Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 27 August 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 August 2018, Man_Utd 0 3 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         3    9   +7       2.13    82.46     2.09    78.14     9.32    43.39    12.59    33.91    57.71    77.31    95.63     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         3    9   +6       3.08    91.02     2.59    81.82     8.98    48.13    22.28    51.05    73.37    87.37    98.27     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           3    9   +5       3.09    90.00     2.17    75.73     9.29    35.93     8.11    24.40    45.88    68.39    93.16     0.00     0.00  
Watford           3    9   +5       4.62    96.84     4.61    48.49     9.22   -12.18     0.01     0.06     0.30     1.03     7.41     5.60R    0.73  
Man_City          3    7   +7      -0.00    51.22     1.13    87.89     8.22    69.77    54.49    79.13    91.04    96.70    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       3    7   +3       2.41    85.57     2.35    48.20     9.42   -11.54     0.00     0.05     0.25     1.00     7.35     6.19R    0.88  
Leicester         3    6   +2       2.01    79.06     2.24    54.87     9.75     0.90     0.06     0.44     1.49     4.37    21.96     1.58R    0.18  
Everton           3    5   +1       0.49    58.40     0.43    51.94     9.57    -3.08     0.02     0.17     0.73     2.33    14.38     2.86R    0.39  
Arsenal           3    3   -1      -1.29    27.29    -1.35    66.23     9.75    24.06     1.15     5.02    13.51    28.01    69.67     0.09R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    3    3   -1      -0.37    44.03     0.25    45.32     9.17   -12.23     0.00     0.03     0.09     0.37     4.05    10.02R    1.74  
Fulham            3    3   -2      -0.17    46.12     0.33    38.79     9.84   -27.91     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.14     1.52    31.36R    9.34  
Brighton          3    3   -2       0.64    62.80     0.94    41.83     9.05   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.79    18.34R    3.79  
Man_Utd           3    3   -3      -2.34    15.07    -4.85    67.66     9.24    22.74     1.27     5.73    15.41    32.13    75.51     0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton     3    2   -2      -0.62    41.92     0.82    40.07     9.63   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.13     1.63    25.37R    6.75  
Cardiff           3    2   -2      -1.55    27.28    -1.21    34.99     9.07   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.35    44.94R   14.59  
Newcastle         3    1   -2      -2.16    18.92    -0.56    44.63     9.14   -10.11     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.30     3.44    10.95R    1.95  
Southampton       3    1   -2      -2.94    11.34    -1.72    41.87     9.01   -14.64     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.12     1.79    17.49R    3.59  
Burnley           3    1   -4      -2.98    11.07    -3.88    40.78     8.90   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     1.26    20.47R    4.31  
Huddersfield      3    1   -8      -0.97    36.88    -3.13    27.89     8.01   -44.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    77.36R   44.73  
West_Ham          3    0   -7      -2.40    10.22    -3.25    39.43     9.33   -24.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     1.11    27.35R    7.02  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 August 2018, Rotherham 1 0 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     5   13  +10       5.56    97.02     9.00    76.41    11.25    21.01    10.26    20.74    56.74    28.60P    0.27R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    5   13   +7       4.25    92.74     4.21    84.65    10.77    30.21    29.01    47.09    82.31    57.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Bolton           5   10   +0       4.62    93.90     2.38    50.65    10.06   -24.18     0.02     0.08     1.32     0.24P   28.01R    7.57  
Aston_Villa      5    9   +3       0.56    55.65     0.61    76.13    10.93    19.75     9.15    19.27    56.01    29.27P    0.20R    0.01  
Blackburn        5    9   +2       1.59    68.58     1.20    65.88    11.80     3.10     2.17     5.24    23.47     9.22P    3.43R    0.58  
