Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 3 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Burnley 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +8       3.18    89.47     2.25    79.74     9.00    43.82    16.73    41.63    63.73    80.51    97.08     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           4   12   +7       3.78    92.85     2.63    76.81     9.05    36.37     9.83    28.22    49.94    70.61    94.46     0.00     0.00  
Watford           4   12   +6       6.82    99.34     6.59    51.98     9.13    -7.30     0.02     0.13     0.56     1.76    11.99     2.21R    0.21  
Man_City          4   10   +8       0.51    58.48     0.42    87.99     8.15    66.48    56.89    79.44    90.83    96.44    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         4    9   +5       1.03    62.32     0.64    78.48     8.86    42.80    13.16    35.94    58.42    77.34    96.41     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth       4    7   +1       1.88    77.36     1.90    47.16     9.19   -12.26     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.55     5.38     6.67R    0.99  
Everton           4    6   +1      -0.50    41.77    -0.53    49.73     9.42    -5.79     0.01     0.09     0.41     1.20     8.98     4.05R    0.63  
Leicester         4    6   +1       1.16    66.61     2.18    53.92     9.62     0.95     0.03     0.25     1.03     3.04    18.09     1.73R    0.19  
Arsenal           4    6   +0      -0.31    43.72    -1.36    67.51     9.51    24.54     1.31     6.23    15.43    30.61    73.41     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd           4    6   -1      -1.27    30.63    -3.61    69.38     9.10    24.74     2.02     8.03    19.32    36.89    80.62     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     4    5   -1       1.04    67.98     1.75    42.83     9.35   -16.49     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.21     2.35    15.56R    3.30  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.34    32.59     0.17    45.22     8.91    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.28     3.12     8.85R    1.43  
Fulham            4    4   -2      -0.34    48.12     0.53    38.46     9.63   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     1.12    30.98R    9.55  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.09    54.80     0.63    40.84     8.63   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.97    19.13R    4.00  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -3      -1.72    26.22    -1.69    42.53     9.00   -16.15     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.10     1.84    15.17R    3.02  
Cardiff           4    2   -3      -2.29    19.98    -1.12    33.72     8.76   -28.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    49.56R   17.66  
Huddersfield      4    2   -8      -0.63    42.67    -2.23    28.59     7.75   -41.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.31R   39.69  
Newcastle         4    1   -3      -2.60    14.99     0.31    44.90     9.09    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.24     3.22     9.78R    1.77  
Burnley           4    1   -6      -3.70     7.45    -4.99    39.10     8.67   -19.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.56    25.12R    5.94  
West_Ham          4    0   -8      -3.84     3.83    -4.46    36.59     9.01   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.45    36.84R   11.62  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Bristol_City 4 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     6   14  +10       5.30    94.56     9.17    76.21    10.87    21.12     8.83    18.87    55.18    26.76P    0.18R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    6   14   +7       3.93    88.49     4.31    84.11    10.43    29.75    26.21    44.10    81.26    55.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   12   +4       3.31    82.97     3.29    70.63    11.06     9.46     3.70     8.47    34.89    13.78P    0.85R    0.12  
Derby            6   12   +2       2.09    71.84    -0.49    75.56    10.78    15.43     8.10    17.11    51.94    25.93P    0.16R    0.02  
Brentford        6   11   +6       1.33    65.58     3.66    73.71    11.00    18.08     6.31    13.90    46.50    21.91P    0.39R    0.05  
