Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 2 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Burnley 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +8       3.20    89.58     2.30    79.59     9.03    43.48    16.42    41.07    62.90    79.88    97.05     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           4   12   +7       3.79    92.73     2.63    76.85     9.09    36.43     9.97    28.64    49.81    70.78    94.69     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           4   12   +6       6.81    99.32     6.59    52.02     9.15    -7.30     0.01     0.12     0.58     1.73    12.19     2.08R    0.21  
Man_City          4   10   +8       0.51    58.82     0.42    87.98     8.11    66.49    56.87    79.69    91.00    96.59    99.75     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         4    9   +5       1.07    62.84     0.69    78.48     8.82    42.83    13.29    35.50    58.58    77.44    96.42     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       4    7   +1       1.91    77.47     1.92    47.10     9.20   -12.34     0.01     0.05     0.17     0.55     5.11     6.88R    1.10  
Everton           4    6   +1      -0.53    41.34    -0.57    49.87     9.39    -5.56     0.01     0.07     0.36     1.19     9.11     4.00R    0.52  
Leicester         4    6   +1       1.17    66.79     2.20    53.66     9.45     0.47     0.03     0.23     0.91     2.67    16.77     1.70R    0.20  
Arsenal           4    6   +0      -0.36    42.78    -1.44    67.63     9.47    24.71     1.41     6.40    15.91    31.00    74.04     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd           4    6   -1      -1.30    30.18    -3.67    69.54     8.98    24.97     1.98     8.20    19.54    37.07    81.08     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     4    5   -1       1.05    68.03     1.75    43.22     9.44   -15.95     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.27     2.55    14.93R    3.24  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.31    33.11     0.24    44.94     8.92    -9.99     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.23     2.97     9.58R    1.55  
Fulham            4    4   -2      -0.33    48.04     0.52    38.39     9.55   -27.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.09     1.06    31.37R    9.41  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.07    54.30     0.59    41.15     8.80   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.21    18.64R    4.02  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -3      -1.76    25.65    -1.75    42.54     8.92   -16.10     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.15     1.73    15.19R    3.05  
Cardiff           4    2   -3      -2.28    20.41    -1.12    33.71     8.76   -28.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    49.42R   17.82  
Huddersfield      4    2   -8      -0.63    42.63    -2.22    28.70     7.87   -41.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    73.85R   39.35  
Newcastle         4    1   -3      -2.57    14.92     0.35    44.58     9.11    -8.29     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.24     3.01    10.41R    1.86  
Burnley           4    1   -6      -3.71     7.44    -4.99    39.02     8.69   -20.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.61    25.28R    6.19  
West_Ham          4    0   -8      -3.85     3.76    -4.46    36.64     8.99   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.43    36.63R   11.49  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 September 2018, Bristol_City 4 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     6   14  +10       5.29    94.62     9.15    76.26    10.96    21.20     9.42    19.27    55.14    27.09P    0.17R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    6   14   +7       3.92    88.37     4.27    84.26    10.42    29.95    26.35    44.34    81.63    55.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   12   +4       3.33    83.25     3.34    70.30    10.96     8.92     3.34     7.96    33.84    13.27P    0.89R    0.11  
Derby            6   12   +2       2.06    71.75    -0.55    75.90    10.87    15.98     8.50    17.96    53.31    26.95P    0.20R    0.02  
Brentford        6   11   +6       1.38    66.12     3.77    73.54    11.02    17.73     6.07    13.50    45.79    21.20P    0.41R    0.05  
