Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 30 August 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 August 2018, Man_Utd 0 3 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         3    9   +7       2.11    82.31     2.08    78.45     9.24    43.85    13.48    35.07    58.88    77.93    96.02     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         3    9   +6       3.06    90.92     2.57    81.90     9.00    48.32    22.50    51.25    73.03    87.52    98.24     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           3    9   +5       3.07    89.92     2.15    75.82     9.28    36.10     7.98    23.95    45.68    68.47    93.30     0.01R    0.00  
Watford           3    9   +5       4.65    96.91     4.63    48.47     9.26   -12.30     0.01     0.06     0.23     0.97     7.48     5.38R    0.70  
Man_City          3    7   +7       0.02    51.75     1.18    87.86     8.19    69.61    53.74    78.53    91.06    96.69    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       3    7   +3       2.44    85.91     2.38    48.18     9.41   -11.56     0.01     0.06     0.29     0.95     7.19     6.07R    0.81  
Leicester         3    6   +2       2.00    79.03     2.26    54.74     9.75     0.78     0.05     0.38     1.40     4.18    21.76     1.56R    0.19  
Everton           3    5   +1       0.50    58.51     0.45    52.08     9.54    -2.83     0.01     0.15     0.68     2.31    14.34     2.68R    0.34  
Arsenal           3    3   -1      -1.31    26.95    -1.40    66.53     9.70    24.62     1.01     5.07    13.95    28.94    70.36     0.05R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    3    3   -1      -0.37    43.91     0.25    45.27     9.22   -12.31     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.38     4.01    10.07R    1.70  
Fulham            3    3   -2      -0.20    45.77     0.31    38.77     9.90   -27.90     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.16     1.52    31.50R    9.41  
Brighton          3    3   -2       0.64    62.96     0.94    41.64     8.93   -17.97     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     1.49    18.44R    3.66  
Man_Utd           3    3   -3      -2.33    15.19    -4.84    67.47     9.23    22.41     1.20     5.44    14.55    30.69    74.86     0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     3    2   -2      -0.64    41.45     0.73    40.65     9.63   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.79    23.41R    5.90  
Cardiff           3    2   -2      -1.54    27.35    -1.19    34.66     9.06   -28.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.37    46.43R   15.27  
Newcastle         3    1   -2      -2.15    19.07    -0.55    44.43     9.14   -10.51     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.26     3.26    11.44R    1.98  
Southampton       3    1   -2      -2.94    11.26    -1.74    41.92     9.07   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.13     1.75    17.44R    3.61  
Burnley           3    1   -4      -2.97    11.01    -3.86    40.74     8.89   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.32    20.30R    4.33  
Huddersfield      3    1   -8      -0.96    36.95    -3.13    27.81     7.98   -44.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    77.31R   44.85  
West_Ham          3    0   -7      -2.40    10.14    -3.21    39.27     9.38   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.15    27.89R    7.24  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 August 2018, Rotherham 1 0 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     5   13  +10       5.51    96.86     8.94    76.50    11.28    21.10    10.28    20.85    57.01    28.46P    0.25R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    5   13   +7       4.21    92.53     4.16    84.90    10.77    30.56    29.81    48.28    83.02    58.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Bolton           5   10   +0       4.61    93.99     2.38    50.40    10.08   -24.67     0.02     0.09     1.33     0.25P   28.67R    7.60  
Aston_Villa      5    9   +3       0.58    55.99     0.63    76.12    10.94    19.70     9.13    19.17    55.82    29.18P    0.25R    0.02  
Blackburn        5    9   +2       1.60    68.57     1.19    65.72    11.59     2.90     2.09     4.84    22.44     8.58P    3.25R    0.57  
