.20    -2.33    67.68    11.60     7.86     3.28    12.93    36.71    19.32P    1.25R    0.34  
Crawley_Town      6    7   -2      -0.17    49.40    -0.35    56.61    10.55   -10.34     0.18     1.40     8.09     2.72P    7.77R    2.56  
Cambridge_Utd     6    7   -4      -0.99    39.44    -3.69    59.86    10.45    -6.76     0.40     2.61    12.97     4.83P    3.93R    1.17  
Northampton       6    6   -1      -2.88    20.25    -1.95    66.19    11.57     7.16     2.60    10.78    32.25    16.65P    1.61R    0.44  
Port_Vale         6    6   -1      -1.85    29.49    -0.49    57.98    10.42    -5.00     0.28     1.85     9.96     3.66P    5.35R    1.63  
Grimsby           6    5   -3      -2.01    28.18    -1.30    50.06    10.04   -17.13     0.01     0.20     2.08     0.57P   19.49R    7.05  
Cheltenham        6    4   -4      -3.75    13.14    -3.30    51.66    10.28   -15.15     0.07     0.45     3.18     1.02P   15.94R    5.63  
Morecambe         6    3  -11      -2.64    20.25    -7.10    45.05     9.77   -30.08     0.00     0.05     0.54     0.11P   37.89R   17.24  
Macclesfield      6    2   -8      -3.21    14.68    -2.96    36.69    10.01   -40.06     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.02P   71.70R   52.94  
Notts_County      6    1  -10      -6.64     1.51    -9.06    53.64    10.75   -13.90     0.10     0.82     5.02     1.75P   12.80R    4.74  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 September 2018, AFC_Fylde 0 2 Salford_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Harrogate_Town      9   19  +11       6.37    92.69    10.56    74.94    11.19    19.16    14.84    50.44    22.91P    1.07R    0.06  
Leyton_Orient       9   19   +9       4.29    85.02     5.53    78.65     9.82    22.66    20.96    65.14    32.78P    0.13R    0.00  
Wrexham             9   18   +9       4.13    84.15     6.75    74.12     9.45    17.58     9.23    47.05    18.79P    0.39R    0.01  
Halifax             9   17   +7       5.01    89.10     7.22    64.80     9.51     3.53     1.51    14.78     3.90P    4.63R    0.18  
AFC_Fylde           9   16   +7       1.24    61.17     3.26    74.82     9.96    19.30    11.77    50.37    22.04P    0.57R    0.01  
Hartlepool          9   16   +3       2.40    71.47     1.11    66.53     9.66     3.33     2.22    19.24     5.73P    3.29R    0.10  
Sutton_United       9   16   +3       2.84    75.35     1.73    69.95     9.83     8.21     4.54    30.11    10.35P    1.70R    0.05  
Solihull_Moors      9   16   -2       5.82    92.31     1.20    61.15     9.66    -9.84     0.62     7.79     1.68P   10.91R    0.70  
Salford_City        9   15   +4       3.99    82.61     6.02    62.94    10.79     0.15     1.70    14.08     4.20P    9.69R    0.65  
Boreham_Wood        9   15   +0       1.66    65.95    -1.65    67.07     9.56     2.91     2.27    20.41     6.56P    2.95R    0.08  
Ebbsfleet_United    9   14   +3       1.96    68.72     3.28    69.81     9.79    10.93     4.42    30.07    10.41P    1.66R    0.06  
Gateshead           9   14   +2       0.77    57.81     0.59    67.28     9.79     6.16     2.66    22.02     7.08P    3.09R    0.13  
Barnet              9   14   -2      -0.56    44.80    -5.34    75.81    10.11    14.48    13.53    53.06    26.02P    0.49R    0.01  
Maidenhead          9   11   -1      -1.15    39.96    -0.69    56.34     9.79    -9.63     0.21     3.45     0.82P   22.51R    1.98  
Barrow              9   11   -1      -1.11    40.03    -0.79    57.08     9.69    -7.59     0.27     3.90     0.98P   19.88R    1.35  
Bromley             9   10   +2      -3.25    22.06     0.48    64.08     9.92     7.07     1.44    14.49     4.55P    6.11R    0.29  
Chesterfield        9    9   -1      -5.33    10.15    -4.08    70.93    10.51    16.10     6.76    36.22    16.46P    1.94R    0.07  
Eastleigh           9    9   -8      -1.04    41.34    -4.42    54.20     9.68   -16.34     0.08     2.04     0.39P   30.16R    3.27  
Maidstone_United    9    7   -6      -2.88    24.63    -2.41    47.73     9.34   -20.89     0.01     0.35     0.07P   56.30R    9.92  
Aldershot           8    7   -8      -3.14    20.94    -7.03    60.33     9.90    -5.66     0.53     7.17     2.04P   12.76R    0.93  
Havant_&_Wville     8    6   -8      -1.58    35.92    -2.30    40.55    10.28   -37.73     0.01     0.13     0.02P   79.98R   33.30  
Dag_&_Red           9    5   -5      -8.41     1.68    -6.74    56.01     9.91    -4.50     0.21     3.51     1.00P   22.71R    2.12  
Dover_Athletic      9    5  -10      -7.15     3.39    -9.81    57.00    10.02    -8.00     0.22     4.15     1.20P   21.04R    1.82  
Braintree_Town      9    3   -8      -5.69     5.71    -2.47    38.05     9.89   -31.37     0.00     0.05     0.01P   86.04R   42.90