Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 25 August 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, Arsenal 3 1 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         3    9   +7       2.15    82.78     2.22    77.88     9.25    42.41    14.66    38.61    60.50    77.30    95.54     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          3    7   +7       0.05    52.41     1.33    87.43     8.20    67.82    58.84    80.72    91.70    96.94    99.75     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth       3    7   +3       2.43    85.82     2.36    48.31     9.22   -10.92     0.02     0.08     0.29     1.02     7.06     5.64R    0.77  
Chelsea           2    6   +4       1.92    81.52     1.89    73.93     9.59    34.27     7.51    23.10    42.30    62.66    89.90     0.01R    0.00  
Watford           2    6   +4       3.25    93.72     3.95    46.87     9.38   -12.73     0.00     0.04     0.19     0.77     5.70     7.90R    1.21  
Tottenham         2    6   +3       1.55    77.65    -0.11    77.68     9.33    39.79    13.94    37.26    59.24    76.56    95.22     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         3    6   +2       2.06    80.01     2.35    54.77     9.59     1.10     0.11     0.58     1.75     4.58    21.32     1.36R    0.14  
Everton           3    5   +1       0.51    58.83     0.47    51.90     9.42    -2.83     0.02     0.26     0.83     2.47    13.70     2.58R    0.32  
Man_Utd           2    3   +0      -1.04    26.50    -1.94    70.48     9.37    27.99     3.64    13.06    27.74    46.87    83.52     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +0       0.75    63.37     0.82    46.89     9.36   -10.51     0.00     0.05     0.23     0.71     5.65     7.67R    1.11  
Arsenal           3    3   -1      -1.32    26.61    -1.42    66.01     9.66    23.50     1.26     6.20    14.94    28.84    68.95     0.09R    0.00  
Brighton          3    3   -2       0.67    63.59     0.92    41.92     8.96   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.63    17.70R    3.39  
Wolverhampton     3    2   -2      -0.63    41.57     0.70    40.43     9.55   -19.32     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.18     1.57    23.82R    5.96  
Cardiff           3    2   -2      -1.52    27.48    -1.21    35.03     8.92   -27.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.34    44.46R   13.79  
Newcastle         2    1   -1      -1.29    29.82    -0.35    45.53     9.31    -9.52     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.45     4.22     9.68R    1.60  
Southampton       3    1   -2      -2.92    11.16    -1.73    42.13     8.99   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     1.78    16.47R    3.33  
Burnley           2    1   -2      -1.76    21.21    -2.10    43.32     9.04   -12.94     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.22     2.52    13.38R    2.40  
Huddersfield      3    1   -8      -0.99    36.33    -3.27    28.13     7.92   -43.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    76.59R   42.08  
Fulham            2    0   -4      -1.66    15.95    -1.59    35.21     9.82   -32.15     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.63    45.33R   16.93  
West_Ham          3    0   -7      -2.40     9.94    -3.29    39.36     9.30   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.98    27.33R    6.96  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, Aston_Villa 1 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     5   13  +10       5.50    96.93     8.88    76.25    11.33    20.68     9.83    20.32    55.49    27.77P    0.24R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    5   13   +7       4.25    92.76     4.20    84.97    10.70    30.81    29.47    47.64    82.77    58.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Bolton           5   10   +0       4.62    93.94     2.40    50.49    10.05   -24.59     0.03     0.08     1.23     0.20P   27.27R    6.53  
Aston_Villa      5    9   +3       0.55    55.76     0.59    76.44    11.11    20.25     9.59    20.00    56.10    30.16P    0.18R    0.02  
Blackburn        5    9   +2       1.63    69.24     1.26    65.77    11.69     2.92     1.85     4.75    22.01     8.51P    3.11R    0.46  
