Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 28 August 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 August 2018, Man_Utd 0 3 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         3    9   +7       2.11    82.35     2.06    78.34     9.26    43.75    12.95    34.53    58.33    77.66    95.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         3    9   +6       3.07    90.99     2.58    81.79     9.04    48.12    22.33    50.88    72.66    87.04    98.14     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           3    9   +5       3.08    90.05     2.17    75.91     9.35    36.23     8.62    24.85    46.71    69.20    93.26     0.01R    0.00  
Watford           3    9   +5       4.62    96.87     4.59    48.58     9.23   -12.06     0.00     0.05     0.28     0.94     7.53     5.24R    0.77  
Man_City          3    7   +7       0.00    51.35     1.13    87.84     8.22    69.67    53.67    78.62    90.87    96.69    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       3    7   +3       2.42    85.50     2.36    48.15     9.38   -11.72     0.01     0.08     0.28     0.92     7.27     6.11R    0.85  
Leicester         3    6   +2       2.01    79.34     2.26    54.82     9.70     0.78     0.05     0.38     1.46     4.29    21.92     1.52R    0.15  
Everton           3    5   +1       0.51    58.83     0.48    52.01     9.54    -2.94     0.01     0.17     0.70     2.43    14.64     2.65R    0.32  
Arsenal           3    3   -1      -1.30    26.91    -1.38    66.28     9.66    24.21     1.06     4.93    13.15    28.04    69.96     0.09R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace    3    3   -1      -0.36    44.26     0.27    45.33     9.29   -12.17     0.01     0.03     0.13     0.43     4.13     9.98R    1.74  
Fulham            3    3   -2      -0.20    45.70     0.30    38.76     9.82   -28.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.36    31.33R    9.41  
Brighton          3    3   -2       0.65    63.10     0.94    41.84     8.98   -17.75     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.10     1.59    18.08R    3.66  
Man_Utd           3    3   -3      -2.33    15.12    -4.85    67.56     9.22    22.56     1.28     5.45    15.21    31.35    74.97     0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     3    2   -2      -0.63    41.70     0.76    40.42     9.68   -19.86     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.19     1.67    24.45R    6.25  
Cardiff           3    2   -2      -1.54    27.26    -1.19    34.80     8.97   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.40    45.84R   14.51  
Newcastle         3    1   -2      -2.15    19.04    -0.55    44.52     9.19   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.25     3.34    11.21R    1.98  
Southampton       3    1   -2      -2.94    11.24    -1.74    41.87     9.01   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     1.71    17.44R    3.47  
Burnley           3    1   -4      -2.96    11.16    -3.85    40.76     8.91   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     1.25    20.61R    4.40  
Huddersfield      3    1   -8      -0.98    36.70    -3.15    27.81     8.04   -44.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    77.41R   44.92  
West_Ham          3    0   -7      -2.39    10.18    -3.19    39.30     9.45   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     1.14    28.00R    7.56  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 August 2018, Rotherham 1 0 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     5   13  +10       5.54    96.91     8.96    76.44    11.28    20.95    10.34    20.81    56.93    28.76P    0.24R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    5   13   +7       4.26    92.96     4.21    84.64    10.74    30.22    28.79    47.02    82.20    57.20P    0.02R    0.00  
Bolton           5   10   +0       4.65    93.98     2.44    50.30    10.08   -24.85     0.03     0.09     1.29     0.25P   29.00R    7.90  
Aston_Villa      5    9   +3       0.55    55.49     0.59    76.19    11.09    19.81     9.38    19.58    56.12    29.54P    0.24R    0.03  
Blackburn        5    9   +2       1.57    68.26     1.17    65.76    11.54     2.98     1.92     4.70    22.55     8.59P    3.23R    0.50  
