Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 31 August 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 August 2018, Man_Utd 0 3 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         3    9   +7       2.10    82.22     2.05    78.41     9.28    43.93    13.05    35.00    58.75    77.91    95.92     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham         3    9   +6       3.07    90.89     2.58    81.81     9.07    48.15    22.49    50.67    72.78    87.19    98.13     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           3    9   +5       3.07    89.93     2.15    75.84     9.27    36.13     8.04    24.15    45.87    68.77    93.48     0.01R    0.00  
Watford           3    9   +5       4.63    96.87     4.60    48.61     9.28   -12.10     0.01     0.05     0.29     1.02     7.64     5.31R    0.81  
Man_City          3    7   +7       0.01    51.51     1.14    87.90     8.23    69.77    53.99    78.56    91.07    96.73    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       3    7   +3       2.43    85.68     2.37    48.11     9.35   -11.81     0.01     0.05     0.23     0.92     7.29     6.07R    0.81  
Leicester         3    6   +2       2.01    79.13     2.24    54.66     9.75     0.63     0.07     0.39     1.34     4.09    21.63     1.63R    0.18  
Everton           3    5   +1       0.50    58.21     0.45    51.84     9.55    -3.24     0.02     0.19     0.72     2.17    13.82     2.88R    0.35  
Arsenal           3    3   -1      -1.31    26.81    -1.39    66.50     9.77    24.59     1.11     5.37    13.96    28.78    70.70     0.10R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    3    3   -1      -0.36    44.23     0.26    45.49     9.19   -11.99     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.40     4.18     9.58R    1.62  
Fulham            3    3   -2      -0.16    46.40     0.34    38.66     9.78   -28.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     1.47    31.57R    9.44  
Brighton          3    3   -2       0.65    63.02     0.96    41.70     8.97   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.59    18.38R    3.73  
Man_Utd           3    3   -3      -2.32    15.13    -4.84    67.45     9.27    22.45     1.22     5.53    14.69    30.96    74.80     0.04R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     3    2   -2      -0.61    42.03     0.80    40.37     9.60   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.17     1.66    24.24R    6.20  
Cardiff           3    2   -2      -1.52    27.83    -1.16    34.71     9.04   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30    46.05R   15.44  
Newcastle         3    1   -2      -2.18    18.80    -0.56    44.62     9.25   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.29     3.54    11.29R    1.98  
Southampton       3    1   -2      -2.95    11.32    -1.74    41.84     9.04   -14.78     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.15     1.75    17.70R    3.56  
Burnley           3    1   -4      -2.99    11.02    -3.87    40.83     8.98   -17.66     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.10     1.29    20.62R    4.58  
Huddersfield      3    1   -8      -0.99    36.31    -3.17    27.99     8.00   -44.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    76.75R   44.06  
West_Ham          3    0   -7      -2.41    10.10    -3.22    39.36     9.37   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.08     1.06    27.77R    7.24  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 31 August 2018, Leeds_United 0 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     6   14  +10       5.26    94.54     9.06    76.03    10.95    20.93     9.63    19.88    55.91    27.75P    0.24R    0.03  
Middlesbrough    6   14   +7       3.84    88.02     4.17    84.07    10.41    29.73    27.09    45.41    82.12    56.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Bolton           5   10   +0       4.63    94.00     2.38    50.46    10.09   -24.42     0.03     0.08     1.29     0.23P   28.67R    7.86  
Aston_Villa      5    9   +3       0.63    56.61     0.71    75.85    10.99    19.29     9.42    19.53    55.52    29.28P    0.26R    0.03  
Blackburn        5    9   +2       1.56    68.31     1.16    65.96    11.59     3.26     2.08     5.17    22.98     9.23P    3.08R    0.47  
