Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 29 August 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 August 2018, Man_Utd 0 3 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         3    9   +7       2.12    82.46     2.10    78.29     9.25    43.64    13.04    34.44    58.40    77.75    95.86     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         3    9   +6       3.07    90.88     2.57    81.79     9.06    48.19    22.12    50.87    72.85    87.06    98.18     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           3    9   +5       3.09    90.11     2.17    75.83     9.33    36.15     8.18    24.39    45.90    68.57    93.27     0.00     0.00  
Watford           3    9   +5       4.67    96.97     4.65    48.52     9.31   -12.19     0.01     0.06     0.27     0.99     7.48     5.72R    0.77  
Man_City          3    7   +7       0.00    51.41     1.14    87.94     8.26    69.84    54.27    78.90    91.07    96.75    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       3    7   +3       2.39    85.38     2.32    48.25     9.37   -11.55     0.01     0.04     0.23     0.90     7.24     5.85R    0.86  
Leicester         3    6   +2       1.99    78.78     2.23    54.84     9.71     0.89     0.05     0.40     1.47     4.32    21.91     1.51R    0.17  
Everton           3    5   +1       0.52    58.68     0.49    51.77     9.64    -3.33     0.02     0.20     0.81     2.36    13.96     2.92R    0.36  
Arsenal           3    3   -1      -1.32    26.58    -1.39    66.44     9.73    24.52     1.06     5.07    13.73    28.80    70.46     0.09R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace    3    3   -1      -0.40    43.43     0.19    45.54     9.28   -11.88     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.41     4.18     9.73R    1.62  
Fulham            3    3   -2      -0.13    46.95     0.39    38.51     9.87   -28.44     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.15     1.40    32.36R    9.73  
Brighton          3    3   -2       0.62    62.42     0.90    41.88     8.95   -17.64     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.10     1.65    17.54R    3.48  
Man_Utd           3    3   -3      -2.32    15.23    -4.83    67.55     9.22    22.56     1.23     5.58    14.96    31.10    74.82     0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     3    2   -2      -0.63    41.53     0.77    40.52     9.63   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.19     1.81    23.92R    6.05  
Cardiff           3    2   -2      -1.52    27.71    -1.18    34.65     9.14   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.38    46.37R   15.59  
Newcastle         3    1   -2      -2.16    18.93    -0.56    44.58     9.29   -10.31     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.28     3.54    11.44R    2.03  
Southampton       3    1   -2      -2.93    11.43    -1.73    41.90     9.02   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.73    17.33R    3.43  
Burnley           3    1   -4      -3.00    10.85    -3.89    40.91     8.87   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.40    19.75R    3.98  
Huddersfield      3    1   -8      -0.98    36.92    -3.13    27.89     7.97   -44.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    77.16R   44.33  
West_Ham          3    0   -7      -2.38    10.22    -3.22    39.13     9.28   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.99    28.29R    7.57  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 August 2018, Rotherham 1 0 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     5   13  +10       5.54    96.92     8.97    76.45    11.19    21.02    10.18    20.73    56.98    28.60P    0.20R    0.03  
Middlesbrough    5   13   +7       4.23    92.71     4.16    84.99    10.75    30.71    29.96    48.28    83.01    58.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Bolton           5   10   +0       4.62    94.00     2.40    50.48    10.14   -24.60     0.04     0.10     1.31     0.26P   28.62R    7.87  
Aston_Villa      5    9   +3       0.58    56.09     0.66    76.04    10.99    19.53     9.03    19.08    55.73    29.04P    0.27R    0.03  
Blackburn        5    9   +2       1.60    68.60     1.21    65.72    11.69     2.83     1.94     4.87    22.54     8.67P    3.36R    0.57  