Derby            5    9   +1       0.65    57.07    -1.23    73.90    11.20    14.50     6.75    14.95    47.69    23.23P    0.51R    0.06  
Sheff_Utd        5    9   +1       1.96    72.71     0.73    66.42    11.21     2.43     1.79     4.69    23.24     8.47P    2.53R    0.37  
Brentford        5    8   +5       0.37    55.68     3.71    72.48    11.26    17.68     5.49    12.50    43.70    19.99P    0.70R    0.08  
Bristol_City     5    8   +2       0.85    61.85     1.53    66.01    11.23     4.35     1.60     4.37    22.68     8.18P    2.76R    0.43  
Swansea          5    8   +1      -0.25    47.17    -1.01    73.28    11.55    14.78     6.42    14.01    45.79    22.93P    0.68R    0.06  
West_Brom        5    7   +5      -2.08    24.62     1.36    79.10    11.78    29.68    16.36    30.11    65.96    41.61P    0.22R    0.02  
Wigan            5    7   +2      -0.72    41.40     0.68    71.72    11.90    15.08     5.77    12.48    40.83    19.87P    1.13R    0.18  
Nott'm_Forest    5    7   +1       0.65    60.01     1.94    57.20    10.90    -8.80     0.19     0.69     6.32     1.65P   11.98R    2.55  
Sheff_Wed        5    7   -1       0.00    50.79    -1.16    64.16    10.85     0.37     0.98     2.83    17.12     5.82P    3.43R    0.52  
Rotherham        5    6   -5       1.19    66.67    -1.26    44.22    11.04   -36.57     0.01     0.05     0.62     0.16P   53.23R   24.92  
Millwall         5    5   -1      -1.33    34.96    -0.33    60.18    10.90    -2.34     0.43     1.31     9.84     3.06P    7.25R    1.34  
Stoke            5    5   -3      -2.34    23.90    -3.73    67.68    11.74     6.93     2.65     6.41    27.88    12.07P    2.67R    0.46  
Norwich          5    4   -3      -2.43    22.91    -2.21    57.01    11.20    -9.08     0.24     0.73     6.43     1.75P   13.14R    3.13  
Hull             5    4   -4      -2.45    22.69    -3.24    58.69    11.35    -7.44     0.38     1.16     8.59     2.72P   10.51R    2.36  
Preston          5    4   -4      -2.48    21.17    -3.54    60.06    10.73    -3.91     0.39     1.12     9.25     2.90P    7.18R    1.30  
Birmingham       5    3   -2      -2.10    23.92     0.55    45.05    10.14   -23.48     0.00     0.02     0.38     0.07P   48.17R   18.77  
QPR              5    3  -10      -1.93    26.29    -6.67    46.66    10.62   -31.60     0.01     0.05     0.65     0.13P   43.38R   16.67  
Reading          5    2   -3      -3.57    10.77    -0.92    48.37    10.73   -19.07     0.02     0.07     1.15     0.28P   35.80R   12.35  
Ipswich          5    2   -4      -3.93     9.17    -2.57    52.65    10.83   -12.62     0.07     0.24     2.79     0.76P   21.99R    5.99  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          5   15  +11       6.34    98.19     8.19    83.47    11.38    29.70    18.15    39.21    82.51    50.92P    0.12R    0.00  
Sunderland            5   13   +8       3.71    89.31     4.24    90.09    11.74    40.64    40.25    63.91    92.52    73.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Portsmouth            5   13   +6       5.49    96.40     4.99    72.71    10.99    11.12     3.38    10.11    49.61    18.85P    1.28R    0.10  
Walsall               5   13   +5       5.72    96.98     4.36    68.85    11.04     4.24     1.71     5.77    35.54    11.67P    2.93R    0.28  
Barnsley              5   11  +10       1.39    66.17     5.75    87.06    11.67    40.41    29.52    54.03    88.87    66.38P    0.07R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town        5    8   +6       0.44    56.37     4.94    68.11    11.15    11.65     1.47     5.31    34.37    12.49P    3.63R    0.38  
Doncaster             5    8   +3       0.81    61.21     2.45    64.29    10.85     3.30     0.60     2.43    22.04     6.87P    6.72R    0.81  
Accrington_Stanley    5    8   +0       1.79    72.60     0.95    56.28    11.43   -12.43     0.17     0.65     7.89     2.02P   24.50R    5.52  
Gillingham            5    7   +0       0.47    57.01     0.59    60.20    10.98    -4.83     0.25     1.11    13.18     3.57P   13.53R    2.27  
Luton                 5    7   +0       0.87    62.29     1.22    65.50    11.94     3.19     1.15     3.92    27.25     9.43P    7.45R    1.21  
Southend              5    7   +0      -0.15    48.84    -0.46    63.04    11.01    -0.57     0.54     2.03    19.11     5.74P    8.74R    1.20  