Derby            5    9   +1       0.69    57.38    -1.17    73.61    11.08    13.97     6.75    14.67    46.85    22.83P    0.50R    0.06  
Sheff_Utd        5    9   +1       1.96    73.05     0.70    66.50    11.22     2.68     1.92     4.94    23.85     8.79P    2.62R    0.41  
Brentford        5    8   +5       0.40    55.87     3.74    72.36    11.22    17.53     5.73    12.71    43.30    20.08P    0.71R    0.07  
Bristol_City     5    8   +2       0.86    61.84     1.55    65.99    11.18     4.38     1.71     4.67    22.62     8.25P    2.64R    0.41  
Swansea          5    8   +1      -0.25    47.12    -1.02    73.36    11.60    14.94     7.30    14.98    46.18    23.72P    0.65R    0.07  
West_Brom        5    7   +5      -2.04    24.97     1.43    78.66    11.72    28.93    16.17    29.59    65.16    40.82P    0.20R    0.03  
Wigan            5    7   +2      -0.74    41.17     0.64    71.74    11.77    15.17     5.98    12.61    41.51    20.05P    1.12R    0.14  
Nott'm_Forest    5    7   +1       0.67    60.05     1.94    56.98    10.84    -8.92     0.23     0.72     5.99     1.67P   12.26R    2.59  
Sheff_Wed        5    7   -1       0.02    51.19    -1.12    64.03    11.01     0.17     1.16     2.96    17.50     6.01P    3.75R    0.63  
Rotherham        5    6   -5       1.14    65.84    -1.36    44.61    11.04   -35.81     0.01     0.05     0.68     0.14P   52.05R   23.83  
Millwall         5    5   -1      -1.31    34.86    -0.29    60.09    10.78    -2.50     0.42     1.27     9.68     2.99P    7.23R    1.40  
Stoke            5    5   -3      -2.35    23.96    -3.75    67.88    11.92     7.20     3.19     7.21    29.20    12.86P    2.66R    0.44  
Norwich          5    4   -3      -2.42    23.20    -2.22    56.99    11.17    -8.92     0.27     0.79     6.62     1.88P   13.25R    3.02  
Hull             5    4   -4      -2.46    22.47    -3.27    58.86    11.27    -7.03     0.42     1.27     8.90     2.79P   10.24R    2.17  
Preston          5    4   -4      -2.50    21.19    -3.55    60.07    10.66    -3.92     0.40     1.10     9.33     2.96P    7.20R    1.37  
Birmingham       5    3   -2      -2.08    24.12     0.57    44.89    10.09   -23.55     0.00     0.02     0.38     0.06P   48.64R   19.45  
QPR              5    3  -10      -1.94    25.98    -6.69    46.54    10.48   -31.57     0.01     0.04     0.63     0.10P   44.07R   16.98  
Reading          5    2   -3      -3.60    10.50    -0.96    48.30    10.76   -19.06     0.03     0.09     1.13     0.26P   36.21R   12.66  
Ipswich          5    2   -4      -3.95     9.06    -2.64    52.71    10.76   -12.47     0.06     0.24     2.67     0.73P   21.74R    5.87  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          5   15  +11       6.34    98.17     8.16    83.41    11.40    29.60    17.63    38.75    82.52    50.69P    0.13R    0.00  
Sunderland            5   13   +8       3.64    88.74     4.15    90.44    11.69    41.27    41.05    64.70    92.98    74.51P    0.03R    0.00  
Portsmouth            5   13   +6       5.48    96.37     5.00    72.75    11.01    11.16     3.37    10.19    49.69    19.05P    1.33R    0.09  
Walsall               5   13   +5       5.75    97.07     4.39    68.53    10.95     3.75     1.47     5.23    34.49    11.04P    3.22R    0.31  
Barnsley              5   11  +10       1.35    65.78     5.69    87.17    11.77    40.61    29.65    54.26    88.83    66.36P    0.07R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town        5    8   +6       0.40    55.75     4.87    68.28    11.07    11.92     1.46     5.24    35.18    12.74P    3.30R    0.35  
Doncaster             5    8   +3       0.78    60.88     2.41    64.65    10.83     3.87     0.61     2.55    22.80     7.04P    6.15R    0.73  
Accrington_Stanley    5    8   +0       1.84    73.22     1.00    56.13    11.44   -12.63     0.16     0.66     7.87     2.02P   24.79R    5.45  
Gillingham            5    7   +0       0.47    57.06     0.59    60.16    11.05    -4.90     0.22     1.13    13.29     3.55P   14.00R    2.25  
Luton                 5    7   +0       0.91    62.76     1.28    65.35    12.08     2.95     1.09     3.93    27.24     9.36P    7.92R    1.21  
Southend              5    7   +0      -0.15    48.92    -0.44    62.80    10.98    -0.84     0.52     1.95    18.45     5.56P    9.08R    1.29  
