Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 26 August 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 August 2018, Fulham 4 2 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         3    9   +7       2.12    82.63     2.04    78.07     9.17    43.38    13.90    36.88    58.96    76.82    95.59     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           3    9   +5       3.09    89.96     2.17    75.75     9.26    36.23     9.09    27.08    47.77    68.11    93.12     0.00R    0.00  
Watford           3    9   +5       4.61    96.93     4.55    48.68     9.23   -11.92     0.00     0.07     0.29     0.98     7.23     5.41R    0.70  
Man_City          3    7   +7       0.06    52.67     1.21    87.65     8.19    69.60    58.26    80.48    91.37    96.67    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       3    7   +3       2.40    85.60     2.31    48.21     9.30   -11.63     0.01     0.08     0.27     0.87     6.62     6.09R    0.78  
Tottenham         2    6   +3       1.54    77.54    -0.20    78.03     9.39    41.12    14.20    36.82    58.27    75.90    95.20     0.00R    0.00  
Leicester         3    6   +2       2.07    80.33     2.38    54.84     9.69     0.99     0.07     0.45     1.60     4.30    21.29     1.58R    0.19  
Everton           3    5   +1       0.53    58.99     0.52    52.07     9.56    -2.81     0.03     0.20     0.81     2.39    14.08     2.81R    0.32  
Man_Utd           2    3   +0      -1.04    26.68    -1.97    70.65     9.40    28.74     3.34    12.39    26.59    45.51    83.63     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal           3    3   -1      -1.32    26.51    -1.41    65.92     9.73    23.70     1.09     5.49    13.72    27.06    67.74     0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    3    3   -1      -0.35    44.64     0.27    45.78     9.25   -11.52     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.42     4.27     9.48R    1.53  
Fulham            3    3   -2      -0.25    44.57     0.15    38.71     9.78   -28.21     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.15     1.27    32.14R    9.58  
Brighton          3    3   -2       0.69    63.73     1.03    42.11     8.93   -17.30     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.11     1.64    17.35R    3.44  
Wolverhampton     3    2   -2      -0.65    41.18     0.70    40.33     9.54   -20.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.12     1.54    24.99R    6.17  
Cardiff           3    2   -2      -1.49    27.92    -1.14    34.99     9.03   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31    45.38R   14.71  
Newcastle         3    1   -2      -2.23    18.18    -0.69    44.45     9.07   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.26     2.91    11.47R    2.07  
Southampton       3    1   -2      -2.99    10.90    -1.80    42.07     8.99   -14.35     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.12     1.60    17.27R    3.53  
Burnley           3    1   -4      -2.94    11.17    -3.81    40.84     8.87   -17.67     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.10     1.14    20.54R    4.45  
Huddersfield      3    1   -8      -1.04    35.30    -3.20    28.03     7.96   -44.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    77.11R   44.95  
West_Ham          3    0   -7      -2.39    10.03    -3.12    39.29     9.36   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     1.09    28.31R    7.57  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 August 2018, Rotherham 1 0 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     5   13  +10       5.54    96.97     8.94    76.52    11.18    21.13    10.19    20.60    57.43    28.71P    0.28R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    5   13   +7       4.22    92.56     4.17    84.85    10.76    30.55    29.36    47.73    82.73    58.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Bolton           5   10   +0       4.60    93.81     2.38    50.48    10.06   -24.51     0.02     0.08     1.23     0.22P   28.41R    7.60  
Aston_Villa      5    9   +3       0.56    55.84     0.61    76.17    11.03    19.80     9.31    19.62    56.15    29.48P    0.26R    0.04  
Blackburn        5    9   +2       1.57    68.19     1.17    65.92    11.68     3.13     1.97     4.98    22.88     9.08P    3.29R    0.56  