Derby            5    9   +1       0.65    57.19    -1.23    73.88    11.19    14.42     6.71    14.61    47.68    23.12P    0.48R    0.05  
Sheff_Utd        5    9   +1       1.94    72.86     0.69    66.44    11.29     2.47     1.79     4.78    23.61     8.58P    2.65R    0.41  
Brentford        5    8   +5       0.37    55.48     3.70    72.58    11.38    17.83     5.79    12.82    43.58    20.44P    0.71R    0.07  
Bristol_City     5    8   +2       0.82    61.16     1.50    66.23    11.24     4.63     1.75     4.59    23.18     8.55P    2.70R    0.41  
Swansea          5    8   +1      -0.27    46.95    -1.06    73.39    11.53    14.92     6.71    14.49    45.98    23.17P    0.69R    0.08  
West_Brom        5    7   +5      -2.06    24.86     1.43    78.68    11.82    29.00    15.39    28.97    64.78    40.23P    0.28R    0.03  
Wigan            5    7   +2      -0.73    41.32     0.67    71.73    11.86    15.11     5.65    12.33    41.20    20.02P    1.11R    0.16  
Nott'm_Forest    5    7   +1       0.67    60.11     1.93    57.24    10.96    -8.69     0.26     0.74     6.28     1.68P   12.07R    2.70  
Sheff_Wed        5    7   -1       0.05    51.68    -1.09    63.90    11.00    -0.05     0.97     2.83    16.90     5.81P    3.80R    0.65  
Rotherham        5    6   -5       1.15    65.98    -1.31    44.46    11.06   -36.19     0.01     0.06     0.62     0.13P   52.49R   24.26  
Millwall         5    5   -1      -1.33    34.79    -0.33    59.97    10.82    -2.62     0.36     1.18     9.34     2.85P    7.42R    1.42  
Stoke            5    5   -3      -2.36    23.71    -3.76    67.75    11.85     6.95     2.90     6.73    28.28    12.21P    2.62R    0.47  
Norwich          5    4   -3      -2.40    23.11    -2.15    56.67    11.24    -9.62     0.23     0.71     6.15     1.77P   13.95R    3.41  
Hull             5    4   -4      -2.42    22.84    -3.21    58.47    11.27    -7.81     0.42     1.22     8.26     2.61P   10.79R    2.42  
Preston          5    4   -4      -2.50    21.15    -3.53    59.85    10.79    -4.26     0.34     1.09     9.08     2.82P    7.62R    1.44  
Birmingham       5    3   -2      -2.07    24.00     0.61    44.84    10.08   -23.79     0.00     0.03     0.37     0.08P   49.18R   19.38  
QPR              5    3  -10      -1.95    26.04    -6.71    46.68    10.63   -31.51     0.01     0.04     0.68     0.15P   43.68R   17.08  
Reading          5    2   -3      -3.58    10.77    -0.95    48.74    10.75   -18.44     0.03     0.10     1.22     0.30P   34.67R   11.82  
Ipswich          5    2   -4      -3.95     9.21    -2.62    52.98    10.78   -12.23     0.07     0.26     2.97     0.81P   21.17R    5.56  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          5   15  +11       6.34    98.20     8.20    83.25    11.52    29.32    17.77    38.68    82.08    50.47P    0.16R    0.01  
Sunderland            5   13   +8       3.67    89.25     4.19    90.22    11.86    40.89    41.14    64.48    92.44    73.93P    0.03R    0.00  
Portsmouth            5   13   +6       5.43    96.39     4.92    72.96    10.99    11.52     3.44    10.68    50.58    19.94P    1.18R    0.07  
Walsall               5   13   +5       5.75    97.04     4.42    68.58    10.96     3.87     1.53     5.29    34.72    11.13P    3.17R    0.31  
Barnsley              5   11  +10       1.43    66.91     5.81    86.93    11.72    40.18    28.95    53.48    88.77    66.11P    0.08R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town        5    8   +6       0.41    55.92     4.91    68.22    11.17    11.77     1.57     5.43    35.09    12.60P    3.50R    0.37  
Doncaster             5    8   +3       0.84    61.59     2.47    64.31    10.80     3.35     0.64     2.49    22.05     6.80P    6.51R    0.76  
Accrington_Stanley    5    8   +0       1.77    72.42     0.89    56.59    11.55   -11.95     0.18     0.72     8.61     2.24P   23.75R    5.67  
Gillingham            5    7   +0       0.48    57.32     0.61    60.14    11.06    -4.92     0.28     1.11    13.26     3.58P   14.04R    2.37  
Luton                 5    7   +0       0.92    62.96     1.30    65.28    12.07     2.81     1.20     4.00    27.00     9.33P    8.00R    1.21  
Southend              5    7   +0      -0.13    49.28    -0.41    62.67    11.02    -1.09     0.44     1.82    18.13     5.44P    9.36R    1.29  