Bristol_City     6   11   +5       1.98    72.15     3.77    69.51    11.04    10.31     2.93     7.20    31.63    12.39P    1.14R    0.14  
Swansea          6   11   +2       1.20    63.87    -0.29    75.92    11.20    17.30     8.85    18.37    53.66    28.21P    0.25R    0.03  
Bolton           6   11   +0       4.74    92.95     3.18    51.07     9.97   -23.21     0.01     0.08     1.32     0.22P   24.96R    6.56  
West_Brom        6   10   +6      -0.89    38.80     1.72    80.71    11.38    30.61    19.07    34.12    70.40    45.66P    0.10R    0.01  
Wigan            6   10   +3       0.18    51.87     0.51    71.86    11.40    13.61     5.22    11.43    39.95    18.74P    0.73R    0.09  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +0       1.39    66.11    -0.53    66.04    10.92     1.70     1.51     3.98    21.01     7.63P    2.15R    0.29  
Aston_Villa      6    9   +0      -0.55    43.35    -1.99    72.56    10.74    13.38     4.88    11.19    41.53    19.03P    0.45R    0.07  
Blackburn        6    9   -1       0.79    59.37    -0.91    61.92    11.32    -4.08     0.77     2.05    12.95     4.37P    5.86R    1.07  
Nott'm_Forest    6    7   +0      -0.20    49.15     1.79    56.42    10.58    -8.85     0.14     0.44     4.65     1.17P   11.99R    2.54  
Rotherham        6    6   -6       0.49    57.88    -1.14    43.77    10.59   -35.41     0.01     0.03     0.42     0.09P   53.58R   24.71  
Millwall         6    5   -2      -2.46    24.00    -1.00    58.10    10.54    -4.59     0.19     0.62     6.21     1.80P    8.80R    1.66  
Norwich          6    5   -3      -2.67    22.66    -2.01    57.15    10.89    -8.12     0.19     0.61     5.91     1.62P   11.50R    2.50  
Stoke            6    5   -4      -3.37    16.84    -4.20    66.87    11.66     6.76     2.07     5.27    24.96    10.43P    2.75R    0.53  
Preston          6    5   -4      -3.25    16.64    -4.06    58.70    10.62    -5.57     0.19     0.72     6.95     2.09P    8.09R    1.62  
Birmingham       6    4   -2      -2.49    22.32     0.48    44.38     9.78   -23.54     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P   48.77R   18.95  
Hull             6    4   -5      -3.77    13.69    -4.10    56.60    10.91    -9.68     0.22     0.63     5.38     1.63P   12.59R    2.86  
QPR              6    4  -10      -2.14    27.09    -6.51    46.70    10.40   -30.48     0.02     0.04     0.58     0.14P   41.78R   15.37  
Ipswich          6    3   -4      -4.55     7.86    -2.92    52.17    10.50   -12.84     0.04     0.15     2.01     0.48P   21.64R    5.70  
Reading          6    2   -4      -4.84     5.91    -1.76    46.40    10.32   -21.09     0.01     0.04     0.56     0.14P   41.18R   15.11  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          6   16  +11       5.73    96.09     7.87    82.29    11.07    28.29    16.84    36.16    81.08    48.19P    0.12R    0.00  
Portsmouth            6   16   +9       6.52    97.61     7.12    76.18    10.83    16.80     6.31    17.03    62.70    27.91P    0.47R    0.03  
Barnsley              6   14  +11       2.43    75.92     5.87    87.96    11.22    39.99    34.32    58.43    91.02    69.86P    0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland            6   14   +8       2.76    78.70     3.38    87.90    11.49    37.22    34.33    57.68    90.65    68.81P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall               6   14   +5       5.32    94.24     4.31    67.93    10.59     3.65     1.31     4.53    32.37     9.92P    3.06R    0.28  
Fleetwood_Town        6   11   +7       1.81    70.41     5.55    70.27    10.78    13.38     2.20     7.07    42.04    15.52P    1.99R    0.13  
Doncaster             6    9   +3       0.77    59.64     2.91    64.61    10.50     4.50     0.59     2.34    22.35     6.79P    5.53R    0.67  
Accrington_Stanley    6    9   +0       1.67    69.09     1.29    56.62    11.19   -10.99     0.14     0.66     8.14     2.16P   22.56R    4.66  
Luton                 6    8   +0       0.32    55.11     0.90    63.58    11.46     0.95     0.64     2.64    21.48     6.82P    8.85R    1.36  
Charlton              6    8   +0      -0.11    50.01     0.13    67.25    10.61     6.66     1.01     3.80    30.44    10.39P    3.39R    0.32  
Blackpool             6    7   +1      -1.63    31.79     0.31    60.54    10.45    -0.38     0.26     1.07    12.88     3.79P   11.05R    1.48  