Derby            5    9   +1       0.70    57.88    -1.16    73.75    11.08    14.18     6.07    13.92    46.94    22.31P    0.44R    0.05  
Sheff_Utd        5    9   +1       1.99    73.16     0.76    66.36    11.11     2.35     1.69     4.44    22.80     7.98P    2.49R    0.38  
Brentford        5    8   +5       0.38    55.80     3.72    72.37    11.29    17.59     5.51    12.45    42.95    19.79P    0.72R    0.09  
Bristol_City     5    8   +2       0.85    61.43     1.55    66.16    11.32     4.61     1.77     4.63    23.05     8.42P    2.69R    0.44  
Swansea          5    8   +1      -0.28    46.76    -1.08    73.76    11.51    15.50     7.06    15.12    47.49    24.22P    0.59R    0.07  
West_Brom        5    7   +5      -2.07    24.94     1.40    78.73    11.86    29.08    15.48    28.97    65.01    40.65P    0.28R    0.05  
Wigan            5    7   +2      -0.73    41.17     0.64    71.75    11.75    15.14     5.48    12.07    41.08    19.95P    1.04R    0.13  
Nott'm_Forest    5    7   +1       0.67    60.21     1.94    57.12    10.83    -8.88     0.22     0.63     5.90     1.54P   11.89R    2.69  
Sheff_Wed        5    7   -1       0.01    50.85    -1.13    64.09    11.02     0.26     1.05     2.89    17.15     5.91P    3.63R    0.69  
Rotherham        5    6   -5       1.22    66.84    -1.21    44.12    10.95   -36.71     0.01     0.03     0.55     0.10P   53.47R   24.79  
Millwall         5    5   -1      -1.32    35.08    -0.30    59.83    10.80    -2.90     0.35     1.10     9.28     2.78P    7.41R    1.36  
Stoke            5    5   -3      -2.35    24.02    -3.75    67.94    11.83     7.29     2.92     7.05    28.97    12.83P    2.51R    0.50  
Norwich          5    4   -3      -2.45    22.62    -2.25    57.10    11.14    -8.88     0.27     0.76     6.49     1.81P   12.73R    2.91  
Hull             5    4   -4      -2.47    22.42    -3.27    58.73    11.26    -7.37     0.36     1.18     8.49     2.53P   10.27R    2.24  
Preston          5    4   -4      -2.50    21.03    -3.54    60.01    10.83    -3.98     0.34     1.18     9.25     3.01P    7.43R    1.36  
Birmingham       5    3   -2      -2.05    24.15     0.62    44.84    10.11   -23.75     0.00     0.02     0.38     0.08P   48.90R   19.29  
QPR              5    3  -10      -1.91    26.33    -6.63    46.58    10.67   -31.80     0.01     0.03     0.72     0.15P   44.01R   17.09  
Reading          5    2   -3      -3.59    10.73    -0.94    48.32    10.74   -19.10     0.02     0.07     1.10     0.25P   35.93R   12.28  
Ipswich          5    2   -4      -3.98     8.80    -2.67    52.95    10.74   -12.20     0.06     0.26     2.78     0.77P   21.10R    5.38  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          5   15  +11       6.32    98.15     8.14    83.52    11.48    29.77    18.13    39.24    82.54    51.24P    0.16R    0.00  
Sunderland            5   13   +8       3.74    89.49     4.29    90.07    11.79    40.59    40.44    63.92    92.31    73.42P    0.04R    0.00  
Portsmouth            5   13   +6       5.46    96.36     4.95    72.85    10.95    11.28     3.34    10.17    50.02    19.16P    1.23R    0.08  
Walsall               5   13   +5       5.74    96.94     4.40    68.56    11.07     3.77     1.69     5.44    34.35    11.29P    3.23R    0.34  
Barnsley              5   11  +10       1.35    66.17     5.69    87.10    11.73    40.42    29.37    53.65    88.92    66.06P    0.07R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town        5    8   +6       0.40    55.55     4.88    68.18    11.14    11.70     1.54     5.32    34.69    12.47P    3.56R    0.37  
Doncaster             5    8   +3       0.86    61.88     2.49    64.25    10.97     3.26     0.61     2.47    21.97     6.78P    6.91R    0.86  
Accrington_Stanley    5    8   +0       1.81    72.82     0.97    56.40    11.44   -12.22     0.15     0.70     8.24     2.23P   23.97R    5.34  
Gillingham            5    7   +0       0.43    56.63     0.53    60.37    10.95    -4.62     0.24     1.12    13.26     3.55P   13.25R    2.23  
Luton                 5    7   +0       0.83    61.94     1.14    65.83    12.00     3.72     1.23     4.28    28.07    10.02P    7.12R    1.08  
Southend              5    7   +0      -0.15    48.70    -0.43    63.00    11.12    -0.63     0.53     2.08    19.02     5.70P    9.07R    1.34  