Derby            5    9   +1       0.67    57.16    -1.20    73.63    11.05    14.01     6.19    13.79    46.43    22.15P    0.48R    0.05  
Sheff_Utd        5    9   +1       1.96    73.01     0.73    66.39    11.17     2.35     1.72     4.51    23.14     8.35P    2.48R    0.34  
Brentford        5    8   +5       0.34    55.20     3.66    72.81    11.33    18.19     5.98    13.39    44.66    21.09P    0.68R    0.08  
Bristol_City     5    8   +2       0.83    61.40     1.51    66.23    11.16     4.70     1.64     4.47    23.30     8.32P    2.56R    0.33  
Swansea          5    8   +1      -0.23    47.33    -0.99    73.14    11.63    14.63     6.42    14.08    45.16    22.78P    0.73R    0.08  
West_Brom        5    7   +5      -2.08    24.46     1.39    78.76    11.85    29.17    15.67    29.22    64.78    40.61P    0.20R    0.01  
Wigan            5    7   +2      -0.68    41.87     0.73    71.46    11.96    14.74     5.49    12.06    40.23    19.27P    1.21R    0.18  
Nott'm_Forest    5    7   +1       0.67    60.03     1.97    57.17    10.90    -8.82     0.20     0.70     6.26     1.69P   11.89R    2.49  
Sheff_Wed        5    7   -1      -0.02    50.78    -1.18    64.31    11.08     0.65     1.13     3.11    17.74     6.02P    3.85R    0.59  
Rotherham        5    6   -5       1.17    66.14    -1.29    44.31    10.88   -36.29     0.01     0.05     0.58     0.13P   52.52R   24.14  
Millwall         5    5   -1      -1.33    35.06    -0.33    60.22    10.83    -2.34     0.41     1.22     9.76     3.02P    6.90R    1.32  
Stoke            5    5   -3      -2.38    23.61    -3.80    68.09    11.83     7.63     2.94     7.00    29.30    12.91P    2.39R    0.48  
Norwich          5    4   -3      -2.41    23.05    -2.20    56.87    11.11    -9.25     0.20     0.72     6.42     1.82P   12.95R    3.01  
Hull             5    4   -4      -2.45    22.82    -3.25    58.77    11.31    -7.34     0.37     1.12     8.58     2.57P   10.33R    2.18  
Preston          5    4   -4      -2.49    21.15    -3.54    59.98    10.82    -4.05     0.38     1.12     9.22     2.85P    7.42R    1.39  
Birmingham       5    3   -2      -2.06    24.21     0.61    44.72    10.12   -23.97     0.01     0.02     0.37     0.06P   49.26R   19.60  
QPR              5    3  -10      -1.92    26.44    -6.65    46.48    10.60   -31.90     0.01     0.03     0.71     0.12P   44.31R   17.11  
Reading          5    2   -3      -3.61    10.60    -1.00    48.59    10.82   -18.73     0.04     0.09     1.23     0.27P   35.05R   12.16  
Ipswich          5    2   -4      -3.90     9.23    -2.55    52.54    10.80   -12.86     0.06     0.22     2.56     0.66P   22.33R    5.95  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          5   15  +11       6.33    98.21     8.17    83.44    11.43    29.71    18.30    39.41    82.68    51.32P    0.14R    0.01  
Sunderland            5   13   +8       3.73    89.30     4.28    89.97    11.84    40.47    40.59    63.51    92.37    73.27P    0.04R    0.00  
Portsmouth            5   13   +6       5.44    96.50     4.93    72.95    10.98    11.53     3.45    10.47    50.43    19.35P    1.25R    0.12  
Walsall               5   13   +5       5.71    96.93     4.36    68.72    11.09     4.02     1.66     5.53    34.87    11.25P    3.30R    0.33  
Barnsley              5   11  +10       1.40    66.23     5.79    86.80    11.64    39.92    28.73    53.45    88.58    66.01P    0.08R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town        5    8   +6       0.46    56.52     4.97    68.03    11.07    11.45     1.63     5.27    34.07    12.20P    3.43R    0.40  
Doncaster             5    8   +3       0.81    61.08     2.44    64.42    10.89     3.49     0.66     2.60    22.38     7.04P    6.58R    0.82  
Accrington_Stanley    5    8   +0       1.80    72.80     0.96    56.35    11.45   -12.24     0.14     0.67     8.21     2.14P   24.22R    5.52  
Gillingham            5    7   +0       0.47    57.33     0.58    60.24    10.98    -4.76     0.30     1.09    13.07     3.57P   13.81R    2.35  
Luton                 5    7   +0       0.90    62.59     1.25    65.38    12.11     3.00     1.20     3.99    27.26     9.45P    8.00R    1.28  
Southend              5    7   +0      -0.15    48.67    -0.46    62.82    11.10    -0.82     0.51     2.11    18.58     5.75P    9.27R    1.33  