Bristol_City     6   11   +5       1.92    71.67     3.69    69.90    10.98    10.97     3.21     7.82    32.85    13.21P    0.92R    0.12  
Swansea          6   11   +2       1.23    63.90    -0.27    75.95    11.32    17.31     9.39    19.06    54.06    28.91P    0.32R    0.04  
Bolton           6   11   +0       4.76    93.15     3.21    51.12     9.86   -23.18     0.02     0.08     1.22     0.22P   24.74R    6.12  
West_Brom        6   10   +6      -0.91    38.73     1.68    80.63    11.46    30.58    19.06    33.82    70.09    45.23P    0.12R    0.01  
Wigan            6   10   +3       0.10    50.88     0.39    72.11    11.35    14.06     5.45    11.73    40.75    19.26P    0.77R    0.08  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +0       1.42    66.44    -0.48    66.01    10.81     1.65     1.37     3.82    20.65     7.33P    2.09R    0.31  
Aston_Villa      6    9   +0      -0.55    43.29    -1.98    72.60    10.74    13.38     4.71    11.00    41.71    19.06P    0.49R    0.04  
Blackburn        6    9   -1       0.78    59.24    -0.93    62.16    11.28    -3.69     0.82     2.23    13.48     4.66P    5.50R    0.97  
Nott'm_Forest    6    7   +0      -0.12    50.14     1.94    56.14    10.63    -9.26     0.14     0.43     4.69     1.15P   12.40R    2.72  
Rotherham        6    6   -6       0.44    57.04    -1.23    43.95    10.60   -35.11     0.01     0.04     0.45     0.12P   52.92R   24.02  
Millwall         6    5   -2      -2.50    23.50    -1.07    58.41    10.57    -4.05     0.22     0.69     6.59     1.91P    8.61R    1.67  
Norwich          6    5   -3      -2.67    22.64    -2.00    57.09    10.90    -8.30     0.22     0.68     5.96     1.68P   11.67R    2.60  
Stoke            6    5   -4      -3.27    17.34    -4.05    66.18    11.49     5.71     1.81     4.68    22.90     9.49P    2.83R    0.50  
Preston          6    5   -4      -3.30    16.17    -4.14    58.92    10.47    -5.23     0.21     0.72     6.72     2.05P    7.72R    1.63  
Birmingham       6    4   -2      -2.52    22.26     0.43    44.36     9.73   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   49.25R   19.23  
Hull             6    4   -5      -3.70    14.12    -4.02    56.18    10.93   -10.39     0.15     0.50     4.88     1.40P   13.49R    3.31  
QPR              6    4  -10      -2.12    27.19    -6.48    46.82    10.32   -30.38     0.01     0.04     0.60     0.12P   41.16R   14.93  
Ipswich          6    3   -4      -4.53     7.90    -2.89    51.95    10.46   -13.07     0.05     0.16     1.86     0.49P   22.16R    5.97  
Reading          6    2   -4      -4.85     5.93    -1.76    46.36    10.35   -21.23     0.01     0.04     0.57     0.14P   41.25R   15.55  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          6   16  +11       5.76    96.07     7.91    82.06    11.22    27.93    16.61    35.84    80.12    47.81P    0.13R    0.01  
Portsmouth            6   16   +9       6.55    97.71     7.18    75.94    10.75    16.45     5.80    16.17    62.01    26.91P    0.48R    0.03  
Barnsley              6   14  +11       2.38    75.41     5.79    88.36    11.33    40.66    36.37    60.00    91.32    70.84P    0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland            6   14   +8       2.85    79.64     3.50    87.44    11.36    36.52    32.65    56.18    90.07    67.77P    0.03R    0.00  
Walsall               6   14   +5       5.30    94.17     4.28    68.07    10.71     3.85     1.45     4.83    32.75    10.44P    3.15R    0.24  
Fleetwood_Town        6   11   +7       1.86    70.78     5.63    70.07    10.86    13.15     2.29     7.32    41.20    15.32P    2.10R    0.18  
Doncaster             6    9   +3       0.72    58.80     2.84    64.81    10.50     4.79     0.59     2.45    23.06     7.03P    5.47R    0.56  
Accrington_Stanley    6    9   +0       1.72    69.64     1.34    56.57    11.17   -10.99     0.16     0.70     8.01     2.02P   22.41R    4.75  
Luton                 6    8   +0       0.29    54.95     0.86    63.65    11.49     1.06     0.71     2.73    22.05     7.20P    8.70R    1.37  
Charlton              6    8   +0      -0.18    49.32     0.06    67.46    10.57     6.96     1.05     3.96    31.26    10.69P    3.34R    0.30  
Blackpool             6    7   +1      -1.63    31.82     0.29    60.62    10.45    -0.25     0.20     0.97    13.14     3.83P   10.77R    1.54  