Blackpool             5    6   +1      -1.40    32.82     0.13    61.28    10.93    -0.04     0.34     1.35    15.12     4.65P   10.92R    1.67  
Bradford              5    6   -3      -0.55    43.74    -2.57    60.31    10.81    -5.65     0.23     1.05    12.76     3.48P   12.96R    1.96  
Charlton              5    5   -1      -1.58    31.61    -0.61    65.29    10.88     5.16     0.69     2.82    24.90     8.50P    5.73R    0.64  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    5   -2      -0.32    48.47     0.22    54.91    10.49   -10.21     0.02     0.23     5.09     1.15P   25.76R    5.32  
Coventry              5    5   -2      -0.87    41.07    -0.77    50.60    10.93   -16.68     0.03     0.13     2.82     0.67P   41.82R   12.51  
Wycombe               5    5   -3      -0.49    46.31    -1.00    46.69    10.99   -26.07     0.01     0.04     1.47     0.31P   56.63R   22.47  
Scunthorpe            5    5   -7      -1.54    32.32    -6.38    66.21    11.34     0.33     0.91     3.61    27.51     9.51P    5.81R    0.80  
Rochdale              5    4   -7      -1.46    33.45    -4.68    55.58    11.12   -14.51     0.07     0.41     6.50     1.56P   25.83R    5.98  
Bristol_Rovers        5    3   -3      -3.38    13.21    -2.18    53.91    11.01   -11.80     0.05     0.26     4.96     1.17P   30.01R    7.28  
Burton_Albion         5    3   -5      -3.77    11.11    -4.93    54.90    11.48   -11.28     0.10     0.55     6.69     1.96P   27.97R    7.08  
Oxford_Utd            5    3   -8      -2.76    18.03    -6.12    53.67    11.25   -17.62     0.06     0.28     5.07     1.24P   32.07R    8.45  
Shrewsbury            5    2   -3      -4.82     4.92    -3.07    59.29    10.77    -1.08     0.19     0.78    11.21     3.33P   14.36R    2.47  
Plymouth              5    2   -6      -4.31     7.25    -5.11    50.57    10.68   -17.60     0.02     0.11     2.50     0.57P   41.54R   11.71  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      5   13   +7       5.01    95.57     5.31    76.76    10.71    18.54    13.18    36.95    69.21    44.81P    0.09R    0.02  
MK_Dons           5   11   +3       2.57    80.13     0.66    81.38    11.36    24.33    26.10    53.90    80.98    62.23P    0.07R    0.01  
Exeter            5   10   +5       2.21    76.76     3.59    76.44    10.79    20.64    12.76    36.48    68.30    45.09P    0.08R    0.03  
Carlisle          5   10   +1       2.44    78.86    -0.04    70.14    10.77     6.98     4.49    16.97    45.15    23.51P    0.55R    0.14  
Newport_County    5   10   +0       3.34    87.23     0.31    62.21    10.48    -5.81     0.94     4.49    18.76     7.17P    3.00R    0.92  
Colchester        5    8   +7      -0.00    50.19     5.26    72.54    10.71    19.64     7.23    23.99    55.44    32.69P    0.25R    0.05  
Yeovil            5    8   +5       1.68    72.02     5.81    62.80    10.71     2.75     1.13     5.63    21.90     8.98P    2.89R    0.86  
Oldham            5    8   +3      -0.58    42.83     0.34    76.14    11.38    21.13    13.53    36.30    66.54    45.58P    0.17R    0.03  
Stevenage         5    8   +1       0.69    60.03     0.32    63.77    10.76     0.23     1.47     6.86    24.29    10.58P    2.34R    0.68  
Tranmere          5    8   +1       1.69    72.23     1.88    58.46    11.26    -7.49     0.64     3.18    13.03     5.12P    7.73R    2.90  
Swindon           5    8   -1       0.18    53.16    -2.54    68.53    11.00     5.35     3.76    14.40    39.77    20.34P    1.02R    0.30  
Forest_Green      5    7   +3       0.97    63.87     4.30    56.22    10.49    -8.44     0.24     1.45     8.16     2.62P    9.23R    3.39  
Mansfield         5    7   +3      -0.98    37.63     1.34    70.77    10.70    14.56     5.20    19.04    48.55    27.38P    0.47R    0.11  
Crawley_Town      5    7   -1       0.53    57.84    -0.41    57.72    10.61    -9.96     0.34     2.12    10.39     3.61P    7.71R    2.71  
Port_Vale         5    6   +0      -0.39    45.18     0.62    60.67    10.54    -2.12     0.63     3.69    16.17     6.35P    4.08R    1.30  
Northampton       5    5   -1      -2.20    24.83    -1.49    67.86    11.87     9.17     4.19    15.21    39.32    21.68P    1.61R    0.49  
Grimsby           5    5   -2      -0.76    41.50    -0.42    52.14    10.30   -15.50     0.07     0.49     3.87     1.09P   17.07R    6.55  
Crewe             5    4   -2      -1.85    28.11    -0.34    56.82    10.82    -8.15     0.28     1.80     9.54     3.38P    9.18R    3.48  