Blackpool             5    6   +1      -1.35    33.05     0.20    61.42    10.83     0.08     0.32     1.40    15.61     4.62P   10.74R    1.52  
Bradford              5    6   -3      -0.55    43.36    -2.59    60.35    10.85    -5.56     0.23     1.10    12.88     3.63P   13.08R    2.01  
Charlton              5    5   -1      -1.63    31.10    -0.67    65.66    10.93     5.70     0.80     3.07    25.91     8.88P    5.48R    0.60  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    5   -2      -0.36    47.85     0.18    54.93    10.49   -10.23     0.06     0.24     5.09     1.15P   25.82R    5.42  
Coventry              5    5   -2      -0.92    40.38    -0.80    50.69    10.97   -16.54     0.03     0.16     2.85     0.65P   41.45R   12.50  
Wycombe               5    5   -3      -0.50    46.26    -1.02    46.88    11.02   -25.66     0.02     0.09     1.50     0.34P   55.85R   22.42  
Scunthorpe            5    5   -7      -1.53    32.46    -6.37    66.19    11.26     0.26     0.90     3.47    27.59     9.49P    5.83R    0.70  
Rochdale              5    4   -7      -1.49    33.11    -4.71    55.44    11.07   -14.65     0.09     0.40     6.28     1.45P   26.24R    5.96  
Bristol_Rovers        5    3   -3      -3.43    12.65    -2.21    54.08    11.02   -11.53     0.06     0.29     5.17     1.27P   29.83R    7.09  
Burton_Albion         5    3   -5      -3.72    11.16    -4.85    54.71    11.45   -11.61     0.08     0.45     6.37     1.91P   28.41R    6.99  
Oxford_Utd            5    3   -8      -2.83    17.36    -6.26    53.85    11.14   -17.25     0.09     0.33     4.96     1.30P   31.22R    8.14  
Shrewsbury            5    2   -3      -4.82     5.02    -3.08    59.16    10.67    -1.22     0.16     0.78    10.77     3.41P   14.53R    2.56  
Plymouth              5    2   -6      -4.28     7.36    -5.08    50.61    10.73   -17.56     0.02     0.11     2.51     0.58P   41.43R   11.92  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      5   13   +7       4.96    95.44     5.23    76.97    10.71    18.84    13.49    37.49    69.74    45.51P    0.09R    0.02  
MK_Dons           5   11   +3       2.59    80.39     0.68    81.30    11.29    24.23    25.35    53.52    80.72    61.82P    0.04R    0.01  
Exeter            5   10   +5       2.20    76.65     3.57    76.83    10.86    21.24    13.66    37.96    69.56    46.52P    0.10R    0.04  
Carlisle          5   10   +1       2.44    78.77    -0.07    70.42    10.87     7.33     4.84    17.90    45.92    24.48P    0.52R    0.12  
Newport_County    5   10   +0       3.35    87.30     0.32    62.35    10.66    -5.59     0.99     4.95    19.34     7.80P    3.07R    0.89  
Colchester        5    8   +7       0.03    50.73     5.28    72.46    10.65    19.51     6.98    23.50    55.17    32.07P    0.22R    0.06  
Yeovil            5    8   +5       1.70    72.15     5.83    62.82    10.67     2.74     1.10     5.67    21.84     8.82P    2.76R    0.90  
Oldham            5    8   +3      -0.56    43.02     0.37    75.95    11.41    20.71    13.19    35.56    65.92    44.88P    0.18R    0.07  
Stevenage         5    8   +1       0.62    58.73     0.24    63.88    10.77     0.41     1.49     6.77    24.64    10.67P    2.27R    0.68  
Tranmere          5    8   +1       1.72    72.24     1.92    58.22    11.15    -7.81     0.53     2.95    12.45     4.86P    7.51R    2.74  
Swindon           5    8   -1       0.17    52.98    -2.54    68.46    11.09     5.20     3.87    14.23    39.10    20.08P    0.98R    0.26  
Forest_Green      5    7   +3       0.99    63.88     4.31    56.20    10.61    -8.43     0.24     1.59     8.43     2.86P    9.37R    3.48  
Mansfield         5    7   +3      -0.97    37.67     1.36    70.82    10.61    14.56     5.20    19.09    48.70    27.22P    0.43R    0.10  
Crawley_Town      5    7   -1       0.57    58.52    -0.35    57.72    10.61   -10.06     0.38     2.14    10.25     3.66P    7.55R    2.63  
Port_Vale         5    6   +0      -0.46    44.34     0.54    60.79    10.53    -1.78     0.63     3.59    16.20     6.36P    3.83R    1.25  
Northampton       5    5   -1      -2.14    25.23    -1.41    67.48    11.71     8.61     3.88    13.97    37.25    20.25P    1.68R    0.50  
Grimsby           5    5   -2      -0.76    41.84    -0.43    52.20    10.28   -15.38     0.06     0.52     3.78     1.09P   17.07R    6.49  