Blackpool             5    6   +1      -1.33    33.54     0.25    60.90    10.83    -0.60     0.32     1.29    14.37     4.22P   11.76R    1.63  
Bradford              5    6   -3      -0.60    42.66    -2.65    60.58    10.91    -5.23     0.27     1.19    13.38     3.94P   12.73R    2.00  
Charlton              5    5   -1      -1.58    31.79    -0.60    65.27    10.77     5.22     0.66     2.64    24.63     8.16P    5.63R    0.71  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    5   -2      -0.38    47.36     0.16    55.24    10.54    -9.74     0.07     0.31     5.42     1.29P   25.13R    5.03  
Coventry              5    5   -2      -0.92    40.43    -0.83    50.77    10.97   -16.44     0.02     0.14     2.91     0.69P   41.10R   12.25  
Wycombe               5    5   -3      -0.49    46.09    -1.01    46.71    11.14   -25.98     0.02     0.10     1.63     0.36P   56.82R   22.98  
Scunthorpe            5    5   -7      -1.51    32.51    -6.34    66.18    11.35     0.29     0.96     3.68    27.53     9.68P    5.82R    0.78  
Rochdale              5    4   -7      -1.51    32.94    -4.78    55.84    11.08   -14.09     0.09     0.39     6.68     1.57P   25.10R    5.58  
Bristol_Rovers        5    3   -3      -3.40    12.89    -2.20    53.86    11.00   -11.88     0.07     0.31     4.95     1.23P   30.23R    7.41  
Burton_Albion         5    3   -5      -3.73    11.15    -4.85    54.64    11.54   -11.71     0.11     0.52     6.58     1.89P   29.07R    7.40  
Oxford_Utd            5    3   -8      -2.81    17.70    -6.22    54.10    11.26   -16.93     0.08     0.34     5.54     1.42P   30.74R    7.83  
Shrewsbury            5    2   -3      -4.84     5.08    -3.11    59.21    10.78    -1.20     0.18     0.79    11.04     3.39P   14.94R    2.53  
Plymouth              5    2   -6      -4.31     7.25    -5.13    50.67    10.79   -17.49     0.02     0.12     2.62     0.57P   41.16R   11.79  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      5   13   +7       4.96    95.33     5.20    76.98    10.66    18.85    13.78    37.42    69.79    45.52P    0.07R    0.01  
MK_Dons           5   11   +3       2.62    80.77     0.74    80.78    11.34    23.44    24.41    51.95    79.60    60.14P    0.05R    0.01  
Exeter            5   10   +5       2.20    76.66     3.57    76.60    10.90    20.88    13.72    36.91    68.36    45.34P    0.10R    0.02  
Carlisle          5   10   +1       2.43    78.79    -0.06    70.24    10.81     7.09     4.66    17.54    45.54    24.03P    0.57R    0.16  
Newport_County    5   10   +0       3.33    87.14     0.32    62.14    10.46    -5.86     0.85     4.60    18.65     7.27P    3.00R    0.92  
Colchester        5    8   +7      -0.03    50.03     5.22    72.46    10.67    19.53     6.94    23.80    54.95    32.34P    0.27R    0.05  
Yeovil            5    8   +5       1.67    71.90     5.80    63.03    10.65     3.14     1.21     6.00    22.10     9.22P    2.59R    0.81  
Oldham            5    8   +3      -0.58    42.72     0.33    76.10    11.35    21.03    13.73    35.98    66.53    45.42P    0.14R    0.03  
Stevenage         5    8   +1       0.65    59.45     0.30    63.92    10.79     0.48     1.54     7.16    24.60    10.81P    2.32R    0.75  
Tranmere          5    8   +1       1.72    72.46     1.91    58.45    11.25    -7.46     0.60     3.24    12.99     5.24P    7.52R    2.70  
Swindon           5    8   -1       0.15    52.67    -2.60    68.80    11.04     5.69     3.99    15.17    40.90    21.44P    0.94R    0.23  
Forest_Green      5    7   +3       1.02    64.47     4.34    56.07    10.46    -8.63     0.20     1.50     8.00     2.66P    9.64R    3.54  
Mansfield         5    7   +3      -0.94    38.22     1.38    70.91    10.70    14.67     5.37    19.61    49.01    27.70P    0.42R    0.09  
Crawley_Town      5    7   -1       0.54    57.90    -0.39    57.81    10.58    -9.85     0.38     2.17    10.59     3.74P    7.47R    2.61  
Port_Vale         5    6   +0      -0.42    44.92     0.60    60.57    10.43    -2.19     0.64     3.32    15.48     5.89P    4.01R    1.22  
Northampton       5    5   -1      -2.15    25.26    -1.43    67.61    11.73     8.83     3.92    14.49    37.94    20.74P    1.67R    0.54  
Grimsby           5    5   -2      -0.77    41.62    -0.45    52.07    10.29   -15.53     0.07     0.52     3.80     1.09P   17.36R    6.78  
