Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 1 September 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Brighton 2 2 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +8       3.20    89.62     2.34    79.48     9.06    43.20    14.85    37.64    61.31    80.44    97.23     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           4   12   +7       3.79    92.97     2.66    76.82     9.05    36.29     8.93    25.86    48.16    72.03    95.27     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          4   10   +8       0.51    58.73     0.45    87.78     8.10    65.74    51.99    76.95    90.28    96.72    99.82     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         3    9   +6       2.99    90.40     2.57    81.83     9.05    47.36    21.96    48.96    71.26    86.83    98.30     0.00     0.00  
Watford           3    9   +5       4.67    96.90     4.67    48.49     9.36   -11.59     0.01     0.07     0.28     1.02     8.01     5.39R    0.80  
Bournemouth       4    7   +1       1.92    77.74     1.93    47.10     9.13   -12.28     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.54     5.94     6.81R    1.07  
Everton           4    6   +1      -0.53    41.36    -0.58    50.00     9.36    -5.29     0.01     0.07     0.36     1.32    10.70     3.85R    0.50  
Leicester         4    6   +1       1.15    66.42     2.13    53.75     9.52     0.68     0.03     0.24     0.94     2.95    19.02     1.92R    0.23  
Wolverhampton     4    5   -1       1.06    68.00     1.77    42.95     9.39   -16.33     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.25     2.83    15.91R    3.40  
Southampton       4    4   +0      -1.31    33.08     0.23    44.96     8.85    -9.74     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.28     3.37     9.62R    1.68  
Fulham            4    4   -2      -0.30    48.54     0.59    38.79     9.64   -26.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     1.48    30.35R    9.01  
Brighton          4    4   -2       0.03    53.91     0.52    40.86     8.71   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     1.31    19.91R    4.15  
Arsenal           3    3   -1      -1.27    27.59    -1.27    66.34     9.78    23.89     1.02     4.79    12.68    26.88    71.84     0.06R    0.00  
Man_Utd           3    3   -3      -2.25    16.12    -4.70    67.60     9.35    22.19     1.20     5.35    14.41    30.12    76.86     0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -3      -1.76    25.83    -1.77    42.48     8.96   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     2.12    15.73R    3.25  
Cardiff           3    2   -2      -1.53    27.52    -1.24    34.32     9.04   -28.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.37    47.66R   16.94  
Huddersfield      4    2   -8      -0.61    42.92    -2.24    28.68     7.89   -41.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.06R   40.63  
Newcastle         4    1   -3      -2.53    15.23     0.41    44.59     9.08    -8.14     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.24     3.53    10.60R    1.89  
Burnley           3    1   -4      -2.99    11.06    -3.90    40.68     9.00   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.46    20.75R    4.68  
West_Ham          4    0   -8      -3.86     3.63    -4.55    36.66     9.00   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.53    37.35R   11.76  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Birmingham 0 0 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     6   14  +10       5.27    94.47     9.13    76.26    10.97    21.23     9.22    19.44    55.67    27.61P    0.22R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    6   14   +7       3.90    88.27     4.24    84.02    10.42    29.65    25.99    44.04    80.98    55.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   12   +4       3.29    82.69     3.27    70.50    11.12     9.27     3.62     8.52    34.43    13.71P    0.91R    0.09  
Derby            6   12   +2       2.05    71.52    -0.57    75.74    10.86    15.68     8.25    17.44    53.02    26.30P    0.22R    0.02  
Brentford        6   11   +6       1.42    66.63     3.82    73.73    10.98    18.01     6.36    13.82    46.52    21.46P    0.39R    0.05  
Swansea          6   11   +2       1.14    62.87    -0.37    76.08    11.28    17.47     9.53    19.38    54.33    29.24P    0.26R    0.04  