Derby            5    9   +1       0.66    57.16    -1.21    73.89    11.16    14.41     6.66    14.62    47.70    23.04P    0.46R    0.06  
Sheff_Utd        5    9   +1       1.96    72.74     0.72    66.43    11.23     2.51     1.78     4.69    23.43     8.47P    2.46R    0.36  
Brentford        5    8   +5       0.42    56.12     3.78    72.31    11.29    17.38     5.47    12.37    42.54    19.52P    0.72R    0.09  
Bristol_City     5    8   +2       0.80    61.01     1.48    66.16    11.25     4.61     1.68     4.48    22.76     8.32P    2.61R    0.41  
Swansea          5    8   +1      -0.26    47.08    -1.03    73.33    11.54    14.88     6.52    14.19    45.68    22.97P    0.72R    0.09  
West_Brom        5    7   +5      -2.08    24.69     1.38    78.91    11.95    29.46    16.05    29.40    64.96    40.61P    0.24R    0.03  
Wigan            5    7   +2      -0.72    41.44     0.69    71.59    11.69    14.93     5.19    11.62    40.61    19.19P    1.13R    0.14  
Nott'm_Forest    5    7   +1       0.70    60.56     1.99    57.04    10.83    -9.08     0.21     0.65     5.85     1.58P   11.91R    2.56  
Sheff_Wed        5    7   -1      -0.00    50.79    -1.15    64.09    11.15     0.26     1.10     3.08    17.53     6.24P    3.99R    0.67  
Rotherham        5    6   -5       1.15    66.03    -1.30    44.36    10.88   -36.41     0.01     0.04     0.54     0.11P   52.37R   24.11  
Millwall         5    5   -1      -1.30    35.17    -0.30    59.99    10.79    -2.71     0.40     1.23     9.35     2.84P    7.42R    1.32  
Stoke            5    5   -3      -2.38    23.61    -3.81    68.12    11.89     7.58     3.01     7.11    29.55    12.89P    2.48R    0.43  
Norwich          5    4   -3      -2.45    22.64    -2.23    56.87    11.14    -9.33     0.21     0.73     6.18     1.78P   13.15R    3.12  
Hull             5    4   -4      -2.45    22.66    -3.24    58.75    11.27    -7.31     0.36     1.16     8.55     2.62P   10.25R    2.31  
Preston          5    4   -4      -2.48    21.23    -3.52    59.88    10.85    -4.24     0.36     1.20     9.31     2.99P    7.53R    1.40  
Birmingham       5    3   -2      -2.04    24.48     0.65    44.69    10.19   -23.93     0.00     0.03     0.35     0.08P   49.59R   19.80  
QPR              5    3  -10      -1.90    26.58    -6.62    46.52    10.59   -31.89     0.01     0.03     0.65     0.13P   44.07R   17.01  
Reading          5    2   -3      -3.58    10.86    -0.94    48.35    10.73   -19.07     0.02     0.08     1.12     0.24P   35.82R   12.37  
Ipswich          5    2   -4      -3.95     9.12    -2.61    53.01    10.81   -12.12     0.09     0.28     2.92     0.80P   20.85R    5.49  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          5   15  +11       6.32    98.17     8.17    83.41    11.43    29.57    18.06    38.95    82.44    50.78P    0.13R    0.01  
Sunderland            5   13   +8       3.67    89.14     4.20    90.18    11.74    40.85    40.47    64.11    92.68    73.75P    0.04R    0.00  
Portsmouth            5   13   +6       5.46    96.36     4.94    72.83    10.93    11.30     3.28    10.12    49.69    19.09P    1.16R    0.08  
Walsall               5   13   +5       5.69    96.86     4.36    68.69    11.09     4.05     1.64     5.38    35.06    11.12P    3.17R    0.31  
Barnsley              5   11  +10       1.37    66.27     5.72    87.14    11.77    40.38    29.65    54.29    88.93    66.41P    0.08R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town        5    8   +6       0.42    55.88     4.90    68.08    11.20    11.56     1.54     5.38    34.59    12.47P    3.60R    0.38  
Doncaster             5    8   +3       0.85    61.91     2.48    64.12    10.85     3.09     0.56     2.38    21.45     6.76P    7.08R    0.85  
Accrington_Stanley    5    8   +0       1.77    72.23     0.91    56.70    11.49   -11.76     0.18     0.74     8.58     2.23P   23.23R    5.24  
Gillingham            5    7   +0       0.47    57.27     0.61    60.04    11.01    -5.06     0.25     1.08    12.94     3.45P   13.99R    2.22  
Luton                 5    7   +0       0.92    62.83     1.28    65.49    12.04     3.14     1.11     4.02    27.52     9.62P    7.77R    1.23  
Southend              5    7   +0      -0.19    48.40    -0.52    63.19    11.09    -0.23     0.57     2.09    19.53     5.90P    8.66R    1.27  