Derby            5    9   +1       0.67    57.29    -1.19    74.08    11.23    14.81     6.75    14.63    47.77    23.11P    0.49R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        5    9   +1       1.97    72.96     0.74    66.53    11.28     2.61     1.86     4.81    23.28     8.59P    2.33R    0.30  
Brentford        5    8   +5       0.32    54.92     3.59    72.47    11.40    17.71     5.64    12.54    42.56    20.00P    0.68R    0.05  
Bristol_City     5    8   +2       0.81    61.17     1.50    66.22    11.32     4.66     1.76     4.59    23.00     8.54P    2.50R    0.35  
Swansea          5    8   +1      -0.23    47.29    -1.01    73.41    11.63    15.03     6.60    14.36    45.27    22.89P    0.68R    0.08  
West_Brom        5    7   +5      -2.04    25.24     1.43    78.67    11.73    29.10    14.92    27.87    64.01    39.27P    0.19R    0.02  
Wigan            5    7   +2      -0.73    41.42     0.67    71.73    11.84    15.18     5.61    12.27    40.37    19.37P    0.98R    0.13  
Nott'm_Forest    5    7   +1       0.67    60.27     1.96    57.17    10.86    -8.82     0.19     0.65     5.89     1.52P   11.22R    2.12  
Sheff_Wed        5    7   -1       0.00    50.84    -1.15    64.48    11.05     0.86     1.15     3.08    17.71     6.18P    3.32R    0.49  
Millwall         4    5   +0       0.19    55.05     0.91    63.10    11.20     0.90     0.80     2.38    15.34     4.95P    4.60R    0.69  
Stoke            5    5   -3      -2.31    24.38    -3.69    67.80    11.89     7.15     2.80     6.53    27.88    12.30P    2.38R    0.35  
Norwich          5    4   -3      -2.43    22.83    -2.19    56.88    11.23    -9.26     0.26     0.76     6.21     1.79P   12.85R    2.69  
Hull             5    4   -4      -2.51    22.21    -3.35    58.60    11.30    -7.56     0.39     1.12     8.21     2.49P   10.15R    2.10  
Preston          5    4   -4      -2.53    20.82    -3.60    60.34    10.87    -3.61     0.42     1.24     9.58     3.03P    6.66R    1.15  
Birmingham       5    3   -2      -2.07    24.08     0.61    44.67    10.13   -24.12     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.08P   48.23R   17.42  
Rotherham        4    3   -6      -0.53    43.23    -2.28    40.76    11.26   -41.54     0.01     0.03     0.36     0.07P   64.11R   34.45  
QPR              5    3  -10      -1.95    26.15    -6.69    46.81    10.68   -31.47     0.01     0.04     0.73     0.15P   41.91R   14.44  
Reading          5    2   -3      -3.58    10.93    -0.91    48.28    10.78   -19.31     0.02     0.09     1.13     0.28P   35.31R   11.17  
Ipswich          5    2   -4      -4.01     8.82    -2.69    52.87    10.89   -12.40     0.05     0.22     2.74     0.72P   20.58R    4.93  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          5   15  +11       6.31    98.16     8.14    83.47    11.37    29.71    18.51    39.66    82.96    51.38P    0.15R    0.02  
Sunderland            5   13   +8       3.75    89.47     4.30    89.90    11.77    40.34    39.98    63.53    92.23    73.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Portsmouth            5   13   +6       5.46    96.41     4.96    72.79    11.00    11.19     3.43    10.38    49.63    19.16P    1.30R    0.10  
Walsall               5   13   +5       5.72    96.94     4.37    68.58    11.04     3.87     1.72     5.47    34.32    11.18P    3.21R    0.31  
Barnsley              5   11  +10       1.40    66.59     5.78    86.91    11.70    40.15    29.37    53.48    88.66    66.23P    0.05R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town        5    8   +6       0.40    55.69     4.87    68.29    11.05    11.91     1.58     5.39    35.00    12.59P    3.28R    0.36  
Doncaster             5    8   +3       0.86    62.04     2.51    64.16    10.71     3.11     0.57     2.31    21.44     6.63P    6.43R    0.81  
Accrington_Stanley    5    8   +0       1.79    72.79     0.94    56.46    11.39   -12.06     0.19     0.77     8.14     2.15P   23.81R    5.26  
Gillingham            5    7   +0       0.45    57.16     0.57    60.15    11.02    -4.91     0.27     1.12    13.06     3.53P   14.00R    2.32  
Luton                 5    7   +0       0.92    62.89     1.29    65.15    12.11     2.64     1.09     3.90    26.56     9.23P    8.31R    1.36  
Southend              5    7   +0      -0.17    48.51    -0.48    62.91    11.07    -0.70     0.50     2.04    18.97     5.80P    9.09R    1.33  