Bolton           6   11   +0       4.68    92.44     3.05    51.30     9.98   -22.73     0.02     0.07     1.39     0.24P   24.29R    6.10  
West_Brom        6   10   +6      -0.92    38.70     1.66    80.57    11.46    30.35    18.89    33.55    69.96    45.34P    0.11R    0.01  
Wigan            6   10   +3       0.11    50.89     0.41    72.04    11.53    13.85     5.39    11.92    40.59    19.49P    0.82R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +0       1.40    66.40    -0.50    66.09    10.80     1.80     1.44     3.74    20.79     7.26P    2.13R    0.31  
Blackburn        5    9   +2       1.57    68.38     1.15    65.63    11.53     2.69     1.81     4.49    21.29     8.13P    3.07R    0.50  
Aston_Villa      6    9   +0      -0.52    43.73    -1.95    72.45    10.82    13.20     4.79    10.82    41.45    18.66P    0.47R    0.05  
Bristol_City     5    8   +2       0.89    61.83     1.59    66.36    11.30     4.83     1.84     4.61    22.92     8.50P    2.40R    0.39  
Nott'm_Forest    6    7   +0      -0.21    48.94     1.77    56.10    10.67    -9.23     0.12     0.43     4.56     1.13P   12.58R    2.83  
Rotherham        6    6   -6       0.51    58.14    -1.14    43.72    10.62   -35.25     0.00     0.03     0.35     0.07P   53.34R   24.66  
Millwall         6    5   -2      -2.46    24.17    -1.00    58.19    10.57    -4.40     0.19     0.63     6.42     1.89P    8.84R    1.68  
Stoke            6    5   -4      -3.31    17.27    -4.09    66.42    11.59     6.07     1.87     4.94    23.69     9.73P    2.94R    0.53  
Preston          6    5   -4      -3.22    16.71    -4.01    58.45    10.53    -5.87     0.19     0.67     6.59     1.90P    8.37R    1.58  
Birmingham       6    4   -2      -2.49    22.45     0.44    44.44     9.64   -23.26     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.04P   48.84R   18.44  
Norwich          5    4   -3      -2.37    23.60    -2.11    57.13    11.08    -8.82     0.22     0.71     6.16     1.78P   11.89R    2.76  
Hull             6    4   -5      -3.71    13.95    -4.03    56.59    10.85    -9.59     0.17     0.53     5.22     1.46P   12.44R    2.90  
QPR              6    4  -10      -2.14    26.73    -6.50    46.37    10.24   -30.89     0.01     0.03     0.51     0.09P   42.48R   15.59  
Reading          6    2   -4      -4.76     6.35    -1.62    46.14    10.39   -21.48     0.01     0.03     0.56     0.11P   42.34R   15.81  
Ipswich          5    2   -4      -3.97     8.91    -2.64    52.71    10.71   -12.57     0.06     0.19     2.41     0.65P   20.65R    5.54  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          6   16  +11       5.70    95.96     7.82    82.52    11.10    28.65    17.22    36.99    81.28    49.09P    0.13R    0.01  
Portsmouth            6   16   +9       6.49    97.63     7.08    76.28    10.68    16.95     6.18    16.78    63.05    27.60P    0.41R    0.03  
Barnsley              6   14  +11       2.45    75.97     5.92    87.92    11.33    40.04    34.34    58.17    90.76    69.49P    0.06R    0.00  
Sunderland            6   14   +8       2.80    79.19     3.42    87.84    11.38    37.18    33.86    57.29    90.53    68.56P    0.05R    0.00  
Walsall               6   14   +5       5.35    94.43     4.34    67.87    10.62     3.52     1.28     4.29    31.97     9.60P    3.16R    0.29  
Fleetwood_Town        6   11   +7       1.85    70.82     5.63    69.98    10.79    13.03     2.16     6.92    40.61    14.85P    2.04R    0.20  
Doncaster             6    9   +3       0.77    59.40     2.94    64.47    10.47     4.29     0.56     2.28    21.87     6.63P    5.47R    0.59  
Accrington_Stanley    6    9   +0       1.66    69.16     1.28    56.79    11.14   -10.69     0.16     0.70     8.19     2.10P   21.60R    4.44  
Luton                 6    8   +0       0.24    54.39     0.78    63.93    11.46     1.49     0.79     2.71    22.35     7.11P    8.17R    1.25  
Charlton              6    8   +0      -0.16    49.34     0.07    67.54    10.58     7.02     1.12     3.98    31.06    10.77P    3.21R    0.29  
Blackpool             6    7   +1      -1.68    31.14     0.24    60.83    10.49     0.02     0.24     1.10    13.64     3.96P   10.44R    1.41  
Gillingham            6    7   -1      -0.35    47.08     0.45    59.24    10.77    -5.04     0.18     0.80    10.96     2.89P   14.85R    2.41  