Gillingham            6    7   -1      -0.33    47.28     0.49    59.25    10.74    -5.04     0.17     0.88    11.25     3.05P   14.64R    2.50  
Southend              6    7   -1      -1.37    35.07    -1.25    60.94    10.74    -2.54     0.27     1.28    13.95     4.03P   11.31R    1.71  
Rochdale              6    7   -6       0.02    51.90    -3.98    57.60    10.70   -12.63     0.12     0.55     8.19     1.95P   19.13R    3.56  
Burton_Albion         6    6   -2      -2.51    23.72    -2.49    58.95    11.22    -4.72     0.32     1.08    11.52     3.69P   16.08R    2.99  
Wycombe               6    6   -3      -0.62    44.42    -0.68    47.18    10.64   -24.16     0.01     0.06     1.35     0.29P   54.49R   20.33  
Bradford              6    6   -4      -1.63    32.14    -3.17    58.47    10.57    -7.24     0.16     0.60     9.24     2.38P   15.98R    2.66  
Scunthorpe            6    6   -7      -2.15    26.49    -6.76    65.14    10.94    -0.71     0.71     2.88    24.13     8.09P    6.28R    0.77  
Coventry              6    5   -3      -2.14    27.29    -1.66    48.69    10.49   -18.02     0.01     0.06     1.58     0.33P   47.70R   15.01  
AFC_Wimbledon         6    5   -5      -1.34    35.49    -2.30    51.84    10.08   -15.60     0.03     0.10     2.42     0.53P   35.37R    8.63  
Bristol_Rovers        6    4   -3      -3.62    14.12    -2.01    53.94    10.81   -10.95     0.06     0.30     4.78     1.22P   29.23R    6.77  
Oxford_Utd            6    4   -8      -2.62    22.34    -5.22    55.16    10.92   -14.18     0.07     0.35     5.92     1.48P   26.12R    5.91  
Shrewsbury            6    3   -3      -5.34     4.80    -3.30    58.59    10.43    -1.43     0.18     0.66     9.57     2.87P   14.84R    2.44  
Plymouth              6    2   -9      -5.11     5.19    -7.33    47.60    10.33   -22.91     0.00     0.04     1.10     0.24P   52.23R   17.72  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Bury 3 2 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      6   16  +10       6.48    97.69     8.04    81.29    10.59    25.81    22.81    52.10    81.68    59.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County    6   13   +1       5.08    93.73     1.43    65.22    10.39    -2.68     1.34     6.86    25.79    10.52P    1.27R    0.31  
MK_Dons           6   12   +3       2.20    73.59     0.65    80.90    11.15    23.93    22.32    50.51    79.36    59.34P    0.03R    0.01  
Colchester        6   11   +9       1.36    65.70     6.85    75.42    10.55    23.40    10.17    31.24    64.71    40.43P    0.11R    0.02  
Yeovil            6   11   +6       3.27    83.63     6.72    65.08    10.64     4.98     1.51     7.47    26.98    11.52P    1.34R    0.36  
Oldham            6   11   +4       0.34    53.65     0.23    77.41    11.24    21.32    14.38    38.51    69.40    47.85P    0.08R    0.01  
Forest_Green      6   10   +5       2.73    79.35     6.53    60.03    10.57    -2.77     0.51     3.06    13.80     5.00P    3.88R    1.14  
Mansfield         6   10   +4       0.24    52.39     1.75    72.68    10.62    15.77     6.41    22.34    53.74    30.83P    0.24R    0.06  
Exeter            6   10   +2       0.93    60.90     0.73    72.83    10.76    14.11     6.15    22.46    54.49    30.89P    0.24R    0.05  
Carlisle          6   10   +0       1.45    66.75    -0.50    68.68    10.71     5.80     3.07    12.94    38.53    18.95P    0.62R    0.12  
Tranmere          6    9   +1       1.73    70.20     2.43    58.86    10.99    -5.97     0.49     2.70    12.62     4.59P    5.58R    1.81  
Swindon           6    9   -1      -0.17    47.73    -2.49    68.42    10.96     5.72     3.08    12.92    38.18    18.91P    0.72R    0.15  
Stevenage         6    8   +0      -0.84    41.21    -0.89    61.23    10.54    -2.37     0.65     3.71    16.53     6.48P    2.85R    0.85  
Crewe             6    7   +1      -1.08    38.04     1.25    58.96    10.79    -4.03     0.47     2.74    12.62     4.73P    4.92R    1.40  
Bury              6    7   -1      -2.05    27.26    -2.28    67.40    11.44     7.41     2.98    12.21    35.65    18.55P    1.25R    0.35  
Crawley_Town      6    7   -2      -0.19    49.05    -0.37    56.68    10.48   -10.20     0.20     1.41     8.16     2.75P    7.26R    2.29  
Cambridge_Utd     6    7   -4      -0.97    39.68    -3.65    60.12    10.46    -6.43     0.41     2.79    13.55     5.07P    3.83R    1.11  