Blackpool             5    6   +1      -1.38    32.99     0.17    61.34    10.80     0.01     0.28     1.32    14.77     4.34P   10.54R    1.56  
Bradford              5    6   -3      -0.58    43.14    -2.62    60.41    10.83    -5.48     0.22     1.06    12.84     3.53P   12.80R    1.93  
Charlton              5    5   -1      -1.63    31.22    -0.67    65.59    10.92     5.61     0.72     2.85    25.53     8.78P    5.49R    0.66  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    5   -2      -0.32    48.48     0.25    54.84    10.46   -10.31     0.05     0.24     4.96     1.15P   26.05R    5.43  
Coventry              5    5   -2      -0.92    40.30    -0.81    50.70    10.90   -16.56     0.03     0.18     2.73     0.73P   41.14R   12.11  
Wycombe               5    5   -3      -0.49    46.38    -0.98    46.51    11.09   -26.28     0.00     0.06     1.38     0.30P   57.16R   23.49  
Scunthorpe            5    5   -7      -1.53    32.42    -6.38    66.31    11.24     0.49     0.89     3.51    28.00     9.75P    5.52R    0.72  
Rochdale              5    4   -7      -1.48    33.31    -4.71    55.52    11.10   -14.63     0.10     0.39     6.44     1.63P   25.95R    5.85  
Bristol_Rovers        5    3   -3      -3.42    12.86    -2.24    54.07    11.03   -11.57     0.06     0.33     5.28     1.37P   29.47R    7.05  
Burton_Albion         5    3   -5      -3.71    11.11    -4.84    54.64    11.39   -11.68     0.09     0.37     6.21     1.68P   28.65R    7.05  
Oxford_Utd            5    3   -8      -2.74    18.05    -6.10    53.62    11.22   -17.61     0.06     0.29     4.87     1.17P   32.18R    8.34  
Shrewsbury            5    2   -3      -4.81     5.01    -3.08    59.29    10.82    -1.09     0.19     0.79    11.20     3.48P   14.73R    2.49  
Plymouth              5    2   -6      -4.26     7.49    -5.03    50.52    10.68   -17.79     0.01     0.09     2.38     0.49P   41.42R   11.72  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      5   13   +7       5.01    95.43     5.28    76.92    10.74    18.70    13.75    37.28    69.69    45.58P    0.08R    0.01  
MK_Dons           5   11   +3       2.60    80.63     0.68    81.13    11.41    23.94    25.49    53.18    80.05    61.34P    0.04R    0.01  
Exeter            5   10   +5       2.17    76.30     3.53    76.91    10.79    21.42    13.81    37.91    69.96    46.55P    0.08R    0.02  
Carlisle          5   10   +1       2.48    79.44    -0.00    70.15    10.81     6.95     4.38    17.06    45.27    23.59P    0.59R    0.14  
Newport_County    5   10   +0       3.30    87.00     0.27    62.38    10.54    -5.54     0.90     4.73    19.55     7.51P    3.05R    0.95  
Colchester        5    8   +7       0.02    50.78     5.28    72.38    10.87    19.42     7.08    24.09    54.65    32.45P    0.33R    0.09  
Yeovil            5    8   +5       1.70    72.32     5.83    62.75    10.67     2.71     1.17     5.66    21.25     8.74P    2.80R    0.87  
Oldham            5    8   +3      -0.56    43.10     0.37    75.90    11.36    20.74    13.24    35.63    65.86    45.15P    0.20R    0.04  
Stevenage         5    8   +1       0.66    59.53     0.30    63.82    10.76     0.35     1.47     6.86    24.37    10.74P    2.25R    0.66  
Tranmere          5    8   +1       1.72    72.51     1.92    58.45    11.14    -7.47     0.58     3.02    12.67     4.91P    7.44R    2.79  
Swindon           5    8   -1       0.13    52.45    -2.60    68.83    11.15     5.79     3.94    15.06    41.05    21.31P    1.04R    0.27  
Forest_Green      5    7   +3       0.96    63.62     4.27    56.32    10.54    -8.31     0.25     1.49     8.44     2.76P    9.32R    3.31  
Mansfield         5    7   +3      -0.95    38.19     1.39    70.49    10.71    14.10     4.95    18.47    47.46    26.42P    0.46R    0.10  
Crawley_Town      5    7   -1       0.56    58.46    -0.37    57.79    10.54    -9.94     0.32     2.04    10.46     3.62P    7.43R    2.59  
Port_Vale         5    6   +0      -0.46    44.34     0.55    60.92    10.56    -1.72     0.66     3.75    16.53     6.44P    3.91R    1.30  
Northampton       5    5   -1      -2.22    24.56    -1.51    67.82    11.72     9.17     4.03    14.76    38.56    21.03P    1.57R    0.44  
Grimsby           5    5   -2      -0.73    42.40    -0.38    51.96    10.28   -15.77     0.06     0.45     3.68     0.95P   17.51R    6.82  