Blackpool             5    6   +1      -1.36    33.10     0.19    61.18    10.84    -0.23     0.31     1.30    14.86     4.41P   11.10R    1.71  
Bradford              5    6   -3      -0.57    43.23    -2.61    60.38    10.94    -5.49     0.27     1.12    13.25     3.82P   13.17R    2.10  
Charlton              5    5   -1      -1.61    31.27    -0.64    65.48    10.82     5.47     0.68     2.72    25.51     8.58P    5.39R    0.60  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    5   -2      -0.35    47.85     0.20    55.04    10.47   -10.04     0.05     0.25     5.09     1.18P   25.63R    5.19  
Coventry              5    5   -2      -0.96    39.94    -0.85    50.96    10.95   -16.12     0.02     0.16     2.95     0.70P   40.35R   11.79  
Wycombe               5    5   -3      -0.46    46.78    -0.95    46.54    10.99   -26.23     0.01     0.07     1.38     0.25P   57.22R   23.21  
Scunthorpe            5    5   -7      -1.54    32.30    -6.39    66.35    11.33     0.49     0.95     3.49    28.37     9.79P    5.81R    0.74  
Rochdale              5    4   -7      -1.51    32.84    -4.76    55.73    11.03   -14.28     0.10     0.44     6.42     1.67P   25.15R    5.68  
Bristol_Rovers        5    3   -3      -3.43    12.86    -2.23    53.80    11.08   -11.94     0.07     0.29     4.97     1.30P   30.58R    7.38  
Burton_Albion         5    3   -5      -3.69    11.53    -4.81    54.38    11.44   -12.08     0.12     0.47     5.94     1.71P   29.43R    7.67  
Oxford_Utd            5    3   -8      -2.81    17.58    -6.21    53.85    11.21   -17.30     0.05     0.32     5.04     1.25P   31.31R    8.18  
Shrewsbury            5    2   -3      -4.82     5.14    -3.09    59.15    10.71    -1.23     0.15     0.79    10.83     3.28P   14.67R    2.45  
Plymouth              5    2   -6      -4.28     7.37    -5.08    50.73    10.69   -17.42     0.02     0.09     2.50     0.55P   41.17R   11.51  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      5   13   +7       5.00    95.42     5.26    77.04    10.78    18.90    14.04    38.01    70.00    45.94P    0.09R    0.03  
MK_Dons           5   11   +3       2.54    80.17     0.64    81.49    11.13    24.48    26.07    54.45    81.44    62.76P    0.04R    0.01  
Exeter            5   10   +5       2.19    76.69     3.57    76.74    10.87    21.18    13.44    37.62    69.16    46.13P    0.11R    0.02  
Carlisle          5   10   +1       2.46    79.14    -0.03    70.08    10.84     6.85     4.43    17.04    44.76    23.51P    0.63R    0.14  
Newport_County    5   10   +0       3.33    87.24     0.30    62.24    10.59    -5.69     0.88     4.79    19.11     7.54P    3.10R    0.95  
Colchester        5    8   +7       0.05    50.97     5.30    72.13    10.68    19.02     6.46    22.73    54.40    31.28P    0.33R    0.07  
Yeovil            5    8   +5       1.70    72.35     5.85    62.73    10.64     2.62     0.99     5.46    21.35     8.68P    2.61R    0.83  
Oldham            5    8   +3      -0.54    43.24     0.37    75.99    11.35    20.87    13.37    35.43    66.17    44.85P    0.20R    0.05  
Stevenage         5    8   +1       0.63    59.16     0.26    64.09    10.77     0.67     1.67     7.31    24.98    11.21P    2.19R    0.62  
Tranmere          5    8   +1       1.75    72.91     1.94    58.44    11.21    -7.54     0.62     3.16    12.95     5.19P    7.70R    2.84  
Swindon           5    8   -1       0.16    53.03    -2.57    68.59    11.02     5.36     3.73    14.29    39.79    20.28P    0.91R    0.24  
Forest_Green      5    7   +3       0.99    63.86     4.33    56.43    10.57    -8.18     0.23     1.61     8.63     2.83P    9.35R    3.42  
Mansfield         5    7   +3      -0.98    37.71     1.34    70.76    10.65    14.51     5.12    19.03    48.40    27.06P    0.42R    0.11  
Crawley_Town      5    7   -1       0.57    58.43    -0.36    57.66    10.56   -10.12     0.33     2.02    10.01     3.43P    7.75R    2.82  
Port_Vale         5    6   +0      -0.44    44.82     0.58    60.76    10.54    -1.92     0.63     3.66    16.10     6.26P    4.05R    1.30  
Northampton       5    5   -1      -2.17    25.11    -1.47    67.53    11.71     8.64     3.85    13.98    37.70    20.39P    1.62R    0.46  
Grimsby           5    5   -2      -0.76    41.66    -0.42    52.21    10.20   -15.42     0.06     0.51     3.76     1.06P   16.51R    6.46  