Southend              6    7   -1      -1.43    34.47    -1.32    61.01    10.85    -2.47     0.36     1.35    14.37     4.23P   11.39R    1.69  
Rochdale              6    7   -6      -0.01    51.61    -4.02    57.84    10.77   -12.34     0.11     0.58     8.53     2.22P   18.61R    3.41  
Burton_Albion         6    6   -2      -2.57    23.14    -2.54    59.05    11.36    -4.55     0.32     1.23    12.17     3.85P   16.14R    3.05  
Wycombe               6    6   -3      -0.57    45.02    -0.61    46.69    10.54   -24.92     0.00     0.05     1.08     0.24P   56.03R   21.13  
Bradford              6    6   -4      -1.61    32.42    -3.15    58.31    10.47    -7.43     0.13     0.59     8.79     2.32P   16.12R    2.68  
Scunthorpe            6    6   -7      -2.11    26.98    -6.72    65.13    10.96    -0.70     0.70     2.73    24.22     8.07P    6.07R    0.80  
Coventry              6    5   -3      -2.13    27.28    -1.64    48.58    10.44   -18.25     0.01     0.08     1.51     0.37P   47.87R   15.21  
AFC_Wimbledon         6    5   -5      -1.32    36.15    -2.27    51.88    10.08   -15.53     0.01     0.11     2.42     0.52P   35.10R    8.13  
Bristol_Rovers        6    4   -3      -3.56    14.78    -1.90    53.75    10.64   -11.30     0.06     0.22     4.38     1.07P   29.19R    6.69  
Oxford_Utd            6    4   -8      -2.60    22.30    -5.22    55.02    10.85   -14.35     0.06     0.32     5.57     1.40P   26.26R    5.97  
Shrewsbury            6    3   -3      -5.31     4.88    -3.29    58.57    10.51    -1.48     0.15     0.69     9.54     2.83P   14.93R    2.50  
Plymouth              6    2   -9      -5.11     5.16    -7.29    47.51    10.35   -23.13     0.01     0.04     1.17     0.23P   52.73R   17.81  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Bury 3 2 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      6   16  +10       6.44    97.62     7.99    81.46    10.65    26.03    23.34    52.42    81.76    59.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County    6   13   +1       5.04    93.45     1.37    65.20    10.43    -2.71     1.39     6.83    25.87    10.33P    1.13R    0.28  
MK_Dons           6   12   +3       2.24    74.09     0.73    80.79    10.99    23.67    21.70    50.30    79.32    59.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Colchester        6   11   +9       1.30    64.89     6.77    75.53    10.63    23.59    10.18    31.40    65.05    40.85P    0.05R    0.01  
Yeovil            6   11   +6       3.26    83.52     6.67    65.30    10.54     5.25     1.54     7.44    27.45    11.48P    1.25R    0.34  
Oldham            6   11   +4       0.32    53.43     0.24    77.29    11.32    21.17    14.40    38.06    68.87    47.33P    0.09R    0.02  
Forest_Green      6   10   +5       2.71    79.18     6.50    60.18    10.53    -2.56     0.61     3.08    14.19     5.12P    3.83R    1.11  
Mansfield         6   10   +4       0.26    52.76     1.78    72.63    10.59    15.73     5.89    22.05    53.96    30.56P    0.21R    0.06  
Exeter            6   10   +2       0.95    61.09     0.75    72.70    10.70    13.95     6.12    22.34    53.83    30.68P    0.21R    0.03  
Carlisle          6   10   +0       1.40    66.33    -0.58    68.75    10.66     5.93     3.18    13.01    38.37    18.98P    0.54R    0.13  
Tranmere          6    9   +1       1.73    70.18     2.41    59.06    10.99    -5.73     0.57     2.87    12.86     4.87P    5.45R    1.70  
Swindon           6    9   -1      -0.17    47.93    -2.46    68.19    11.03     5.39     3.07    12.83    37.12    18.75P    0.87R    0.18  
Stevenage         6    8   +0      -0.86    40.92    -0.93    61.33    10.57    -2.25     0.67     3.89    16.78     6.79P    3.02R    0.86  
Crewe             6    7   +1      -1.06    38.18     1.30    58.82    10.79    -4.30     0.41     2.46    12.42     4.49P    5.31R    1.55  
Bury              6    7   -1      -2.12    26.81    -2.37    67.71    11.53     7.97     3.20    12.94    36.82    19.68P    1.14R    0.33  
Crawley_Town      6    7   -2      -0.20    49.31    -0.38    56.71    10.57   -10.10     0.25     1.48     8.50     2.77P    7.41R    2.37  
Cambridge_Utd     6    7   -4      -0.95    39.69    -3.62    59.65    10.44    -7.09     0.44     2.51    12.59     4.68P    4.14R    1.24  