Northampton       6    6   -1      -2.92    19.89    -2.00    66.40    11.53     7.43     2.67    10.73    32.82    16.70P    1.56R    0.44  
Port_Vale         6    6   -1      -1.91    28.61    -0.58    58.09    10.33    -4.73     0.22     1.77    10.08     3.53P    5.33R    1.58  
Grimsby           6    5   -3      -2.01    27.92    -1.32    49.93    10.03   -17.23     0.02     0.25     2.08     0.56P   19.94R    7.20  
Cheltenham        6    4   -4      -3.76    12.99    -3.37    51.73    10.35   -15.08     0.05     0.44     3.25     0.95P   15.90R    5.59  
Morecambe         6    3  -11      -2.62    20.37    -7.10    44.87     9.88   -30.34     0.00     0.05     0.55     0.12P   38.99R   17.98  
Macclesfield      6    2   -8      -3.19    14.71    -2.92    36.67     9.90   -40.24     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.02P   71.61R   52.57  
Notts_County      6    1  -10      -6.70     1.42    -9.14    53.81    10.72   -13.63     0.11     0.79     5.33     1.78P   12.45R    4.62  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Barrow 1 2 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham             8   17   +9       4.76    89.01     7.10    75.90     9.73    19.47    12.07    53.09    22.49P    0.31R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town      8   16  +10       5.02    89.16     9.98    71.51    11.41    15.41     8.58    37.56    15.11P    2.48R    0.12  
AFC_Fylde           8   16   +9       2.77    75.74     5.46    78.92    10.16    25.81    21.07    65.05    33.02P    0.21R    0.00  
Halifax             8   16   +7       4.96    89.88     6.75    64.44     9.81     2.27     1.46    13.99     3.72P    5.42R    0.23  
Leyton_Orient       8   16   +6       3.49    81.17     3.74    76.33    10.11    18.65    14.13    54.84    24.41P    0.38R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors      8   16   +1       6.27    94.76     2.86    63.52     9.86    -5.56     1.13    11.77     2.90P    7.15R    0.35  
Hartlepool          8   15   +3       3.01    77.51     1.45    67.63     9.96     4.17     2.90    22.22     7.08P    2.97R    0.09  
Gateshead           8   14   +3       2.00    69.72     1.41    69.64     9.98     8.62     4.42    28.53     9.94P    1.88R    0.07  
Ebbsfleet_United    8   13   +3       2.23    71.99     3.18    70.37    10.04    11.26     4.85    31.34    10.91P    1.69R    0.07  
Sutton_United       8   13   +2       1.31    63.32     0.87    68.21    10.04     7.00     3.17    24.35     8.03P    2.77R    0.09  
Salford_City        8   12   +2       2.54    74.41     4.35    57.38    10.99    -8.42     0.57     5.84     1.58P   21.95R    2.49  
Boreham_Wood        8   12   -1       0.11    51.48    -2.50    65.02     9.84     1.20     1.42    15.07     4.63P    5.13R    0.17  
Barnet              8   11   -3      -2.17    29.04    -6.35    74.08    10.57    13.48    10.65    45.41    21.72P    0.94R    0.03  
Bromley             8   10   +3      -1.98    30.81     1.32    66.56    10.28     9.80     2.43    20.82     6.86P    4.32R    0.23  
Barrow              8   10   -1      -1.09    39.39    -1.26    56.80    10.04    -9.01     0.27     3.99     1.00P   21.36R    1.76  
Chesterfield        8    9   +0      -4.39    13.29    -3.72    73.40    10.48    18.97     9.58    43.85    20.71P    1.04R    0.04  
Eastleigh           8    9   -6      -0.11    50.42    -3.08    56.62    10.11   -13.16     0.23     3.61     0.84P   22.96R    2.38  
Maidenhead          8    8   -3      -2.18    29.89    -1.71    54.37    10.04   -12.53     0.15     2.39     0.53P   28.95R    3.47  
Maidstone_United    8    7   -5      -1.90    31.98    -1.91    49.80     9.66   -19.29     0.03     0.75     0.15P   46.71R    7.79  
Aldershot           8    7   -8      -3.12    21.09    -6.96    60.36    10.08    -5.65     0.49     7.31     2.07P   12.82R    1.02  
Havant_&_Wville     8    6   -8      -1.64    34.98    -2.23    40.60    10.29   -38.16     0.00     0.16     0.03P   79.46R   33.62  
Dover_Athletic      8    4  -10      -6.63     3.33    -9.54    57.91    10.29    -7.26     0.26     4.91     1.38P   18.98R    1.71  
Braintree_Town      8    3   -7      -4.94     7.88    -2.23    38.52    10.15   -32.57     0.00     0.08     0.02P   84.12R   41.24  
Dag_&_Red           8    2   -6      -9.57     0.35    -7.00    55.12    10.25    -4.51     0.15     3.09     0.89P   26.00R    3.02