Bury              5    4   -2      -3.07    15.64    -2.39    66.14    11.65     7.10     3.04    11.75    33.14    17.58P    2.13R    0.65  
Cheltenham        5    4   -2      -2.63    19.92    -1.72    54.63    10.55   -10.76     0.18     1.18     6.46     2.22P   11.87R    4.44  
Cambridge_Utd     5    4   -5      -2.64    19.55    -4.67    57.44    10.53    -9.18     0.28     1.94     9.62     3.67P    7.67R    2.81  
Morecambe         5    3  -10      -1.95    25.77    -7.21    46.15     9.92   -29.47     0.01     0.08     0.88     0.21P   37.53R   18.78  
Macclesfield      5    2   -5      -2.75    16.98    -1.39    39.46    10.34   -35.16     0.00     0.04     0.25     0.09P   64.51R   46.05  
Notts_County      5    1   -8      -5.28     3.22    -7.09    57.25    10.87    -8.41     0.30     2.08    10.27     4.02P    8.75R    3.28  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 August 2018, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Harrogate_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Halifax             7   15   +7       5.01    91.55     6.33    63.99    10.00     0.99     1.71    13.99     3.98P    6.92R    0.31  
Wrexham             7   14   +7       3.74    85.22     5.96    73.69     9.88    16.64     9.60    45.16    18.31P    0.66R    0.02  
AFC_Fylde           7   13   +7       1.22    62.23     3.60    75.72    10.47    21.30    14.91    53.80    25.50P    0.67R    0.02  
Harrogate_Town      7   13   +6       4.48    88.59     7.64    66.33    11.53     5.98     4.10    23.16     8.03P    7.24R    0.54  
Leyton_Orient       7   13   +5       1.77    67.90     2.57    73.66    10.35    16.24    10.35    45.49    19.35P    1.04R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United    7   13   +5       3.49    83.17     5.04    73.50    10.23    15.82     9.55    44.88    18.47P    1.01R    0.03  
Solihull_Moors      7   13   +0       4.53    89.56     1.67    60.51    10.00    -8.81     0.72     7.68     1.90P   13.91R    0.94  
Hartlepool          7   12   +2       1.60    66.83     0.80    66.17    10.13     3.41     2.49    19.25     5.91P    4.84R    0.22  
Sutton_United       7   12   +2       1.99    70.85     1.27    69.43    10.34     8.19     4.99    29.56    10.74P    2.67R    0.12  
Salford_City        7   11   +2       2.56    76.02     3.88    57.23    11.42    -9.89     0.75     6.83     1.98P   25.36R    3.21  
Gateshead           7   11   +2       0.91    60.42     1.19    68.80    10.30     8.74     4.52    27.60    10.04P    3.01R    0.13  
Boreham_Wood        7   11   -1       0.97    61.02    -1.77    66.69    10.06     3.00     2.54    20.55     6.55P    4.34R    0.18  
Barrow              7   10   +0       0.35    54.58    -0.13    59.59    10.22    -5.87     0.61     7.40     1.82P   15.88R    1.06  
Bromley             7    9   +3      -1.74    31.46     1.12    67.03    10.58     9.93     3.53    23.43     8.29P    4.87R    0.22  
Chesterfield        7    9   +1      -2.89    21.54    -2.59    76.60    10.99    23.07    18.39    57.25    31.19P    0.85R    0.03  
Eastleigh           7    9   -2       0.34    54.81    -0.51    60.08    10.41    -5.80     0.69     8.14     2.08P   15.59R    1.47  
Barnet              7    8   -4      -3.59    16.05    -7.06    71.65    10.84    11.46     8.15    37.97    17.58P    2.20R    0.10  
Maidenhead          7    7   -3      -1.88    31.18    -1.82    54.67    10.38   -12.63     0.19     3.12     0.70P   30.92R    3.60  
Maidstone_United    7    7   -4      -1.11    39.13    -1.73    50.87     9.93   -19.12     0.07     1.12     0.27P   45.35R    7.11  
Aldershot           7    7   -6      -2.39    25.79    -5.77    62.13    10.22    -2.99     1.02    10.62     3.33P   10.82R    0.71  
Havant_&_Wville     7    6   -7      -0.67    44.64    -1.89    42.60    10.77   -36.19     0.02     0.36     0.08P   75.18R   27.73  
Dover_Athletic      7    4   -9      -5.40     5.85    -8.73    59.98    10.47    -5.16     0.73     8.09     2.48P   15.79R    1.31  
Braintree_Town      7    2   -7      -5.04     6.17    -2.75    37.59    10.37   -35.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   86.46R   48.15  
Dag_&_Red           7    1   -6      -8.75     0.36    -6.31    56.38    10.55    -3.30     0.35     4.50     1.41P   24.43R    2.78