Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 24 August 2018 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 August 2018, Crystal_Palace 0 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          2    6   +7       1.34    74.90     2.68    90.23     8.33    74.73    67.15    86.67    94.74    98.04    99.82     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         2    6   +6       1.52    76.69     2.79    78.36     9.42    46.40    12.68    38.36    61.14    78.13    95.75     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           2    6   +4       1.91    81.38     1.84    74.17     9.51    34.97     5.56    21.44    41.32    62.57    90.53     0.00     0.00  
Watford           2    6   +4       3.22    93.57     3.91    46.81     9.45   -13.48     0.00     0.05     0.21     0.79     5.75     8.21R    1.26  
Tottenham         2    6   +3       1.54    77.48    -0.16    77.96     9.32    40.99    11.11    35.73    58.85    76.97    95.49     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth       2    6   +3       2.91    91.02     2.51    48.64     9.62   -11.38     0.02     0.12     0.42     1.33     8.34     5.98R    0.86  
Everton           2    4   +1       0.78    68.28     0.31    52.23     9.80    -3.12     0.02     0.24     1.00     2.96    15.23     2.95R    0.35  
Leicester         2    3   +1       0.36    55.46     1.25    52.57     9.94    -1.25     0.04     0.29     1.13     3.13    16.63     2.84R    0.39  
Man_Utd           2    3   +0      -1.06    26.05    -2.01    70.54     9.40    28.43     2.56    11.75    26.68    46.24    83.69     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +0       0.78    64.15     0.90    47.02     9.48   -10.67     0.01     0.05     0.20     0.66     5.96     7.68R    1.20  
Brighton          2    3   -1       1.12    71.53     0.25    41.87     9.06   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     1.85    18.21R    3.49  
Newcastle         2    1   -1      -1.29    30.12    -0.32    45.70     9.37    -9.64     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.52     4.43     9.30R    1.53  
Southampton       2    1   -1      -1.57    24.68    -0.74    44.40     9.33   -11.88     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.41     3.40    11.95R    2.14  
Wolverhampton     2    1   -2      -1.07    36.12    -0.87    38.24     9.65   -25.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.08    32.23R    9.09  
Burnley           2    1   -2      -1.75    21.52    -2.09    43.46     9.13   -13.12     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.26     2.56    13.58R    2.38  
Cardiff           2    1   -2      -1.19    32.86    -1.18    35.41     9.36   -28.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.53    43.40R   14.38  
Arsenal           2    0   -3      -1.96    14.31    -1.56    65.56     9.99    23.98     0.84     5.24    13.89    27.42    66.67     0.12R    0.01  
Fulham            2    0   -4      -1.66    15.84    -1.58    35.53     9.94   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.76    43.90R   15.84  
West_Ham          2    0   -5      -1.89    13.46    -2.97    40.19     9.54   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     1.50    24.96R    6.19  
Huddersfield      2    0   -8      -0.64    32.49    -2.97    28.39     8.29   -45.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    74.68R   40.89  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 August 2018, Middlesbrough 1 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough    5   13   +7       4.15    92.30     4.02    84.80    10.84    30.76    26.53    44.41    81.50    55.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     4   10   +7       4.16    94.62     6.35    72.33    11.64    14.05     5.10    11.34    40.86    17.35P    0.81R    0.10  
Bolton           4   10   +3       5.51    98.21     4.68    53.47    10.57   -19.36     0.07     0.24     2.60     0.47P   18.49R    3.77  
Brentford        4    8   +6       1.56    71.75     4.33    75.24    11.68    21.05     8.18    17.15    51.48    25.58P    0.42R    0.04  
Aston_Villa      4    8   +3       1.57    70.88     1.59    78.61    11.32    23.29    12.07    24.24    62.89    34.90P    0.18R    0.01  
Swansea          4    8   +2       1.24    67.06     0.13    76.85    12.16    19.36    10.81    21.30    56.10    31.03P    0.40R    0.02  