Blackpool             5    6   +1      -1.38    32.86     0.17    61.27    10.86    -0.12     0.30     1.32    15.06     4.50P   11.04R    1.59  
Bradford              5    6   -3      -0.57    43.37    -2.59    60.31    10.80    -5.66     0.21     1.04    12.86     3.54P   13.05R    1.97  
Charlton              5    5   -1      -1.57    31.86    -0.58    65.34    10.86     5.27     0.70     2.78    24.76     8.35P    5.58R    0.64  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    5   -2      -0.31    48.68     0.26    54.89    10.57   -10.27     0.05     0.24     5.12     1.16P   26.02R    5.43  
Coventry              5    5   -2      -0.93    40.28    -0.82    50.69    10.85   -16.57     0.03     0.17     2.80     0.68P   41.05R   11.94  
Wycombe               5    5   -3      -0.49    46.34    -0.98    46.63    11.04   -26.18     0.01     0.09     1.35     0.31P   56.58R   23.43  
Scunthorpe            5    5   -7      -1.49    32.71    -6.33    66.35    11.28     0.49     0.91     3.50    27.92     9.57P    5.64R    0.80  
Rochdale              5    4   -7      -1.49    33.25    -4.73    55.58    11.00   -14.51     0.06     0.36     6.29     1.47P   25.83R    5.66  
Bristol_Rovers        5    3   -3      -3.40    12.93    -2.18    53.72    10.95   -12.15     0.05     0.24     4.91     1.18P   30.39R    7.40  
Burton_Albion         5    3   -5      -3.71    11.43    -4.85    54.69    11.50   -11.65     0.10     0.42     6.38     1.88P   28.61R    7.37  
Oxford_Utd            5    3   -8      -2.83    17.32    -6.23    54.01    11.16   -17.13     0.07     0.33     5.20     1.29P   30.80R    7.91  
Shrewsbury            5    2   -3      -4.86     4.87    -3.15    59.60    10.77    -0.64     0.23     0.83    11.50     3.57P   13.87R    2.23  
Plymouth              5    2   -6      -4.28     7.41    -5.08    50.56    10.71   -17.64     0.02     0.10     2.50     0.56P   41.52R   11.94  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      5   13   +7       5.00    95.41     5.27    76.94    10.82    18.83    13.69    37.48    69.49    45.21P    0.10R    0.02  
MK_Dons           5   11   +3       2.59    80.69     0.69    81.39    11.17    24.32    25.69    53.90    81.15    62.30P    0.04R    0.01  
Exeter            5   10   +5       2.21    76.70     3.58    76.71    10.84    21.06    13.44    37.14    68.97    46.06P    0.10R    0.02  
Carlisle          5   10   +1       2.50    79.37     0.01    69.97    10.82     6.69     4.55    16.80    44.28    23.06P    0.63R    0.13  
Newport_County    5   10   +0       3.29    86.97     0.22    62.62    10.50    -5.15     0.98     5.03    20.00     7.74P    2.85R    0.90  
Colchester        5    8   +7       0.02    50.51     5.27    72.32    10.68    19.32     6.85    23.24    54.59    31.96P    0.29R    0.05  
Yeovil            5    8   +5       1.70    72.31     5.85    62.83    10.65     2.80     1.17     5.52    21.70     8.76P    2.95R    0.90  
Oldham            5    8   +3      -0.61    42.22     0.29    76.39    11.39    21.50    13.59    37.08    67.57    46.57P    0.18R    0.03  
Stevenage         5    8   +1       0.66    59.38     0.32    63.70    10.79     0.08     1.39     6.76    23.99    10.50P    2.48R    0.76  
Tranmere          5    8   +1       1.70    72.19     1.89    58.29    11.10    -7.74     0.55     2.86    12.28     4.74P    7.67R    2.81  
Swindon           5    8   -1       0.16    52.71    -2.58    68.64    11.11     5.46     3.89    14.84    40.38    20.74P    1.01R    0.30  
Forest_Green      5    7   +3       1.00    64.10     4.34    56.09    10.53    -8.69     0.23     1.37     8.27     2.64P    9.69R    3.62  
Mansfield         5    7   +3      -0.94    38.26     1.39    70.80    10.67    14.52     5.03    19.08    48.65    27.18P    0.42R    0.09  
Crawley_Town      5    7   -1       0.57    58.58    -0.34    57.39    10.54   -10.59     0.28     1.87     9.79     3.39P    8.02R    3.05  
Port_Vale         5    6   +0      -0.44    44.60     0.57    60.43    10.59    -2.40     0.67     3.57    15.67     6.20P    4.35R    1.42  
Northampton       5    5   -1      -2.15    25.19    -1.43    67.62    11.74     8.80     3.95    14.06    38.21    20.55P    1.70R    0.52  
Grimsby           5    5   -2      -0.73    42.29    -0.40    52.06    10.36   -15.58     0.06     0.54     3.78     1.14P   17.52R    7.03  