Crewe             5    4   -2      -1.87    27.61    -0.35    56.98    10.82    -7.96     0.24     1.82     9.91     3.45P    8.85R    3.26  
Bury              5    4   -2      -3.06    15.77    -2.36    66.07    11.59     6.94     2.89    11.51    32.98    17.38P    2.03R    0.67  
Cheltenham        5    4   -2      -2.69    19.60    -1.78    54.67    10.54   -10.62     0.15     1.13     6.42     2.19P   11.86R    4.42  
Cambridge_Utd     5    4   -5      -2.62    20.05    -4.65    57.42    10.63    -9.21     0.27     1.97    10.02     3.80P    8.08R    2.96  
Morecambe         5    3  -10      -1.90    26.16    -7.17    46.19     9.99   -29.37     0.01     0.08     0.90     0.20P   37.42R   18.74  
Macclesfield      5    2   -5      -2.75    16.94    -1.41    39.32    10.24   -35.43     0.00     0.03     0.24     0.06P   64.66R   46.13  
Notts_County      5    1   -8      -5.29     3.21    -7.10    56.97    10.91    -8.89     0.36     2.01    10.02     3.85P    9.00R    3.41  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, Barrow 1 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham             6   14   +8       5.00    93.40     6.83    75.93    10.35    18.79    12.81    54.38    23.03P    0.45R    0.02  
AFC_Fylde           6   12   +7       2.07    72.08     4.34    77.53    10.79    23.57    17.81    60.36    29.14P    0.44R    0.02  
Harrogate_Town      6   12   +6       4.38    89.23     6.95    65.28    12.08     3.26     3.54    21.55     7.23P    9.12R    1.13  
Halifax             6   12   +6       3.54    85.10     5.57    62.05    10.37    -0.65     1.13    11.39     3.02P   10.32R    0.84  
Sutton_United       6   12   +3       3.00    80.62     1.81    70.71    10.76     9.02     5.89    34.44    12.32P    2.48R    0.16  
Gateshead           6   11   +3       2.05    72.82     1.88    70.35    10.75     9.91     5.92    33.76    12.59P    2.51R    0.16  
Ebbsfleet_United    6   10   +4       1.98    72.43     4.20    70.75    10.71    13.08     5.88    35.11    13.05P    2.28R    0.12  
Barrow              6   10   +2       1.44    66.99     1.45    62.57    10.53    -1.34     1.19    12.63     3.41P   10.07R    0.92  
Leyton_Orient       6   10   +2       0.79    58.81     0.53    70.46    10.74    10.75     5.98    34.27    13.00P    2.51R    0.15  
Solihull_Moors      6   10   -1       2.87    80.78     0.74    57.90    10.50   -11.41     0.40     5.67     1.29P   20.77R    2.69  
Chesterfield        6    9   +2      -1.66    30.50    -1.80    79.27    11.46    26.18    24.04    65.61    37.73P    0.56R    0.03  
Hartlepool          6    9   +1       0.01    50.33    -0.13    63.47    10.59     0.68     1.60    14.48     4.41P    8.66R    0.71  
Eastleigh           6    9   -1       1.64    69.44     0.39    62.00    10.87    -4.17     1.19    11.97     3.30P   12.05R    1.38  
Salford_City        6    8   +0       1.44    68.10     2.69    53.48    11.74   -15.10     0.37     4.04     1.04P   36.68R    8.18  
Boreham_Wood        6    8   -2      -0.48    45.26    -2.50    64.59    10.34     1.31     1.64    15.96     5.16P    6.64R    0.48  
Maidstone_United    6    7   -3       0.05    52.22    -1.02    52.42    10.36   -17.80     0.09     2.02     0.39P   38.60R    7.40  
Bromley             6    6   -1      -2.16    26.46    -0.86    64.51    10.91     4.60     1.95    17.39     5.73P    8.02R    0.74  
Havant_&_Wville     6    6   -3      -0.44    46.54    -0.00    46.46    11.44   -27.36     0.05     1.20     0.26P   60.93R   20.88  
Barnet              6    5   -5      -4.67     8.01    -7.21    70.15    11.15    10.54     5.92    33.46    14.65P    3.09R    0.16  
Maidenhead          6    4   -5      -3.24    16.95    -3.38    51.65    10.58   -17.16     0.08     1.71     0.39P   41.09R    8.87  
Dover_Athletic      6    4   -6      -4.60     8.12    -6.62    63.22    10.77     0.65     1.44    14.24     4.61P    9.69R    0.97  
Aldershot           6    4   -7      -3.82    12.15    -6.44    60.15    10.50    -4.50     0.64     8.23     2.45P   14.64R    1.65  
Braintree_Town      6    2   -5      -3.93    10.33    -1.20    41.04    11.15   -29.75     0.01     0.32     0.06P   76.65R   39.18  
Dag_&_Red           6    1   -5      -7.95     0.52    -6.19    57.24    10.76    -3.11     0.42     5.81     1.74P   21.76R    3.17