Northampton       6    6   -1      -2.89    20.01    -1.97    66.29    11.59     7.29     2.58    10.76    32.79    16.62P    1.70R    0.50  
Port_Vale         6    6   -1      -1.85    29.54    -0.50    58.16    10.41    -4.73     0.29     1.82    10.20     3.60P    5.40R    1.54  
Grimsby           6    5   -3      -2.02    27.90    -1.33    49.96    10.07   -17.26     0.02     0.24     2.08     0.55P   19.70R    7.29  
Cheltenham        6    4   -4      -3.79    12.89    -3.37    51.88    10.36   -14.76     0.05     0.49     3.43     1.08P   15.32R    5.42  
Morecambe         6    3  -11      -2.59    20.58    -7.02    44.71     9.84   -30.59     0.00     0.05     0.50     0.12P   39.36R   18.58  
Macclesfield      6    2   -8      -3.19    14.76    -2.95    36.86     9.97   -39.85     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   70.81R   51.64  
Notts_County      6    1  -10      -6.61     1.51    -9.02    53.55    10.73   -14.05     0.09     0.74     5.11     1.68P   13.01R    4.82  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2018, Barrow 1 2 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham             8   17   +9       4.75    88.88     7.12    75.80     9.75    19.27    11.85    52.68    22.20P    0.34R    0.01  
Harrogate_Town      8   16  +10       5.09    89.41    10.08    71.18    11.32    15.02     7.89    36.46    14.15P    2.52R    0.14  
AFC_Fylde           8   16   +9       2.67    74.52     5.29    79.28    10.23    26.29    22.38    66.03    34.41P    0.20R    0.00  
Halifax             8   16   +7       4.91    89.90     6.69    64.68     9.86     2.60     1.48    14.66     3.98P    5.25R    0.22  
Leyton_Orient       8   16   +6       3.52    81.22     3.76    76.21    10.08    18.54    13.67    53.95    23.74P    0.32R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors      8   16   +1       6.33    94.68     2.95    63.37     9.94    -5.86     1.11    11.53     2.81P    7.36R    0.41  
Hartlepool          8   15   +3       2.97    76.96     1.39    67.72     9.97     4.33     2.78    22.35     6.92P    2.94R    0.10  
Gateshead           8   14   +3       1.97    69.37     1.34    69.87    10.14     9.00     4.65    29.93    10.57P    1.97R    0.08  
Ebbsfleet_United    8   13   +3       2.18    71.34     3.11    70.47    10.07    11.36     4.83    31.90    11.45P    1.77R    0.05  
Sutton_United       8   13   +2       1.39    64.15     0.96    68.25    10.03     7.02     3.18    24.33     7.82P    2.69R    0.12  
Salford_City        8   12   +2       2.48    73.69     4.22    57.68    11.12    -7.91     0.63     6.53     1.87P   21.70R    2.36  
Boreham_Wood        8   12   -1       0.17    52.13    -2.43    64.82     9.77     0.94     1.46    14.48     4.45P    5.03R    0.17  
Barnet              8   11   -3      -2.10    29.62    -6.24    73.69    10.55    12.93     9.72    44.20    20.69P    1.04R    0.03  
Bromley             8   10   +3      -2.03    30.24     1.27    66.69    10.33     9.93     2.81    21.18     7.13P    4.04R    0.19  
Barrow              8   10   -1      -1.15    38.69    -1.32    57.00    10.02    -8.70     0.25     4.01     1.08P   20.92R    1.72  
Chesterfield        8    9   +0      -4.35    13.67    -3.65    73.25    10.80    18.83     9.91    43.81    20.89P    1.27R    0.04  
Eastleigh           8    9   -6      -0.15    49.82    -3.11    56.60    10.09   -13.22     0.23     3.58     0.88P   22.94R    2.37  
Maidenhead          8    8   -3      -2.15    30.05    -1.66    54.19     9.98   -12.88     0.14     2.24     0.52P   29.67R    3.40  
Maidstone_United    8    7   -5      -1.89    32.05    -1.85    49.75     9.76   -19.49     0.03     0.77     0.14P   47.07R    8.04  
Aldershot           8    7   -8      -3.16    20.74    -6.99    60.37     9.98    -5.63     0.50     7.13     1.97P   12.65R    0.93  
Havant_&_Wville     8    6   -8      -1.66    34.97    -2.31    40.91    10.34   -37.52     0.01     0.14     0.03P   78.54R   32.56  
Dover_Athletic      8    4  -10      -6.58     3.49    -9.44    57.85    10.29    -7.38     0.33     4.97     1.42P   19.05R    1.80  
Braintree_Town      8    3   -7      -4.92     7.76    -2.21    38.50    10.16   -32.64     0.00     0.08     0.01P   84.24R   42.11  
Dag_&_Red           8    2   -6      -9.55     0.41    -6.97    54.93    10.22    -4.81     0.17     3.05     0.85P   26.51R    3.13