West_Brom        5    7   +5      -2.00    25.61     1.47    79.24    11.72    30.21    14.86    28.22    65.29    40.07P    0.20R    0.01  
Wigan            4    7   +3       0.84    62.84     1.97    75.45    12.39    20.14     9.46    18.94    51.94    27.63P    0.64R    0.08  
Blackburn        4    6   +1       0.08    50.27     0.35    63.34    12.13     0.34     1.31     3.27    17.29     6.41P    5.33R    0.92  
Nott'm_Forest    4    6   +1       1.37    69.26     2.45    58.20    11.13    -7.95     0.25     0.80     7.23     1.84P    9.81R    1.75  
Derby            4    6   -1      -0.57    40.48    -2.65    71.64    11.46    11.53     4.24     9.95    38.25    16.94P    0.81R    0.10  
Sheff_Utd        4    6   -2       0.81    60.98    -1.53    63.02    11.49    -3.63     0.84     2.49    14.93     4.93P    4.78R    0.73  
Bristol_City     4    5   +1      -1.03    36.51     0.17    63.01    11.54     0.87     0.87     2.55    15.57     5.18P    4.73R    0.70  
Millwall         4    5   +0       0.17    54.50     0.92    62.65    11.17    -0.02     0.67     1.99    13.90     4.45P    4.59R    0.60  
Norwich          4    4   +0      -1.37    33.40     0.28    60.90    11.57    -2.16     0.54     1.64    11.56     3.59P    7.01R    1.33  
Hull             4    4   -2      -1.63    30.14    -2.14    60.84    11.68    -4.44     0.64     1.74    11.79     3.71P    7.25R    1.27  
Sheff_Wed        4    4   -2      -1.18    35.66    -1.43    62.82    11.40    -0.27     0.77     2.30    14.52     4.94P    5.02R    0.79  
Preston          4    4   -2      -1.59    29.27    -2.21    62.43    11.09    -0.66     0.60     1.86    13.16     4.38P    4.64R    0.69  
Rotherham        4    3   -6      -0.53    43.12    -2.19    41.07    11.24   -41.82     0.00     0.02     0.31     0.05P   62.37R   30.80  
Birmingham       4    2   -2      -1.91    24.51     0.34    44.66    10.42   -25.00     0.00     0.02     0.38     0.08P   47.83R   16.47  
Ipswich          4    2   -3      -3.00    13.81    -2.26    54.37    11.16   -11.36     0.10     0.38     3.83     0.98P   16.90R    3.76  
Stoke            4    2   -5      -3.44    11.25    -4.90    65.78    12.46     4.50     2.07     5.10    23.29     9.87P    4.14R    0.76  
Reading          4    1   -3      -3.73     8.32    -1.75    47.10    11.03   -22.53     0.01     0.05     0.96     0.22P   39.24R   12.69  
QPR              4    0  -11      -3.84     4.24    -7.99    43.22    10.96   -36.87     0.00     0.02     0.36     0.07P   54.42R   22.60  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 August 2018, Gillingham 1 4 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough          4   12   +7       5.47    97.50     5.38    79.22    11.56    21.42    11.48    27.27    71.19    38.63P    0.42R    0.03  
Portsmouth            4   12   +6       5.83    98.20     4.96    73.38    11.32    11.58     4.57    12.94    51.24    21.58P    1.33R    0.12  
Barnsley              4   10  +10       2.17    79.36     6.41    88.00    11.87    41.09    35.21    59.48    89.81    70.12P    0.06R    0.00  
Sunderland            4   10   +7       2.68    83.99     4.16    88.68    12.04    39.97    38.03    61.52    90.39    71.53P    0.05R    0.00  
Walsall               4   10   +4       4.36    94.56     3.75    66.70    11.22     2.51     1.43     4.63    29.03     9.71P    5.10R    0.48  
Fleetwood_Town        4    7   +6       0.74    60.90     4.84    68.65    11.39    11.91     2.24     6.90    36.33    14.18P    3.52R    0.36  
Doncaster             4    7   +3       1.15    66.87     2.41    64.48    11.15     3.06     0.84     3.18    22.96     7.57P    7.10R    0.85  
Accrington_Stanley    4    7   +0       1.98    76.60     0.70    56.32    11.85   -12.82     0.25     0.94     8.95     2.49P   25.69R    5.66  
Gillingham            4    6   +0       0.97    63.65     0.77    61.16    11.25    -3.81     0.43     1.66    15.32     4.38P   12.77R    2.07  
Bradford              4    6   -2       1.06    65.24    -1.25    63.16    11.09    -2.34     0.64     2.32    19.19     6.20P    9.11R    1.19  
Blackpool             4    5   +1      -0.89    38.51     0.35    62.10    11.04     0.64     0.40     1.85    17.20     5.47P   10.35R    1.42  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    5   -1       0.43    59.02     0.29    55.79    10.70    -9.87     0.07     0.39     6.14     1.45P   24.33R    4.47  