Crewe             5    4   -2      -1.85    28.03    -0.34    56.95    10.86    -7.98     0.31     1.99     9.93     3.49P    8.83R    3.47  
Bury              5    4   -2      -3.08    15.76    -2.39    66.31    11.59     7.31     2.88    11.78    33.61    17.82P    2.07R    0.68  
Cheltenham        5    4   -2      -2.66    19.80    -1.74    54.61    10.56   -10.78     0.16     1.16     6.43     2.14P   12.16R    4.68  
Cambridge_Utd     5    4   -5      -2.63    19.89    -4.67    57.41    10.57    -9.26     0.30     1.82     9.71     3.49P    7.95R    2.99  
Morecambe         5    3  -10      -1.94    25.84    -7.22    46.23     9.94   -29.38     0.01     0.12     0.93     0.23P   37.13R   18.57  
Macclesfield      5    2   -5      -2.80    16.39    -1.47    39.71    10.37   -34.66     0.01     0.02     0.28     0.07P   63.16R   44.68  
Notts_County      5    1   -8      -5.32     3.03    -7.13    57.22    10.86    -8.47     0.33     1.97    10.34     4.01P    8.72R    3.26  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 August 2018, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Harrogate_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Halifax             7   15   +7       4.99    91.34     6.30    64.21    10.02     1.27     1.65    14.72     3.99P    6.91R    0.29  
Wrexham             7   14   +7       3.72    84.75     5.92    73.70     9.85    16.65     9.75    45.41    18.59P    0.71R    0.01  
AFC_Fylde           7   13   +7       1.17    61.95     3.52    75.79    10.34    21.48    15.09    54.01    25.72P    0.65R    0.01  
Harrogate_Town      7   13   +6       4.49    88.47     7.68    66.31    11.56     5.93     4.31    23.25     8.32P    7.21R    0.51  
Leyton_Orient       7   13   +5       1.78    68.16     2.62    73.55    10.33    16.06    10.45    45.08    19.23P    1.04R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United    7   13   +5       3.51    83.16     5.04    73.42    10.29    15.66     9.75    44.50    18.20P    1.08R    0.03  
Solihull_Moors      7   13   +0       4.49    89.25     1.63    60.45    10.14    -8.86     0.75     7.99     1.96P   14.33R    1.02  
Hartlepool          7   12   +2       1.62    66.91     0.82    65.94    10.20     3.04     2.47    18.96     6.05P    5.24R    0.26  
Sutton_United       7   12   +2       2.05    71.10     1.37    68.99    10.28     7.55     4.37    28.31     9.75P    3.01R    0.12  
Salford_City        7   11   +2       2.50    75.52     3.81    57.32    11.39    -9.69     0.76     6.83     1.89P   25.01R    3.21  
Gateshead           7   11   +2       0.95    60.94     1.23    68.93    10.35     8.94     4.77    28.65    10.46P    2.98R    0.11  
Boreham_Wood        7   11   -1       0.98    61.08    -1.77    66.74    10.02     3.10     2.55    20.62     6.82P    4.26R    0.18  
Barrow              7   10   +0       0.35    54.57    -0.15    59.66    10.20    -5.69     0.54     7.44     1.90P   15.70R    1.06  
Bromley             7    9   +3      -1.74    31.48     1.12    67.19    10.51    10.18     3.66    23.93     8.68P    4.62R    0.20  
Chesterfield        7    9   +1      -2.85    21.50    -2.54    76.43    10.95    22.84    17.93    56.48    30.77P    0.80R    0.02  
Eastleigh           7    9   -2       0.31    54.37    -0.56    60.10    10.40    -5.84     0.74     8.10     2.18P   15.67R    1.30  
Barnet              7    8   -4      -3.54    16.33    -6.99    71.40    10.87    11.05     7.97    37.37    17.09P    2.33R    0.08  
Maidenhead          7    7   -3      -1.87    31.24    -1.83    54.70    10.30   -12.60     0.23     3.01     0.71P   30.72R    3.55  
Maidstone_United    7    7   -4      -1.16    38.50    -1.79    50.92     9.98   -19.03     0.06     1.15     0.25P   45.24R    7.21  
Aldershot           7    7   -6      -2.45    25.30    -5.82    62.36    10.21    -2.70     1.10    10.93     3.35P   10.51R    0.70  
Havant_&_Wville     7    6   -7      -0.65    44.64    -1.88    42.77    10.77   -35.81     0.02     0.32     0.08P   74.63R   26.91  
Dover_Athletic      7    4   -9      -5.36     5.84    -8.67    60.02    10.45    -5.07     0.72     8.08     2.52P   15.36R    1.27  
Braintree_Town      7    2   -7      -5.02     6.10    -2.73    37.36    10.33   -35.37     0.00     0.07     0.02P   87.53R   49.18  
Dag_&_Red           7    1   -6      -8.75     0.34    -6.33    56.49    10.60    -3.07     0.36     4.80     1.50P   24.47R    2.75