Blackpool             5    6   +1      -1.38    32.79     0.18    61.41    10.88     0.09     0.31     1.42    15.65     4.79P   10.78R    1.62  
Bradford              5    6   -3      -0.58    43.09    -2.62    60.40    10.96    -5.47     0.24     1.18    13.36     3.70P   13.35R    2.12  
Charlton              5    5   -1      -1.62    31.24    -0.66    65.62    10.89     5.65     0.69     2.88    25.88     8.69P    5.46R    0.60  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    5   -2      -0.34    48.19     0.22    54.97    10.52   -10.16     0.04     0.25     5.20     1.17P   25.87R    5.41  
Coventry              5    5   -2      -0.94    40.08    -0.85    50.89    10.87   -16.24     0.03     0.14     2.75     0.62P   40.59R   11.86  
Wycombe               5    5   -3      -0.50    46.19    -1.02    46.93    11.07   -25.56     0.02     0.06     1.55     0.34P   56.04R   22.15  
Scunthorpe            5    5   -7      -1.52    32.35    -6.35    66.33    11.19     0.48     0.96     3.55    27.82     9.45P    5.49R    0.71  
Rochdale              5    4   -7      -1.49    33.22    -4.72    55.62    11.03   -14.50     0.08     0.38     6.47     1.55P   25.68R    5.94  
Bristol_Rovers        5    3   -3      -3.42    12.81    -2.23    53.96    11.05   -11.67     0.06     0.30     5.01     1.28P   30.10R    7.47  
Burton_Albion         5    3   -5      -3.71    11.32    -4.83    54.50    11.48   -11.95     0.11     0.48     6.20     1.86P   29.31R    7.67  
Oxford_Utd            5    3   -8      -2.79    17.70    -6.18    53.96    11.12   -17.17     0.06     0.27     5.08     1.28P   31.02R    7.72  
Shrewsbury            5    2   -3      -4.86     4.90    -3.13    59.40    10.85    -0.89     0.18     0.91    11.59     3.59P   14.59R    2.54  
Plymouth              5    2   -6      -4.27     7.43    -5.04    50.44    10.72   -17.84     0.02     0.12     2.47     0.56P   42.04R   12.31  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City      5   13   +7       4.99    95.40     5.29    76.82    10.73    18.59    13.62    37.03    68.97    44.85P    0.08R    0.02  
MK_Dons           5   11   +3       2.59    80.51     0.67    81.26    11.23    24.15    25.54    53.41    80.70    61.66P    0.04R    0.01  
Exeter            5   10   +5       2.22    76.88     3.62    76.64    10.85    20.96    13.45    36.96    68.86    45.51P    0.11R    0.02  
Carlisle          5   10   +1       2.44    78.85    -0.06    70.39    10.80     7.35     4.97    17.74    45.60    24.29P    0.58R    0.16  
Newport_County    5   10   +0       3.30    87.10     0.27    62.41    10.53    -5.49     0.91     4.72    19.32     7.62P    3.06R    0.94  
Colchester        5    8   +7       0.00    50.29     5.26    72.57    10.70    19.69     7.12    24.10    55.62    32.70P    0.25R    0.08  
Yeovil            5    8   +5       1.66    71.91     5.78    63.14    10.74     3.29     1.22     6.05    22.60     9.38P    2.68R    0.90  
Oldham            5    8   +3      -0.57    42.88     0.35    76.15    11.31    21.12    13.30    36.14    66.73    45.56P    0.16R    0.04  
Stevenage         5    8   +1       0.68    59.72     0.35    63.75    10.79     0.17     1.41     6.71    24.28    10.52P    2.48R    0.82  
Tranmere          5    8   +1       1.70    72.40     1.90    58.42    11.17    -7.58     0.53     2.97    12.83     4.99P    7.50R    2.78  
Swindon           5    8   -1       0.17    52.84    -2.55    68.47    11.08     5.18     3.87    14.50    39.30    20.41P    1.05R    0.28  
Forest_Green      5    7   +3       0.99    64.04     4.31    56.07    10.57    -8.69     0.23     1.55     8.20     2.75P    9.74R    3.57  
Mansfield         5    7   +3      -0.94    38.27     1.38    70.67    10.68    14.37     4.98    18.88    48.24    26.85P    0.45R    0.09  
Crawley_Town      5    7   -1       0.55    58.08    -0.40    57.57    10.65   -10.30     0.31     2.05    10.29     3.62P    7.76R    2.82  
Port_Vale         5    6   +0      -0.40    45.24     0.62    60.63    10.49    -2.11     0.64     3.51    15.80     6.19P    4.01R    1.26  
Northampton       5    5   -1      -2.17    25.09    -1.45    67.65    11.71     8.87     3.91    14.46    38.06    20.78P    1.60R    0.54  
Grimsby           5    5   -2      -0.75    42.12    -0.40    51.88    10.23   -15.82     0.07     0.43     3.39     0.94P   17.54R    6.75  