Crewe             5    4   -2      -1.86    27.86    -0.37    56.96    11.02    -7.94     0.29     2.08    10.30     3.77P    9.12R    3.57  
Bury              5    4   -2      -3.08    15.48    -2.38    66.29    11.49     7.19     2.88    11.35    33.54    17.54P    1.94R    0.61  
Cheltenham        5    4   -2      -2.70    19.44    -1.81    54.88    10.53   -10.34     0.17     1.16     6.61     2.26P   11.54R    4.20  
Cambridge_Utd     5    4   -5      -2.61    20.15    -4.63    57.16    10.60    -9.61     0.32     1.91     9.36     3.53P    8.28R    3.04  
Morecambe         5    3  -10      -1.93    25.99    -7.17    45.95     9.86   -29.79     0.01     0.06     0.75     0.20P   38.16R   19.12  
Macclesfield      5    2   -5      -2.74    17.03    -1.38    39.51    10.32   -35.07     0.00     0.04     0.32     0.09P   63.80R   45.47  
Notts_County      5    1   -8      -5.28     3.22    -7.07    57.20    10.95    -8.55     0.33     2.04    10.31     4.02P    9.04R    3.52  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 August 2018, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Harrogate_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Halifax             7   15   +7       5.05    91.58     6.36    64.01     9.97     0.99     1.61    13.91     3.71P    6.93R    0.33  
Wrexham             7   14   +7       3.74    84.84     5.93    73.65     9.99    16.65     9.73    45.16    18.73P    0.74R    0.02  
AFC_Fylde           7   13   +7       1.18    62.31     3.56    75.70    10.40    21.28    14.50    53.83    24.91P    0.67R    0.01  
Harrogate_Town      7   13   +6       4.45    88.30     7.59    66.42    11.66     6.16     4.48    23.57     8.43P    7.19R    0.53  
Leyton_Orient       7   13   +5       1.76    67.67     2.58    73.68    10.31    16.25    10.48    45.28    19.43P    0.95R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United    7   13   +5       3.51    83.24     5.06    73.40    10.24    15.77     9.51    44.42    18.06P    0.97R    0.03  
Solihull_Moors      7   13   +0       4.49    89.34     1.63    60.64    10.06    -8.61     0.72     7.94     1.86P   13.70R    1.04  
Hartlepool          7   12   +2       1.66    67.38     0.89    65.89    10.16     3.03     2.39    18.78     5.93P    5.13R    0.25  
Sutton_United       7   12   +2       2.01    71.10     1.30    69.13    10.30     7.74     4.71    28.61    10.15P    2.85R    0.12  
Salford_City        7   11   +2       2.49    75.47     3.81    57.33    11.44    -9.70     0.75     6.99     1.94P   25.07R    3.22  
Gateshead           7   11   +2       0.94    60.70     1.23    68.88    10.29     8.93     4.48    28.05    10.10P    3.05R    0.11  
Boreham_Wood        7   11   -1       0.98    61.30    -1.78    66.86     9.98     3.20     2.63    20.85     6.99P    4.08R    0.15  
Barrow              7   10   +0       0.33    54.38    -0.18    59.76    10.17    -5.66     0.60     7.46     1.95P   15.20R    1.07  
Bromley             7    9   +3      -1.69    31.91     1.21    66.77    10.49     9.51     3.32    22.47     7.93P    4.91R    0.26  
Chesterfield        7    9   +1      -2.90    21.29    -2.60    76.75    10.92    23.29    18.74    57.60    31.57P    0.74R    0.01  
Eastleigh           7    9   -2       0.39    55.34    -0.45    59.78    10.38    -6.31     0.73     7.74     2.08P   16.34R    1.33  
Barnet              7    8   -4      -3.61    15.74    -7.08    71.73    10.81    11.50     8.11    38.51    17.69P    2.08R    0.09  
Maidenhead          7    7   -3      -1.85    31.74    -1.77    54.67    10.32   -12.67     0.21     3.06     0.75P   30.81R    3.82  
Maidstone_United    7    7   -4      -1.11    39.29    -1.71    50.72     9.95   -19.40     0.06     1.10     0.20P   46.18R    7.30  
Aldershot           7    7   -6      -2.41    25.60    -5.77    62.40    10.28    -2.59     1.07    11.38     3.53P   10.43R    0.73  
Havant_&_Wville     7    6   -7      -0.58    45.60    -1.76    42.41    10.64   -36.43     0.02     0.33     0.08P   75.81R   28.43  
Dover_Athletic      7    4   -9      -5.46     5.53    -8.83    60.08    10.45    -4.97     0.79     8.24     2.55P   15.38R    1.24  
Braintree_Town      7    2   -7      -5.12     5.76    -2.92    37.92    10.43   -34.45     0.00     0.06     0.02P   85.98R   47.08  
Dag_&_Red           7    1   -6      -8.74     0.38    -6.30    56.25    10.59    -3.49     0.35     4.65     1.40P   24.82R    2.81