Southend              4    4   -1      -1.56    30.46    -1.13    61.24    11.38    -1.82     0.47     1.85    15.91     5.17P   12.96R    2.01  
Charlton              4    4   -1      -1.29    33.28    -0.71    65.91    11.10     5.54     1.03     3.75    27.05     9.81P    5.66R    0.60  
Luton                 4    4   -1      -0.70    42.69     0.27    62.08    12.04    -0.29     0.69     2.60    19.05     6.45P   12.84R    2.13  
Coventry              4    4   -2      -0.66    42.65    -0.97    50.69    11.17   -17.02     0.05     0.22     3.05     0.79P   42.35R   11.84  
Rochdale              4    4   -6      -0.31    48.58    -4.11    57.51    11.34   -12.51     0.21     0.83     9.16     2.39P   21.61R    4.07  
Scunthorpe            4    4   -7      -1.50    31.03    -6.94    65.49    11.45    -1.30     1.03     3.80    25.68     9.25P    7.01R    0.88  
Bristol_Rovers        4    3   -2      -2.32    19.96    -1.65    55.84    11.29    -9.97     0.11     0.59     7.44     1.99P   25.56R    5.35  
Burton_Albion         4    3   -3      -2.41    19.03    -2.96    57.80    11.76    -6.77     0.28     1.18    10.62     3.51P   20.88R    4.21  
Plymouth              4    2   -2      -3.65     8.97    -2.26    54.01    10.95   -10.07     0.07     0.34     5.06     1.30P   29.80R    6.20  
Shrewsbury            4    2   -2      -3.52     9.55    -2.16    61.49    10.86     1.32     0.43     1.58    15.46     5.15P   10.89R    1.48  
Wycombe               4    2   -4      -2.23    21.78    -2.16    43.87    11.16   -28.49     0.01     0.04     0.96     0.19P   66.69R   31.24  
Oxford_Utd            4    0  -10      -4.30     2.84    -7.98    50.35    11.31   -21.98     0.04     0.15     2.81     0.68P   43.92R   13.34  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 August 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 2 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter            4   10   +6       3.14    88.20     3.94    78.61    11.22    23.09    17.24    42.62    73.42    50.95P    0.08R    0.01  
Lincoln_City      4   10   +5       3.94    92.86     4.15    75.01    11.01    16.28     9.61    29.58    61.94    37.59P    0.18R    0.05  
Colchester        4    8   +8       1.62    72.81     6.63    75.95    11.09    23.72    12.05    34.10    65.96    42.87P    0.14R    0.04  
Stevenage         4    8   +3       1.63    72.45     1.70    66.40    11.23     4.01     2.50    10.42    31.84    15.19P    1.56R    0.47  
MK_Dons           4    8   +2       1.29    68.23     0.14    80.46    11.78    24.67    22.77    49.25    77.13    57.96P    0.07R    0.02  
Carlisle          4    7   +0       1.29    69.13    -0.29    69.17    11.26     6.90     4.00    15.02    41.05    21.15P    0.89R    0.23  
Swindon           4    7   -1       0.45    58.24    -2.77    68.89    11.53     5.20     4.24    15.20    40.18    21.21P    0.99R    0.26  
Newport_County    4    7   -1       2.15    80.18    -0.00    61.00    10.94    -6.46     0.71     3.93    16.59     6.33P    4.35R    1.36  
Forest_Green      4    6   +3       1.40    69.50     4.37    56.69    10.94    -8.62     0.30     1.85     9.39     3.16P    8.92R    3.28  
Mansfield         4    6   +3      -0.33    44.26     1.75    72.17    11.09    16.07     6.61    22.23    52.49    30.44P    0.39R    0.13  
Port_Vale         4    6   +1       0.71    60.00     1.30    62.89    10.98     0.02     1.22     5.81    21.33     9.15P    2.87R    0.85  
Yeovil            4    5   +3       0.43    58.63     4.39    60.51    11.10    -0.49     0.71     3.95    16.43     6.40P    4.66R    1.56  
Oldham            4    5   +1      -1.84    25.31    -1.14    73.66    11.91    17.84     9.49    28.17    57.10    36.77P    0.41R    0.10  
Tranmere          4    5   +0       0.31    56.60     1.30    56.10    11.53   -10.06     0.38     2.09     9.59     3.58P   10.92R    4.34  
Grimsby           4    5   -1       0.17    54.72     0.01    53.13    10.52   -15.43     0.10     0.68     4.48     1.40P   14.52R    5.47  
Crewe             4    4   -1      -0.93    38.70    -0.04    58.19    11.32    -7.52     0.45     2.72    12.36     4.56P    7.84R    2.96  
Bury              4    4   -1      -1.86    25.42    -1.61    68.23    11.79     9.11     3.79    14.52    38.92    21.11P    1.33R    0.36  