Crewe             5    4   -2      -1.88    27.75    -0.39    57.08    10.95    -7.74     0.30     2.14    10.35     3.91P    8.73R    3.32  
Bury              5    4   -2      -3.07    15.73    -2.37    66.02    11.69     6.81     2.79    11.33    33.02    17.35P    2.28R    0.80  
Cheltenham        5    4   -2      -2.67    19.74    -1.77    54.65    10.53   -10.65     0.17     1.11     6.44     2.19P   11.70R    4.35  
Cambridge_Utd     5    4   -5      -2.64    19.77    -4.67    57.36    10.56    -9.28     0.29     1.87     9.63     3.45P    7.99R    2.88  
Morecambe         5    3  -10      -1.94    25.75    -7.20    46.07     9.94   -29.60     0.01     0.09     0.87     0.23P   37.95R   18.81  
Macclesfield      5    2   -5      -2.76    16.84    -1.43    39.58    10.45   -34.95     0.01     0.04     0.32     0.07P   63.53R   45.43  
Notts_County      5    1   -8      -5.27     3.19    -7.11    57.29    11.02    -8.34     0.35     2.21    10.58     4.17P    8.73R    3.33  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 August 2018, Barrow 1 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham             6   14   +8       4.95    93.19     6.75    76.22    10.30    19.24    12.98    54.57    23.49P    0.43R    0.04  
AFC_Fylde           6   12   +7       2.07    72.13     4.29    77.69    10.77    23.86    17.76    60.71    29.46P    0.43R    0.02  
Harrogate_Town      6   12   +6       4.38    89.32     6.96    65.06    12.28     2.99     3.72    21.21     7.30P    9.75R    1.17  
Halifax             6   12   +6       3.53    84.83     5.54    61.94    10.34    -0.85     0.99    11.01     2.78P   10.23R    0.87  
Sutton_United       6   12   +3       2.98    80.53     1.75    70.97    10.67     9.39     5.75    35.04    12.43P    2.13R    0.08  
Gateshead           6   11   +3       2.04    72.76     1.86    70.42    10.75    10.06     5.63    33.25    12.02P    2.30R    0.13  
Ebbsfleet_United    6   10   +4       1.93    72.06     4.16    71.14    10.63    13.66     6.03    35.76    13.09P    2.06R    0.10  
Barrow              6   10   +2       1.46    67.25     1.48    62.29    10.64    -1.80     1.15    12.14     3.29P   10.58R    0.88  
Leyton_Orient       6   10   +2       0.72    58.39     0.46    70.93    10.75    11.40     5.97    35.35    13.32P    2.21R    0.14  
Solihull_Moors      6   10   -1       2.85    80.75     0.76    57.98    10.40   -11.29     0.39     5.48     1.24P   20.08R    2.48  
Chesterfield        6    9   +2      -1.71    30.06    -1.86    79.52    11.44    26.58    24.41    66.25    38.10P    0.50R    0.02  
Hartlepool          6    9   +1       0.01    50.20    -0.14    63.55    10.61     0.76     1.55    14.49     4.50P    8.25R    0.69  
Eastleigh           6    9   -1       1.67    69.53     0.42    62.01    10.94    -4.22     1.21    11.84     3.19P   12.13R    1.34  
Salford_City        6    8   +0       1.46    68.49     2.70    53.35    11.70   -15.23     0.36     3.94     1.03P   36.59R    8.08  
Boreham_Wood        6    8   -2      -0.46    45.42    -2.51    64.66    10.37     1.40     1.64    15.84     4.93P    6.62R    0.50  
Maidstone_United    6    7   -3       0.05    52.41    -1.01    52.36    10.28   -17.81     0.08     1.83     0.41P   37.94R    7.07  
Bromley             6    6   -1      -2.16    26.48    -0.85    64.35    10.92     4.32     1.86    16.79     5.36P    8.16R    0.78  
Havant_&_Wville     6    6   -3      -0.43    46.51     0.04    46.10    11.51   -28.19     0.07     1.02     0.21P   61.52R   21.90  
Barnet              6    5   -5      -4.68     7.94    -7.22    70.26    11.20    10.71     5.97    33.65    14.86P    3.04R    0.21  
Maidenhead          6    4   -5      -3.21    17.33    -3.33    51.58    10.65   -17.28     0.09     1.91     0.42P   41.08R    8.40  
Dover_Athletic      6    4   -6      -4.52     8.51    -6.50    62.88    10.87     0.12     1.29    13.47     4.29P   10.06R    1.00  
Aldershot           6    4   -7      -3.78    12.54    -6.40    60.05    10.57    -4.75     0.65     8.01     2.41P   14.91R    1.62  
Braintree_Town      6    2   -5      -3.91    10.16    -1.16    40.78    11.04   -30.08     0.01     0.28     0.05P   77.21R   39.22  
Dag_&_Red           6    1   -5      -7.97     0.57    -6.20    57.36    10.93    -2.98     0.45     6.16     1.82P   21.77R    3.28