Gillingham            6    7   -1      -0.33    47.51     0.49    59.08    10.67    -5.25     0.16     0.74    10.75     2.72P   15.08R    2.44  
Southend              6    7   -1      -1.36    35.39    -1.24    60.76    10.79    -2.79     0.35     1.34    13.83     4.02P   11.66R    1.82  
Rochdale              6    7   -6       0.01    51.64    -4.03    57.77    10.72   -12.35     0.12     0.56     8.69     2.17P   18.71R    3.41  
Burton_Albion         6    6   -2      -2.53    23.58    -2.49    58.78    11.32    -4.90     0.27     1.08    11.53     3.56P   16.80R    3.28  
Wycombe               6    6   -3      -0.65    44.00    -0.74    47.26    10.66   -23.94     0.01     0.06     1.32     0.27P   53.97R   20.00  
Bradford              6    6   -4      -1.63    32.05    -3.15    58.57    10.51    -7.08     0.15     0.65     9.38     2.51P   15.55R    2.57  
Scunthorpe            6    6   -7      -2.07    27.51    -6.67    64.98    10.90    -0.94     0.64     2.68    23.71     7.92P    6.34R    0.79  
Coventry              6    5   -3      -2.17    26.91    -1.73    48.85    10.39   -17.76     0.00     0.06     1.60     0.35P   47.12R   14.73  
AFC_Wimbledon         6    5   -5      -1.32    35.92    -2.25    51.85    10.24   -15.63     0.03     0.10     2.69     0.56P   35.76R    8.82  
Bristol_Rovers        6    4   -3      -3.64    14.14    -2.04    54.09    10.71   -10.69     0.05     0.26     4.91     1.18P   28.46R    6.46  
Oxford_Utd            6    4   -8      -2.58    22.40    -5.20    55.06    10.88   -14.28     0.06     0.34     5.74     1.37P   26.14R    6.02  
Shrewsbury            6    3   -3      -5.35     4.75    -3.32    58.70    10.38    -1.27     0.19     0.67     9.58     2.96P   14.34R    2.41  
Plymouth              6    2   -9      -5.10     5.02    -7.29    47.49    10.36   -23.18     0.00     0.04     1.12     0.24P   52.93R   18.30  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Bury 3 2 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      6   16  +10       6.46    97.62     8.01    81.36    10.64    25.85    23.22    52.30    81.55    60.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Newport_County    6   13   +1       5.07    93.61     1.42    65.14    10.49    -2.77     1.40     6.92    25.80    10.47P    1.34R    0.35  
MK_Dons           6   12   +3       2.16    73.07     0.61    80.92    10.98    23.94    22.11    50.72    79.72    59.80P    0.02R    0.01  
Colchester        6   11   +9       1.30    64.90     6.78    75.67    10.58    23.78    10.34    32.23    65.57    41.45P    0.09R    0.02  
Yeovil            6   11   +6       3.28    83.83     6.73    65.02    10.49     4.86     1.37     7.14    26.49    10.93P    1.21R    0.28  
Oldham            6   11   +4       0.34    53.67     0.28    77.14    11.15    20.90    13.66    37.27    68.83    46.78P    0.09R    0.02  
Forest_Green      6   10   +5       2.68    78.94     6.45    60.15    10.54    -2.53     0.49     3.05    14.32     5.09P    3.87R    1.06  
Mansfield         6   10   +4       0.27    52.92     1.80    72.65    10.56    15.78     6.21    22.07    53.95    30.81P    0.16R    0.03  
Exeter            6   10   +2       0.95    61.13     0.75    72.61    10.83    13.84     6.15    22.08    53.43    30.03P    0.22R    0.05  
Carlisle          6   10   +0       1.42    66.59    -0.56    68.91    10.76     6.21     3.34    13.32    39.30    19.53P    0.57R    0.13  
Tranmere          6    9   +1       1.68    69.59     2.38    59.00    10.98    -5.76     0.47     2.81    12.74     4.81P    5.39R    1.73  
Swindon           6    9   -1      -0.12    48.40    -2.40    68.27    10.91     5.41     3.05    12.56    37.52    18.46P    0.75R    0.16  
Stevenage         6    8   +0      -0.82    41.56    -0.87    61.09    10.51    -2.58     0.68     3.57    16.01     6.25P    2.96R    0.80  
Crewe             6    7   +1      -1.09    37.85     1.24    59.13    10.86    -3.82     0.42     2.71    12.95     4.78P    5.08R    1.57  
Bury              6    7   -1      -2.08    27.17    -2.28    67.33    11.51     7.28     3.05    12.31    35.46    18.41P    1.33R    0.35  
Crawley_Town      6    7   -2      -0.24    48.61    -0.44    56.89    10.53    -9.89     0.24     1.50     8.49     2.86P    7.40R    2.22  
Cambridge_Utd     6    7   -4      -0.96    39.75    -3.61    59.90    10.48    -6.67     0.53     2.83    13.15     5.06P    4.02R    1.21  