Crawley_Town      4    4   -2      -0.97    38.51    -1.21    55.42    10.82   -12.01     0.23     1.38     7.36     2.60P   10.78R    3.96  
Cambridge_Utd     4    4   -4      -0.98    38.20    -3.23    60.17    11.12    -6.38     0.68     3.48    15.38     5.96P    5.41R    1.88  
Morecambe         4    3   -8      -1.01    35.98    -5.77    48.19    10.35   -26.65     0.01     0.18     1.57     0.38P   28.94R   13.04  
Northampton       4    2   -2      -3.99     7.39    -2.73    64.31    12.05     5.10     2.26     9.02    27.82    14.14P    3.33R    1.09  
Cheltenham        4    1   -3      -4.57     4.46    -3.14    51.42    10.81   -14.62     0.10     0.62     3.77     1.30P   18.76R    7.54  
Macclesfield      4    1   -5      -2.70    15.19    -1.81    38.48    10.75   -37.92     0.00     0.04     0.34     0.08P   66.00R   48.59  
Notts_County      4    1   -6      -4.46     4.82    -5.95    59.02    11.26    -5.88     0.57     3.16    13.55     5.72P    6.66R    2.39  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 August 2018, AFC_Fylde 4 0 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham             5   13   +8       5.66    97.13     7.26    76.67    10.43    19.35    12.30    56.62    23.56P    0.45R    0.02  
Halifax             5   12   +7       4.58    92.46     6.17    63.42    10.53     0.45     1.22    13.81     3.51P    8.52R    0.66  
AFC_Fylde           5   11   +7       2.41    78.09     4.25    78.21    11.21    24.20    17.75    61.93    29.61P    0.53R    0.03  
Sutton_United       5   11   +3       3.34    86.41     1.75    71.06    10.97     8.92     5.68    35.77    12.52P    2.31R    0.19  
Gateshead           5   10   +3       2.54    79.64     2.02    71.29    10.99    10.78     6.21    36.70    13.36P    2.19R    0.18  
Solihull_Moors      5   10   +1       3.81    89.63     2.08    59.95    10.55    -8.22     0.65     7.95     1.81P   15.46R    1.78  
Harrogate_Town      5    9   +4       3.30    85.01     5.73    61.67    12.40    -1.67     1.82    14.54     4.43P   15.65R    2.51  
Chesterfield        5    9   +3      -0.18    45.91    -0.73    82.96    11.54    31.07    33.28    76.04    47.72P    0.25R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient       5    9   +2       0.95    61.05     0.24    70.56    10.85    10.35     5.37    34.12    12.63P    2.34R    0.14  
Ebbsfleet_United    5    7   +2       0.71    60.27     2.71    68.22    10.78     9.84     3.16    26.55     8.67P    3.72R    0.28  
Barrow              5    7   +1       0.44    56.96     1.38    61.45    10.90    -1.70     0.91    11.20     2.94P   12.46R    1.31  
Salford_City        5    7   +0       1.78    73.46     2.69    53.81    12.14   -15.46     0.28     4.75     1.09P   36.05R    8.57  
Maidstone_United    5    7   -2       1.07    65.01    -0.61    54.09    10.52   -16.03     0.15     2.79     0.60P   32.32R    5.72  
Hartlepool          5    6   +0      -1.78    28.42    -1.42    60.43    10.80    -2.53     0.77     9.49     2.64P   14.26R    1.63  
Eastleigh           5    6   -2      -0.20    47.90    -0.98    58.58    10.96    -8.09     0.49     7.10     1.73P   19.29R    2.92  
Bromley             5    5   -1      -2.10    25.92    -1.30    63.89    10.97     3.14     1.50    16.20     4.91P    8.79R    0.95  
Havant_&_Wville     5    5   -3       0.04    53.90     0.26    47.29    12.14   -27.04     0.12     1.84     0.42P   57.63R   20.49  
Boreham_Wood        5    5   -3      -1.72    29.51    -3.01    63.12    10.53     0.59     1.05    13.23     3.85P    9.07R    0.82  
Dover_Athletic      5    4   -5      -2.94    17.12    -5.16    65.80    11.11     3.54     2.13    20.74     6.78P    6.67R    0.65  
Aldershot           5    4   -5      -2.92    16.95    -5.11    62.81    10.62    -0.62     1.05    12.76     3.90P    9.66R    0.99  
Braintree_Town      5    2   -4      -3.16    13.80    -1.02    42.38    11.51   -29.34     0.01     0.54     0.09P   72.24R   34.81  
Barnet              5    2   -6      -6.49     1.42    -8.51    66.64    11.54     6.78     3.22    24.03     9.84P    6.47R    0.60  
Dag_&_Red           5    1   -4      -6.42     1.35    -4.96    60.15    11.21     0.25     0.82    10.05     3.14P   15.56R    2.19  
Maidenhead          5    1   -6      -4.44     5.86    -3.76    49.68    10.77   -18.58     0.05     1.25     0.26P   48.12R   12.56