Crewe             5    4   -2      -1.86    28.06    -0.35    56.94    10.88    -7.91     0.33     2.00     9.98     3.62P    8.87R    3.43  
Bury              5    4   -2      -3.09    15.44    -2.41    66.37    11.62     7.39     2.98    11.69    33.87    17.88P    2.06R    0.69  
Cheltenham        5    4   -2      -2.67    19.56    -1.76    54.69    10.48   -10.59     0.16     0.93     6.43     2.03P   11.68R    4.32  
Cambridge_Utd     5    4   -5      -2.66    19.71    -4.70    57.46    10.63    -9.18     0.32     1.91     9.97     3.61P    7.79R    2.86  
Morecambe         5    3  -10      -1.94    25.95    -7.20    45.89     9.92   -29.80     0.02     0.10     0.80     0.20P   38.33R   18.79  
Macclesfield      5    2   -5      -2.71    17.36    -1.36    39.33    10.31   -35.38     0.00     0.02     0.31     0.07P   64.44R   46.13  
Notts_County      5    1   -8      -5.27     3.11    -7.08    56.97    10.93    -8.85     0.29     1.92     9.63     3.66P    9.18R    3.54  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 August 2018, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Harrogate_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Halifax             7   15   +7       4.99    91.22     6.30    64.34    10.07     1.51     1.81    15.08     4.17P    6.91R    0.34  
Wrexham             7   14   +7       3.73    84.75     5.93    73.57     9.98    16.53     9.57    44.79    18.42P    0.84R    0.02  
AFC_Fylde           7   13   +7       1.26    62.94     3.67    75.41    10.49    20.90    14.52    52.56    24.60P    0.75R    0.02  
Harrogate_Town      7   13   +6       4.43    88.08     7.57    66.39    11.61     6.11     4.53    23.48     8.61P    7.23R    0.51  
Leyton_Orient       7   13   +5       1.76    67.98     2.58    73.62    10.30    16.15    10.39    45.29    19.31P    1.02R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United    7   13   +5       3.47    82.97     5.00    73.54    10.23    15.88     9.91    44.94    18.41P    1.07R    0.05  
Solihull_Moors      7   13   +0       4.50    89.32     1.63    60.62    10.04    -8.72     0.63     7.97     1.83P   13.65R    1.03  
Hartlepool          7   12   +2       1.60    66.72     0.80    66.25    10.17     3.55     2.53    19.77     6.35P    4.89R    0.23  
Sutton_United       7   12   +2       2.02    70.94     1.32    69.08    10.38     7.65     4.69    28.48    10.10P    3.04R    0.11  
Salford_City        7   11   +2       2.57    76.09     3.90    57.08    11.51   -10.12     0.83     6.80     2.02P   25.98R    3.32  
Gateshead           7   11   +2       0.92    60.56     1.19    68.93    10.28     9.00     4.48    28.27    10.19P    2.89R    0.15  
Boreham_Wood        7   11   -1       0.97    60.88    -1.80    67.05    10.05     3.52     2.88    21.39     7.18P    3.97R    0.15  
Barrow              7   10   +0       0.31    54.09    -0.20    59.75    10.21    -5.69     0.62     7.49     1.97P   15.64R    1.05  
Bromley             7    9   +3      -1.74    31.30     1.10    67.14    10.48    10.11     3.43    23.61     8.39P    4.73R    0.24  
Chesterfield        7    9   +1      -2.83    22.04    -2.51    76.45    10.96    22.81    18.13    56.77    30.82P    0.83R    0.02  
Eastleigh           7    9   -2       0.36    54.88    -0.50    59.88    10.38    -6.19     0.64     7.60     1.93P   16.03R    1.41  
Barnet              7    8   -4      -3.54    16.51    -6.96    71.41    10.79    11.03     7.94    37.37    17.19P    2.28R    0.10  
Maidenhead          7    7   -3      -1.87    31.24    -1.81    54.69    10.29   -12.63     0.22     3.00     0.72P   30.32R    3.45  
Maidstone_United    7    7   -4      -1.06    39.72    -1.65    50.68     9.95   -19.39     0.07     1.14     0.22P   46.11R    7.36  
Aldershot           7    7   -6      -2.43    25.35    -5.82    62.46    10.14    -2.53     1.11    10.93     3.53P   10.28R    0.62  
Havant_&_Wville     7    6   -7      -0.68    44.45    -1.91    42.71    10.84   -35.90     0.02     0.45     0.11P   74.61R   27.12  
Dover_Athletic      7    4   -9      -5.39     5.87    -8.69    59.92    10.48    -5.25     0.70     8.03     2.47P   15.87R    1.19  
Braintree_Town      7    2   -7      -5.05     5.96    -2.78    37.46    10.48   -35.25     0.01     0.12     0.03P   86.74R   48.85  
Dag_&_Red           7    1   -6      -8.78     0.33    -6.36    56.50    10.53    -3.11     0.33     4.69     1.44P   24.31R    2.66