Northampton       6    6   -1      -2.91    19.89    -2.00    66.43    11.60     7.50     2.77    11.19    32.96    17.04P    1.54R    0.44  
Port_Vale         6    6   -1      -1.88    29.15    -0.53    58.15    10.41    -4.67     0.31     1.82    10.44     3.66P    5.40R    1.57  
Grimsby           6    5   -3      -1.99    28.24    -1.28    49.90    10.02   -17.34     0.03     0.24     1.96     0.53P   19.69R    7.23  
Cheltenham        6    4   -4      -3.75    12.94    -3.35    51.87    10.41   -14.88     0.05     0.46     3.46     1.10P   15.57R    5.58  
Morecambe         6    3  -11      -2.61    20.67    -7.05    44.76     9.84   -30.48     0.00     0.05     0.52     0.11P   39.23R   18.02  
Macclesfield      6    2   -8      -3.22    14.39    -2.97    36.72     9.94   -40.06     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.02P   71.22R   52.49  
Notts_County      6    1  -10      -6.66     1.48    -9.09    53.66    10.77   -13.92     0.12     0.83     5.30     1.84P   12.84R    4.68  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Barrow 1 2 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham             8   17   +9       4.76    88.98     7.10    75.76     9.74    19.27    11.85    52.47    22.17P    0.29R    0.01  
Harrogate_Town      8   16  +10       5.00    88.92     9.96    71.69    11.45    15.65     8.74    38.37    15.28P    2.43R    0.13  
AFC_Fylde           8   16   +9       2.77    75.43     5.46    79.00    10.23    25.88    21.57    65.18    33.15P    0.19R    0.00  
Halifax             8   16   +7       4.91    89.57     6.70    64.50     9.84     2.37     1.50    14.37     3.91P    5.34R    0.19  
Leyton_Orient       8   16   +6       3.45    80.78     3.69    76.33    10.15    18.69    14.05    54.60    24.39P    0.40R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors      8   16   +1       6.32    94.67     2.95    63.29     9.94    -5.93     1.07    11.57     2.88P    7.68R    0.45  
Hartlepool          8   15   +3       2.91    76.78     1.30    67.99    10.01     4.69     3.05    23.49     7.36P    2.84R    0.08  
Gateshead           8   14   +3       1.97    69.35     1.35    69.81     9.96     8.88     4.42    29.10    10.06P    1.83R    0.05  
Ebbsfleet_United    8   13   +3       2.29    72.46     3.26    70.17    10.07    10.87     4.71    30.87    10.86P    1.85R    0.06  
Sutton_United       8   13   +2       1.34    63.54     0.92    68.24    10.14     7.02     3.30    24.66     8.31P    2.93R    0.14  
Salford_City        8   12   +2       2.52    74.38     4.30    57.47    10.84    -8.17     0.52     5.80     1.55P   21.58R    2.27  
Boreham_Wood        8   12   -1       0.16    51.86    -2.47    64.97     9.77     1.11     1.38    14.70     4.50P    5.25R    0.17  
Barnet              8   11   -3      -2.16    28.95    -6.34    73.94    10.42    13.32     9.90    45.04    21.22P    1.02R    0.04  
Bromley             8   10   +3      -2.02    30.46     1.29    66.54    10.26     9.72     2.64    20.73     7.08P    4.19R    0.20  
Barrow              8   10   -1      -1.13    39.26    -1.33    56.83     9.98    -8.92     0.24     3.97     0.95P   21.07R    1.71  
Chesterfield        8    9   +0      -4.34    13.62    -3.63    73.09    10.69    18.56     9.63    43.02    20.41P    1.28R    0.05  
Eastleigh           8    9   -6      -0.16    49.70    -3.12    56.59    10.08   -13.21     0.20     3.54     0.76P   22.97R    2.26  
Maidenhead          8    8   -3      -2.21    29.68    -1.73    54.45    10.11   -12.36     0.17     2.55     0.62P   29.08R    3.10  
Maidstone_United    8    7   -5      -1.87    32.25    -1.84    49.90     9.66   -19.17     0.04     0.73     0.15P   46.44R    7.53  
Aldershot           8    7   -8      -3.13    20.85    -6.95    60.37     9.92    -5.65     0.46     6.81     1.93P   12.58R    0.94  
Havant_&_Wville     8    6   -8      -1.63    35.25    -2.27    40.62    10.30   -38.05     0.01     0.13     0.03P   79.80R   33.11  
Dover_Athletic      8    4  -10      -6.61     3.38    -9.53    57.98    10.32    -7.11     0.32     5.13     1.50P   18.76R    1.70  
Braintree_Town      8    3   -7      -4.88     8.01    -2.11    38.29    10.21   -33.02     0.00     0.07     0.01P   84.36R   42.79  
Dag_&_Red           8    2   -6      -9.54     0.39    -6.96    55.16    10.25    -4.45     0.21     3.12     0.92P   25.87R    3.01