Crewe             5    4   -2      -1.84    27.94    -0.33    56.61    10.88    -8.42     0.30     1.92     9.47     3.43P    9.49R    3.59  
Bury              5    4   -2      -3.09    15.58    -2.41    66.43    11.57     7.49     3.02    11.96    34.06    18.10P    1.95R    0.66  
Cheltenham        5    4   -2      -2.67    19.60    -1.75    54.62    10.52   -10.70     0.15     1.03     6.42     2.15P   11.94R    4.50  
Cambridge_Utd     5    4   -5      -2.67    19.62    -4.69    57.46    10.66    -9.16     0.29     2.02     9.98     3.72P    7.92R    2.92  
Morecambe         5    3  -10      -1.93    25.95    -7.19    46.04     9.88   -29.66     0.00     0.06     0.85     0.20P   38.11R   19.01  
Macclesfield      5    2   -5      -2.78    16.71    -1.45    39.50    10.25   -35.08     0.00     0.02     0.24     0.05P   64.12R   45.64  
Notts_County      5    1   -8      -5.27     3.12    -7.09    57.09    10.90    -8.71     0.29     1.90    10.25     3.94P    8.85R    3.32  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 August 2018, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Harrogate_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Ebbsfleet_United    2    6   +3       3.16    92.74     2.86    71.25    11.28    10.74     4.43    33.41    10.81P    1.98R    0.07  
Boreham_Wood        2    6   +2       2.65    89.44     1.14    71.59    11.24    10.37     4.61    34.08    11.43P    1.82R    0.09  
Barnet              2    6   +2       2.72    89.93     1.16    88.69    11.99    36.63    46.18    85.20    59.95P    0.04R    0.00  
Hartlepool          2    6   +2       3.64    95.36     2.58    69.37    11.38     6.88     3.19    27.51     8.12P    3.20R    0.22  
Bromley             1    3   +4       0.76    65.76     2.54    70.77    12.04    13.25     4.97    33.60    11.84P    2.95R    0.19  
Leyton_Orient       1    3   +3       1.32    76.42     2.55    73.16    11.79    16.07     6.48    40.44    15.16P    1.76R    0.10  
Salford_City        1    3   +2       1.53    79.83     1.85    52.79    13.36   -17.76     0.52     5.06     1.38P   37.24R    8.90  
Maidenhead          1    3   +2       1.53    79.86     1.84    61.95    11.78    -2.70     1.02    11.95     2.94P   11.84R    1.13  
Solihull_Moors      1    3   +1       1.61    82.02     0.93    57.37    11.27   -10.03     0.32     5.30     1.14P   20.46R    2.65  
Eastleigh           2    3   +0       0.60    60.39     0.56    61.40    11.57    -3.48     0.80    10.66     2.68P   12.46R    1.25  
Halifax             2    3   +0       0.79    64.92     0.70    54.95    10.85   -12.03     0.11     3.10     0.59P   25.94R    3.60  
Aldershot           2    3   -1       0.14    50.80    -1.20    69.67    11.39     8.82     3.37    28.68     9.48P    2.97R    0.16  
Barrow              2    3   -1      -0.17    44.29    -1.66    58.03    11.11    -9.05     0.29     5.77     1.40P   18.45R    1.95  
AFC_Fylde           1    1   +0      -1.06    27.83    -1.06    68.80    11.96     9.36     3.57    27.58     9.46P    4.22R    0.31  
Harrogate_Town      1    1   +0       0.27    72.17     1.06    50.00    12.79   -19.20     0.13     2.70     0.62P   44.75R   11.69  
Maidstone_United    1    0   -1      -1.25    19.64    -0.86    51.76    11.41   -16.81     0.08     2.24     0.43P   37.41R    7.20  
Sutton_United       1    0   -1      -1.03    24.18    -0.50    64.72    11.73     3.64     1.60    16.98     4.87P    7.56R    0.67  
Gateshead           1    0   -1      -1.34    18.01    -0.98    64.10    11.68     2.84     1.40    15.63     4.65P    8.25R    0.74  
Wrexham             1    0   -1      -1.29    17.98    -0.93    62.38    11.10     1.22     0.75    11.42     3.20P    9.35R    0.85  
Dag_&_Red           2    0   -2      -2.50     7.53    -1.57    67.81    11.69     9.63     2.56    24.44     8.05P    4.62R    0.36  
Chesterfield        2    0   -2      -2.84     5.99    -2.17    76.34    12.48    23.01    11.49    52.19    24.80P    1.40R    0.09  
Braintree_Town      2    0   -3      -2.12    11.37    -2.04    42.63    11.95   -31.01     0.03     0.58     0.12P   68.27R   27.49  
Dover_Athletic      2    0   -4      -2.90     5.46    -4.26    66.59    11.48     5.66     2.05    20.56     6.68P    5.18R    0.37  
Havant_&_Wville     1    0   -4      -0.58    34.24    -2.54    42.55    12.94   -36.07     0.05     0.93     0.20P   67.90R   29.92